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Angus Maddison

Angus Maddison (6 December 1926 – 24 April 2010) was a British-born economic historian and professor specializing in quantitative macroeconomic history, best known for developing comprehensive historical estimates of gross domestic product (GDP) and economic performance across countries and over millennia.^[1]^[2] Born in Newcastle upon Tyne, England, during the interwar economic depression, Maddison grew up in a region dominated by shipbuilding and mining, which shaped his interest in economic development.^[2] He won a scholarship to Cambridge University in 1944, initially studying history before switching to economics, earning his degree in 1948.^[1]^[2] He pursued graduate studies at McGill University in Montreal and Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, focusing on productivity comparisons and international economic metrics.^[1]^[2] Maddison's career began in 1953 at the Organisation for European Economic Co-operation (OEEC, later the OECD) in Paris, where he held senior positions in national accounts and development aid statistics until 1978.^[1]^[2] During this period, he worked on projects in countries including Pakistan, Ghana, Brazil, Mongolia, and Guinea, gaining firsthand experience in emerging economies.^[1] From 1978 to 1996, he served as professor of economics at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands, where he founded the Groningen Growth and Development Centre (GGDC) in 1990, an institution dedicated to historical economic data analysis.^[1]^[3]^[2] His major contributions centered on reconstructing long-run economic trends through rigorous quantitative methods, creating datasets that traced GDP, population, and per capita income for up to 56 countries (representing over 90% of global output) back to 1820, with extensions to 1 AD and even the Roman Empire era.^[3]^[4] He innovated by using diverse sources such as probate inventories, agricultural surveys, and wage records to estimate ancient and medieval output, for instance calculating global GDP in 1 AD at $105.4 billion in 1990 international dollars.^[3]^[4] This work illuminated disparities in economic growth, such as Europe's rise relative to Asia, and influenced studies on topics from colonial impacts to modern climate projections.^[3]^[5] Maddison authored over 20 books and 130 articles, many translated into 12 languages, including seminal works like Economic Growth in the West (1964), which analyzed Western economic expansion since 1870; Monitoring the World Economy, 1820–1992 (1995), providing consistent historical GDP benchmarks; Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run, 960–2030 AD (1998, updated 2007), detailing China's historical and projected growth; and Contours of the World Economy 1–2030 AD (2007), offering a millennial overview with future projections.^[1]^[3]^[4]^[2] He also developed the International Comparison of Output and Productivity (ICOP) method as an alternative to traditional purchasing power parity estimates, enhancing cross-country comparisons.^[4] Maddison died in Paris from complications of leukemia at age 83 and was buried in Chevincourt, France; his historical database has been maintained and updated by the Maddison Project at the GGDC, with the latest version (2023) extending data to 2022 for 169 countries, continuing to support global economic research.^[2]^[6]

Early Life and Education

Childhood and Family

Angus Maddison was born on 6 December 1926 in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England, a shipbuilding and mining center in the economically depressed North East during the interwar period.^[1]^[2] He grew up in a working-class family, where his father worked as a railway fitter and both parents had left formal schooling at age 12, yet they prioritized education as a means of social mobility.^[1]^[7] This family dynamic fostered an early intellectual curiosity, with his parents taking him to lectures by the local cooperative movement, exposing him to economic concepts from a young age.^[1] Maddison's childhood was marked by the stark realities of unemployment and poverty in the region; he later recalled visits to nearby Gateshead, where "the buildings were blacker, and the clusters of unemployed thicker than in Newcastle," an experience he compared to later observations in Calcutta.^[2] At around age 13 in 1939, amid the onset of World War II, he encountered John Maynard Keynes's How to Pay for the War, finding it "more or less intelligible to a thirteen year old" and igniting his interest in economic quantification and policy.^[2] Living through wartime conditions in the UK—including rationing, air raids on industrial Tyneside, and the broader disruptions of the conflict—instilled in him a keen awareness of economic reconstruction needs, influencing his lifelong focus on growth and development.^[2]^[1] His early education took place at Darlington Grammar School, where his academic aptitude shone through; his father sacrificed six weeks' take-home pay to cover the fees after Maddison successfully passed the entrance exam, underscoring the family's commitment despite financial strain.^[7] These formative years in a challenging environment, combined with parental encouragement, laid the groundwork for his subsequent pursuits in history and economics at university.^[1]

Academic Training

Maddison won a scholarship in 1944 and began studies at Selwyn College, University of Cambridge, in 1945.^[2]^[1] Initially pursuing history, he switched to economics in 1945, drawn by its potential to address real-world issues as exemplified in John Maynard Keynes's How to Pay for the War and Colin Clark's Conditions of Economic Progress.^[1]^[2] He graduated in 1948.^[8] His family's struggles amid the economic depression in Newcastle-upon-Tyne had earlier instilled a drive toward understanding economic challenges, laying the groundwork for his academic pursuits.^[2] Maddison then undertook postgraduate studies at McGill University in Montreal, Canada, and Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, United States.^[1] There, he focused on economic topics, including a thesis examining comparative productivity across the United States, United Kingdom, and Canada.^[2] Throughout his training, Maddison cultivated an interest in economic history, influenced by his initial historical studies, while gaining exposure to quantitative methods through Clark's advocacy for data-driven economic analysis.^[2]^[8]

Professional Career

OEEC and OECD Roles

Following his graduation from the University of Cambridge in 1948, Angus Maddison joined the Organisation for European Economic Co-operation (OEEC) in Paris in 1953, as the organization transitioned from coordinating the implementation of the U.S. Marshall Plan aid program (which had ended in 1952) toward broader efforts in European economic cooperation and recovery.^[7]^[2]^[9] Within the OEEC, Maddison served as Head of the Economics Division from 1953 to 1962, where he focused on analyzing European industrial productivity, trade patterns, and economic performance metrics to support policy coordination among member states.^[10] His work emphasized the development of standardized national accounts and quantitative assessments of growth factors, aiding in the monitoring of post-war reconstruction and productivity improvements across Western European economies.^[2] When the OEEC evolved into the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) in 1961—expanding to include the United States and Canada—Maddison transitioned seamlessly into the new organization, continuing his role in compiling and analyzing economic growth statistics until 1978.^[11]^[3] In this capacity, he contributed to key projects on European economic integration, such as evaluating trade liberalization effects under the European Economic Community, and conducted comparative productivity studies that highlighted disparities and convergence trends among OECD countries.^[2]^[12] These efforts provided foundational data for international policy discussions on sustainable growth and resource allocation.^[7]

Advisory and Professorial Positions

Equipped with deep insights from his OECD tenure, Angus Maddison took leave in the late 1960s for advisory and consultancy positions focused on development economics while remaining affiliated with the OECD until 1978. Between 1969 and 1971, he worked with Harvard University's Development Advisory Service, undertaking projects that involved advising on economic strategies in emerging economies, including extended assignments in Pakistan and Ghana.^[13] He also served as a consultant to the World Bank, contributing to analyses of economic progress and policy formulation in developing countries during the 1970s.^[14] These roles extended to shorter consultancies in nations such as Brazil, Guinea, Mongolia, the USSR, and Japan, where he applied quantitative approaches to assess growth challenges and recommend policy interventions.^[13] In 1978, Maddison was appointed Professor of Economics at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands, a position he held until his retirement in 1996, after which he became Professor Emeritus.^[15] At Groningen, he taught courses on economic growth and development, emphasizing historical and comparative perspectives to train the next generation of economists. His advisory work during this period included consultations for the Dutch government on economic policy matters, particularly those related to international development and long-term growth strategies.^[13] Maddison's professorial role at Groningen extended beyond teaching to mentorship and institution-building. He supervised over a dozen PhD students, guiding their research on quantitative economic history and fostering a rigorous, data-driven approach to the field. In 1992, he co-founded the Groningen Growth and Development Centre (GGDC), which became a hub for collaborative research on global economic trends and supported interdisciplinary groups focused on measuring and analyzing long-term growth patterns.^[16] Through these efforts, Maddison influenced policy discussions and academic discourse on sustainable development well into his later career.

Research Contributions

Methodologies for Economic Measurement

Angus Maddison pioneered standardized methods for estimating historical gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and total output, emphasizing comparability across countries and eras through purchasing power parity (PPP) adjustments. He employed the 1990 international Geary-Khamis dollar as a common unit, drawing on data from the International Comparison Program (ICP) to convert national incomes into this benchmark currency, which accounted for differences in price levels and living costs. This approach allowed for consistent measurement of economic performance, with PPP converters applied to cover approximately 94% of global GDP in 1990 across 70 countries, using direct ICP benchmarks for 43 nations and proxy estimates for others based on similar economies.^[17]^[18] To extend estimates backward from reliable 19th-century benchmarks—such as those from 1820 or 1870—Maddison utilized extrapolation techniques that linked contemporary growth rates to earlier periods. He applied volume indices and inter-temporal growth rates derived from national accounts, official statistics like those from the OECD and IMF, and deflators to project GDP levels, often assuming relative price stability over time. Proxy indicators played a central role in this process, including population estimates as a foundational variable for per capita calculations, agricultural output based on cultivated land and crop yields, and real wage data to infer productivity and consumption patterns. For instance, in regions with limited direct data, he correlated service sector output with population movements or agricultural surplus with trade flows.^[17]^[19]^[18] In pre-modern eras, where quantitative records were scarce, Maddison addressed data limitations by integrating diverse indirect sources to construct plausible estimates. He drew on wage records from labor markets to gauge living standards and economic activity, trade volumes as indicators of commercial integration and output, and archaeological evidence—such as settlement patterns and artifact distributions—to approximate population densities and subsistence production in ancient economies like Roman Egypt or pre-colonial Latin America. These proxies were cross-checked against retrospective national accounts and demographic reconstructions, with interpolations (e.g., logarithmic methods) filling gaps between known points, and regional averages applied to under-documented areas like sub-Saharan Africa in 1820. Such techniques enabled estimates extending to 1 AD, prioritizing conceptual consistency over precision in the absence of comprehensive statistics.^[17]^[18]^[20] Maddison's methodologies evolved iteratively to incorporate critiques and new evidence, particularly regarding assumptions of stable relative prices and the impact of technological changes on productivity. Early versions faced criticism for potential biases in fixed-benchmark PPPs, which could distort long-run comparisons as innovation altered consumption baskets; in response, subsequent refinements separated cross-country level estimates from time-series growth measures, testing multiple benchmarks (e.g., 1990, 2011) to mitigate distortions. He addressed these by integrating updated sectoral data, such as agricultural productivity adjustments for technological shifts in China, and validating estimates against alternative reconstructions like real wage series or commodity flows. This adaptive framework, refined through collaborations with institutions like the Groningen Growth and Development Centre, enhanced the robustness of his historical series while maintaining a focus on long-term trends.^[19]^[18]^[17]

Major Publications and Datasets

Angus Maddison's seminal work Monitoring the World Economy, 1820-1992, published by the OECD Development Centre in 1995, compiled comprehensive estimates of GDP, GDP per capita, and population levels for 56 countries and major regions from 1820 to 1992, establishing a foundational dataset for analyzing modern global economic growth in purchasing power parity (PPP) terms.^[21] This publication introduced systematic international comparisons of economic performance over the 19th and 20th centuries, drawing on national accounts and historical records to highlight patterns of industrialization and catch-up growth. His landmark book The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, released in 2001 by the OECD, extended these analyses to a two-millennium timeframe, providing GDP and population estimates from AD 1 to 1998 for 7 regions, with detailed estimates for 42 countries from 1820 to 1998, emphasizing the shift in global economic leadership from Asia to the West.^[22] Updated editions followed, including The World Economy: Historical Statistics in 2003, which incorporated data up to 2001 and refined benchmarks for pre-modern periods using proxy indicators like agricultural output and urbanization rates.^[23] In 2006, the OECD published a combined volume integrating the 2001 and 2003 works, while Maddison's 2007 book Contours of the World Economy 1-2030 AD: Essays in Macro-Economic History (Oxford University Press) further updated historical series to 2003 and included projections, covering GDP dynamics for more than 150 countries from year 1 onward. Central to Maddison's legacy is the Maddison Historical Statistics database, originally developed in the 1990s and continually refined until his death, which offers long-run GDP per capita and total output estimates in 1990 international Geary-Khamis dollars for over 150 countries spanning from AD 1 to 2008, enabling cross-country and cross-era comparisons of living standards and productivity.^[24] This dataset, now maintained and expanded by the Maddison Project Database at the University of Groningen, relies on Maddison's methodologies for extrapolating backward from modern national accounts using price indices and sector-specific growth rates. The latest version (2023) covers 169 countries up to 2022.^[25]^[6] Among his other notable publications, Growth and Interaction in the World Economy: The Roots of Modernity (AEI Press, 2005) examined the economic interactions between Europe, Asia, and the Americas from AD 1 to 2000, attributing Western ascendancy to technological diffusion, institutional changes, and trade networks through quantitative reconstructions of output shares.^[26] Maddison also contributed extensively to OECD reports on economic growth, such as those in the Economic Outlook series and Development Centre studies, where he applied his datasets to policy analyses of productivity convergence and development disparities in the post-1950 era.^[22]

Recognition and Later Life

Awards and Honors

Throughout his career, Angus Maddison received several prestigious recognitions for his pioneering work in quantitative economic history and long-term growth analysis. In 1994, he was elected a Fellow of the British Academy, the United Kingdom's national academy for the humanities and social sciences, in acknowledgment of his scholarly contributions to understanding global economic development over centuries.^[27] In 2006, Maddison was appointed Commander in the Order of Orange-Nassau by Queen Beatrix of the Netherlands, a high civilian honor awarded for exceptional service to society, particularly recognizing his lifetime achievements in economic research and his long association with Dutch academic institutions, including his emeritus professorship at the University of Groningen.^[28] This decoration was presented during a conference held in his honor on the occasion of his 80th birthday, highlighting his influence on international economic historiography.^[7] Maddison also earned an honorary doctorate from Hitotsubashi University in Japan, conferred for his significant contributions to the quantitative and comparative study of world economic history, reflecting his global impact on the field.^[29] These honors underscore the widespread acclaim for his methodologies and datasets that have shaped modern understandings of economic divergence and convergence across nations.

Death and Legacy

Angus Maddison died on 24 April 2010 in Paris, France, at the age of 83, from complications related to a long illness.^[1]^[3] Following his death, tributes poured in from major institutions associated with his career. The OECD described him as an "outstanding economist and OECD legend," highlighting his foundational contributions to economic analysis during his decades at the organization.^[30] Similarly, the University of Groningen, where he served as a professor emeritus, issued a statement mourning the loss of a pioneering scholar whose work on long-term economic growth had profoundly shaped the field.^[31] Shortly before his death, in March 2010, the Maddison Project was established at the University of Groningen by a group of his close colleagues to maintain, update, and extend his comprehensive historical economic datasets.^[32] The project has released updated versions in 2013, 2018, 2020, and 2023, incorporating new data and methodological refinements while preserving the integrity of Maddison's original estimates.^[33]^[25] These ongoing efforts ensure the continued accessibility and relevance of his quantitative frameworks for researchers worldwide.^[34] Maddison's work has left an enduring legacy in economic historiography, particularly in cliometrics, where his systematic use of historical data to analyze growth patterns established benchmarks for empirical economic history.^[35] His datasets have profoundly influenced studies of global inequality, providing essential evidence on income disparities across nations and epochs.^[19] In policy-making circles, such as at the OECD, his analyses have informed debates on long-term development strategies.^[30] Moreover, his research on economic divergence—detailing how Western economies pulled ahead of others since the 19th century—continues to frame contemporary discussions on global economic imbalances and convergence prospects.^[36]

References

[1]
Angus Maddison, Economic Historian, Dies at 83
May 1, 2010 · Professor Maddison, a British-born economic historian with a compulsion for quantification, spent many of his 83 years calculating the size of economies over ...
[2]
[PDF] A STORY BEHIND EACH NUMBER ANGUS MADDISON (1926 ...
Angus Maddison died from complications arising from leukemia on April 24, 2010 ... In 1944, Angus won a scholarship to Cambridge University, initially to read.
[3]
Maddison counting - The Economist
Apr 29, 2010 · ANGUS MADDISON, who died on April 24th at the age of 83, described himself as a chiffrephile—a lover of figures.
[4]
(PDF) Angus Maddison's Mission to Understand the World and its History through Numbers
### Summary of Angus Maddison's Contributions to Economic History
[5]
Angus Maddison (1927–2010) - World Economics Journal
The late Angus Maddison (1927-2010) made an outstanding contribution to economics and economic history. Following a career as a senior economist in the ...<|control11|><|separator|>
[6]
Economist who estimated output in year AD1 - Financial Times
May 10, 2010 · Born in northern England in 1926, his parents had left school at 12, but were ardent believers in adult education. When clever young Angus ...Missing: family background
[7]
[PDF] Cambridge Economics
Angus Maddison, a 1948 graduate who in an autobiographical sketch mentions. Robin as one of the fellow-students who influenced him. After working in the ...
[8]
Angus Maddison - Author Details
Commander in the Order of Orange-Nassau. He was educated at Cambridge, McGill, and Johns Hopkins universities, before teaching at the University of St. Andrews ...
[9]
The Work of Angus Maddison - ResearchGate
Founded in 1961 to replace the Organisation for European Economic Co-operation (OEEC), which was linked to the Marshall Plan and was established in 1948. The ...
[10]
[PDF] The World Economy (EN) - OECD
... father, himself an economic historian, had mentioned its importance to me ... The Development Centre's association with Angus Maddison is a very long one.
[11]
[PDF] Angus Maddison: Memories of the Life of a Chiffrephile
Apr 24, 2010 · His career as an economist started in the late 1940s. For several decades he worked on a wide range of economic policy and development issues at ...Missing: biography | Show results with:biography
[12]
Yale Bulletin and Calendar - Current Issue
Noted economist Angus Maddison, a professor at the University of ... He has been a consultant to the World Bank and the United Nations, as well ...
[13]
Angus Maddison 1926 - 2010
Nov 11, 2024 · He was professor at the University of Groningen from 1978 to 1997, and a founder of the Groningen Growth and Development Centre.
[14]
[PDF] Development Centre Studies - The World Economy - OECD
... HISTORICAL STATISTICS by. Angus Maddison. Page 4. ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION. AND DEVELOPMENT ... economist, entrepreneur and founder ...Missing: biography | Show results with:biography
[15]
[PDF] Maddison style estimates of the evolution of the world economy
The Maddison project is an ongoing research project aimed at standardizing and updating the academic work in the field of historical national accounting in the ...
[16]
Rebasing 'Maddison': The shape of long-run economic development
Jan 25, 2018 · Angus Maddison (1995, 2001, 2007) was enormously influential in shaping our view of long-run economic development. He provided a comprehensive ...Missing: postgraduate McGill Johns Hopkins
[17]
The Known Unknowns of Historical GDP Estimates - Capital As Power
Feb 2, 2022 · The first method, pioneered by Angus Maddison, is to extrapolate back from recent estimates of GDP per capita at purchasing power parity (PPP) ...
[18]
Monitoring the world economy, 1820-1992 - UNESCO Digital Library
Monitoring the world economy, 1820-1992 ; Corporate author. OECD Development Centre ; Person as author. Maddison, Angus ; ISBN. 92-64-14549-4 ; Collation. 255 p., ...
[19]
The World Economy - OECD
Angus Maddison provides a comprehensive view of the growth and levels of world population since the year 1000 when rich countries of today were poorer than ...Missing: biography OEEC
[20]
The World Economy - OECD
This book includes tables showing Maddison's estimates for the world and its major regions from as early as the year 1000. It is intended as a research guide ...Missing: books | Show results with:books
[21]
https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000102385
[22]
Maddison Project Database 2020 | Releases
Sep 18, 2024 · The Maddison Project Database provides information on comparative economic growth and income levels over the very long run.Missing: division OEEC
[23]
Growth and Interaction in the World Economy: The Roots of Modernity
“Growth and Interaction in the World Economy” provides guidance on the broad contours of development, which complements qualitative analysis that, on its ...
[24]
Professor Angus Maddison FBA | The British Academy
Professor Angus Maddison FBA. Elected 1994. Fellow type: International ... Prizes and Medals · Publishing · Art · Jobs · Venue hire · Library. Follow us. LinkedIn ...Missing: awards honorary doctorates
[25]
Hoge Koninklijke Onderscheiding Angus Maddison - Groningen - RUG
Oct 27, 2006 · A. Maddison was awarded the title of Commander in the Order of Orange-Nassau. Maddison is Emeritus Professor of Economic Sociology at the ...<|control11|><|separator|>
[26]
Background of AHEC - AHES
... honorary doctorate to Professor Angus Maddison for his significant contribution to the quantitative and comparative history of the world economy. This ...
[27]
[PDF] OECD Observer, Volume 2010 Issue 2 (EN)
Jun 3, 2010 · Tribute. Angus Maddison. Professor Angus Maddison, who died on. 24 April, was an outstanding economist and OECD legend. In fact, Maddison joined.
[28]
Professor emeritus Angus Maddison deceased | News articles ...
In 2006, he was awarded the title of Commander in the Order of Orange – Nassau on behalf of the Queen of the Netherlands for his life-time achievements.
[29]
Maddison Historical Statistics | Historical Development
Sep 18, 2024 · The Maddison Project has been initiated in March 2010 by a group of close colleagues of Angus Maddison, with the aim to support an effective ...Angus Maddison 1926 - 2010 · Maddison Project Database · ReleasesMissing: postgraduate McGill Johns Hopkins
[30]
Maddison Project Database 2023 | Releases
Sep 24, 2024 · The 2023 version of this database covers 169 countries and the period up to 2022. The new estimates are presented and discussed in Bolt and Van ...
[31]
Maddison Project | re3data.org
Jul 3, 2024 · Remarks. The Maddison Project has launched an updated version of the original Maddison dataset in January 2013, 2018 and 2020. The update ...
[32]
[PDF] The Evolution of Economic History since 1950: From Cliometrics to ...
A key step in the consolidation of this line was made by Angus Maddison, who guided a glob- al project of national accounts historical reconstruction (see ...
[33]
Maddison‐style estimates of the evolution of the world economy: A ...
Apr 3, 2024 · Angus Maddison was one of the first economists to construct a database that allowed for a comparison of incomes for a global set of countries ...