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Project ROSE

Project ROSE (Retrofit of Strike Element) was an avionics modernization program initiated by the Pakistan Air Force in 1992 to upgrade its aging fleet of Dassault Mirage III fighters and Mirage 5 strike aircraft with advanced electronics, radar, and weaponry integration. The program, executed in collaboration with French firms like SAGEM and local facilities at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex in Kamra, focused on three main variants: ROSE I for Mirage III interceptors, which received head-up displays, inertial navigation, and multi-mode radars capable of beyond-visual-range engagements; ROSE II for Mirage 5PA strike aircraft with similar avionics enhancements; and ROSE III incorporating further improvements like air-to-air refueling probes and stand-off weapon compatibility. Commencing upgrades in 1995, the project refurbished approximately 33 ex-Australian Mirage IIIO aircraft to ROSE I standard and over 20 Mirage 5 variants by 1998, significantly extending the service life of these 1960s-designed jets into precision strike roles without necessitating immediate procurement of newer platforms. This cost-effective initiative bolstered the PAF's tactical capabilities, enabling integration of modern munitions such as anti-ship missiles and laser-guided bombs, while maintaining operational readiness amid resource constraints.

Program Origins and Objectives

Historical Context of Mirage Fleet

The Pakistan Air Force initiated procurement of Dassault Mirage IIIEP multirole fighters from France in 1968, receiving an initial batch of 24 aircraft that equipped No. 5 Squadron (Falcons) as its primary interceptors to address limitations in range and capability of existing fleets like the F-104 Starfighter. These supersonic delta-wing jets, powered by SNECMA Atar 09C engines, provided the PAF with Mach 2-capable platforms suited for high-altitude interception and reconnaissance. Complementing the Mirage IIIs, the PAF ordered 28 Mirage 5PA strike variants in the late , with deliveries commencing in 1970 to bolster and ground attack roles. Further acquisitions through the 1970s and 1980s, including additional Mirage 5s and dual-seat trainers, expanded the fleet; by the early 1990s, the total Mirage III and 5 inventory exceeded 130 airframes, augmented by second-hand purchases such as 43 ex-Australian Mirage IIIOs acquired in 1990. The Mirage fleet entered combat during the 1971 Indo-Pakistani War, where Mirage IIIs from and bases executed ground strikes against forces and claimed several aerial victories, demonstrating the type's versatility despite logistical strains. No significant Mirage involvement occurred in the 1965 war, as deliveries postdated the conflict. Repeated operational deployments, harsh maintenance environments, and post-1971 spares shortages exacerbated airframe fatigue. International sanctions imposed on in the , stemming from its nuclear program under the Pressler Amendment, curtailed access to critical components and technology transfers, even for French-origin aircraft, compounding attrition from age and use. By the decade's start, the fleet's analog and systems lagged behind evolving threats, particularly India's integration of Soviet-supplied MiG-29s and Su-27 variants, highlighting vulnerabilities in beyond-visual-range engagement and amid escalating regional tensions.

Initiation and Strategic Rationale

Project ROSE, an acronym for Retrofit of Strike Element, was conceived by the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) in 1992 as a response to international arms embargoes that restricted access to advanced fighter aircraft, with implementation commencing in 1995 at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) in Kamra. The U.S. Pressler Amendment, invoked in 1990, had suspended deliveries of F-16 fighters and triggered broader sanctions, compelling the PAF to prioritize upgrades of its existing Dassault Mirage III and Mirage 5 fleet over costly new acquisitions. This initiative sought to extend the aircraft's viability into the 2020s, leveraging PAC Kamra's established expertise in Mirage overhauls to mitigate fiscal pressures and maintain strike capabilities amid resource limitations. The program's core objectives centered on fostering defense self-reliance, reducing dependency on foreign suppliers, and countering the PAF's quantitative disadvantages in fighter numbers compared to regional rivals, without the prohibitive expenses of full fleet replacement. PAF leadership, facing embargo-induced gaps in modernization, viewed as a pragmatic alternative to sustain operational readiness and deterrence. Surplus airframes were procured from (including retired Mirage IIIO variants), , , and to augment the inventory for refurbishment, enabling the recovery of serviceable units despite sanctions. Early partnerships focused on French firms to bypass U.S.-centric restrictions, with providing critical support for integration into the upgraded platforms. These collaborations underscored a of selective international cooperation to achieve technological enhancements while adhering to budgetary and geopolitical constraints, ensuring the Mirage fleet's relevance in PAF doctrine without compromising indigenous assembly and testing at PAC Kamra.

Implementation and Upgrade Phases

ROSE I: Mirage IIIO Upgrades

The initiated the ROSE I phase by acquiring 50 retired Mirage IIIO fighters in 1990, with subsequent deliveries extending into the early 1990s to bolster its aging Mirage fleet amid resource constraints and regional security demands. These ex-RAAF aircraft, originally delivered to between 1967 and 1984, arrived in via sea transport, with the first batch recovered and integrated starting in November 1990. Upgrades under ROSE I commenced in 1995 at the () in Kamra, focusing on enhancing the IIIO's capabilities for precision strike and missions through the integration of basic modern . Key modifications included the installation of an () for improved navigation accuracy, a () for better pilot situational awareness, and multifunction displays (MFDs) to support enhanced strike precision without relying on advanced sensors like FLIR. The program also incorporated the Griffo M3 multimode radar to enable air-to-air and ground mapping functions, alongside cockpit updates such as hands-on-throttle-and-stick () controls. Approximately 33 aircraft underwent these upgrades, prioritizing structural integrity assessments and retrofits to extend service life. By the late 1990s, initial I-upgraded Mirage IIIO entered service, with full induction spanning 1998 to 2004 as testing validated the modifications' reliability for ground attack and roles. These enhancements addressed the original aircraft's limitations in all-weather operations and targeting, enabling integration into No. 7 Squadron ("Bandits") and similar units without altering the airframe's delta-wing configuration or Atar 9C engine. The phased rollout ensured progressive fleet modernization, laying groundwork for subsequent ROSE iterations while maintaining operational tempo.

ROSE II: Mirage 5F Upgrades

In the late 1990s, the acquired approximately 40 surplus 5F and 5DF aircraft from the French Air Force, with deliveries commencing around February 1999. Of these, around 20 Mirage 5F airframes were selected for upgrades under the ROSE II program, which adapted the enhancements developed for ROSE I to the strike-oriented Mirage 5 platform. The initiative focused on extending the aircraft's viability for and low-altitude penetration strikes, addressing limitations in night operations and precision targeting inherent to the original 1960s-era design. Key modifications included the integration of a forward-looking infrared (FLIR) pod installed under the nose, replacing a full suite to prioritize electro-optical and targeting for ground-attack missions in low-visibility conditions. Cockpit upgrades featured multi-function displays (MFDs), head-up displays (HUDs), hands-on-throttle-and-stick () controls, altimeters, and radar warning receivers (RWRs), which collectively improved pilot workload management, accuracy, and defensive awareness during tactical low-level flights. These changes enhanced the aircraft's compatibility with precision-guided munitions and inertial systems, without altering the core or engine. Upgrades commenced in mid-2004 at facilities, building on ROSE I experience to streamline integration. The program was completed by approximately 2006, enabling the upgraded 5F ROSE II variants to enter service with PAF strike squadrons such as No. 2 Squadron, where they augmented tactical flexibility for conventional support roles. This phase preserved the type's delta-wing agility for evasive maneuvers while mitigating obsolescence in and technologies.

ROSE III and ROSE IV Enhancements

The ROSE III upgrade, implemented primarily in the late and early , targeted Mirage 5 variants, including 14 ex-French Mirage 5F aircraft acquired by the and refurbished at the (PAC) in Kamra with assistance from (now ). This phase introduced a dedicated and attack suite featuring a (FLIR) pod and laser spot tracker (LST) mounted under the nose, which facilitated self-designation for laser-guided bombs such as the French AASM family or compatible precision-guided munitions. These enhancements emphasized and precision strike roles, allowing the legacy airframes to engage hardened targets with reduced collateral risk amid regional threats requiring standoff capabilities. Cockpit modernization under ROSE III incorporated multifunction displays (MFDs), hands-on-throttle-and-stick (HOTAS) controls, inertial navigation system (INS) integration with GPS, and a MIL-STD-1553B databus for improved data fusion, all while maintaining compatibility with existing radar warning receivers and electronic countermeasures. PAC's indigenous overhauls handled structural reinforcements and systems integration, reducing reliance on foreign vendors and enabling sustained maintenance of the upgraded fleet. By extending munitions compatibility to include laser-guided variants, ROSE III addressed limitations in the Mirage 5's original dumb-bomb loadout, aligning the platform with contemporary precision warfare demands without full airframe replacement. The ROSE IV phase, proposed for mid-2000s implementation, outlined further digital avionics upgrades and beyond-visual-range (BVR) enhancements, such as integration of the Italian Grifo M3 pulse-Doppler radar and active radar missiles like the MBDA Mica for multirole superiority. These would have built on prior phases by adding advanced data links and software-defined systems for networked operations. However, the Pakistan Air Force declined to proceed, prioritizing cost-effective transitions to newer assets like the JF-17, amid fiscal constraints and shifting strategic priorities. Overall, Project ROSE concluded around 2008–2010 with PAC overseeing indigenous finalizations, resulting in over 100 Mirage III and 5 aircraft across phases equipped for precision-guided munitions employment, markedly bolstering strike element viability.

Technical Specifications and Modifications

Avionics and Navigation Systems

The avionics upgrades under Project ROSE entailed the integration of digital inertial navigation systems (INS) and global positioning system (GPS) receivers, supplanting outdated analog instrumentation to provide precise positional data independent of ground references. These systems, sourced from French firm SAGEM, enabled reliable navigation in GPS-denied environments through inertial drift compensation augmented by satellite corrections. Cockpit interfaces were enhanced with head-up displays (HUDs) projecting critical flight and navigation symbology onto the pilot's field of view, alongside multi-function displays (MFDs) for configurable data presentation and controls to minimize head-down time. Radio altimeters were incorporated to furnish accurate low-level altitude readings, supporting terrain-following profiles. These modifications collectively reduced cognitive workload, facilitating sustained attention on mission tasks during extended flights. Defensive avionics featured radar warning receivers (RWRs) capable of identifying and classifying radar emissions from surface-to-air and air-to-air threats, thereby alerting pilots to potential intercepts. In ROSE I upgrades for Mirage III aircraft, commencing around 1995, the baseline package included INS, HUD, and initial RWR installations at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex in Kamra. Subsequent ROSE II and III phases for Mirage 5 variants, executed from 1996 onward with SAGEM collaboration, added navigation and attack units (NAUs) integrating sensor fusion for streamlined route planning and waypoint management. Across phases, these enhancements transitioned the fleet from daylight visual to instrument-based, all-weather capability, with /GPS combinations yielding cumulative errors below typical analog limits after hours of flight. Over 90 aircraft received such retrofits by the early 2000s, extending platform viability amid resource constraints.

Weapon Systems and Structural Changes

The Project ROSE upgrades expanded the armament options for the Mirage III and Mirage 5 aircraft, enabling integration of precision-guided munitions and stand-off weapons to enhance strike precision and reach. Specific modifications included adaptations for laser-guided bombs and air-launched cruise missiles, such as the Ra'ad, which provided standoff capabilities up to 350 km in early variants. Certain Mirage 5 variants under ROSE received the Agave radar system, facilitating the employment of anti-ship missiles like the Exocet for maritime interdiction roles. These weapon system enhancements directly contributed to prolonged operational relevance by allowing the legacy platforms to deliver modern ordnance without necessitating full fleet replacement. Structural modifications focused on airframe reinforcement and pylon adjustments to support diverse and heavier weapon configurations, maintaining the standard payload capacity of approximately 4,000 kg across five hardpoints while improving loadout flexibility. The Snecma Atar 09C engine underwent minor optimizations to cope with added stresses from extended missions and varied payloads, ensuring reliability under upgraded conditions. Addition of fixed in-flight refueling probes on select aircraft extended combat radius by enabling aerial tanking, with reported increases in effective range beyond the baseline 1,200 km internal fuel limit. These changes preserved structural integrity for sustained high-G maneuvers and heavy ordnance carriage, linking directly to causal improvements in tactical endurance and mission versatility.

Operational Deployment and Performance

Integration into PAF Operations

The ROSE-upgraded Mirage III and Mirage V aircraft were progressively integrated into Pakistan Air Force (PAF) squadrons starting in the late 1990s, with full operational deployment achieved by the early 2000s. No. 7 "Bandits" Squadron and No. 8 "Haiders" Squadron received ROSE I and II variants of the Mirage III for air defense and strike missions, while No. 27 "Zarrar" Squadron, raised on 19 April 2007, specialized in Mirage 5 ROSE III for tactical attack and night operations. These upgrades equipped approximately 50-60 aircraft across the fleet, forming 20-25% of PAF's multirole fighter inventory dedicated to strike and reconnaissance roles at the time. Training for ROSE-equipped pilots incorporated adaptations at , emphasizing upgraded avionics handling and precision navigation for low-level operations. Integration with newer platforms like the JF-17 Thunder occurred through shared data-link systems such as Link-17, enabling mixed formations in joint exercises and facilitating transition of roles from legacy Mirages to indigenous fighters. In routine operations, ROSE Mirages conducted border patrols and participated in air exercises demonstrating close air support interoperability with ground forces, particularly in counter-insurgency training scenarios along Pakistan's western frontiers. These missions highlighted the aircraft's role in maintaining tactical depth without relying on advanced stealth platforms, leveraging upgraded sensors for reconnaissance sweeps and simulated strike coordination.

Combat Roles and Effectiveness

The ROSE-upgraded Mirage III and Mirage 5 aircraft primarily fulfill strike roles within the Pakistan Air Force, emphasizing ground attack and deep penetration missions enabled by enhanced avionics and precision-guided munitions. In Operation Swift Retort on February 27, 2019, following India's Balakot airstrikes, the PAF deployed four Mirage ROSE variants as principal strike platforms, launching H-4 standoff weapons with a 120 km range to target Indian military installations near the Line of Control. These upgrades integrated forward-looking infrared (FLIR) systems and SAGEM navigation/attack suites, allowing beyond-line-of-sight targeting that pre-ROSE aircraft, reliant on unguided bombs and visual acquisition, could not achieve effectively. Empirical performance in the 2019 skirmish demonstrated high mission completion, with the deployed ROSE Mirages executing standoff strikes without reported losses, evading Indian surface-to-air missile threats through low-level ingress and electronic countermeasures bolstered by the retrofit's multi-function displays and HOTAS controls. This contrasted sharply with earlier PAF Mirage operations limited by outdated radar and inertial navigation, which suffered from reduced accuracy in contested environments; ROSE variants reported integration of Grifo radars and laser-guided delivery for hit rates superior to legacy configurations, though exact figures remain classified. The extended sensor-weapon kill chain—combining real-time targeting data with munitions like the H-2 (60 km range)—enhanced deterrence by permitting strikes from safer standoff distances, minimizing exposure to enemy defenses compared to unupgraded peers vulnerable to point-defense systems. Post-2019 evaluations highlight ROSE's role in sustaining Mirage fleets for precision night attacks and reconnaissance, with upgraded platforms achieving operational readiness for rapid scrambles and sustained sortie generation in border patrols, outperforming non-retrofitted aircraft in sensor fusion and weapon employment efficacy. While comprehensive sortie rates and accuracy metrics are not publicly verified, the absence of combat losses in verified engagements underscores the upgrades' contribution to survivability and mission success against peer adversaries.

Incidents, Reliability, and Maintenance

A Mirage V ROSE fighter jet from the Pakistan Air Force's No. 22 Squadron crashed on April 15, 2025, near Ratta Tibba in Vehari district, Punjab, during a routine operational training flight from PAF Base Rafiqui, due to a reported technical malfunction; both pilots ejected safely. On September 9, 2025, a Mirage 5 ROSE III from No. 27 "Zarrar" Squadron of the 32nd Tactical Attack Wing crashed near Sargodha during a training sortie, attributed to a suspected midair stall, with the pilot ejecting successfully. These incidents reflect broader attrition patterns, with aviation records indicating at least 15 5 crashes since 2012, resulting in nine pilot fatalities, often linked to aging airframes and legacy systems despite upgrades. enhancements, including retrofits, have extended operational viability but have not eliminated risks from structural fatigue in 1960s-era designs, contributing to a cumulative fleet loss rate exceeding 10% for 5 variants over the upgrade period. Maintenance for ROSE-upgraded Mirages relies heavily on indigenous capabilities at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) Kamra, where the Structures Repair Wing and Mirage Rebuild Factory handle depot-level overhauls, non-destructive inspections, and modifications like air-to-air refueling, reducing foreign repair dependencies and lead times. These efforts have mitigated downtime compared to pre-ROSE eras, when high overseas repair costs and delays prompted local establishment of repair facilities in the 1980s. However, persistent challenges include sourcing foreign components amid sanctions, exacerbating vulnerabilities in legacy hydraulic and radar systems like the upgraded Cyrano IV.

Strategic and Economic Impact

Enhancement of Air Force Capabilities

The ROSE upgrades significantly extended the service life of the Pakistan Air Force's Mirage III and Mirage 5 fleet, enabling over 130 aircraft to remain operational into the 2020s for high-threat strike missions, where they complement rather than duplicate the roles of newer platforms like the JF-17. Originally designed in the 1960s, these jets faced obsolescence without modernization, but structural overhauls and avionics refreshes under ROSE phases I through IV prolonged their viability by addressing fatigue and integrating contemporary systems, as evidenced by sustained deployments in exercises and patrols as of 2025. By incorporating Grifo M3 radars, multifunction displays, GPS/INS navigation, and compatibility with precision-guided munitions such as the H-4 standoff , ROSE-transformed Mirages shifted from short-range, visually guided attackers to capable network-enabled strikers with beyond-visual-range engagement and standoff strike options exceeding 100 km. This evolution enhanced the PAF's ability to conduct deep strikes while minimizing exposure to enemy defenses, providing empirical advantages in simulated high-intensity scenarios through improved and weapon delivery accuracy. In operational terms, ROSE-equipped Mirages bolstered the PAF's deterrence posture by maintaining a robust strike element that offers against numerically superior adversaries, as demonstrated in joint exercises where upgraded aircraft achieved reliable sortie rates and integration with data links for coordinated attacks. This capability sustains asymmetric leverage, allowing the PAF to allocate advanced fighters to air superiority while leveraging the upgraded legacy fleet for and tactical delivery roles, thereby preserving overall force readiness without full fleet replacement.

Cost-Effectiveness Versus Alternatives

The Project ROSE upgrades provided a fiscally prudent means for the Pakistan Air Force to extend the operational viability of its Mirage III and V fleet, particularly under U.S. sanctions that curtailed access to new Western fighters like the F-16. Enacted via the Pressler Amendment in 1990, these sanctions halted deliveries of 28 F-16s for which Pakistan had prepaid approximately $658 million, equating to roughly $23.5 million per unit at the time. In response, ROSE focused on retrofitting around 70 existing airframes—36 Mirage III under ROSE I, 20 Mirage V under ROSE II, and 14 under ROSE III—primarily through indigenous efforts at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) in Kamra, thereby avoiding the prohibitive expenses of full fleet replacement. This strategy sidestepped the debt implications of procuring equivalent new aircraft, which could have strained Pakistan's defense budget amid embargo-induced limitations on financing and supply chains. Compared to alternatives, ROSE offered superior affordability relative to both Western and emerging Chinese options available in the 1990s-2000s. New F-16 acquisitions, even if feasible, would have required tens of millions per jet plus ancillary costs for training, spares, and infrastructure, whereas ROSE leveraged PAC's Mirage Rebuild Factory—established in 1978—to achieve substantial lifecycle savings, reportedly in the billions of dollars through localized overhaul and upgrade processes that minimized import reliance. Early Chinese fighters like the J-7, while cheaper upfront (often under $10 million per unit), lacked the multirole sophistication imparted by ROSE's avionics enhancements, such as Italian Grifo radars, and still demanded foreign sustainment that exposed vulnerabilities to geopolitical shifts; ROSE's self-reliant model at PAC reduced such dependencies, prioritizing fleet quantity and immediate readiness over prestige-driven new buys. Empirical evidence underscores ROSE's value in resource-constrained environments: by refurbishing serviceable airframes rather than discarding them, the program delivered extended service life—often 10-15 additional years per aircraft—yielding a high return on investment through sustained strike capabilities without the fiscal traps of large-scale imports. This approach aligned with causal constraints of sanctions, which blocked not only U.S. but also broader Western transfers, forcing Pakistan toward pragmatic, in-house solutions that enhanced deterrence at lower marginal cost than scaling up alternatives like co-developed JF-17 programs, which matured later and complemented rather than supplanted ROSE-upgraded assets.

Challenges, Criticisms, and Limitations

Technical and Logistical Difficulties

The integration of upgraded and structural modifications under Project ROSE presented challenges due to the aging airframes of the Mirage III and V , which had often exceeded their original design life cycles. Efforts to incorporate modern systems, such as multi-mode radars, inertial , and pressurized refueling probes, required adaptations with 1960s-era , leading to issues like cracked wing ribs that necessitated ongoing monitoring via inspections and repairs at dedicated facilities established in 1980. Following a Mirage V accident, the (PAC) at Kamra installed a repair in May 1989 to recover structurally damaged airframes, ultimately salvaging 19 , though such interventions highlighted persistent vulnerabilities in extending beyond multiple overhaul cycles. Logistical difficulties arose from sourcing spare parts across multiple international suppliers, including surplus airframes from nations like Australia and Libya, which introduced variability in component quality and extended maintenance timelines. Engine overhauls for the SNECMA Atar 09C, totaling 2,280 units by 2017, were complicated by initial dependence on foreign imports, with full depot-level repairs only gradually achieved after the Mirage Rebuild Factory's establishment in 1978 to circumvent 18-month downtimes from overseas servicing. PAC's local manufacturing of Atar engine components and reverse-engineered repair tools mitigated some gaps, but long-term scarcity of aerostructures persisted, contributing to overhaul durations of approximately seven weeks per aircraft and elevated unreliability post-refurbishment. These hurdles were compounded by the need to handle diverse upgrades across ROSE phases, such as modernizing 36 ex-RAAF Mirage IIIs to ROSE I standards and 14 Mirage VEFs to ROSE III, where wing-related structural strains remained uneliminated despite local fixes. Overall, while PAC's capabilities reduced foreign reliance, the program's reliance on patchwork sourcing and iterative repairs underscored inherent limitations in sustaining a fleet of over 100 vintage jets.

Geopolitical and Sanctions-Related Constraints

The invocation of the Pressler Amendment in October 1990 terminated U.S. military assistance to Pakistan, including deliveries of F-16 fighters and associated advanced avionics, due to determinations of Pakistan's nuclear proliferation activities. This embargo extended to critical technologies like modern radars and electronic warfare systems, blocking their integration into Pakistan's Mirage fleet and necessitating the ROSE program's pivot to French suppliers for partial avionics retrofits limited by analogous Western export controls. Following Pakistan's 1998 nuclear tests, additional multilateral sanctions, including temporary EU arms embargoes, imposed further barriers on acquiring state-of-the-art Western components, such as active electronically scanned array radars, compelling ROSE upgrades to employ hybrid French-Pakistani configurations with downgraded or adapted systems like the RDY-derived radars in later phases. These restrictions precluded full access to beyond-visual-range missile-compatible sensors, channeling efforts toward enhanced strike precision via available inertial navigation and laser-designator integrations rather than comprehensive multirole overhauls. To circumvent fleet attrition amid parts shortages, Pakistan procured approximately 20 surplus Mirage III airframes and engines from Libya in July 2004, shortly after the UN Security Council's lifting of sanctions on Tripoli in 2003 following its renunciation of weapons of mass destruction programs. Such acquisitions, while legally facilitated by Libya's reintegration into global trade, invited international scrutiny over compliance with lingering Wassenaar Arrangement guidelines on secondary transfers of embargo-origin equipment, underscoring risks of diplomatic backlash in sanctions circumvention strategies. Complementary sourcing from Spain, involving ex-operational Mirage IIIRP reconnaissance variants repurposed for ROSE integration, similarly navigated export approval hurdles, highlighting the geopolitical tightrope of sustaining legacy platforms through third-party markets.

Debates on Long-Term Viability

Proponents of Project ROSE argue that the upgrades have successfully extended the operational lifespan of Mirage III and Mirage 5 aircraft by more than 30 years, transforming 1960s-era airframes into platforms capable of delivering standoff munitions like the H-2 and H-4 glide bombs, thereby maintaining Pakistan Air Force (PAF) strike capabilities amid procurement restrictions. As of 2025, approximately 86 ROSE-upgraded Mirages remain in PAF service, primarily for dedicated strike and reconnaissance missions, with officials viewing them as viable for secondary roles in a two-tier force structure that supplements newer assets. This perspective frames ROSE as pragmatic realism, enabling sustained deterrence against embargo-induced delays in acquiring fifth-generation fighters or advanced alternatives. Critics, including defense analysts, contend that airframe fatigue from decades of service undermines long-term sustainability, evidenced by elevated crash rates— at least 15 Mirage 5 incidents since 2012, resulting in nine pilot fatalities, with a recent ROSE III crash on September 9, 2025, near Sargodha during training. Such attrition highlights persistent maintenance challenges and obsolescence risks, particularly against modern integrated air defenses like India's S-400 systems or Rafale fighters equipped with advanced radars and missiles, where upgraded avionics cannot fully compensate for subsonic speeds and limited maneuverability. These viewpoints portray ROSE as a provisional "band-aid," diverting resources from comprehensive modernization and exposing the PAF to asymmetric vulnerabilities in peer conflicts. The debate underscores tensions between short-term operational imperatives and strategic foresight, with ROSE's avionics enhancements— including BVR radar and precision targeting—credited for interim relevance but insufficient to counter evolving threats without ongoing structural overhauls, which strain logistics amid sanctions. While PAF doctrine integrates ROSE platforms into layered operations, skeptics warn that prolonged reliance risks capability gaps, as airframe limits approach exhaustion regardless of electronic upgrades.

Legacy and Current Status

Influence on Subsequent Modernization Efforts

The avionics upgrade expertise developed during Project ROSE at the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC) Kamra facilitated technology transfer, particularly under ROSE Phase III, enabling local engineers to master systems integration for legacy platforms. This foundation supported PAC's role in the JF-17 Thunder program, initiated in 1998 as a joint venture with China's Chengdu Aircraft Corporation, where Pakistani technicians handled final assembly, testing, and partial avionics incorporation starting from the first Block I deliveries in 2007. By leveraging ROSE-derived skills in radar and navigation retrofits, PAC progressively increased local content in JF-17 production, achieving approximately 58% indigenous airframe manufacturing by later blocks, thereby diminishing initial reliance on imported components that exceeded 50% in early variants. ROSE's emphasis on in-house modification shifted PAF doctrine from aircraft importation to active sustainment and adaptation, directly informing hybrid upgrade efforts on other platforms like the Chengdu F-7P, where PAC applied similar avionics enhancements in collaboration with Chinese partners during the 2000s. This institutional capacity-building fostered greater autonomy in maintenance and customization, reducing foreign exchange outflows and technical dependencies evident in pre-ROSE eras. The program's success in demonstrating viable retrofit economics—saving millions in procurement costs—influenced PAF's strategic pivot toward co-production models, culminating in expanded Sino-Pakistani initiatives like JF-17 Block III serial production at Kamra by the mid-2010s.

Ongoing Role in PAF Inventory as of 2025

As of October 2025, the Pakistan Air Force operates approximately 170-180 Mirage III and V aircraft upgraded under Project ROSE, with estimates of 80-100 in active serviceable condition for strike and reconnaissance missions. These platforms, equipped with enhanced Grifo radars, digital avionics, and compatibility for precision-guided munitions like LS-6 glide bombs, continue to support hybrid warfare operations despite their aging airframes. A Mirage V ROSE aircraft crashed on April 15, 2025, near Vehari in Punjab province due to a technical malfunction during a routine training flight, with both pilots ejecting safely; this incident underscores persistent maintenance demands on the fleet. Nevertheless, the PAF retains these cost-effective assets amid acquisitions of J-10CE fighters and anticipated J-35 stealth platforms, prioritizing operational continuity over full immediate replacement. Projections indicate a phased drawdown through the 2030s, supplanted by indigenous JF-17 variants and imported systems, yet ROSE modifications sustain the Mirages' relevance in low-intensity conflicts and training, resisting claims of obsolescence from critics highlighting fleet attrition and spares shortages.

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