A lung nodule, also referred to as a pulmonary nodule, is a small, rounded or irregular opacity in the lung measuring less than 3 centimeters (1.2 inches) in diameter, surrounded by normal lung tissue and not associated with lymphadenopathy, atelectasis, or pleural effusion.[1] These nodules are commonly detected incidentally during imaging studies such as chest X-rays or computed tomography (CT) scans, with prevalence estimates indicating they appear in approximately one in three routine chest CT examinations.[2] While the majority are benign and asymptomatic, representing scar tissue from prior infections or inflammatory processes, a minority—particularly those that grow or exhibit suspicious features—may indicate malignancy, such as primary lung cancer or metastatic disease.[3][1]Lung nodules can be classified as solitary (a single nodule) or multiple, with solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs) posing a particular diagnostic challenge due to their potential for both benign and malignant etiologies.[1] Common benign causes include infectious agents like tuberculosis or histoplasmosis, inflammatory conditions such as sarcoidosis or rheumatoid arthritis, and noninfectious factors like inhaled particles or scarring from prior trauma.[2][1] Malignant nodules, though less frequent, often stem from adenocarcinoma, other primary lung cancers, or metastases from extrapulmonary sites including breast, colon, or kidney tumors.[1] Risk factors for malignancy include patient age over 35, smoking history, nodule size greater than 8 millimeters, irregular borders, or upper lobe location.[1]Most lung nodules do not produce symptoms and are discovered during evaluations for unrelated conditions, though larger or malignant ones may cause cough, hemoptysis, or chest pain if they impinge on airways or surrounding structures.[2][3]Diagnosis typically begins with low-dose CTimaging to assess size, density (solid, subsolid, or ground-glass), and growthrate, followed by riskstratification tools like the Lung-RADS system or probability calculators from the Mayo Clinic or Brock University.[1] Management ranges from watchful waiting with serial imaging for low-risk nodules to positron emission tomography (PET) scans, biopsies, or surgical resection for those with higher malignancy suspicion, guided by guidelines from organizations like the Fleischner Society.[1] Early detection through lung cancer screening in high-risk individuals, such as long-term smokers, has improved outcomes for potentially cancerous nodules.[3]
Background
Definition
A lung nodule is defined as a rounded or irregular opacity in the lung, measuring up to 3 cm in diameter, that is well or poorly circumscribed and surrounded by normal aerated lung parenchyma, without associated atelectasis, pneumonia, or hilar and mediastinal lymphadenopathy.[4] This definition emphasizes the isolated nature of the lesion within the pulmonary tissue, distinguishing it from broader pathological processes involving adjacent structures.[5]Nodules are differentiated from lung masses based on size, with nodules limited to ≤3 cm in maximum diameter, while masses exceed 3 cm and often suggest more aggressive pathology. A solitary pulmonary nodule (SPN) refers to a single isolated lesion meeting these criteria, whereas multiple nodules may signal disseminated processes such as metastasis or infection.[6] The 2024 Fleischner Society glossary updates the terminology, introducing micronodules as circumscribed opacities <6 mm in average diameter (previously <3 mm), to better align with clinical management thresholds for incidental findings.[7]Nodules are further classified by attenuation on computed tomography into solid, subsolid, or part-solid types. Solid nodules exhibit homogeneous soft-tissue attenuation completely obscuring underlying vascular and bronchial margins, while subsolid nodules include pure ground-glass opacities (hazy increased attenuation preserving margins) or part-solid variants combining ground-glass and solid components. Anatomically, lung nodules arise within the lung parenchyma and may be positioned peripherally (subpleural or pleura-based), centrally (peribronchovascular), or along fissures, influencing their detection and evaluation.[7]
Epidemiology
Lung nodules are frequently detected in imaging studies, with up to 50% of low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) scans in lung cancer screening programs identifying at least one nodule, particularly among high-risk individuals such as current or former smokers aged 50 years or older.[8] In the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST), a landmark study involving over 26,000 participants, 42% had at least one micronodule detected on baseline LDCT screening.[9] Incidental detection occurs in 20-30% of chest CT scans performed for other indications, reflecting the widespread use of CT imaging in clinical practice.[10]Prevalence varies significantly by population demographics and risk profiles. Among participants in screening trials like the NLST, which enrolled high-risk smokers, detection rates reach around 40-50% for nodules, compared to similar rates of approximately 42% in nonsmokers from population studies.[9][11] The prevalence increases with age, affecting over 50% of individuals older than 70 years in some screening cohorts, and is elevated in those with a history of pulmonary infections, where residual granulomas contribute to higher nodule burdens.[12] Globally, in high-income countries, an estimated 1-2 million lung nodules are detected annually, primarily through incidental findings on CT scans.[13]Detection trends have risen over time due to the expanded application of CT imaging, with nodule incidence in chest CT studies increasing from 38% to 51% between 2010 and 2020.[12] As of 2024, data from ongoing screening programs show stable overall rates but enhanced identification of subsolid nodules, facilitated by improved imaging protocols and artificial intelligence tools that boost sensitivity for these lesions.[14] Approximately 5-20% of detected nodules are malignant, with rates varying by size—less than 1% for those under 5 mm and up to 25% for nodules 8-20 mm in diameter—along with patient-specific factors like age and smoking history.[15][16]Geographic variations are notable, with higher prevalence in regions endemic for infections such as tuberculosis, including parts of Asia and Africa, where up to 9% of TB cases manifest as tuberculomas mimicking nodules.[17] In these areas, benign infectious nodules constitute a larger proportion of detections, complicating malignancy risk assessment compared to low-prevalence regions.[18]
Causes and Risk Factors
Causes
Lung nodules arise from a variety of etiological processes, broadly categorized into benign and malignant origins, with the majority being benign. Benign causes predominate, accounting for approximately 95% of incidentally detected solitary pulmonary nodules (SPNs), while malignant causes represent about 5%.[1][19]Benign lung nodules often result from infectious processes, where pathogens trigger an immune response leading to granuloma formation—organized collections of immune cells that encapsulate the antigen. Common examples include granulomatous infections such as tuberculosis caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, histoplasmosis from Histoplasma capsulatum, and coccidioidomycosis due to Coccidioides species, which are particularly prevalent in endemic regions like the southwestern United States.[1][20] Inflammatory conditions also contribute, such as rheumatoid nodules in patients with rheumatoid arthritis or sarcoidosis, where non-infectious immune-mediated inflammation promotes nodular aggregates. Congenital etiologies encompass hamartomas—benign tumor-like malformations of disorganized normal lung tissue—and arteriovenous malformations, which are abnormal vascular connections present from birth. Other benign mechanisms include rounded atelectasis from pleural scarring or amyloidosis, where protein deposits form nodular structures.[1][20]Malignant lung nodules stem from neoplastic growth driven by cellular mutations and uncontrolled proliferation. Primary lung cancers, such as adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, originate within the lung parenchyma and account for the majority of malignant nodules. Metastatic disease, where cancer spreads from extrapulmonary primaries like breast or colon carcinoma, represents another key malignant etiology, often presenting as multiple nodules.[1][20]Pathophysiologically, benign nodules typically involve localized immune responses to antigens, resulting in stable or slowly resolving structures, whereas malignant nodules exhibit dysregulated cellular growth due to genetic alterations, such as those in oncogenes or tumor suppressors. In endemic areas, infections are the predominant cause of benign nodules. Rare causes include septic emboli from distant infections, granulomatosis with polyangiitis (formerly Wegener's), or iatrogenic nodules post-radiation therapy.[1][20] Risk factors like smoking may elevate the likelihood of malignant etiologies, though these are detailed separately.[20]
Risk Factors
Risk factors for lung nodules, particularly those that may be malignant, can be categorized as modifiable, non-modifiable, and clinical, with certain nodule characteristics further elevating the probability of malignancy.[13]Modifiable risk factors include tobacco smoking, which is the leading cause, with current or former smokers facing a 10- to 20-fold increased risk of developing malignant lung nodules compared to never-smokers.[8] The risk is dose-dependent, based on pack-years of exposure; for instance, individuals with 20 or more pack-years have substantially higher malignancy rates in detected nodules.[15] Environmental exposures also contribute significantly, such as radon gas, which is the second leading cause of lung cancer and increases nodule malignancy risk, especially when combined with smoking.[21] Occupational exposures to asbestos and silica dust are associated with elevated risks, as these carcinogens can lead to chronic inflammation and nodule formation that may progress to malignancy.[22]Non-modifiable risk factors encompass advancing age, where the probability of malignancy in pulmonary nodules rises exponentially, particularly after 50 years, due to cumulative cellular damage.[23] A family history of lung cancer among first-degree relatives approximately doubles the risk of a nodule being malignant, independent of smoking status.[24] Prior malignancy or history of radiation therapy to the chest further heightens the likelihood, as these can predispose individuals to secondary lung lesions with malignant potential.[25]Clinical risk factors include chronic lung diseases such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and pulmonary fibrosis, both of which independently increase the risk of lung cancer development in nodules, with fibrosis showing an even stronger association than COPD alone.[26] In smokers, nodules located in the upper lobes are more likely to be malignant, reflecting the topographic distribution of tobacco-related carcinogenesis.[13]Nodule-specific characteristics that indicate higher malignancy risk include spiculated or irregular margins, which are associated with a greater than fivefold likelihood of cancer compared to smooth margins.[27] Nodules larger than 8 mm carry a malignancy risk exceeding 2%, warranting closer evaluation.[20] A volume doubling time between 100 and 400 days is particularly suspicious, as it aligns with the growth kinetics of primary lung cancers.[13]Quantitative risk assessment often employs models like the Brock University model, which calculates the probability of malignancy based on patient factors such as age, family history, emphysema, and nodule features including size, location, and type, aiding in personalized management decisions.[28]
Clinical Presentation
Symptoms
Most lung nodules are asymptomatic, with approximately 95% discovered incidentally on imaging studies performed for unrelated reasons, primarily due to their small size, typically less than 1 cm in diameter.[1] This lack of symptoms occurs because these nodules do not significantly impair lung function or cause irritation to surrounding tissues.[3]In rare cases, symptoms may arise if the nodule is large enough to obstruct an airway or invade nearby structures, leading to cough, hemoptysis (coughing up blood), dyspnea (shortness of breath), or chest pain from local inflammation.[1] Central nodules, located near the airways or hilum, are more likely to produce such symptoms than peripheral ones due to their proximity to bronchial structures.[29] Persistent cough or wheezing can prompt clinical evaluation through imaging, though these signs are nonspecific and often stem from coexisting conditions rather than the nodule itself.[2]Symptoms associated with lung nodules frequently reflect the underlying etiology rather than the nodule directly. For infectious causes, such as tuberculosis or fungal infections, patients may experience fever, night sweats, and unintentional weight loss alongside respiratory complaints.[30] In autoimmune-related nodules, like those in rheumatoid arthritis, systemic manifestations such as joint pain, stiffness, and swelling predominate, with pulmonary involvement often remaining subclinical.[31]
Detection
Lung nodules are most commonly detected incidentally during imaging performed for unrelated medical issues, such as evaluations for trauma, cardiac conditions, or infections, with a prevalence of approximately 30% on computed tomography (CT) scans across diverse populations.[10] Chest X-rays, often used in initial assessments, have limited sensitivity and miss up to 50-90% of small nodules less than 1 cm in diameter that are visible on CT.[27][32] In contrast, low-dose CT (LDCT) scans provide higher detection rates, identifying nodules in 20-50% of baseline screenings in high-risk individuals.[33]Screening programs targeting high-risk populations have significantly increased nodule detection. The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends annual LDCT screening for adults aged 50 to 80 years with a 20 pack-year smoking history who currently smoke or have quit within the past 15 years.[34] Landmark trials like the National Lung Screening Trial (NLST) reported positive findings (nodules ≥4 mm) in 24.2% of baseline LDCT scans, while the NELSON trial detected suspicious nodules in about 9.3% of participants across rounds, with overall detection rates reaching up to 50% when including smaller lesions.[35] As of 2025, updates emphasize AI-assisted detection to improve efficiency, with tools enhancing nodule identification on LDCT and reducing false negatives by integrating deep learning models for volumetric assessment.[36][37]Upon detection, initial evaluation begins with a thorough medical history and physical examination to assess patient risk factors, such as smoking history, occupational exposures, and family cancer background, guiding subsequent management decisions.[38] This step helps stratify the likelihood of malignancy without immediate invasive procedures.[13]The presence of multiple nodules, as opposed to a solitary one, often raises suspicion for metastatic disease, infections, or inflammatory conditions, necessitating broader systemic evaluation.[39] Solitary nodules are more commonly benign but still require risk assessment based on size and patient factors.[40]
Diagnosis
Imaging
Computed tomography (CT) is the gold standard for evaluating lung nodules due to its high resolution and ability to detect small lesions. Low-dose non-contrast CT is preferred for screening and initial assessment to minimize radiation exposure, allowing evaluation of key features such as size, margins (e.g., smooth vs. spiculated), density, and calcification patterns, which help differentiate benign from potentially malignant nodules. According to the Fleischner Society 2017 guidelines, follow-up intervals are based on nodule characteristics; for example, solid nodules measuring 6-8 mm in low-risk patients warrant a single CT scan at 6-12 months, with consideration of a second scan at 18-24 months if stable. These guidelines emphasize a risk-stratified approach, increasing the minimum threshold for routine follow-up to reduce unnecessary imaging while focusing on nodules with an estimated malignancy risk of approximately 1% or greater.Positron emission tomography (PET) combined with CT (PET/CT) assesses metabolic activity using 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG), aiding in the characterization of indeterminate nodules. FDG-PET/CT demonstrates high sensitivity, approximately 95%, for detecting malignancy in nodules larger than 1 cm, with a standardized uptake value (SUV) greater than 2.5 often suggestive of malignancy. However, its utility is limited for small nodules under 8 mm due to lower spatial resolution and potential false negatives from partial volume effects.Chest radiography serves as an initial imaging modality but has low sensitivity for lung nodules, detecting only about 45-80% of lesions depending on size and location, making it inadequate for comprehensive evaluation. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is occasionally used for subsolid nodules, offering comparable performance to CT for lesions 4 mm or larger without ionizing radiation, particularly useful in assessing perfusion and tissue characteristics. Ultrasound is rarely employed, primarily for guiding biopsies of peripheral nodules larger than 10 mm when accessible via intercostal approaches.Quantitative assessments enhance diagnostic precision beyond visual inspection. Volume doubling time (VDT), calculated from serial CT scans, provides insight into growth dynamics; a VDT exceeding 400 days is typically indicative of benign behavior, while shorter times (30-400 days) raise suspicion for malignancy. Contrast-enhanced CT measures nodule enhancement, where an increase greater than 15 Hounsfield units (HU) post-contrast suggests malignancy due to increased vascularity, with values under 15 HU highly predictive of benignity (99% negative predictive value).As of 2025, artificial intelligence (AI) advancements have integrated into lung nodule imaging for automated measurement and risk stratification. Deep learning models now estimate malignancy risk from CT features, improving accuracy in nodule detection and reducing interobserver variability, with AI frameworks achieving performance comparable to radiologists in categorizing subsolid and solid nodules.
Biopsy and Histopathology
Biopsy of lung nodules is indicated when imaging reveals high-risk features suggestive of malignancy, such as interval growth or positive positron emission tomography (PET) uptake, particularly in nodules measuring 8-30 mm in intermediate-risk patients where the probability of cancer exceeds 5-65% based on validated models like the Brock or Mayo Clinic calculators.[13] For solid nodules ≥8 mm with these characteristics, biopsy provides definitive tissue diagnosis to guide management, balancing the need for confirmation against procedural risks.[13]The primary biopsy techniques for lung nodules include transthoracic needle aspiration (TTNA), bronchoscopic biopsy, and surgical resection. CT-guided TTNA is preferred for peripheral nodules, involving percutaneous needle insertion under imaging guidance to obtain cytology or core tissue, achieving a diagnostic accuracy of approximately 90% for lesions >10 mm due to its high sensitivity for malignant cells.[41] Bronchoscopic biopsy targets central nodules accessible via the airways, often enhanced by endobronchial ultrasound (EBUS) for real-time guidance, with diagnostic yields of 70-90% when combined with transbronchial needle aspiration, though sensitivity drops below 2 cm without navigational aids; as of 2025, electromagnetic navigation bronchoscopy (ENB) and robotic platforms have improved yields to 70-85% for peripheral lesions <2 cm by providing precise guidance.[41][42] If non-diagnostic results are obtained from less invasive methods, surgical wedge resection via video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) serves as the gold standard for histological confirmation, offering near-100% accuracy but reserved for indeterminate cases due to its invasiveness.[41]Histopathological examination of biopsied tissue distinguishes benign from malignant nodules through characteristic microscopic features. Benign nodules often show granulomas with central caseous necrosis surrounded by epithelioid histiocytes and lymphocytes, as seen in infectious etiologies like tuberculosis, or hamartomas composed of disorganized cartilage, adipose tissue, and mesenchymal elements without atypia.[43] Malignant primary nodules exhibit adenocarcinoma with lepidic growth patterns featuring tumor cells lining intact alveolar walls, or squamous cell carcinoma identified by keratin pearls and intercellular bridges indicating differentiation.[44][45] Metastatic nodules typically demonstrate histological and molecular features matching the known primary tumor site, such as glandular structures from colorectal origin or melanin in melanoma, confirmed via immunohistochemistry and genetic profiling to differentiate from primaries.[46]Complications of biopsy procedures must be weighed against the nodule's malignancy probability, with risks higher in peripheral lesions requiring TTNA. Pneumothorax occurs in 15-30% of TTNA cases, often requiring chest tube insertion in 5-7% due to pleural transgression, while bleeding manifests as hemoptysis or hemorrhage in 3-6%, rarely necessitating intervention.[47] Bronchoscopic approaches carry lower rates of pneumothorax (<5%) but similar bleeding risks, and surgical resection involves postoperative air leaks or pain in up to 20%, emphasizing patient selection based on comorbidities and lesion location.[41][47]As of 2025, liquid biopsy integrated with bronchoscopy has emerged as an adjunct for suspected malignant nodules, enabling non-invasive sampling of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) to detect genetic markers like EGFR mutations with sensitivity up to 80% in advanced non-small cell lung cancer, though less reliable in early-stage nodules due to low ctDNA shedding.[48] This approach facilitates rapid biomarker testing alongside tissue histopathology, potentially reducing the need for repeat invasive procedures in actionable cases.
Management
Surveillance
Surveillance for lung nodules involves non-interventional monitoring strategies, primarily through serial imaging, to assess for stability or growth in low-risk cases, thereby avoiding unnecessary invasive procedures.[49] The Fleischner Society 2017 guidelines provide the foundational framework for managing incidental pulmonary nodules in adults over 35 years, emphasizing individualized risk assessment and low-dose computed tomography (CT) for follow-up.[49] These recommendations differentiate between solid and subsolid nodules, prioritizing conservative management for those with low malignancy probability to minimize radiation exposure and patient anxiety.[49]Risk stratification is central to determining surveillance needs, classifying patients as low-risk (estimated malignancy risk <5%, typically nonsmokers or light smokers under 65 years without cancer history) or high-risk (>5% risk, such as heavy smokers over 65 years or those with prior malignancy).[49] Probability calculators, including the Mayo Clinic model and Brock University model, integrate clinical factors (age, smoking history), nodule characteristics (size, location, margins), and imaging features to estimate malignancy risk; nodules with <5% probability are generally suitable for surveillance rather than immediate intervention.[49][50][51]Follow-up imaging uses serial low-dose CT scans to monitor nodule behavior, with protocols tailored by nodule type and risk level. The guidelines recommend no routine follow-up for solid nodules <6 mm in low-risk patients, while 6-8 mm solid nodules warrant CT at 6-12 months (often sufficient as a single follow-up in low-risk cases) followed by consideration of additional imaging at 18-24 months if needed.[49] For subsolid nodules >6 mm, more frequent intervals are advised: pure ground-glass nodules ≥6 mm require CT at 6-12 months then biennially up to 5 years, part-solid nodules ≥6 mm with a solid component <6 mm need 3-6 month initial CT followed by annual scans for 5 years, and part-solid nodules ≥6 mm with a solid component ≥6 mm require CT at 3-6 months followed by PET/CT or management as a potential malignancy if persistent.[49] The following table summarizes key Fleischner Society recommendations for single solid and subsolid nodules:
Nodule Type
Size
Low-Risk Follow-Up
High-Risk Follow-Up
Solid
<6 mm
No routine follow-up
Optional CT at 12 months if suspicious
Solid
6-8 mm
CT at 6-12 months (consider discharge if stable)
CT at 6-12 months, then 18-24 months
Solid
>8 mm
CT/PET-CT at 3 months or consider biopsy
CT/PET-CT at 3 months or consider biopsy
Pure ground-glass
<6 mm
No follow-up
No follow-up
Pure ground-glass
≥6 mm
CT at 6-12 months, then biennially to 5 years
CT at 6-12 months, then biennially to 5 years
Part-solid
<6 mm
No follow-up
No follow-up
Part-solid
≥6 mm (solid <6 mm)
CT at 3-6 months, then annually to 5 years
CT at 3-6 months, then annually to 5 years
Part-solid
≥6 mm (solid ≥6 mm)
CT at 3-6 months, then PET/CT or consider resection if persistent
CT at 3-6 months, then PET/CT or consider resection if persistent
Nodules with benign features (e.g., calcification, fat, or perifissural location) or stability over 12-24 months can be discharged from surveillance.[49]Growth assessment during surveillance relies on comparing serial CT measurements, using the average of long- and short-axis diameters or optional volumetric analysis; significant growth, such as volume doubling time under 400 days, raises suspicion for malignancy and may prompt escalation.[49] Prior imaging should always be reviewed to establish baseline stability.[49]Patient considerations in surveillance include ensuring compliance with imaging schedules, as suboptimal adherence can delay detection of progression, and minimizing cumulative radiation exposure through low-dose protocols.[52] Multidisciplinary review by radiologists, pulmonologists, and thoracic surgeons is recommended for borderline cases, such as nodules with indeterminate features or patient-specific factors like comorbidities.[49]Outcomes of surveillance demonstrate high efficacy for low-risk nodules, with the majority remaining stable or resolving over follow-up periods, thus avoiding unnecessary biopsies or surgeries in most cases. If growth or suspicious changes occur, surveillance may transition to intervention for further evaluation.[49]
Intervention
Intervention for lung nodules primarily involves therapeutic approaches for high-risk or confirmed malignant lesions, transitioning from surveillance when nodules demonstrate concerning features such as growth or metabolic activity.[38]Surgical resection remains the cornerstone for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) presenting as solitary nodules. For stage I malignancy, video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) facilitates wedge resection or lobectomy, offering minimally invasive access with reduced recovery time compared to open thoracotomy.[53][54]Lobectomy is the preferred standard, providing superior long-term outcomes over sublobar resections like wedge in fit patients, while VATS approaches achieve comparable efficacy to traditional methods with shorter hospitalization.[55][56]For patients deemed inoperable due to comorbidities, stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) delivers precise, high-dose radiation to peripheral nodules, achieving local control rates exceeding 90% at three years.[57][58] This ablative technique targets tumors up to 5 cm, minimizing damage to surrounding lung tissue through image-guided delivery.[59]Minimally invasive ablation techniques serve as alternatives for small peripheral nodules in patients unsuitable for surgery. Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) applies thermal energy percutaneously to destroy tumors less than 3 cm, with post-procedural imaging confirming treatment efficacy through characteristic patterns like ground-glass opacities.[60][61] Microwave ablation offers faster heating and larger ablation zones, particularly effective for nodules adjacent to vessels, and can be delivered transbronchially for enhanced precision.[62][63] For endobronchial nodules causing obstruction, cryotherapy induces tissue necrosis via freeze-thaw cycles, improving airway patency in inoperable cases.[64][65]Medical therapies are tailored to nodule etiology and histology. In confirmed malignant nodules with EGFR mutations, adjuvant targeted inhibitors like osimertinib reduce recurrence risk post-resection.[66]Immunotherapy, such as PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors, is administered adjuvantly following surgery to enhance immune response against residual disease in resectable NSCLC.[67] For infectious nodules suspected of bacterial origin, such as those due to atypical mycobacteria, antibiotics like macrolides combined with rifampin and ethambutol are used, though evidence for routine application in indeterminate cases remains limited.[68]Interventions are indicated for PET-positive nodules, those growing beyond 8 mm, or biopsy-proven malignancy, with decisions guided by multidisciplinary tumor boards integrating imaging, pathology, and patient factors.[69][70][71]As of 2025, robotic-assisted surgery has advanced intervention for lung nodules, enabling precise bronchoscopic navigation and resection with complication rates as low as 3%, including reduced pneumothorax incidence.[72] Neoadjuvant immunotherapy, often combined with chemotherapy, improves resectability in borderline cases by downstaging tumors and achieving pathologic complete responses in up to 20% of patients.[73][74]
Prognosis
Benign Nodules
Benign lung nodules, which constitute the majority of incidentally detected pulmonary nodules, typically exhibit high rates of stability over time. Most low-risk nodules remain stable over 2 years, strongly suggesting benignity, with follow-up up to 5 years in some guidelines to confirm.[38][75] Infectious causes, such as histoplasmosis, often lead to nodules that resolve spontaneously in mild cases or with targeted antifungal therapy like itraconazole, which is effective for acute pulmonary involvement lasting 6 to 12 weeks.[76][77]For stable benign nodules in high-risk patients, such as current or former smokers, long-term monitoring typically involves annual low-dose CT scans to confirm ongoing stability, with follow-up potentially extending up to 5 years before discontinuation in low-risk cases.[13] This surveillance can introduce psychological uncertainty, with up to 50% of patients experiencing anxiety, distress, or negative affective states due to the ambiguity of indeterminate findings during monitoring.Complications from benign nodules are uncommon, with progression to malignancy occurring in less than 1% of cases, particularly for nodules smaller than 5 mm.[5]Calcification within a nodule, especially in central or laminated patterns, frequently signals benign etiology, often resulting from prior granulomatous inflammation.[80][81]In terms of quality of life, most patients with confirmed stable benign nodules report reassurance following serial imaging, with no adverse impact on overall survival attributable to the nodule itself.[2] Specific benign subtypes illustrate these favorable patterns: granulomas, commonly from healed infections, often calcify progressively over time, stabilizing without intervention; hamartomas, composed of disorganized benign tissues like cartilage and fat, demonstrate slow growth rates and remain non-invasive throughout their course.[82][83]
Malignant Nodules
Malignant lung nodules, indicative of primary lung cancer such as non-small cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC), carry a prognosis that varies significantly based on stage, treatment, and tumor characteristics. For early-stage disease, particularly stage IA nodules resected surgically, the 5-year survival rate exceeds 90%, reflecting the efficacy of complete resection in localized cases.[84] In stark contrast, untreated metastatic nodules from advanced lung cancer exhibit a 5-year survival rate below 20%, underscoring the aggressive nature of disseminated disease without intervention.[85]Recurrence remains a critical concern following treatment of malignant nodules. Post-resection recurrence occurs in approximately 20% of cases for stage I NSCLC at 5 years, with distant metastases in 10-15% and local recurrence less frequent, often within the first two years, necessitating vigilant follow-up imaging.[86][87] Prognosis for multiple malignant nodules often indicates metastatic disease, with worse outcomes compared to solitary primary lesions. Distant metastases develop in approximately 10-15% of patients within five years after surgery for early-stage disease, with the lungs, brain, and bones as common sites.[88]Several prognostic factors influence outcomes in malignant lung nodules. Smaller tumor size, particularly less than 2 cm, is associated with improved survival compared to larger lesions, as it correlates with lower metastatic potential.[89] Histologically, adenocarcinomas generally confer a better prognosis than squamous cell carcinomas in early stages, though both subtypes benefit from tailored therapies. Molecular markers, such as ALK gene fusions, predict poorer outcomes if left untreated due to rapid progression, but targeted inhibitors can dramatically alter this trajectory.[90]Early detection through low-dose computed tomography screening significantly enhances prognosis by enabling stage shift toward earlier intervention, thereby boosting overall survival by approximately 20%.[91] As of 2025, immunotherapy advancements, including combinations like PD-1 inhibitors with novel agents, have extended median survival to 24 months in advanced metastatic cases, representing a substantial improvement over historical chemotherapy-alone outcomes. Screening programs continue to drive an overall mortality reduction of about 20% in high-risk populations.[92] Management strategies, such as adjuvant therapies post-resection, further mitigate recurrence risks and support these gains.[91]