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Valentinian II


Flavius Valentinianus, known as Valentinian II (c. 371 – 15 May 392), was a who ruled the western provinces from 375 to 392 as the youngest son of and his second wife . Proclaimed emperor at age four by troops in (modern ) shortly after his father's death, he initially controlled Italia, Illyricum, and Africa under his mother's regency, while his half-brother governed the Gallic prefecture. His nominal authority faced repeated challenges, including the usurpation by in 387, which forced flight to the Eastern Emperor for restoration in 388.
From 389 onward, Valentinian II's power waned further under the influence of the Frankish general Arbogast, who effectively controlled military and administrative decisions despite Valentinian's attempts to assert , such as relocating the court to in . The emperor's reign featured edicts promoting religious tolerance amid Arian Christian pressures from his mother and orthodox opposition led by Bishop of , though broader achievements were limited by his puppet status. On 15 May 392, Valentinian was found hanged in his residence; Arbogast claimed , but contemporary accounts and modern analyses suggest possible murder by the general to install a preferred successor, sparking debate over the true cause due to conflicting evidence from sources like Zosimus and . His death ended the and prompted Theodosius I's invasion of the West, culminating in victory at the Frigidus River.

Early Life and Family Background

Birth and Parentage

Valentinian II, born Flavius Valentinianus in 371, entered the world as the son of and his second wife, , in the city of (ancient Treviri), then the bustling administrative hub of the Gallic prefecture. served as 's primary residence during his consolidation of power in the western provinces following his accession in 364. Justina, a noblewoman whose prior marriage to the defeated usurper placed her within circles of imperial intrigue, gave birth to Valentinian II amid her husband's ongoing military preparations; she would later bear three daughters—Grata, Justa, and Galla—further securing the family's lineage. As the full younger brother to these sisters but half-brother to the elder (born to Valentinian I's first wife, Severa), the infant's position underscored the blended dynamics of the , where fraternal ties would later shape succession amid the empire's fractious politics. From birth, Valentinian II's immediate context reflected his father's vigorous defense of the frontier, including campaigns against Alemannic incursions and reforms to bolster provincial defenses and taxation, which demanded Valentinian I's frequent presence in Gaul's fortified cities like . These efforts, prioritizing readiness over eastern entanglements, enveloped the child's early in the strategic imperatives of a western empire under strain from pressures.

Upbringing and Education

Valentinian II, born in 371 in , the administrative center of Valentinian I's court in , spent his early childhood in the imperial household amid the military and bureaucratic apparatus of the western provinces. As the son of the soldier-emperor and his second wife , he was exposed from infancy to the traditions of Roman governance, including the oversight of frontier defenses and provincial administration, though his tender age precluded active involvement. Following his father's death in November 375, when Valentinian II was four years old, the court shifted toward , with the young emperor and his mother relocating to , a strategic hub for imperial control in the west. assumed a dominant role in his upbringing, leveraging her status as Augusta to guide court affairs and shield her son from factional threats, thereby limiting his personal agency in favor of regency oversight. This environment emphasized dynastic continuity over independent development, with Valentinian II inheriting his father's martial ethos indirectly through the military elite surrounding the court, yet subordinated to maternal and fraternal influences. Contemporary accounts indicate scant details on formal education, suggesting reliance on informal tutelage within the imperial circle rather than structured scholarly pursuits typical of older heirs. His half-brother reportedly supervised aspects of his rearing, aligning with Roman practices of fraternal guardianship for imperial youths, but the exigencies of his premature elevation to prioritized political survival over intellectual or rhetorical training. Consequently, Valentinian II's preparation for rule manifested more through observation of regental administration in than personal accomplishments, reflecting the vulnerabilities of child emperors in a of contested .

Accession to Power (375)

Death of Valentinian I

, while conducting military operations against the in , received envoys from the tribe at Brigetio (modern Szöny, Hungary) seeking peace negotiations. Enraged by their demands and perceived insolence, the launched into a vehement tirade, during which he suffered a fatal on November 17, 375, collapsing and dying shortly thereafter. The sudden demise created an acute power vacuum in the , as had not formally designated a successor beyond his elder son , who was already but campaigning elsewhere. The Pannonian legions, loyal to the late emperor's immediate household, turned to Empress , 's widow, who leveraged her influence and the support of her brother, General Cerealis, to present her four-year-old son, Valentinian, to the troops. On November 22, 375, at (modern ), the assembled forces proclaimed the young Valentinian as co-Augustus alongside , bypassing consultation with Gratian or his uncle in the East. This rapid elevation, driven by military rather than senatorial or dynastic , highlighted the precarious reliance on army loyalty for imperial continuity amid frontier pressures.

Elevation as Co-Emperor

Following the sudden death of on November 17, 375, at Brigetio amid campaigns against the and , the Pannonian field army under general Merobaudes proclaimed the emperor's four-year-old son, Valentinian II, as just five days later on November 22, 375. This rapid investiture, conducted at , aimed to preserve dynastic continuity and prevent factional strife or usurpation within the troops, who viewed the child as a direct extension of his father's authority. , already senior Augustus in the West since 367, nominally accepted the arrangement, though ancient accounts differ on his initial reluctance, with some portraying it as a gracious accommodation to military pressure. Valentinian II's elevation as junior co-emperor formalized a division of the Western Empire, with the child ruler granted oversight of the , Illyricum, and —territories shielded from the volatile Rhine and Danube frontiers. This assignment isolated the inexperienced emperor from direct exposure to barbarian incursions and Germanic threats that preoccupied Gratian's forces in Gaul, Britain, and Spain, thereby consolidating power through geographic separation while leveraging the relative stability of Mediterranean provinces for regency administration. Early coinage struck in Valentinian II's name, featuring obverse legends like DN VALENTINIANVS IVN PF AVG (Dominus Noster Valentinianus Junior Pius Felix Augustus), symbolized imperial legitimacy and familial succession, portraying the boy in pearl-diademed, draped, and cuirassed busts akin to his father's issues to evoke militaristic heritage and army allegiance. These aes and solidi, minted at sites including and , reinforced the narrative of unbroken Valentinianic rule, with reverse types such as GLORIA ROMANORVM underscoring Roman martial prowess inherited from Valentinian I's frontier defenses.

Regency and Early Rule from Milan (375–383)

Influence of Justina

Justina, the widow of , wielded substantial authority as regent for her four-year-old son Valentinian II after his proclamation as in November 375, relocating the imperial court to around 380 to consolidate power among local elites and foreign allies such as Gothic contingents. Her governance emphasized securing dynastic legitimacy and internal stability, navigating succession challenges without a formal regency title while countering potential rivals like the general Merobaudes. A proponent of Homoian Christianity—a creed affirming the similarity but not equality of the Son to the Father— leveraged imperial edicts to favor Homoian clergy over Nicene opponents, including Bishop Ambrose of . On January 23, 386, she influenced the issuance of Constitutiones Theodosianae 16.1.4, which permitted Homoian assemblies, rescinded prior bans on their worship, and imposed severe penalties, including death, for interference by Nicene adherents. These policies precipitated the Basilica Crisis of 385–386, when demanded control of the Basilica Portiana for Homoian services, prompting failed imperial attempts to seize Milanese churches amid Ambrose's defiance and mobilization of urban crowds. Backed by Gothic guards to maintain order, her efforts to install a Homoian like Auxentius underscored pragmatic alliances rather than doctrinal fanaticism, yet they exposed fractures in imperial-ecclesiastical relations. Under 's direction, administrative priorities centered on court preservation and legislative maneuvers for religious , sidelining offensive military operations in favor of reliance on Gratian's forces for defense. This inward focus diverged from the Nicene-leaning policies of Gratian's Trier-based court, which had earlier clashed with Justina over access in 381, sowing seeds of discord that weakened coordinated imperial responses to emerging threats.

Joint Administration with Gratian

Upon the death of on November 17, 375, his younger son Valentinian II, aged four, was proclaimed by the troops in , with his elder brother , already since 367, formally recognizing the arrangement to maintain dynastic unity across the Western Empire. , then sixteen, exercised primary authority over major imperial decisions, while Valentinian II's administration centered in under the regency of their Arian-leaning mother , focusing on the Italian prefectures of , , and Illyricum. This division allowed to prioritize frontier defenses along the and , delegating routine governance in to Justina's courtiers amid ongoing border instabilities. A pivotal example of Gratian's dominance in policy occurred in 382, when he ordered the removal of the of Victory from the house, alongside the cessation of state subsidies to pagan cults and the abolition of hereditary privileges for the Vestal Virgins. This act, influenced by Christian advisors like of , marked a decisive step against traditional and was not contested by Valentinian II's Milanese court, which tolerated the policy despite its Arian sympathies and potential to alienate senatorial traditionalists. Gratian's edict reflected his broader authority in religious and fiscal matters affecting the entire West, underscoring Valentinian II's limited personal role as a nominal co-ruler during this period. External pressures, particularly from Gothic migrations following their defeat of at Adrianople in 378, strained the joint administration, with leading campaigns in the from 379 onward to contain Gothic incursions that indirectly threatened Illyricum under Valentinian II's nominal purview. Valentinian II's regime in emphasized administrative stability in the Italian heartland, securing grain supplies from and maintaining urban order without major territorial expansions or reforms. These efforts preserved the prefectural structures inherited from , averting immediate disruptions from peripheral raids. Economically, the joint rule perpetuated Valentinian I's reforms, including centralized tax collection by imperial officials to alleviate burdens on local , alongside Gratian's introduction of heavier bronze coinage denominations around 379 to stabilize amid wartime expenditures. No significant innovations emerged from Valentinian II's court, which prioritized fiscal continuity over experimentation, reflecting the regency's conservative approach to sustaining revenues for defense without provoking provincial unrest. This continuity ensured short-term solvency but highlighted the administration's reactive posture under Gratian's strategic oversight.

Challenges and Usurpations (383–388)

Assassination of Gratian and Magnus Maximus

In 383, , a Roman military commander stationed in , was proclaimed Augustus by his troops amid discontent with 's leadership. Maximus promptly assembled an army from British and Gallic forces and crossed into , where he engaged and defeated Gratian's legions near during the summer campaign. Gratian, attempting to retreat toward via the , was betrayed by the governor of (modern ) and assassinated on August 25 by Andragathius, Maximus's . The death of , Valentinian II's elder half-brother and primary protector, left the 12-year-old emperor as the sole nominal ruler of the Western provinces south of the , severely compromising his position. rapidly secured control over , , and , establishing his administrative base at Augusta Treverorum () and minting coinage to legitimize his rule across these territories. This usurpation fragmented the Western Empire, isolating Valentinian II's court in and rendering it dependent on the loyalty of and garrisons. Under the influence of his mother , Valentinian II's regency initiated diplomatic overtures, formally recognizing as co-Augustus for the northern prefectures to forestall an invasion of . This arrangement preserved a fragile , with Valentinian retaining authority over , , and parts of Illyricum, but it underscored the young emperor's vulnerability to further encroachments without external support or mature military command.

Flight and Restoration by Theodosius I

In 387, invaded Italy from , forcing Valentinian II and his mother to flee Aquileia and seek refuge with in Thessalonica. Valentinian appealed to Theodosius for support against the usurper, who had already controlled , , and following his proclamation in 383 and the assassination of . Theodosius, recently victorious over the at Adrianople's aftermath, recognized the strategic value in intervening to preserve the Western imperial line and counter the threat to Eastern interests, formalizing the alliance through his to Valentinian's sister Galla in 387. Theodosius mobilized an army of approximately 30,000–40,000 troops, including Gothic federates, and launched a campaign westward in spring 388, advancing through Illyricum toward . He crossed the , defeating ' forces at the of the Save River (modern ) near Siscia in July 388, followed by a victory at Poetovio (modern ). retreated to Aquileia, where Theodosius besieged and captured the city; was executed on August 28, 388, along with his son Flavius , effectively dismantling the usurpation. These campaigns secured and restored imperial control without prolonged devastation, as Theodosius avoided sacking cities and focused on rapid decisive engagements. Theodosius then reinstalled Valentinian II as in in late 388, affirming his legitimacy as co-emperor of the West while retaining effective oversight. To position Valentinian closer to the frontier amid ongoing barbarian pressures, the court relocated to in by 389, enhancing administrative proximity to key legions and provinces. This restoration marked Valentinian's dependence on Eastern military backing, with Theodosius extracting dioceses of Illyricum—rich in revenues—for the Eastern Empire's , a that persisted beyond Valentinian's reign.

Later Rule from Vienne (388–392)

Dependence on Arbogast

Following the restoration of Valentinian II's authority in the West by after the defeat of the usurper in 388, the emperor established his residence in , in , under the oversight of the Frankish general Arbogast. Theodosius appointed Arbogast as for the Western provinces (excluding Africa), granting him command of the armies and effectively positioning him as guardian and ruler over the young emperor, who was then about 17 years old. This arrangement ensured stability but underscored Valentinian's diminished autonomy, as Arbogast wielded military and administrative power independently, managing court affairs and frontier defenses without routine consultation. Arbogast's tenure demonstrated Valentinian's reliance on his general for security against barbarian threats along the . Operating with considerable latitude, Arbogast conducted campaigns to repel incursions by groups such as the , securing treaties that bolstered Roman recruitment from Frankish auxiliaries and stabilizing the region during a of vulnerability post-Maximus. These actions, executed autonomously, highlighted the erosion of imperial oversight; Valentinian retained nominal command but lacked the leverage to direct , leading to private complaints to about Arbogast's overbearing influence, as recorded in contemporary ecclesiastical histories. Tensions escalated as Valentinian sought to reclaim . In early 392, he issued a formal dismissing Arbogast from his post, an attempt to break free from the general's dominance. Arbogast, however, openly defied the order by publicly tearing up the rescript, asserting that his appointment derived from higher or circumstance rather than the emperor's prerogative, thereby exposing the fragility of Valentinian's position and Arbogast's unchecked control over the soldiery. This incident crystallized the power imbalance, with the emperor reduced to symbolic rule while the dictated policy.

Efforts to Reassert Authority

In early 392, Valentinian II, increasingly resentful of Arbogast's dominance, sent secret messages to detailing the general's insolence and requesting assistance to reestablish his personal control over the western military apparatus. These appeals, conveyed amid Valentinian's relocation to , underscored his frustration with Arbogast's regency, which limited the emperor's decision-making to mere formalities. Theodosius, however, offered no substantive military support, likely due to his focus on eastern threats and reluctance to destabilize the fragile post-Maximus order. Seeking to assert imperial prerogative independently, Valentinian issued orders reaffirming the emperor's exclusive authority to appoint and dismiss high military officials, directly challenging Arbogast's unchecked power. This culminated in a formal rescript dismissing Arbogast as , which the general publicly rejected by tearing it apart before the court, declaring that Valentinian lacked the legitimacy to remove an appointee of Theodosius. The act highlighted Valentinian's nominal sovereignty but exposed his practical impotence without eastern backing or loyal forces. As a symbolic bid for agency, Valentinian planned a personal military expedition into to rally troops and demonstrate command, intending to bypass Arbogast's intermediaries. This initiative, aimed at reclaiming direct oversight of legions, reflected his maturing resolve at age 17 but remained unrealized amid escalating tensions.

Religious Policies and Controversies

Arian Influences and Maternal Regency

Justina, the mother of Valentinian II and a committed adherent of homoian Christianity—a non-Nicene form of —exercised significant regency influence over her young son following the death of in November 375. As in the western provinces, particularly , she promoted homoian bishops and sought to secure ecclesiastical positions for them, reflecting her personal theological commitments that had been restrained during her husband's lifetime. This advocacy manifested in policies tolerating non-Nicene groups, culminating in an edict issued on January 23, 386, which granted religious freedom to adherents of the homoian of , allowing Arian worship amid growing imperial pressures. Valentinian II, aged four at his proclamation as Augustus and remaining a minor throughout the initial regency, provided nominal endorsement to his mother's initiatives, as evidenced by the 386 edict promulgated in his name, which prioritized homoian clergy like Auxentius over Nicene rivals in . These measures persisted until Justina's death around 388, maintaining a pro-homoian stance at despite the emperor's limited personal agency. Such policies underscored intra-dynastic tensions, as Valentinian II's half-brother , ruling independently, had rejected Arian influences by removing the Altar of Victory from the in 382 and aligning with Nicene bishops. This western homoian tilt contrasted sharply with the eastern emperor Theodosius I's staunch anti-Arian posture, formalized in the on February 27, 380, which elevated Nicene orthodoxy as state doctrine and condemned homoian views as heretical. Gratian's similar rejection of non-Nicene appeals further highlighted the religious within the imperial family, where Justina's regency fostered tolerance for Arians in the West even as empire-wide currents shifted toward suppression.

Conflicts with Ambrose of Milan

In late 385, under the influence of his Arian mother, Empress , the 14-year-old Emperor Valentinian II issued an edict from granting religious freedoms to Arians and demanding that Bishop surrender the Portiana —one of the city's principal churches—for Arian worship, amid Justina's efforts to establish an Arian bishopric in the Homoean tradition. rejected the order outright, asserting in correspondence to Valentinian that imperial authority yielded to divine law, as "the Emperor has his power from " but could not command what contradicted ecclesiastical canons or scriptural precedent, such as the indivisibility of sacred spaces dedicated to the orthodox faith. This stance echoed Ambrose's broader letters emphasizing obedience to over human rulers, drawing on Acts 5:29, and framed the basilica as inviolable property of the rather than state assets subject to requisition. The imperial court responded with threats of deposition and exile, deploying troops to enforce the handover, but met fierce resistance from Milanese Nicene Christians who, rallied by , occupied the en masse, transforming them into sites of and psalmody to deter . By early 386, the standoff escalated into a near-siege, with soldiers surrounding the Portiana during ; Ambrose maintained control through popular mobilization, refusing negotiations that would cede church autonomy and warning Valentinian of spiritual peril, including potential for persisting in the demand. Court records and Ambrose's account to his sister Marcellina detail failed attempts to construct an alternative Arian basilica outside the walls, undermined by supply disruptions from the unrest, highlighting the political calculus of avoiding broader in a sympathetic to Nicene . The crisis peaked over Easter 386, when imperial forces blockaded the basilicas but withdrew amid rioting and Ambrose's unyielding sermons, forcing Valentinian to rescind enforcement of the edict without formal concession, preserving Ambrose's authority and exposing the limits of a regency-dependent emperor against entrenched episcopal and popular opposition. Ambrose's letters portray this as a triumph of ecclesiastical independence, prioritizing canonical tradition over pragmatic imperial tolerance, while the court's retreat reflected calculated restraint to maintain stability rather than doctrinal commitment.

Shift Toward Nicene Orthodoxy

In early 392, Valentinian II, residing in , issued a rescript in response to a petition from pagan senators in seeking the restoration of the , a symbol removed from the house under . Influenced by of Milan's vehement opposition, the rescript explicitly affirmed the emperor's confession of the —the orthodox formula established at the in 325—and rejected any concessions to pagan rituals, thereby enforcing alignment with Trinitarian doctrine against Arian or polytheistic deviations. This decree reflected Valentinian's increasing dependence on the military and political backing of , whose regime had imposed as the empire's standard following his victory over in 388 and subsequent edicts like the 380 , which privileged the Nicene faith over alternatives. Ambrose's correspondence and exhortations underscored the pragmatic necessity: toleration of risked alienating Theodosius' eastern support and Nicene ecclesiastical allies essential for Valentinian's legitimacy in the West. Prior to his death on 15 May 392, Valentinian personally sought counsel from Ambrose regarding baptism into the orthodox faith, signaling a private commitment to Nicene Christianity beyond mere policy. In his funeral oration De obitu Valentiniani, Ambrose recounted how the emperor, regretting prior hesitations influenced by his Arian-leaning mother Justina, desired sacramental initiation but perished before Ambrose could administer it, interpreting this intent as conferring spiritual efficacy akin to baptism. This episode, drawn from Ambrose's eyewitness proximity to the court, illustrates the emperor's late pivot, driven by both conviction and the imperatives of a Theodosian-aligned rulership.

Military and Foreign Affairs

Responses to Barbarian Invasions

During Valentinian II's rule from (388–392), responses to Germanic threats along the frontier were delegated to subordinates, particularly the Arbogast, who conducted punitive expeditions against Frankish groups exploiting the instability following the defeat of . In 388, amid a Frankish incursion into , Arbogast negotiated with while organizing defenses to limit their advances across the . These efforts secured key positions, including the recovery of from Frankish control, marking the last Roman hold east of the in that sector. Arbogast extended operations into 391–392 with cross-Rhine campaigns targeting non-Romanized , achieving temporary stabilization through a mix of combat and selective alliances with Frankish elements already integrated as . Valentinian II maintained oversight but avoided personal field command, aligning with a broader emphasis on to manage interactions rather than direct , in contrast to his father Valentinian I's hands-on frontier engagements. Incursions by Alamanni appear minimal post-383, with no major recorded conflicts under this regime. These measures preserved short-term Roman authority but faced critique for inadequate long-term reinforcement, as had depleted resources and manpower, allowing persistent raiding to strain the limes without systemic bolstering. Modern analysis suggests the perceived "Germanic threat" was often amplified for internal political leverage, reflecting Romano-Gallic administrative priorities over existential peril.

Diplomatic Relations with the Eastern Empire

The restoration of Valentinian II to power in 388 followed Theodosius I's decisive victory over the usurper , whose forces were defeated at Aquileia on August 28, marking the end of the Western rebellion and reestablishing nominal unity under dual imperial authority. This event fostered an initial alliance, evidenced by Valentinian's issuance of joint coinage portraying both emperors, symbolizing gratitude for Eastern military intervention and mutual legitimacy. However, the partnership was inherently asymmetrical, with Theodosius assuming a dominant position as protector, effectively exercising guardianship over the younger Valentinian, whose regime relied on Eastern backing to maintain stability in and . Tensions arose over territorial adjustments, particularly the permanent transfer of the Illyrian prefecture—including its eastern dioceses of and —to Eastern administration as compensation for Theodosius' campaign expenses. This cession, enacted around 388, deprived the Western court of vital revenues from Illyricum's urban centers and ports, which had previously supported Western defenses against barbarians, while bolstering Eastern finances and . Valentinian's diplomats protested the loss, viewing it as subordinating Western interests to Eastern priorities, though no open rupture occurred due to Valentinian's military weakness and dependence on Theodosius for legitimacy. Policy coordination persisted through joint edicts addressing empire-wide threats, notably the suppression of heresies. Constitutions co-promulgated by both emperors, such as those in 389 prohibiting the teaching or assembly of non-Nicene groups (CTh 16.5.6-8), aligned administrative responses to doctrinal challenges, banning heretical propagation while exempting private belief. These measures, drawn from the Theodosian Code, reflected pragmatic diplomatic harmony in enforcing , even as local divergences in enforcement highlighted the limits of centralized control across the divided empire. Theodosius' paternal oversight, praised in Claudian's panegyrics as safeguarding the Western throne, underscored this balance of alliance and subordination until Valentinian's death in 392.

Death and Surrounding Debates

Events Leading to Demise

In early May 392, Valentinian II sought to reassert his imperial authority by issuing a written order dismissing Arbogast from his role as . Arbogast defiantly rejected the command, publicly tearing up the document and retorting that Valentinian lacked the power to remove him since he had not been the one to appoint him in the first place. This act of open underscored Arbogast's effective control over the Western Roman military and administration, leaving Valentinian with no means to enforce his decree. Confined to the imperial residence at in under Arbogast's oversight, Valentinian grew increasingly isolated and despondent amid his inability to command or . On May 15, 392, he was found hanged in his private quarters, with his sword lying nearby, as reported in the subsequent official examination of the scene.

Suicide or Assassination: Evidence and Interpretations

Valentinian II was discovered hanged in his bedchamber at the imperial residence in on 15 May 392, with Arbogast, the dominant military figure, immediately proclaiming the death a suicide. Arbogast's assertion carried weight in the short term, as , upon receiving news of the death, did not launch reprisals against him or his forces, instead focusing on securing the succession while Arbogast retained control in for months. This inaction implies that initial reports and circumstantial evidence were insufficient to compel accusations of foul play among imperial circles, including Rufinus, Theodosius's , who later expressed suspicions only retrospectively. Evidence supporting suicide draws from contemporary Christian accounts emphasizing Valentinian's emotional state. Ambrose of 's funeral oration, De obitu Valentiniani, delivered soon after the body arrived in , portrays the as despondent yet spiritually resolved, stating he "feared not death" and met his end with faith amid worldly frustrations, without alleging violence or staging. highlights Valentinian's recent plea for and rejection of as signs of , framing the as a voluntary act consistent with despair over political impotence rather than external coercion. Similarly, Orosius's Historiae adversum paganos (c. 418) reports the directly—"suspensio vitam finivit"—while acknowledging rumors of strangulation, but prioritizes the self-inflicted narrative to underscore divine judgment on a ruler's weaknesses. These sources, rooted in proximity to events, align with causal factors: a 21-year-old , long sidelined by regents and generals, had recently failed to dismiss Arbogast, fostering plausible despondency without need for conspiratorial orchestration. Counterarguments for assassination center on Arbogast's motives and pagan historiography. Zosimus's New History (c. 498–518), a late pagan account critical of Christian emperors, claims Arbogast preemptively strangled Valentinian upon learning of plans to replace him, then faked the hanging to avert Eastern intervention by Theodosius. This version echoes suspicions noted by Orosius, attributing the act to Arbogast's fear of losing power amid Valentinian's overtures to Theodosius for support. The motive holds circumstantial force—Arbogast, a Frankish outsider wielding unchecked authority, benefited from removing a sovereign attempting reassertion—but lacks eyewitness corroboration beyond Zosimus, whose pagan bias against Theodosian orthodoxy often amplifies narratives of barbarian overreach and imperial decay. Interpretations diverge along source affiliations, with Christian writers like and favoring suicide to preserve a redemptive arc for Valentinian's piety, potentially minimizing scandal involving a barbarian general to avoid undermining Nicene . Zosimus, conversely, stresses to indict the regime's vulnerabilities, reflecting sixth-century pagan disillusionment rather than impartial reportage. Absent forensic details or unbiased , causal reasoning privileges suicide as the simpler explanation: empirical patterns of late rulers under duress (e.g., despondency from eroded ) outweigh speculative staging, which demands coordinated without subsequent exposure or punishment of perpetrators. Scholarly consensus leans toward suicide, debunking assassination theories for overreliance on motive-driven, post-hoc accounts lacking direct proof.

Legacy and Historical Assessment

Immediate Political Consequences

Following Valentinian II's death on 15 May 392 at , a power vacuum emerged in the , as the young emperor left no direct heirs and his Arbogast, a Frankish general ineligible for the due to his non- origins, could not assume imperial authority himself. Arbogast instead elevated the Roman rhetorician and former teacher Flavius Eugenius as puppet emperor on 22 August 392, initially framing the move as a provisional measure to maintain stability while ostensibly deferring to Eastern Emperor . Eugenius's by the imperial guard and in secured nominal control over , , and parts of Illyricum, but Arbogast retained effective military command, using the regime to pursue policies tolerant of amid tensions with Nicene Christian factions. This usurpation provoked , who viewed himself as the senior Augustus and guardian of Valentinian's legacy through his marriage to Valentinian I's daughter Galla. Theodosius mobilized Eastern armies and allies, including Gothic federates, launching a campaign westward in 393–394 that culminated in the on 5–6 September 394 near Aquileia. There, Theodosian forces decisively defeated 's army, with captured and executed on the emperor's orders, while Arbogast fled and died by suicide shortly after. The victory eliminated the rival regime, allowing Theodosius to assume direct control over the Western provinces and briefly reunify the entire under single rule until his death on 17 January 395. Valentinian II's remains were transported to Milan, where Bishop Ambrose interred them with imperial honors in the Basilica of San Lorenzo, reflecting the churchman's influence despite prior conflicts. This event underscored the immediate transition: Theodosius installed his young son Honorius as Western Augustus in 395, effectively ending the Valentinian dynasty—founded by Valentinian I in 364—and inaugurating Theodosian dominance in the West, with succession passing through Theodosius's sons rather than Valentinian's collateral lines.

Evaluations in Ancient and Modern Sources

Ancient evaluations of Valentinian II's rule were shaped by the theological agendas of contemporary authors. , in his Epistulae 17 and 18 responding to Symmachus's 384 petition for , and in his funeral oration De obitu Valentiniani consolatio, extolled the emperor's and alignment with Nicene , portraying his resistance to Arian influences from his Justina and rejection of pagan subsidies as marks of virtuous leadership, though this hagiographic tone overlooked the regency's dominance in decision-making. Zosimus, a sixth-century pagan historian with anti-Christian bias, critiqued Valentinian's perceived weakness in New History 4.51–55, linking his minority rule and dependence on generals like Arbogast to unchecked barbarian advances and internal usurpations, such as Magnus Maximus's 383 seizure of , framing these as symptoms of Christian policies eroding martial discipline. Claudian's panegyrics, composed under Stilicho's patronage post-392, indirectly downplayed Valentinian's shortcomings by emphasizing Theodosius I's 388 restoration of his authority and subsequent stability, avoiding explicit condemnation while idealizing the dynasty's continuity to legitimize Honorius's regime. Modern historiography initially aligned with Gibbon's eighteenth-century decline thesis in The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, which depicted Valentinian as emblematic of imperial infantilization—a passive youth emblemizing the erosion of senatorial vigor and military autonomy amid barbarian pressures and court intrigues, with his reign (375–392) signaling the West's subordination to Eastern intervention. This view, prioritizing moral decay over institutional factors, has been challenged by twentieth- and twenty-first-century scholarship emphasizing verifiable policy continuity, such as anti-pagan edicts (e.g., CTh 16.10.8–12) and defensive campaigns delegated to regents, which sustained administrative frameworks inherited from Valentinian I despite the emperor's age constraints from ascension at four years old. Recent analyses, including those on late Roman child-rulers, attribute apparent ineffectiveness to structural regency dynamics—evident in Justina's Arian court influence and Theodosius's 388–391 oversight—rather than inherent personal failings, cautioning against romanticized "martyr" interpretations in patristic sources like Ambrose, which lack empirical ties to causal outcomes in territorial integrity or fiscal policy. Such assessments favor primary evidence from Theodosian Code rescripts and consular records over biased narratives, revealing a ruler whose legitimacy endured through dynastic symbolism amid elite factionalism.