Creating Opportunities
Creating Opportunities (Spanish: Creando Oportunidades, acronym CREO) is a right-wing political movement in Ecuador founded in 2011 by businessman and politician Guillermo Lasso to promote market liberal policies emphasizing minimal state intervention and economic freedom.[1][2] The movement emerged as an alternative to the dominant left-right political antagonism, drawing inspiration from libertarian economic thought akin to Friedrich Hayek's principles, and first participated in national elections in 2013.[3][2] In the 2021 general election, CREO's presidential candidate Guillermo Lasso secured victory in the runoff with 52.4% of the vote against leftist contender Andrés Arauz, marking the first time a right-wing candidate won the presidency since the return to democracy in 1979.[2] Lasso's administration, spanning May 2021 to May 2023, prioritized economic stabilization amid post-pandemic recovery and inherited fiscal challenges, achieving a successful COVID-19 vaccination campaign that covered a significant portion of the population, reducing the budget deficit to 2% of GDP by 2022 from 3.5% in 2021, and boosting tax collection by 28.6% through reforms supported by a $7 billion IMF financing agreement.[2] These measures contributed to modest GDP growth of 1.3% in 2022 and helped stabilize public debt at 56% of GDP, reflecting efforts to enhance fiscal discipline and attract investment via trade liberalization initiatives, such as agreements with China.[2] However, Lasso's tenure was marred by escalating security crises, including a sharp rise in homicides to 25.9 per 100,000 inhabitants—an 82.5% increase from 2021—driven by drug trafficking and prison violence that claimed hundreds of lives, alongside widespread protests against austerity measures like fuel price hikes that resulted in fatalities and deepened social discontent.[2] Facing legislative gridlock with CREO holding only 13 of 137 seats in the National Assembly and multiple impeachment attempts over corruption allegations, Lasso invoked the constitutional "mutual death" clause in May 2023 to dissolve the assembly, triggering snap elections and averting his removal but shortening his term.[2] This maneuver, while constitutionally permissible, intensified political polarization and highlighted the movement's challenges in building broad coalitions against entrenched opposition from Correa-aligned forces.[2] Despite these hurdles, CREO's platform underscored a commitment to participatory democracy and opportunity creation through private sector-led growth, positioning it as a counterweight to statist policies of prior administrations.[2]History
Founding and Early Development
The Movimiento Creando Oportunidades (CREO), translating to Creating Opportunities, was established in 2011 by César Monge Ortega, an engineer, businessman, and former president of the Aquaculture Chamber in Guayaquil, Ecuador.[4][5] Monge, who led the movement as its initial president, founded CREO to challenge the entrenched dominance of Rafael Correa's Alianza PAIS party, emphasizing principles of democratic participation, private enterprise, and opposition to perceived authoritarian tendencies in the incumbent government.[6][7] In its formative phase, CREO positioned itself as a center-right alternative, focusing on fostering economic liberalism and institutional reforms amid Correa's socialist-oriented policies that had consolidated power since 2007.[4] The movement's early efforts involved grassroots organization and ideological development to attract business leaders, professionals, and citizens disillusioned with the ruling party's control over media, judiciary, and economy.[6] A pivotal development occurred on August 13, 2012, when Guillermo Lasso Mendoza, a prominent banker and former superintendent of banks, publicly joined CREO at a convention in Guayaquil.[8] Lasso's affiliation brought visibility, financial expertise, and a national profile to the nascent group, accelerating its preparation for the 2013 general elections where it would field candidates for the first time.[4] Under Monge's leadership and Lasso's emerging influence, CREO began articulating a platform centered on job creation, anti-corruption measures, and restoring checks and balances in governance.[5]Electoral Campaigns of 2013 and 2017
The Movimiento CREO, founded in late 2012 as a center-right alternative to Rafael Correa's leftist Alianza PAIS government, entered national politics with its inaugural presidential candidacy in the 2013 general elections.[6] Guillermo Lasso, a former banker and the movement's leader, campaigned on a platform emphasizing economic liberalization, job creation through private sector incentives, and reduced state intervention to foster opportunities for Ecuadorians.[9] The campaign positioned CREO against Correa's "Revolución Ciudadana," criticizing its centralization of power and fiscal policies amid falling oil prices. On February 17, 2013, Lasso secured 985,697 votes, or 22.68% of the valid ballots, finishing second to Correa's 57.17%.[10] This performance exceeded expectations for a new movement, earning CREO three seats in the National Assembly and establishing Lasso as a viable opposition figure.[9] Voter turnout reached 81.02%, reflecting strong participation despite Correa's dominance. The absence of a runoff, due to Correa surpassing 50%, limited CREO's immediate impact but built momentum for future contests. Building on its 2013 showing, CREO allied with the Partido Social Cristiano under the CREO-SUMA banner for the 2017 elections, again nominating Lasso.[11] The campaign intensified anti-Correa rhetoric, pledging to combat corruption, strengthen dollarization, and prioritize security amid rising crime rates, while advocating market-oriented reforms to address economic stagnation.[12] Lasso mobilized voters through digital platforms and public events, announcing tools for election monitoring to ensure transparency.[13] In the first round on February 19, 2017, Lasso obtained 3,305,168 votes (28.34%), advancing to a runoff against Lenín Moreno of Alianza PAIS, who led with 39.36%.[12] The April 2 runoff proved razor-thin, with Lasso garnering 4,828,484 votes (48.85%) to Moreno's 51.15%, amid allegations of irregularities that prompted a partial recount of 1.3 million votes but upheld the result.[14] This near-victory solidified CREO's role as the primary opposition force, securing 15 Assembly seats and highlighting deepening polarization.[9]2021 Presidential Victory
The first round of Ecuador's 2021 presidential election occurred on February 7, 2021, amid economic challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic and lingering discontent with prior leftist governance. Guillermo Lasso, the candidate of the Creando Oportunidades (CREO) party in alliance with the Social Christian Party, secured second place with 19.74% of the valid votes, advancing to the runoff after Andrés Arauz of the Union for Hope (UNES) coalition, backed by former president Rafael Correa, led with 32.72%. Indigenous candidate Yaku Pérez of Pachakutik finished closely behind Lasso at 19.38%, prompting fraud allegations and protests that delayed final certification but did not alter the runoff matchup.[15][16] In the April 11, 2021, runoff, Lasso campaigned on promises of market-oriented reforms, accelerated COVID-19 vaccinations, job creation, and opposition to Correa-era policies, appealing to voters wary of a return to what he termed "21st-century socialism" associated with corruption and economic mismanagement. With nearly 99% of ballots counted, Lasso won with 52.48% of the vote against Arauz's 47.28%, a margin of over 5 percentage points reflecting rejection of Correísmo despite Arauz's lead in polls earlier. Arauz conceded the following day, paving the way for Lasso's inauguration on May 24, 2021. Voter turnout in the runoff was approximately 82%, higher than the first round's 82.3%.[17][18][19] Lasso's victory represented his third presidential bid, following defeats in 2013 and 2017, and marked the first win for a center-right candidate since the return to democracy in 1979, attributed by analysts to anti-incumbent sentiment against President Lenín Moreno's administration and fears of Correa's influence. The CREO-led alliance also gained significant seats in the concurrent National Assembly elections, though without a majority, setting the stage for coalition-building challenges. International observers from the Organization of American States noted the process as generally peaceful and competitive, despite isolated irregularities.[18][20]Lasso Presidency and Governance Challenges
Guillermo Lasso took office as President of Ecuador on May 24, 2021, after defeating Andrés Arauz in the second round of the presidential election held on May 2, with Lasso securing 52.5% of the vote.[21] His center-right administration, backed by the Creating Opportunities (CREO) movement, prioritized economic liberalization, anti-corruption measures, and security enhancements, but operated within a hostile legislative environment where his allies controlled fewer than 20 of the 137 seats in the National Assembly following the concurrent general elections.[22] This minority position fostered chronic gridlock, with Lasso vetoing over 1,000 assembly initiatives by mid-2023, including tax reforms and labor codes that conflicted with his pro-market agenda.[23] Economic governance proved arduous amid post-pandemic recovery and external shocks. The Ecuadorian Central Bank recorded 2.9% GDP growth in 2022, supported by Lasso's efforts to attract foreign investment through dollarization stability and partial privatization initiatives, yet inflation reached 3.6% by year-end, straining household finances.[24] Legislative resistance blocked comprehensive fiscal reforms, compelling reliance on executive decrees—over 100 issued by 2023—to enact policies like subsidy rationalization and export incentives, though these faced judicial challenges from opposition-aligned courts.[25] A pivotal setback occurred in August 2023 when a referendum halted oil extraction in the Yasuní National Park's ITT block, approved by 59% of voters, potentially forfeiting $22.5 billion in revenue over two decades and exacerbating budget deficits projected at 4.1% of GDP. Security deteriorated markedly under Lasso's tenure, with homicide rates surging from 13.7 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2021 to over 40 by 2023, fueled by narcotrafficking and gang violence concentrated in coastal provinces like Guayas.[26] The administration declared states of emergency multiple times, deploying military to prisons and streets, and passed the 2021 Comprehensive Crime and Public Safety Organic Law to bolster intelligence and asset forfeiture, yet implementation lagged due to assembly delays and institutional corruption.[27] Over 400 prisons riots and escapes underscored systemic failures, with Lasso attributing part of the crisis to inherited weaknesses from prior socialist governance emphasizing rehabilitation over incarceration.[25] Corruption scandals further eroded governance efficacy. Lasso's administration targeted high-level probes, including against former President Rafael Correa's allies, but faced reciprocal accusations; a key trigger was the 2022 "Albanus" case, where the military allegedly transported 1,400 tons of private fertilizer on state vessels at a $373,000 loss to taxpayers.[28] The assembly initiated impeachment proceedings in March 2023 for purported embezzlement, advancing on May 9 with 88 votes, prompting Lasso on May 17 to invoke Article 148 of the constitution—known as "muerte cruzada"—to dissolve the assembly and call snap elections, arguing it preserved democracy against legislative sabotage.[22] [29] The Constitutional Court validated the move on May 18, allowing Lasso to govern by decree until the August 20 elections, after which he declined re-election candidacy in June, facilitating the transition to interim President Daniel Noboa following the October runoff.[30] [31] This episode highlighted Ecuador's polarized institutions, where executive-legislative antagonism, amplified by correísta influence in the assembly, constrained Lasso's reformist ambitions despite legal maneuvers to sustain authority.[32]2023 Assembly Dissolution and Subsequent Developments
On May 17, 2023, President Guillermo Lasso invoked Article 148 of the Ecuadorian Constitution to dissolve the opposition-dominated National Assembly amid an impeachment trial accusing him of involvement in an embezzlement scheme related to public contracts.[33][34] This action utilized the "muerte cruzada" (cross death) mechanism, a rarely applied constitutional provision allowing the executive to disband the legislature and trigger snap elections for both the presidency and assembly, while permitting decree-based governance until the new bodies convene.[28][35] The dissolution preempted a likely impeachment vote, as the Assembly, elected in 2021, had repeatedly blocked Lasso's legislative agenda on economic reforms and security measures.[36] The decree shortened Lasso's term, originally set to end in May 2025, and mandated elections within six months.[34] On June 2, 2023, Lasso announced he would not pursue re-election, citing the need to focus on completing his mandate amid ongoing crises like rising violence and economic stagnation.[30] Snap general elections proceeded on August 20, 2023, for the presidency and 137 seats in the National Assembly, with no candidate securing a presidential majority, leading to a runoff on October 15, 2023, between leftist Luisa González and center-right Daniel Noboa.[37] Noboa won with approximately 52% of the vote, assuming office on November 23, 2023, for the remainder of the original term.[38] In the legislative contest, Movimiento CREO, Lasso's party, won zero seats in the reconstituted Assembly, a sharp decline from its 12 seats post-2021 elections, reflecting voter dissatisfaction with Lasso's governance amid persistent insecurity and economic challenges.[37] The party's absence from the legislature curtailed its direct influence, shifting CREO toward opposition commentary and potential alliances with Noboa's National Democratic Action (ADN) on shared center-right priorities like market-oriented policies, though no formal coalition emerged immediately.[39] Lasso, transitioning to private life, has since critiqued successor policies on security and fiscal matters without reclaiming a formal party leadership role.[30]Ideology and Policies
Economic Liberalism and Market Reforms
The Movimiento CREO emphasizes economic liberalism as a core pillar, advocating for market-oriented reforms to stimulate private sector growth, attract foreign investment, and reduce fiscal burdens on businesses and individuals.[20] This approach aligns with the party's name, "Creando Oportunidades" (Creating Opportunities), which underscores the belief that free enterprise and deregulation create jobs and prosperity more effectively than state-led interventions.[2] Guillermo Lasso, CREO's founder and former president (2021–2023), championed these principles during his campaigns and tenure, promising tax simplification, tariff reductions, and elimination of certain income taxes to boost economic activity.[40] In September 2021, Lasso proposed a comprehensive economic reactivation plan that included increasing income tax deductions for earners above $24,000 annually, impacting only 3.5% of the population, alongside incentives for private investment and capital market development.[41] Key reforms under Lasso's administration focused on liberalizing trade and improving the investment climate, with goals to secure $30 billion in new investments through deregulation and transparency measures.[42] Notable actions included signing free trade agreements, such as with China, to expand market access and diversify exports beyond commodities like oil and bananas.[2] These efforts aimed to counteract Ecuador's stagnant growth, high informality rates exceeding 50%, and dependence on public spending, though they encountered resistance from labor unions and indigenous groups concerned about social impacts.[40] Despite partial implementation, CREO's platform continues to prioritize structural changes like labor market flexibility and privatization of inefficient state enterprises to enhance competitiveness, drawing from Lasso's background as a banker who modernized Banco Guayaquil into a major institution.[20] Proponents argue these policies could lower unemployment, which hovered around 4-5% officially but masked underemployment, by unleashing entrepreneurial potential in a country where GDP per capita lagged regional peers.[2] Critics, including left-leaning analysts, contend that such neoliberal measures exacerbate inequality without addressing underlying fiscal deficits inherited from prior administrations.[43]Anti-Corruption and Judicial Independence
The Movimiento CREO positions anti-corruption as a foundational element of its governance agenda, arguing that entrenched corruption undermines economic liberalization and individual opportunities by distorting markets and eroding public trust in institutions. The party's platform calls for systemic reforms, including stricter enforcement of transparency laws, whistleblower protections, and audits of public procurement to prevent embezzlement and favoritism.[44] Under President Guillermo Lasso, CREO's administration prioritized these efforts by creating the Anti-Corruption Technical Secretariat in 2021, tasked with mapping corruption patterns across government entities and recommending preventive strategies, such as digital tracking of public funds.[2] This initiative processed investigations into over 40 public bodies by late 2022, aiming to institutionalize accountability rather than relying on ad hoc prosecutions.[2] Lasso publicly committed to these measures as a means to foster ethical leadership and reduce impunity, though implementation faced resistance from opposition-controlled assemblies.[45] CREO advocates for judicial independence to safeguard against political capture, viewing an autonomous judiciary as essential for enforcing anti-corruption laws and upholding contract sanctity in a market-oriented economy. The party critiques prior regimes for appointing loyalists to judicial posts, which it claims compromised impartiality and enabled elite impunity.[46] To address this, CREO supports merit-based selection processes for judges, budgetary autonomy for the judiciary, and mechanisms to insulate courts from legislative or executive pressures. In the 2023 constitutional referendum initiated by Lasso, one proposal sought to limit indefinite re-elections for assembly members and judges explicitly to curb entrenched corruption networks within these bodies, reflecting CREO's emphasis on term limits as a structural deterrent.[47] Another measure targeted extradition of high-level officials for corruption offenses, underscoring the party's push for international cooperation to prosecute fugitives and restore judicial credibility.[48] Despite the referendum's mixed results, these positions align with CREO's broader ideological commitment to rule-of-law reforms that prioritize evidence-based adjudication over politicized oversight.[47] Critics, including Correa-aligned factions, have accused CREO of selective anti-corruption rhetoric, pointing to unproven allegations against Lasso himself in 2023 as evidence of institutional fragility.[27] However, CREO maintains that true independence requires shielding the judiciary from assembly impeachments driven by partisan motives, advocating instead for specialized ethics tribunals with transparent criteria. This stance draws from the party's rejection of caudillismo and personalism in favor of institutional checks that enable long-term opportunity creation through predictable legal frameworks.[49]Security and Law Enforcement Priorities
The Movimiento CREO has positioned security as a core pillar, emphasizing the need to combat organized crime, narcotraffic, and gang violence through strengthened institutions and decisive state action. The party's approach, reflected in Guillermo Lasso's presidential agenda, prioritizes reversing institutional vulnerabilities that enable criminal networks, including corruption within law enforcement and judicial systems. This includes advocating for greater investment in the armed forces and national police to enhance operational capacity and reduce crime rates.[50] Lasso's "Plan Integral para la Seguridad y la Paz," outlined in 2022, targeted threats such as prison riots and territorial control by gangs, proposing coordinated military-police interventions and international partnerships to dismantle transnational operations.[51][52] Key law enforcement priorities under CREO's influence involved multiple declarations of states of emergency during Lasso's 2021–2023 term, enabling expanded military deployments to high-crime areas like Esmeraldas province and prison facilities, where gang coordination had led to massacres killing over 400 inmates since 2021.[53] The administration classified major gangs as terrorist organizations, facilitating aggressive raids and asset seizures, while pushing for legislative reforms such as the 2022 Law on Legitimate Use of Force, which expanded operational flexibility for security personnel in confrontations.[54][55] Additionally, Lasso legalized civilian possession of firearms for self-defense in 2023, aiming to empower citizens amid rising extortion and homicides, which reached 14 per 100,000 inhabitants by mid-term.[54][56] CREO's strategy extends to judicial and international dimensions, supporting extradition of Ecuadorian nationals involved in organized crime—a measure proposed in Lasso's 2022 security referendum questions to bypass domestic leniency—and enhanced cooperation with the United States on counternarcotics, including training and intelligence sharing, as detailed in bilateral agreements signed in 2022–2023.[57][44] The "Plan Ecuador" initiative sought foreign logistical aid to target cocaine routes, recognizing Ecuador's role as a transit hub with over 200 tons of drugs seized annually under Lasso.[58][59] While these efforts demonstrated political commitment to prioritizing enforcement over previous administrations' approaches, critics including Amnesty International argued that militarization risked human rights abuses, such as arbitrary detentions, though U.S. assessments noted progress in disrupting criminal finances.[60][44] Overall, CREO frames law enforcement as integral to creating secure environments for investment, linking crime reduction to broader economic liberalization.[50]Social Conservatism and Family Values
The Movimiento CREO emphasizes traditional family structures as the cornerstone of social stability, aligning with leader Guillermo Lasso's personal commitment to Catholic teachings on marriage and procreation. Lasso, affiliated with the Opus Dei organization, has publicly affirmed his belief in the sanctity of life from conception, opposing abortion and euthanasia as violations of human dignity.[61] This stance reflects a broader party orientation that prioritizes policies reinforcing the nuclear family, including measures to support parental rights in education and child-rearing against perceived ideological encroachments like gender ideology promotion in schools.[61] On marriage, CREO advocates for the union of one man and one woman as the exclusive legal framework for family formation, with Lasso explicitly rejecting same-sex marriage as incompatible with Ecuador's constitutional and cultural heritage.[62] During his 2021 presidential campaign, Lasso pledged to defend these values amid judicial shifts, such as the Ecuadorian Constitutional Court's rulings expanding rights in this area, which he viewed as overreaches undermining democratic consensus.[63] In practice, as president from May 2021 to May 2023, Lasso partially vetoed a 2022 legislative bill decriminalizing abortion in cases of rape, citing concerns over procedural flaws and insufficient safeguards for fetal life, though the veto did not fully block the measure following court precedents.[64] This action underscored CREO's resistance to liberalization trends, favoring incremental protections for unborn children over expansive exceptions. CREO's family-centric approach extends to socioeconomic policies that incentivize stable households, such as tax relief for dependents and opposition to policies fragmenting familial roles, positioning the party as a counterweight to leftist expansions of state intervention in personal spheres. Lasso's own family life—married since 1983 with five children—exemplifies the values promoted, emphasizing personal responsibility and generational continuity over state-subsidized alternatives.[62] While economically liberal, CREO's social conservatism draws from empirical observations of family breakdown correlating with higher crime and poverty rates in Latin America, advocating evidence-based reinforcement of marital fidelity and parental authority to foster opportunity creation at the grassroots level.[61]Foreign Policy and International Alliances
The foreign policy of the CREO Movement under Guillermo Lasso emphasized pragmatic economic diplomacy aimed at attracting foreign investment and fostering bilateral cooperation on security and trade, marking a shift from the more ideologically driven approaches of prior administrations. Lasso's administration prioritized strengthening ties with democratic partners while pursuing free trade agreements to bolster Ecuador's integration into global markets. This orientation reflected CREO's centre-right ideology, focusing on rule-based multilateralism, human rights, and democratic values as foundations for international engagement.[65][24] Relations with the United States were elevated as a cornerstone of Lasso's strategy, with the U.S. regarded as one of Ecuador's strongest allies. The administration expanded cooperation on counternarcotics, anti-corruption, and migration, including efforts to address Venezuelan refugee inflows through international assistance. In December 2022, Lasso met with President Biden to discuss deepening bilateral ties, advocating for a U.S.-Ecuador Free Trade Agreement to enhance economic opportunities, as Ecuador remained the only Pacific Alliance-aspirant without such a pact. U.S. support also aided in managing Ecuador's Chinese debt obligations, aligning with Lasso's fiscal reforms tied to a $3 billion IMF agreement.[44][45][66] Engagement with China pursued economic pragmatism despite geopolitical tensions, culminating in free trade agreement negotiations initiated early in Lasso's term. On April 26, 2021, Lasso announced exploratory talks with China, alongside the U.S. and Russia, to diversify trade partners amid Ecuador's debt restructuring needs. While finalizing the China FTA, Lasso affirmed intentions to preserve strong U.S. relations, viewing the deal as complementary rather than conflictual, though critics noted China's growing influence through prior loans under previous governments. This balancing act supported CREO's market-reform agenda without ideological alignment to Beijing's model.[67][68][69] In Europe, Lasso's government signed a Memorandum of Understanding with the European Union on July 17, 2023, to enhance bilateral relations based on shared commitments to democracy, human rights, and the rule of law. Regionally, Ecuador under Lasso maintained a firm stance against authoritarianism, supporting multilateral responses to Venezuelan migration—hosting progressive policies but seeking global aid to sustain them—while distancing from Correa-era alliances with Caracas. These efforts underscored CREO's emphasis on security cooperation and economic liberalization over bloc politics.[65][45]Leadership and Internal Organization
Guillermo Lasso's Role
Guillermo Lasso, a former banker and businessman, founded the Creating Opportunities (CREO) political movement in 2012 to promote economic liberalism, anti-corruption measures, and opposition to the policies of then-President Rafael Correa.[70] As the party's inaugural and enduring leader, Lasso positioned CREO as a center-right alternative emphasizing private sector growth, judicial independence, and security reforms.[71] His leadership unified diverse political groups under the CREO banner, notably through the "Uniting for Ecuador" platform ahead of the 2021 elections.[72] Lasso served as CREO's presidential candidate in three consecutive elections, securing 22.0% of the vote in the first round of 2013, 16.8% in 2017, and ultimately winning the presidency in the 2021 runoff against leftist candidate Andrés Arauz with 52.5% of the vote.[73] During his 2021–2023 term, Lasso governed with CREO's minority legislative bloc of 12 seats in the 137-member National Assembly, relying on alliances to advance market-oriented policies such as labor flexibility laws and vaccination campaigns amid the COVID-19 pandemic.[74] The party's dependence on Lasso's personal appeal was evident, as CREO struggled to expand its base independently.[9] Facing impeachment threats and governance gridlock, Lasso invoked Article 148 of the Ecuadorian Constitution on May 17, 2023, dissolving the Assembly and triggering snap elections, which barred his own candidacy due to term limits.[2] Post-presidency, Lasso has maintained his role as CREO's national leader, convening provincial presidents and directing party strategy as of May 2025, while authoring memoirs and engaging in international forums.[75] Under his continued guidance, CREO has emphasized institutional reforms and opposition to perceived authoritarian drifts in Ecuadorian politics.[76]Other Prominent Figures and Party Structure
The Movimiento CREO maintains a hierarchical structure governed by its Regimen Orgánico, which outlines organs at national, provincial, cantonal, parochial, and base committee levels, as well as representation abroad. The Asamblea Nacional serves as the supreme authority, convening annually to approve political programs, statutes, and elect high-level leaders for four-year terms. Between assemblies, the Directiva Nacional exercises executive functions, consisting of a President Nacional, Vicepresident Nacional, and five vocales, responsible for directing political strategy, legal representation, and internal coordination. Additional national executive roles include a Director Ejecutivo Nacional, Secretario General, and Tesorero Nacional, each serving two-year terms, while control mechanisms encompass a Consejo de Disciplina y Ética, Defensoría de Adherentes, and Consejo Electoral Central to ensure compliance and internal elections. Local directivas mirror this model at provincial, cantonal, and parochial levels, each with five members elected for four years, fostering grassroots participation and provincial autonomy under national oversight.[77] In May 2025, CREO elected its Directiva Nacional for the 2025-2029 period, with Eitel Zambrano assuming the role of President Nacional, Ana Belén Cordero as Vicepresidenta Nacional, and vocales including Juan Fernando Flores as Primer Vocal Nacional. Zambrano, a longstanding party organizer, has emphasized unity and renewal in leadership transitions. Flores, a former coordinator of CREO's legislative bloc in the National Assembly prior to its 2023 dissolution and briefly President Nacional in April 2024, represents the party's younger cadre focused on economic policy and assembly representation.[78][79] Other notable figures include César Monge Ortega, recognized as a foundational leader whose legacy prompted the establishment of CREO's Centro de Formación Política in July 2025 to train militants. The party's structure prioritizes democratic internal elections and adherence to Ecuador's electoral laws, enabling decentralized operations while centralizing strategic decisions at the national level to support candidacies and policy advocacy. This framework has sustained CREO's operations post-Lasso's presidency, adapting to electoral cycles through provincial presidents and base committees.[80][77]Electoral Performance
Presidential Elections
Guillermo Lasso, founder of CREO, first contested the Ecuadorian presidency in the 2017 general election as the candidate of a center-right alliance including CREO. In the first round on February 19, 2017, Lasso received 28.3% of the valid votes, finishing second behind Lenín Moreno's 39.3%.[81] The runoff on April 2, 2017, saw Lasso garner 48.9% against Moreno's 51.1%, resulting in a narrow defeat.[81] Voter turnout exceeded 80% in both rounds, reflecting high engagement amid economic concerns following Rafael Correa's decade in power.[81] CREO's breakthrough came in the 2021 presidential election, where Lasso again represented the party. The first round on February 7, 2021, yielded Lasso 19.7% of the vote, insufficient for victory but advancing him to the runoff against Andrés Arauz, who led with 32.7%. On April 11, 2021, Lasso secured 52.5% to Arauz's 47.5%, marking CREO's first presidential win and Lasso's inauguration as Ecuador's 47th president on May 24, 2021.[17] This outcome, with over 80% turnout, signaled voter preference for Lasso's pro-market reforms over Arauz's ties to Correa's leftist policies.[18] Lasso's campaign emphasized economic liberalization, anti-corruption, and distancing from Correa-era governance.[73] Lasso's term ended prematurely in May 2023 after he invoked Article 148 of the constitution ("muerte cruzada"), dissolving the National Assembly amid legislative deadlock, which triggered snap general elections. CREO did not field a presidential candidate in the August 20, 2023, first round or the October 15 runoff, as Lasso was constitutionally barred from immediate re-election. Instead, center-right forces aligned behind Daniel Noboa of the National Democratic Action party, who won the presidency with 52% in the runoff against Luisa González.[38] Noboa's victory extended center-right influence, with Lasso publicly endorsing him during the campaign. In the 2025 general elections, held February 9 for the first round and April 13 for the runoff, CREO maintained alignment with Noboa's incumbency bid amid ongoing security and economic challenges. Noboa secured re-election with a wide margin over González, defeating her handpicked Correísta candidacy.[39] This result, with Noboa's Acción Democrática Nacional leading, underscored CREO's strategic pivot to coalitions preserving its ideological foothold without direct candidacy.[82] Voter turnout remained above 80%, prioritizing anti-crime measures over leftist alternatives.[83]Legislative and Local Elections
In the 2017 National Assembly elections held on February 19, CREO secured 4 seats independently while forming part of a broader CREO-SUMA alliance that obtained 28 seats out of 137 total.[84] This performance reflected growing opposition momentum against the incumbent Alianza PAÍS but fell short of a dominant position. In the concurrent 2021 general elections on February 7—aligned with the presidential contest where Guillermo Lasso advanced to a runoff—CREO captured 12 seats, necessitating ongoing negotiations and shifting coalitions to pass legislation during Lasso's subsequent presidency.[85][40] The modest haul underscored CREO's challenge in translating executive appeal into legislative majorities amid Ecuador's fragmented multiparty system. Lasso's invocation of muerte cruzada on May 17, 2023, dissolved the Assembly and triggered snap elections on August 20, in which CREO won zero seats, contributing to the dominance of Revolución Ciudadana (51 seats) and other groups.[37] This outcome highlighted internal divisions and Lasso's lame-duck status post-term limits. The trend persisted into the February 2025 general elections, where CREO again failed to secure any Assembly positions, marking a sharp decline from its 2021 peak and signaling diminished national influence.[86] CREO's local election record shows early gains followed by erosion. In the 2014 seccionales, it elected 18 alcaldes across cantons, establishing a foothold in municipal governance during its nascent phase. By the March 24, 2019, seccionales, CREO, often via the CREO-SI coalition, won multiple alcaldes and supported candidates in provincial races, though exact totals varied by alliances amid competition from established parties.[87] The February 5, 2023, seccionales delivered setbacks, with CREO netting few alcaldes or prefectos despite pacts like Contigo-CREO-SUMA-PSC, which succeeded in isolated contests such as certain cantonal mayoralties; overall, the results weakened the party's subnational base amid Lasso's falling approval.[88][89] These outcomes reflect CREO's reliance on personalized leadership around Lasso rather than entrenched local machines.Achievements and Impacts
Economic Recovery Initiatives
The Lasso administration, aligned with CREO's market-oriented platform, prioritized fiscal discipline and investment attraction to recover from the COVID-19-induced recession. Key initiatives included launching the "Ecuador Open for Business" program in 2021, which streamlined investment processes and promoted foreign direct investment through regulatory simplifications and promotional campaigns.[24] This effort aimed to reverse economic contraction by fostering private sector growth in a dollarized economy constrained by prior fiscal imbalances.[24] Fiscal reforms focused on expenditure cuts and revenue enhancement, reducing the fiscal deficit from approximately 7.4% of GDP upon Lasso's inauguration in May 2021 to 1.7% by 2022—the lowest level since 2013—via improved tax collection efficiency and prudent spending controls, bolstered by elevated oil revenues.[90][24] Complementary measures included eliminating subsidies on premium gasoline and diesel fuels to alleviate budgetary pressures, alongside refinancing $1.4 billion in debt owed to China, extending maturities to support liquidity without immediate repayment burdens.[91] In September 2021, Lasso proposed tax adjustments to reactivate the economy, such as raising income tax deductions for individuals earning over $24,000 annually—affecting only 3.5% of the population—to incentivize consumption and investment while maintaining progressive taxation structures.[41] Revenue strategies also incorporated a tax amnesty program, which accelerated collections and contributed to overall fiscal consolidation, enabling debt servicing and infrastructure maintenance amid external shocks like global commodity fluctuations.[92] These policies, though facing legislative hurdles and social protests, marked a shift toward causal fiscal realism, prioritizing long-term solvency over short-term populism, as evidenced by an IMF-noted improvement in the overall fiscal balance by 3.5% of GDP from 2020 to 2022.[93] Despite these advances, implementation challenges, including assembly opposition, limited broader structural reforms like labor market flexibilization.[2]Institutional and Democratic Reforms
During Guillermo Lasso's presidency from 2021 to 2023, the CREO party advocated for institutional reforms aimed at combating corruption and enhancing governmental efficiency, though legislative opposition limited implementation.[94] Lasso's administration, holding only 12 of 137 seats in the National Assembly, pursued changes primarily through executive initiatives and public referendums rather than legislative consensus.[40] A key effort was the February 5, 2023, constitutional referendum, which proposed eight amendments to address security, political purification, and institutional streamlining.[95] These included reducing the National Assembly's size from 137 to 100 members to cut costs and improve efficiency, strengthening the armed forces' role in combating organized crime and drug trafficking, and introducing mechanisms to bar re-election of corrupt officials while mandating asset declarations for public servants.[96] Four questions specifically targeted perceived corruption among politicians, assembly members, and judges, seeking to "purify the political class" and bolster democratic accountability.[47] However, voters rejected all proposals, with approval rates below 50% across the board, reflecting public skepticism amid Lasso's low approval ratings (around 31% at the time) and ongoing governance challenges.[20][95] In response to impeachment proceedings over alleged corruption in a fertilizer procurement scandal, Lasso invoked the "muerte cruzada" clause under Article 148 of the Ecuadorian Constitution on May 17, 2023, dissolving the National Assembly and triggering early general elections.[97] This mechanism, designed as a check against legislative overreach, effectively ended the impeachment process but was criticized as a maneuver to evade accountability, contributing to perceptions of democratic instability.[98] The move led to elections in August 2023, after which Lasso transferred power to Vice President Daniel Noboa, marking an indirect reform to reset institutional deadlock without altering core structures.[32] Judicial reforms remained elusive, with persistent issues of corruption and political interference undermining independence, despite Lasso's pledges to depoliticize the judiciary inherited from prior administrations.[63] CREO's platform emphasized anti-corruption measures, but without assembly majorities, achievements were confined to executive decrees on transparency, such as enhanced oversight of public contracting, though these faced legal challenges and limited empirical impact on systemic graft.[2] Overall, these efforts highlighted CREO's commitment to first-principles institutional renewal but underscored the causal barriers posed by fragmented politics and entrenched interests.[47]Social Investment and Public Services
The Lasso administration, aligned with the CREO movement's platform of creating opportunities through targeted human capital development, allocated 45 percent of the central government's 2022 budget to public services including health, education, housing, employment programs, and cash transfers for vulnerable populations.[99] This approach emphasized efficiency and fiscal sustainability under an IMF-supported program, prioritizing investments in youth empowerment and preventive health measures over expansive universal spending, which had strained prior budgets.[24] Social policies focused on building skills and reducing dependency, with initiatives like the "Vivo Joven" program establishing a nationwide network of young volunteers to extend social service coverage and deter youth involvement in crime through community engagement.[100][45] In public health, a flagship achievement was the 100-day vaccination plan launched in June 2021, which administered doses to 9 million Ecuadorians—52 percent of the population—by early September 2021, achieving one of Latin America's fastest rollout paces at the time and enabling broader economic reopening.[101][102] This effort, supported by international procurement and domestic logistics, boosted Lasso's approval ratings significantly in his first 100 days and marked a shift from inherited delays in COVID-19 response.[103][104] Complementary measures included targeted pension and bond increases, such as an 80 percent hike for vulnerable groups in the Galápagos Islands in January 2023, to address regional disparities without undermining national fiscal targets.[105] Education investments centered on post-secondary access to foster long-term opportunity creation, exemplified by the Fortalécete 2023 scholarship program, which committed $6.3 million for 1,000 master's degrees—each up to $11,000—in fields like economics and international relations to build a skilled workforce.[106] These reforms aimed to enhance public service delivery by professionalizing sectors like health and administration, though outcomes were constrained by congressional opposition and economic pressures, limiting broader infrastructure expansions in social services.[2] Overall, CREO's social strategy integrated public services with economic liberalization, yielding measurable gains in vaccination coverage and youth engagement but facing criticism for insufficient scale in poverty alleviation amid rising violence and inequality.[43][2]Controversies and Criticisms
Impeachment Proceedings and Political Maneuvers
In March 2023, opposition lawmakers in Ecuador's National Assembly initiated impeachment proceedings against President Guillermo Lasso, accusing him of embezzlement related to a 2018 transaction involving the sale of shares in the state-owned Flota Petrolera Ecuatoriana to the military while he served as finance minister under Lenín Moreno.[27][107] Lasso denied the allegations, asserting that the deal was transparent and approved by relevant authorities, with no personal profit gained.[108][109] On May 9, 2023, the Assembly voted 88-45 to advance the impeachment process to a full hearing, surpassing the required two-thirds threshold of 82 votes out of 137 members.[27][22] The hearing commenced on May 16, focusing on claims of corruption and rebellion, amid a politically polarized environment where the opposition, including Correísta and indigenous blocs, held a majority hostile to Lasso's administration.[108][33] Facing potential removal requiring 92 votes, Lasso executed a preemptive constitutional maneuver on May 17, 2023, invoking Article 148's "muerte cruzada" clause, which permits the president to dissolve the Assembly if it obstructs executive functions, triggering snap legislative elections within two months while allowing him to complete his term until 2025.[35][22][36] This "mutual death" provision, rarely used, halted the impeachment and shifted power dynamics, with Lasso framing it as necessary to break legislative gridlock amid rising crime and economic challenges.[97][110] Opposition leaders decried the dissolution as a "self-coup," alleging authoritarian overreach, though the move adhered to constitutional text and was later validated by Ecuador's Constitutional Court.[111][97] Lasso's strategy capitalized on the Assembly's fragmentation and public discontent with its performance, positioning the subsequent August 2023 elections as a referendum on governance, though his allies underperformed, underscoring the impeachment's roots in entrenched political rivalries rather than solely evidentiary merits.[110][112]Policy Outcomes on Inequality and Violence
During Guillermo Lasso's presidency from May 2021 to October 2023, Ecuador's Gini coefficient, a measure of income inequality, stood at 45.5 in 2022 before decreasing slightly to 44.6 in 2023, reflecting persistent high disparities despite pro-market reforms aimed at fostering economic opportunities through deregulation and investment incentives.[113][114] These policies, including tax reductions and labor market flexibilization, were intended to boost employment and growth to address inequality from first principles by expanding private sector activity, but empirical data showed limited immediate impact, with poverty rates rebounding post-COVID-19 amid global commodity fluctuations and domestic fiscal constraints. Critics, including analyses from the Center for Economic and Policy Research, attributed stagnation or perceived worsening to neoliberal shifts that prioritized capital inflows over redistributive measures, undoing prior reductions in inequality achieved under more interventionist governments, though such claims overlook the baseline high Gini inherited from preceding administrations.[43] On violence, Lasso's security strategy emphasized militarization, including repeated states of emergency, military deployments to prisons and streets, and international cooperation against drug cartels, responding to surging organized crime tied to cocaine transit routes. However, these interventions coincided with a sharp escalation: the homicide rate rose from 13.7 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2021 to 25.9 in 2022, an 82% increase, driven by gang conflicts in prisons and ports like Guayaquil.[115][116] By mid-2023, violence intensified with massacres and extortion rackets, as policies failed to dismantle entrenched criminal networks, leading to criticisms that reactive "mano dura" approaches neglected underlying socioeconomic drivers like unemployment and weak institutions, exacerbating a cycle where inequality fueled recruitment into illicit economies.[54]| Year | Homicide Rate (per 100,000) | Key Policy Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 13.7 | Initial states of emergency declared; military intervention in prisons begins.[115] |
| 2022 | 25.9 | Expanded armed forces role amid 82% murder rise; focus on gang hotspots.[116] |