Fact-checked by Grok 2 weeks ago

Quantum computing

Quantum computing is a paradigm of that leverages quantum-mechanical phenomena, including superposition and entanglement, to manipulate quantum bits (s) within a multidimensional , thereby enabling parallel processing capabilities unattainable by classical bit-based systems for certain complex problems such as and molecular simulation. Unlike classical computers, which operate on deterministic states, quantum systems exploit wave-like and probabilistic amplitudes associated with qubit states to achieve potential exponential speedups in specific algorithms. The conceptual foundations trace back to the 1980s, when physicist proposed simulating quantum systems using quantum hardware, followed by formal models from Paul Benioff and establishing universal quantum Turing machines. A pivotal advancement occurred in 1994 with , which demonstrated that quantum computers could efficiently factor large integers, posing a fundamental threat to widely used public-key encryption schemes like . Experimental milestones include early implementations of on small-scale devices to factor numbers like 15 and 21, alongside demonstrations of and error correction codes. Despite these theoretical and proof-of-concept achievements, practical quantum computing faces severe engineering hurdles, primarily decoherence—wherein lose their due to environmental interactions—and high error rates necessitating robust , which demands thousands of physical qubits per logical qubit for . Current systems operate in the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) , with devices featuring hundreds of qubits but limited by noise thresholds that restrict computational depth and reliability. Claims of quantum , such as Google's 2019 Sycamore experiment solving a contrived sampling task faster than classical supercomputers, have been contested by subsequent classical simulations, underscoring that scalable, utility-scale quantum remains elusive as of 2025. Recent progress includes advancements in logical qubit demonstrations and error rates approaching theoretical thresholds, yet full fault-tolerant quantum computing—essential for broad applications—requires overcoming exponential resource overheads in error correction and achieving cryogenic-scale coherence times. While promising for fields like and optimization, the field's trajectory demands rigorous empirical validation over speculative projections, as systemic challenges in and control electronics persist.

Historical Development

Origins and Theoretical Foundations

In 1980, physicist Paul Benioff developed a microscopic quantum mechanical model of Turing machines, representing computation as a physical process governed by rather than classical discrete steps. This model incorporated reversible quantum operations on a of , allowing for unitary evolution that preserved information without inherent energy dissipation in the ideal case, thereby bridging classical computability with ' continuous evolution. The motivation for quantum-specific computing gained prominence in 1981 when Richard Feynman highlighted the limitations of classical computers in simulating quantum systems. Feynman noted that the state space of a quantum system with n particles scales exponentially as $2^n dimensions due to superposition, rendering classical simulation infeasible for large n as computational resources grow factorially. He proposed constructing a "quantum mechanical computer" whose natural dynamics would mirror quantum physics, enabling efficient simulation through inherent parallelism in quantum evolution rather than explicit enumeration. David Deutsch advanced these foundations in by defining a quantum computer capable of simulating any physical quantum process, extending the Church-Turing thesis to include quantum operations. Deutsch introduced the , which processes superposed inputs via unitary transformations on a quantum tape, exploiting quantum parallelism to compute multiple classical inputs in parallel without intermediate measurement. This framework theoretically predicted speedups over classical computation for problems requiring evaluation of many possibilities, such as distinguishing constant from balanced functions, by leveraging to amplify correct outcomes. These early models emphasized derivation from quantum principles like unitarity and superposition, establishing quantum computing's potential to transcend classical for inherently quantum tasks while remaining in scope.

Key Experimental Milestones

In 1995, researchers at NIST demonstrated the first two-qubit entangling using trapped ions in a Paul trap, realizing a conditional-NOT with sufficient to produce entangled states, a foundational step for quantum computation. This experiment validated the Cirac-Zoller for scalable ion-trap quantum computing by achieving coherent control over motion and internal states. In 1998, the Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm was experimentally implemented for the first time using (NMR) techniques on a three-qubit system of labeled chloroform molecules, demonstrating quantum parallelism to distinguish constant from balanced functions with a single query. This liquid-state NMR approach, leveraging ensemble averaging for signal readout, enabled early proof-of-principle quantum gates with gate fidelities around 99% but was limited by scalability due to pseudopure state preparation. Superconducting qubits emerged in the late , with the first demonstration of and coherent oscillations in a charge-based superconducting qubit in 1999, achieving Rabi oscillations with times of approximately 1 . By the early , advancements included the realization of two-qubit entangling gates in superconducting circuits, such as controlled-phase gates with fidelities exceeding 80% in and implementations around 2003-2005, highlighting the platform's potential for microwave-controlled operations despite challenges from . In 2011, a 14-qubit Greenberger-Horne-Zeilinger (GHZ) state was created using trapped calcium ions, demonstrating multi-qubit entanglement with fidelities above 60% and coherence times scaling quadratically with qubit number due to collective dephasing, providing empirical insight into error accumulation relevant to surface code thresholds. This milestone underscored progress in ion-chain control for fault-tolerant architectures, where entanglement distribution laid groundwork for stabilizer measurements in . By the mid-2010s, superconducting systems scaled to mid-scale processors; deployed a 20- device in via cloud access, featuring two-qubit fidelities of about 95% and for small circuits, enabling benchmarks like random circuit sampling. This progression continued to over 50 qubits by 2019 in superconducting prototypes, with average single-qubit fidelities reaching 99.9% and two-qubit fidelities around 98%, though error rates limited applications beyond noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) regimes. Trapped-ion systems paralleled this, achieving 10+ qubit entangling operations with fidelities over 99% by shuttling ions in segmented traps.

Recent Advances and Claims

In October 2025, Google Quantum AI announced that its Willow quantum processor, a 105-qubit superconducting chip introduced in December 2024, executed the Quantum Echoes algorithm to simulate complex physics problems 13,000 times faster than the Frontier supercomputer, marking a verifiable quantum advantage in a task resistant to classical optimization. This claim builds on error-corrected logical qubits demonstrated below the surface code threshold with Willow, enabling scalable error suppression verified through peer-reviewed benchmarks. Subsequent critiques of Google's earlier 2019 Sycamore quantum supremacy demonstration, which involved random circuit sampling, have persisted post-2020, highlighting potential classical simulability improvements that undermine supremacy assertions, though Willow's focused simulation avoids such ambiguities. IonQ reported achieving a world-record two-qubit gate fidelity of over 99.99% in October 2025 using its trapped-ion platform with Electronic Qubit Control technology, accomplished without resource-intensive ground-state cooling and validated in peer-reviewed technical papers. This milestone enhances gate precision for deeper quantum circuits, with independent analyses confirming the fidelity's implications for fault-tolerant scaling. D-Wave Systems claimed quantum advantage in March 2025 via its annealing quantum computer, performing magnetic materials simulations—modeling quantum phase transitions—in minutes, a task estimated to require nearly one million years on classical supercomputers like . The peer-reviewed results emphasize utility in real-world optimization, distinguishing annealing from gate-based approaches by solving industrially relevant problems beyond classical reach. PsiQuantum advanced photonic quantum scaling in 2025, securing $1 billion in funding in September to develop million-qubit fault-tolerant systems using , with groundbreaking planned for utility-scale deployments. A June study outlined loss-tolerant architectures for photonic qubits, enabling high-fidelity entanglement distribution over scalable networks, supported by monolithic integration benchmarks. Experiments with logical qubits proliferated in 2024–2025, including Microsoft's collaboration with Atom Computing to entangle 24 logical qubits from neutral atoms in November 2024, demonstrating commercial viability for error-corrected computation. detailed a fault-tolerant roadmap in June 2025 using quantum low-density parity-check codes for large-scale memory, while advanced logical fidelity in trapped-ion systems. These efforts prioritize verifiable error rates below correction thresholds, with multiple groups reporting coherence extensions up to 357% for encoded qubits.

Fundamental Concepts

Qubits and Quantum States

A , or quantum bit, is the fundamental unit of , realized as a two-level system capable of existing in superpositions of its basis states, in contrast to a classical bit that holds a definite value of either 0 or 1. The computational basis states, conventionally denoted |0⟩ and |1⟩, correspond to orthonormal vectors in a two-dimensional complex , such as the spin-up and spin-down states of an or the ground and excited states of a . The general pure state of a qubit is a normalized superposition given by |ψ⟩ = α|0⟩ + β|1⟩, where α and β are complex amplitudes satisfying the normalization condition |α|² + |β|² = 1, ensuring the total probability of measurement outcomes sums to unity. This arises from the of the , allowing linear combinations of solutions as valid quantum states. Geometrically, pure qubit states can be represented on the , a unit sphere in three-dimensional real space where the state is parameterized by polar angle θ (0 ≤ θ ≤ π) and azimuthal angle φ (0 ≤ φ < 2π), with |0⟩ at the north pole (θ=0) and |1⟩ at the south pole (θ=π); the expectation values of the Pauli operators σ_x, σ_y, σ_z correspond to the Cartesian coordinates (sinθ cosφ, sinθ sinφ, cosθ). Mixed states, which describe ensembles of pure states due to statistical mixtures or partial tracing over environmental degrees of freedom, are represented by density matrices ρ that are Hermitian, positive semi-definite operators with trace 1; for a qubit, ρ = (1/2)(I + r · σ), where r is the Bloch vector with |r| ≤ 1, reducing to the pure state case when |r| = 1. The no-cloning theorem prohibits the creation of a perfect copy of an arbitrary unknown quantum state, proven by showing that no unitary evolution can map |ψ⟩|0⟩ to |ψ⟩|ψ⟩ for all |ψ⟩ while preserving orthogonality, due to the non-orthogonal nature of distinct superpositions; this linearity-based result underscores a core distinction from classical information, where bits can be cloned indefinitely.

Quantum Gates and Circuits

Quantum gates are reversible unitary operators acting on qubits, implementing the discrete approximation of continuous time evolution governed by the Schrödinger equation under time-independent Hamiltonians. Single-qubit gates include the Pauli operators—X for bit flips (matrix \begin{pmatrix} 0 & 1 \\ 1 & 0 \end{pmatrix}), Y for bit and phase flips (\begin{pmatrix} 0 & -i \\ i & 0 \end{pmatrix}), and Z for phase flips (\begin{pmatrix} 1 & 0 \\ 0 & -1 \end{pmatrix})—along with the Hadamard gate H (\frac{1}{\sqrt{2}} \begin{pmatrix} 1 & 1 \\ 1 & -1 \end{pmatrix}) that creates equal superpositions. Multi-qubit gates, such as the controlled-NOT (CNOT), apply a Pauli X to a target qubit conditional on the control qubit's state, enabling entanglement between qubits. These gates preserve the norm of quantum states and are physically realizable through controlled interactions in quantum hardware. A universal gate set, such as the Pauli gates combined with Hadamard and CNOT, suffices to approximate any multi-qubit unitary operation to arbitrary precision via Solovay-Kitaev decomposition, establishing the gate model's expressive power for quantum computation. Quantum circuits model computation as sequences of such gates applied in parallel to qubit wires, forming a directed acyclic graph, with projective measurements in the computational basis at the end to extract classical probabilistic outcomes. Arbitrary quantum circuits defy efficient classical simulation in general, as the exponential growth in Hilbert space dimension ( $2^n for n qubits) renders state-vector tracking intractable without exploitable structure like low entanglement. Alternative paradigms include adiabatic quantum computing, which evolves a system slowly from an initial Hamiltonian with known ground state to a problem Hamiltonian, relying on the to remain in the instantaneous ground state for solution readout, and is polynomially equivalent to the gate model. Measurement-based quantum computation, conversely, preprocesses highly entangled cluster states and drives universality through adaptive single-qubit measurements and feedforward corrections, offering fault-tolerance advantages in certain architectures without direct gate implementations.

Entanglement, Superposition, and Measurement

In quantum computing, superposition allows a qubit to occupy multiple states simultaneously, represented mathematically as a linear combination |\psi\rangle = \alpha |0\rangle + \beta |1\rangle, where \alpha and \beta are complex coefficients satisfying |\alpha|^2 + |\beta|^2 = 1. This principle, derived from the linearity of the , enables a single qubit to encode an infinite continuum of states on the Bloch sphere, facilitating the exploration of exponentially many possibilities in multi-qubit systems without classical analogs. Entanglement describes correlated quantum states that cannot be expressed as a product of individual subsystem states, exemplified by Bell states such as the maximally entangled two-qubit state \frac{1}{\sqrt{2}} (|00\rangle + |11\rangle). These states exhibit correlations violating , empirically confirming quantum mechanics over local hidden variable theories proposed in the 1935 , which questioned the completeness of quantum theory due to apparent instantaneous influences. Entanglement's monogamy property restricts its shareability: if one qubit is maximally entangled with another, it cannot be significantly entangled with a third, limiting multipartite correlations in quantum information processing. Quantum measurement projects the system onto an eigenstate of the observable, with outcomes governed by the : the probability of measuring |0\rangle is |\alpha|^2 and |1\rangle is |\beta|^2, collapsing the superposition into a classical bit. This irreversible process extracts usable classical output from quantum computations but destroys , necessitating interference effects beforehand to amplify desired amplitudes. Interference arises from the wave-like superposition of probability amplitudes, where relative phases determine constructive enhancement or destructive cancellation of paths. Phase kicks—controlled rotations altering these phases—enable selective amplification of target states' amplitudes, boosting their measurement probabilities while suppressing others, a core mechanism for quantum parallelism beyond mere superposition.

Theoretical Framework

Quantum Algorithms

Quantum algorithms utilize principles such as superposition and entanglement to perform computations that can offer speedups relative to classical algorithms for particular problems. Shor's algorithm, developed by Peter Shor in 1994, factors an integer N into its prime factors using a quantum computer in polynomial time, specifically with a complexity of O((log N)^3) operations, providing an exponential speedup over the best known classical algorithms which require subexponential time. The algorithm employs a quantum Fourier transform to efficiently determine the period of the function f(x) = a^x mod N, where a is a randomly chosen integer coprime to N; this period finding step exploits quantum parallelism to achieve the speedup, enabling subsequent classical post-processing to extract the factors. Grover's algorithm, introduced by Lov Grover in 1996, addresses unstructured search problems, such as finding a marked item in an unsorted database of N entries, requiring only O(√N) oracle queries compared to the classical O(N) lower bound, yielding a quadratic speedup. The procedure iteratively applies an oracle that amplifies the amplitude of the target state and a diffusion operator that reflects probabilities about the mean, converging after approximately π/4 * √N iterations to a probability near 1 for measuring the solution. This advantage, while polynomial, can be substantial for large N and forms the basis for amplitude amplification techniques in other quantum algorithms. Quantum simulation algorithms enable the efficient modeling of quantum systems on quantum hardware, a task intractable for classical computers in general due to exponential state space growth. One key approach is , which approximates the time evolution operator e^{-iHt} for a Hamiltonian H as a product of short-time exponentials of its commuting terms, with error controllable by the number of Trotter steps; higher-order formulas reduce the approximation error from O(t^2/n) to smaller orders for n steps and evolution time t. This method underpins digital simulations of molecular dynamics and condensed matter systems, offering potential exponential scaling advantages for problems where classical approximations like falter. For near-term noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices, hybrid algorithms like the variational quantum eigensolver (VQE), proposed by Peruzzo et al. in 2014, approximate ground state energies of Hamiltonians by optimizing parameterized quantum circuits variationally. The quantum processor prepares trial states and measures expectation values, while a classical optimizer adjusts parameters to minimize the variational energy upper bound, mitigating noise through shallow circuits and avoiding full fault-tolerant requirements. VQE targets chemistry and materials problems but lacks proven general speedups, relying on empirical performance in regimes where quantum correlations capture correlations intractable classically. Quantum annealing addresses combinatorial optimization by evolving a system adiabatically from an initial Hamiltonian with known ground state to a problem Hamiltonian encoding the objective function, aiming to remain in the ground state throughout. This heuristic maps problems to the , leveraging quantum tunneling to escape local minima unlike classical simulated annealing, though theoretical guarantees are limited to adiabatic conditions satisfied only for sufficiently slow evolution; practical implementations show advantages in specific hard instances but not universal exponential speedup.

Computational Complexity

Bounded-error quantum polynomial time (BQP) is the complexity class consisting of decision problems solvable by a quantum Turing machine in polynomial time, with the probability of error bounded by 1/3 for infinitely many input lengths. Formally, it includes languages where there exists a polynomial-time uniform family of quantum circuits such that for yes-instances, the acceptance probability is at least 2/3, and for no-instances, at most 1/3. It is established that P ⊆ BQP ⊆ PSPACE, with the upper bound following from the polynomial-space solvability of quantum circuits via classical simulation techniques. The precise relationship between BQP and NP remains unresolved, though prevailing conjecture holds that NP ⊈ BQP, as quantum computers are not believed to efficiently solve NP-complete problems like 3-SAT without additional structure. Similarly, the position of BQP relative to the polynomial hierarchy (PH) is open; while BQP might intersect PH non-trivially, it is suspected neither to contain PH nor be contained within it. These uncertainties underscore that quantum polynomial-time computation does not straightforwardly subsume classical nondeterminism, despite quantum advantages in specific structured problems. Oracle separations highlight potential divergences between quantum and classical complexity classes. For instance, Simon's problem provides a black-box oracle where quantum query complexity is linear in the input size n, while any classical randomized algorithm requires Ω(2^{n/2}) queries in the worst case, establishing a relative separation BQP^O ⊈ BPP^O for the Simon oracle O. This query model separation relativizes to demonstrate that quantum access to oracles can yield exponential advantages unavailable classically, though it does not resolve absolute separations due to the limitations of relativization. Further relativized results separate BQP from PH: there exist oracles A such that PH^A ⊆ BQP^A (e.g., via PSPACE oracles enhancing quantum power) and oracles B (such as the BBBV forrelation oracle) where BQP^B ⊈ PH^B, placing NP outside BQP relative to B. These bidirectional separations imply that techniques relativizing to both quantum and classical models cannot settle whether BQP ⊆ PH or vice versa. In the fault-tolerant regime, where error correction enables reliable polynomial-time quantum computation, the associated complexity class remains BQP, as overhead from error-correcting codes is polynomial under the quantum threshold theorem, preserving the core definitional bounds without expanding the class beyond known inclusions.

Limits and Impossibilities

Quantum computers provide no known polynomial-time algorithms for NP-complete problems, and it is widely conjectured that the complexity class does not contain , implying no general speedup for such problems. This belief stems from the observation that quantum speedups typically require problem structure exploitable by interference or entanglement, which NP-complete problems lack in their verification definition, as argued by complexity theorist . Although unproven, relativization and natural proof barriers suggest quantum algorithms cannot collapse into without resolving long-standing open questions in classical complexity. In the black-box query model, where algorithms access an oracle without exploiting internal structure, proven lower bounds limit quantum advantages. For unstructured search over an unsorted database of size N, Grover's algorithm requires \Theta(\sqrt{N}) queries to find a marked item with high probability, and this quadratic speedup over classical \Theta(N) is optimal: any quantum algorithm needs \Omega(\sqrt{N}) queries, as established by polynomial method lower bounds in quantum query complexity. This impossibility arises because quantum queries approximate acceptance probabilities via low-degree polynomials, constraining the distinguishing power against unstructured oracles. Quantum theory imposes information-theoretic and thermodynamic constraints rooted in unitarity and reversibility. Unitary evolution preserves von Neumann entropy, requiring computations to be logically reversible except at measurement, where projection discards information and incurs irreversibility; this aligns with no-cloning and no-deletion theorems, preventing arbitrary state duplication or erasure without auxiliary systems. Thermodynamically, ideal quantum gates dissipate no heat due to reversibility, but physical implementation of measurement and reset obeys Landauer's bound of kT \ln 2 per erased bit, limiting error-free operation without energy costs proportional to information processed. These principles ensure quantum computation cannot violate causal structure or extract work indefinitely from closed systems, bounding efficiency by second-law constraints.

Physical Implementations

Hardware Platforms

Superconducting qubits, often implemented as transmon circuits comprising superconducting loops with Josephson junctions, represent one of the most mature platforms, requiring dilution refrigerator cooling to millikelvin temperatures for operation via microwave pulses. These systems achieve gate times on the order of 10–100 nanoseconds, enabling high-speed computations, but are constrained by coherence times typically spanning 10–100 microseconds due to coupling with environmental phonons and two-level defects. Scalability leverages semiconductor-like lithographic fabrication for 2D or 3D chip architectures, though initial connectivity is limited to fixed nearest-neighbor or lattice patterns. Trapped ion qubits exploit internal electronic states of ions, such as ytterbium or calcium, held in Paul or Penning traps and manipulated by laser fields for state preparation, gates, and readout. This approach yields coherence times up to seconds or even minutes under vacuum isolation, with two-qubit gate fidelities routinely above 99.9%, facilitated by native all-to-all connectivity through shared motional modes. Gate operations, however, proceed more slowly at 10–100 microseconds, reflecting the need for precise laser addressing and potential ion shuttling for modular scaling. Photonic qubits encode quantum information in properties like polarization, time-bin, or spatial modes of photons, processed using beam splitters, phase shifters, and detectors in integrated silicon or silica waveguides. Operating at or near room temperature, they exhibit negligible decoherence over long distances in fiber optics, with gate speeds potentially reaching picoseconds for single-photon operations. Scalability hinges on measurement-based or fusion-based architectures to overcome probabilistic Bell-state measurements for entanglement generation, though non-deterministic elements limit efficiency. Neutral atom qubits, typically alkali atoms like rubidium or strontium trapped in optical tweezers arrays, utilize ground or Rydberg excited states for qubit encoding, with interactions induced via van der Waals forces in Rydberg blockade regimes. Coherence times range from milliseconds to seconds, supported by low-temperature operation in vacuum, while gate speeds align with laser pulse durations in the microsecond regime. This platform enables dynamic reconfiguration of qubit arrays for flexible connectivity and parallel gate execution, positioning it for intermediate-scale scaling through automated trap reloading. Other approaches include topological qubits proposed via Majorana zero modes in semiconductor-superconductor hybrids, offering theoretical robustness to local noise through non-local encoding, though practical realization remains elusive with ongoing challenges in mode detection and braiding operations. Nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) qubits, based on nuclear spins in liquid molecules probed by radiofrequency pulses, demonstrated early quantum algorithms but suffer from ensemble averaging and short effective coherence for single-molecule control, rendering them unsuitable for scalable fault-tolerant computing. Silicon spin qubits, confined in quantum dots or donors, achieve coherence times exceeding seconds at cryogenic temperatures, benefiting from mature CMOS-compatible fabrication, with gate speeds in the nanosecond range via electron spin resonance or exchange interactions, though precise control of spin-orbit effects poses hurdles. Trade-offs across platforms center on coherence versus operational speed and connectivity: trapped ions and neutral atoms prioritize extended coherence and versatile interactions at the expense of slower gates, suiting algorithms tolerant of lower clock rates, whereas superconducting systems favor rapid cycles and fabrication scalability despite heightened sensitivity to noise, influencing suitability for near-term noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices. Photonic and silicon variants extend potential for distributed or hybrid systems but require advances in deterministic control to compete.

Device Specifications and Performance Metrics

Google's Willow quantum processor, announced in December 2024 and demonstrated in simulations through October 2025, features 105 superconducting with advancements in error-corrected logical , enabling algorithms that outperform classical supercomputers by factors up to 13,000 in specific physics tasks. The chip's architecture supports low-error two-qubit gates, though exact fidelity figures remain proprietary beyond demonstrations of scalable error reduction below classical noise thresholds. IBM's Condor processor, a superconducting system with 1,121 physical , prioritizes scale over per-qubit fidelity, achieving performance metrics comparable to its 433-qubit predecessor , including two-qubit gate error rates around 1% in operational benchmarks. Coherence times (T1 relaxation and T2 dephasing) for its typically exceed 100 microseconds in optimized conditions, but noise accumulation limits effective circuit depths to thousands of gates without correction. IonQ's Aria, a trapped-ion platform with 25 qubits and an algorithmic qubit (#AQ) rating of 25, delivers two-qubit gate fidelities of 99.99% (error rate of 0.01%) as of October 2025, supporting circuits with up to 400 entangling operations. This high fidelity stems from electronic qubit control, yielding longer coherence times—often milliseconds for ion storage—compared to superconducting alternatives. Across leading systems, single-qubit gate errors fall below 0.1%, while two-qubit errors range from 0.01% in ion traps to 0.5-1% in larger superconducting arrays; T1/T2 times in best-case superconducting qubits surpass 100 microseconds, with ions achieving superior isolation from environmental noise. Globally, operational quantum devices number approximately 100-200 as of 2025, with most featuring fewer than 100 physical qubits and negligible logical qubit capacity absent error correction, as high qubit counts correlate with elevated noise floors.
SystemQubit TypePhysical QubitsTwo-Qubit FidelityKey Benchmark
Google WillowSuperconducting105<1% error (demo)13,000x classical speedup
IBM CondorSuperconducting1,121~1% errorCircuits ~5,000 gates deep
IonQ AriaTrapped Ion2599.99%#AQ 25, 400+ entangling gates

Quantum Error Correction Requirements

The threshold theorem establishes that fault-tolerant quantum computation is possible if the physical error rate per operation falls below a code-specific threshold, allowing logical error rates to be suppressed arbitrarily by increasing the code distance and resource overhead. This theorem relies on error models assuming independent, local errors, with thresholds derived from simulations or proofs for specific codes under circuit-level noise, typically ranging from 0.1% to 1% per gate for viable fault-tolerance. Operating above this threshold leads to error propagation that overwhelms correction, rendering scalable computation infeasible, while below it, the logical fidelity improves exponentially with code size. The surface code exemplifies practical requirements, achieving thresholds near 1% under depolarizing noise but demanding a physical-to-logical qubit ratio of approximately 1000:1 to 10,000:1 for fault-tolerant logical operations with cycle times on the order of microseconds and logical error rates below 10^{-10}. This overhead arises from the code's 2D lattice structure, where data and ancilla qubits enable stabilizer measurements for detecting bit-flip and phase-flip errors, necessitating repeated syndrome extractions to maintain coherence. Alternative stabilizer codes, such as the Steane [[7,1,3]] code, reduce the base ratio to 7:1 by correcting single-qubit errors via transversal gates, but fault-tolerant implementations require concatenation or modified decoding, inflating total resources beyond surface code levels for large-scale circuits. Color codes offer a geometric alternative with comparable thresholds (up to 1-2% in some variants) and lower overhead in 3D or defect-based layouts, potentially halving space-time costs for certain entangling operations through inherent multi-qubit stabilizers. Active error correction, the standard paradigm, involves projective measurements on ancilla qubits to extract syndrome information without collapsing the logical state, followed by classical decoding and unitary corrections, enabling real-time mitigation of at rates matching the physical clock. Passive approaches, such as encoding in decoherence-free subspaces or topological invariants, provide inherent protection against collective noise without measurement but fail against uncorrelated errors, limiting their utility to specific environments and necessitating hybrid active schemes for general fault-tolerance. Concatenated codes, foundational to early threshold proofs, impose recursive levels of correction where each logical gate is decomposed into a block of sub-codes, but their overhead grows as (1/p)^{O(d)}—with p the physical error rate and d the depth—capping scalability unless p << threshold, thus favoring constant-distance codes like surface variants for practical overheads under 10^4 qubits per logical unit. These requirements imply that physical platforms must deliver gate fidelities exceeding 99% consistently to approach viability, with syndrome extraction latencies below decoherence times (typically 10-100 μs).

Engineering Challenges

Decoherence and Environmental Noise

Decoherence refers to the irreversible loss of quantum coherence in qubits due to entanglement with environmental degrees of freedom, effectively transitioning pure quantum states into mixed classical-like states via the system-bath interaction Hamiltonian H = H_S + H_B + H_{SB}, where H_S is the system Hamiltonian, H_B the bath, and H_{SB} the coupling term. This process is fundamentally causal, driven by uncontrollable energy exchanges that leak quantum information into the bath, such as vibrational phonons in solid-state hosts or photonic modes in electromagnetic environments. In superconducting qubits, coupling to stray photons via dielectric losses or radiation dominates relaxation, while phonon-assisted processes contribute in semiconductor-based systems. The rate of decoherence is quantified by the longitudinal relaxation time T_1, which measures the decay of qubit population from excited to ground state, and the transverse relaxation time T_2, incorporating both T_1 effects and pure dephasing T_\phi via $1/T_2 = 1/(2T_1) + 1/T_\phi. Empirical measurements reveal stark platform differences: superconducting transmon qubits typically exhibit T_1 and T_2 values of 30–100 μs, limited by charge and flux noise coupling to two-level defects and quasiparticles. In contrast, trapped-ion qubits achieve T_2 times of 1 ms or longer, up to seconds in optimized setups, owing to weaker coupling to phonons in the ion trap and lower sensitivity to magnetic field fluctuations. These disparities arise from the qubits' physical encoding—Josephson junctions in superconductors introduce inherent dissipation pathways absent in isolated ionic spins. Mitigation strategies focus on engineering the interaction dynamics, with dynamical decoupling (DD) employing sequences of rapid π-pulses to refocus dephasing noise by reversing phase accumulation in the rotating frame, effectively extending T_2 without encoding overhead. Demonstrations in superconducting systems have shown DD sequences like improving gate fidelity by suppressing low-frequency noise, with coherence extensions from tens to hundreds of μs in multi-qubit arrays. In ion traps, DD similarly counters motional phonon-induced errors, achieving effective lifetimes rivaling T_1 limits. Noise spectroscopy techniques probe the bath's power spectral density S(\omega) by analyzing qubit evolution under controlled perturbations, revealing correlations between decoherence rates and environmental spectra. Common findings include quasi-universal 1/f-type noise at low frequencies across platforms, stemming from charge traps or flux lines, which DD partially filters but cannot eliminate without cryogenic isolation improvements. Such diagnostics underscore that while platform-specific baths (e.g., photonic losses in circuits vs. phonon baths in ions) vary, the resulting Gaussian noise approximations hold broadly, informing Hamiltonian models for error prediction.

Scalability and Fidelity Barriers

Scaling quantum processors to thousands or millions of qubits requires exponential increases in control resources, including wiring for microwave signals and cryogenic infrastructure, which introduce bottlenecks in 2D architectures where qubit connectivity grows quadratically while routing space does not. In planar superconducting qubit arrays, crosstalk between control lines rises with density, degrading signal integrity and necessitating advanced shielding or 3D stacking, yet even these exacerbate thermal loads at millikelvin temperatures. Cryogenic dilution refrigerators, essential for maintaining qubit coherence, face scaling limits as heat dissipation from additional amplifiers and cables demands larger, more complex cooling stages, with power requirements potentially exceeding kilowatts for systems beyond 1000 qubits. Fidelity of quantum gates empirically degrades as qubit counts increase beyond approximately 100, due to accumulated noise from imperfect controls and environmental coupling, with two-qubit gate fidelities plateauing around 99% in current noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices despite optimizations. Measurements on superconducting processors show that error rates per gate operation rise with circuit depth and qubit participation, limiting viable computations to shallow circuits of 10-20 layers before errors overwhelm outputs. This degradation stems from causal factors like capacitive crosstalk and flux noise, which amplify in larger arrays, as observed in benchmarks where multi-qubit fidelity drops by factors of 10^{-2} to 10^{-3} per additional interacting qubit. Achieving fault-tolerant quantum computing demands physical error rates below thresholds like 0.1-1% for , yet 2025-era devices operate at 0.5-2% for two-qubit gates, far exceeding requirements for scalable logical qubits without prohibitive overhead. in NISQ regimes mitigate some errors via iterative classical feedback but are constrained to circuit depths under 100 gates, as noise accumulation renders deeper executions statistically indistinguishable from random outputs. These barriers imply that transitioning to fault-tolerant regimes necessitates not just qubit scaling but orders-of-magnitude fidelity improvements, with empirical plateaus indicating fundamental engineering hurdles rather than transient artifacts.

Resource Overhead and Control Systems

Quantum computers require extensive classical control infrastructure to manipulate qubits precisely, as quantum operations demand high-fidelity addressing and timing at the nanosecond scale. In superconducting qubit systems, microwave pulses generated at room temperature are transmitted through coaxial cables and attenuated filters to the millikelvin environment, enabling single-qubit rotations and two-qubit entangling gates via resonant interactions with qubit circuits. For trapped-ion platforms, individual qubit addressing relies on laser beams directed via acousto-optic deflectors or spatial light modulators to excite specific ions in a chain, facilitating state preparation, gates, and readout through optical transitions. These control signals must account for cryogenic wiring heat loads and electromagnetic crosstalk, imposing fundamental limits from control theory on pulse shaping and synchronization. Feedback loops integrate real-time measurement data to stabilize qubit states against drift and noise, employing classical processors for rapid correction via adaptive pulse sequences or dynamical decoupling. In spin-qubit systems, two-axis feedback adjusts magnetic fields or voltages based on continuous monitoring, achieving stabilization times under microseconds. Quantum feedback models incorporate measurement back-action in Markovian dynamics, deriving control laws that exponentially stabilize target superpositions despite stochastic perturbations. Such systems demand low-latency classical electronics, often cryogenic amplifiers to minimize signal degradation, highlighting the hybrid quantum-classical architecture essential for fault-tolerant operation. Cryogenic infrastructure dominates resource overhead, with dilution refrigerators maintaining superconducting qubits at 10-50 millikelvin to suppress thermal excitations, requiring 5-10 kW of electrical power for lab-scale systems with cooling capacities of 250-600 μW at 100 mK. Scaling to millions of qubits exacerbates heat interception from dense wiring and amplifiers, necessitating high 4 K cooling powers and modular designs like the Colossus refrigerator, which spans meters in volume for enhanced capacity. Projections for 1 million-qubit processors indicate facility-scale cryogenic volumes and power demands, driven by thermal management challenges in maintaining coherence across vast qubit arrays. Verification of quantum hardware relies on classical simulation, but tensor network methods face exponential costs beyond ~50 qubits for generic circuits, limiting exact checks to small-scale devices and necessitating approximate techniques prone to inaccuracies in noisy regimes. These bounds underscore the overhead in classical resources for benchmarking, as full simulation of fault-tolerant thresholds requires hybrid approaches blending tensor contractions with empirical noise models.

Achievements and Verifiable Demonstrations

Quantum Supremacy Experiments

In October 2019, Google researchers reported achieving quantum supremacy using the Sycamore superconducting processor with 53 functional qubits arranged in a 2D grid. The experiment executed random quantum circuits of varying depths up to 20 cycles, focusing on random circuit sampling—a task designed to produce output bitstrings from measuring the quantum state after applying random single- and two-qubit gates. Google claimed the processor completed sampling one million ideal distributions in approximately 200 seconds, estimating that the Summit supercomputer would require about 10,000 years for an equivalent task under their model of classical hardness. Verification employed cross-entropy benchmarking (XEB), a metric that computes the fidelity between empirical quantum outputs and ideal probability distributions by averaging the log of measured probabilities against predicted ones, yielding an XEB score indicating deviation from classical random guessing. Critiques of the Google claim centered on overestimations of classical simulation difficulty, as the circuit structure and noise model allowed optimizations like tensor network contractions or low-rank approximations that reduced effective complexity. IBM researchers demonstrated that a classical simulation using adaptive methods and better storage could perform the task in 2.5 days on a supercomputer, challenging the 10,000-year benchmark by exploiting correlations in the quantum Fourier transform representation of the circuits. Further analysis showed that classical tensor network algorithms scaled better than anticipated for the specific random circuit ensembles, with subsequent 2022 simulations on classical hardware replicating Sycamore outputs in under a week, highlighting that supremacy hinged on contrived assumptions rather than insurmountable classical barriers. These findings underscore that quantum supremacy definitions require rigorous proof of no efficient classical algorithm, which post-experiment refinements undermined for RCS tasks. In December 2020, the University of Science and Technology of China (USTC) announced quantum advantage with the Jiuzhang photonic processor, a 144-mode Gaussian boson sampling device using squeezed light sources and linear optical interferometers. The setup generated up to 76 detected photons, performing sampling from the probability distribution of photon bunching patterns, which Google estimated would take supercomputers 2.5 billion years to match at scale, versus Jiuzhang's 200 seconds for equivalent samples. Unlike gate-based RCS, boson sampling exploits permanent computation hardness for multi-particle interference, with verification through heavy-top output probabilities—focusing on high-likelihood events verifiable against classical predictions—and comparison to simulated distributions under lossy conditions. Critics noted potential classical shortcuts via approximate methods like mean-field theory or truncated Hilbert space simulations, arguing that practical photon loss and detection inefficiencies reduce the regime of true intractability, though no full classical replication has matched Jiuzhang's output fidelity at the reported scale. Cross-entropy benchmarking, as used in gate-model experiments, provides a scalable verification proxy by estimating circuit fidelity without full output enumeration, but its reliability assumes accurate noise characterization and ideal distribution knowledge; for photonic systems like , analogous metrics rely on partial sampling statistics, leaving room for debate on whether observed advantages stem from fundamental quantum effects or engineering artifacts amenable to classical mimicry. These experiments illustrate supremacy claims for non-useful sampling tasks, where empirical outperformance depends on task-specific hardness proofs resistant to algorithmic advances.

Algorithmic Speedups and Benchmarks

Implementations of Grover's search algorithm on superconducting quantum processors have demonstrated the core oracle and diffusion operations for small databases, such as 2- to 4-item searches, achieving success probabilities up to 80% after error mitigation, though runtime comparisons reveal no net speedup over classical exhaustive search due to overhead from gate errors and measurement collapses exceeding the theoretical quadratic advantage for tiny N. Larger-scale characterizations on up to 20-qubit systems report trace speeds correlating with partial quantum advantages in pure-state executions, but practical runtimes remain dominated by decoherence, yielding effective speeds comparable to optimized classical brute-force for unstructured search instances. These experiments highlight algorithmic fidelity over speedup, as contrived small-N cases mask the absence of verifiable quadratic gains in non-trivial, noise-limited hardware. The variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) has been benchmarked for ground-state energy estimation of diatomic molecules like H₂ and HeH⁺ on 4- to 8-qubit devices, converging to classical full configuration interaction (FCI) values within chemical accuracy (1.6 mHa) after hundreds of iterations, with hybrid classical-quantum loops reducing circuit depth by adapting ansatzes like UCCSD. For LiH, ion-trap implementations yield potential energy curves matching classical coupled-cluster results, but total wall-clock times (seconds to minutes per evaluation) exceed dedicated classical quantum chemistry software like Psi4 for these toy systems, where VQE's advantage emerges only in error-mitigated variance reduction rather than raw computation speed. Benchmarks on superconducting platforms for the hydrogen molecule further show VQE outperforming Trotterized time-evolution in convergence speed for shallow circuits, yet classical simulators replicate these results instantaneously, underscoring VQE's role in proof-of-principle rather than practical acceleration for systems solvable classically. Quantum annealing via D-Wave systems has produced empirical speedups in hybrid solvers for quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problems, such as Max-Cut instances, where the Advantage processor achieves near-optimal solutions 10-20 times faster than simulated annealing or tabu search heuristics on contrived graphs up to thousands of variables, with solution quality within 0.013% of classical bounds. Comparisons on diverse case studies, including logistics routing, reveal D-Wave's coherent annealing regime approaching ground states quicker than classical solvers for energy-minimization tasks when embedding efficiency exceeds 50%, though pure QPU runs lag hybrids due to limited connectivity. For practical industrial benchmarks like pooling and blending, D-Wave hybrids solve scaled instances in under a minute versus hours for Gurobi MIP solvers, but advantages diminish on dense, real-world problems where classical heuristics scale polynomially without embedding penalties. These results distinguish annealing's niche in approximate optimization from gate-based universality, with speedups tied to problem hardness rather than universal quantum effects. Empirical runtime comparisons for quantum simulation of small Hamiltonians, such as transverse-field Ising models on 4-6 qubits, show NISQ devices completing trotterized evolutions in milliseconds per step versus classical exact diagonalization's negligible time on GPUs, but no intractability arises until 40+ qubits where classical tensor networks remain competitive. Hybrid VQE simulations of molecular vibronic spectra for H₂O demonstrate reduced parameter counts enabling faster convergence than purely classical MCSCF for noisy intermediate-scale regimes, yet overall benchmarks confirm classical emulators outperform for verifiable small-system fidelity without fault tolerance. Distinctions between contrived random instances and practical chemistry workloads reveal that current speedups, where present, stem from variational heuristics amplified by quantum sampling variance, not exponential separation, with classical benchmarks consistently matching or exceeding quantum runtimes adjusted for error correction overhead.

Recent Hardware Milestones

In October 2025, Google Quantum AI announced the first demonstration of verifiable quantum advantage using its Willow superconducting quantum processor, achieving a 13,000-fold speedup over the Frontier supercomputer—the world's fastest at the time—in a physics simulation of quantum dynamics known as the Quantum Echoes experiment. This involved executing algorithms on a 65-qubit subsystem that classical systems could not complete within 10 septillion years, with results validated through peer-reviewed analysis confirming exponential scaling advantages. Willow, unveiled in December 2024 with 105 transmon qubits, incorporated advanced error-corrected logical qubits, yielding single-qubit gate fidelities of 99.97%, two-qubit entangling gate fidelities of 99.88%, and readout fidelities of 99.5%, marking a threshold where error rates decrease with scale rather than increase. IonQ achieved a world-record two-qubit gate fidelity exceeding 99.99% in October 2025 using its trapped-ion platform and electronic qubit control technology, surpassing the prior 99.97% benchmark from 2024 and enabling demonstrations of multi-qubit logical operations with error rates below 0.01%. Technical papers accompanying the result detailed randomized benchmarking protocols confirming the fidelity across IonQ's Aria and Tempo systems, supporting initial scaling to fault-tolerant logical qubits. In quantum annealing, D-Wave's superconducting processors demonstrated beyond-classical computation in March 2025, outperforming classical supercomputers in generating low-energy samples for magnetic materials simulations that aligned closely with solutions to the Schrödinger equation, as verified in peer-reviewed experiments. A concurrent USC study further showed quantum annealing solving approximate optimization problems faster than classical methods on real hardware, with advantages scaling to larger instances. Progress in networking noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices accelerated in 2025, with architectures linking multiple processors via entanglement distribution to extend effective qubit counts and mitigate individual device limitations, as evidenced by industry benchmarks toward modular quantum systems.

Skepticism and Criticisms

Fundamental Theoretical Doubts

Mathematician has proposed the noise stability conjecture, asserting that realistic local noise models in quantum systems prevent the robust generation of highly entangled states essential for scalable quantum computation, as noise effects accumulate to favor classical-like error correlations rather than allowing fault-tolerant quantum error correction. argues that under independent local noise, the probability of maintaining global entanglement decays exponentially with system size, implying that quantum advantages in computation cannot emerge without synchronized error suppression, which contradicts empirical noise behaviors observed in physical systems. Physicist Roger Penrose contends that quantum superpositions in macroscopic systems, such as those required for large-scale , undergo objective collapse due to gravitational self-energy differences, leading to rapid decoherence on timescales far shorter than those needed for coherent computation. In Penrose's model, the instability time \tau \approx \hbar / E_G—where E_G is the gravitational self-energy of the superposition—scales inversely with mass separation, rendering stable entanglement infeasible for qubit arrays beyond minimal scales without invoking unphysical isolation from spacetime curvature effects. This mechanism posits a fundamental causal limit rooted in general relativity's incompatibility with prolonged quantum coherence, independent of environmental interactions. Gerard 't Hooft, advocating for an underlying deterministic cellular automaton framework beneath quantum mechanics, questions the ontological status of superpositions as fundamental, suggesting that apparent quantum indeterminacy emerges from epistemic limitations rather than intrinsic reality, which could preclude the error-free unitary evolution assumed in scalable quantum computing models. 't Hooft's perspective implies that quantum computation's reliance on Hilbert space dynamics may collapse under a more complete theory where locality and determinism enforce classical bounds on entanglement propagation, rendering fault-tolerant scaling causally implausible without resolving quantum mechanics' foundational inconsistencies. Theoretical computer scientist Scott Aaronson has acknowledged that scalable quantum computing remains conceivably impossible due to undiscovered fundamental physical constraints, such as hidden no-go theorems in quantum field theory or relativity that cap entanglement fidelity irrespective of engineering mitigations. While Aaronson maintains optimism for theoretical feasibility, he notes the absence of proofs ruling out barriers like non-local noise amplification or thermodynamic prohibitions on reversing decoherence, emphasizing that empirical progress has not yet falsified such foundational skepticism. These doubts highlight potential causal realities where quantum foundations intrinsically resist the idealized isolation of computational subspaces from broader physical laws.

Empirical and Practical Critiques

Current noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices suffer from gate error rates typically exceeding 0.1% to 1%, far above the thresholds required for fault-tolerant quantum computing, limiting coherent operations to depths of mere hundreds of gates and rendering complex algorithms infeasible. These error rates persist despite incremental hardware improvements, as environmental noise and imperfect controls amplify cumulative failures in multi-qubit interactions, confining NISQ systems to contrived tasks without practical utility. Demonstrations of Shor's algorithm remain restricted to trivial instances, such as factoring numbers up to 221 or breaking 5-bit elliptic curve keys on 133-qubit processors, orders of magnitude below the scale needed to threaten , which demands millions of logical qubits with error correction. No empirical evidence exists of scalable implementations approaching cryptographic relevance, as qubit counts and fidelities fall short of the exponential resources required. Claims of quantum supremacy, such as Google's 2019 Sycamore experiment, have been replicated via classical simulations on GPUs, demonstrating that specialized classical algorithms can match or exceed purported quantum speedups for random circuit sampling tasks. Similar doubts surround recent assertions, including D-Wave's 2025 optimization supremacy, where classical benchmarks reveal feasible approximations without quantum hardware. These simulations highlight that NISQ outputs often lack verifiable advantage over optimized classical methods, particularly for problems with structure exploitable by tensor networks or tensor contractions. Microsoft's February 2025 claim of a topological qubit using in its Majorana 1 chip has encountered substantial skepticism from the quantum community, including critiques of measurement protocols, insufficient peer-reviewed evidence, and internal debates questioning the detection of non-Abelian braiding statistics essential for fault tolerance. Independent validations remain absent, with physicists noting that prior Microsoft Majorana reports faced retractions or corrections, underscoring reliability concerns in topological qubit pursuits. Such unresolved empirical disputes exemplify broader challenges in achieving stable, utility-scale qubits beyond constraints.

Hype, Investment, and Timeline Realism

Global investments in quantum computing have exceeded $40 billion by 2025, encompassing government initiatives, venture capital, and corporate funding, yet this substantial outlay has produced no broadly deployable commercial applications capable of outperforming classical computers in practical tasks. Early predictions in the 2000s and 2010s anticipated scalable, fault-tolerant quantum computers by the 2020s, but persistent technical barriers have deferred such milestones, with current systems limited to noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices unsuitable for real-world utility beyond contrived demonstrations. Media portrayals often frame quantum supremacy experiments, such as Google's 2019 Sycamore demonstration, as harbingers of revolutionary breakthroughs, exaggerating their scope as evidence of imminent universal quantum advantage; in reality, these achievements involved sampling random quantum circuits—a narrow, non-useful task verifiable only through contrived benchmarks, not indicative of broader computational superiority or practical value. Expert assessments, drawing from surveys of academics and industry leaders, converge on timelines of 10 to 20 years or more for cryptographically relevant or fault-tolerant quantum computers, underscoring the gap between promotional narratives and empirical progress amid error rates and scalability hurdles. The trajectory mirrors historical hype cycles in nuclear fusion research, where decades of optimistic projections and escalating investments have yielded incremental advances without commercial viability, prompting comparisons that highlight quantum computing's similar pattern of perpetual "10 years away" promises despite specialized tools like quantum annealers offering niche optimization benefits absent universal gate-model capabilities. These annealers, while demonstrating value in select annealing-based problems, do not equate to the programmable, error-corrected universal quantum computers required for Shor- or Grover-style algorithm implementations, reinforcing skepticism about near-term transformative impacts.

Applications and Impacts

Cryptography and Post-Quantum Security

Shor's algorithm enables quantum computers to factor large integers and solve discrete logarithm problems exponentially faster than classical methods, rendering RSA encryption insecure by efficiently factoring the product of two large primes and compromising elliptic curve cryptography (ECC) by solving the elliptic curve discrete logarithm problem. A fault-tolerant quantum computer with thousands of logical qubits could break 2048-bit RSA keys in hours, compared to billions of years classically. This vulnerability incentivizes the "harvest now, decrypt later" strategy, where adversaries store encrypted data for future quantum decryption. To mitigate Shor's threat, post-quantum cryptography (PQC) develops algorithms resistant to quantum attacks, relying on problems like lattice reduction assumed hard for both classical and quantum computers. The National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) finalized its first three PQC standards on August 13, 2024: FIPS 203 specifying for key encapsulation, FIPS 204 for digital signatures, and FIPS 205 for signatures. These lattice-based and hash-based schemes provide security levels equivalent to current standards without relying on factoring or discrete logs. Symmetric cryptography faces lesser risk from Grover's algorithm, which offers only a quadratic speedup for brute-force key searches, reducing effective security by half the bit length—for instance, halving to 64-bit equivalence. No algorithm provides more than this speedup for symmetric ciphers, allowing mitigation by doubling key sizes, such as adopting , which maintains 128-bit security against quantum attacks with minimal performance overhead. Quantum key distribution (QKD) protocols, such as proposed by Bennett and Brassard in 1984, enable secure key exchange by encoding bits in photon polarization states across two bases, detecting eavesdroppers via the no-cloning theorem and Heisenberg uncertainty, as measurement disturbances reveal interception. provides information-theoretic security against quantum computation but requires quantum channels, suffers from distance limitations (typically under 100 km without repeaters), low key rates, and vulnerability to practical attacks like photon-number splitting. QKD complements but does not replace computational cryptography, often paired with symmetric encryption post-key generation. Hybrid schemes combine classical public-key methods with PQC algorithms during transition, ensuring security if either resists attacks, as recommended by bodies like the UK's NCSC for interim use before full PQC adoption. These provide backward compatibility and defense-in-depth, though they increase computational overhead from larger keys and signatures. Migrating to quantum-resistant systems entails substantial costs, including inventorying vulnerable assets, updating protocols in software and hardware, testing interoperability, and retraining personnel—a process projected to span years and require billions for large enterprises based on prior cryptographic transitions. Challenges include legacy systems incompatibility and performance impacts from PQC's larger keys, necessitating cryptographic agility in designs.

Simulation of Quantum Systems

The concept of using quantum computers to simulate quantum systems stems from the inherent difficulty of modeling quantum many-body physics on classical hardware, where the required computational resources scale exponentially with system size due to the need to track an exponentially large Hilbert space. Richard Feynman articulated this in his 1981 lecture (published 1982), arguing that classical approximations fail to capture quantum essence efficiently, necessitating a quantum simulator to replicate quantum dynamics without such overhead. Empirical demonstrations have employed variational quantum eigensolvers (VQE) to compute ground-state energies of small molecules, such as H2, by minimizing expectation values of the on noisy quantum devices. These experiments, conducted on trapped-ion systems as early as 2018, yielded bond dissociation curves for H2 aligning with full configuration interaction classical benchmarks, though error mitigation was essential to counter gate infidelities exceeding 0.1%. Similar VQE runs on superconducting qubits have targeted diatomic species like LiH, confirming potential for chemistry-relevant simulations but revealing no over classical methods for these trivial cases. For real-time dynamics, quantum simulation protocols promise Heisenberg-limited precision, achieving estimation errors scaling as 1/T rather than the standard of 1/√T, where T denotes evolution time or query count; this arises from coherent superposition in algorithms like quantum phase estimation adapted for . Such scaling could probe short-time correlations in many-body systems intractable classically, with theoretical extensions to learning local Hamiltonians via patch-decoupled queries. Potential applications target materials like high-Tc superconductors, where simulating lattice models such as the might elucidate pairing mechanisms amid strong correlations that defy mean-field classical treatments. Quantum devices have begun exploring simplified analogs, but full models remain beyond reach. Reliable simulations on current hardware are confined to systems with fewer than 20 atoms, as noise accumulation and limited counts (typically 50-100 with times under 100 μs) preclude accurate evolution for larger fermionic systems without excessive post-processing that negates advantages. Demonstrations beyond toy molecules, like 12-atom chains, still rely on idealized geometries and show chemical accuracy only after classical error correction, underscoring that practical quantum advantage in many-body physics awaits fault-tolerant scaling.

Optimization, Machine Learning, and Other Uses

The Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) has been proposed for solving combinatorial optimization problems, such as the maximum cut (MaxCut) problem on graphs, by iteratively optimizing variational parameters in a parameterized quantum circuit. In practice, low-depth QAOA implementations on noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices have shown limited performance, with local classical algorithms outperforming p=1 or p=2 QAOA variants on certain graph instances by achieving better approximation ratios. Theoretical analyses indicate that hundreds of qubits may be required for QAOA to demonstrate a quantum speedup over classical heuristics for MaxCut, as shallower circuits fail to capture the necessary correlations for advantage. Quantum annealing systems, such as those from D-Wave, target (QUBO) formulations common in scheduling and routing, but benchmarks against classical mixed-integer solvers like Gurobi reveal marginal or niche advantages at best. For instance, D-Wave's solvers have matched or slightly exceeded Gurobi in solution quality for specific large-scale instances in optimization, yet Gurobi consistently solves smaller, exact problems faster and with higher precision due to its deterministic branching. Independent evaluations across diverse case studies confirm that while excels in rapid sampling of low-energy states for intractable ensembles, it does not reliably outperform classical methods in time-to-solution or optimality for standard optimization benchmarks as of 2024. These results highlight the role of embedding overhead and noise in limiting scalability. In machine learning, algorithms like the quantum support vector machine (QSVM) leverage quantum kernels for , with theoretical potential for exponential speedup on artificially constructed datasets via efficient inner-product computation. However, NISQ-era experiments reveal no empirical quantum advantage, as noise-induced errors degrade kernel fidelity and classical s achieve comparable accuracy on real datasets without the overhead of preparation. Variational quantum circuits for tasks like quantum Boltzmann machines or generative modeling similarly lack proven speedups, with variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) showing trainability issues like barren plateaus that hinder optimization beyond classical neural networks on current hardware. Beyond core algorithms, NISQ heuristics have been piloted in finance for portfolio optimization, where QAOA or annealing approximates mean-variance models on small asset sets (e.g., 10-20 stocks), but extensive 2025 benchmarks indicate no consistent outperformance over classical quadratic programming solvers like those in CVXPY, limited by qubit counts and coherence times. In logistics, companies like DHL and Sumitomo have tested quantum annealing for vehicle routing and supply chain scheduling, reporting potential reductions in driven miles by up to 10% in simulated urban pilots, yet these remain exploratory without scalable deployment surpassing classical metaheuristics such as genetic algorithms. Drug discovery efforts using optimization for molecular docking or lead prioritization, as in D-Wave collaborations, have yielded proof-of-concept results on toy problems but no verified breakthroughs in hit rates or speed over GPU-accelerated classical docking tools like AutoDock. Overall, these applications underscore heuristic promise in NISQ regimes but emphasize the absence of robust quantum edges without fault-tolerant scaling.

Current State and Future Outlook

Industry Leaders and Ecosystem

Google Quantum AI, a division of Alphabet Inc., develops superconducting qubit-based processors and has integrated quantum hardware with classical high-performance computing systems, enabling hybrid workflows for research partners as of 2025. IBM Quantum offers cloud-accessible superconducting quantum processors through its IBM Quantum Platform, supporting over 200 institutions and enterprises in algorithm development and error mitigation techniques. IonQ, a publicly traded company specializing in trapped-ion quantum computers, operates systems with logical qubit demonstrations and provides hardware via cloud integrations, emphasizing high-fidelity gate operations exceeding 99.9% in multi-qubit entanglements. Rigetti Computing focuses on full-stack quantum systems using superconducting technology, delivering cloud-based access to its Ankaa-series processors for optimization and simulation tasks. Startups like PsiQuantum advance photonic quantum computing toward fault-tolerant architectures, securing $1 billion in Series E funding in September 2025 to scale manufacturing of million-qubit systems in collaboration with partners including for chip fabrication and control electronics. Cloud platforms such as Braket and Quantum aggregate access to diverse hardware backends from providers like , Rigetti, and D-Wave, facilitating experimentation without on-premises infrastructure. The broader ecosystem encompasses approximately 76 major companies engaged in quantum hardware, software, and applications as of September 2025. Government programs bolster development, with the exploring equity stakes in firms like , Rigetti, and D-Wave to enhance national capabilities, while maintains substantial state-backed research efforts in superconducting and photonic modalities. Academic-industry partnerships have intensified, as evidenced by the Quantum Index Report documenting a 2024-2025 surge in collaborative ventures between universities and corporations for talent development and prototype testing. Private investment in quantum computing reached significant levels in 2025, with multiple high-profile funding rounds underscoring investor enthusiasm. Quantum Computing Inc. completed a $500 million oversubscribed of in September 2025, bolstering its reserves amid ongoing development efforts. Similarly, another quantum firm secured $750 million through a of over 37 million shares, closing on October 8, 2025, reflecting sustained capital inflows from venture and institutional sources. These deals contribute to annual private investments exceeding $2 billion globally in 2025, fueled by expectations of long-term breakthroughs despite current prototypes remaining noisy and limited-scale. Government support has complemented private funding, with the U.S. administration exploring equity stakes in quantum firms as a condition for federal awards. Under frameworks tied to the , negotiations aim to provide at least $10 million per company from research and development programs, potentially extending to tens of millions in exchange for ownership interests. This approach builds on prior commitments like the 2018 National Quantum Initiative Act's $1.2 billion allocation, signaling strategic subsidies to counter foreign competition but raising concerns over taxpayer exposure to unproven technologies. Economic projections highlight substantial potential value, tempered by realism on timelines and scalability. estimates quantum computing's addressable market at $100 billion to $250 billion, driven by applications in optimization and once fault-tolerant systems emerge, though four major technical barriers—such as rates and —must be surmounted for widespread adoption. Broader forecasts, including BCG's up to $850 billion in economic value by 2040, assume gradual maturation rather than imminent disruption, with initial returns confined to error-corrected niches like materials discovery over universal computing paradigms. Speculative fervor has inflated valuations, prompting bubble warnings amid stock surges in firms like and Rigetti. A analysis notes 74% of surveyed traders viewing quantum stocks as overvalued, detached from near-term amid persistent losses and prototype limitations. identifies quantum pure-plays among 11 stocks at bubble risk, tied to AI-adjacent hype rather than demonstrated ROI, underscoring the need for investments to prioritize fault-tolerant milestones over broad promises. True economic leverage will derive from targeted, verifiable advantages in error-corrected systems, not premature scaling assumptions.

Realistic Timelines and Societal Considerations

Projections for fault-tolerant quantum computing, which requires scalable error correction to execute complex algorithms reliably, indicate that timelines in the remain optimistic given persistent challenges in coherence, , and the overhead of error-correcting codes demanding millions of physical qubits per logical qubit. Independent analyses assuming Moore's-law-like scaling in quantum hardware suggest initial practical applications may not emerge until 2035–2040, contingent on breakthroughs in materials and control systems that have eluded consistent progress despite decades of research. Company roadmaps, such as those from and , accelerate these estimates to the late or early , but such projections often align with investment incentives rather than empirical scaling data from current systems limited to hundreds of noisy qubits. In the interim, noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) devices are poised for limited utility in hybrid quantum-classical frameworks, with potential commercial optimization applications via annealing or variational algorithms emerging in 2025–2027 for niche problems like portfolio management or molecular simulation subsets. These hybrids leverage classical preprocessing to mitigate NISQ noise, but their value hinges on demonstrating advantages over optimized classical heuristics, which early benchmarks have yet to conclusively establish beyond toy problems. Societally, short-term job displacement appears minimal, as quantum advancements demand rare expertise in physics and engineering, fostering adaptation over widespread automation; however, long-term risks include compute concentration among dominant firms, potentially amplifying inequalities in access to advanced simulation capabilities and echoing classical AI's centralization trends. Geopolitically, U.S. export controls on quantum technologies, expanded in to encompass computers, sensors, and related software with parameters exceeding defined performance thresholds, aim to curb 's advancements in cryptographic threats and military applications, with restrictions on U.S. investments in Chinese quantum entities effective January 2025. These measures, justified by assessments of dual-use risks, have prompted to indigenize supply chains, potentially accelerating parallel development amid bilateral tensions. Energy demands pose another constraint: while individual NISQ systems consume kilowatts primarily for cryogenic cooling via dilution refrigerators, scaling to fault-tolerant regimes could rival clusters in power intensity per computation due to pervasive low-temperature requirements, straining grids already pressured by workloads and necessitating innovations in efficient .

References

  1. [1]
    [PDF] Building Quantum Computers
    In theory, quantum computers can be used to efficiently factor numbers, quadratically speed up many search and optimization problems, and enable currently ...
  2. [2]
    Quantum Computing Explained | NIST
    Mar 18, 2025 · In 1994, a mathematician named Peter Shor published a paper about a very different application that instantly made quantum computing a national ...
  3. [3]
    Quantum Error Correction: the grand challenge - Riverlane
    Discover the most comprehensive review of quantum error correction (QEC), the defining challenge for today's quantum computers.
  4. [4]
    IBM Quantum Computing | Home
    We defined a set of principles to ensure the responsible development, deployment, and use of quantum computing technologies at IBM and beyond. Learn more.IBM Quantum Platform · Quantum Safe · IBM Quantum Network · Learning
  5. [5]
    'A truly remarkable breakthrough': Google's new quantum chip ...
    Dec 9, 2024 · Researchers at Google have built a chip that has enabled them to demonstrate the first 'below threshold' quantum calculations.
  6. [6]
    What is fault-tolerant quantum computing? - IBM
    May 30, 2025 · A fault-tolerant quantum computer is a quantum computer designed to operate correctly even in the presence of errors.
  7. [7]
    The computer as a physical system: A microscopic quantum ...
    Aug 9, 1979 · In this paper a microscopic quantum mechanical model of computers as represented by Turing machines is constructed.
  8. [8]
    [PDF] Simulating Physics with Computers - s2.SMU
    I want to talk about the problem of simulating physics with computers and I mean that in a specific way which I am going to explain.
  9. [9]
    [PDF] Quantum theory, the Church-Turing principle and the universal ...
    Computing machines re- sembling the universal quantum computer could, in principle, be built and would have many remarkable properties not reproducible by any ...
  10. [10]
    Recognizing Decades of Ground-breaking Quantum Computing ...
    May 9, 2022 · In 1995, the NIST team successfully executed the world's first entangling two-qubit quantum gate, an operation that is key to quantum computing.
  11. [11]
    Quantum Computing with Trapped Ions | NIST
    Apr 7, 2023 · A planar rf ion trap designed for experiments with magnetically-driven quantum gates. As an alternative to conventional laser-based quantum ...
  12. [12]
    NMR tomography of the three-qubit Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm
    Oct 11, 2004 · The Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm was one of the first quantum algorithms implemented with nuclear spins in liquid-state NMR [16, 19, 27] . In the ...
  13. [13]
    Experimental demonstration of the Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm in ...
    In this paper, we experimentally demonstrate the DJ algorithm in four- and five-qubit homonuclear spin systems by the nuclear-magnetic-resonance technique, by ...
  14. [14]
    How The First Superconducting Qubit Changed Quantum ... - Medium
    Sep 28, 2022 · The invention of the charge qubit marked a monumental step forward in the history quantum computing, one that opened the door to a new era in quantum hardware ...Missing: milestones | Show results with:milestones
  15. [15]
    A quantum engineer's guide to superconducting qubits
    Jun 17, 2019 · The aim of this review is to provide quantum engineers with an introductory guide to the central concepts and challenges in the rapidly accelerating field of ...<|separator|>
  16. [16]
    14-Qubit Entanglement: Creation and Coherence | Phys. Rev. Lett.
    Mar 31, 2011 · We report the creation of Greenberger-Horne-Zeilinger states with up to 14 qubits. By investigating the coherence of up to 8 ions over time, we observe a decay.
  17. [17]
    (PDF) 14-Qubit Entanglement: Creation and Coherence
    We report the creation of Greenberger-Horne-Zeilinger states with up to 14 qubits. By investigating the coherence of up to 8 ions over time, we observe a decay.
  18. [18]
    IBM Ups Its Quantum Computing Game | TOP500
    Nov 12, 2017 · The 5-qubit system launched in May 2016, followed a year later by the 15-qubit machine. Now, six months later, IBM has come up with a 20-qubit ...
  19. [19]
    IBM quantum computers: evolution, performance, and future directions
    Apr 1, 2025 · This paper explores IBM's journey in quantum computing, focusing on its contributions to both hardware and software, as well as the development ...
  20. [20]
  21. [21]
  22. [22]
    Quantum error correction below the surface code threshold - Nature
    Dec 9, 2024 · Quantum error correction provides a path to reach practical quantum computing by combining multiple physical qubits into a logical qubit, ...
  23. [23]
    The Case Against Google's Claims of “Quantum Supremacy”: A Very ...
    Dec 9, 2024 · Below is a brief review of the case against Google's 2019 claims of quantum supremacy: ... Google's Quantum Supremacy Claim (2023) (see this post) ...
  24. [24]
  25. [25]
  26. [26]
  27. [27]
    Annealing quantum computing's long-term future - Nature
    In 2025, D-Wave published research validating ... The research indicated that D-Wave's annealing quantum computer performed a magnetic materials simulation ...
  28. [28]
    Research achieves major milestone in quantum computing
    Mar 13, 2025 · D-Wave's quantum computer performed the most complex simulation in minutes and with a level of accuracy that would take nearly one million ...
  29. [29]
    Technology — PsiQuantum
    In 2025, PsiQuantum will break ground at both sites, where the first utility-scale, million-qubit scale systems will be deployed. See more ->. Quantum Computer ...
  30. [30]
    PsiQuantum Raises $1 Billion to Build Million-Qubit Scale, Fault ...
    Sep 10, 2025 · PsiQuantum raised $1 billion, valuing the company at $7 billion and funding efforts to build fault-tolerant quantum computers.
  31. [31]
    PsiQuantum Study Maps Path to Loss-Tolerant Photonic Quantum ...
    Jun 17, 2025 · A new study from a team of PsiQuantum researchers lays out a blueprint for building loss-tolerant quantum computers using photons.
  32. [32]
    A manufacturable platform for photonic quantum computing - Nature
    Feb 26, 2025 · We benchmark a set of monolithically-integrated silicon photonics-based modules to generate, manipulate, network, and detect heralded photonic qubits.
  33. [33]
    Microsoft and Atom Computing offer a commercial quantum machine ...
    Nov 19, 2024 · Microsoft and Atom Computing have made rapid progress in reliable quantum computing by creating and entangling 24 logical qubits made from neutral atoms.
  34. [34]
    IBM lays out clear path to fault-tolerant quantum computing
    Jun 10, 2025 · In 2024, we introduced a fault-tolerant quantum memory based on quantum low-density parity check (qLDPC) codes called bivariate bicycle (BB) ...
  35. [35]
    Progress in Logical Teleportation - Quantinuum
    May 27, 2025 · The same QASM programs that were ran during March 2024 on the Quantinuum's H2-1 device were reran on the same device on April to March 2025.<|separator|>
  36. [36]
    Protecting logical qubits with dynamical decoupling
    Aug 1, 2025 · Our experiments reveal that the coherence time of a logical qubit is extended by up to 357% compared to the better-performing physical qubit.
  37. [37]
    What is a qubit? - IBM
    A qubit, or quantum bit, is the basic unit of information used to encode data in quantum computing and can be best understood as the quantum equivalent of the ...Overview · Understanding quantum...
  38. [38]
    The Qubit in Quantum Computing - Azure Quantum - Microsoft Learn
    Feb 21, 2025 · When a qubit given by the quantum state vector [ α β ] is measured, the outcome 0 is obtained with probability | α | 2 and the outcome 1 with ...
  39. [39]
    Bloch sphere | IBM Quantum Learning
    There's a useful geometric way to represent qubit states known as the Bloch sphere. It's very convenient, but unfortunately it only works for qubits.
  40. [40]
    The Bloch Sphere - Intro to Quantum Software Development
    Jul 1, 2022 · A qubit's state can be any point on this sphere. This is a complete and total representation of a qubit; no hand-waving, no ignoring things for ...Labeling the Axis Points of the... · Representing Qubits on the...
  41. [41]
    [PDF] Lecture 14: Quantum information revisited Density matrices
    Mar 14, 2006 · The state of a system that corresponds to a given density matrix is called a mixed state. Some important facts about density matrices: 1. The ...<|separator|>
  42. [42]
    What is No-Cloning Theorem - QuEra Computing
    The theorem states that because quantum operations are unitary linear transformations of quantum states, arbitrary unknown states cannot be perfectly copied.
  43. [43]
    [PDF] Unitary time evolution - USC Viterbi
    When we combine standard unitary gates, we call the resulting unitary a quantum circuit. Here's a simple example that uses three CNOT gates to swap the first.
  44. [44]
    A Deep Dive Into The Mathematics Of Quantum Gates
    Apr 12, 2025 · Here is how: When a quantum gate, represented by the unitary operator U(t) , is applied to a qubit, the qubit evolves from one state to another ...
  45. [45]
    What Are Quantum Gates? - MATLAB & Simulink
    The Pauli X, Y, and Z gates and Hadamard gate can represent any single qubit rotation. Together with the CNOT gate, this set of gates can create any quantum ...
  46. [46]
    [PDF] Unitary Dynamics and Quantum Circuits
    Figure 1: (a) Quantum circuit for two qubits showing two one-qubit gates and a CNOT gate. (b) CNOT and controlled-X are the same gate. 击 Figure 1(a) shows a ...
  47. [47]
    What is Universal Gate Set - QuEra Computing
    Single-qubit rotations can be represented by gates like the Pauli-X, Y, and Z gates, and the Hadamard gate. Together with the CNOT gate, these form a complete ...
  48. [48]
    Everything You Need to Know About the Quantum Circuit - BlueQubit
    Feb 24, 2025 · Key gates include the Hadamard gate (for superposition), the CNOT gate (for entanglement), and the Pauli gates (for state transformations).
  49. [49]
    [PDF] Lecture 1: Introduction to the Quantum Circuit Model
    Sep 9, 2015 · The goal for this first lecture is to give a lightning-fast, as-barebones-as-possible definition of the quantum circuit model of computation.
  50. [50]
    A Herculean task: Classical simulation of quantum computers - arXiv
    Feb 17, 2023 · This paper reviews classical algorithms that emulate quantum computer evolution, focusing on state-vector and tensor-network methods, and their ...
  51. [51]
    What Limits the Simulation of Quantum Computers? | Phys. Rev. X
    Classical computers can efficiently simulate the behavior of quantum computers if the quantum computer is imperfect enough.Abstract · Popular Summary · Article Text
  52. [52]
    [PDF] Lecture 15: Adiabatic Quantum Computing
    Adiabatic quantum computing is an alternative approach to the gate model of quantum computing that we have studied in this lecture course. Adiabatic quantum ...
  53. [53]
    An introduction to measurement based quantum computation - arXiv
    Aug 17, 2005 · Two principal schemes of measurement based computation are teleportation quantum computation (TQC) and the so-called cluster model or one-way quantum computer ...
  54. [54]
    Measurement-based quantum computation | PennyLane Demos
    Dec 4, 2022 · Measurement-based quantum computing (MBQC), also known as one-way quantum computing, is an inventive approach to quantum computing that ...Cluster states and graph states · Universality of MBQC
  55. [55]
    What Is Quantum Superposition? - Caltech Science Exchange
    One of the fundamental principles of quantum mechanics, superposition explains how a quantum state can be represented as the sum of two or more states.
  56. [56]
    Superposition - EPiQC
    Superposition means particles can exist in multiple states at the same time, like qubits in quantum computing, which can be both zero and one simultaneously.
  57. [57]
    [PDF] Chapter 4 Quantum Entanglement - John Preskill
    Entangled states are interesting because they exhibit correlations that have no classical analog. We will begin the study of these correlations in this chapter.
  58. [58]
    [PDF] Quantum Entanglement, EPR paradox, and Bell's Inequality
    In 1953, He along with Podolsky and Rosen (EPR) brought up this as the EPR paradox (The two particle pairs, two qubits pairs, are all called EPR pairs).
  59. [59]
    Chapter 4 - Entanglement - Qunet - SIUC Physics WWW2
    Apr 19, 2022 · The EPR paradox had stronger implications than the authors realized; if local realism is held, then quantum mechanics is incorrect. This has ...
  60. [60]
    [2201.00366] Monogamy of quantum entanglement - arXiv
    Jan 2, 2022 · Unlike classical correlation, quantum entanglement cannot be freely shared among many parties. This restricted shareability of entanglement ...
  61. [61]
    [PDF] Quantum information and the monogamy of entanglement - MIT
    Quantum information and the monogamy of entanglement. Aram Harrow. MIT (UCL until Jan 2015). Page 2. Quantum mechanics. QM has also explained: • the stability ...
  62. [62]
    [PDF] Born rule: quantum probability as classical probability - PhilSci-Archive
    Nov 2, 2022 · The Born rule gives the probability of a quantum measurement outcome as the ratio of favorable states to total states, or as ⟨ψ|CPj|ψ⟩.
  63. [63]
    [PDF] Measurements - CMU Quantum Theory Group
    Feb 2, 2010 · It is, however, worth emphasizing that this “collapse” is not any kind of of physical effect.
  64. [64]
    [PDF] Quantum Computing, Fall 2023 - GMU College of Science
    This is known as the Born rule (after Max Born). After the measurement, the system is in the measured state! That is, the post-measurement state, |ψ ...
  65. [65]
    How Quantum Interference Powers Quantum Computing
    Quantum interference means that quantum possibilities behave like waves that can combine with or cancel each other.
  66. [66]
    Interference in Quantum Computing - Classiq
    Aug 2, 2022 · In quantum computing, interference is used to affect probability amplitudes. In other words, every possible outcome has some probability of occurring.Missing: kicks | Show results with:kicks
  67. [67]
    Amplitude amplification Algo in Quantum Computing | by Gaurikhard
    Jun 17, 2023 · The main idea behind amplitude amplification is to iteratively amplify the amplitude of the target state while suppressing the amplitudes of ...Missing: kicks | Show results with:kicks<|control11|><|separator|>
  68. [68]
    Thirty Years Later, a Speed Boost for Quantum Factoring
    Oct 17, 2023 · Shor's algorithm will enable future quantum computers to factor large numbers quickly, undermining many online security protocols.
  69. [69]
    "15" was factored on quantum hardware twenty years ago - IBM
    Jan 26, 2022 · First devised in 1994 by mathematician Peter Shor, the algorithm remains one of the most famous in all of quantum computing, and represents one ...
  70. [70]
    The Story of Shor's Algorithm - Computational Complexity
    Jul 18, 2024 · Peter got the idea for his algorithm from a paper by Daniel Simon solving a theoretical complexity problem. The quantum factoring algorithm is a ...
  71. [71]
    A fast quantum mechanical algorithm for database search - arXiv
    Nov 19, 1996 · A fast quantum mechanical algorithm for database search. Authors:Lov K. Grover (Bell Labs, Murray Hill NJ).Missing: complexity | Show results with:complexity
  72. [72]
    Grover's algorithm | IBM Quantum Learning
    Grover's algorithm, introduced by Lov Grover in 1996, demonstrates how a quantum computer can solve this problem much more efficiently, requiring only O ( N ) ...
  73. [73]
    Grover's Algorithm - Classiq
    Feb 22, 2024 · Grover's Algorithm is renowned for its ability to search through unsorted databases quadratically faster than any classical counterpart.
  74. [74]
    [2310.13296] Trotterization in Quantum Theory - arXiv
    Oct 20, 2023 · Trotterization in quantum mechanics is an important theoretical concept in handling the exponential of noncommutative operators.Missing: algorithm | Show results with:algorithm
  75. [75]
    Trotterization in Quantum Computing | by Saiyam Sakhuja | CodeX
    May 22, 2025 · Key Takeaway: Trotterization enables quantum simulations by slicing a complex Hamiltonian into simpler, realizable steps.
  76. [76]
    A variational eigenvalue solver on a photonic quantum processor
    Jul 23, 2014 · Peruzzo, A., McClean, J., Shadbolt, P. et al. A variational eigenvalue solver on a photonic quantum processor. Nat Commun 5, 4213 (2014).
  77. [77]
    A variational eigenvalue solver on a quantum processor - arXiv
    Apr 10, 2013 · The quantum phase estimation algorithm can efficiently find the eigenvalue of a given eigenvector but requires fully coherent evolution.
  78. [78]
    [PDF] Quantum Annealing for Industry Applications: Introduction and Review
    Quantum annealing is a heuristic quantum optimization algorithm that can be used to solve combinatorial optimization problems.
  79. [79]
    What is Quantum Annealing? - D-Wave Documentation
    Quantum annealing simply uses quantum physics to find low-energy states of a problem and therefore the optimal or near-optimal combination of elements.
  80. [80]
    Scaling Advantage in Approximate Optimization with Quantum ...
    Quantum annealing is a heuristic optimization algorithm that exploits quantum evolution to find low-energy states. Quantum annealers have scaled up in recent ...
  81. [81]
    [PDF] Lecture 23: Introduction to Quantum Complexity Theory 1 REVIEW
    BQP ⊆ PSPACE. The relationship between BQP and NP is unknown, though it is widely believed that there are problems in NP not in BQP and problems in BQP not in.
  82. [82]
    [PDF] Quantum Complexity Theory - Jun-Ting Hsieh
    In this paper, we hope to give an introduction to the complexity class BQP, the quantum analog of BPP. Currently, we know the following inclusions, P ⊆ BPP ⊆ ...
  83. [83]
    [PDF] Quantum Computational Complexity - arXiv
    Apr 21, 2008 · The quantum complexity class. BQP/qpoly is now defined to be the class of promise problems that are solved by polynomial- time quantum ...
  84. [84]
    [PDF] BQP and the Polynomial Hierarchy - Scott Aaronson
    BQP is the class of problems feasible for quantum computers. The relationship between BQP and PH is an open problem, and it's unclear if BQP is within PH.
  85. [85]
    Why do black box separations imply oracle separations?
    Oct 22, 2022 · Simon's problem is an example of a problem where the quantum algorithm takes exponentially fewer queries than all possible classical algorithms.
  86. [86]
    How do separations of query complexities imply complexity class ...
    Nov 28, 2022 · Simon's algorithm can solve this problem using exponentially fewer queries than any classical randomized algorithm. According to Wikipedia this ...
  87. [87]
  88. [88]
    The relativized BQP vs. PH problem (1993-2018) - Shtetl-Optimized
    Jun 4, 2018 · A PSPACE oracle will put NP (and even PH for that matter) in BQP, while the BBBV oracle puts NP outside of BQP. (Exercise: Classically, P=NP ...
  89. [89]
    On NP in BQP - Computational Complexity
    Feb 25, 2007 · Scott argues why he believes quantum computers cannot efficiently solve NP-complete problems, ie, that the complexity class BQP does not contain NP.
  90. [90]
    Can quantum computer solve NP-complete problems? [duplicate]
    Mar 14, 2021 · It is widely believed that quantum computers cannot solve NP-complete problems, but it has never been proven.Non-linear quantum mechanics and NP-complete problemsIs there any general statement about what kinds of problems can be ...More results from quantumcomputing.stackexchange.com
  91. [91]
    [2209.10398] BQP is not in NP - arXiv
    Sep 19, 2022 · BQP contains problems that lie beyond the much larger classical computing class NP. This proves that quantum computation is able to efficiently solve problems.
  92. [92]
    [PDF] Unstructured search and - UMD Computer Science
    Lower bound In fact, Grover's algorithm is optimal (up to a constant factor): any algorithm for unstructured search, even with the promise that there are either ...
  93. [93]
    Quantum Lower Bounds by Sample-to-Query Lifting - arXiv
    Aug 3, 2023 · Based on it, we provide a new method for proving lower bounds on quantum query algorithms from an information theory perspective. Using this ...
  94. [94]
    The thermodynamic cost of quantum operations - IOPscience
    A lower bound is set by the Landauer limit, at which computation becomes thermodynamically reversible. For classical computation there is no physical ...<|separator|>
  95. [95]
    Work and reversibility in quantum thermodynamics | Phys. Rev. A
    Jun 15, 2018 · It is a central question in quantum thermodynamics to determine how irreversible is a process that transforms an initial state 𝜌 to a final ...
  96. [96]
    Quantum's Second Law? Scientists Find Reversible Rulebook for ...
    Jul 23, 2025 · Researchers report entangled quantum states can be reversibly transformed using an auxiliary system called an entanglement battery.
  97. [97]
    Quantum Computing Hardware Update - PostQuantum.com
    Operations are comparatively slow (gate times are on the order of tens of microseconds to milliseconds, versus nanoseconds for superconducting circuits), which ...Missing: transmons | Show results with:transmons
  98. [98]
    [PDF] arXiv:2305.03243v1 [quant-ph] 5 May 2023
    May 5, 2023 · tradeoffs in coherence time, connectivity, and gate sets. We specialize to the particular case of superconducting hard- ware, where we give ...
  99. [99]
  100. [100]
    Taxonomy of Quantum Computing: Modalities & Architectures
    For example, one trade-off is coherence vs. speed: trapped ions have superb coherence (qubits can remain quantum for seconds or minutes​) but gates are slow ( ...
  101. [101]
    (PDF) Awesome Quantum Computing Experiments: Benchmarking ...
    Jul 10, 2025 · This work reviews and benchmarks experimental advancements towards FTQC across leading platforms, including trapped ions, superconducting circuits, neutral ...
  102. [102]
    [PDF] Comparison Between Different Qubit Designs for Quantum Computing
    Sep 5, 2024 · We compared DiVincenzo criteria for superconductor, trapped ion, neutral atom, silicon, and photonic qubits. It is discussed that ...Missing: transmons | Show results with:transmons
  103. [103]
    Quantum Hardware Explained: A Complete Guide for 2025 - SpinQ
    Apr 29, 2025 · Each type of qubit is built from a different physical system, and each has trade-offs in terms of coherence time, gate fidelity, scalability, ...
  104. [104]
    9 Types of Qubits Driving Quantum Computing Forward [2025] - SpinQ
    Mar 28, 2025 · Superconducting qubits are among the most developed and widely studied qubit technologies and are used by major quantum computing companies.Missing: hardware | Show results with:hardware<|separator|>
  105. [105]
    Materials challenges and opportunities for quantum computing ...
    Apr 16, 2021 · We identify key materials challenges that currently limit progress in five quantum computing hardware platforms, propose how to tackle these problems,
  106. [106]
    Insights – Quantum Processor Benchmarking - QIR
    Systems with fast gate speeds, such as superconducting qubits and electron spins, often have shorter coherence times than systems like trapped ions or neutral ...<|control11|><|separator|>
  107. [107]
    Who Wins When Quantum Hardware Is Put to the Test?
    Aug 25, 2025 · Trade-off: Platforms with long coherence times may have slower gate speeds or more limited qubit control, affecting throughput. Note: Gate ...
  108. [108]
  109. [109]
  110. [110]
    Meet Willow, our state-of-the-art quantum chip - The Keyword
    Dec 9, 2024 · Our new quantum chip demonstrates error correction and performance that paves the way to a useful, large-scale quantum computer.
  111. [111]
    Top 18 Quantum Computer Companies [2025 Updated] | SpinQ
    Mar 7, 2025 · The Hummingbird processor, introduced in 2020, marked a major milestone for IBM as it featured 65 qubits, a significant step toward larger, more ...
  112. [112]
    The Quantum Platforms Briefing— Day 3: IBM Quantum - Medium
    Oct 17, 2025 · Device performance (coherence times, error rates) is steadily improving, enabling circuits 4 with up to ~5,000 two-qubit gate operations on the ...
  113. [113]
    IonQ Aria
    With an #AQ of 25, a higher qubit count, and our best gate fidelities, IonQ Aria enables bigger, more complex problems to be explored. Learn More. Get Results ...
  114. [114]
  115. [115]
    IonQ Aria: Practical Performance
    In practice, an #AQ of 20 means that IonQ Aria can successfully execute a quantum circuit over 20 qubits that contain about 400 entangling gate operations. This ...
  116. [116]
    Key Quantum Computing Metrics to Watch in 2025 for Investment ...
    Oct 12, 2025 · Higher qubit counts (100+ qubits); Lower error rates (<0.1%); Longer coherence times (>100 microseconds). Progress in Error Correction. Fault ...
  117. [117]
    Insights – Quantum Processor Benchmarking - QIR
    Qubits versus 2Q gate fidelity. Error rates and 2-Qubit gate-errors are key metrics to benchmark QPUs. Together with the amount of qubits they indicate one ...
  118. [118]
    How Many Quantum Computers Are There in 2025? - SpinQ
    Mar 12, 2025 · As of 2025, the number of quantum computers in existence is still quite limited, around 100 to 200, but it is growing steadily.
  119. [119]
    An Introduction to Quantum Error Correction and Fault-Tolerant ...
    Apr 16, 2009 · The threshold theorem states that it is possible to create a quantum computer to perform an arbitrary quantum computation provided the error ...
  120. [120]
    High-threshold and low-overhead fault-tolerant quantum memory
    Mar 27, 2024 · Quantum error correction becomes practically realizable once the physical error rate is below a threshold value that depends on the choice ...<|separator|>
  121. [121]
    [PDF] The Threshold for Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computation
    Error correction is performed more frequently at lower levels of concatenation. Threshold for fault-tolerance proven using concatenated error-correcting codes.
  122. [122]
    \([[7,1,3]]\) Steane code | Error Correction Zoo
    The Steane code is a distance 3 code. It detects errors on 2 qubits, corrects errors on 1 qubit. Encoding Nine CNOT and four Hadamard gates.
  123. [123]
    Quantum error correction for quantum memories | Rev. Mod. Phys.
    Apr 7, 2015 · In order to execute the error reversal, active quantum error correction proceeds by continuously gathering information about which errors took ...
  124. [124]
    Demonstration of fidelity improvement using dynamical decoupling ...
    Jul 23, 2018 · The simplest strategy for decoherence reduction is dynamical decoupling (DD), which requires no encoding overhead and works by converting ...
  125. [125]
    Phonon Decoherence of Quantum Dots in Photonic Structures
    Jun 21, 2018 · We develop a general microscopic theory describing the phonon decoherence of quantum dots and indistinguishability of the emitted photons in photonic ...
  126. [126]
    [PDF] Decoherence Noise on the Superconducting Qubits Training Program
    Decoherence noise is caused by longitudinal noise and transverse noise [2]. T1 describes the longitudinal relaxation time [2]. The longitudinal relaxation time ...<|separator|>
  127. [127]
    Unlocking the Quantum Frontier: Coherence in Neutral-Atom Systems
    Oct 3, 2023 · For instance, while superconducting qubits might have only 30µs of coherence time compared to 1000µs for trapped ion systems, once we consider ...
  128. [128]
    Ultimate Guide to Coherence Time: Everything You Need to Know
    May 16, 2025 · For instance, trapped-ion qubits can have T2 times lasting seconds or more, while superconducting qubits typically have coherence times in the ...
  129. [129]
    What are the pros/cons of Trapped Ion Qubits, Superconducting ...
    Jul 26, 2018 · I find superconducting qubits and Trapped Ion qubits very hard to scale. Also T1(decoherence) and T2 (dephasing) for superconducting qubits is very less (us).
  130. [130]
    Suppressing spectator-induced dephasing through optimized ...
    May 28, 2025 · DD effectively mitigates decoherence in superconducting quantum computing systems, where precise implementation plays a crucial role in ...
  131. [131]
    Dynamical Decoupling (DD) to Improve Fidelity in Quantum ...
    Dynamical decoupling (DD) and Decoherence free subspace (DFS) are powerful techniques in quantum computing aimed at enhancing fidelity.
  132. [132]
    Relaxation of stationary states on a quantum computer ... - Nature
    Jan 25, 2022 · Relaxation of stationary states on a quantum computer yields a unique spectroscopic fingerprint of the computer's noise.Missing: universality | Show results with:universality
  133. [133]
    Universal-dephasing-noise injection via Schr\"odinger-wave ...
    Feb 2, 2022 · This paper presents a method for noise injection of arbitrary spectra in quantum circuits, applicable to any system capable of executing ...
  134. [134]
    Universal Quantum Computational Spectroscopy on a Quantum Chip
    Jun 27, 2025 · This paper presents a universal quantum computational spectroscopy framework that reconstructs spectral information for closed and open systems ...Missing: universality | Show results with:universality
  135. [135]
    Scaling Quantum Hardware: Challenges, Advancements, and ...
    May 18, 2025 · Signal interference and crosstalk pose additional challenges in densely packed quantum processors. As more qubits are added, the risk of ...
  136. [136]
    Spin-qubit control with a milli-kelvin CMOS chip | Nature
    Jun 25, 2025 · Cable connectivity poses an additional barrier to scaling up the ... Cryogenic control architecture for large-scale quantum computing.
  137. [137]
    Quantum Computing's Cryogenic Challenge: Cooling Qubits to the ...
    May 30, 2025 · The future of quantum computing is inextricably linked to continuous innovation in cryogenic technology. As quantum processors scale to ...Missing: crosstalk | Show results with:crosstalk
  138. [138]
    Practical Fidelity Limits of Toffoli Gates in Superconducting Quantum ...
    Sep 5, 2025 · Our results empirically characterize state-dependent error patterns in multi-qubit circuits and quantify trade-offs between gate decomposition ...
  139. [139]
    Fidelity-dissipation relations in quantum gates | Phys. Rev. Research
    Aug 28, 2024 · Consequently, quantum decoherence inevitably arises, resulting in a degradation of fidelity. To tackle this challenge, numerous engineering ...
  140. [140]
    MIT Researchers Report Record-Setting Quantum Gate Fidelity
    Jan 21, 2025 · MIT researchers have developed techniques to achieve the highest fidelity ever recorded in single-qubit gates, a critical step toward fault-tolerant quantum ...
  141. [141]
    Quantum-classical hybrid algorithm for solving the learning-with ...
    May 20, 2025 · Despite their potential, these algorithms suffer from exponential increases in circuit depth as the problem size grows, making them impractical ...
  142. [142]
    A cryogenic on-chip microwave pulse generator for large-scale ...
    Jul 16, 2024 · For superconducting quantum processors, microwave signals are delivered to each qubit from room-temperature electronics to the cryogenic ...
  143. [143]
    Qubit Control: Precision Manipulation of Quantum States - SpinQ
    Jul 22, 2025 · Precise qubit control is the linchpin of functional quantum processors. From shaping microwave pulses to feedback-based stabilization and ...
  144. [144]
    Low cross-talk optical addressing of trapped-ion qubits using a ...
    Aug 20, 2024 · Performing laser-driven targeted operations in long chains of trapped ions imposes several competing requirements on the individual addressing ...
  145. [145]
    IonQ Forte: The First Software-Configurable Quantum Computer
    Mar 3, 2023 · Using this technique, IonQ Forte's laser control system can address over 40 individual ion qubits within the chain. It also uses the laser ...
  146. [146]
    Fast control methods enable record-setting fidelity in ... - MIT EECS
    Jan 15, 2025 · For platforms such as superconducting qubits, decoherence stands in the way of realizing higher-fidelity quantum gates. Quantum computers need ...
  147. [147]
    Feedback-Driven Quantum Stabilization: Real-Time Two-Axis Control
    Mar 19, 2024 · Feedback and feed-forward are crucial capabilities in stabilizing and optimizing quantum devices, allowing for real-time monitoring and control ...Missing: loops | Show results with:loops
  148. [148]
    Models and Feedback Stabilization of Open Quantum Systems - arXiv
    Jul 26, 2014 · At the quantum level, feedback-loops have to take into account measurement back-action. We present here the structure of the Markovian models ...
  149. [149]
    Feedback Control of Quantum Systems to Stabilize Superposition ...
    Jan 17, 2023 · This article proposes a feedback scheme to stabilize the desired quantum superposition states. To this aim, a new factorization is derived for the stochastic ...
  150. [150]
    Dilution Refrigerator: Everything You Need to Know [2025] - SpinQ
    May 30, 2025 · In total, a typical lab-scale dilution refrigerator system may require 5–10 kW of electrical power. In large-scale systems, like those used in ...
  151. [151]
    Boosting Quantum Computer Deployment with Dilution Refrigeration ...
    Jun 10, 2022 · Cooling power ranging from 250 to 600 microwatts at 100 millikelvin, with a roadmap to higher cooling-power for large qubit counts ...<|separator|>
  152. [152]
    It's colossal: Creating the world's largest dilution refrigerator
    Dec 7, 2022 · Researchers are building Colossus: It will be the largest, most powerful refrigerator at millikelvin temperatures ever created.
  153. [153]
    Enabling quantum scale-up – why high 4 K cooling powers are ...
    As qubit numbers increase, high 4 K cooling power is required to intercept the heat load from the significant amount of wiring, and to support cold electronics.Missing: space | Show results with:space
  154. [154]
    1 million qubit quantum computers: moving beyond the current ...
    Heat management is a big hurdle for scaling quantum machines as leading state-of-the-art qubits need to be kept at near absolute zero temperatures to function, ...
  155. [155]
    A flexible high-performance simulator for verifying and ... - Nature
    Oct 10, 2019 · Here we present qFlex, a flexible tensor network-based quantum circuit simulator. qFlex can compute both the exact amplitudes, essential for the verification ...<|separator|>
  156. [156]
    Beyond-classical computation in quantum simulation - Science
    Mar 12, 2025 · We show that several leading approximate methods based on tensor networks and neural networks cannot achieve the same accuracy as the quantum ...
  157. [157]
    Validating quantum-classical programming models with tensor ...
    In this paper, we demonstrate a newly developed quantum circuit simulator based on tensor network theory that enables intermediate-scale verification and ...
  158. [158]
    Quantum supremacy using a programmable superconducting ...
    Oct 23, 2019 · This dramatic increase in speed compared to all known classical algorithms is an experimental realization of quantum supremacy8,9,10,11,12,13,14 ...
  159. [159]
    Quantum Supremacy Using a Programmable Superconducting ...
    Oct 23, 2019 · The quantum supremacy experiment was run on a fully programmable 54-qubit processor named “Sycamore.” It's comprised of a two-dimensional grid ...
  160. [160]
    IBM casts doubt on Google's claims of quantum supremacy - Science
    A study from Google claiming quantum supremacy, accidentally leaked online last month, has now been published in Nature.
  161. [161]
    Ordinary computers can beat Google's quantum computer after all
    Aug 2, 2022 · In 2019, Google researchers claimed they had passed a milestone known as quantum supremacy when their quantum computer Sycamore performed in ...Missing: details critiques
  162. [162]
    Quantum computational advantage using photons - Science
    The photonic quantum computer, Jiuzhang, generates up to 76 output photon clicks, which yields an output state-space dimension of 1030 and a sampling rate ...Missing: details | Show results with:details
  163. [163]
    The Quantum Supremacy Tsirelson Inequality
    Oct 7, 2021 · A leading proposal for verifying near-term quantum supremacy experiments on noisy random quantum circuits is linear cross-entropy benchmarking.
  164. [164]
    Grover-based Benchmarking Toolkit for Assessing Quantum Hardware
    Apr 27, 2025 · An open-source benchmarking toolkit to evaluate the reliability of quantum hardware using a generalized form of Grover's algorithm.
  165. [165]
    Quantifying computational advantage of Grover's algorithm with the ...
    Here we report a close connection between the trace speed and the quantum speed-up in Grover's search algorithm implemented with pure and pseudo-pure states.
  166. [166]
    Benchmarking the Variational Quantum Eigensolver using different ...
    May 11, 2023 · We present results using the VQE for the simulation of the hydrogen molecule, comparing superconducting and ion trap quantum computers.
  167. [167]
    Benchmarking Adaptive Variational Quantum Eigensolvers - PMC
    Here we benchmark the accuracy of VQE and ADAPT-VQE to calculate the electronic ground states and potential energy curves for a few selected diatomic molecules.
  168. [168]
    Benchmarking the Variational Quantum Eigensolver using different ...
    Going one step into this direction, within this work, we present results using the VQE for the simulation of the hydrogen molecule, comparing superconducting ...<|separator|>
  169. [169]
    Quantum annealing for combinatorial optimization: a benchmarking ...
    May 16, 2025 · Quantum annealing (QA) has the potential to significantly improve solution quality and reduce time complexity in solving combinatorial optimization problems.
  170. [170]
    Quantum annealing versus classical solvers - arXiv
    Oct 2, 2024 · This study conducts a comprehensive examination by applying a selection of diverse case studies to benchmark the performance of D-Wave's hybrid solver.
  171. [171]
    Quantum annealing applications, challenges and limitations for ...
    Apr 13, 2025 · Simulated Annealing (SA) is used for approximating the global optimal solution, often used when an approximate global solution is preferred over ...
  172. [172]
    Benchmarking Digital Quantum Simulations Above Hundreds of ...
    Nov 6, 2024 · A scalable, transferable, and simple set of benchmarks for quantum computers based on reproducing known universal scaling laws of ...
  173. [173]
    Classical Benchmarks for Variational Quantum Eigensolver ... - arXiv
    Aug 1, 2024 · Here we present a detailed classical benchmarking study of the variational quantum eigensolver [44, 45] (VQE), a promising algorithm for quantum ...
  174. [174]
    Benchmarking Simulated and Physical Quantum Processing Units ...
    Jun 14, 2023 · This work benchmarks the runtime and accuracy for a representative sample of specialized high-performance simulated and physical quantum processing units.
  175. [175]
  176. [176]
  177. [177]
  178. [178]
  179. [179]
  180. [180]
    D-Wave First to Demonstrate Quantum Supremacy on Useful, Real ...
    Mar 12, 2025 · Its annealing quantum computer outperformed one of the world's most powerful classical supercomputers in solving complex magnetic materials simulation problems.
  181. [181]
    USC Study Shows Quantum Annealing Outperforms Classical ...
    A new study from USC suggests that quantum annealing may offer a computational edge over classical supercomputers in solving ...
  182. [182]
    Quantum computing's six most important trends for 2025 - Moody's
    Feb 4, 2025 · ... 2024 reports and announcements: More experiments with logical qubits; More specialized hardware/software (as opposed to universal quantum ...
  183. [183]
    QUANTUM NETWORKING: A critical bridge to utility–scale quantum ...
    Sep 1, 2025 · Our May 2024 report "Scalable Quantum Hardware" mapped the technical requirements for quantum networking units (QNUs) that can bridge QPU ...
  184. [184]
    The Argument Against Quantum Computers - Quanta Magazine
    Feb 7, 2018 · The mathematician Gil Kalai believes that quantum computers can't possibly work, even in principle.
  185. [185]
    [PDF] Thoughts on Noise and Quantum Computation - arXiv
    Gil Kalai. Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Yale University. August 6, 2018 ... Conjecture 3.2 Quantum computation subject to (realistic) random noise.
  186. [186]
    Noisy quantum circuits: how do we know that we have robust ...
    Oct 3, 2019 · This debate gives a good opportunity to discuss some conceptual issues regarding sampling, probability distributions, statistics, and ...
  187. [187]
    Why Observation Collapses Quantum States - AZoQuantum
    Aug 8, 2025 · One avenue explores whether gravity plays a role in causing collapse. Roger Penrose and others have proposed that space-time itself may not ...
  188. [188]
    Breakthrough Prize Winner Gerard 't Hooft Says Quantum ...
    Apr 8, 2025 · After netting the world's highest-paying science award, preeminent theoretical physicist Gerard 't Hooft reflects on his legacy and the future of physics.Missing: decoherence barrier
  189. [189]
  190. [190]
    PHYS771 Lecture 14: Skepticism of Quantum Computing
    My point of view has always been rather simple: it's entirely conceivable that quantum computing is impossible for some fundamental reason.Missing: scalable | Show results with:scalable
  191. [191]
    Quantum Computing: Between Hope and Hype - Shtetl-Optimized
    Sep 22, 2024 · And one of the earliest things we learned in quantum computing theory is that there's no “black-box” way to beat the Grover speedup. By the way ...
  192. [192]
  193. [193]
    The NISQ Era of Quantum Computing: Challenges and Opportunities
    The main limitations of NISQ devices are their small number of qubits and high error rates. Small number of qubits: NISQ devices typically have only a few ...
  194. [194]
    NISQ Computers – Can We Escape the Noise?
    Since today's NISC computers are not scalable to more than 500 qubits in a quantum annealing machine and 127 in a gate model machine, this makes quantum error ...
  195. [195]
    The Largest Number Factored By Shors Algorithm, and Why ... - Reddit
    Jul 3, 2025 · The trick is that, for small numbers like 221, Shor's algorithm will succeed quickly even when the quantum computer is replaced by a random ...
  196. [196]
    Shor's Algorithm Breaks 5-bit Elliptic Curve Key On 133-Qubit ...
    Jul 17, 2025 · The experiment successfully broke a 5-bit elliptic curve cryptographic key using a quantum attack based on Shor's algorithm, executed on IBM's 133-qubit IBM_ ...
  197. [197]
    Toward a code-breaking quantum computer | MIT News
    Aug 23, 2024 · It is estimated that a quantum computer would need about 20 million qubits to run Shor's algorithm. Right now, the largest quantum computers ...
  198. [198]
    Where Are We with Shor's Algorithm? - Towards Data Science
    Jul 7, 2025 · In 2025, i.e. 30 years later, early quantum processors are produced and made available to the public, making it possible to test the algorithm ...
  199. [199]
    [2005.06787] Classical Simulation of Quantum Supremacy Circuits
    May 14, 2020 · These have been used to demonstrate quantum supremacy: the execution of a computational task on a quantum computer that is infeasible for any ...
  200. [200]
    Doubts cast over D-Wave's claim of quantum computer supremacy
    Mar 12, 2025 · Doubts cast over D-Wave's claim of quantum computer supremacy. D-Wave's claim that its quantum computers can solve problems that would take ...<|separator|>
  201. [201]
    Boundaries of quantum supremacy via random circuit sampling
    Apr 11, 2023 · We demonstrate that quantum supremacy is limited to circuits with a qubit count and circuit depth of a few hundred. Larger circuits encounter two distinct ...
  202. [202]
    Microsoft's Topological Qubit Claim Faces Quantum Community ...
    Feb 21, 2025 · Microsoft claims to have created the first topological qubit, but experts remain skeptical due to a desire for more independent validation.
  203. [203]
    Corrected study rekindles debate over Microsoft's quantum ...
    Dispute over elusive Majorana particles claimed in Science highlights controversial approach to robust quantum chips. 14 Aug 2025; 2:00 PM ET; ByAdam Mann.
  204. [204]
    Microsoft's Claim of a Topological Qubit Faces Tough Questions
    Mar 21, 2025 · Microsoft claimed a working topological qubit, but many physicists doubt the claim, citing issues with the measurement protocol and lack of ...
  205. [205]
    Debate erupts around Microsoft's blockbuster quantum computing ...
    Mar 20, 2025 · Physicists cast doubt on measurements validating Microsoft's first quantum chip, Majorana 1. 20 Mar 2025; 11:15 AM ET; ByZack Savitsky.
  206. [206]
    FAQ on Microsoft's topological qubit thing - Shtetl-Optimized
    Feb 20, 2025 · It's clear that Microsoft is claiming to have created both majorana zero modes and topological qubits. It's also clear that, if they once again ...<|separator|>
  207. [207]
    Quantum Initiatives Worldwide 2025 - Qureca
    The quantum initiatives worldwide are rising, with investments over $40B. Discover the main programs and efforts worldwide.
  208. [208]
    All Hype and No Game? Google, IBM, Preskill and Quantum ...
    Apr 2, 2020 · ' Quantum supremacy, while a significant step in quantum's development, is by definition an incredibly narrow benchmark with practically no real ...Missing: actual | Show results with:actual
  209. [209]
    [PDF] Quantum Threat TImeline Report 2024 - Quintessence Labs
    Dec 1, 2024 · This report sheds light onto the quantum threat timeline by examining the perspectives of 32 global experts from academia and industry, involved ...
  210. [210]
    Will Quantum Computing Turn Out Just Like Nuclear Fusion ...
    Oct 28, 2024 · Some technology observers liken the quest for usable quantum computers to the pursuit of efficient energy production through nuclear fusion.
  211. [211]
    Quantum computing: beyond the hype - spiked
    Aug 26, 2024 · So is the bubble about to burst? Sceptics regularly point out that quantum computing – like nuclear fusion – always seems to be 10 years away.Jonathan Jones · Why Trump's Gaza Peace Plan... · Two Years Of Jihad Against...Missing: comparison | Show results with:comparison
  212. [212]
    How Close Are We to Commercial Quantum Computing?
    Quantum technology is undeniably exciting, but a lot of the current investment still seems to be driven more by hype than by practical application.
  213. [213]
    Shor's Algorithm and RSA Encryption
    Sep 25, 2024 · Peter Shor developed a quantum factoring algorithm that, when executed by a powerful enough quantum computer, could theoretically break RSA encryption.
  214. [214]
    Using Shor's Algorithm to Break RSA vs DH/DSA VS ECC
    Aug 24, 2021 · Shor's quantum algorithm, in particular, provides a large theoretical speedup to the brute-forcing capabilities of attackers targeting many ...
  215. [215]
    How Quantum Computing Threatens Encryption—and What Your ...
    May 19, 2025 · Shor's Algorithm poses a direct and powerful threat to public-key cryptography, such as RSA and ECC. It allows quantum computers to factor large ...
  216. [216]
    The looming threat of quantum computing to data security
    Dec 23, 2024 · Essentially, Shor's algorithm would be able to break RSA encryption if a powerful enough quantum computer were built.
  217. [217]
    NIST Releases First 3 Finalized Post-Quantum Encryption Standards
    Aug 13, 2024 · NIST has finalized its principal set of encryption algorithms designed to withstand cyberattacks from a quantum computer.Missing: date | Show results with:date
  218. [218]
    Post-Quantum Cryptography | CSRC
    FIPS 203, FIPS 204 and FIPS 205, which specify algorithms derived from CRYSTALS-Dilithium, CRYSTALS-KYBER and SPHINCS+, were published August 13, 2024.Workshops and Timeline · Presentations · Email List (PQC Forum) · Post-QuantumMissing: date | Show results with:date
  219. [219]
    Grover's Algorithm and Its Impact on Cybersecurity - PostQuantum.com
    In summary, the impact on symmetric encryption is serious but manageable: Grover's algorithm means that 128-bit keys will no longer be sufficient in the long ...Cybersecurity Implications of... · Mitigation Strategies Against...
  220. [220]
    Quantum Computing Attacks on Classical Cryptography - Trend Micro
    Jan 24, 2024 · Grover's algorithm can speed this up to about √n . This improvement over a brute-force attack on symmetric algorithms can easily be defeated by ...<|separator|>
  221. [221]
    Quantum Key Distribution and BB84 Protocol - Medium
    Jun 23, 2021 · In the BB84 protocol, Alice can transmit a random secret key to Bob by sending a string of photons with the private key encoded in their ...
  222. [222]
    The BB84 Protocol: What Is It And How Does It Work?
    Sep 10, 2024 · The BB84 protocol, or the Bennett-Braunstein protocol, is a quantum key distribution (QKD) method that enables two parties to share a secret key over an ...History Of Quantum Key... · QKD Protocol Development... · Key Agreement And...<|separator|>
  223. [223]
    Next steps in preparing for post-quantum cryptography - NCSC.GOV ...
    If a PQ/T hybrid scheme is chosen, the NCSC recommends it is used as an interim measure that allows a straightforward migration to PQC-only in the future.
  224. [224]
    Hybrid Cryptography for the Post-Quantum Era
    By combining classical and post-quantum cryptographic primitives in tandem, hybrid schemes provide defense-in-depth during this transition...
  225. [225]
    [PDF] The PQC Migration Handbook - TNO (Publications)
    Dec 2, 2024 · The migration from quantum-vulnerable cryptography to PQC will be a time-consuming and resource-in- tensive task. Based on previous migrations, ...
  226. [226]
    [PDF] REPORT ON POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY
    Jul 1, 2024 · Funding to drive this modernization is part of the overall cost of the Federal Government's PQC migration. Concurrent with NIST's ...
  227. [227]
    Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography - NCCoE
    The Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography project seeks to demonstrate practices that reduce the value of y. For our project, quantum safe describes digital ...
  228. [228]
    Feynman's “Simulating Physics with Computers” - arXiv
    May 6, 2024 · In Ref. feynman82 , Feynman starts from the observation that natural phenomena are quantum rather than classical in their essence. Therefore, he ...Missing: motivation | Show results with:motivation
  229. [229]
    [PDF] Simulating Physics with Computers Richard P. Feynman
    “Nature isn't classical, dammit, and if you want to make a simulation of Nature, you'd better make it quantum mechanical, and by golly it's a wonderful problem, ...
  230. [230]
    Quantum Chemistry Calculations on a Trapped-Ion Quantum ...
    Jul 24, 2018 · The first realizations date back to 2010, when a photonic experiment [85] and a closely related NMR experiment [88] simulated the hydrogen ...
  231. [231]
    First-ever quantum simulation of chemical bonds with trapped ions
    Jul 25, 2018 · In a world first, Dr Cornelius Hempel has simulated the bonds of lithium hydride and hydrogen molecules using trapped-ion qubits.
  232. [232]
    Quantum computer simulates largest molecule yet, sparking hope of ...
    Sep 13, 2017 · A quantum computer has simulated beryllium hydride, lithium hydride, and hydrogen molecules (shown left to right), setting a world record.
  233. [233]
    Learning Many-Body Hamiltonians with Heisenberg-Limited Scaling
    In this Letter, we propose the first algorithm to achieve the Heisenberg limit for learning an interacting N-qubit local Hamiltonian.
  234. [234]
    Heisenberg-limited Hamiltonian learning for interacting bosons
    Sep 11, 2024 · We develop a protocol for learning a class of interacting bosonic Hamiltonians from dynamics with Heisenberg-limited scaling.
  235. [235]
    Quantum Simulation Used to Solve Mysteries of High-temperature ...
    Jul 12, 2024 · The discovery of high-temperature superconductors could lead to new possibilities for multiple practical applications, including energy storage, ...Missing: Tc | Show results with:Tc
  236. [236]
    Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) Breakthroughs
    A headline result came in 2020, when Google's quantum team performed VQE simulations for a hydrogen chain with 12 atoms – one of the largest chemistry ...Missing: H2 | Show results with:H2
  237. [237]
    IonQ Quantum Computing Achieves Greater Accuracy Simulating ...
    Oct 13, 2025 · The company is accelerating its technology roadmap and intends to deliver the world's most powerful quantum computers with 2 million qubits by ...
  238. [238]
    Local classical MAX-CUT algorithm outperforms $p=2$ QAOA on ...
    Apr 20, 2021 · Just as a 1-local classical algorithm outperforms p=1 QAOA, a related 2-local classical algorithm outperforms p=2 QAOA.
  239. [239]
    QAOA for Max-Cut requires hundreds of qubits for quantum speed-up
    May 6, 2019 · In this Article we investigate the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA), a hybrid quantum-classical algorithm, and compare its ...
  240. [240]
    Benchmarking Quantum Computing for Combinatorial Optimization
    In this study, we compare the performance of D-Wave's quantum annealing system with classical solvers, namely, Gurobi and Fixstars.
  241. [241]
    The complexity of quantum support vector machines
    Jan 11, 2024 · It has been shown that this approach offers a provable exponential speedup compared to any known classical algorithm for certain data sets.
  242. [242]
    Is noise the only reason that makes the results of Quantum Support ...
    Sep 12, 2021 · Is noise the only reason that makes the results of Quantum Support Vector Machine (QSVM) and Classical SVM differ, when we use a large dataset?Missing: no | Show results with:no
  243. [243]
    Quantum Computing in Logistics: Revolutionizing Complex Supply ...
    Sep 23, 2025 · DHL has run similar pilots in congested cities. Their experiments suggested that quantum-driven routing could reduce driven miles by up to 10%.
  244. [244]
    Quantum Computing in Manufacturing & Logistics | D-Wave
    Quantum computing helps with supply chain challenges, complex problems, and optimization across the value chain, including route optimization and scheduling.
  245. [245]
    The Ultimate 2025 Guide to Quantum Computing Trailblazers
    Jun 8, 2025 · Leader: Google Quantum AI (US). Google Quantum AI was founded in 2013 as a joint effort between Google, NASA, and the Universities Space ...
  246. [246]
    Top 10: Quantum Computing Companies | Technology Magazine
    Jul 30, 2025 · This week's top 10 lifts the lid on some of the most forward-thinking companies in quantum today, including IBM, Google, IonQ, ...
  247. [247]
    Quantum Computing Roadmaps & Predictions of Leading Players
    May 16, 2025 · Predictions from CEOs and experts highlight optimism, tempered by challenges, promising transformative impacts across industries.
  248. [248]
    PsiQuantum Raises $1 Billion to Build Million-Qubit Scale, Fault ...
    Sep 10, 2025 · PsiQuantum today announced it has raised $1 billion in funding for its Series E round to build the world's first commercially useful, ...
  249. [249]
    PsiQuantum valued at $7 billion in latest funding round, teams up ...
    Sep 10, 2025 · Quantum computing startup PsiQuantum said on Wednesday it has raised $1 billion in its latest funding round at a valuation of $7 billion, ...
  250. [250]
    10 Leading Quantum Computing Companies at the Forefront
    Feb 10, 2025 · Top Quantum Computing Companies of 2025 · 1. BlueQubit · 2. IBM · 3. Google (Quantum AI) · 4. Microsoft (Azure Quantum) · 5. Amazon (Amazon Braket).
  251. [251]
    Quantum Computing Companies in 2025 (76 Major Players)
    Sep 23, 2025 · Here is our updated 2025 list of quantum computing companies & leading players driving innovation, research & growth in quantum technology.Missing: transmons | Show results with:transmons
  252. [252]
    U.S. Weighs Taking Equity Stakes in Quantum Computing Firms
    The U.S. government is reportedly in talks with several quantum-computing companies, including IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave.
  253. [253]
    [PDF] Quantum Index Report 2025 - QIR - MIT
    Jun 2, 2025 · Fidelity for 2-Qubit is a key metric of performance improvement. ... Error rates and 2-Qubit gate-errors are key metrics to benchmark QPUs.
  254. [254]
    Quantum Computing Inc. Announces $500 Million Oversubscribed ...
    The closing of the offering is expected to occur on or about September 24, 2025, subject to the satisfaction of customary closing conditions. Participants in ...
  255. [255]
    8 Best Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy in 2025 - US News Money
    Oct 9, 2025 · The company made news with its plan to raise $750 million through a private placement of over 37 million shares, in a deal that closed on Oct. 8 ...
  256. [256]
    The Year of Quantum: From concept to reality in 2025 - McKinsey
    Jun 23, 2025 · Explore the latest advancements in quantum computing, sensing, and communication with our comprehensive Quantum Technology Monitor 2025.
  257. [257]
  258. [258]
  259. [259]
    Quantum Computing Moves from Theoretical to Inevitable
    Sep 23, 2025 · Quantum computing is advancing, with up to $250 billion impact possible. But full potential isn't guaranteed and may be gradual.Missing: critiques | Show results with:critiques
  260. [260]
    Quantum Computing On Track to Create Up to $850 Billion of ...
    Jul 18, 2024 · Quantum Computing On Track to Create Up to $850 Billion of Economic Value By 2040.Missing: Bain | Show results with:Bain
  261. [261]
  262. [262]
  263. [263]
    The timelines: when can we expect useful quantum computers?
    Assuming an exponential growth similar to Moore's law, we predict that the first applications could be within reach around 2035–2040.
  264. [264]
    IonQ's Accelerated Roadmap: Turning Quantum Ambition into Reality
    Jun 13, 2025 · IonQ is moving full throttle toward a future of fault-tolerant quantum computing. With an accelerated technology roadmap we shared this week via our Q2 Webinar ...Missing: realistic opinions
  265. [265]
    Thoughts on the 2025 IBM Quantum Roadmap Update
    Jul 18, 2025 · Here are my initial thoughts on the IBM Quantum roadmap update for 2025, released by IBM on June 10, 2025.<|separator|>
  266. [266]
    Quantum Computing Timelines 2025 - by Brian Lenahan
    Apr 29, 2025 · Predictions vary, with optimistic timelines (2–5 years for practical use) contrasted by more conservative estimates (15+ years), reflecting the ...
  267. [267]
    Impacts of Quantum Computers on Society - Decent Cybersecurity
    Jul 25, 2025 · Most experts agree that quantum computing will not cause sudden large-scale unemployment, but will require an adaptation of the workforce – ...Missing: displacement | Show results with:displacement
  268. [268]
    Ethical and Societal Implications of Quantum Computing - LinkedIn
    Apr 6, 2024 · Moreover, the potential for job displacement due to automation and the concentration of power in the hands of a few tech giants raise ...Missing: compute | Show results with:compute
  269. [269]
    Quantum Technology and Export Controls | The Regulatory Review
    Sep 13, 2025 · The United States has expanded its export restrictions on advanced quantum technologies in the name of national security, and China has ...
  270. [270]
    US Treasury Restricts Investment in Chinese Quantum Industry
    Oct 30, 2024 · The rule takes effect on Jan. 2, 2025, and builds upon other restrictions the U.S. has placed on strategic technologies, including new export ...
  271. [271]
    Export Controls Accelerate China's Quantum Supply Chain - RUSI
    Jun 27, 2025 · The US has therefore intensified its export controls on quantum technologies aimed at China over the past year. These measures have resulted in ...
  272. [272]
    Understand the impact of quantum computing on Data Centers - Odata
    Aug 19, 2024 · Although quantum computing promises to be more energy-efficient than traditional systems, it requires advanced thermal management to dissipate ...