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Michele Boldrin


Michele Boldrin (born August 20, 1956) is an specializing in dynamic general equilibrium models, with research focused on , business cycles, , and . He serves as the Joseph Gibson Hoyt Distinguished Professor of Economics at , where he has been a faculty member since 2006.
Boldrin earned his PhD in from the in 1987 and his laurea in from Università Ca’ Foscari Venezia in 1982. His academic career includes positions at institutions such as , Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, and the prior to Washington University. A Fellow of the Econometric Society since 2000, Boldrin has made significant contributions to understanding indeterminacy in growth models and the role of habits in and business cycles. Boldrin is best known for co-authoring Against Intellectual Monopoly with David K. Levine, published in 2008 by , which contends that patents and copyrights, as mechanisms of intellectual monopoly, suppress , hinder , and fail to deliver promised benefits to creators or society. He has authored or edited several other books and over 40 refereed articles on topics including trade policy in growing economies and the reconstruction of economic recessions. In addition to his academic work, Boldrin has engaged in and politics in , serving on commissions for pension reform and founding organizations such as Fare per Fermare il Declino (2012–2014) and Liberi Oltre le Illusioni (2018–present) to advocate for structural reforms. More recently, he co-founded the Drin Drin Movement in 2024, which seeks to establish a pragmatic political alternative.

Biography

Early life and education

Michele Boldrin was born on August 20, 1956, in Padova, . He relocated to Mestre-Venezia at age ten and completed his at Liceo “.” Boldrin pursued undergraduate studies in at Università Ca' Foscari in Venice, earning a laurea degree magna cum laude in July 1982. Immediately afterward, from 1982 to 1983, he worked as a at IRSEV and as a researcher in the Department of at the University of Venice. In September 1983, Boldrin entered the Ph.D. program in economics at the in the United States, receiving a in June 1985 and completing his Ph.D. in June 1987 under the supervision of Lionel W. McKenzie, with a focus on the theory of optimal growth. During his doctoral studies, he served as a visiting fellow for one year at the University of Chicago's Department of Economics.

Academic career and appointments

Michele Boldrin earned his Laurea in from in in 1982, graduating magna cum laude, followed by an M.A. and Ph.D. in from the in 1985 and 1987, respectively, under the supervision of Lionel W. McKenzie. Following his doctorate, Boldrin held an initial position in the Department of at the from 1986 to 1987. He then served as assistant professor at the (UCLA) from 1987 to 1990, advancing to associate professor at Northwestern University's Kellogg Graduate School of Management from 1990 to 1994. In 1994, Boldrin was appointed the Professor of Economics at , a position he held until 1999. He subsequently joined the as professor of economics and director of graduate studies from 1999 to 2006. Boldrin has been professor of economics at since 2006, where he was named the Joseph Gibson Hoyt Distinguished Professor and served as department chair from 2008 to 2012. He also holds ongoing visiting professorships at Università in and since 2017. Throughout his career, Boldrin has undertaken visiting positions at institutions including , the , UCLA, , Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, the , the , Università Bocconi, the Institute for Advanced Study at , Beijing University, , and the .

Research Contributions

Economic growth and business cycles

Michele Boldrin's research on and business cycles employs dynamic general equilibrium frameworks to analyze fluctuations driven primarily by real shocks, such as and productivity disturbances, rather than nominal rigidities or demand-side impulses. This approach aligns with real business cycle (RBC) theory, emphasizing supply-side mechanisms and intertemporal optimization by agents. His contributions extend standard neoclassical models by incorporating features like habit formation, sectoral heterogeneity, and endogenous innovations to better reconcile theoretical predictions with empirical observations on output volatility, asset returns, and labor dynamics. In the domain of business cycles, Boldrin co-developed modifications to RBC models to address shortcomings in matching asset pricing anomalies. In the 2001 paper "Habit Persistence, Asset Returns, and the Business Cycle," co-authored with Lawrence J. Christiano and Jonas D. M. Fisher and published in the American Economic Review, the authors introduce habit-forming preferences—where utility depends on relative to past levels—and a two-sector production structure with limited intersectoral factor mobility. This setup generates sufficient risk premia to explain the observed (excess returns on stocks over risk-free rates averaging around 6% historically in U.S. data) without requiring implausibly high coefficients of relative risk aversion, typically exceeding 10 in benchmark RBC models. The model also replicates key facts, such as the correlation between and growth, under parameter values calibrated to post-1950 U.S. data, where habit persistence amplifies the effects of productivity shocks. Similarly, the 1995 Journal of Political Economy article "Labor Contracts and s," with Michael Horvath, defends RBC paradigms against critiques of poor labor market fit by incorporating implicit long-term contracts that smooth wages but allow variable hours. Calibrated to U.S. data from 1955–1988, the model matches the observed volatility and persistence of hours worked (standard deviation around 1.5% of trend) and the low correlation between productivity and real wages, attributing cycle dynamics to efficient responses to real shocks rather than market failures. Boldrin's work on growth integrates cyclical elements, exploring endogenous dynamics that produce sustained expansion alongside fluctuations. In "Equilibrium Models Displaying Endogenous Fluctuations and Chaos: A Survey" (1990, Journal of Economic Theory), he reviews conditions for complex aperiodic cycles or chaotic paths in multisector optimal growth models without stochastic shocks, arising from nonlinearities in production technologies or intertemporal linkages, such as in overlapping generations frameworks. These indeterminacies can lead to multiple steady-state growth paths, challenging Solow-Swan exogenous growth assumptions by highlighting self-sustaining booms and busts via dynamic externalities or learning-by-doing spillovers. Collaborating with David K. Levine, the 1999 paper "Growth Cycles and Market Crashes" (Journal of Economic Theory) models perpetual growth punctuated by rare crashes: under high risk aversion (calibrated to 5–10), adverse productivity news triggers sharp asset price drops (up to 30–50% in simulations matching 1929 or 1987 events), as agents shift portfolios toward safer assets, amplifying downturns before recovery via adjusted savings rates. More recent contributions link to cycles through . The 2024 Journal of Economic Theory paper "A Theory of the Dynamics of Factor Shares" proposes an endogenous model where -driven cycles alter labor and capital income shares: during expansions, raises capital's share (from 0.3 to 0.4 in U.S. data since 1980), while contractions reverse this via reduced R&D , calibrated to postwar fluctuations showing volatility of 2–3%. This causal mechanism underscores how micro-level inventive activity propagates to macro aggregates, supporting policies favoring over protections to sustain long-run rates around 2% annually. Boldrin's analyses consistently prioritize empirical calibration—e.g., using Solow residuals for TFP shocks explaining 70–80% of U.S. output variance—and critique demand-driven narratives for overemphasizing frictions unsubstantiated by disaggregated data.

Technological innovation and dynamic models

Boldrin has contributed to the integration of into dynamic general equilibrium models, emphasizing competitive mechanisms over monopolistic incentives for endogenous . In collaboration with David K. Levine, he developed frameworks where innovation emerges from factor-saving processes within concave production structures, challenging the necessity of increasing returns or externalities for sustained technological progress. In their 2002 paper "Factor Saving Innovation," Boldrin and construct a model where is allocated between self-reproduction and technological improvement, generating endogenous and paths that depend on initial conditions. This approach demonstrates that factor-saving innovations can drive cycles and long-term development in competitive equilibria without relying on scale economies, providing a microfoundation for in neoclassical settings. The model predicts that rates vary with resource diversion from , yielding realistic such as transitional accelerations observed in historical . Building on this, Boldrin and Levine's "Perfectly Competitive Innovation" (2003) extends the analysis to constant , showing that decentralized competition sustains ongoing and Schumpeterian in general . Firms invest in R&D under , leading to persistent growth without patents, as recombinant knowledge diffusion enables cumulative technological advancement. This work formalizes how market incentives align individual discoveries into aggregate progress, contrasting with monopoly-based theories. In "A Model of Discovery" (2009), they formalize as a process in expanding spaces, where indicates weak links between strength and rates. The dynamic model incorporates sequential inventions under , reproducing stylized facts like rising in low-IP environments and path-dependent technological trajectories. More recently, Boldrin co-authored a 2024 paper on factor share dynamics, embedding endogenous in a growth-and-cycles where technological shocks alter labor and returns over cycles. This highlights causal links between bursts and factor reallocations, supported by to U.S. data from 1929–2020 showing -driven wage-premium fluctuations. These models collectively underscore Boldrin's view that dynamic , rather than policy-induced monopolies, underpins .

Stance on Intellectual Property

Arguments against patents and copyrights

Boldrin contends that patents fail to demonstrably enhance or , as extensive empirical reveals no causal link between patent strength and inventive output across industries or historical periods. He argues that patents instead generate monopolistic distortions, enabling incumbents to block rivals through litigation and licensing fees, which elevate entry costs and divert resources toward legal rather than . For instance, in the software sector, Boldrin highlights how pre-1980s surged without robust enforcement, only to decelerate amid rising patent thickets and "patent troll" lawsuits post-State Street Bank v. (), which expanded . Complementing this, Boldrin asserts that copyrights similarly impede creative expression by prolonging monopolies beyond any plausible incentive period, as evidenced by the U.S. extension to life-plus-70-years under the 1998 , which primarily benefits estate holders without spurring new works. He draws on industries like and recipes, where unprotected accelerates diffusion and iterative improvement—such as seasonal trends driving apparel sales exceeding $300 billion annually in the U.S. by 2008—contrasting with sectors burdened by , where enforcement stifles derivatives. In Boldrin's framework, innovation thrives via market mechanisms like first-mover advantages and trade secrecy, as seen in the British Industrial Revolution (circa 1760–1840), where and technologies advanced rapidly despite lax patent uptake, with only 10–20% of inventors filing despite availability post-1624 . He critiques the theoretical justification for as resting on unproven assumptions of underinvestment absent rents, ignoring how fosters cumulative progress, and warns that politically entrenched expansion—often lobbied by pharmaceutical and entertainment giants—exacerbates inequality by transferring wealth from consumers to protected creators without net welfare gains.

Empirical evidence and case studies presented

Boldrin and Levine's analysis of empirical studies reveals no systematic evidence that patents enhance innovation or productivity. In a meta-review of 24 empirical investigations conducted up to 2006, they found that strengthening patent protection either had no effect on research and development expenditures or innovation rates in most cases, with only two studies showing a positive correlation and several indicating negative outcomes, such as reduced R&D in software sectors post-patent expansion. Similarly, Lerner’s examination of 150 years of patent law changes across countries demonstrated that reforms expanding patent scope often correlated with diminished innovation metrics, including fewer subsequent patents filed. Historical evidence from nations that delayed or lacked patent systems underscores innovation's independence from intellectual monopoly. , without patents until 1888, achieved leadership in chemicals, pharmaceuticals, and watchmaking, ranking second in innovation exhibits per capita at the 1851 Crystal Palace Exhibition and developing firms like pre-patent era. The operated without patents until 1817 and saw innovations rise from 11% to 37% of industrial exhibits after 1869 abolition, enabling breakthroughs like Levinstein's textile dyes that outcompeted British patented rivals before . Italy's pharmaceutical sector produced 119 of 1,282 new compounds globally from 1961 to 1980 without product patents, ranking fifth worldwide by the 1970s, but innovation declined sharply post-1978 patent introduction, yielding only 8 of 108 compounds from 1980 to 1983. Case studies of specific inventions highlight patents' potential to impede progress. James Watt's patent, granted in 1769 and extended to 1800, blocked rival developments like compound and high-pressure engines, limiting annual horsepower additions to 750 pre-expiration; post-1800, this surged to 4,000 annually, with fuel efficiency improving fivefold through competitive collaboration in . The ' aviation patents from 1906 similarly stalled U.S. aircraft advancement by litigating competitors, shifting innovation leadership to patent-lenient until . In industries like fashion, rapid seasonal cycles persist without design patents, as firms like replicate high-end styles within months via first-mover advantages; software innovations, including graphical user interfaces and open-source projects like , proliferated pre-1981 patent eligibility and continue via non-exclusive models holding dominant market shares, such as Apache's 68% of webservers in 2004. For copyrights, Boldrin cites the 19th-century U.S. market, where pirated English novels like Dickens' sold for six cents versus $2.50 originals, expanding and dissemination without deterring creation, as authors profited from U.S. sales until 1890 reciprocity. The pornography sector further illustrates rapid technological adoption—leading by 1999—absent strong enforcement, contrasting slower progress. These examples collectively argue that competitive markets, secrecy, and lead-time advantages suffice for incentivizing invention, with monopolies often extracting rents at innovation's expense.

Political Involvement

Engagement in Italian politics

Michele Boldrin entered Italian politics in 2012 as a co-founder of Fermare il Declino (Act to Stop the Decline), a libertarian-leaning movement emphasizing fiscal discipline, reduction of public debt, and market-oriented reforms, alongside journalist Oscar Giannino. The initiative sought to address Italy's through drastic cuts in and , positioning itself against entrenched political elites. Despite initial media attention, the party achieved limited electoral success, failing to secure parliamentary seats in the 2013 general elections. In the lead-up to the 2014 European Parliament elections, Boldrin aligned with centrist-liberal coalitions, running as a candidate for Scelta Europea—an alliance comprising Scelta Civica, Centro Democratico, and —in the North-Eastern constituency. He received 6,986 preference votes but was not elected, reflecting the challenges faced by fragmented liberal forces amid Italy's polarized political landscape. This period also saw attempts at broader liberal alliances, including discussions with figures like Bruno Tabacci, though internal divisions prevented consolidation. Boldrin's political activities waned in subsequent years, focusing primarily on academic and public intellectual pursuits, until 2024 when he co-founded the Movimento Drin Drin with entrepreneur Alberto Forchielli. Launched in September 2024, the movement advocated pragmatic, ideology-free policies targeting young voters and aiming to revive Italy's center through pro-innovation, free-market stances, including criticism of excessive state intervention and support for technological advancement. By October 2025, Drin Drin formalized as the party ORA! during a founding in Abano Terme, where Boldrin was elected and Forchielli president. ORA! positions itself as an "extreme center" force, promoting acquisition, anti-Putin , and to counter perceived declines in competitiveness. As of its inception, the party has not yet contested elections, focusing on building a base amid Italy's fragmented opposition to major coalitions.

Advocacy for free-market policies

Boldrin co-founded the liberal political party Fare per Fermare il Declino (Act to Stop the Decline) in , advocating policies centered on fiscal restraint, tax simplification through flat-rate systems, and to address Italy's stagnation. The party's platform emphasized reducing public expenditure from 50% of GDP to levels seen in more dynamic economies, arguing that and regulatory burdens empirically correlate with lower growth rates, as evidenced by Italy's post-1990s productivity slowdown compared to peer nations. Boldrin, as a key intellectual figure, promoted these measures via public speeches and writings, contending that competitive markets, not state subsidies, drive and , drawing on cross-country data showing liberalization's positive effects in sectors like . He assumed the party presidency in , steering it toward evidence-based critiques of welfare expansion and labor market rigidities, though it secured under 1% of votes in national elections, limiting its legislative influence. In parallel, Boldrin has critiqued protectionist policies, such as tariffs, as distortions that raise consumer costs without net benefits, aligning with free-trade principles supported by historical data on post-WWII growth under open markets. This stance reflects his broader view that government interventions, including industrial subsidies, undermine causal mechanisms of , favoring instead decentralized decision-making by firms and individuals. More recently, Boldrin co-initiated the Drin Drin Association in 2024 with entrepreneur Alberto Forchielli, evolving into the party Ora! by 2025, with Boldrin as secretary. The movement positions itself as a pragmatic alternative to Italy's entrenched , prioritizing , support for entrepreneurship, and merit-based reforms to reverse demographic and economic decline. It critiques bipartisan fiscal profligacy, advocating spending caps tied to verifiable growth metrics, and has grown to over 14,000 members by mid-2025, polling at 0.7% amid calls for market-oriented and policies. Boldrin's leadership underscores empirical arguments against monopolistic privileges, extending his anti-IP scholarship to political demands for competitive openness in all sectors.

Public Commentary and Media Presence

Writings in Italian press

Michele Boldrin has regularly contributed opinion pieces and analyses to Italian outlets such as Linkiesta and the Econopoly blog of , where he critiques fiscal policies, productivity myths, and structural economic challenges facing . In a 2018 Linkiesta article, he argued against proposals, emphasizing growth-oriented reforms over default or inflationary tactics, stating that prioritizing repayment through productivity gains is essential for long-term stability. Similarly, in an October 2018 piece for the same publication, Boldrin dismantled claims of fiscal multipliers in the "manovra del popolo," asserting that deficit-financed spending without structural changes would stifle investment and perpetuate stagnation. On 's Econopoly, Boldrin co-authored analyses challenging prevailing narratives on and labor markets. A December 2021 post contended that Italy's economic malaise stems not from but from regulatory barriers and low innovation, urging and to foster . Earlier, in August 2019, he refuted assertions of labor decline by citing showing stable per-hour output when adjusted for effects, attributing perceived issues to mismatches rather than inherent worker failings. These contributions often draw on from international datasets, contrasting with domestic policy debates dominated by short-term interventions. Boldrin's writings in Il Foglio and Linkiesta extend to broader themes, including and . In a September Il Foglio , he critiqued recurring anti-capitalist , arguing it ignores historical of market-driven and perpetuates ideological amid technological shifts. For Linkiesta, a January article projected that advancing would amplify along cognitive lines, advocating reforms to equip workers for complex tasks rather than redistribution alone. His pieces consistently prioritize data-driven arguments, such as discrediting overblown fiscal stimulus effects, and have appeared sporadically in , though primarily as economic commentary on current events.

Online platforms and debates

Michele Boldrin maintains an active presence on X (formerly ) under the handle @micheleboldrin, where he has posted over 92,000 times as of 2025, engaging in real-time debates on , , and affairs. His posts often critique government interventions, such as pension systems and fiscal policies, while advocating free-market alternatives; for instance, on August 27, 2025, he argued against the notion that pensions are fully funded by individual contributions, emphasizing intergenerational transfers. Boldrin frequently challenges interlocutors on topics like , electoral strategies, and ideological biases, as seen in his February 1, 2023, rebuttal to claims minimizing opposition to policies beyond figures like and Bolsonaro. These exchanges highlight his commitment to data-driven arguments over narrative-driven ones, often urging followers to "" in assessing motives behind policy advocacy. As a founding editor of the economics NoiseFromAmerika (noisefromamerika.org), established to provide analytical commentary on and economics from a market-oriented perspective, Boldrin has contributed articles and hosted discussions since its inception. The platform features his pieces on topics like risks and educational reforms, such as his critique of Italy's system as hindering analytical skills. NoiseFromAmerika has served as a venue for online debates, including Boldrin's 2009 reflections on an in-person exchange with Bradford De Long over fiscal stimulus efficacy, underscoring tensions between Keynesian and dynamic growth models. Contributors, including Boldrin, emphasize over institutional consensus, positioning the blog as a to mainstream Italian economic discourse. In 2025, Boldrin co-founded the Drin Drin movement with entrepreneur Alberto Forchielli, leveraging online platforms to build membership—reaching 14,000 by July—and debate systemic reforms like currency choice and ideological taboos in Italian politics. The movement's website and YouTube channel host videos of Boldrin's speeches, such as his May 19, 2025, address outlining pragmatic alternatives to entrenched parties, aiming to form a political entity by autumn. Through X and these digital channels, Boldrin promotes evidence-based policy debates, criticizing incoherent economic plans and calling for data-focused scrutiny of issues like middle-class stagnation. This online mobilization reflects his broader strategy of using digital tools to challenge policy orthodoxies, amassing poll visibility at 0.7% by August 2025.

Controversies and Criticisms

Debates on intellectual monopoly

Boldrin, in collaboration with David K. Levine, has prominently debated the merits of intellectual monopoly—referring to patents and copyrights as government-granted monopolies—asserting that such systems do more harm than good to innovation and economic growth. In their 2008 book Against Intellectual Monopoly, they argue that historical innovations, including James Watt's steam engine improvements in the 1760s and Elias Howe's sewing machine in the 1840s, proceeded effectively without strong patent enforcement, relying instead on competitive markets, first-mover advantages, and secrecy. They further claim that empirical studies fail to demonstrate patents' net positive impact on productivity, often leading to rent-seeking, litigation costs exceeding $250 billion annually in the U.S. by the 2000s, and barriers to cumulative innovation. Critics have contested these views, particularly in academic reviews, arguing that Boldrin and selectively emphasize cases where low replication costs allow natural market protections while downplaying high-fixed-cost industries like pharmaceuticals, where R&D investments average $1–2 billion per and enable recoupment against free-rider risks. For instance, a 2011 Journal of Economic Literature review highlights that while may not be universally essential, abolishing them overlooks evidence from patent citation data showing knowledge spillovers and incentives aligned with social returns in complex technologies. Another analysis critiques their dismissal of copyright's role in , noting that self- motives alone cannot sustain large-scale production without exclusivity, as evidenced by persistent underinvestment in unprotected post-2000s file-sharing surges. In response to detractors, Boldrin and have maintained that patents distort markets by favoring incumbents and politically connected firms, citing software giants' thickets that stifle startups, and advocating secrets and contracts as superior alternatives without the deadweight losses of . Their 2013 article in the Journal of Economic Perspectives reinforces this by reviewing cross-country data from 1850–2000, finding no between strength and rates, and attributing U.S. innovation leadership to market size rather than rigor. These exchanges underscore ongoing contention, with Boldrin's position influencing libertarian-leaning policy discussions but facing pushback from empirical economists emphasizing context-specific benefits.

Responses to modern monetary theory and other views

Boldrin has emerged as a prominent critic of (MMT), characterizing it as a recurrent but flawed economic fad that overstates the government's capacity to finance deficits without inflationary consequences or incentive distortions. In a public debate on October 25, 2019, with , a key MMT proponent, Boldrin contested the theory's chartalist foundation—that taxes alone drive demand for sovereign currency—arguing that individuals can borrow privately issued funds denominated in the government's currency to meet tax obligations, thereby undermining MMT's emphasis on fiscal spending as unconstrained by revenue. The exchange highlighted Boldrin's insistence on market-driven monetary dynamics over state-imposed mechanisms, with Mosler reportedly exiting the discussion amid escalating disagreements. Boldrin extended similar critiques to Italian MMT advocate , rejecting claims that sovereign issuers of fiat face no solvency risks and can perpetually fund public expenditures through without eroding acceptance. He contended that direct state issuance of money for spending, absent in that specific , would fail to gain voluntary adoption, as private agents prioritize assets with proven and store-of-value over unbacked fiscal outputs. This perspective aligns with Boldrin's broader advocacy for fiscal discipline, where deficits must reflect productive investments rather than indefinite monetary accommodation, drawing on empirical observations of episodes like Weimar Germany (1923) and (2000s), where unchecked led to collapse despite MMT-like rationales. Beyond MMT, Boldrin has responded to expansive Keynesian views on fiscal multipliers and stimulus, cautioning against overreliance on government intervention during downturns, as evidenced by his analysis of the 2008–2009 U.S. recovery, where adjustments outpaced public spending effects. He argues that such policies distort , favoring politically connected sectors over innovation-driven growth, and cites cross-country data showing sustained deficits correlating with slower long-term GDP per capita gains in high-debt economies like (post-1990s). In lectures on monetary theory, Boldrin emphasizes classical principles of sound money, critiquing fiat regimes for enabling while acknowledging central banks' role in stabilizing nominal aggregates, but only when tethered to rule-based frameworks rather than discretionary activism. These positions reflect his commitment to incentive-compatible policies, where monetary neutrality holds over the long run, countering heterodox claims of persistent fiscal-monetary decoupling.

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