Fact-checked by Grok 2 weeks ago

Trace gas

A trace gas is any atmospheric constituent present at concentrations below approximately 1% by volume, comprising the minor components of Earth's atmosphere beyond the dominant (78%), oxygen (21%), and (0.93%). These include (CO₂, ~0.042% or 420 ppm), (CH₄, ~1.9 ppm), (N₂O, ~0.33 ppm), and (O₃, varying from ~0.4 ppm at surface to 10 ppm in ), among others like and . Despite their scant abundances—often orders of magnitude lower than principal gases—trace gases drive critical atmospheric dynamics through selective absorption of infrared radiation, enabling the that maintains Earth's habitable surface temperatures by trapping outgoing longwave energy. Empirical spectroscopic data confirm their potency stems from molecular vibrational modes aligning with Earth's blackbody , rather than sheer volume, yielding radiative forcings that amplify with rising concentrations from emissions. Notable among trace gases are the well-mixed long-lived species, whose increases since industrialization—CO₂ from ~280 pre-1750 to current levels—have measurably altered global radiative balance, as quantified by satellite and surface observations. They also mediate tropospheric chemistry, including oxidant cycles (e.g., via hydroxyl radicals) that regulate lifetimes and stratospheric processes like formation, though human enhancements have triggered depletions via catalytic cycles involving chlorofluorocarbons. Controversies persist over attribution of climatic variability to specific trace gas forcings versus natural forcings or feedbacks, with empirical reconstructions emphasizing the need for disentangling causal chains from proxy data amid model uncertainties.

Fundamentals

Definition and Classification

In atmospheric science, a trace gas refers to any gaseous constituent of an atmosphere present at concentrations below approximately 1% by volume, distinguishing it from the dominant components that form the bulk of the mixture. In Earth's dry atmosphere, trace gases comprise all species beyond nitrogen (78%), oxygen (21%), and argon (0.93%), which collectively account for 99.93% of the total volume, leaving trace gases to fill the remaining fraction through myriad minor contributors ranging from parts per million (ppm) to parts per trillion (ppt). This definition emphasizes abundance rather than chemical properties, though water vapor—highly variable and often reaching several percent locally—is frequently analyzed separately due to its phase changes and hydrological cycle influences, despite qualifying as a trace gas on average (around 0.4% globally). Trace gases are classified in multiple ways, primarily by their atmospheric lifetime, chemical reactivity, and functional roles, reflecting their diverse impacts on , chemistry, and air quality. Long-lived trace gases, such as (CO₂, ~420 ppm as of 2023) and (N₂O, ~336 ppb), exhibit global mixing due to lifetimes exceeding decades, behaving as well-mixed background constituents driven by cumulative sources and sinks. In contrast, short-lived trace gases like hydroxyl radicals (OH) or nitrogen oxides (NOx) have lifetimes of seconds to days, leading to heterogeneous distributions shaped by local emissions, , and deposition processes. Reactivity-based classification further divides trace gases into inert (e.g., like at 18 ppm and at 5.24 ppm, which undergo minimal chemical transformation) and reactive categories (e.g., (O₃) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs), which drive oxidation chains and tropospheric chemistry)./04:_Atmospheric_Composition/4.03:_Other_Trace_Gases) Functional roles provide another lens, grouping them as greenhouse-active (e.g., (CH₄, ~1.9 ppm)), ozone-depleting (e.g., chlorofluorocarbons), or aerosol precursors (e.g., (SO₂)), with anthropogenic contributions increasingly dominant for many since the . These schemes overlap, as empirical measurements reveal that even ultra-trace (<1 ppb, like certain halocarbons) can exert outsized causal effects through or catalytic cycles, underscoring the need for precise quantification over abundance alone.

Physical Properties and Behavior

Trace gases in the Earth's atmosphere exist at volume mixing ratios typically below 0.1%, rendering their influence on bulk physical properties such as , , and thermal conductivity negligible compared to dominant constituents like and oxygen. These gases, including (CO₂ at ~400 ppm), (CH₄ at ~1.83 ppm), (N₂O at ~320 ppb), and (O₃), behave as ideal gases under tropospheric conditions, adhering to the with minimal deviations due to low pressures and temperatures ranging from 200–300 K. Their molecular structures—linear triatomic for CO₂ and N₂O, tetrahedral for CH₄, and bent triatomic for O₃—confer distinct thermodynamic stability, with all maintaining gaseous phases at ambient atmospheric temperatures and pressures, unlike condensable vapors such as . A defining physical characteristic is their interaction with , governed by molecular vibrational and rotational spectra that produce narrow bands, enabling precise and calculations. CO₂ exhibits strong at 15 μm ( ~220 cm⁻² atm⁻¹ at 296 K), with secondary bands at 4.3 μm and 10 μm, facilitating efficient trapping of . CH₄ absorbs broadly in the 7–13 μm ( ~134 cm⁻² atm⁻¹), while N₂O targets 7–13 μm regions with intensities up to 218 cm⁻² atm⁻¹, and shows peak near 9.6 μm ( ~13 cm⁻² atm⁻¹) alongside bands critical for photolysis. These spectroscopic features, empirically derived from laboratory measurements and atmospheric observations, underpin the gases' roles in without altering collisional dynamics significantly due to trace abundances. In terms of transport and partitioning, trace gases exhibit high diffusivity in air ( coefficients on the order of 10⁻⁵ m² s⁻¹ for CH₄ in N₂ at 298 ), promoting rapid mixing on local scales, though global distribution is dominated by . varies markedly, influencing air-water exchange; CO₂ has a constant of ~0.034 L⁻¹ ⁻¹ at 298 , enabling substantial oceanic uptake, whereas CH₄'s lower (~0.0013 L⁻¹ ⁻¹) limits . Reactive gases like O₃ display short tropospheric residence times (~days) due to physical scavenging in and surface deposition, contrasting with longer-lived like N₂O (~100 years), as determined by empirical measurements.
GasKey IR Absorption Band (μm)Band Intensity (cm⁻² atm⁻¹ at 296 K)Molecular Weight (g/mol)
CO₂15~22044
CH₄7–13~13416
N₂O7–13~24–21844
O₃9–10~1348

Historical Development

Early Observations and Conceptualization

Early chemical analyses of the atmosphere in the late revealed that dry air consisted primarily of and oxygen, with small residues unexplained by then-known components. , in experiments conducted between 1781 and 1785, removed from air samples and measured the remaining composition as approximately 79.16% and 20.84% oxygen by , leaving a residual fraction of about 1% that resisted further reaction. This residue, later identified as inert gases, indicated the presence of minor atmospheric constituents beyond the dominant pair. In the mid-19th century, attention turned to reactive trace species. Christian Friedrich Schönbein discovered in through observations of electrical discharges producing a gas with distinct and oxidizing properties, later confirmed in atmospheric samples via its absorption of UV light. Concurrently, precise measurements of , known since the from Lavoisier's work, quantified its trace levels at around 0.03% or 300 ppm in clean air, varying with biological and sources. These findings began to conceptualize the atmosphere not as a homogeneous "air" but as a where dilute components could influence chemical reactivity and . A pivotal advancement occurred in 1894 when Lord Rayleigh and William Ramsay identified argon as a distinct inert gas, resolving a density anomaly: nitrogen isolated from air exhibited higher density than that from chemical compounds, implying an admixture of heavier inert matter comprising about 0.93% of the atmosphere. This discovery, published after fractional distillation and spectroscopic confirmation, challenged the prior assumption that atmospheric "nitrogen" was pure and highlighted trace gases' stability and prevalence. Ramsay's subsequent isolations of helium (1895, terrestrial confirmation), neon, krypton, and xenon (1898) expanded the catalog of noble gases, each at parts-per-million levels, underscoring their role as non-reactive diluents. These observations fostered the conceptualization of trace gases as persistent, low-concentration elements integral to atmospheric composition, paving the way for understanding their physical and chemical inertness amid dominant fluxes of major gases.

Modern Monitoring and Key Milestones

In the mid-20th century, precise ground-based monitoring of atmospheric trace gases emerged as a cornerstone of modern atmospheric science. Charles David Keeling initiated continuous carbon dioxide (CO₂) measurements at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii on March 29, 1958, recording an initial concentration of 313 parts per million (ppm), establishing the foundational dataset known as the Keeling Curve that revealed steady anthropogenic increases. For ozone, the Dobson spectrophotometer, refined by G.M.B. Dobson in the 1920s but deployed widely post-World War II, enabled systematic total column measurements starting from sites like Arosa, Switzerland, in 1925, with networks expanding globally by the 1950s to track stratospheric variations. The 1960s and 1970s marked the establishment of international networks for broader trace gas surveillance. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) launched the Background Air Pollution Monitoring Network (BAPMoN) in the late 1960s, initially targeting CO₂, aerosols, and precipitation chemistry, evolving into the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) program to coordinate global observations of greenhouse gases and reactive species. Systematic methane (CH₄) measurements began in the 1970s, with concentrations tracked via flask sampling and chromatography, confirming levels around 1.72 ppm by the late 1970s amid rising trends. The Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment (ALE), initiated in the late 1970s, focused on five key ozone-depleting trace gases (CFC-11, CFC-12, CCl₄, CH₃CCl₃, N₂O) through flask networks, providing early data on their global distributions and lifetimes. Satellite-based monitoring revolutionized trace gas detection from the onward, offering global coverage unattainable by ground stations. NASA's Nimbus-7 satellite, launched in 1978, deployed the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer () and Backscatter Ultraviolet () instruments for routine ozone column and water vapor profile measurements, marking the onset of spaceborne trace gas spectrometry. Subsequent missions, such as the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) on ERS-2 in 1995, expanded to ultraviolet-visible for multiple species including NO₂ and SO₂. For , the Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Cartography (SCIAMACHY) on , operational from 2002, delivered the first space-based global near-surface distribution maps, validating ground data and revealing emission hotspots. By the , dedicated CO₂ satellites like Japan's GOSAT (2009) and NASA's OCO-2 (2014) achieved column-average precision below 1 ppm, enhancing quantification of fluxes from point sources. These milestones underscored the shift from localized to integrated, multi-platform systems, with NOAA's Global Monitoring Laboratory expanding flask networks in the early to include routine CH₄ observations from , sustaining records amid debates over attribution. Despite advancements, challenges persist in intercalibrating instruments across networks, as evidenced by ongoing WMO GAW efforts to standardize protocols for accuracy in detecting subtle trends.

Atmospheric Processes

Sources and Sinks

Sources of atmospheric trace gases arise from a of natural and processes that emit them into the air from the Earth's surface or lower atmosphere. Natural sources include volcanic eruptions, which release (SO₂), (CO₂), and ; biogenic emissions from microbial in wetlands and soils producing (CH₄) and (N₂O); oceanic outgassing of dissolved gases like ; and wildfires contributing volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and CO. sources, which have amplified emissions of many trace gases since the , primarily stem from combustion emitting CO₂, (CO), and nitrogen oxides (NOx); agricultural activities such as fertilizer application and in releasing N₂O and CH₄; and industrial processes including production and waste incineration. These sources vary in magnitude, with contributions often dominating budgets for long-lived species like CO₂ and CH₄ due to incomplete natural sinks. Sinks for trace gases encompass chemical, physical, and biological removal mechanisms that limit their atmospheric accumulation. In the , the (OH) serves as the primary oxidant, reacting with reduced species like CH₄, , and VOCs to form more soluble products that facilitate deposition; this photochemical sink accounts for the short lifetimes (days to years) of many reactive trace gases. Stratospheric sinks include photolysis by ultraviolet radiation, which breaks down ozone-depleting substances like chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs), and uptake into polar stratospheric clouds leading to heterogeneous reactions. Surface-level sinks involve dry deposition onto and soils, wet deposition via scavenging soluble gases like hydrogen chloride (HCl), and biological sequestration, such as oceanic absorption of CO₂ through phytoplankton uptake or terrestrial . The interplay of sources and sinks defines each trace gas's atmospheric lifetime and burden, with imbalances driving observed trends; for instance, enhanced sources without proportional sink increases have led to rising concentrations of greenhouse-active trace gases. Quantifying these fluxes relies on inverse modeling and observations, revealing uncertainties in natural source strengths, such as wetland CH₄ emissions.

Mixing, Lifetime, and Distribution

Trace gases in the experience rapid horizontal mixing on synoptic timescales of days to weeks driven by patterns and convective processes, with vertical mixing in the occurring over hours to days. Interhemispheric transport, limited by the , requires approximately one year for equilibration, enabling gases with lifetimes exceeding this period to become well-mixed globally. Shorter mixing timescales apply in the , where radiative processes dominate over turbulence, leading to slower homogenization. The atmospheric lifetime of a trace gas is defined as the inverse of its removal rate, representing the time for concentration decay under steady-state conditions, influenced by like photochemical oxidation, deposition, or stratospheric photolysis. For (CH₄), the primary is with hydroxyl radicals (), yielding a lifetime of 11.8 years. (N₂O) has a longer lifetime of 109 years, predominantly removed via photolysis and with atomic oxygen in the . Chlorofluorocarbon-11 (CFC-11) persists for 52 years, while CFC-12 endures 102 years, both undergoing stratospheric breakdown. (CO₂) lacks a singular lifetime due to its cycling through multiple reservoirs, but perturbation lifetimes range from decades for fast to millennia for deep ocean uptake. Short-lived species, such as tropospheric (O₃), have lifetimes of days, dictated by reactions with HO₂ and NO. Distribution patterns of trace gases arise from the interplay of emission sources, sink locations, and transport relative to lifetimes. Long-lived, well-mixed gases like N₂O and CFCs show near-uniform global concentrations, with interhemispheric differences under 5-10% as evidenced by flask sampling networks spanning remote marine boundary layers. Methane exhibits a modest north-south gradient of about 5-10% higher in the due to anthropogenic and biogenic sources outweighing transport delays. Shorter-lived gases display pronounced regional variability, such as CO near urban-industrial plumes or O₃ enhancements downwind of . Vertically, trace gases often stratify: reactive species deplete near the surface via dry deposition, while long-lived ones ascend to the stratosphere via slow upwelling in the tropics, fostering accumulation (e.g., N₂O increases from ~330 ppb tropospheric to higher stratospheric mixing ratios). Seasonal cycles modulate distributions, with CO₂ peaking in winter from reduced and combustion. Monitoring by global observatories confirms these patterns, with data from over 70 sites revealing trends and spatial coherence for well-mixed constituents.

Measurement Techniques

In-Situ and Remote Sensing Methods

In-situ measurement methods for atmospheric trace gases involve direct sampling and analysis at the location of interest, providing high-precision local concentrations but limited spatial coverage. These techniques commonly employ laser-based , such as (TDLAS) or (CRDS), which detect species like CO₂, CH₄, and by measuring in a gas sample cell. Instruments like the Picarro analyzer, used in airborne campaigns such as ACT-America, achieve precisions of approximately 0.1 for CO₂ and 3 ppb for CH₄ through continuous in-situ sampling during flights covering vertical profiles up to 12 km. Ground-based networks, including tower-mounted systems in urban flux studies, integrate these with for multi-species analysis, enabling flux calculations via with uncertainties around 1-5% for well-mixed layers. Balloon-borne ozonesondes and electrochemical sensors extend in-situ profiling to the , measuring O₃ with resolutions of 1-2 ppb, though they require against standards to mitigate drift errors up to 5%. Remote sensing methods infer trace gas distributions without physical sampling, offering broad spatial coverage from ground, airborne, or satellite platforms but often with retrieval uncertainties from atmospheric interference. Ground-based Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy, as in the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC), retrieves total column densities of gases like HCl, HF, and CH₄ by analyzing solar absorption spectra, with precisions of 1-3% for mid-infrared bands after accounting for interfering species via multi-parameter fitting. Lidar systems, employing differential absorption lidar (DIAL), actively probe vertical profiles of tropospheric O₃ or aerosols influencing trace gas transport, achieving resolutions of 10-50 m vertically and accuracies within 5-10% in clear conditions, as demonstrated in NASA profiling applications. Satellite-based passive remote sensing, such as thermal infrared sounders on platforms like MIPAS, derives global column abundances of N₂O and CFCs from limb-viewing geometries, with retrieval precisions of 5-10% for stratospheric profiles, though cloud cover and aerosol scattering introduce biases up to 20% without corrections like those in GFIT3 algorithms. Comparisons reveal in-situ methods excel in absolute accuracy (often <1% uncertainty) for point validation but suffer from sparse networks, covering <1% of global atmosphere, while provides synoptic views yet faces challenges like vertical smearing in column retrievals, leading to discrepancies of 10-30% against in-situ data in polluted regions due to sampling mismatches. Hybrid approaches, integrating in-situ for calibration, enhance , as in urban CO₂ monitoring where reduces biases from surface emissions.

Challenges in Detection and Accuracy

Detecting trace gases, which exist at concentrations typically below 1% by volume (often in parts per million or billion), requires instruments with exceptional to distinguish them from the dominant (78%) and oxygen (21%) background. Conventional methods like struggle with real-time monitoring due to sample preparation times exceeding 30 minutes per analysis, limiting their utility for dynamic atmospheric profiles. Spectroscopic techniques, such as Fourier-transform (FTIR) spectroscopy, offer improved detection limits down to 0.1 ppb for species like , but they are prone to spectral interferences from and other overlapping absorption lines, necessitating complex algorithms that can introduce errors up to 10-20% in humid conditions. Remote sensing platforms, including satellite-based instruments like the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) launched in 2017, face additional hurdles from obscuring up to 70% of Earth's surface at any time and scattering that distorts retrievals, leading to underestimations of trace gas columns by 5-15% in polluted regions. Calibration accuracy is further compromised by the lack of long-term, globally distributed reference standards; for instance, the World Meteorological Organization's scale for CO2 has uncertainties of ±0.1 , but field instruments often drift by 0.2-0.5 annually without frequent recalibration against traceable gases. Temporal and spatial variability exacerbates these issues, as trace gases exhibit short-term fluctuations (e.g., diurnal cycles in concentrations) that challenge the representativeness of sparse measurement networks, with global models showing discrepancies of up to 30% between point observations and area-averaged . Efforts to mitigate these challenges include multi-axis differential optical (MAX-DOAS), which achieves precisions of 0.3-1 Dobson units for NO2 but remains sensitive to line-of-sight assumptions and surface variations, potentially biasing urban plume detections by 20%. Peer-reviewed validations, such as those from the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC), highlight persistent systematic errors in older lidars, where contamination inflates retrievals by 5-10% at stratospheric altitudes. Overall, achieving sub-ppb accuracy demands integrated approaches combining in-situ and remote data with corrections, yet uncertainties persist, particularly for emerging trace species like hydrofluorocarbons, where detection limits lag behind rising emissions.

Roles and Impacts

Radiative and Greenhouse Effects

Trace gases, such as (CO₂), (CH₄), and (N₂O), interact with Earth's radiative budget primarily through selective absorption and re-emission of (IR) radiation in the spectrum emitted by the planet's surface and lower atmosphere. These molecules possess vibrational and rotational energy levels that resonate with specific IR wavelengths, typically between 4 and 20 micrometers, where terrestrial blackbody emission peaks around 10 micrometers for surface temperatures near 288 K. For instance, CO₂ exhibits strong absorption centered at 15 μm, CH₄ at approximately 7.7 μm, N₂O at 5 μm and 8 μm, and tropospheric (O₃) between 9 and 10 μm. This absorption occurs even at trace concentrations (e.g., CO₂ at ~420 ppm) because the atmosphere is optically thick in these bands, with photons undergoing multiple absorption-re-emission cycles before escaping to space, modulated by pressure broadening and continuum effects that extend absorption into band wings. In the greenhouse effect, these absorptions reduce the outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) at the top of the atmosphere while increasing downward flux at the surface, resulting in a net positive that elevates equilibrium temperatures. Upon absorbing photons, trace gas molecules are excited to higher vibrational states and subsequently re-emit isotropically, with roughly half directed downward, effectively trapping that would otherwise radiate directly to . Empirical measurements, including surface data and observations of OLR spectra, confirm this mechanism, showing reduced transmission in trace gas absorption bands and corresponding increases in atmospheric back-radiation correlating with elevated concentrations. This process complements the dominant role of but fills spectral gaps, such as the 8-12 μm , where trace gases incrementally close "leakage" pathways for OLR. Quantitatively, well-mixed long-lived trace greenhouse gases have exerted an effective of 3.485 W/m² since 1750 as of 2023, accounting for rapid adjustments in atmospheric temperatures and clouds. CO₂ dominates at 2.286 W/m² (66%), followed by CH₄ at 0.565 W/m² (16%) and N₂O at 0.223 W/m² (6%), with halogenated contributing the remainder. This forcing represents a 51% increase since 1990, driven largely by emissions, and has been observationally verified through top-of-atmosphere imbalance measurements exceeding 0.5 W/m² in recent decades. While models incorporate these values, direct empirical constraints from data indicate that forcing scales logarithmically with concentration for saturated bands, limiting marginal impacts from further increases in well-mixed gases without feedbacks.

Chemical Reactivity and Stratospheric Influence

Trace gases in the exhibit chemical reactivity primarily through photochemical dissociation and subsequent -mediated reactions, which drive catalytic cycles that modulate levels. Long-lived source gases such as (N₂O) and (CH₄) are transported upward and converted into reactive species like nitrogen oxides (NOx) and hydrogen oxides (HOx), respectively, while (O₃) itself participates directly in and recombination processes. These reactions occur under intense radiation, enabling trace concentrations—often —to catalyze the destruction of far greater quantities of O₃, with one potentially depleting thousands of O₃ molecules before termination. Nitrous oxide, the dominant anthropogenic ozone-depleting emission since chlorofluorocarbon (CFC) reductions under the , reaches the intact and reacts with oxygen atoms in the (O(¹D)) or undergoes photolysis to yield NO, the main precursor to . sustains catalytic ozone loss via the null cycle:
NO + O₃ → NO₂ + O₂
NO₂ + O → NO + O₂
(net: O + O₃ → O₂),
which efficiently destroys odd oxygen (O + O₃) in the middle without net consumption. This process accounts for a substantial fraction of natural ozone variability, with N₂O emissions rising 40% from 1980 to 2020 exacerbating depletion potential.
Ozone's own reactivity maintains the stratospheric layer through the Chapman cycle, initiated by O₂ photolysis (O₂ + hν → 2O) followed by O + O₂ + M → O₃ + M (M as third body), balanced by O₃ + hν → O₂ + O and O + O₃ → 2O₂. However, trace gas-derived radicals override this equilibrium: HOx from CH₄ oxidation (producing H₂O, then via O(¹D) + H₂O → 2OH) catalyzes via + O₃ → HO₂ + O₂; HO₂ + O → + O₂; and ClOx from CFC photolysis (releasing Cl) via Cl + O₃ → ClO + O₂; ClO + O → Cl + O₂. HOx dominates upper stratospheric loss, NOx mid-levels, and ClOx polar enhancements, collectively reducing peak O₃ by up to 10-20% in affected regimes. These reactive pathways not only deplete O₃—altering UV penetration and atmospheric oxidation capacity—but also influence trace gas lifetimes and distribution, as loss feedbacks affect radical reservoirs. For instance, N₂O's indirect role via has positioned it as the primary ongoing to recovery, to persist through the absent . Empirical models confirm from N₂O drives most current depletion just above the peak, underscoring trace gases' leveraged impact on stratospheric stability.

Major Examples

Carbon Dioxide and Methane

Carbon dioxide (CO₂), the dominant long-lived trace gas influencing atmospheric composition, maintains a global average concentration of approximately 425 as measured at in October 2025. Pre-industrial levels hovered around 280 , with the post-1950 rise—averaging 2-3 annually—primarily attributed to emissions exceeding natural sinks. Natural sources include biological from soils and (releasing ~120 GtC/year) and oceanic , while sinks encompass terrestrial (~120 GtC/year uptake) and oceanic dissolution (~90 GtC/year). contributions, totaling ~10 GtC/year from oxidation and ~1-2 GtC/year from , disrupt this balance, driving net accumulation despite enhanced sink responses like CO₂ fertilization of . Unlike shorter-lived gases, CO₂ lacks a discrete atmospheric lifetime; approximately 20-35% of emitted molecules remain airborne after a century, with full removal spanning millennia via rock and deep ocean sequestration. Methane (CH₄), second to CO₂ among trace gases by radiative impact, registers a global average of roughly 1930 ppb in 2025, more than double pre-industrial values of ~700 ppb. Recent growth rates exceed 10 ppb/year, fueled by expanded sources outpacing sinks. Natural emissions originate mainly from wetlands (~150-200 Tg/year) and minor geological fluxes, whereas sources— (enteric fermentation and rice paddies, ~40% of total), systems (~30%), and (~20%)—comprise over half of the ~600 Tg/year budget. The principal sink, reaction with tropospheric hydroxyl () radicals, removes ~500-550 Tg/year, yielding an e-folding lifetime of ~9-12 years; stratospheric oxidation and soil uptake contribute marginally. This shorter persistence amplifies methane's role in near-term warming, though its lower abundance (0.000193%) underscores trace gas status compared to N₂ (78%) and O₂ (21%). Both gases exemplify well-mixed trace constituents, with latitudinal gradients minimal due to rapid tropospheric transport; CO₂ exhibits seasonal cycles from Northern Hemisphere vegetation drawdown (Keeling curve amplitude ~6 ppm), while methane shows subtler variations tied to OH sink seasonality. Their perturbations—CO₂'s steady climb versus methane's episodic surges—highlight differential responses to human activity, informing models of atmospheric carbon cycling despite uncertainties in sink feedbacks. Empirical monitoring via networks like NOAA's Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network validates these trends, revealing interannual variability from events like El Niño-driven wetland emissions for methane or volcanic injections for CO₂.

Ozone and Nitrous Oxide

Ozone (O₃) constitutes a minor fraction of atmospheric composition, typically less than 0.001% by volume, yet exerts outsized influence through its reactivity and radiative properties. Approximately 90% resides in the stratosphere between 15 and 35 km altitude, where peak mixing ratios reach 8–10 ppmv in the ozone layer, formed via the Chapman cycle involving oxygen photolysis and three-body recombination. Tropospheric concentrations average 20–50 ppb globally, rising to over 100 ppb in regions with high precursor emissions, driven by photochemical oxidation of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and nitrogen oxides (NOₓ) from anthropogenic sources like fossil fuel combustion and biomass burning, alongside natural contributions from lightning and biogenic hydrocarbons. Sinks include dry and wet deposition at the surface, with tropospheric lifetimes of hours to days, while stratospheric ozone persists longer before photolytic decomposition. As a , tropospheric contributes positively to , estimated at 0.4 W/m² from pre-industrial levels, ranking as the third-largest tropospheric forcing agent after CO₂ and CH₄, though stratospheric induces surface cooling via reduced absorption of upwelling infrared radiation. Stratospheric primarily shields against ultraviolet-B radiation, with total column abundance averaging 300 Dobson units globally, but anthropogenic halocarbons have depleted it by 3–5% since the , partially mitigated by the Protocol's phase-out of ozone-depleting substances by 2010. Tropospheric , conversely, harms ecosystems and human health as a respiratory irritant and suppressant, underscoring its role as both protector and pollutant. Nitrous oxide (N₂O) persists as a well-mixed trace gas at 336 ppb in 2022, a 25% rise from pre-industrial ~270 ppb, with emissions accelerating 40% between 1980 and 2020 due to intensified nitrogen fertilizer application in , which dominates sources at 45%. Natural emissions from microbial in soils and oceans contribute ~60% of the total budget, while industrial processes like production add ~10%. Its atmospheric lifetime averages 116 years, enabling uniform tropospheric distribution up to the lower , where ~10% annually undergoes photolytic destruction or reaction with excited oxygen atoms, serving as the sole sink. N₂O ranks as the third-most potent long-lived , with a 100-year of 273 relative to CO₂ and contributing ~7% to total from such gases since 1750, amplifying warming through in the 7.8 and 17 μm bands. It also depletes stratospheric by catalyzing O atom removal in reactions with NO derived from N₂O , with each N₂O molecule destroying up to 0.6 molecules before its own removal. Unregulated under major climate accords as of 2024, its growth rate of 0.8–1.0 ppb/year reflects unchecked expansion in reactive use, posing risks to both climate stability and the .

Scientific Debates and Controversies

Empirical Evidence on Climatic Influence

Empirical measurements from satellite instruments, such as those aboard the Clouds and the Earth's System (CERES), have documented an increase in Earth's top-of-atmosphere (TOA) radiative imbalance, with observed instantaneous rising by approximately 0.2 to 0.5 W/m² per decade since the late 2000s, primarily driven by elevated concentrations of well-mixed trace greenhouse gases like CO2 and CH4. This imbalance reflects reduced (OLR) in spectral bands absorbed by these gases, consistent with their enhanced atmospheric burden trapping additional . Ground-based observations at surface radiation monitoring stations corroborate this forcing through direct recordings of increased downwelling longwave . Analysis of data from multiple sites in the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) from the 1990s to early revealed an average rise of about 2.2 W/m² in clear-sky downwelling flux, with contributions from trace gas increases (particularly CO2 and tropospheric response) accounting for roughly 1.5 W/m² of the change, aligning with theoretical expectations from spectroscopic data. Vertical profiles of provide further observational support, showing stratospheric cooling concurrent with tropospheric warming since the mid-20th century, a predicted by models for elevated trace gas concentrations that differentially affect altitude-specific energy balances. and microwave sounding unit (MSU) satellite records indicate stratospheric temperatures declining by 1–2°C per in the lower stratosphere since 1979, while lower tropospheric temperatures have risen, distinguishing this pattern from alternative forcings like variability. Paleoclimatic proxies, including measurements of CO2 and isotopes from sites, reveal correlations between trace gas levels and global temperatures over the past 800,000 years, with CO2 variations amplifying initial orbital-driven warmings by an estimated 20–50% during glacial-interglacial transitions, as evidenced by lagged responses in gas concentrations following temperature initiations. Modern observations, derived from float arrays and ship-based profiles, show a net accumulation of equivalent to 0.5–1 W/m² since the 1970s, empirically linking the observed TOA imbalance to trace gas forcings amid reduced natural variability influences. These lines of evidence quantify trace gases' role in perturbing Earth's radiative budget, though attribution of full climatic responses—such as surface temperature trends—requires disentangling from internal variability and non-greenhouse forcings, with effective estimates from 2001–2018 averaging around 1.0 W/m² based on multi-observational constraints.

Critiques of Dominance Claims

Critics argue that claims of dominance in trace gas budgets overlook the overwhelming scale of emissions and the influence of variability, which can account for much of the observed atmospheric trends. For instance, annual human CO₂ emissions constitute roughly 3–5% of the total global CO₂ flux, with sources such as oceanic exchange and terrestrial respiration cycling approximately 750 gigatons of CO₂ per year, dwarfing the addition of about 36 gigatons. This small relative contribution challenges assertions of outright dominance, as perturbations to a highly dynamic —evidenced by interannual variability tied to phenomena like El Niño—suggest that feedbacks, rather than human inputs alone, govern much of the atmospheric response. In the case of methane (CH₄), natural sources including , geological seeps, and freshwater systems contribute around 40% of global emissions, totaling approximately 230 megatons annually, compared to sources at about 60%. Recent empirical observations indicate that surges in atmospheric CH₄, such as the 2020–2022 acceleration, correlate more strongly with expanded tropical emissions driven by variability and warming-induced thawing than with proportional rises in or agricultural outputs. These findings, derived from inversions and flux tower data, imply that natural variability can mask or mimic signals, undermining claims of human dominance in short-term trends. For (N₂O), natural emissions from and oceans predominate, comprising over 60% of the global budget at roughly 10 teragrams of nitrogen per year, with anthropogenic contributions from fertilizers and limited to about 40%. Uncertainties in bottom-up inventories exceed 50% for both natural and human sources, as evidenced by discrepancies between process-based models and atmospheric measurements, which highlight variable in response to and rather than steady fertilization increases. Critics, including analyses of top-down constraints, contend that overattribution to ignores of natural pulses, such as those from oceanic upwelling or post-disturbance recovery, which have driven historical N₂O fluctuations independent of human activity. Tropospheric (O₃), another key trace gas, exhibits limited direct sourcing, with precursors like volatile organic compounds largely from biogenic and wildfires, contributing to baseline levels that rival pollution-driven enhancements. Paleoclimate proxies and ice-core data reveal O₃ variability tied to solar cycles and volcanic aerosols, suggesting that claims of dominance by industrial emissions fail to account for the gas's short lifetime (days to weeks) and dependence on dynamic , where oxidants like hydroxyl radicals regulate concentrations more than emission inventories alone. These critiques underscore systemic uncertainties in source partitioning, often amplified by institutional tendencies in academic modeling to prioritize forcings, as budgets remain under-constrained by sparse in-situ observations.

References

  1. [1]
    The Atmosphere | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    Jul 2, 2024 · NH3. trace. These percentages of atmospheric gases are for a completely dry atmosphere. The atmosphere is rarely, if ever, dry. Water vapor ( ...Layers of the Atmosphere · Air Pressure · The Transfer of Heat Energy · Precipitation
  2. [2]
    Trace Gases/Trace Species | NASA Earthdata
    Trace gases datasets from NASA reveal how these minor chemicals play a major role in Earth's atmospheric chemistry, climate, and air quality.Missing: definition | Show results with:definition
  3. [3]
    Basics of the Carbon Cycle and the Greenhouse Effect - NOAA
    These "trace" gases contribute substantially to warming of the Earth's surface and atmosphere due to their abilities to contain the infrared radiation ...
  4. [4]
    [PDF] Trace Gas Effect on Climate - NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory
    the role of trace gases on long term (decadal) climate trends. The above ... models will play an increasing role in analysis of such trace gas/climate.
  5. [5]
    Ramanathan et al. 1987: Climate-chemical interactions ... - NASA GISS
    Sep 27, 2023 · In addition to the direct radiative effect, many of the trace gases have indirect effects on climate. For example, addition of gases such as ...
  6. [6]
    [PDF] Trace-Gas Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming
    These gases ab- sorb the longwave radiation emitted by the surface of the earth and re-emit it to space at the colder atmospheric temperatures. Since the ...
  7. [7]
    Hansen et al. 2007: Climate change and trace gases - NASA GISS
    Sep 27, 2023 · Carbon dioxide (CO2) is the largest human-made climate forcing, but other trace constituents are important.
  8. [8]
    [PDF] TROPOSPHERIC TRACE GASES
    Trace gases released at the earth's surface into the lower atmosphere influence the chemistry of the stratosphere in several ways. Some tropospheric trace ...
  9. [9]
    [PDF] of Changing Atmospheric Trace Gases
    Computed surface air temperature change due to a 0 to 1 ppbv increase in trace gas concentrations. Tropospheric 0 3, CH,•, and. N20 increases are also shown ...Missing: threshold | Show results with:threshold
  10. [10]
    What is a trace gas? - ESA
    A trace gas makes up less than 1% by volume of a planet's atmosphere. Trace gases in the martian atmosphere include methane, water vapour, nitrogen dioxide ...<|separator|>
  11. [11]
    Composition of the atmosphere - atmo.arizona.edu
    The remaining gases in Earth's atmosphere are called trace gases because these gases make up a very small percentage of the total. By far the most abundant of ...
  12. [12]
    Meteorology » Earth's Atmosphere, Energy Cycle and Energy Budget
    The other gases in Earth's atmosphere (typically less than 0.1%) are called trace gases. Of these trace gases, water vapor is the most abundant, followed by ...
  13. [13]
    [PDF] Basic characteristics of atmospheric particles, trace gases and ... - ACP
    Aug 19, 2008 · The particles were classified with a Vienna-type (length 0.28 m) Differential Mobility An- alyzer (Winklmayr et al., 1991) and counted with a ...
  14. [14]
    Reactive Trace Gas - an overview | ScienceDirect Topics
    Reactive trace gases are defined as atmospheric gases such as O3, CO, NOx, SO2, and VOCs that play vital roles in air pollution and climate change, exhibiting ...<|separator|>
  15. [15]
    The Atmosphere - PMC - PubMed Central - NIH
    Reactive, trace gases have short mean residence time in the atmosphere and large spatial and temporal variations in concentration. Many trace gases are removed ...
  16. [16]
    Chapter 10 100 Years of Progress in Gas-Phase Atmospheric ...
    Cavendish reported the composition of the air from which carbon dioxide had been removed as 79.16% nitrogen and 20.84% ox- ygen by volume (Ramsay 1915); close ...
  17. [17]
    Atmospheric chemistry - New World Encyclopedia
    One particularly important discovery for atmospheric chemistry was the discovery of ozone by Christian Friedrich Schoenbein in 1840. In the twentieth century, ...Missing: 19th | Show results with:19th<|control11|><|separator|>
  18. [18]
    A Brief History of Carbon Dioxide Measurements
    JPL Historian Erik Conway provides an overview of the sequence of events that lead to the link between human activity, carbon dioxide, and global warming.
  19. [19]
    The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect - American Institute of Physics
    In the 19th century, scientists realized that gases in the atmosphere cause a "greenhouse effect" which affects the planet's temperature.
  20. [20]
    [PDF] The History (and Pre-History) of the Discovery and Chemistry of the ...
    By August of 1894 Rayleigh and Ramsay were convinced that they had in fact discovered “a new Gaseous Component of the Atmosphere,” as Rayleigh reported.
  21. [21]
    Popular Science Monthly/Volume 59/October 1901/The Inert ...
    Aug 7, 2019 · The discovery of argon in 1894, followed by that of terrestrial helium in 1895, and of neon, krypton and xenon in 1898, has shown the justice of ...
  22. [22]
    The History of the Keeling Curve
    Apr 3, 2013 · The Keeling Curve is a measurement of the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere made atop Hawaii's Mauna Loa since 1958.
  23. [23]
    Keeling Curve - American Chemical Society
    In 1958, Charles David Keeling (1928–2005) of Scripps Institution of Oceanography began a cooperative program for the study of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) ...
  24. [24]
    Dobson Units - Global Monitoring Laboratory
    Following the first quantitative total column ozone measurements in 1920, G. M. B. Dobson. an Oxford scientist, perfected an instrument to monitor total ozone ...
  25. [25]
    The Dobson Spectrophotometer
    The earliest record of continuing total column ozone observations dates back to 1925 at Arosa, Switzerland. This record and a number of other long-term ...
  26. [26]
    The Global Atmosphere Watch: a History of Contributing to Climate ...
    The first step towards international coordination of chemical measurements was made by WMO during the 1957 International Geophysical Year. WMO took a ...
  27. [27]
    Origins of atmospheric methane - ScienceDirect.com
    Mathane's concentration in the Earth's atmosphere has been increasing at a rate of about 1% per year during this century, and reached 1·72 ppm (by volume) in ...
  28. [28]
    [PDF] History of chemically and radiatively important atmospheric gases ...
    Jun 6, 2018 · To emphasize the need for very frequent real-time mea- surements we show data for several trace gases (Fig. 2a–d) for the years 2004 and 2016.<|separator|>
  29. [29]
    Five decades observing Earth's atmospheric trace gases using ...
    Early efforts were directed at improving weather forecasts with the first meteorological satellites launched in the 1960s. Soon thereafter, the intersection ...
  30. [30]
    Measuring trace gases from space - Air Quality - NASA
    Satellite instruments can detect trace gases on Earth, even zooming in to city blocks and neighborhoods.
  31. [31]
    Envisat enables first global check of regional methane emissions
    The SCIAMACHY sensor aboard Envisat has performed the first space-based measurements of the global distribution of near-surface methane, one of the most ...
  32. [32]
    Methane - Earth Indicator - NASA Science
    Sep 25, 2025 · (Learn more about the Global Methane Budget.) The graph shows methane concentrations in the atmosphere starting in 1983, as measured by NOAA ...
  33. [33]
    3. Greenhouse gases and aerosols - UNFCCC
    Jul 18, 2000 · Sources are processes that generate greenhouse gases; sinks are processes that destroy or remove them. Humans affect greenhouse gas levels by ...
  34. [34]
    4.1.3 Trace Gas Budgets and Trends
    The budget of a trace gas consists of three quantities: its global source, global sink and atmospheric burden. The burden is defined as the total mass of the ...
  35. [35]
    Spatial and temporal variability of interhemispheric transport times
    Most previous studies that have examined interhemispheric transport have used a simple two-box framework to quantify a single interhemispheric exchange time, ...
  36. [36]
    [PDF] Summary of Abundances, Lifetimes, ODPs, REs, GWPs, and GTPs
    The summary includes atmospheric abundance, lifetimes, Ozone Depletion Potential (ODP), Radiative Efficiency (RE), Global Warming Potential (GWP), and Global ...
  37. [37]
    Lifetimes and time scales in atmospheric chemistry - ESD Publications
    Feb 17, 2021 · Atmospheric composition is controlled by the emission, photochemistry and transport of many trace gases. Understanding the time scale as ...
  38. [38]
    Carbon Cycle Greenhouse Gases - Global Monitoring Laboratory
    The Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network measures the atmospheric distribution and trends of the three main long-term drivers of climate change.
  39. [39]
    Carbon Cycle Greenhouse Gases - Global Monitoring Laboratory
    The NOAA GML Carbon Cycle Group computes global mean surface values using measurements of weekly air samples from the Cooperative Global Air Sampling Network.
  40. [40]
    ACT-America: L2 In Situ Atmospheric CO2, CO, CH4 ... - ORNL DAAC
    Feb 2, 2021 · This dataset provides atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), carbon monoxide (CO), methane (CH4), water vapor (H2O), and ozone (O3) concentrations collected during ...
  41. [41]
    Data Summary - Penn State Data Commons
    The current INFLUX observation network includes twelve in-situ tower-based, continuous measurements of CO2, CO, and CH4 (although not all species will be ...
  42. [42]
    Recommendations on the measurement techniques of atmospheric ...
    Apr 20, 2023 · Spectroscopy is a basic method for measuring the atmospheric trace gases potentially in the laboratory and the field, which is a technique of ...
  43. [43]
    [PDF] The Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change ...
    3) in NDACC, organized around instrument types: Dobson and Brewer, FTIR, lidar, microwave, sondes, spectral UV, or UV-visible spectrometers. Two additional.
  44. [44]
    [PDF] LiDAR Profiling Satellite Observations for Air Quality Applications
    Jun 4, 2025 · LiDAR Definition: Active remote sensing instruments that transmit laser light and measure the return time of backscattered light to determine ...Missing: FTIR | Show results with:FTIR
  45. [45]
    Satellite-borne remote sensing of trace gases - Highlights - IMKASF
    August 2024: Improved CH4- and N2O-retrieval using MIPAS-V8 spectra · July 2024: CFC-11, CFC-12, and HCFC-22 from 2002-2012: The MIPAS V8 data set.
  46. [46]
    [PDF] GFIT3: a full physics retrieval algorithm for remote sensing of ... - AMT
    Oct 8, 2021 · GFIT3 is a full physics algorithm for remote sensing of greenhouse gases (CO2 and CH4) that accounts for aerosol scattering in polluted urban ...Missing: FTIR | Show results with:FTIR
  47. [47]
    The differences between remote sensing and in situ air pollutant ...
    Dec 6, 2024 · This study explores differences between remote sensing and in situ instruments in terms of their vertical, horizontal, and temporal sampling differences.
  48. [48]
    The Greenhouse Effect
    Water vapor, carbon dioxide, methane, and other trace gases in Earth's atmosphere absorb the longer wavelengths of outgoing infrared radiation from Earth's ...
  49. [49]
    Greenhouse Gas Absorption Spectrum
    Nitrous oxide, N2O, having peaks at about 5 and 8 microns, absorbs in fairly narrow wavelength ranges. Carbon dioxide has a more complex absorption spectrum ...
  50. [50]
    Observational Evidence of Increasing Global Radiative Forcing
    Mar 25, 2021 · Observed instantaneous radiative forcing has increased, strengthening the top-of-atmosphere radiative imbalance Due to cancellations in ...Missing: trace | Show results with:trace
  51. [51]
    Annual Greenhouse Gas Index (AGGI) - Global Monitoring Laboratory
    Global average abundances of the major, well-mixed, long-lived greenhouse gases - carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, CFC-12 and CFC-11 - from the NOAA ...Missing: distribution | Show results with:distribution
  52. [52]
    Chapter 3 Chemistry of the Stratosphere - ScienceDirect.com
    The most prominent source gases are nitrous oxide, water vapor and methane, and chlorofluoromethanes. These gases are essentially unreactive toward ozone, and ...
  53. [53]
    Ozone decomposition - PMC - PubMed Central - NIH
    During this catalytic cycle, the presence of one chlorine atom in the stratosphere can cause the decomposition of 100 000 ozone molecules. 4.2. Catalysts for ...
  54. [54]
    [PPT] Nitrous Oxide (N2O) and Stratospheric Ozone Layer Depletion - UNEP
    1. Fact: NOx from N2O leads to ozone depletion; N2O is not regulated under the Montreal Protocol. Findings: Anthropogenic N2O is now the largest manmade ozone- ...
  55. [55]
    Nitrous Oxide: A Greenhouse Gas That is Also an Ozone Layer ...
    Nitrous oxide, N2O, is the major source of nitrogen oxides in the stratosphere, where these oxides playa critical roles in ozone layer depletion.
  56. [56]
    Nitrous oxide emissions grew 40 percent from 1980 to 2020 ...
    Jun 12, 2024 · N2O is also a strong ozone-depleting substance. “The acceleration of atmospheric nitrous oxide growth in 2020-2022, as seen by NOAA's global ...
  57. [57]
    3.6: Chemical Reactions in the Atmosphere - Chemistry LibreTexts
    Jul 4, 2022 · In the stratosphere, ultraviolet light reacts with O2 molecules to form atomic oxygen. Atomic oxygen then reacts with an O2 molecule to produce ...Learning Objectives · Earth's Atmosphere and the... · The Ozone Hole
  58. [58]
    [PDF] CHAPTER6 - NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory
    Hydrogen radicals catalyze loss of ozone in the upper stratosphere by the catalytic cycles (6-3), (6-4), and (6-5) (see Section 6. 1). HYDROGEN SouRcE GAsEs.
  59. [59]
    Understanding Stratospheric Ozone Depletion
    ClO is a highly reactive gas that is involved in catalytic ozone destruction cycles throughout the stratosphere (see Q9 ). Instruments on the ground and on ...
  60. [60]
    Chemical reaction pathways affecting stratospheric ... - AGU Journals
    Sep 14, 2006 · In the midlatitude lower stratosphere, in situ measurements have implied that hydrogen family (HOx) cycles typically account for one half of the ...
  61. [61]
    Stratospheric Chemistry -- Perspectives in Environmental Chemistr
    These chemicals do not survive the oxidation and precipitation in the troposphere to enter in the stratosphere in amounts capable of affecting the chemistry.
  62. [62]
    Nitrous Oxide (N2O): The Dominant Ozone-Depleting Substance ...
    Nitrogen oxides contribute most to ozone depletion just above where ozone levels are the largest. This leads to efficient ozone destruction from NOx (see SOM). ...
  63. [63]
    The effectiveness of N2O in depleting stratospheric ozone
    Aug 9, 2012 · The yield of NOx from N2O is reduced due to stratospheric cooling and a strengthening of the Brewer-. Dobson circulation. After accounting for ...
  64. [64]
    Trends in CO 2 , CH 4 , N 2 O, SF 6 - Global Monitoring Laboratory
    Weekly average CO2 at Mauna Loa. Week beginning on October 19, 2025: 425.20 ppm. Weekly value from 1 year ago: 422.17 ppm.
  65. [65]
    Trends in CO2 - NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory
    Monthly Average Mauna Loa CO2. August 2025: 425.48 ppm. August 2024: 422.99 ppm. Last updated: Sep ...
  66. [66]
    Trends and Drivers of Terrestrial Sources and Sinks of Carbon ...
    Jul 19, 2024 · Simulation results show a large global carbon sink in natural vegetation over 2012–2021, attributed to the CO2 fertilization effect (3.8 ± 0.8 ...
  67. [67]
    Understanding Global Warming Potentials | US EPA
    Jan 16, 2025 · Methane (CH4) is estimated to have a GWP of 27 to 30 over 100 years. CH4 emitted today lasts about a decade on average, which is much less time ...
  68. [68]
    Trends in CH4 - Global Monitoring Laboratory - NOAA
    Sep 5, 2025 · May 2025: 1933.54 ppb. May 2024: 1925.71 ppb. Last updated: Sep ... Annual Increase in Globally-Averaged Atmospheric Methane. Year, Growth ...
  69. [69]
    Revisiting the Global Methane Cycle Through Expert Opinion
    Jun 22, 2024 · Experts believe that anthropogenic sources are the most likely cause for the strong renewed increase of atmospheric methane since 2007, ...
  70. [70]
    Methane and climate change – Global Methane Tracker 2022 - IEA
    Methane has a much shorter atmospheric lifetime than carbon dioxide (CO2) – around 12 years compared with centuries – but absorbs much more energy while it ...
  71. [71]
    Basic Ozone Layer Science | US EPA
    Mar 5, 2025 · Most atmospheric ozone is concentrated in a layer in the stratosphere, about 9 to 18 miles (15 to 30 km) above the Earth's surface (see the ...
  72. [72]
    Is ozone a greenhouse gas? - EIA
    The protective benefit of stratospheric ozone outweighs its contribution to the greenhouse effect and to global warming. However, at lower elevations of the ...
  73. [73]
    Radiative Forcing Due to Reactive Gas Emissions in - AMS Journals
    Reactive gas emissions (CO, NOx, VOC) have indirect radiative forcing effects through their influences on tropospheric ozone and on the lifetimes of methane ...
  74. [74]
    Key drivers of ozone change and its radiative forcing over the 21st ...
    Over the 21st century changes in both tropospheric and stratospheric ozone are likely to have important consequences for the Earth's radiative balance.
  75. [75]
    [PDF] CHAPTER 7 - NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory
    Radiative forcing due to trace gases, including ozone (1979-1990). Stratospheric Ozone. The observed global ozone losses in the lower stratosphere cause a ...
  76. [76]
    The Global Nitrous Oxide Budget 2024 | IIASA
    Jun 12, 2024 · The study shows that the concentration of atmospheric nitrous oxide reached 336 parts per billion ... sources and three absorbent “sinks ...
  77. [77]
    Overview of Greenhouse Gases | US EPA
    Jan 16, 2025 · Nitrous oxide (N2O): Nitrous oxide is emitted during agricultural, land use, and industrial activities; combustion of fossil fuels and solid ...
  78. [78]
    [PDF] decreasing lifetime of N2O, 2005–2021 - ACP
    Jan 18, 2023 · This decrease is occurring because the N2O abundances in the middle tropical stratosphere, where N2O is photochemically destroyed, are ...
  79. [79]
    Global nitrous oxide budget (1980–2020) - ESSD Copernicus
    Jun 11, 2024 · Atmospheric concentrations of nitrous oxide (N2O), a greenhouse gas 273 times more potent than carbon dioxide, have increased by 25 % since ...
  80. [80]
    Greenhouse Gas concentrations hit record high. Again.
    Nov 15, 2023 · It accounts for about 7% of the radiative forcing by long-lived greenhouse gases. N2O is emitted into the atmosphere from both natural sources ( ...
  81. [81]
    [PDF] Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing
    Takemura and H. Zhang, 2013: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forc- ing. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I ...
  82. [82]
    Radiative forcing ‐ measured at Earth's surface ‐ corroborate the ...
    Feb 6, 2004 · That dark thermal radiation is absorbed by atmospheric trace gases, now called greenhouse gases (GHGs), was observed by Tyndall [1861]. To ...
  83. [83]
    Evidence - NASA Science
    Oct 23, 2024 · There is unequivocal evidence that Earth is warming at an unprecedented rate. Human activity is the principal cause.
  84. [84]
    [PDF] Global warming in the twenty-first century: An alternative scenario
    Thus observed ocean heat storage provides empirical evidence for the sign and approximate magnitude of the net climate forcing of Fig. 1. Greenhouse. Gas Growth.<|separator|>
  85. [85]
    Observation-based estimate of Earth's effective radiative forcing
    Jun 10, 2025 · Effective radiative forcing quantifies the effect of such anthropogenic emissions together with natural factors on Earth's energy balance.
  86. [86]
    Review of natural and anthropogenic emissions of carbon dioxide ...
    Jan 14, 2025 · One of the main factors influencing this is anthropogenic emissions. Their share increased from 2.9 to 5.3% of total carbon dioxide emissions ...
  87. [87]
    [PDF] Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles
    ... CO2 emissions, which can increase the CO2 and then the natural carbon cycle exchanges ... Spahni, 2008: Rates of change in natural and anthropogenic radiative.
  88. [88]
    Understanding methane emissions – Global Methane Tracker 2024
    Annual global methane emissions are around 580 Mt. This includes emissions from natural sources (around 40% of the total) and from human activity (around 60% ...
  89. [89]
    Global methane emissions from rivers and streams | Nature
    Aug 16, 2023 · There is evidence that global warming has increased CH4 emissions from freshwater ecosystems, providing positive feedback to the global climate.
  90. [90]
    Magnitude and Uncertainty of Nitrous Oxide Emissions From North ...
    Nov 19, 2021 · We synthesized N2O emissions over North America using 17 bottom-up (BU) estimates from 1980–2016 and five top-down (TD) estimates from 1998 ...
  91. [91]
    Rates of change in natural and anthropogenic radiative forcing over ...
    We compare rates of change of anthropogenic forcing with rates of natural greenhouse gas forcing since the Last Glacial Maximum and of solar and volcanic ...Missing: critiques | Show results with:critiques