Lebanon
Lebanon, officially the Lebanese Republic, is a parliamentary republic in the Levant region of the Middle East, located along the eastern Mediterranean coast and bordered by Syria to the north and east and Israel to the south.[1] With a land area of 10,452 square kilometers and a population estimated at 5.3 million as of 2023, primarily ethnic Arabs, the country features a Mediterranean climate, narrow coastal plains, and the Lebanon and Anti-Lebanon mountain ranges, including the fertile Bekaa Valley.[1] Arabic is the official language, and Beirut serves as the capital and economic hub.[1][2] Lebanon's political system is defined by confessionalism, a power-sharing arrangement established in the 1943 National Pact that allocates key offices by religious sect—such as the presidency to Christian Catholic Maronites, prime ministership to Sunnis, and speakership to Shiites—among its 18 recognized communities, where Muslims constitute about 67% (split between Sunni, Shia, and others), Christians 32%, and Druze 5%, though exact figures remain uncertain due to the last census in 1932.[3][1] This system, intended to foster stability, has instead perpetuated sectarian patronage, gridlock, and vulnerability to external interference, notably from Hezbollah, a Iran-backed Shia Islamist militia and political party that maintains a parallel state apparatus, including an arsenal exceeding that of the Lebanese Armed Forces and involvement in transnational conflicts.[4][3] Independent since 1943 after French mandate rule, Lebanon experienced a post-World War II boom as a regional banking and tourism center, but descended into a 15-year civil war (1975–1990) fueled by sectarian militias, Palestinian factions, and foreign interventions, leaving over 120,000 dead and infrastructure in ruins.[1] Subsequent Syrian occupation until 2005, Syrian withdrawal amid the Cedar Revolution, and recurring crises—including the 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war, 2019–present economic meltdown with GDP contracting 38% amid banking collapse and hyperinflation, and Hezbollah's dominance—have entrenched corruption, elite capture, and state fragility, rendering it one of the world's most failed economies despite natural gas potential and remittances.[5][3][6]Etymology
Origins of the name
The name "Lebanon" derives from the Semitic root l-b-n, meaning "white," alluding to the perpetual snow cover on the peaks of Mount Lebanon, which rise to elevations exceeding 3,000 meters.[1][7] This linguistic origin reflects the region's prominent geographical feature, visible from surrounding areas and central to ancient perceptions of the territory's identity. The term appears in ancient records as early as the 15th century BCE, including Akkadian transliterations like labnanu in Egyptian diplomatic texts such as the Amarna letters, where it designates the cedar-rich highlands rather than a political entity.[8] In the Hebrew Bible, "Lebanon" (Levanon in Hebrew) is referenced over 70 times, frequently linked to its cedars (erez Levanon), prized for construction in temples and palaces, as in 1 Kings 5:6 where Solomon requests them from Hiram of Tyre.[7][9] Classical Greek sources rendered it as Libanos, preserving the root while sometimes associating it with fragrant resins traded from the area.[10] Through successive empires, the name evolved phonetically but retained its core form: in Arabic as Lubnān during the Islamic conquests from the 7th century CE onward, and later adopted in French as Liban for the Mandate territory established in 1920 as the État du Grand Liban, which formalized modern boundaries encompassing historic Mount Lebanon.[1][11] This continuity underscores the enduring association with the mountain range, distinct from broader Levantine nomenclature.History
Ancient and classical periods
The coastal region of modern Lebanon hosted the Phoenician city-states of Byblos, Sidon, and Tyre, which emerged as independent maritime powers around 1200 BCE following the Late Bronze Age collapse.[12] These polities, centered on natural harbors, dominated Mediterranean trade through advanced shipbuilding and navigation, exporting cedar timber from Lebanon's mountains to Egypt and Mesopotamia in exchange for grain, metals, and luxury goods.[13] Byblos, with archaeological layers dating to 5000 BCE, served as an early hub for Egyptian-Phoenician exchanges, evidenced by inscribed sarcophagi and temple remains.[14] Phoenician innovations included the development of a 22-letter alphabetic script around 1050 BCE, simplifying writing from prior cuneiform systems and influencing later Greek and Latin alphabets.[12] They produced Tyrian purple dye from murex sea snails, a labor-intensive process yielding a vibrant color prized by elites across the Near East and Mediterranean, with Tyre as the primary center.[15] Colonies like Carthage, founded by Tyrian settlers circa 814 BCE, extended their commercial network westward, facilitating the spread of goods and cultural exchanges.[16] In 539 BCE, Cyrus the Great of Persia conquered Phoenicia, integrating its city-kings as vassals who provided naval support for Achaemenid campaigns while retaining local autonomy.[17] Alexander the Great subdued the region in 332 BCE after besieging Tyre for seven months, incorporating its fleet into his forces following the Battle of Issus in 333 BCE.[18] The ensuing Hellenistic era saw contested control between the Seleucid Empire and Ptolemaic Egypt during the Syrian Wars (274–168 BCE), with Phoenicia's coastal cities shifting hands amid dynastic rivalries over Coele-Syria.[19] Roman general Pompey annexed Phoenicia in 64 BCE, organizing it as part of the province of Syria and fostering urban development, including the transformation of Baalbek into Heliopolis with colossal temples to Jupiter, Venus, and Bacchus constructed from local stone between 16 BCE and 60 CE.[20] This period featured cultural syncretism, blending Phoenician deities with Roman equivalents, supported by archaeological evidence of theaters, hippodromes, and aqueducts at sites like Tyre and Baalbek.[21] Lebanon's cedar forests continued as a key resource, with timber used in Roman shipbuilding and construction, underscoring the region's economic continuity from Phoenician times.[22]Medieval and Ottoman eras
The Arab conquest of Lebanon occurred during the Muslim expansion into the Levant between 634 and 638 CE, following the Rashidun Caliphate's victories over Byzantine forces, with Arab tribes settling among the indigenous populations in southern Lebanon after the fall of Syria.[23][24] Under Umayyad rule from 661 to 750 CE, Lebanon was administered as part of the Syrian province, with Damascus as the capital, though local governance remained fragmented among feudal lords.[25] The subsequent Abbasid Caliphate (750–1258 CE) treated Lebanon as a conquered territory, imposing harsh taxation that sparked revolts, while Byzantine-Fatimid conflicts in the 10th–11th centuries further destabilized the region, exacerbating sectarian divisions between Muslim rulers and Christian communities in Mount Lebanon.[26][25] The First Crusade led to the establishment of the County of Tripoli in 1102 CE, encompassing northern Lebanon and the coast around modern Tripoli, as the last major Crusader state founded by Raymond IV of Toulouse, relying on alliances with local Maronites amid constant warfare with Muslim forces.[27] This feudal entity persisted until the Mamluk Sultanate's reconquest, with Tripoli falling to Sultan Qalawun in 1289 CE after a prolonged siege, followed by the complete expulsion of Crusaders from the Levant by 1291 CE, leaving behind fortified ruins and deepened communal mistrust.[28][29] Ottoman suzerainty over Lebanon began with Sultan Selim I's conquest in 1516 CE, incorporating the region into the Damascus Eyalet with nominal central control, but allowing semi-autonomous feudal arrangements under local emirs, particularly the Druze Ma'an and Shihab dynasties in Mount Lebanon.[30] Sectarian power balances emerged, with Druze emirs dominating southern Mount Lebanon and Maronites holding northern strongholds, fostering a fragmented feudal system where muqata'aji (tax-farming lords) vied for Ottoman favor amid recurring Druze-Maronite clashes.[31] The economy stagnated under heavy taxation and corruption, though silk production from mulberry cultivation became a key export by the 18th century, employing peasants in Mount Lebanon and tying local elites to European markets via Beirut.[32][33] Civil strife intensified in the 19th century, culminating in the 1860 Druze-Maronite conflict, where Druze militias massacred up to 20,000 Maronites in Mount Lebanon amid economic disputes over land and feudal privileges, prompting European intervention and Ottoman reforms.[34] This violence exposed the fragility of sectarian equilibria, leading to the establishment of the semi-autonomous Mutasarrifate of Mount Lebanon in 1861 CE under direct Ottoman governor Daud Pasha, with European oversight to curb feudalism and promote administrative councils balancing confessional representation.[35] Despite these measures, underlying economic dependencies on silk—peaking at over 60% of exports by 1910—masked persistent governance failures and communal tensions until World War I.[33][32]French Mandate and independence
Following the Ottoman Empire's defeat in World War I, the 1920 San Remo Conference assigned France administrative control over former Ottoman territories in Syria and Lebanon under a League of Nations mandate formalized in 1923.[36] On September 1, 1920, French General Henri Gouraud proclaimed the State of Greater Lebanon, detaching coastal cities like Beirut, the Bekaa Valley, and southern regions from Syria to augment the autonomous Mount Lebanon, thereby creating a territory with a fragile Christian plurality designed to favor Maronite interests while incorporating Muslim-majority areas that bred long-term demographic and sectarian tensions.[37] This artificial state formation exemplified French divide-and-rule tactics, prioritizing colonial stability over organic national cohesion and institutionalizing confessional divisions inherited from Ottoman millet systems by granting disproportionate representation to Christians based on manipulated boundaries.[38] French administration introduced a 1926 constitution establishing a parliamentary republic under tight colonial oversight, with a census in 1932—Lebanon's last official one—recording Christians at 51% of the population, a figure that locked in sectarian power-sharing ratios despite excluding many Muslims in annexed regions who resisted integration.[39] Resistance to French rule manifested in sporadic unrest, including protests against treaty proposals in the 1930s and heightened during World War II when Vichy French control from 1940 prompted a 1941 Allied invasion by British and Free French forces, accelerating demands for autonomy amid shifting wartime allegiances.[40] The mandate's confessional framework, while providing short-term elite accommodations, sowed seeds of clientelism by tying political power to religious identities rather than merit or citizenship, fostering dependency on sectarian patronage networks.[41] In 1943, as Allied pressures mounted, President Bechara El Khoury and Prime Minister Riad al-Solh forged the unwritten National Pact, apportioning key offices by sect—presidency to Maronites, premiership to Sunnis, speakership to Shiites—while affirming Lebanon's Arab character without merger into Syria, a compromise that entrenched confessionalism as the basis for governance despite its rigidity against demographic shifts.[41] France's attempt to dissolve the elected government by arresting leaders in November 1943 backfired amid nationwide strikes and international outcry, leading to their release and formal recognition of independence on November 22, 1943, though French troops lingered until 1946.[40] Post-independence, under Khoury's presidency (1943–1952) and Camille Chamoun's (1952–1958), Lebanon enjoyed relative stability, leveraging remittances from a diaspora exceeding 200,000 emigrants and positioning Beirut as a regional banking hub through liberal policies, yet the pact's sectarian allocations perpetuated elite rivalries and vulnerability to external interference.[42] This foundational confessionalism, imposed and then indigenized, prioritized communal balance over unified state-building, laying groundwork for future instability as population growth favored Muslims without electoral reform.[38]Civil War era (1975–1990)
The Lebanese Civil War erupted on April 13, 1975, following the Ain el-Rummaneh bus massacre, in which Phalangist militiamen ambushed a bus carrying Palestinian civilians in a Christian-majority Beirut suburb, killing 27 passengers and wounding 19 others.[43] This incident, retaliatory in nature amid escalating tensions from Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) cross-border attacks on Israel launched from southern Lebanese bases—permitted under the 1969 Cairo Agreement allowing PLO operations in refugee camps—ignited citywide clashes between Christian militias aligned with the government and alliances of Muslim, leftist, and Palestinian groups.[44] The PLO's relocation to Lebanon after its expulsion from Jordan during Black September in 1970 had intensified these provocations, transforming southern Lebanon into a launchpad for fedayeen raids that drew Israeli reprisals and destabilized the confessional balance.[45] Factional lines solidified along sectarian divides, with Maronite Christian groups like the Phalange Party and later the Lebanese Forces defending the 1943 National Pact's power-sharing formula against the Lebanese National Movement (LNM)—a coalition of Sunni Muslims, Druze, Shiites via Amal, and leftist parties—bolstered by PLO fighters seeking to overhaul the system toward greater Muslim representation amid demographic shifts.[45] Early battles, including the siege of Palestinian camps and retaliatory killings on Black Saturday (December 6, 1975), devolved into a cycle of militia atrocities, with both sides committing massacres such as the PLO-linked killings in Damour and Phalangist reprisals, fracturing Beirut along the Green Line into Christian east and Muslim west enclaves.[46] Syrian forces intervened in June 1976, deploying up to 40,000 troops ostensibly to restore order but primarily to curb the PLO-LNM advance and secure Damascus's influence, halting the radicals' momentum while shifting the war's dynamics.[47] Foreign incursions compounded the chaos: Israel launched Operation Litani on March 14, 1978, invading southern Lebanon with 25,000 troops up to the Litani River in response to the PLO's Coastal Road massacre that killed 38 Israeli civilians, establishing a buffer zone patrolled by the South Lebanon Army proxy. The 1982 Israeli invasion, dubbed Operation Peace for Galilee, advanced to Beirut to dismantle PLO infrastructure after intensified rocket attacks, besieging the capital and facilitating the evacuation of 14,000 fighters under international supervision.[48] Amid this, on September 16–18, 1982, Phalangist militias, allied with Israel, entered the Sabra and Shatila refugee camps, massacring between 700 and 3,500 Palestinian civilians and prisoners in revenge for prior PLO atrocities like the 1976 Damour killings, with Israeli forces illuminating the area and blocking exits but not halting the three-day slaughter.[48] Iranian Revolutionary Guards simultaneously aided the formation of Hezbollah among Shiite militants, introducing asymmetric warfare against Israeli positions. Militia entrenchment led to pervasive atrocities, including indiscriminate bombings, kidnappings, and forced displacements, with over 150,000 deaths and 17% of the population fleeing by 1990; economic devastation ensued, as real GDP contracted by approximately 60% from pre-war levels, infrastructure crumbled under sabotage, and hyperinflation eroded the lira's value amid disrupted trade and capital flight.[49] [50] The Taif Accord, signed in October 1989 by Lebanese parliamentarians in Saudi Arabia, ended major hostilities by equalizing Christian and Muslim parliamentary seats in an expanded 108-member assembly, reducing the president's powers, and mandating militia disarmament under Syrian oversight—reforms that curbed but did not abolish confessionalism, effectively legitimizing former warlords as political actors while entrenching Syrian tutelage until 2005.[51] [52]Post-war reconstruction and Syrian influence
Following the Taif Agreement of October 1989, which formally ended the Lebanese Civil War, reconstruction efforts centered on revitalizing Beirut's war-ravaged infrastructure under Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, who assumed office in October 1992.[51] Hariri established Solidere in 1994 to redevelop the Beirut Central District, projecting annual expenditures of $1 billion over five years, with Hariri as the major shareholder.[53] This initiative spurred real GDP growth averaging 6-8% annually from 1993 to 1996, driven by private capital inflows and infrastructure projects like road networks and hotels.[54] However, financing relied heavily on domestic borrowing, elevating public debt from 99.8% of GDP in 1990 to over 140% by 2000, with much of the proceeds captured by political elites through contracts and real estate speculation rather than broad economic diversification.[55][56] Syrian forces, numbering around 40,000 at the time of Taif, retained de facto control over Lebanese politics and security, legitimized by the accord's provisions for Syrian "assistance" in stabilizing the country and redeploying troops only after two years—a timeline repeatedly extended.[51][57] Syria's hegemony manifested in veto power over cabinet appointments, electoral laws favoring pro-Syrian factions, and extraction of economic rents, including from reconstruction contracts, which undermined Lebanon's sovereignty and perpetuated confessional patronage networks.[58] This occupation, spanning from 1976 to 2005, prioritized Damascus's strategic interests, such as buffering Israel, over Lebanese state-building, allowing parallel power structures to erode central authority.[59] Hezbollah, formed in 1982 amid Israel's invasion and backed primarily by Iran through funding, training, and arms, operated under Syrian oversight in the post-war period, acquiescing to Damascus's dominance to maintain its southern "resistance" against Israel.[60] While Hezbollah framed its militia as a national defense force, its unchecked growth—tolerated by Syria to counterbalance other factions—created a state-within-a-state, diverting resources from the Lebanese Armed Forces and complicating reconstruction by prioritizing ideological militancy over institutional reform.[61] Syrian intelligence coordinated with Hezbollah's apparatus, embedding networks that extended Syrian influence beyond formal military presence.[62] Tensions escalated in the early 2000s as Hariri pushed for economic autonomy, prompting UN Security Council Resolution 1559 on September 2, 2004, which demanded the withdrawal of all foreign forces from Lebanon and the disbanding of non-state militias, including Hezbollah.[63] Syria completed its troop pullout by April 26, 2005, under international pressure, ending nearly 30 years of overt occupation.[64] Yet, Syrian-aligned intelligence operatives and proxies persisted in Lebanese security services and political spheres, sustaining informal leverage despite the formal exit.[65] This partial disengagement failed to dismantle entrenched networks, leaving Lebanon's sovereignty compromised and reconstruction gains vulnerable to external manipulation.[66]Cedar Revolution and 2006 Lebanon War
The assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri on February 14, 2005, by a car bomb that also killed 20 others, triggered widespread protests in Lebanon demanding an end to Syrian influence.[67] These demonstrations, known as the Cedar Revolution, drew hundreds of thousands to Beirut's Martyrs' Square, leading to the resignation of Prime Minister Omar Karami and international pressure on Syria.[68] Under mounting scrutiny, including from the United Nations, Syrian forces completed their withdrawal from Lebanon by April 26, 2005, ending nearly three decades of military presence.[69] Parliamentary elections in May and June 2005 resulted in a majority for anti-Syrian factions, paving the way for Fuad Siniora to form a government on July 19, 2005, focused on reform and sovereignty restoration.[70] Tensions escalated on July 12, 2006, when Hezbollah militants, using rocket fire on northern Israeli towns as a diversion, crossed the border into Israel, ambushed an IDF patrol, killed three soldiers, and captured two others.[71] This unprovoked raid prompted Israel's declaration of war, initiating a 34-day conflict involving extensive airstrikes on Hezbollah targets, ground incursions into southern Lebanon, and Hezbollah rocket barrages into Israel.[72] The war caused approximately 1,200 Lebanese deaths, predominantly civilians, and devastated infrastructure in southern Lebanon, including roads, bridges, and homes, while displacing nearly one million people.[73] Israeli casualties totaled 165, including 119 soldiers and 44 civilians.[74] United Nations Security Council Resolution 1701, adopted on August 11, 2006, and effective August 14, called for a full cessation of hostilities, the withdrawal of Israeli forces, the deployment of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) and an enhanced UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) south of the Litani River, and the disarmament or withdrawal of non-state armed groups like Hezbollah from that area to prevent future attacks.[75] Israel complied by withdrawing its troops, but Hezbollah defied the resolution by maintaining a presence south of the Litani, rearming with advanced weaponry smuggled via Syria and Iran, and continuing to build fortifications, which undermined Lebanon's sovereignty and exposed the state to repeated risks.[76] The conflict inflicted severe economic costs on Lebanon, estimated at $3-5 billion in direct damages to infrastructure and lost economic output, including a sharp decline in tourism revenue and disruptions to agriculture and trade.[77] Reconstruction efforts strained the Siniora government's resources, highlighting Hezbollah's role in provoking a war that disproportionately burdened the Lebanese state and civilians without commensurate benefits, as the group's arsenal grew stronger post-conflict despite international mandates.[78]Instability and coalitions (2008–2018)
In May 2008, sectarian clashes erupted in Beirut after the US-backed government attempted to dismantle Hezbollah's private telecommunications network, prompting Hezbollah fighters to seize control of Sunni-dominated West Beirut neighborhoods in a rapid show of force that resulted in over 60 deaths and displaced thousands.[79][80] The fighting, pitting Hezbollah and its allies against supporters of the Future Movement and other March 14 coalition factions, highlighted the militia's military superiority over state forces and pro-government militias.[81] These events culminated in the Doha Agreement on May 21, 2008, brokered by Arab League mediators, which installed army chief Michel Suleiman as president, formed a national unity government allocating Hezbollah and allies a blocking third-plus-one veto in the cabinet, and permitted the group to retain its weapons independently of state control.[82][83] This accord entrenched Hezbollah's de facto veto power over major decisions, as no government could function without its consent, fostering chronic instability between the pro-Western March 14 alliance and the Iran-Syria-aligned March 8 coalition.[84] The 2011 indictment by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) of four Hezbollah operatives—Salim Jamil Ayyash, Mustafa Amine Badreddine, Hussein Hassan Oneissi, and Assad Hassan Sabra—for the 2005 assassination of former Prime Minister Rafiq al-Hariri and 22 others intensified gridlock, as Hezbollah denounced the UN-backed tribunal and leveraged its veto to topple cabinets refusing to defund it.[85][86] Parallel to these political fractures, the Syrian civil war from 2011 triggered an influx of approximately 1.5 million Syrian refugees into Lebanon by 2014, equivalent to nearly 25% of the resident population, overwhelming infrastructure, public services, and the labor market without formal camps or comprehensive integration policies.[87][88] Lebanon's confessional system exacerbated strains, with Sunni and Shia communities divided over refugee aid and spillover violence, while Hezbollah's cross-border involvement in Syria further polarized coalitions and diverted resources from domestic governance.[89] A 29-month presidential vacancy from May 2014 to October 2016 underscored confessional paralysis, resolved only when Michel Aoun, in alliance with Hezbollah since 2006, secured endorsement from Saad al-Hariri and won election on October 31, 2016, solidifying the militia's influence over Christian politics.[90][91] The 2017 electoral law shifted to proportional representation across 15 multimember districts but drew criticism for gerrymandered boundaries favoring incumbents and sectarian lists, enabling the 2018 elections to yield a fragile March 8-March 14 consensus government under Hariri.[92][93] Amid this, annual GDP growth stagnated at 1-2% on average from 2009-2018, hampered by political deadlock and Hezbollah's obstruction of reforms, while Transparency International's Corruption Perceptions Index score held at around 28 points, with Lebanon's global rank deteriorating from 78th in 2008 to 138th in 2018 due to entrenched patronage.[94][95] Hezbollah's veto consistently blocked anti-corruption measures and fiscal consolidation, prioritizing its arsenal and regional priorities over national stability.[96]Economic collapse, protests, and port explosion (2019–2022)
In late 2019, Lebanon faced a severe liquidity crisis stemming from decades of fiscal mismanagement, including unsustainable public debt exceeding 150% of GDP and a banking sector reliant on Ponzi-like schemes where deposits funded government deficits and subsidies. Banks imposed informal capital controls in August 2019, restricting access to foreign currency deposits and effectively imposing "haircuts" on savers' funds, as institutions lacked sufficient reserves to honor withdrawals.[97][98] The Lebanese pound (LBP) devalued by over 90% against the US dollar on the black market by 2022, from an official peg of 1,507 LBP per USD to rates exceeding 30,000 LBP per USD, fueling hyperinflation that peaked at around 200% annually in food and essentials.[99] Negotiations for an International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout, which required banking reforms, subsidy cuts, and fiscal restructuring, repeatedly failed due to political resistance from entrenched elites unwilling to cede control or address Hezbollah's parallel economy and expenditures.[100][5] The crisis ignited widespread protests known as the October Revolution, beginning on October 17, 2019, initially sparked by a proposed tax on WhatsApp calls amid cash shortages but rapidly expanding into demands for an end to systemic corruption, sectarian power-sharing that entrenched family-based elites (zu'ama), and the dissolution of the political class. Demonstrators, crossing sectarian lines, occupied squares in Beirut and other cities, chanting against the "ruling mafia" and calling for accountability over embezzlement and nepotism that had hollowed out state institutions.[101][102] Prime Minister Saad Hariri resigned on October 29, 2019, under pressure, but subsequent governments retained the same sectarian figures, rejecting non-partisan technocratic cabinets favored by protesters; security forces responded with tear gas, rubber bullets, and live ammunition, injuring hundreds and killing several, while elite-linked thugs attacked encampments.[102] On August 4, 2020, a massive explosion at Beirut's port killed at least 218 people, injured over 7,000, and devastated the city center, caused by the detonation of 2,750 metric tons of ammonium nitrate that had been confiscated from a ship in 2013 and stored unsafely in Warehouse 12 despite repeated warnings from customs officials, judges, and port authorities about fire risks and relocation needs ignored by multiple governments.[103] The blast, equivalent to hundreds of tons of TNT, exposed profound governmental negligence and corruption, as senior officials including security chiefs and ministers failed to act on documented risks spanning six years.[103] Caretaker Prime Minister Hassan Diab and several ex-ministers faced charges of negligence, but political interference stalled investigations, with no high-level prosecutions by 2022, further eroding public trust.[104] The overlapping COVID-19 pandemic intensified the collapse, as lockdowns and subsidy collapses on fuel and medicine—coupled with dollar shortages—drove monetary poverty from 28% in 2019 to over 55% by mid-2020, with multidimensional poverty affecting more than 80% of the population by 2022 through deprivations in health, education, and living standards.[105][106] Unemployment doubled to nearly 30%, and basic services like electricity (limited to one hour daily in some areas) and water faltered, attributing the depth of deprivation primarily to pre-existing elite capture rather than external shocks alone.[5][107]Escalation with Israel and 2024 war
Hezbollah commenced near-daily cross-border attacks on northern Israel starting October 8, 2023, firing rockets, anti-tank missiles, and drones in declared solidarity with Hamas following the latter's October 7 assault on Israel, thereby violating the 2006 UN Security Council Resolution 1701 that mandates demilitarization south of the Litani River.[108] [109] These operations, totaling over 1,900 launches by Hezbollah through September 2024, killed at least 50 civilians and 40 soldiers in Israel while displacing roughly 63,000 residents from border communities unable to return home. [110] Israel retaliated with targeted airstrikes on Hezbollah launch sites, command centers, and weapon depots in southern Lebanon, inflicting heavy losses on the militia, including an estimated 4,000 fighters killed and thousands injured by late 2024, alongside the destruction of underground infrastructure and radar systems.[110] The exchanges escalated sharply in September 2024 when Israel executed a covert operation detonating explosives embedded in pagers and walkie-talkies procured by Hezbollah, causing simultaneous blasts on September 17 and 18 that killed at least 42 people—mostly militants—and wounded over 3,000 across Lebanon and Syria.[111] [112] On September 27, Israeli forces struck Hezbollah's central headquarters in Beirut's southern suburbs, assassinating secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah along with several senior commanders in a precision airstrike involving over 80 munitions.[113] This decapitation strike prompted intensified Hezbollah barrages but degraded its command structure, leading Israel to expand operations: on October 1, ground forces invaded southern Lebanon in a limited offensive to seize border villages, neutralize cross-border threats, and dismantle rocket launchers embedded in civilian areas.[114] [115] The campaign resulted in Lebanon's Health Ministry reporting over 3,800 deaths and 15,000 injuries by November 2024, with independent assessments indicating the majority were Hezbollah combatants rather than unaffiliated civilians, though precise breakdowns remain contested due to the militia's embedding tactics.[116] [117] Southern Lebanon suffered widespread infrastructural damage, including over 99,000 housing units affected and key roads, bridges, and agricultural lands rendered unusable, with total physical and economic losses estimated at $8.5 billion by the World Bank.[118] Hezbollah's prewar arsenal of 150,000 rockets and missiles was depleted by 50-67% through launches and Israeli interdictions, further hampered by strikes on Iranian resupply convoys and production sites in Syria.[119] [120]2025 ceasefire, presidential election, and stabilization attempts
A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah took effect on November 27, 2024, at 04:00 IST/EET, committing both parties to cessation of hostilities and full implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006), which mandates Hezbollah's withdrawal north of the Litani River and disarmament of non-state actors south of it.[121] The agreement, brokered by the United States and France, included phased Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon and deployment of the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) alongside UNIFIL to enforce a demilitarized zone.[122] By January 26, 2025, the initial 60-day implementation period concluded with partial Israeli pullback, but UN reports documented near-daily violations, including Israeli strikes and Hezbollah incursions, undermining the truce's stability.[123][124] Hezbollah pledged to vacate southern positions and relinquish arms in the area to the LAF, yet these commitments remained largely unfulfilled as of October 2025, with the group retaining operational capacity and clashing intermittently along the border.[125] Lebanon's government, under interim leadership, tasked the LAF with a disarmament plan targeting all militias, but Hezbollah resisted full compliance, citing unfulfilled Israeli obligations and ongoing threats, resulting in thousands of southern displacements and stalled reconstruction.[126][127] This non-adherence heightened risks of renewed escalation, as evidenced by continued Israeli airstrikes in response to perceived violations.[128] On January 9, 2025, Lebanon's parliament elected General Joseph Aoun, the former LAF commander, as president with 99 votes in the second round, ending a 2.5-year presidential vacancy since Michel Aoun's term expired in October 2022.[129] Aoun's selection, backed by Hezbollah and Amal alongside US-endorsed factions, signaled a fragile consensus amid post-war fatigue, positioning him to prioritize state sovereignty over militia influence.[130][131] Stabilization efforts under Aoun included economic reforms, with the World Bank projecting 4.7% real GDP growth for 2025, fueled by tourism recovery—contributing up to 19.8% of GDP in 2024—and remittance inflows, though later revised downward to 3.5% amid regional tensions.[132][133] Debt restructuring advanced via IMF talks, featuring a April 2025 bank secrecy amendment and plans for $16.5 billion in write-offs, clawbacks, and repayments, though implementation lagged due to political gridlock.[134][135] Hezbollah's regrouping and conditional international aid—tied to disarmament—posed persistent threats, compounded by sectarian divisions limiting structural reforms. Human Rights Watch documented ongoing LAF-involved deportations of Syrian refugees, numbering thousands since 2023, as Lebanon eased pressures from hosting over 1 million amid domestic strain.[136]Geography
Physical features and borders
![Satellite image of Lebanon in March 2002.jpg][float-right]Lebanon covers a total area of 10,400 square kilometers, with land accounting for 10,230 square kilometers, making it slightly smaller than the U.S. state of Connecticut.[1] The country features a narrow Mediterranean coastline stretching 225 kilometers, flanked by a coastal plain that rises sharply into the Mount Lebanon range, which parallels the sea and reaches elevations up to 3,088 meters at Qurnat as Sawda, the nation's highest peak.[137][138] East of this range lies the Bekaa Valley, a fertile lowland between the Lebanon and Anti-Lebanon mountains, while the Anti-Lebanon forms the eastern frontier.[139] The Litani River, Lebanon's longest at approximately 170 kilometers, originates near Baalbek in the Bekaa and flows southward through the valley before turning west to the Mediterranean near Tyre, supporting limited agriculture on about 12% arable land amid broader water scarcity exacerbated by mismanagement despite topographic potential for runoff collection.[140][141][142] Lebanon's rugged terrain, including steep mountains and deep valleys, has historically enabled militia operations, with groups like Hezbollah exploiting natural cover for bunkers, tunnels, and weapons caches, as evidenced by Israeli discoveries of hundreds of such structures in southern forested and hilly areas during 2024 incursions.[143] Lebanon shares 484 kilometers of land borders: 403 kilometers with Syria to the north and east, often porous and facilitating cross-border smuggling and militant movement, and 81 kilometers with Israel to the south along the UN-delineated Blue Line established after Israel's 2000 withdrawal.[144][145] Key disputes persist over the Shebaa Farms, a 25-square-kilometer area held by Israel but claimed by Lebanon (with Syria asserting it as part of the Golan Heights), and the village of Ghajar, bisected by the Blue Line due to ambiguous colonial-era mapping, allowing Hezbollah to justify rocket launches from contested zones.[146][147] These unresolved frontiers, combined with Syria's undefined boundary, have perpetuated insecurity and non-state actor entrenchment.[148]
Climate and topography
Lebanon exhibits a predominantly Mediterranean climate, featuring mild, wet winters and hot, dry summers along the coast. In Beirut, average temperatures range from approximately 13°C in winter to 28°C in summer, with annual extremes rarely falling below 8°C or exceeding 32°C. Precipitation is concentrated in the winter months, supporting seasonal water availability critical for habitability in coastal and lowland areas. Higher elevations, such as those in the Mount Lebanon range, experience cooler conditions, with winter temperatures often dropping below 0°C and significant snowfall occurring annually.[149][150][151][152] The country's topography consists of parallel north-south oriented landforms, including a narrow coastal plain, the Mount Lebanon range to the west, the Bekaa Valley in the center, and the Anti-Lebanon mountains to the east. Mount Lebanon reaches elevations averaging 1,500–1,800 meters, with its highest peak, Qurnat as Sawda, at 3,088 meters. This rugged terrain creates diverse microclimates, with the coastal plain benefiting from milder temperatures and higher rainfall compared to the drier eastern valleys, influencing patterns of human settlement and agricultural suitability across elevations. The Bekaa Valley, situated between the two mountain ranges, lies at lower altitudes around 1,000 meters, providing sheltered conditions that enhance habitability for valley-floor communities.[153][139][154][155] Lebanon's location along the Dead Sea Transform fault system renders it seismically active, contributing to periodic earthquakes that impact long-term habitability. A notable event occurred on July 9, 551 AD, when a magnitude 7.2 earthquake struck near Beirut, generating a tsunami and causing widespread destruction along the Phoenician coast. The mountainous topography exacerbates risks from seasonal hazards, such as winter floods in valleys and lowlands due to heavy rainfall, which can disrupt access and infrastructure essential for habitation. Summer droughts and high temperatures have fueled wildfires, as seen in extensive blazes in 2020 that affected northern forested slopes, further straining habitability in elevated rural areas.[156][157][155][158]Environmental challenges and resources
Lebanon's cedar forests, once covering much of the country's mountains, have dwindled to approximately 17 square kilometers, or 0.4% of their estimated ancient extent, primarily due to centuries of logging, agricultural expansion, and recent pressures from climate-induced droughts and insect infestations that have killed over 7% of trees in key reserves like Tannourine.[159] [160] Biodiversity hotspots, including the Qadisha Valley and coastal wetlands, support migratory birds along the African-Eurasian flyway but face acute threats from habitat fragmentation, illegal hunting—making Lebanon one of the Mediterranean's deadliest routes for avian species—and urbanization that has converted natural areas into built environments.[161] [162] Pollution from conflict and industrial mishaps has severely degraded air, soil, and marine ecosystems. The 2006 bombing of the Jiyyeh power plant spilled 10,000–15,000 tonnes of heavy fuel oil, contaminating over 90 kilometers of coastline, including marine reserves, and persisting in sediments to harm aquatic life and fisheries.[163] [164] The August 4, 2020, Beirut port explosion of 2,750 tonnes of ammonium nitrate released toxic gases, elevating NO₂ concentrations by up to 1.8 mol/m² in the immediate aftermath and contributing to broader airborne pollutants that affected regional air quality.[165] [166] Water bodies, vital for agriculture and drinking, exhibit widespread contamination, with roughly 50% of resources polluted by untreated sewage, nitrates from fertilizers, and industrial effluents; major rivers like the Litani show high fecal coliform and E. coli densities, rendering much unfit for human use without treatment.[167] [168] [169] Climate change amplifies these pressures amid Lebanon's limited natural resources, which include modest deposits of limestone, iron ore, and salt but rely heavily on groundwater and rivers strained by overexploitation.[170] Projected sea-level rise of 30–60 cm within 30 years risks coastal erosion, flooding of low-lying areas, and saltwater intrusion into aquifers, while droughts—intensified by declining precipitation and shorter snow seasons—have reduced renewable water availability below the 1,000 m³ per capita threshold, exacerbating scarcity for the 70% of the population dependent on groundwater.[152] [171] Lebanon possesses significant untapped solar potential, estimated at 34 GW, sufficient to meet 30% of 2030 electricity needs cost-effectively, yet renewable deployment lags at under 8% of the energy mix due to governance failures, infrastructure deficits, and prioritization of fossil fuels.[172] [173]Government and Politics
Confessional system and sectarian divisions
The National Pact of 1943 established Lebanon's confessional political framework through an unwritten agreement between Maronite Christian president Bechara El Khoury and Sunni Muslim prime minister Riad El Solh, allocating parliamentary seats in a 6:5 ratio favoring Christians over Muslims based on the 1932 census, reserving the presidency for Maronites, the premiership for Sunnis, and the speakership for Shiites.[174][175] This system formalized sectarian power-sharing to manage communal tensions post-independence but entrenched divisions by tying state offices to religious identity rather than merit or national consensus, fostering a zero-sum competition among sects for resources and influence.[176] The Taif Agreement of 1989, which ended the 1975–1990 civil war, modified the framework by equalizing parliamentary seats at 50:50 between Christians and Muslims while retaining confessional quotas for top posts and introducing enhanced veto powers for sects to block legislation perceived as threatening their interests.[176] Despite pledges to phase out confessionalism gradually, these changes preserved the core structure, amplifying gridlock as sectarian leaders wielded informal vetoes and clientelist networks to maintain patronage flows, where public jobs, contracts, and services were distributed along confessional lines to secure loyalty rather than advance governance efficiency.[177] This perpetuated paralysis, evident in repeated failures to form governments or pass reforms without cross-sect buy-in, directly contributing to institutional deadlock.[178] Empirically, the system has sustained cycles of sectarian violence, as imbalances in representation and resource allocation fueled grievances leading to the civil war's outbreak in 1975 and subsequent flare-ups, including militia clashes and assassinations tied to confessional rivalries.[179] Clientelism under confessionalism has entrenched corruption, with political elites using sectarian affiliation to monopolize state rents, resulting in measurable economic distortion and a brain drain where 61% of college-educated youth expressed intent to emigrate by 2022, driven by nepotism blocking merit-based opportunities and systemic instability.[180] Proposals for secularism, including electoral law reforms to prioritize civic over confessional lists, have repeatedly stalled due to resistance from entrenched sectarian leaders who benefit from the status quo, as seen in the blocking of civil marriage drafts and Taif implementation delays.[181] This resistance underscores how confessionalism causally reproduces division, prioritizing communal preservation over national cohesion and reform.[177]Executive and legislative branches
The executive branch of Lebanon is structured around a president, prime minister, and council of ministers, operating within a confessional power-sharing framework established by the 1943 National Pact and modified by the 1989 Taif Agreement, which vests primary executive authority in the cabinet rather than the presidency.[182][183] The president, traditionally a Maronite Christian, serves as head of state with ceremonial duties, including appointing the prime minister after parliamentary consultations, dissolving parliament under specific conditions, and commanding the armed forces in coordination with the cabinet; however, these powers are constrained by the need for cross-sectarian consensus, rendering the role largely symbolic amid frequent vetoes from influential sectarian actors.[184][182] General Joseph Aoun, former Lebanese Armed Forces commander, was elected president on January 9, 2025, by parliament after a 27-month vacancy since Michel Aoun's term ended in October 2022, marking the 14th such presidency and ending repeated failed voting sessions due to quorum shortfalls and bloc rivalries.[129] The prime minister, conventionally a Sunni Muslim, leads the council of ministers, which exercises day-to-day executive power, including policy implementation and armed forces oversight, subject to parliamentary confidence votes.[183][184] Najib Mikati served as caretaker prime minister from September 2021 until February 8, 2025, overseeing a prolonged interim cabinet amid economic collapse and conflict, with limited authority to enact reforms due to sectarian gridlock.[185][186] On January 13, 2025, President Aoun designated Nawaf Salam, a former International Court of Justice judge, as prime minister after consultations, leading to a new 24-minister cabinet formed on February 9, 2025, which dissolved Mikati's government and aimed to address post-ceasefire stabilization, though its effectiveness remains hampered by veto powers held by parliamentary blocs.[185][187] Lebanon's unicameral parliament, the Chamber of Deputies, comprises 128 seats allocated confessionally—64 for Christians and 64 for Muslims, further subdivided by sect (e.g., 34 Maronites, 27 Shiites)—elected for four-year terms via proportional representation in multi-member districts.[188] The most recent elections occurred on May 15, 2022, yielding a fragmented assembly dominated by traditional parties like the Amal-Hezbollah alliance (which secured around 62 seats collectively) and independents from the 2019 protests (about 18 seats), but lacking a clear majority for reformist agendas.[189][190] The next elections are constitutionally due by 2026, though historical delays—such as the 2018 vote postponed from 2014—highlight systemic vulnerabilities to extension amid security and economic crises.[191] Parliamentary dysfunction manifests in chronic quorum failures, session boycotts, and deadlocks requiring unanimous sectarian buy-in for key votes, exacerbated by veto actors who leverage confessional quotas to block legislation on budgets, elections, or reforms; for instance, the 2022–2025 presidential void stemmed from over 12 aborted sessions due to rival nominations and absences, paralyzing government formation until external pressures post-2024 Israel-Hezbollah war facilitated Aoun's election.[192][129] Post-2025, the assembly under Speaker Nabih Berri (in office since 1992) has convened for cabinet endorsements but struggles with hyper-partisan divisions, evidenced by stalled IMF-linked reforms and repeated dissolutions of prior cabinets, underscoring how formal institutions yield to informal sectarian bargaining rather than majoritarian rule.[193][194]Judiciary and legal framework
Lebanon's legal system is a hybrid civil law framework, largely derived from French codes introduced during the Ottoman era and Mandate period, with elements of Ottoman and customary law. General civil, criminal, and commercial matters are adjudicated in secular courts structured hierarchically, including courts of first instance, courts of appeal, and the Court of Cassation as the highest judicial body. Personal status laws, governing marriage, divorce, inheritance, and child custody, are administered by sectarian courts tied to the country's eighteen recognized religious communities, applying religious doctrines such as Sharia for Sunni and Shia Muslims, Druze canon law, and various Christian rites.[195][196] Judicial independence is severely compromised by political and sectarian interference, with appointments to key positions often dictated by confessional power-sharing arrangements and elite patronage networks, rendering the judiciary subordinate to the executive and legislative branches. Corruption permeates the system, as reflected in Lebanon's 2024 Corruption Perceptions Index score of 22 out of 100, placing it 156th out of 180 countries, indicative of widespread bribery, nepotism, and undue influence in judicial proceedings. Enforcement mechanisms are ineffective, exacerbated by chronic underfunding and a backlog of over 100,000 cases in some districts as of 2023, leading to protracted delays and selective application of laws favoring entrenched interests.[197][198][199][200] Parallel justice systems operated by non-state actors further erode state authority, particularly Hezbollah's Judicial Council, which maintains independent tribunals for its fighters and supporters, empowered to issue fines, imprisonment, and capital punishments outside official oversight. Human rights protections are inadequately upheld, with reports documenting arbitrary detentions of Syrian refugees in 2024, including mass arrests without warrants, torture in custody, and summary deportations violating non-refoulement principles. Press freedom has correspondingly deteriorated, as politically motivated judicial orders and defamation suits have silenced critical reporting, contributing to Lebanon's ranking of 152nd out of 180 in the 2024 World Press Freedom Index.[201][202][203]Administrative divisions
Lebanon is administratively divided into eight governorates (muḥāfaẓāt), each headed by a governor appointed by the central government, which are further subdivided into 26 districts (aqḍiya, singular qaḍāʾ), except for Beirut Governorate, which functions as a single district without further subdivision.[204][205] The governorates are: Akkar, Baalbek–Hermel, Beirut, Bekaa, Mount Lebanon, Nabatieh, North Lebanon, and South Lebanon. Districts serve as intermediate administrative units, overseeing municipalities (baladiyyāt) that handle local services such as waste management and infrastructure maintenance, though these entities possess limited fiscal and decision-making autonomy due to heavy reliance on central funding transfers, which often arrive irregularly or insufficiently.[206]| Governorate | Districts (Qada') Count | Key Districts Examples |
|---|---|---|
| Akkar | 2 | Akkar, Halba |
| Baalbek–Hermel | 2 | Baalbek, Hermel |
| Beirut | 1 (itself) | Beirut |
| Bekaa | 4 | Zahle, West Bekaa, Rashaya, Baalbek |
| Mount Lebanon | 6 | Aley, Baabda, Chouf, Keserwan, Matn, Metn |
| Nabatieh | 3 | Nabatieh, Bint Jbeil, Marjeyoun |
| North Lebanon | 5 | Tripoli, Koura, Batroun, Bcharre, Zgharta |
| South Lebanon | 3 | Saida, Tyre, Jezzine |