Keir Starmer
Sir Keir Rodney Starmer KCB KC (born 2 September 1962) is a British politician and barrister who has served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 5 July 2024 and as Leader of the Labour Party since April 2020.[1][2] Educated at Reigate Grammar School, the University of Leeds, and St Edmund Hall, Oxford, Starmer qualified as a barrister in 1987, specializing in human rights law and serving as legal adviser to the Northern Ireland Policing Board before being appointed Queen's Counsel in 2002.[1] From 2008 to 2013, he was Director of Public Prosecutions, heading the Crown Prosecution Service and overseeing reforms to criminal justice procedures, though his tenure drew criticism for low prosecution rates in child sexual exploitation cases during the emergence of grooming gang scandals and decisions not to pursue charges in high-profile matters such as the initial handling of complaints against Jimmy Savile.[1][3][4] Elected as MP for Holborn and St Pancras in 2015, he held shadow cabinet roles including Brexit Secretary before winning the Labour leadership in 2020 with pledges to unite the party and restore electoral viability after Jeremy Corbyn's defeats, subsequently repositioning Labour toward centrist policies on issues like antisemitism and economic management.[5][6] Starmer led Labour to a parliamentary landslide in the July 2024 general election, securing 412 seats despite a modest 33.7% vote share—the lowest for a majority government since 1832—and voter turnout at a 20-year low of around 60%, amid voter fatigue with the prior Conservative administration, and has since pursued an agenda emphasizing economic stability, net-zero commitments, and institutional reforms, including plans to abolish hereditary peers in the House of Lords.[7][8][1]Early life and education
Family background and upbringing
Keir Starmer was born on 2 September 1962 in Southwark, London, the second of four children to Rodney Starmer (1934–2018), a toolmaker, and Josephine (Jo) Starmer (née Baker; 1935–2015), a nurse in the National Health Service.[9][10] The family soon relocated to Oxted in Surrey, where they resided in a modest semi-detached pebble-dashed house in the nearby village of Hurst Green, an area described by Starmer as having tight finances reflective of a working family.[11][12] His parents were Labour Party supporters, instilling early political leanings in the household.[11] Rodney Starmer worked in a factory as a skilled toolmaker, a profession Starmer has frequently highlighted in public statements to underscore his family's manual labor roots, though records indicate Rodney also owned and operated the Oxted Tool Company, a small manufacturing business in Surrey.[10][13][14] Josephine Starmer managed a demanding career in nursing despite a lifelong battle with Still's disease, a rare autoinflammatory disorder diagnosed in her childhood that caused severe joint inflammation, fevers, and progressive disability, eventually rendering her unable to walk, eat, or communicate independently in her final years.[15][16] The condition's toll shaped family dynamics, with Starmer assisting in her care during his adolescence, an experience he has cited as influencing his commitment to public service and the NHS.[17] Starmer's siblings included a younger brother, Nick (1964–2024), who faced significant personal challenges including mental health struggles and legal troubles, as well as two sisters; the family environment was marked by these hardships alongside Rodney's authoritative presence and Josephine's resilience amid illness.[18][19] Upbringing in this Surrey commuter town involved a blend of stability and adversity, with Starmer later portraying it as emblematic of aspirational yet constrained working-class life, though critics have noted the selective emphasis on his father's factory employment over business ownership in such narratives.[20][21]Academic and early professional influences
Starmer earned a first-class Bachelor of Laws degree from the University of Leeds in 1985, where he was co-recipient of the Hughes Prize for the best final-year dissertation.[22] His studies at Leeds introduced him to international human rights law and broader concepts of social justice, which he later described as driving his early legal career and inspiring pro bono work, such as efforts to overturn death sentences in Uganda in 2005.[22] While at Leeds, Starmer engaged more with the local indie music scene—attending gigs by bands like The Smiths—than with formal political activities, though he credited the university's academics with forming his professional identity.[22] Following Leeds, Starmer pursued postgraduate studies at the University of Oxford, earning a Bachelor of Civil Law degree—a rigorous advanced qualification—from St Edmund Hall.[23] [24] This period refined his focus on criminal law and human rights, building on his undergraduate foundations amid a commitment to representing marginalized clients.[25] Admitted to the bar in 1987 at Middle Temple, Starmer began his professional career in private practice, initially apprenticing under human rights barrister Geoffrey Robertson at 1 Dr Johnson's Buildings.[1] [26] In 1990, he co-founded Doughty Street Chambers with Robertson, specializing in appellate work, administrative law challenging government actions, and human rights cases, including early involvement in European Court of Human Rights proceedings such as a Strasbourg case on judicial impartiality against Denmark.[26] Under Robertson's influence, Starmer honed a precise and persuasive advocacy style, emphasizing human rights protections that informed his later support for the Human Rights Act, while balancing legal aid and commercial practice to sustain the chambers.[26] These early roles exposed him to high-stakes litigation against state power, shaping a pragmatic approach to legal reform over ideological posturing.[26]Legal career
Work as a barrister and human rights advocate
Starmer was called to the bar by the Middle Temple on 24 November 1987.[27] He initially practiced from various sets before becoming a founding member of Doughty Street Chambers in 1990, where he focused on human rights, public law, extradition, and criminal appeals.[28] His work emphasized defending clients in cases involving the European Convention on Human Rights, often challenging government actions through judicial review.[29] A notable early involvement was in the McLibel case, where Starmer provided pro bono legal assistance to activists Helen Steel and David Morris, who faced a libel suit from McDonald's over claims of environmental harm and labor exploitation in a 1986 leaflet.[30] The 1997 trial, the longest in English civil history at the time, resulted in a partial victory for the defendants when the Court of Appeal in 1999 overturned some findings against them, affirming defenses of truth on issues like low wages and animal cruelty.[30] Starmer's role included advising on strategy and cross-examination, highlighting his commitment to representing under-resourced litigants against corporate power.[31] Starmer's human rights advocacy extended internationally, particularly in efforts to abolish the mandatory death penalty. He contributed to Privy Council appeals that halted executions and struck down mandatory sentencing in Caribbean nations, including landmark challenges in the Bahamas in 2006 and Barbados.[32] In Uganda, his involvement in a 2005 case led to the invalidation of the mandatory death penalty, commuting sentences for 417 individuals.[33] Similar work influenced outcomes in Malawi, Tanzania, and Trinidad and Tobago, where appeals argued that automatic death sentences violated international human rights standards by denying judicial discretion.[34] Appointed Queen's Counsel in 2002, Starmer took silk and handled high-profile cases at the appellate level, including those before the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg.[29] His practice balanced domestic criminal defense—such as police misconduct claims—with pro bono international litigation, often funded by legal aid or advocacy groups, underscoring a career oriented toward systemic reform over routine advocacy.[29] By the mid-2000s, this record positioned him as a specialist in extradition and judicial review, though critics later noted the selective nature of human rights defenses in politically charged contexts.[35]Tenure as Director of Public Prosecutions
Keir Starmer was appointed Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) and Head of the Crown Prosecutions Service (CPS) on 1 November 2008, succeeding Ken Macdonald.[36][1] He served in the role until November 2013, overseeing criminal prosecutions across England and Wales during a period marked by financial constraints and high-profile challenges.[37] During his tenure, Starmer implemented reforms to prioritize victims' perspectives, particularly in sexual offense cases, by revising CPS guidelines to ensure prosecutors challenged stereotypes and myths that previously undermined victim credibility.[4] In response to the 2012 Rochdale grooming gang convictions, he ordered a comprehensive review of CPS handling of child sexual exploitation, leading to new protocols in 2013 aimed at increasing prosecutions by requiring evidence of the defendant's awareness of the victim's vulnerability.[3] These changes were credited with improving conviction rates for such offenses toward the end of his term, though critics argue they came too late to address earlier systemic failures in pursuing cases involving organized grooming networks.[37] Starmer's office prosecuted several landmark cases, including the 2012 convictions of Gary Dobson and David Norris for the 1993 murder of Stephen Lawrence, following advanced forensic evidence review.[38] He also directed prosecutions of parliamentarians in the expenses scandal and authorized 24-hour court operations during the 2011 riots to expedite riot-related trials.[3] However, the CPS under his leadership faced criticism for initial decisions not to prosecute in cases like the 2009 death of Ian Tomlinson during the G20 protests—later overturned with the charging of PC Simon Harwood—and the collapse of the police corruption trial in the 1988 Lynette White murder due to unreliable witness evidence.[3][39] Controversy arose over the CPS's 2009 decision not to prosecute Jimmy Savile on allegations from one complainant, a ruling made by a junior prosecutor without Starmer's direct involvement or knowledge.[40][41] Starmer later issued a public apology for CPS shortcomings in that case, acknowledging evidential and procedural lapses.[42] Regarding grooming gangs, while prosecution numbers rose under revised policies, earlier declinations—such as in Rochdale in 2009—drew accusations of leniency influenced by cultural sensitivities, with Starmer conceding post-tenure that victims had been failed during his leadership.[4][3] These issues have been highlighted by conservative commentators as evidence of prosecutorial hesitation in politically sensitive matters, though Starmer emphasized operational independence and resource limitations as factors.[43]Entry into politics
Selection as parliamentary candidate and 2015 election
In July 2014, Frank Dobson, the Labour MP for Holborn and St Pancras since 1983, announced his intention to retire at the forthcoming general election.[44] Keir Starmer, who had stepped down as Director of Public Prosecutions in November 2013 after five years in the role, applied for selection in the safe central London seat, which Labour had held continuously since its creation in 1983.[45] On 13 December 2014, the local Constituency Labour Party unanimously endorsed Starmer as their candidate to succeed Dobson, with no other contenders advancing to the final ballot after an initial shortlisting process.[46][44] The 2015 general election took place on 7 May 2015. Starmer secured victory for Labour, retaining the seat with 26,243 votes (47.8% of the valid vote), defeating Liberal Democrat candidate Lucy Care by a majority of 17,048 votes (31.0 percentage points).[47] The Conservative candidate, Jeremy Franks, received 8,524 votes (15.5%), while the Green Party's Shane Collins polled 2,957 (5.4%). Turnout was 63.3% among an electorate of 86,764, yielding 54,917 valid votes.[47] Starmer's win reflected the constituency's strong Labour tradition, with the party having achieved majorities exceeding 10,000 votes in each election since 2001.[47]Shadow cabinet roles and party discipline issues
Following his election as MP for Holborn and St Pancras in May 2015, Keir Starmer was appointed to Jeremy Corbyn's shadow cabinet in October 2016 as Shadow Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union, a newly created role amid the post-referendum turmoil.[48] In this position, Starmer led Labour's scrutiny of the government's Brexit negotiations, advocating for a deal that preserved close economic alignment with the EU while respecting the 2016 referendum result.[49] He remained in the role continuously until April 2020, distinguishing himself by maintaining loyalty to Corbyn at a time when over 50% of the shadow cabinet resigned in a June 2016 mass action following Brexit divisions and Corbyn's poor internal poll ratings.[50] [48] Starmer's tenure highlighted Labour's internal fractures over Brexit policy, as the party under Corbyn struggled with inconsistent positioning—officially committed to triggering Article 50 but divided between Remain-leaning MPs, Leave-voting heartlands, and leadership reluctance to oppose the referendum outright.[51] In February 2017, he outlined six tests for any Brexit agreement, including safeguarding jobs, the economy, and EU single market equivalence, criteria that the government repeatedly failed to meet in Labour's assessment, leading to opposition votes against key legislation like the EU Withdrawal Bill.[52] By 2018–2019, amid escalating parliamentary gridlock, Starmer pushed for a confirmatory public vote on the final deal, helping shift Corbyn toward endorsing a second referendum at the 2019 party conference, though this provoked backlash from pro-Leave factions and trade unions wary of alienating working-class voters. [49] Party discipline under Corbyn was markedly weak, with over 170 MPs defying the whip on welfare bill amendments in 2015–2016 and frequent rebellions on Brexit-related votes, such as 48 Labour MPs supporting the government on Article 50 in 2017 despite the leadership's ambivalence.[53] Starmer navigated these tensions by focusing on policy scrutiny rather than personal attacks, avoiding resignations that plagued figures like Hilary Benn and Heidi Alexander, and positioning himself as a bridge between Corbyn's left-wing base and centrist pro-EU MPs.[50] However, broader indiscipline extended to the handling of antisemitism allegations, where from 2015 onward, the party faced over 100 complaints, uneven suspensions, and internal resistance to adopting the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance definition fully until 2018, eroding credibility and contributing to electoral losses.[54] Starmer publicly defended Labour's record during this period but later criticized its inadequacies as leader, reflecting his strategic patience amid factional strife.[55]2020 Labour leadership election
Following Labour's heavy defeat in the December 2019 general election, where the party secured only 202 seats amid controversies over antisemitism and Brexit policy under Jeremy Corbyn, Corbyn announced his resignation on December 12, 2019, triggering a leadership contest.[56] Nominations opened on January 13, 2020, requiring candidates to secure support from at least 5% of Labour MPs and MEPs or three affiliated organizations such as trade unions.[57] Keir Starmer formally launched his campaign on January 4, 2020, positioning himself as a candidate for unity and competence, drawing on his experience as Shadow Brexit Secretary and former Director of Public Prosecutions.[56] He gained endorsements from major trade unions including Usdaw on January 20, 2020, and Unite later shifted support to him, bolstering his credentials across Labour's factions.[58] The other candidates who reached the ballot were Rebecca Long-Bailey, seen as the continuity choice aligned with Corbyn's left-wing platform, and Lisa Nandy, emphasizing regional devolution and party renewal; Emily Thornberry withdrew after failing to meet nomination thresholds.[59] Starmer amassed 260 MP nominations, far exceeding rivals, reflecting broad parliamentary backing.[60] Starmer's campaign featured ten pledges outlined in a document released during the contest, committing to economic justice through increased taxes on top earners and corporation tax; a green new deal with public investment in renewable energy; common ownership of rail, mail, and energy; strengthened workers' rights; and robust national security including NATO commitment.[61] These pledges aimed to bridge Labour's ideological divides, appealing to both membership and affiliates while critiquing the party's recent electoral failures without fully repudiating Corbyn-era policies.[62] Voting occurred from February 20 to March 2, 2020, under Labour's "one member one vote" system incorporating party members, registered supporters, and affiliated organization votes weighted equally across three sections.[57] Results were announced on April 4, 2020, delayed by the COVID-19 pandemic. Starmer won outright on the first ballot with 56.2% of the total vote, comprising 56.7% from members, 72.0% from affiliates, and 33.0% from registered supporters; Long-Bailey received 27.6%, and Nandy 16.2%.[6] [63] [64] Turnout was approximately 62% among eligible voters, signaling strong engagement post-2019.[60]Opposition leadership (2020–2024)
Internal party reforms and factional battles
Upon assuming Labour Party leadership on April 4, 2020, Keir Starmer prioritized addressing the antisemitism crisis that had plagued the party under Jeremy Corbyn, implementing recommendations from the Equality and Human Rights Commission's (EHRC) investigation published on October 29, 2020.[65] The EHRC report identified three breaches of the Equality Act 2010 by Labour, including political interference in complaints handling, inadequate training, and failure to provide harassment protection, attributing these to serious failings in leadership and process.[66] Starmer described the findings as a "day of shame" for the party and committed to zero-tolerance enforcement, leading to the adoption of an independent complaints procedure, mandatory antisemitism training for staff and officials, and full embrace of the International Holocaust Remembrance Alliance (IHRA) definition of antisemitism.[67] [68] These reforms triggered immediate factional tensions with Corbyn-era hard-left elements, exemplified by Starmer's decision to suspend Corbyn's Labour whip on October 29, 2020, after Corbyn downplayed the EHRC report's severity by claiming the issue had been overstated.[69] Corbyn, a longstanding figurehead for the party's socialist wing, challenged the suspension, but it underscored Starmer's resolve to marginalize voices resistant to rooting out antisemitism, which the EHRC linked to tolerance of anti-Zionist rhetoric conflated with Jew-hatred under prior leadership.[70] This action escalated battles with groups like Momentum, the pro-Corbyn organizing force, which faced organizational crisis by 2022 as Starmer's administration pursued expulsions and deselections of left-wing activists accused of antisemitic conduct or rule breaches.[71] Starmer further consolidated control through procedural reforms, including 2021 party conference changes passed by 53.7% that eliminated "registered supporters" from leadership contests—a mechanism exploited under Corbyn to allow low-cost (£3) influxes of voters—and raised nomination thresholds for candidates to require 20% parliamentary support.[72] [73] These measures, framed by Starmer as safeguards against entryism and factional takeovers, effectively diminished the hard left's influence by prioritizing affiliated members and MPs loyal to centrist governance over mass-mobilized insurgents.[74] By mid-2021, such efforts had subdued internal dissent, enabling policy shifts like abandoning Corbyn's pledges for widespread nationalization and a second Brexit referendum, though residual skirmishes persisted with soft-left critics over perceived authoritarianism in purging dissenters.[75]Shadow cabinet reshuffles and key appointments
Upon assuming the Labour leadership on 4 April 2020, Starmer formed his initial shadow cabinet over the following days, appointing a balanced team that included figures from across the party's factions while prioritizing competence and unity after the 2019 election defeat.[76] Key appointments included Angela Rayner as deputy leader and shadow first secretary of state, Anneliese Dodds as shadow chancellor of the exchequer, Lisa Nandy as shadow foreign secretary, Rachel Reeves as shadow chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster, Ed Miliband as shadow business secretary, and Nick Thomas-Symonds as shadow home secretary, achieving gender parity in the top roles.[77] [78] These selections reflected Starmer's intent to project moderation, retaining some Corbyn-era figures like Long-Bailey in education while elevating centrists such as Reeves, who later became a core economic voice.[79] A minor reshuffle occurred in June 2020 amid ongoing internal adjustments following the leadership transition, though it involved limited changes to portfolios rather than wholesale shifts. More substantive alterations followed poor results in the May 2021 local and devolved elections, where Labour lost ground in key areas like Hartlepool. Starmer demoted Rayner from her roles as party chair and national campaign coordinator, sparking tensions with the party's left wing, and promoted Rachel Reeves to shadow chancellor, replacing Dodds who shifted to shadow women and equalities minister.[80] [81] Lucy Powell assumed the shadow housing secretary position, while the reshuffle faced resistance, including refusals from some prospective appointees, underscoring factional resistance to Starmer's consolidation of control.[82] Further tweaks in June 2021 addressed specific vacancies, but the November 2021 reshuffle marked a bolder pivot toward experienced performers amid criticism of opposition effectiveness. Yvette Cooper was elevated to shadow home secretary, David Lammy to shadow justice secretary, and Lisa Nandy retained a senior role, while Ed Miliband was reassigned from business to climate change and net zero, reflecting a demotion amid perceived underperformance.[83] [84] This round sacked underperforming members and rewarded high-profile critics of the prior government, such as Lammy, aiming to sharpen scrutiny on issues like policing and justice.[85] The final major pre-election reshuffle in September 2023 streamlined the team for the anticipated 2024 contest, moving Angela Rayner to shadow secretary for levelling up, housing, and communities (replacing Nandy), and eliminating the dedicated shadow mental health minister role held by Rosena Allin-Khan, a soft-left figure.[86] [87] Senior positions like shadow chancellor (Reeves) and shadow health secretary (Wes Streeting, appointed November 2021) remained stable, signaling confidence in the economic and NHS critiques that resonated with voters.[88] These changes favored Starmer's allies, reducing left-leaning influence and preparing a cohesive frontbench that largely transitioned intact to government post-2024 victory, with minimal disruptions from disciplinary actions like the 2023 suspension of shadow business secretary Jonathan Reynolds over internal disputes—though such incidents were rare compared to Corbyn's tenure.[89][90]Electoral strategy and local election outcomes
Upon assuming the Labour leadership in April 2020, Starmer articulated an electoral strategy centered on restoring the party's electability after the 2019 general election defeat, emphasizing pragmatic policies aimed at "working people" and a shift away from the ideological positions associated with Jeremy Corbyn's tenure. This involved pledging to respect the 2016 Brexit referendum outcome, prioritizing economic stability, public service improvements, and national security over expansive public ownership or tax increases on higher earners, as outlined in Labour's internal campaign guidance and manifestos.[91][92] Starmer's approach, described by analysts as a return to the centre ground, included the adoption of "five missions" focusing on economic growth, clean energy, healthcare, education, and crime reduction, intended to broaden appeal in traditional Conservative seats while consolidating urban support.[93][94] This strategy faced early tests in local elections, with mixed results reflecting initial voter skepticism amid ongoing party internal divisions and the COVID-19 pandemic. In the May 2021 elections across 143 English councils, Labour suffered a net loss of 326 councillors, retaining control of some areas but losing ground to Conservatives in key regions like the North West and Midlands, where anti-incumbency sentiment was limited and Labour's national vote share projected at its lowest in decades.[95][96] By-elections around this period, such as the Hartlepool defeat in May 2021, underscored challenges in Red Wall seats, prompting Starmer to intensify focus on competence and unity.[97] Subsequent years showed progressive gains, aligning with the strategy's emphasis on tactical targeting and anti-Conservative messaging. The May 2022 elections saw Labour achieve a net loss of only 36 seats but gain net 5 councils, including retaining most London boroughs and advancing in southern marginals through localized campaigns on cost-of-living issues.[98][99] In May 2023, Labour recorded a net gain of 543 councillors and control of 9 additional councils, becoming the largest party in English local government for the first time since 2002, with strong performances in Brexit-voting areas like Swindon and Somerset signaling improved appeal among former Conservative voters.[100][101] The May 2024 local elections further validated the approach, with Labour securing a net gain of 185 councillors and flipping councils such as Thurrock and Rushmoor from Conservative control, alongside victories in mayoral races in York & North Yorkshire and the East Midlands.[102][103] These outcomes, totaling over 700 net seat gains from 2021 to 2024, were attributed to voter fatigue with the incumbent government rather than surging pro-Labour enthusiasm, as the party's national vote share hovered around 34% amid tactical anti-Tory voting.[104][105] By-elections in seats like Selby and Wakefield during this period reinforced the momentum, reducing the projected swing needed for a parliamentary majority.[97]| Year | Councils with Elections | Labour Net Seat Change | Key Outcomes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 143 | -326 | Losses in northern heartlands; lowest projected vote share in 40+ years[95] |
| 2022 | ~200 | -36 | Net +5 councils; strong in London[98] |
| 2023 | 229 | +543 | Largest party in England; gains in Leave areas[100] |
| 2024 | 107 | +185 | Flips in southern Tory strongholds; mayoral wins[102] |
2024 general election campaign and victory
The 2024 United Kingdom general election was called by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on 22 May 2024, with polling day set for 4 July 2024, earlier than many anticipated amid Conservative Party internal divisions and economic pressures.[106] Labour, under Starmer's leadership, framed the campaign around themes of national renewal and ending 14 years of Conservative governance marked by Brexit implementation challenges, COVID-19 response costs, and inflation spikes. Starmer emphasized "stability" and "change" in speeches, positioning Labour as a competent alternative focused on pragmatic governance rather than radical shifts.[107] The party's manifesto, released on 13 June 2024, outlined six immediate priorities: economic stability via a national wealth fund and planning reforms; reducing NHS waiting lists by adding evening/weekend appointments and shifting resources to primary care; securing borders through a Border Security Command targeting smuggling gangs; clean energy investments for 8,000 jobs in Great British Energy; boosting growth with 1.5 million homes and infrastructure upgrades; and opportunity for all via mental health support in schools.[108] Labour's campaign operation was highly disciplined, relying on data analytics, targeted advertising, and a "cell" of senior strategists to enforce message consistency across rallies, media appearances, and door-to-door canvassing.[109] Starmer participated in televised debates, including head-to-heads with Sunak on ITV and BBC, where he highlighted Conservative economic mismanagement—citing 14 years of low growth at 0.5% annually pre-election—and pledged no increases in income tax, national insurance, or VAT, while funding commitments through measures like closing non-dom tax loopholes and windfall taxes on energy firms.[110] The strategy capitalized on widespread voter fatigue with the Conservatives, amplified by scandals such as the betting-gate affair involving Tory candidates wagering on election dates, which Starmer condemned as evidence of poor judgment. Internal Labour challenges, including lingering divisions over the party's stance on the Israel-Gaza conflict, were mitigated by Starmer's promise of recognizing a Palestinian state as part of a two-state solution, though this drew criticism from pro-Palestine activists for perceived delays.[111] On 4 July 2024, Labour secured a parliamentary majority of 174 seats, winning 412 constituencies with 9,708,716 votes (33.7% share), an increase of 211 seats from 2019 despite only a 1.6% vote gain, reflecting the first-past-the-post system's amplification of anti-incumbent swings.[112] The Conservatives collapsed to 121 seats with 24% of the vote, while Reform UK under Nigel Farage took 14.3% nationally but only five seats, splitting the right-wing vote in key marginals. Starmer's victory speech in his Holborn and St Pancras constituency declared a "mandate for change," attributing the result to public rejection of Conservative "chaos" rather than unqualified endorsement of Labour policies, as the party's vote share marked the lowest for any majority-winning government since 1900.[113] He was appointed prime minister by King Charles III later that day, entering Downing Street with pledges to "restore trust in politics" through immediate actions like establishing the promised Border Security Command.[106]Premiership (2024–present)
Formation of government and initial appointments
Following the Labour Party's victory in the general election on 4 July 2024, which secured 411 seats in the House of Commons, Keir Starmer was formally invited by King Charles III on 5 July 2024 to form a new government after the resignation of Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.[114][115] Starmer was appointed Prime Minister and First Lord of the Treasury, marking the end of 14 years of Conservative governance.[114][116] The initial cabinet formation emphasized continuity from the shadow cabinet, with several key figures retaining their portfolios in the transition to government. Angela Rayner was appointed Deputy Prime Minister and Secretary of State for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities, while Rachel Reeves became the first female Chancellor of the Exchequer.[117][118] Other senior appointments included David Lammy as Foreign Secretary, Yvette Cooper as Home Secretary, John Healey as Defence Secretary, Wes Streeting as Health Secretary, and Bridget Phillipson as Education Secretary.[117] The cabinet featured a record 11 female ministers, comprising 45% of the top team, and included figures like Ed Miliband as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero.[117][119] Starmer's approach incorporated appointments from outside traditional politics to broaden expertise, appointing Patrick Vallance, former Chief Scientific Adviser during the COVID-19 pandemic, as Minister of State for Science, and James Timpson, a business leader, as Minister of State for Prisons, Parole and Probation.[120] By 12 July 2024, over 111 ministerial positions had been filled, completing the bulk of government formation ahead of Starmer's international engagements.[121] The first full cabinet meeting convened shortly after these appointments, focusing on immediate priorities such as economic stability and public service delivery.[114]2025 cabinet reshuffle
On 4 September 2025, Angela Rayner resigned as Deputy Prime Minister, Secretary of State for Housing, Communities and Local Government, and Labour Party deputy leader after admitting to underpaying stamp duty by approximately £40,000 on a property purchase, in breach of the ministerial code.[122] This prompted Prime Minister Keir Starmer to conduct his first major cabinet reshuffle of the premiership on 5 September 2025, which involved wholesale changes across senior roles, including a near-complete reconfiguration of the Home Office leadership and shifts among several key secretaries of state.[123] [124] The reshuffle affected 12 cabinet positions and led to the sacking or departure of several figures, such as Lucy Powell as Leader of the House of Commons and Ian Murray as Secretary of State for Scotland.[125] [124] David Lammy was appointed Deputy Prime Minister, Lord Chancellor, and Secretary of State for Justice, replacing Shabana Mahmood in the latter role while assuming oversight of the justice system amid ongoing challenges in prison capacity and sentencing.[123] [122] Yvette Cooper moved from Home Secretary to Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs, with Lammy's prior foreign secretary position left vacant by his promotion.[124] [122] Shabana Mahmood was reassigned as Home Secretary, inheriting a department criticized for immigration enforcement failures and recent public order issues.[123] [124] Other significant cabinet shifts included Steve Reed transferring from Environment Secretary to Housing Secretary to fill Rayner's vacancy; Pat McFadden assuming the Work and Pensions role, overseeing a "super ministry" for employment and benefits; Peter Kyle taking Business and Trade; Liz Kendall moving to Science, Innovation and Technology; and Emma Reynolds to Environment, Food and Rural Affairs.[123] [122] [124]| Position | Previous Holder | New Holder |
|---|---|---|
| Deputy Prime Minister | Angela Rayner | David Lammy |
| Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for Justice | Shabana Mahmood | David Lammy |
| Foreign Secretary | David Lammy | Yvette Cooper |
| Home Secretary | Yvette Cooper | Shabana Mahmood |
| Housing Secretary | Angela Rayner | Steve Reed |
| Work and Pensions Secretary | Liz Kendall | Pat McFadden |
| Business and Trade Secretary | Jonathan Reynolds | Peter Kyle |
| Science, Innovation and Technology Secretary | Peter Kyle | Liz Kendall |
| Environment Secretary | Steve Reed | Emma Reynolds |
| Chief Whip | Sir Alan Campbell | Jonathan Reynolds |
| Leader of the House of Commons | Lucy Powell | Sir Alan Campbell |
| Scotland Secretary | Ian Murray | Douglas Alexander |
Domestic policy implementation
Upon assuming office on 5 July 2024, Starmer's government prioritised immediate implementation of manifesto commitments, including the establishment of Great British Energy to accelerate clean energy investment, the launch of a Border Security Command to combat organised immigration crime, and initiatives to reduce NHS waiting lists through additional appointments funded by tax adjustments.[129] The King's Speech on 17 July 2024 outlined legislative priorities such as strengthening community policing powers, enhancing anti-social behaviour measures, and advancing planning reforms to facilitate 1.5 million new homes over five years by streamlining permissions for brownfield sites and infrastructure.[130] [131] Fiscal policy saw significant changes via Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Autumn Budget on 30 October 2024, which raised employer National Insurance contributions by 1.2 percentage points to 15% from April 2025, increased the rate from 13.8% while adjusting thresholds, and abolished the non-domiciled tax regime, projecting £40 billion in additional revenues to repair public finances and fund day-to-day spending.[132] [133] Other measures included a 6.7% rise in the National Living Wage to £12.21 per hour effective April 2025, capital gains tax alignment with income tax rates for higher earners, and inheritance tax extension to private school endowments and farms over £1 million thresholds, aimed at closing fiscal black holes inherited from the prior administration.[132] [134] On welfare, the government initially restricted winter fuel payments—worth £200-£300 per household—to means-tested pension credit recipients from September 2024, saving £1.5 billion annually, but reversed course in May 2025 amid backlash, expanding eligibility to more pensioners while maintaining fiscal discipline.[135] [136] Healthcare reforms emphasised structural shifts, with Starmer declaring in a 12 September 2024 speech that the NHS must "reform or die," introducing a 10-year plan in July 2025 to digitise services, relocate care from hospitals to community settings, and prioritise prevention over treatment.[137] [138] In March 2025, NHS England was abolished to reduce bureaucracy and restore direct ministerial oversight, enabling faster decision-making and accountability to voters.[139] Immigration controls tightened progressively: the Border Security Command operationalised cross-agency enforcement, leading to arrests of smuggling networks; salary thresholds for skilled worker visas rose to £38,700 from April 2024; and a May 2025 white paper doubled indefinite leave to remain residency requirements to 10 years, restricted care worker visas, and expanded points-based criteria to curb net migration, which had exceeded 700,000 annually under prior policies.[129] [140] [141] Public order responses to the August 2024 riots—sparked by misinformation following the Southport stabbings—included deploying a "standing army" of 6,000 specialist police officers, establishing a national violent disorder unit for rapid intelligence sharing, and expediting prosecutions, resulting in over 1,000 arrests and swift sentencing under existing laws.[142] [143] Legislation from the King's Speech enhanced police capabilities against disorder, while the October 2024 Employment Rights Bill implemented day-one unfair dismissal protections and flexible working defaults to bolster worker security.[130] [144] These actions, though yielding short-term stabilisations like riot suppression, faced criticism for insufficient long-term impact on underlying issues such as migration pressures and economic stagnation, with public approval ratings declining amid implementation costs; multiple petitions on the UK Parliament's petitions website, including calls for a general election and opposition to digital ID plans, each exceeded one million signatures, while YouGov polls in October 2025 showed Starmer's net favourability at -51% and Labour's voting intention at a record low of 17%.[145][146][147][148]Economic and fiscal policies
Upon entering office in July 2024, Starmer's Labour government committed to fiscal discipline through two rules: achieving a current budget surplus by 2029–30 and reducing public sector net financial liabilities as a share of GDP by the same date.[133] [149] This framework underpinned efforts to address an alleged £22 billion fiscal shortfall inherited from the prior administration, though critics contended the figure reflected policy choices rather than unavoidable commitments.[132] Chancellor Rachel Reeves' Autumn Budget on 30 October 2024 raised £40 billion in taxes—the largest increase since 1993—to fund public services and infrastructure while adhering to these rules, with the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecasting modest GDP growth of 0.8% in 2025 amid persistent inflationary pressures.[150] [151] Key tax measures included increasing employer National Insurance Contributions (NICs) by 1.2 percentage points to 15% and lowering the secondary threshold from £9,100 to £5,000 annually, projected to yield £25 billion by 2029–30; this was defended as not breaching manifesto pledges against taxing "working people" but criticized for indirectly burdening employees via reduced wages or hiring.[132] [152] Capital gains tax rates rose to 18% for basic-rate taxpayers and 24% for higher-rate, aligning more closely with income tax bands, while inheritance tax reforms targeted pensions upon death and reduced reliefs for farms and businesses, aiming to raise additional billions.[153] Other revenue sources encompassed closing non-domicile tax loopholes and anti-avoidance measures expected to generate £6.5 billion.[152] On spending, day-to-day public expenditure grew by an average 3.1% in real terms over five years, prioritizing NHS funding with an extra £22.6 billion annually by 2029 and defence increases to 2.5% of GDP long-term, offset by welfare restraints and the July 2024 decision to means-test winter fuel payments, stripping eligibility from 10 million pensioners not receiving pension credit.[154] [132] Capital investment surged 9.8% real terms yearly for housing, transport, and a £7.3 billion National Wealth Fund to catalyze private sector green and advanced manufacturing projects.[155] Borrowing remained elevated, with public sector net debt at 96.4% of GDP in 2024–25 per OBR estimates, prompting Starmer's September 2025 No. 10 restructuring to enhance oversight of Treasury-led decisions amid growth shortfalls.[156] [151] By October 2025, facing stagnant productivity and fiscal headwinds, Reeves signaled potential further adjustments in the 26 November Budget, including possible income tax hikes despite earlier assurances, as OBR projections indicated challenges meeting surplus targets without additional revenue or restraint.[157] [158] The Spending Review 2025 outlined investments in security, health, and economy but emphasized efficiency savings, reflecting causal pressures from high debt servicing costs—£110 billion annually—and subdued private investment.[159][151]Immigration and asylum management
Upon assuming office in July 2024, the Starmer government terminated the previous Conservative administration's Rwanda deportation scheme, which had aimed to deter irregular migration by relocating asylum seekers to Rwanda for processing, citing its ineffectiveness and legal challenges.[160] The decision was justified on grounds of cost inefficiency, as the scheme had processed no removals despite expenditures exceeding £700 million, though critics argued it removed a key deterrent amid rising Channel crossings.[161] Small boat crossings across the English Channel surged under Labour's tenure, with over 50,000 arrivals recorded from July 2024 to August 2025, surpassing the total for the prior full year.[162] By October 2025, more than 36,000 individuals had crossed in 2025 alone, exceeding the 2024 figure of 36,816 and marking a record high for the year to date, attributed in part to calmer weather but also to perceived policy signals post-Rwanda scrappage.[163] The government responded by prioritizing disruption of smuggling networks, including international cooperation via a migration summit hosted by Starmer in April 2025 and enhanced border enforcement, yet crossings remained 47% higher in the year ending August 2025 compared to pre-Labour levels.[164][141] Asylum processing saw efforts to reduce the inherited backlog of 224,742 cases as of June 2024 through recruitment of additional caseworkers, yielding an 8% decline by March 2025 and further reductions to approximately 91,000 by year-end 2024.[165][166] However, grant rates rose to 39% in the year to June 2025, while decision quality fell to 52% compliance with standards, potentially increasing future appeals and costs.[167] Accommodation expenses dropped to £4.8 billion in 2024-25 from £5.4 billion previously, linked to fewer hotel uses, though overall asylum support remained substantial amid sustained inflows of around 45,000 claims in the year to August 2025.[168][141] Enforcement measures emphasized returns, with over 35,000 individuals removed since June 2024—a 28% increase over comparable periods—though the majority were voluntary departures rather than enforced deportations, which rose more modestly by 21%.[160][169] The Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill, introduced in 2024-25, created new offenses for facilitating illegal entry and handling related items, aiming to target organized crime.[170] A May 2025 white paper, "Restoring Control over the Immigration System," proposed broader reforms including reinterpretation of international law to facilitate deportations of failed claimants without ECHR blocks, work bans for some asylum seekers, and reduced regular migration pathways, though implementation faced delays and opposition.[171][172] Starmer's approach drew criticism for conflating voluntary returns with deportations in public messaging, potentially overstating enforcement gains amid persistent high arrivals.[173]Healthcare and NHS reforms
Upon assuming office in July 2024, the Starmer government prioritized stabilizing the NHS through pay settlements for staff, confirming awards for 2024/25 amid ongoing disputes inherited from the previous administration.[174] Health Secretary Wes Streeting emphasized pragmatic reforms, including greater private sector involvement to address backlogs, with NHS contracts for independent providers rising by 20% in early 2025.[175] This approach drew criticism from Labour's left wing, who labeled it as subsidizing inefficiency, though supporters argued it enabled faster patient access without ideological purity.[175] [176] In March 2025, Prime Minister Starmer announced the abolition of NHS England as an arm's-length body, transferring its functions to the Department of Health and Social Care by 2027 to eliminate duplication and enhance direct ministerial accountability.[177] The move reversed 2012 reforms under the Health and Social Care Act, aiming to streamline operations amid accusations of bureaucratic bloat, though implementation risks short-term disruption as outlined by the Royal College of Surgeons.[178] This structural change supported broader efficiency drives, including a January 2025 pledge to halve the number of patients waiting over 18 weeks—targeting a reduction of nearly 500,000—via increased appointments and targeted interventions like chemotherapy slots.[176] The July 2025 "Fit for the Future" 10-Year Health Plan, led by Streeting, outlined three core shifts: relocating care from hospitals to community-based "neighbourhood health hubs" for routine treatments; prioritizing prevention through measures like obesity crackdowns and expanded public health grants; and accelerating digital adoption, such as AI diagnostics and electronic records.[138] [179] By February 2025, the government met its manifesto commitment of delivering two million extra appointments, contributing to a waiting list drop from 7.42 million to 7.39 million by June 2025—the first decline in two years—though over three million patients had lingered without care since GP referral, underscoring persistent bottlenecks.[180] [181] [182] Funding for day-to-day NHS operations rose generously in 2025/26 above prior plans, but real-terms growth averaged 2.8% annually through 2028/29, trailing the historical 3.7% average and constraining ambitious reforms amid workforce shortages and inflation.[183] [184] Streeting's plan allocated billions for community tech and staff in deprived areas, yet analysts noted risks of shortfall on 18-week targets without accelerated productivity gains, as referrals grew 1.5% year-on-year.[185] Early indicators, including a February 2025 deal with independent providers for backlog reduction, showed incremental progress, but full realization depends on executing the medium-term framework through 2028/29.[186] [187]Welfare cuts and pension adjustments
In response to a reported £22 billion fiscal shortfall inherited from the previous government, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced plans in July 2024 to reform welfare spending, emphasizing a shift toward work incentives amid rising disability benefit claims, which had increased by 40% since 2019. The Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) targeted savings of £3 billion over three years initially, with further measures focusing on Personal Independence Payment (PIP) assessments and Universal Credit (UC) adjustments to reduce long-term dependency, projecting up to £5 billion in additional efficiencies by tightening eligibility for new claimants.[188] These reforms included proposals to reclassify certain health conditions under UC's limited capability for work regime, mandating job searches for recipients deemed fit, aligned with the government's mantra that "if you can work, you should work."[189] Implementation faced significant internal Labour Party resistance, culminating in a June 2025 rebellion where over 50 MPs threatened to vote against the welfare bill, forcing concessions such as applying stricter PIP and disability reforms only to future claimants rather than retrospectively.[190] Prime Minister Starmer's subsequent U-turn, announced on July 1, 2025, scaled back £5 billion in projected cuts, preserving existing entitlements while proceeding with work capability assessments projected to return 250,000-400,000 claimants to employment or reduced benefits.[191][192] Reeves reiterated in October 2025 that further welfare tightening remained necessary to avoid tax hikes, with eyed reductions to the Motability Scheme for disabled drivers and potential ineligibility for UC's health element among 16-21-year-olds.[193][194] On pensions, the government upheld the triple lock mechanism, guaranteeing annual state pension uplifts by the highest of CPI inflation, average earnings growth, or 2.5%, a policy Labour pledged to maintain throughout the parliamentary term.[195] This resulted in a 4.1% increase effective April 2025, raising the full new state pension to £230.25 weekly, and a projected 4.7% rise for 2026 adding over £500 annually for recipients.[196][197] Despite critiques that the triple lock disproportionately favors higher-income pensioners and contributes to intergenerational fiscal imbalances— with pension spending rising 8% in 2024-25 versus flat adjustments for working-age benefits—no reforms to dilute it were enacted by October 2025, contrasting with welfare constraints.[198][199]Education and skills agenda
Following the July 2024 general election victory, the Starmer government prioritized aligning education and skills training with economic demands, establishing Skills England in July 2024 as an independent agency to oversee workforce skills development and reduce shortages through strategic planning across sectors.[200] This body coordinates with employers, unions, and providers to forecast needs and devolve funding, including 60% of adult skills budgets to mayoral combined authorities by September 2024.[201] In school-level reforms, the administration abolished single-word Ofsted inspection grades in 2024 to enable more detailed assessments of institutional performance, aiming to foster improvement over punitive labeling.[155] Revenue from a 20% VAT on private school fees, implemented from January 1, 2025, is earmarked for recruiting 6,500 additional teachers and support staff in state schools, particularly in maths, science, and special needs, as outlined in the July 2024 King's Speech.[202] The government also expanded curriculum options to include greater emphasis on arts, sports, and vocational elements for working-class pupils, alongside initiatives to reduce persistent absenteeism drawing on evidence-based strategies from prior Labour administrations.[203][204] For post-16 education and skills, September 2025 announcements set ambitious targets for 66% of young people to remain in education, apprenticeships, or training until age 25 by 2040, with a specific goal of 10% pursuing higher technical qualifications or apprenticeships—nearly doubling current rates.[205][206] These reforms include launching 14 Technical Excellence Colleges focused on high-demand sectors, mandating at least 100 hours of face-to-face English and maths instruction in colleges for non-GCSE holders, and introducing modular apprenticeship units under the Lifetime Learning Entitlement from April 2026 to enable flexible, employer-led training.[205] Apprenticeship policy shifted to the Department for Work and Pensions in September 2025 to integrate skills with job outcomes, replacing the apprenticeship levy with a broader Growth and Skills Levy for versatile funding of short courses and training.[207][155] Emphasis on AI literacy as a core skill emerged in early 2025 announcements, linking it to future job requirements amid rising demand for generative AI training. Critics, including sector analysts, argue that achieving these targets necessitates deeper policy shifts, such as enhanced funding stability and reduced administrative burdens on providers, to unify fragmented post-16 systems effectively.[208] Early implementations, like devolved adult education funding, aim to support lifelong learning but face challenges in enrollment and outcomes measurement as of October 2025.[201]Criminal justice and policing
As Prime Minister, Keir Starmer has prioritized reforming the criminal justice system and enhancing policing visibility, drawing on his prior experience as Director of Public Prosecutions from 2008 to 2013. The Labour government's 2024 manifesto committed to rebuilding the system by ensuring police respond promptly to calls and conduct thorough investigations, alongside tougher penalties for offenses like antisocial behavior and shoplifting.[108] In the July 2024 King's Speech, the administration introduced the Crime and Policing Bill to bolster enforcement capabilities and address systemic strains, including prison overcrowding, which Starmer described as having "too many prisoners and not enough prisons."[209][210] Policing reforms emphasize community presence and rapid response. In August 2024, Starmer launched the National Violent Disorder Programme to curb street violence and unrest through targeted interventions.[211] By April 2025, plans were unveiled for foot patrols in every busy neighborhood during peak times, aiming to restore "bobbies on the beat" with named, contactable officers.[212] The government pledged to recruit 3,000 additional neighborhood officers and community support officers by March 2026, part of broader efforts under the December 2024 Plan for Change to halve serious violent crime and reduce antisocial behavior.[213][214] These initiatives seek to increase police visibility, though implementation faces challenges from budget constraints and recruitment hurdles.[215] In criminal justice, Starmer's policies target procedural inefficiencies and offender accountability. In January 2025, he vowed legislation to compel criminals' attendance at sentencing hearings, reversing prior practices allowing remote or absent proceedings to ensure victims' confrontation rights.[216] The Victims and Courts Bill, advanced in 2025, incorporates measures from earlier proposals to enhance victim support and court efficiency.[217] Addressing prison capacity, the government has pursued early releases and new builds, though critics argue these risk public safety without underlying crime reductions. Crime data for the year ending March 2025 shows mixed results: robbery decreased by 3% to 78,804 offenses, but theft from the person rose 50% to 15,520, indicating persistent urban challenges despite reform pledges.[218] Starmer's approach privileges empirical targeting of repeat offenders and violence hotspots, yet outcomes remain under scrutiny amid stagnant overall prosecution rates inherited from prior administrations.[215]Handling of 2024 riots and public order
The 2024 United Kingdom riots erupted on July 30 following the July 29 Southport stabbing of three young girls by Axel Rudakubana, a British-born teenager of Rwandan descent, amid online misinformation falsely claiming the perpetrator was a Muslim asylum seeker.[219] Violence spread to multiple cities in England and Northern Ireland, involving attacks on mosques, asylum hotels, and police, with over 1,000 arrests by early September.[220] Prime Minister Keir Starmer responded on August 1 by chairing a COBRA meeting and pledging to "restore order" through enhanced policing and swift prosecutions.[221] He condemned the unrest as "far-right thuggery" orchestrated by extremists exploiting legitimate concerns, vowing the "full force of the law" against participants.[222] On August 5, Starmer held an emergency cabinet meeting, announcing a national violent disorder programme to support police with additional resources and intelligence sharing.[142] The government's actions included deploying 6,000 specialist officers, leading to rapid court processing with some rioters sentenced within 24 hours to terms up to three years.[223] By August 8, Starmer stated that potential rioters had been deterred by this "no let-up" approach, crediting community resilience and robust policing for quelling the disorder by early August.[223] Over 370 arrests occurred in the first few days, with the Crown Prosecution Service prioritizing cases involving violence.[142] Critics, including Conservative leaders, argued Starmer's focus on labeling participants as "far-right" overlooked root causes such as unchecked immigration and integration failures, potentially fueling further unrest.[224] Public opinion was divided: a YouGov poll from August 23 showed Britons evenly split on Starmer's handling, with 45% approving police and judicial responses but skepticism over addressing underlying grievances like high net migration levels exceeding 700,000 annually.[225] Mainstream outlets praised the swift suppression, yet some analyses, acknowledging institutional biases toward downplaying immigration tensions, noted historical patterns where unaddressed public fears led to recurring violence.[226] Starmer later emphasized tackling online misinformation and extremism, but faced calls for policy shifts on borders to prevent recurrence.[224]Foreign and security policy
Keir Starmer's foreign and security policy emphasizes continuity with established UK commitments while pursuing pragmatic resets in key relationships, including a renewed focus on NATO, robust support for Ukraine against Russian aggression, and efforts to balance transatlantic ties amid US political shifts. Upon entering office in July 2024, Starmer reaffirmed the UK's "unshakeable commitment" to NATO, the nuclear deterrent, and annual military aid to Ukraine totaling £3 billion through 2030/31, extending previous Conservative pledges.[227][228] He announced plans for a new national security strategy in February 2025, ahead of the June NATO summit, aiming to integrate defense spending increases with expanded domestic defense industry capacity.[229] This approach prioritizes alliance solidarity and deterrence, with Starmer hosting NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg in September 2025 to underscore Britain's leading role in collective defense.[230] In the Ukraine conflict, Starmer has positioned the UK as a frontline supporter, committing over £13 billion in total aid by early 2025 and leading a "coalition of the willing" initiative announced in March 2025 alongside France to bolster European security contributions.[231] Specific packages include £4.5 billion in 2025 military aid, featuring missiles funded by £70 million in interest from frozen Russian assets, and a 100-year UK-Ukraine partnership agreement covering security and economic ties.[232][233] Starmer has advocated for Ukraine's "irreversible path" to NATO membership despite reservations from US figures under President Trump, while warning of Russian threats at NATO gatherings.[234][235] Transatlantic relations under Starmer have navigated transitions from Biden to Trump administrations, with early recommitments to the "special relationship" during a July 2024 Washington summit emphasizing NATO unity.[236] Meetings with Trump in February and September 2025 highlighted renewed economic and security cooperation, though tensions persist over Ukraine aid divergences and European defense burdens, with Starmer employing diplomatic outreach to mitigate risks from US isolationism.[237][238] In the Middle East, Starmer's government recognized Palestine in September 2025 as a step toward a two-state solution, crediting it with facilitating a Gaza ceasefire, while criticizing Israeli escalations in Gaza City and urging restraint to avoid further bloodshed.[239][240][241] The UK maintains recognition of Israel since 1948 and calls for Hamas's elimination alongside humanitarian access in Gaza.[239] On China, Starmer pursues a "pragmatic" trade strategy to attract investment for economic growth, including closer ties expressed to Xi Jinping in 2024 and integration into the July 2025 UK trade framework emphasizing diversified partnerships.[242][243] However, this has drawn domestic criticism amid espionage allegations, a collapsed spy case, and opposition to a proposed Chinese mega-embassy, with cabinet members urging caution on security risks.[244][245] Overall, Starmer's policy links foreign engagement to domestic priorities like defense jobs and trade deals, defending international travel as essential for UK influence despite public skepticism.[246][247]Transatlantic relations and US alignment
Following his election as Prime Minister on 5 July 2024, Keir Starmer engaged promptly with US President Joe Biden, speaking by phone on the same day to reaffirm the UK-US special relationship and discuss shared priorities including economic growth, Ukraine support, and NATO commitments.[248] In their first in-person meeting on 10 July 2024 at the White House, Starmer and Biden committed to strengthening transatlantic ties, emphasizing cooperation on clean energy, AUKUS, and addressing geopolitical challenges in Ukraine and the Middle East.[236] A subsequent bilateral meeting on 13 September 2024 focused on Ukraine aid, NATO's role, and opportunities in advanced technologies, underscoring alignment during Biden's tenure.[249] Tensions emerged in October 2024 when Donald Trump's presidential campaign accused the UK Labour Party of "foreign interference" in the US election, citing Labour volunteers campaigning for Kamala Harris in battleground states; the complaint was filed with the Federal Election Commission, alleging coordination via Labour's organization of trips.[250] [251] Starmer rejected the claims, stating that involved individuals acted in a personal capacity, not officially, and emphasized non-interference in foreign elections.[252] Despite this friction, Starmer congratulated Trump on his victory on 6 November 2024 and pursued diplomatic engagement post-inauguration. Starmer's first meeting with President Trump occurred on 27 February 2025 at the White House, where both leaders hailed a renewal of the "special relationship," discussing foreign affairs, investment, and Ukraine without resolving differences on US security guarantees for Kyiv.[253] [254] Trump portrayed ongoing Ukraine support as a means to recoup US expenditures, while Starmer advocated for sustained alliance commitments.[255] Further engagement in September 2025 during a UK state visit involved talks on US investment in UK financial services, technology, and energy sectors, though sensitive topics like trade tariffs were skirted.[237] To align with US priorities under Trump, Starmer's government endorsed NATO's June 2025 summit commitments at The Hague, agreeing to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 (with 3.5% on core military equipment), up from the prior 2% target, framing it as enhancing alliance lethality and burden-sharing.[256] [257] Starmer described NATO as "more lethal than ever" post-summit, insisting on its enduring relevance amid Trump's skepticism toward mutual defense pacts, while prioritizing transatlantic ties over deeper European integration.[258] [259] This approach has been credited with stabilizing UK-US relations despite ideological differences, fostering pragmatic cooperation on security and economic fronts.[260]NATO commitments and European defence
Upon entering office in July 2024, Prime Minister Keir Starmer attended the NATO Summit in Washington, D.C., where he reaffirmed the United Kingdom's unwavering commitment to the alliance and emphasized the need for sustained collective defense against threats from Russia and other adversaries.[261] At the summit, the UK pledged £3 billion annually in military aid to Ukraine through 2030/31, underscoring Starmer's prioritization of NATO's eastern flank security.[262] This marked a continuation of pre-existing support but aligned with Labour's manifesto emphasis on alliance solidarity amid ongoing Russian aggression. In February 2025, Starmer announced plans to raise UK defence spending to 2.5% of GDP by April 2027, the largest sustained increase since the Cold War, funded partly by reductions in foreign aid budgets to address fiscal constraints while meeting NATO's 2% guideline and aspiring toward higher thresholds.[263] By June 2025, he committed to elevating overall national security expenditure—including defence—to 5% of GDP by 2035, broadening the scope beyond traditional military outlays to encompass cyber and hybrid threats, in line with evolving NATO targets.[264] These pledges were accompanied by a Strategic Defence Review launched in 2025 to modernize forces for a "new era of threat," focusing on readiness and interoperability within NATO frameworks.[265] Despite these ambitions, the Ministry of Defence faced projections of nearly £3 billion overspend in 2025, highlighting implementation challenges.[266] Regarding European defence, Starmer pursued enhanced post-Brexit cooperation, culminating in a UK-EU Security and Defence Partnership agreed in May 2025, which established biannual foreign and security policy dialogues to facilitate joint threat responses without compromising UK sovereignty or independent military action.[267] He welcomed EU initiatives in March 2025 to relax deficit rules and provide loans for continental military buildup, positioning the UK as a complementary leader leveraging its nuclear deterrent assigned to NATO.[268] A bilateral nuclear cooperation pact with France further integrated UK capabilities into European security architectures, reflecting pragmatic alignment amid uncertainties in transatlantic relations.[269] Critics questioned the pact's tangible benefits, arguing it risked entangling UK forces in EU mechanisms without reciprocal strategic gains.[270] Nonetheless, these efforts aimed to bolster collective European deterrence while prioritizing NATO as the primary venue for hard power coordination.[256]Ukraine conflict support and aid
Upon assuming office as Prime Minister on 5 July 2024, Keir Starmer maintained the United Kingdom's strong support for Ukraine against Russia's invasion, continuing and expanding prior commitments to military assistance. In January 2025, during a visit to Kyiv, Starmer signed the UK-Ukraine 100-Year Partnership Agreement on 16 January, pledging annual military aid of at least £3 billion until 2030/31 and "for as long as it takes" thereafter to bolster Ukraine's defense capabilities.[271][233] Starmer's government announced its largest-ever annual military aid package of £4.5 billion for 2025, including procurement of hundreds of air defense systems, first-person-view drones, and essential equipment. This encompassed a £1.6 billion missile deal unveiled on 3 March 2025 following a London summit of European leaders, and the dispatch of the first £752 million tranche of a £2.26 billion loan on 7 March 2025 specifically for Ukrainian military equipment procurement. Additionally, in June 2025, the UK allocated £70 million from interest on frozen Russian assets to fund 350 air defense missiles, enhancing protections against aerial attacks.[232][272][273] In February 2025, Starmer reaffirmed the UK's security commitments to Ukraine amid shifting U.S. policy signals, emphasizing sustained bilateral support. By October 2025, hosting the Coalition of the Willing summit in London on 24 October, Starmer pledged over 5,000 missiles, including more than 100 accelerated air defense missiles, and urged allies to utilize frozen Russian sovereign assets—potentially unlocking billions—to finance Ukraine's defense while imposing further sanctions to disrupt Russia's war funding. He described Vladimir Putin as "not serious about peace" and the sole party uninterested in ending the conflict, framing the coalition's efforts as essential to "choke off" Russia's war machine through enhanced long-range weapons provision and oil/gas market exclusion.[274][275] These measures occurred against a backdrop of Starmer's broader defense spending increase to 2.5% of GDP by 2027, funded partly by reductions in the overseas development aid budget from 0.5% of GNI, though military aid to Ukraine remained ring-fenced under defense allocations rather than affected by the aid cuts. Starmer's stance prioritized empirical assessments of Russian aggression's causal threats to European security, rejecting negotiations perceived as concessions without verifiable Ukrainian safeguards.[276][277]Middle East engagements including Gaza
As Leader of the Opposition, Keir Starmer initially emphasized Israel's right to self-defense following the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks, stating in a Sky News interview that Israel had the right to withhold power and water from Gaza amid security concerns, a position that drew significant backlash from pro-Palestine activists and prompted resignations from Labour frontbenchers. He resisted calls for an immediate ceasefire, arguing it would allow Hamas to regroup, instead advocating for humanitarian pauses to facilitate aid delivery. This stance contributed to internal party divisions, with over 50 Labour MPs defying a whip to support a Scottish National Party ceasefire motion in November 2023. Upon becoming Prime Minister in July 2024, Starmer shifted toward urging an "urgent" ceasefire in Gaza while maintaining support for Israel's defensive actions against Hamas, as conveyed in calls with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas. The UK government under Starmer suspended approximately 30 of 350 arms export licences to Israel on September 2, 2024, citing risks of their use breaching international humanitarian law in Gaza operations, though this measure excluded broader F-35 components and other ongoing exports, with some reports indicating continued or even record-high arms transfers in subsequent months. Starmer defended the partial suspension as a legal necessity rather than a policy reversal on Israel's self-defense rights. By July 2025, amid escalating Israeli operations, Starmer publicly criticized Israel's "disproportionate military escalation" in Gaza as "indefensible" and conditioned UK recognition of a Palestinian state on Israel agreeing to a ceasefire and related steps toward peace, framing statehood as an "inalienable right" for Palestinians within a two-state framework. On September 21, 2025, the UK formally recognized the State of Palestine, a decision Starmer presented as advancing a pathway to lasting peace alongside recognition of Israel, though it drew disagreement from figures like U.S. President Donald Trump during their September meeting. Starmer later attributed the recognition to facilitating a January 2025 Gaza ceasefire and subsequent peace efforts, including a October 2025 deal under Trump's plan. Starmer engaged directly with regional leaders, hosting a tense September 10, 2025, meeting with Israeli President Isaac Herzog at 10 Downing Street, where disagreements surfaced over Gaza aid, Palestinian statehood, and settlement policies. He met Abbas in London on September 8, 2025, ahead of the recognition announcement, discussing humanitarian access and reconstruction. In October 2025, Starmer visited Egypt for an international summit to advance a Gaza peace plan, welcoming the first phase of negotiations aimed at ceasefire implementation and hostage releases. These engagements reflected a UK policy prioritizing de-escalation, aid corridors, and multilateral diplomacy, though critics from pro-Israel perspectives, including U.S. envoy Mike Huckabee, accused Starmer of weakening alliances by prioritizing Palestinian concessions over Hamas accountability.China strategy and global trade
The Labour government under Prime Minister Keir Starmer adopted a China strategy framed around three principles: cooperation on global challenges, competition in economic domains, and challenge on issues such as human rights and security threats. This approach was outlined following a cross-government "China audit" completed in early 2025, which informed the UK's National Security Strategy, Modern Industrial Strategy, Trade Strategy, and Strategic Defence Review.[278][279] The audit emphasized China's role as both an economic partner and systemic rival, prioritizing British interests amid transnational repression, intellectual property theft, and military assertiveness.[280] Starmer's administration pursued enhanced economic ties with Beijing to attract foreign investment for infrastructure and green projects, including overtures for Chinese funding in renewable energy. In June 2025, the forthcoming Trade Strategy explicitly aimed to support British firms in accessing China's consumer market, reflecting Labour's pre-election emphasis on resetting relations strained under the prior Conservative government.[279] However, this engagement faced setbacks, such as China's October 2025 threat to withhold investments if the UK blocked a proposed wind turbine factory in Scotland, highlighting tensions over national security reviews of Chinese-linked projects.[281] Security frictions underscored criticisms of the strategy's balance. In October 2025, the government dropped espionage charges against two men accused of spying for China, citing insufficient evidence after prosecutors altered references to China as an "enemy state" based on prior policy guidance; Starmer denied appeasement and published witness statements to refute cover-up claims.[282][283] Cabinet ministers, including security hawks, urged rejecting a Chinese mega-embassy proposal near London's financial district over espionage risks, amid broader accusations that Labour had softened stances, such as retracting a commitment to label Uyghur repression as genocide ahead of potential visits.[244][284] Conservative and think-tank analysts, including from Hudson Institute, argued this reflected weakness against Beijing's impunity in hacking and theft, potentially prioritizing slim trade gains over threats documented in prior UK accusations of 2021-2022 electoral interference.[285][286] In parallel, Starmer's global trade policy sought to position the UK as the "most connected nation" post-Brexit, launching a comprehensive Trade Strategy on June 25, 2025, projected to unlock £5 billion for businesses through barrier reductions and supply chain resilience.[287][288] Amid U.S. President Trump's April 2025 tariff impositions, which Starmer described as ending the "world as we knew it" and shifting to a deals-based order, the UK pursued bilateral pacts, including a May 2025 U.S.-UK trade agreement granting American firms enhanced market access while vowing to shield UK exports.[289][290] The strategy also emphasized alliances with like-minded partners via CPTPP and efforts to lower barriers elsewhere, integrating China engagement as one vector among diversified ties to mitigate geopolitical risks.[291][292] Critics from business lobbies warned of implementation hurdles, but the framework aligned with "securonomics" by blending openness with safeguards against dumping and over-reliance on any single economy.[293]Ethical scandals and governance issues
In September 2024, Prime Minister Keir Starmer faced allegations of breaching parliamentary rules by failing to declare gifts of clothing valued at approximately £5,000 provided to his wife, Victoria Starmer, by Labour donor and peer Lord Waheed Alli; these items included designer outfits for official events, which Starmer initially omitted from the parliamentary register despite requirements to disclose interests exceeding £500 in value.[294] [295] Starmer subsequently declared the gifts retrospectively on 16 September 2024 and repaid over £6,000 for related clothing, accommodation, and hospitality, including tickets to sports events and concerts, amid public and opposition criticism that such acceptances undermined pledges of governmental integrity.[296] [297] Lord Alli, a media entrepreneur who has donated over £700,000 to Labour since 2020, faced a House of Lords standards investigation starting in October 2024 for allegedly failing to register his provision of these undeclared benefits, though no finding of impropriety against Starmer himself was issued by parliamentary authorities at that time.[298] Earlier, in August 2022, the Parliamentary Standards Commissioner ruled that Starmer had breached the MPs' Code of Conduct on eight occasions between 2021 and 2022 by late registration of interests, including donations for clothing, glasses, and event tickets totaling thousands of pounds, primarily from Labour supporters; the committee recommended no further sanction beyond remedial action, citing administrative oversights rather than intentional misconduct.[299] Similar issues extended to other Labour figures, with Chancellor Rachel Reeves accepting nearly £7,500 in clothing from a donor linked to Labour circles since 2023, prompting broader scrutiny of party funding practices.[300] In response to the "freebiegate" controversy, Starmer announced on 20 September 2024 that he would cease accepting personal donations for clothing, though critics, including transparency advocates, argued this did not address systemic gaps in donor transparency or potential influence peddling.[296] [301] Governance concerns escalated in September 2025 over the Labour Together funding scandal, where a resurfaced 2021 leaked email accused Starmer's chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney—former director of Labour Together—of concealing around £740,000 in undeclared donations from the Electoral Commission during an earlier investigation; these funds were funneled through the Labour Together organization to support Starmer's 2020 leadership bid and other party activities.[302] [303] Critics, primarily from the Conservative Party, alleged that these undeclared funds gave Starmer an unfair advantage in the leadership race and violated transparency rules, demanding investigations by the parliamentary standards commissioner and police, with some reports framing it as potentially Starmer's equivalent to "Partygate," the scandal that plagued Boris Johnson.[304] Opponents labeled it a "secret slush fund," though Labour maintained the funds were for secondments properly accounted for, with the Electoral Commission having investigated similar late reporting in 2021 without finding criminality and declining to reopen the case later that month.[305] [306] [307] A book titled The Fraud by journalist Paul Holden detailed the allegations, drawing criticism from Labour figures including Housing Secretary Steve Reed for allegedly whitewashing antisemitism issues under Jeremy Corbyn.[308] Starmer defended the arrangements as compliant but faced calls for an independent inquiry, highlighting tensions between campaign finance rules and donor proximity to power.[309] Starmer's November 2024 Ministerial Code introduced a new gift register and strengthened breach investigations, including provisions for civil servants to report ministerial misconduct directly to the Permanent Secretary; however, by June 2025, he drew criticism for not establishing a promised independent ethics watchdog, leading to accusations of weakened accountability, exemplified by the resignation of Transport Secretary Louise Haigh after her 2013 guilty plea to fraud came to light without formal code adjudication.[310] [311] [312] Additional allegations surfaced in 2025 of Starmer potentially breaching the code by delivering partisan remarks at a police headquarters during an election period, though no formal inquiry outcome was reported by October.[313] These episodes, while not resulting in legal convictions, fueled perceptions of governance lapses, with polling indicating public trust erosion on standards in public life.[314]Acceptance of gifts and donor influence allegations
In September 2024, Prime Minister Keir Starmer faced scrutiny over his acceptance of gifts and hospitality from Labour donor Lord Waheed Alli, totaling over £39,000 in disclosed items including work clothing (£16,200), spectacles (£2,485), accommodation during the election campaign (£20,437), and a donation to his private office (£6,000).[315][316] Additional revelations included £10,000 in clothing donations in October 2023 and £6,000 in February 2024, with a further £6,134 provided for clothing and personal support for Lady Victoria Starmer in June 2024.[317][315] Starmer initially failed to declare £5,000 in gifts for his wife's clothing from Alli, prompting allegations of breaching parliamentary declaration rules, though he later registered them retrospectively.[294] He also utilized Alli's London property for filming campaign videos without initially disclosing it as a benefit, which he described as "farcical" amid claims of undue donor access.[318] Overall, Starmer's declarations exceeded £100,000 in free tickets and gifts since 2019, including Arsenal football matches, Taylor Swift and Coldplay concerts, surpassing amounts accepted by previous party leaders.[319][316] Critics, including opposition figures, alleged potential donor influence due to Alli's close advisory role in Labour's campaign and access to Downing Street, though no direct evidence of policy sway has been substantiated.[320] Starmer defended the gifts as properly declared and necessary for public-facing roles, announcing on September 20, 2024, that he would cease accepting clothing donations while repaying over £6,000 in hospitality costs by October 3, 2024.[296][317] Reports in 2025 indicated continued acceptance of VIP Arsenal tickets post-scandal, valued at £3,000 for matches in April.[321] Calls for investigations into Alli's conduct and Starmer's compliance persisted, with the Lords' standards watchdog probing the peer separately, but parliamentary authorities cleared Starmer of major breaches after reviews.[322][317] The episode contributed to broader perceptions of ethical lapses in the early Starmer government, amplified by conservative-leaning outlets emphasizing cronyism, while left-leaning sources framed it as routine political practice.[323][315]Ministerial code breaches and inquiries
In November 2024, Prime Minister Keir Starmer published a revised Ministerial Code, which empowered the Independent Adviser on Ministerial Interests, Sir Laurie Magnus, to initiate investigations into potential breaches without requiring prior approval from the Prime Minister, marking a shift from previous administrations where such permission was necessary.[310] This update aimed to enhance accountability, though critics argued it fell short of Labour's pre-election pledges for a fully independent ethics and integrity watchdog to oversee standards across government.[312] One early test of the revised code occurred with Transport Secretary Louise Haigh, who resigned on 29 November 2024 after Downing Street advised her to step down over a possible breach stemming from her failure to disclose a spent 2013 conviction for fraud. Haigh had pleaded guilty to perverting the course of justice by using a company phone for 193 personal calls and texts, resulting in a £1,000 fine, but the conviction was considered spent under rehabilitation laws and not previously flagged during her vetting for ministerial office. The Ministerial Code's emphasis on "openness, honesty, and integrity" was cited as the basis for the potential violation, with No 10 determining that non-disclosure undermined public trust, despite Haigh's insistence that the matter was immaterial and resolved over a decade prior.[324][325] No formal investigation by the Independent Adviser was launched, as the resignation preempted it, but the episode highlighted tensions between minor historical infractions and the code's stringent disclosure requirements.[326] A more significant inquiry unfolded in 2025 involving Deputy Prime Minister and Housing Secretary Angela Rayner, who resigned on 5 September 2025 following a determination by Sir Laurie Magnus that she had breached the Ministerial Code. Rayner self-referred the matter after scrutiny over her 2010s property transactions, specifically her sale of a £800,000 flat in Hove where she allegedly underpaid £40,000 in stamp duty by claiming principal private residence relief on a property she did not fully occupy as her main home. Magnus concluded that Rayner failed to seek or adhere to appropriate tax advice as required for ministers, falling short of the "highest possible standards of proper conduct" outlined in the code, despite her having been cleared by Greater Manchester Police of any criminal wrongdoing in 2024.[327][328][329] The finding prompted her immediate departure from government roles, triggering a cabinet reshuffle and internal Labour recriminations, as Rayner had been a key ally to Starmer; she described the decision as "incredibly tough" but necessary to uphold standards.[330] These cases represented the first major applications of Starmer's updated code, resulting in swift resignations without prolonged scandals, in contrast to prior Conservative governments' handling of similar issues. However, the absence of broader structural reforms, such as an independent ethics body, drew accusations from transparency advocates that enforcement remained vulnerable to prime ministerial discretion, despite the adviser's enhanced autonomy.[331] No other ministerial resignations directly tied to code breaches were reported by October 2025, though the Independent Adviser's 2024-2025 annual report noted ongoing monitoring of potential interests conflicts across the government.[332]Public approval and political challenges
Keir Starmer's approval ratings as Prime Minister have declined sharply since Labour's July 2024 general election victory, reaching net figures of -40% in early October 2025 according to Focaldata polling and -44% per Opinium surveys conducted around the Labour Party conference.[333][334] Ipsos data from mid-October 2025 indicated only 13% satisfaction with his performance, the lowest recorded for any recent British prime minister in similar surveys.[335] These trends reflect broader voter dissatisfaction amid economic pressures, including persistent inflation and fiscal constraints, with Reform UK leading Labour in national voting intention polls throughout much of 2025.[336][337] By-elections have underscored these challenges, with Labour suffering a historic loss in the Caerphilly Welsh Parliament seat on October 24, 2025, finishing third with just 11% of the vote behind Plaid Cymru and Reform UK in a longstanding stronghold it had held for a century.[338][339] This defeat, Labour's first parliamentary loss in Caerphilly since 1928, was attributed to voter backlash over budget cuts and perceived disconnect from working-class concerns, exacerbating fears of further erosion in upcoming local elections.[340] Earlier in the year, the May 1, 2025, Runcorn and Helsby parliamentary by-election highlighted similar vulnerabilities, though specific seat outcomes contributed to Reform UK's growing national polling lead over Labour.[341] Internal party tensions have intensified, marked by rebellions against Starmer's fiscal policies, including a July 2025 parliamentary revolt over welfare cuts where dozens of Labour MPs defied the whip, forcing a narrow government victory of 335-260 that exposed leadership fragility.[191] In response, Starmer suspended four MPs on July 16, 2025, for repeated breaches of party discipline related to the austerity bill, a move critics argued alienated the left wing and risked long-term party cohesion amid ongoing economic austerity measures.[342][343] These actions fueled intra-party divisions, with backbench complaints over limited consultation on policy U-turns and budget decisions contributing to perceptions of top-down governance.[344] Leadership speculation has mounted accordingly, with Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham stoking discussions of a potential challenge in late September 2025 by calling for open debate on the party's direction, prompting Starmer to dismiss threats and emphasize economic focus.[345] By early October, insiders warned Starmer could face ouster by Christmas 2025 if polling and electoral setbacks persist, amid predictions from figures like Dominic Cummings of his removal within the next year due to Labour's collapsing support in traditional heartlands.[346][347] Despite a temporary rally from his September 2025 conference speech framing Labour's fight against Reform UK, sustained low approval and by-election humiliations have heightened scrutiny of his viability through to the 2029 election.[348][349]Polling trends and by-election losses
Following the Labour Party's landslide victory in the July 2024 general election, which secured 411 seats and a 174-seat majority, opinion polls indicated a swift erosion of public support for Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his government. By September 2025, Labour's voting intention had fallen to 25% in an Ipsos poll, marking the party's lowest share since October 2019 and reflecting a net approval rating for Starmer of -44%. YouGov surveys in August and October 2025 similarly recorded Starmer's favourability at a net -44, with little improvement post-party conference season, positioning his ratings among the lowest globally for incumbent leaders a year into their term. Reform UK, under Nigel Farage, extended its lead over Labour in some polls by October 2025, gaining voter share amid dissatisfaction with economic policies and immigration concerns.[350][351][352][147][353][354] This polling downturn coincided with notable by-election defeats, underscoring vulnerabilities in traditional Labour strongholds. In the Caerphilly by-election on October 23, 2025, Labour finished third behind Reform UK and Plaid Cymru, losing a seat it had held for over a century in the former mining town; the result represented the party's first defeat there since 1900 and was attributed to voter concerns over the economy and immigration. Earlier, in the Runcorn and Helsby by-election in early 2024 (pre-government but under Starmer's leadership), Reform UK captured the seat from Labour with a significant swing, signaling rising competition from the right. These losses, amid a stable but diminished parliamentary majority, highlighted challenges in retaining working-class support in deindustrialized areas.[338][355][356]| By-Election | Date | Result | Swing from Labour |
|---|---|---|---|
| Runcorn and Helsby | July 2024 (post-general election context) | Reform UK gain from Labour | ~20% to Reform |
| Caerphilly | October 23, 2025 | Reform UK second; Labour third | Labour vote share drop leading to historic loss[338][355] |
Intra-party revolts and leadership speculation
In the first year of Starmer's premiership, Labour MPs mounted significant rebellions against government policies perceived as austerity measures. In September 2024, dozens of Labour backbenchers defied the whip by supporting a Conservative motion to reverse cuts to the winter fuel allowance for pensioners, though only one MP formally voted against the government, marking the largest early revolt; the policy also inspired the satirical charity single 'Freezing This Christmas' by 'Sir Starmer and the Granny Harmers', which topped iTunes sales and downloads charts and entered the UK Christmas Top 40, reflecting public discontent.[357][342] Pressure from these and subsequent internal dissent forced a partial U-turn in May 2025, restoring eligibility for some pensioners earning under £12,570 annually.[358] Rebellions intensified over welfare reforms. In June 2025, 47 Labour MPs opposed the government's flagship benefits bill, which aimed to cut £5 billion from disability and sickness payments, compelling ministers to dilute provisions on reassessments and sanctions.[359] [360] Four MPs, including prominent left-wing figures, were suspended from the party whip for six months as punishment.[342] [343] Earlier, seven MPs had lost the whip in 2024 for voting against maintaining the two-child benefit cap, with two having it restored in September 2025 amid ongoing factional tensions.[361] [362] These revolts fueled leadership speculation by autumn 2025, exacerbated by Angela Rayner's resignation as deputy leader on 5 September, triggering a party election. Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham publicly urged open debate on party direction, stoking talk of a challenge to Starmer and positioning himself as a potential alternative, with polls in late September showing public preference for Burnham as prime minister.[363] [364] Starmer dismissed such threats, emphasizing economic stability, but insiders warned of his potential removal by Christmas amid plummeting approval ratings and by-election pressures, with a YouGov poll in October 2025 showing Labour's support at a record low of 17% and internal polling indicating half of 2024 Labour voters had defected, many to Reform UK and the Green Party.[345] [346] [365] [366] External commentators, including Dominic Cummings, predicted Starmer's ousting within a year, citing governance failures.[347] Despite a rallying conference speech in early October, persistent backbench discontent over fiscal restraint highlighted vulnerabilities in Starmer's authority.[348]Political ideology and positions
Shift from Corbynism to centrism
Keir Starmer was elected Leader of the Labour Party on 4 April 2020, succeeding Jeremy Corbyn after the party's worst general election defeat since 1935 in December 2019. During his leadership campaign, Starmer issued ten pledges that included commitments to increase taxes on the top 5% of earners, introduce common ownership of rail, mail, energy, and water, and support a green new deal and public investment, positions that aligned in part with Corbyn's left-wing agenda.[367][368] Following his election, Starmer began repositioning Labour toward the political center to broaden electoral appeal. He abandoned several campaign pledges, including abolishing university tuition fees, nationalizing energy companies, raising the minimum wage to £10 immediately and £15 by 2030, and scrapping the two-child benefit cap. By September 2021, at Labour's annual conference, Starmer explicitly signaled a break from Corbyn-era policies, emphasizing competence, patriotism, and acceptance of the Brexit referendum result rather than advocating a second vote.[369][367][368] Starmer consolidated power by reforming party structures, such as expanding the National Executive Committee's influence under his allies and tightening disciplinary processes, which facilitated the suspension or deselection of left-wing members associated with Corbynism. This included blocking candidates like Faiza Shaheen from standing in safe seats in 2024 due to alleged social media infractions and barring Diane Abbott pending investigation into antisemitism-related comments. In July 2024, shortly after becoming Prime Minister, he suspended seven MPs who rebelled against the government's welfare bill, further sidelining dissent from the party's left.[370][371][372] These changes marked a deliberate pivot to centrism, prioritizing fiscal responsibility—such as adhering to strict borrowing rules—and pragmatic policies over ideological commitments, which critics from the left described as a rightward shift but which Starmer defended as adaptations necessitated by economic realities and the need to win power. The strategy contributed to Labour's landslide victory on 4 July 2024, securing 412 seats amid widespread dissatisfaction with the Conservatives, though it alienated elements of the Corbynite base.[373][374][375]Key policy stances and U-turns
During his 2020 Labour leadership campaign, Starmer issued ten pledges that included commitments to public ownership of key utilities such as rail, mail, and energy; scrapping university tuition fees; raising the minimum wage to £15 per hour as a "real living wage"; increasing income tax for top earners; and opposing illegal immigration while defending migrants' rights.[367][376] By 2022, amid preparations for the 2024 general election, Labour under Starmer explicitly dropped several of these, including immediate nationalizations beyond rail (to occur only as contracts expire), the £15 minimum wage target, and tuition fee abolition, citing fiscal constraints and the need for economic credibility.[377][378] The 2024 Labour manifesto reflected this centrist pivot, emphasizing "stability" and targeted investments over expansive renationalizations or tax hikes on earners below £50,000 annually, a shift critics from Labour's left attributed to prioritizing electability over ideological consistency.[108][110] Post-election in July 2024, Starmer's government enacted policies diverging from campaign rhetoric, prompting accusations of further reversals. On taxation, the manifesto pledged no rises in income tax, National Insurance (NI), or VAT for "working people," yet the October 2024 budget under Chancellor Rachel Reeves increased employer NI contributions by 1.2 percentage points to 15% on salaries above £5,000, projected to raise £25 billion annually, which opponents argued indirectly burdened employees through suppressed wages and hiring.[108][379] On green investment, Starmer had campaigned on a £28 billion annual "green prosperity plan" including home insulation and clean energy, but this was scaled back pre-election to £8.3 billion and further adjusted in government to prioritize nuclear and carbon capture amid fiscal pressures.[380] Notable U-turns emerged in 2025 amid intra-party and public backlash:- Welfare and benefits reforms: In early 2025, the government proposed tightening eligibility for working-age health-related benefits, aiming to curb spending that had risen from £36 billion in 2019 to £52 billion in 2024, but Starmer reversed course in June 2025 following a parliamentary rebellion, committing £5 billion to soften the bill's impact and avert defeat.[190][192]
- Winter fuel payments: Despite manifesto silence, the government ended universal payments for 10 million pensioners in 2024, restricting them to means-tested benefits recipients, saving £1.5 billion annually but drawing criticism for increasing poverty risks among low-income elderly not qualifying for Pension Credit.[381]
- Public sector pay: Starmer pledged to protect the independence of the independent pay review bodies, yet the government overrode recommendations in 2024-2025 for nurses and teachers, imposing lower increases to control a £22 billion fiscal "black hole" inherited from the prior administration.[378]