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Sealift

Sealift is the strategic transportation of military personnel, equipment, vehicles, and supplies across oceans using specialized ships, enabling the rapid deployment and sustainment of forces in distant theaters where airlift capacity is insufficient for heavy loads. In the United States, sealift operations are primarily managed by the (), a subordinate command of the U.S. Navy's Fleet Forces Command, which operates a fleet of government-owned and chartered vessels to deliver , including , , and prepositioned stocks, supporting joint warfighters globally under all conditions. Sealift forms the backbone of U.S. , capable of moving the bulk of and Corps equipment—such as , , and helicopters—that cannot be efficiently airlifted, though it faces challenges from an aging fleet, low readiness rates, and vulnerabilities in peer conflicts with adversaries like . Historically, sealift has proven decisive in operations including the , where vessels transported over 12 million tons of cargo during Desert Shield and Desert Storm, underscoring its role in enabling large-scale interventions despite logistical strains.

Definition and Overview

Core Concept and Importance

Sealift constitutes the sea-based transportation of heavy military cargo, personnel, and equipment, primarily via specialized or commercial vessels designed for ocean transit. This modality exploits the physical properties of water to enable the movement of outsized loads, such as armored vehicles, artillery, and bulk supplies, that exceed the practical limits of air or land transport. The core advantage of sealift derives from , governed by , wherein a displaces a volume of equal in weight to its total load, permitting payloads vastly superior to 's aerodynamic constraints. For instance, a single large can equate the monthly supply delivery of extensive operations, underscoring sealift's efficiency for volume-dominated where fuel costs and lift capacities restrict aerial alternatives. Empirically, sealift dominates wartime sustainment, transporting over 90% of required tonnage in major deployments, as evidenced by Operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm, where more than 86% of 2 million tons of cargo—via over 500 ships—sustained coalition forces. This capacity underpins , allowing distant operational sustainment at lower unit costs per ton-mile compared to , which supplements but cannot replicate transport's scale for heavy, enduring .

Distinction from Airlift and Other Transport Modes

Sealift differs fundamentally from airlift in capacity and economics, enabling the bulk transport of heavy equipment and sustainment supplies that airlift cannot match at scale. A single Boeing C-17 Globemaster III aircraft has a maximum payload of 170,900 pounds (approximately 77.5 metric tons), suitable primarily for high-value or time-sensitive items like personnel or light vehicles. In contrast, a large military sealift ship such as the USNS Bob Hope (T-AKR 300) can carry over 13,250 long tons (about 13,500 metric tons) of cargo, equivalent to hundreds of vehicles or thousands of containers, dwarfing airlift's per-sortie limits and allowing for the movement of division-level equipment in a single voyage. This scale advantage is critical for large-scale operations, where airlift's aggregate capacity, even with fleets, falls short for initial heavy deployments or prolonged logistics, as evidenced by analyses showing airlift's role confined to rapid response rather than bulk sustainment. Economically, sealift offers vastly lower costs per ton-mile compared to , with air freight typically 12-16 times more expensive due to , , and aircraft lifecycle expenses. assessments confirm this disparity, noting that substituting for sealift can inflate of costs by hundreds of millions for equivalent volumes, as airlift's speed premium does not justify routine use for non-perishable bulk . Overreliance on in planning narratives often overlooks these causal realities: while faster transit suits urgent needs, the exponential cost scaling limits its viability for the millions of tons required in major contingencies, where sealift's efficiency—often pennies per ton-mile—enables sustained operations without fiscal exhaustion. Relative to rail and road transport, sealift circumvents terrestrial bottlenecks, particularly at ports and frontiers where infrastructure congestion hampers throughput. Rail and road modes excel in continental networks but falter in transoceanic projection, requiring intermediate handling that introduces delays and damage risks. Roll-on/roll-off (Ro-Ro) sealift technology addresses this by enabling direct vehicle and equipment drive-on/drive-off from ocean to shore, minimizing transshipment and leveraging ships' ramps for rapid, crane-independent loading—advantages that extend operational reach beyond land routes' geographic constraints. In contested maritime environments, where adversaries may interdict chokepoints, sealift's dispersed convoy tactics and escort integration provide resilience for high-volume flows, unlike airlift's vulnerability to integrated air defenses or land transport's exposure to overland interdiction, underscoring sealift's irreplaceable role in causal logistics chains for power projection.

Historical Development

Origins in World Wars

The entry of the into in April 1917 necessitated a rapid expansion of sealift capabilities to support the Allied effort in . American forces transported approximately 2.1 million troops across , with maritime convoys handling over 70% of the total U.S. personnel and deployment, including critical supplies such as food, ammunition, and equipment totaling around 10 million deadweight tons by November 1918. These convoys, coordinated by the Allied Shipping Control Committee established in 1917, mitigated but did not eliminate risks from German campaigns, which sank over 5,000 Allied merchant vessels worldwide—equivalent to about 13 million gross tons—exposing the inherent vulnerabilities of ocean transport to and prompting innovations in escort tactics. In , sealift assumed even greater strategic primacy, enabling the Allies to project overwhelming logistical power against forces. From to September 1945, the U.S. Merchant Marine and shipped roughly 90 million long tons of cargo and materiel across the Atlantic and Pacific theaters, sustaining operations from to the island-hopping campaigns in the Pacific. This volume was facilitated by the emergency mass production of Liberty ships, with 2,710 standardized vessels constructed between 1941 and 1945 at an average rate of one every 42 days by 1943, allowing for the rapid replacement of losses and the maintenance of supply lines despite interdiction. These efforts underpinned Allied material superiority, delivering decisive advantages in firepower and endurance, as evidenced by the buildup for operations like D-Day, where sealift transported over 1.5 million troops and 500,000 vehicles in the initial phases. However, the scale of sealift operations revealed persistent operational strains and convoy system limitations. U-boats and submarines sank more than 2,500 Allied —totaling about 14.5 million gross tons—particularly in 1942's "," where monthly losses peaked at over 100 vessels, straining capacity and resource allocation before technological countermeasures like improved and escort carriers turned the tide. These high rates, while ultimately overcome through industrial output exceeding sinkings by a factor of three-to-one after mid-1943, underscored the causal risks of dependency on vulnerable sea routes and the imperative for integrated anti-submarine defenses, without which sustainment would have faltered.

Post-WWII Establishment and Cold War Expansion

Following the end of , the recognized the need for a centralized agency to manage ocean transportation for the Department of Defense, drawing lessons from wartime logistics coordination between and transport services. On October 1, 1949, the Military Sea Transportation Service (MSTS) was activated under the , absorbing assets from the dissolved Naval Transportation Service and assuming responsibility for DoD's worldwide sealift requirements, including troopships, cargo vessels, and tankers. Initially comprising six troop transports and around 150 cargo ships, many reactivated from wartime reserves, MSTS focused on maintaining readiness for rapid mobilization against emerging threats. During the Korean War (1950–1953), MSTS demonstrated its critical role in sustaining U.S. forces across the Pacific, transporting over 54 million measurement tons of cargo, nearly 5 million troops and passengers, and more than 22 million long tons of petroleum products to and . This effort underscored sealift's capacity to project and maintain power over vast distances, enabling the reinforcement of UN commands against North Korean and offensives. In the era, MSTS sealift escalated further, moving nearly 54 million tons of combat equipment and supplies plus 8 million long tons of fuel between 1965 and 1969, with peak annual deliveries reaching 19 million tons in 1968 alone. By the late , the fleet had expanded to over 500 ships through reactivation of vessels and chartering, supporting not only combat logistics but also the broader forward posture required to counter Soviet influence in . In 1970, amid ongoing Vietnam operations and shifting strategic priorities, MSTS was renamed the Military Sealift Command (MSC) to reflect its evolving emphasis on integrated sealift for prepositioning, replenishment, and surge capabilities. This reorganization prioritized civilian-manned vessels for efficiency, with the fleet stabilizing at around 200 active ships by the mid-1970s after post-Vietnam drawdowns. MSC's sustained operations facilitated U.S. forward presence in and the Pacific, providing credible resupply chains that deterred Soviet adventurism by demonstrating the ability to reinforce allies and isolated bases against potential aggression. Such logistics underpinned deterrence through verifiable , as adversaries could observe the scale of U.S. maritime sustainment in exercises and deployments.

Post-Cold War Operations and Adaptations

![USNS Bob Hope (T-AKR-300)][float-right] During Operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm from August 1990 to February 1991, U.S. vessels delivered more than 12 million tons of cargo, including vehicles, helicopters, ammunition, and supplies, to support coalition forces in the . This effort accounted for over 95 percent of the total tonnage required to equip and sustain U.S. forces, demonstrating sealift's dominance over for bulk sustainment in expeditionary operations. Prepositioned stocks in the region, transported via sealift prior to the crisis, enabled the rapid deployment of heavy equipment, validating strategies developed during the for surge capabilities. The activation of Fast Sealift Ships (FSS), acquired by the in 1981 and 1982 from commercial operators, further underscored sealift's adaptability. Seven operational FSS completed multiple transatlantic voyages, delivering approximately 14 percent of the total equipment and cargo tonnage during the initial buildup phase through November 1990. These high-speed roll-on/roll-off vessels, capable of 20-plus knots, reduced transit times compared to standard tankers and freighters, facilitating the movement of 750,000 short tons of dry cargo across . However, reliance on commercial augmentation, including about 45 percent foreign-registry ships, highlighted vulnerabilities in domestic capacity and crew readiness. In the post-9/11 era, sealift supported sustained logistics for Operations Iraqi Freedom and Enduring Freedom, transporting heavy vehicles, , and sustainment supplies to theaters in and where proved insufficient for voluminous cargo. Adaptations included the introduction of Large, Medium-Speed Roll-on/Roll-off (LMSR) ships, such as the Bob Hope-class, commissioned starting in 1998, which enhanced prepositioning and surge lift for multi-theater operations. Despite achievements in enabling ground force mobility without overwhelming air assets, challenges emerged from delays in activating reserve commercial vessels and a shrinking U.S.-flagged merchant fleet, exposing gaps in rapid response scalability during prolonged engagements. These operations affirmed sealift's irreplaceable role in projecting and maintaining , as empirical metrics showed it handling the majority of tonnage—far exceeding 's capacity for armored and logistical .

Military Applications

United States Military Sealift Command


The United States Military Sealift Command (MSC) is the Navy's primary provider of maritime logistics, operating a fleet of civilian-crewed ships to deliver replenishment, prepositioning, and surge sealift support to joint forces worldwide. Established as the Military Sea Transportation Service on October 1, 1949, and redesignated MSC on October 1, 1970, the command crews, trains, and maintains vessels that enable sustained naval operations by transporting fuel, ammunition, dry cargo, vehicles, and personnel across global theaters. With a fleet exceeding 140 government- and commercial-chartered ships as of 2025, MSC fulfills roles in peacetime sustainment and wartime surge, reporting to United States Fleet Forces Command while aligning with U.S. Transportation Command objectives.
MSC's Combat Logistics Force (CLF) forms the backbone of at-sea replenishment, comprising fleet oilers for fuel transfer and dry cargo/ammunition ships that resupply combatant vessels with essential , ensuring operational endurance without reliance on vulnerable calls. These approximately three dozen CLF vessels operate under narrow margins in high-demand scenarios, highlighting the command's pivot toward contested logistics amid peer competitor threats from and , where anti-access/area-denial capabilities necessitate distributed, survivable resupply chains over traditional uncontested assumptions. Empirical assessments link sealift capacity shortfalls—such as aging hulls and deferred maintenance—to heightened risks in prolonged conflicts, underscoring causal imperatives for recapitalization to maintain deterrence by preserving credible . The Expeditionary Sealift portfolio emphasizes rapid deployment through (Ro-Ro) ships and prepositioning vessels, enabling the pre-staging of combat equipment in forward areas for quick response to crises. These assets, including large medium-speed Ro-Ro ships like the USNS , facilitate the movement of thousands of vehicles and tons of cargo, supporting initial force surges that alone cannot match in volume or efficiency. MSC's civilian mariner workforce, numbering in the thousands, undergoes specialized training to integrate with naval operations, though manning shortfalls have prompted measures like sidelining select vessels to achieve targeted fill rates above 95 percent by late 2025. This adaptation counters critiques of systemic underinvestment by demonstrating operational resilience tied directly to strategic readiness against adversaries capable of disrupting .

International Military Sealift Capabilities

The military sealift capabilities of allies and key partners lag significantly behind those of the in terms of dedicated organic capacity, with many nations depending on commercial chartering, multinational pooling, and U.S. surge assets for large-scale deployments. The Sealift Capability Package, coordinated through the Multinational Sealift Coordination Centre, provides access to up to 15 allied ships for rapid reinforcement, primarily roll-on/roll-off vessels from member states' merchant fleets, but this relies on voluntary contributions rather than guaranteed military-owned . Such arrangements expose vulnerabilities in contested environments, where delays in mobilization or neutral flagging of commercial ships could hinder coalition responsiveness, as evidenced by exercises revealing coordination gaps among European allies. The United Kingdom's exemplifies allied constraints, operating four Tide-class replenishment tankers for at-sea resupply and two Bay-class dock landing ships, such as (L3009), for amphibious lift of vehicles and troops up to 350 personnel each. Australia's capabilities center on two Canberra-class landing helicopter docks and the former UK LSD , supplemented by ad hoc chartering of commercial roll-on/roll-off ships, as the nation lacks a controlled merchant fleet for sustained strategic transport. These limited assets necessitate heavy reliance on U.S. platforms in joint operations, such as Indo-Pacific exercises, where allied contributions cover only fractional logistics demands amid aging infrastructure and personnel shortages. In comparison, China's has aggressively expanded its auxiliary forces, commissioning multiple Type 903A replenishment ships like CNS Kekexilihu (hull 885) since the early 2020s to support extended blue-water operations, with overall auxiliary vessels exceeding 200 units including logistics and amphibious support. This buildup enables greater power projection in the , outpacing individual Western allies in replenishment and highlighting U.S.-led coalitions' exposure to asymmetric dependencies, where multinational operations offer but risk interoperability failures, divergent national priorities, and overstretch of American surge capacity.

Role in Major Conflicts and Exercises

In Operation Desert Shield and Desert Storm (1990-1991), sealift transported over 2 million tons of cargo, comprising more than 86% of total shipments to the theater and involving over 500 vessels, enabling the rapid buildup of U.S. forces in within approximately six months. This effort included prepositioned vessels, fast sealift ships, and activated commercial assets, delivering the bulk of heavy equipment such as wheeled and tracked vehicles, helicopters, and , which airlift could not accommodate at scale. Sealift's capacity acted as a force multiplier by sustaining ground operations against Iraqi forces, though transoceanic crossings averaged 20-30 days, highlighting dependencies on secure sea lanes. Military sealift also demonstrated rapid deployment in humanitarian crises with military implications, such as the response to Haiti's January 12, 2010, earthquake, where the —a —sailed from on January 16, arriving in by January 20 to deliver medical care amid unstable conditions, treating over 1,000 patients during its two-month mission. This operation underscored sealift's versatility for surge deployments but exposed coordination challenges with civilian relief efforts in congested ports. In multinational exercises like the biennial Rim of the Pacific (), sealift supports complex logistics, with providing multiple vessels for fuel replenishment, towing targets, and cargo handling during RIMPAC 2024 and prior iterations, testing interoperability with allies in Pacific scenarios. Such drills validate tactical execution but reveal peacetime atrophy, including aging hulls and maintenance backlogs, with assessments noting declining readiness in surge fleets since , potentially limiting wartime tonnages to below required levels for high-intensity conflicts. Critics argue these deficiencies, evident in readiness tests where less than half the fleet achieved full operational status, undermine deterrence by risking delays in contested environments.

Civilian and Commercial Sealift

Integration with Commercial Fleets

The integration of commercial fleets into military sealift relies on statutory frameworks and voluntary agreements that enable the U.S. government to activate civilian vessels for national defense needs, supplementing dedicated military assets during surges. The , administered by the Maritime Administration (MARAD), partners with the commercial maritime industry to provide assured access to intermodal capacity for moving ammunition and sustainment cargo in contingencies worldwide. VISA operates in activation stages, with Stage I requiring up to 15% of enrolled ship capacity, escalating in higher stages to leverage up to 50% of the U.S.-flagged fleet or the full capacity, whichever is larger, ensuring rapid scalability without sole dependence on government-owned hulls. This mechanism, extended through October 2029, prioritizes U.S.-flagged carriers to mitigate risks associated with foreign-flagged vessels, such as potential wartime denial of access or unreliability in contested theaters. Complementing , the Maritime Security Program () subsidizes a fleet of 60 active, commercially viable U.S.-flagged engaged in , making them available for Department of sustainment sealift during conflicts or emergencies. Authorized by as a cost-efficient means to maintain militarily useful capacity, vessels receive annual payments—capped at approximately $5.3 million per ship in recent fiscal years—to offset operating costs, ensuring readiness without idling assets. These programs draw from the broader U.S. Merchant Marine, governed by acts like the Merchant Marine Act of 1936, which aims to foster a fleet capable of serving both and , though enforcement emphasizes U.S.-flagged operations to reduce vulnerability to foreign dependencies. Over 80% of global goods trade by volume travels by sea, underscoring the strategic imperative of integrating commercial shipping into sealift, as disruptions could cascade through supply chains reliant on maritime arteries. However, the U.S. commercial oceangoing fleet has contracted sharply since , when it peaked with thousands of vessels built for wartime needs, to around 178 privately owned, self-propelled ships of 1,000 gross register tons or larger as of recent counts, eroding domestic self-reliance and heightening exposure to foreign-flagged alternatives that may prove unavailable or insecure in crises. This decline, driven by competitive disadvantages in international trades, amplifies risks for sealift augmentation, as U.S.-flagged capacity—vital for crewing familiarity and legal compliance—represents a diminishing fraction of global , compelling greater scrutiny of economic incentives to rebuild commercial viability without compromising defense priorities.

National Reserve and Surge Programs

The Ready Reserve Force (RRF), a subset of the managed by the U.S. Maritime Administration (MARAD), consists of approximately 48 vessels maintained in a reduced operating status to provide surge sealift capacity for rapid military deployment. These ships, including (Ro-Ro) vessels, auxiliary crane ships, and support platforms, are prepositioned for activation within 5 to 10 days, enabling the transport of equipment such as tanks and vehicles over intertheater distances. The RRF accounts for nearly 50% of government-owned surge sealift, complementing active assets and commercial shipping to address peacetime-to-wartime capacity gaps. Key assets within the RRF include the eight Algol-class Fast Sealift Ships (FSS), derived from the SL-7 class Ro-Ro containerships built in the 1970s, which achieve speeds up to 33 knots for expedited deployment of prepositioned . During the 1990 buildup under Operations Desert Shield and Desert Storm, RRF vessels were in August 1990 to deliver ammunition, fuel, tanks, and supplies, demonstrating their role in scaling for major contingencies despite initial readiness shortfalls where 75% of ships missed deadlines due to issues. This empirical application underscored the RRF's function as a bridge for surge requirements, transporting millions of square feet of cargo to support force projection. While cost-effective compared to maintaining a fully government-owned active fleet—leveraging commercial management contracts for maintenance and crewing readiness—the RRF faces reliability challenges from its aging inventory, with vessels averaging over 45 years old, leading to concerns about wartime activation and sustainment. MARAD officials have expressed low confidence in fully crewing the fleet during crises, citing age-related breakdowns and the need for recapitalization to ensure scalability amid dependencies on commercial augmentation. Despite these vulnerabilities, the program's structure prioritizes empirical readiness testing and contractual incentives to mitigate risks in contested surge scenarios.

Technical and Operational Aspects

Types of Sealift Vessels and Capabilities

Sealift vessels are categorized primarily by their functional designs, which prioritize efficient cargo handling, at-sea transfer capabilities, and structural adaptations for heavy loads in varied sea states. Roll-on/roll-off (Ro-Ro) ships, such as the Bob Hope-class large, medium-speed Ro-Ro (LMSR) vessels, feature elongated hulls and multiple vehicle decks to accommodate wheeled and tracked military equipment, with ramps enabling direct drive-on/drive-off operations for rapid loading and unloading. These ships measure approximately 951 feet in length, 106 feet in beam, and displace up to 62,069 tons fully loaded, achieving speeds of 24 knots to support swift deployment. Their design incorporates diesel propulsion systems delivering over 65,000 horsepower, enhancing stability and load-bearing in rough seas through compartmentalized ballast systems and reinforced deck structures. Dry cargo and ammunition ships, exemplified by the Lewis and Clark-class (T-AKE), focus on prepositioning and replenishment of supplies, including , provisions, and spare parts, with multipurpose holds and conveyor systems for efficient internal transfer. These vessels carry multi-product combat logistics payloads, operating independently for extended periods with capacities for , potable water, and limited petroleum products alongside functions. Constructed with specialized cargo holds—two for general and , plus additional compartments for spares—their hull forms emphasize volume efficiency and modular stowage to maintain balance under uneven loading conditions. Fleet replenishment oilers, designated T-AO, such as the John Lewis-class, provide at-sea fueling and limited dry cargo delivery to naval task forces, carrying up to 162,000 barrels of diesel, , and other liquids via connected replenishment rigs. These ships attain 20 knots and include aviation facilities for operations, with self-defense systems like close-in systems for limited protection in transit. Their double-hull configurations enhance survivability against collisions or groundings while optimizing pump rates for high-volume transfers in dynamic maritime environments. Heavy-lift vessels, including auxiliary T-AKR types, handle oversized cargoes like damaged ships or large equipment via modular decking and heavy cranes, supporting and needs beyond standard Ro-Ro capacities. These ships integrate reinforced superstructures and for precise handling in open ocean conditions, underscoring adaptations for extreme load distributions that conventional hulls cannot accommodate. Across types, emphasizes roll through low centers of gravity and anti-heeling systems, enabling sustained operations in high-sea states critical for global .

Logistics, Loading, and Deployment Processes

Logistics processes in military sealift begin with unitization, where cargo such as vehicles, equipment, and supplies is consolidated into standardized containers, pallets, or secured for roll-on/roll-off (RO/RO) loading to streamline handling and minimize damage during transit. This preparation occurs at origin ports, where units manifest and crate items per embarkation handbooks to ensure compatibility with vessel deck configurations and stability requirements. Bottlenecks arise from port infrastructure limits, including crane capacity and berth availability, which can constrain daily throughput and delay initial deployment timelines if multiple vessels arrive concurrently. Once loaded, sealift vessels depart from U.S. East or Gulf Coast ports, with transit times to distant theaters like the averaging 18 to 30 days depending on vessel speed and routing; for instance, fast sealift ships capable of 33 knots can reach the Gulf from the East Coast in approximately 18 days via . During transit, sustainment involves methods: connected replenishment (CONREP) transfers , munitions, and stores via between ships at speeds up to 15 knots, while (VERTREP) employs helicopters for delivery to avoid alongside maneuvering in high-threat areas. These operations mitigate risks of exhaustion or supply shortages but are vulnerable to weather, with sea states above 3 reducing transfer efficiency and increasing accident potential. Upon arrival, deployment integrates prepositioned stocks, such as Prepositioned Stocks-5 (APS-5) in , which store sets of equipment and supplies for rapid issue to arriving units, reducing reliance on long-haul sealift for initial sustainment. Unloading occurs via conventional ports or, in austere conditions, Joint Logistics Over-the-Shore (JLOTS) operations, combining lighterage craft with Army causeway systems to offload directly onto beaches, bypassing damaged infrastructure and enabling throughput of thousands of tons daily under favorable conditions. Causal delays in this phase stem from beach gradient mismatches or constraints, potentially halving effective rates if not pre-surveyed. Overall, these workflows ensure force projection but hinge on synchronized planning to avert cascading shortfalls from port congestion to theater distribution.

Challenges, Criticisms, and Vulnerabilities

Fleet Aging, Capacity Shortfalls, and Readiness Issues

The U.S. surge sealift fleet, comprising vessels under the () and the Maritime Administration's Force (RRF), features an average age of 39 years for surge ships as of October 2025. RRF vessels average about 45 years, with several hulls dating to the 1960s. This aging stems from decades of underinvestment, including the Reagan-era elimination of commercial subsidies, which eroded the domestic maritime industrial base and left the fleet reliant on Cold War-era platforms originally constructed in the 1970s and 1980s. In 2025, the decommissioned six support ships as part of efforts to manage fleet strain, exacerbating capacity erosion. Projections indicate the sealift fleet could lose 90,000 to 180,000 square meters of cargo capacity in the near term due to these retirements without adequate replacements. Analyses of peer conflicts, such as a potential scenario, highlight shortfalls where U.S. sealift would struggle to sustain operations in the western Pacific, with —particularly sealift—identified as a potential decisive . Readiness reporting has compounded these issues, as a 2020 Department of Defense (DoD IG) audit revealed that RRF contractors submitted inaccurate data to the Defense Readiness Reporting System–Navy, leading MSC to overstate vessel availability and mislead combatant commanders on capabilities. A June 2025 DoD IG evaluation further critiqued Navy recapitalization efforts for sealift, noting delays in modernizing the fleet amid persistent maintenance backlogs from deferred investments. While historical deployments, such as those supporting and , demonstrated functionality under lower-threat conditions, peacetime neglect has allowed structural decay to undermine potential wartime performance.

Personnel Shortages and Training Deficiencies

The () contends with persistent shortages of civilian mariners, requiring approximately 5,000 billets to sustain its fleet of over 140 ships, yet facing and retention shortfalls that have prompted the inactivation of 17 vessels in November 2024 to reduce crew overwork and overdue reliefs. With roughly 5,500 mariners available—equating to a 1.27-to-1 per —the command still operates below optimal manning, targeting a 95 percent fill rate for at-sea ships by September 2025. Attrition stems from an aging workforce, with many mariners eligible for retirement, compounded by competition from commercial sectors offering shorter deployments and less arduous conditions, leading to elevated turnover rates. The constrained U.S. mariner , drawn from a domestic oceangoing fleet comprising under 1 percent of global capacity, underscores causal policy trade-offs: restrictions like the Jones Act mandate U.S.-citizen crewing for and sealift readiness, yielding a qualified of about 11,768 actively sailing mariners in 2017 but revealing a deficit of 1,839 for sustained wartime operations. Narratives advocating Jones Act waivers to import foreign crews prioritize immediate labor influx over the imperative of a vetted, domestically trained cadre capable of wartime activation, as foreign mariners lack U.S. clearances and familiarity with protocols. Training pipelines exacerbate gaps, as the six U.S. maritime academies—federal and state—graduate only 1,000–1,200 licensed officers yearly, insufficient amid rising demand, with institutions like the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy hampered by deteriorating facilities and limited enrollment capacity of around 1,000 undergraduates. Curricula prioritize commercial peacetime skills, yielding deficiencies in contested operations training, such as simulations or damage control under threat; a July 2024 report concluded that the department fails to effectively deliver such contested mobility preparation to surge sealift contract mariners. assessments similarly highlight minimal exposure for sealift crews to anti-access/area-denial scenarios, hindering readiness for peer conflicts. MSC's voluntary model has sustained achievements, with manned ships delivering reliable in exercises like Pacific , but persistent deficiencies necessitate policy-driven expansions in academy output and specialized simulations to align training with demands without diluting crewing standards.

Strategic Risks in Contested Environments

Sealift operations in contested environments face acute vulnerabilities due to the slow transit speeds of merchant and surge sealift vessels, typically limited to 15-20 knots in convoy formations, rendering them predictable and extended-duration targets for adversary surveillance and strike systems. This pace contrasts sharply with airlift capabilities, which, while faster for personnel and light cargo, cannot replicate the volume required for heavy equipment like armored vehicles and artillery, perpetuating a reliance on sea transport despite exaggerated claims of airlift sufficiency in doctrinal planning. In scenarios involving peer adversaries such as China, these vessels must navigate chokepoints like the Strait of Malacca, where narrow passages amplify exposure to ambush, congestion, and interdiction, potentially disrupting Indo-Pacific logistics flows carrying over 80% of regional trade by volume. Adversary anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) capabilities exacerbate these risks, with fleets and anti-ship missiles posing existential threats to unescorted or lightly protected convoys. China's operates over 60 s, including quiet diesel-electric models optimized for littoral ambush, alongside anti-ship ballistic missiles like the DF-21D and , which extend lethal reach into second island chain approaches. simulations, such as those conducted by the Center for Strategic and International Studies on Chinese invasions or blockades of , project catastrophic attrition rates for U.S. and allied sealift, with dozens of amphibious and ships lost in base-case scenarios due to integrated missile- salvos overwhelming defensive escorts. These analyses underscore causal realities: sealift's low speed and high signature enable persistent tracking via satellites and over-the-horizon radars, allowing pre-planned strikes that evades through brevity but cannot scale to match sealift's throughput of millions of tons per surge. Historical precedents reinforce the realism of these dangers, as U-boat campaigns sank approximately 2,770 Allied merchant vessels totaling 14.5 million gross tons, primarily through tactics exploiting predictability in . Modern equivalents, informed by such data, critique optimistic assumptions of uncontested sealanes in U.S. planning, where empirical modeling reveals that without decisive sea control—itself contested by A2/AD—sealift sustainment falters, potentially stranding forces weeks from theater. Yet, this exposure does not negate sealift's necessity for sustained operations; rather, it demands acknowledgment that partial mitigations like dispersed routing yield only marginal gains against hypersonic and networked threats, prioritizing empirical risk assessment over narratives of seamless projection.

Recent Developments and Future Prospects

Modernization Efforts and Recapitalization

The U.S. Navy's John Lewis-class (T-AO 205) fleet replenishment oiler program represents a key recapitalization effort to replace aging Henry J. Kaiser-class vessels, with construction of 20 ships underway since 2018 and delivery of the fourth oiler, USNS Robert F. Kennedy (T-AO 208), in December 2024. In September 2024, the Navy awarded General Dynamics National Steel and Shipbuilding Company a $6.7 billion contract for up to eight additional oilers, expanding the block buy to enhance at-sea replenishment capabilities for carrier strike groups and amphibious operations. These vessels, each capable of carrying 57,000 barrels of oil and limited dry cargo, incorporate modernized propulsion and auxiliary systems to address reliability issues in the 1980s-era fleet. A June 2025 Department of Defense Inspector General evaluation assessed the Navy's three-phased strategy to recapitalize the 48-vessel surge sealift fleet—comprising Military Sealift Command assets and Maritime Administration's Ready Reserve Force—aimed at extending the service life of 31 existing hulls primarily from the 1980s, acquiring used commercial vessels, and procuring new construction. The report found the interagency effort, involving the Navy, U.S. Transportation Command, and Department of Transportation, faced significant challenges, including delays in vessel acquisitions and maintenance backlogs, rendering the fleet insufficiently recapitalized for rapid deployment in contingencies. To mitigate shortfalls, U.S. Transportation Command sought approval in March 2025 to purchase 10 used roll-on/roll-off cargo ships for surge capacity. The Maritime Administration (MARAD) supported these initiatives through a July 2025 award of 20 contracts totaling $6.2 billion for Force management, focusing on and readiness upgrades for prepositioning and surge vessels. The fiscal year 2025 budget allocated $859.7 million to MARAD for vessel acquisitions, upgrades, and sustainment, alongside $974 million in Department of Defense funding to bolster commercial integration via programs like the Tanker Security Program, which subsidizes U.S.-flagged product tankers for wartime availability. Future prospects include integrating unmanned systems for efficiency, as outlined in the Military Sealift Command's 2025 handbook, which anticipates new connectors and unmanned aerial vehicles for ship-to-shore resupply on modernized platforms. However, critics, including the DoD Inspector General, highlight the slow pace of recapitalization—plagued by acquisition delays and reliance on aging hulls—against escalating peer threats, potentially undermining causal readiness for large-scale operations requiring 4 million tons of materiel lift.

Key Operations and Incidents from 2023-2025

In 2025, the (MSC) successfully resupplied U.S. Antarctic facilities, with chartered vessels MV Ocean Giant and MV Ocean Gladiator delivering critical cargo to . Ocean Giant completed its delivery of mechanical parts, vehicles, and construction materials in early February 2025, while Ocean Gladiator arrived on February 20, offloaded 153 containers of retrograde materials, and departed on March 4, accounting for approximately 80% of the mission's requirements. This operation highlighted sealift's role in sustaining remote scientific and logistical outposts amid harsh polar conditions, though it underscored ongoing crewing challenges in extended missions. During the Rim of the Pacific () 2024 exercise, held in July around , provided essential support to the multinational event involving 29 nations, 40 surface ships, and over 25,000 personnel. reservists assisted on land and at sea, while ships like dry cargo/ammunition vessels conducted underway replenishments to sustain naval operations, demonstrating sealift integration in large-scale combat training. A significant incident occurred on October 27, 2023, during a sealift in near , , where an overloaded and unstable , Tasijuaq, capsized while unloading cargo from the vessel Sivumut. The event ejected one crew member and 23 shipping containers into the water, with the injury attributed to improper loading exceeding limits and inadequate protocols; as of July 2025, six containers remained submerged, complicating recovery efforts. This mishap exposed vulnerabilities in remote sealift handling, including overload risks and environmental hazards. In response to reported , implemented reforms under the Safer Seas Act in early 2025, enhancing reporting mechanisms and training following investigations and a by crew member Elsie Dominguez. These measures addressed onboard issues across U.S.-flagged vessels, revealing systemic strains in personnel management during prolonged deployments. Decommissioning and operational cuts intensified in 2025 due to civilian crewing shortages, with the sidelining 14 support ships by February to prioritize readiness, directly impacting surge capacity for contingency responses. Additionally, the (T-ARC 7) entered deactivation availability around August 1, 2025, further straining fleet availability amid broader readiness concerns in contested scenarios. These actions empirically demonstrated crewing deficiencies limiting sealift's responsiveness in polar and expeditionary missions.

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