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Solar cycle 10

Solar cycle 10 was the tenth recorded since systematic observations began in 1755, spanning from the in December 1855 (smoothed number of 6.0) to the minimum in March 1867. It peaked at a smoothed number of 186.2 in February 1860, marking it as one of the stronger cycles in the modern observational record. This period of heightened solar activity is most famously associated with the of September 1–2, 1859, the largest ever recorded, triggered by a massive and that produced widespread auroras visible as far south as the and disrupted early telegraph systems globally. The cycle's ascending phase lasted about 4 years and 2 months from minimum to maximum, while the descending phase extended roughly 7 years and 1 month, yielding a total duration of 11 years and 3 months—close to the typical 11-year periodicity of solar cycles. With its high maximum well above the long-term average of around 140, cycle 10 exemplified robust solar magnetic activity during the mid-19th century, contributing to increased frequencies of solar flares, prominences, and geomagnetic disturbances. Observations during this era, though limited by technology, advanced understanding of solar-terrestrial interactions, particularly through eyewitness accounts of auroral displays and the first documented white-light flare by Richard Carrington. In a modern context, such activity would pose significant risks to satellites, power grids, and communications, underscoring the event's enduring relevance in space weather studies.

Cycle Overview

Duration and Phases

Solar Cycle 10 commenced in December 1855, marking the ascent from the sunspot minimum that concluded 9, with a smoothed sunspot number of approximately 6 at the onset. This cycle concluded in March 1867, as it transitioned into the minimum phase preceding 11, characterized by a smoothed sunspot number of about 9.9. The overall duration spanned 11.3 years, aligning with the typical length observed in solar cycles, though it exhibited a distinctive double-peak structure in its activity profile. The cycle's numbering as the tenth in the sequence was established by Swiss astronomer Johann Rudolf Wolf, who reconstructed solar activity records dating back to 1755 to systematically catalog cycles starting from that baseline year. This methodology provided a foundational framework for tracking solar variability through sunspot observations. The rising phase extended from 1855 to 1860, during which sunspot numbers progressively increased toward the cycle's maximum. Following this peak, the declining phase unfolded from 1860 to 1867, gradually diminishing activity until reaching the subsequent minimum. This phased progression underscored the oscillatory nature of solar magnetic activity inherent to the 11-year cycle.

Peak Sunspot Activity

Solar Cycle 10 exhibited one of its most intense phases during its maximum, characterized by elevated activity that marked it as a period of significant dynamism. The of this activity, as measured by the 13-month smoothed monthly mean sunspot number, reached 186.2 in February 1860. This value represents the highest point in the cycle's progression, derived from systematic observations compiled by early astronomers such as Rudolf Wolf and later standardized by the Solar Influences Data Analysis Center (SIDC). The maximum displayed irregularity through a double-peaked structure, with an initial peak in late 1859—specifically October, when the monthly mean number hit 218—followed by a secondary rise culminating in July 1860 at 222. This pattern, common in some cycles due to hemispheric asymmetries in emergence, contributed to the cycle's overall irregularity and prolonged high activity phase. The 13-month smoothing technique applied to daily and monthly counts from historical records helps mitigate short-term fluctuations, providing a reliable indicator of the cycle's amplitude while preserving trends from pre-telescopic and early telescopic era data. In comparison to other solar cycles, Cycle 10's maximum amplitude of 186.2 ranks it 12th highest among the 24 cycles with recorded data up to Cycle 24, placing it among the stronger historical cycles, particularly notable before the advent of more comprehensive modern observations in the 20th century. The cycle concluded with a transition to a quiet phase, marked by a minimum smoothed sunspot number of approximately 9.9, signaling the onset of diminished activity leading into Cycle 11.

Solar Observations

Sunspot Records

Sunspot monitoring during Solar Cycle 10, which extended from December 1855 to March 1867, primarily involved daily visual inspections using telescopes by dedicated astronomers. Rudolf Wolf, director of the Zurich Observatory, played a central role in these efforts, systematically recording sunspot counts to extend historical series back to the 17th century. These observations employed a relative sunspot number formula, W = k(10g + f), where g represented the number of sunspot groups, f the total individual spots, and k a correction factor adjusted for observer and instrumentation differences. Johann von Lamont contributed complementary geomagnetic data from Munich, which Wolf later correlated with sunspot variations to strengthen cycle periodicity evidence. The Observatory's records formed the foundational dataset for the International Sunspot Number series, initiated by in the mid-19th century to standardize global observations. This series aggregated daily reports, emphasizing group counts for consistency despite varying observer reliability. During the cycle's declining phase and transition to 11, a total of 406 spotless days were recorded, reflecting extended periods of quiescence from February 1860 onward. Nineteenth-century sunspot recording faced significant challenges, including inconsistent global coverage with many days unobserved, particularly outside . Reliance on a limited network of European astronomers like and Schwabe led to potential biases, as non-European data was scarce until later reconstructions. Additionally, the absence of photographic techniques—only introduced sporadically after —meant all data depended on subjective visual sketches, complicating precise area measurements and position accuracy. As Solar Cycle 10 progressed, sunspot groups exhibited a systematic latitudinal drift, originating at mid-to-high latitudes around 20°–30° and migrating equatorward to within 2°–10° by cycle's end, in accordance with Spörer's law of sunspot zone evolution. This trend highlighted the cycle's hemispheric asymmetry and the gradual concentration of activity near the solar equator, drawn from digitized records spanning 1826–1867.

Early Flare Observations

During Solar Cycle 10, which spanned 1855 to 1867 and featured exceptionally high solar activity with a peak smoothed number of 186.2 in 1860, observers began noting sporadic white-light brightenings associated with groups, reflecting the cycle's increased visibility of solar dynamics. These early reports in the were incidental to broader monitoring, as systematic detection was not yet established, but the cycle's intense activity provided more opportunities for such phenomena to be captured visually. Richard Carrington's pioneering sketches of sunspot complexes, conducted daily from November 1853 at his Redhill observatory, offered the first detailed records of their dynamic evolution, hinting at rapid structural changes that foreshadowed eruptive events. His work documented the migration, rotation, and morphological shifts in sunspot groups, revealing the Sun's surface as far from static and setting the stage for recognizing transient brightenings as distinct . These early observations relied solely on visual projection methods, as spectroheliographs for were not invented until 1868 by and . The noted brightenings typically manifested as brief, intense flashes in the umbrae of sunspots, enduring only a few minutes and appearing as localized white-light enhancements against the darker penumbrae. Such characteristics distinguished them from longer-lasting features like prominences, which were primarily observed during eclipses. Flare-like events appeared more prevalent during the cycle's rising phase, aligning with escalating numbers toward the maximum, though precise frequency counts were impossible without modern and awaited quantification in subsequent cycles like Cycle 12. This era's records, despite their limitations, established flares as a unique class of eruptive activity separate from prominences or routine sunspot variability, with many instances likely unrecorded due to inconsistent monitoring. The 1859 white-light flare exemplified these traits amid the cycle's peak activity.

The Carrington Event

The September 1859 Solar Flare

On September 1, 1859, British astronomers Richard Carrington and Richard Hodgson independently observed a remarkable solar phenomenon while sketching a prominent group in the Sun's . Carrington, at his private observatory in , noted the event around 11:18 UT during routine solar monitoring. This sighting marked the first unambiguous documentation of a white-light , providing direct visual evidence of explosive solar activity previously unobserved. The manifested as an intense outburst of spanning two adjacent sunspots within the group, appearing as two brilliant kernels that emerged suddenly and moved rapidly across the . Carrington described the illumination as "fully equal to that of direct ," with the kernels traversing a of approximately 35,000 miles in about 5 minutes before fading. Hodgson, observing from , corroborated the event, reporting a "very brilliant of , much brighter than the sun's surface." This rapid evolution highlighted the flare's dynamic nature, distinguishing it from typical sunspot variability. The event unfolded in a complex that had been developing since late August, with the group becoming visible around August 28 and growing to cover about 2,300 millionths of the solar hemisphere by early September. This region emerged near the ascending phase of Solar Cycle 10, approximately 5 months before the cycle's maximum, amid increasing solar activity. Retrospective analyses estimate the flare's radiative energy release at approximately $5 \times 10^{32} ergs, classifying it as an X45-class event in modern soft X-ray terms—one of the most energetic flares recorded, though calibrations rely on historical accounts rather than contemporary instruments. Observations were conducted using projected images of through refracting telescopes onto screens, allowing safe sketching without direct viewing to avoid eye damage.

The Resulting Geomagnetic Storm

The geomagnetic storm triggered by the coronal mass ejection (CME) associated with the September 1, 1859, solar flare commenced approximately 17.6 hours after the flare's observation, beginning in the early hours of September 2, 1859, in universal time, with its most intense phase peaking later that day. The storm's rapid onset was characterized by a sudden impulse in Earth's magnetic field, followed by a prolonged main phase lasting through September 2 and into September 3, marking it as one of the most abrupt and extended disturbances in recorded history. This event stands as one of the most intense geomagnetic storms on record, with recent reconstructions (as of 2024) estimating a disturbance-storm time (Dst) index equivalent of approximately -900 , far surpassing typical severe storms that reach -100 to -200 . Ground-based observations, such as those at the Observatory in , recorded horizontal deviations of approximately 900 . The mechanism involved the CME's exceptionally high propagation speed of around 2000 km/s, enabling it to traverse the approximately 150 million kilometers to in record time and compress the , initiating a sudden storm commencement followed by a deep main phase driven by enhanced ring current and currents. The storm significantly intensified the auroral electrojet, with enhanced ionospheric currents extending to unusually low latitudes, contributing to the overall magnetic perturbations observed worldwide. Compared to modern events, this storm's severity dwarfs even the strongest 20th-century disturbances, such as the (Dst ≈ -589 ), and statistical models estimate a recurrence probability of about 1% per decade for an event of similar magnitude.

Terrestrial Impacts

Auroral Phenomena

During Solar Cycle 10 (1855–1867), intense auroral activity was observed during periods of elevated numbers, with multiple geomagnetic storms producing widespread displays, though the events of late and early September 1859 were unparalleled in extent and brilliance. These displays were driven by charged particle precipitation from the into Earth's , where collisions with atmospheric gases excited emissions visible as auroras, and the exceptional storm intensity expanded the auroral oval equatorward to unprecedented latitudes. The particle influx was particularly strong during the 1859 storms, resulting in prolonged visibility at low geomagnetic latitudes for up to 42 hours on September 2–3. The auroras of 1859 were reported globally, visible as far equatorward as (approximately 12°N) from aboard the ship St. Mary's and in (21°N), locations where such phenomena are exceedingly rare. Their brightness exceeded that of , allowing newspapers to be read by the light alone in regions like and . Eyewitnesses described pulsating rays, undulating curtains, and coronas in vivid crimson, blood-red, green, and orange hues, with the sky appearing as if aflame or lit by a perpetual sunset. Multiple intense displays occurred between August 28 and September 2, 1859, beginning with a brilliant red on August 28–29 that illuminated the northern horizon across and , followed by an even more spectacular event on September 2–3 featuring converging cones of light and waves extending to the . Newspaper accounts from , such as in reporting luminous waves to the , , including the New York Times detailing blood-red glows bright enough for reading, and , where the Melbourne Argus described red glares over the city, captured the awe of observers who termed it the "great auroral storm." In , the Hobart Town Mercury noted the most magnificent ever seen, with red and green bands visible for hours. These reports underscore the event's rarity and scale within Cycle 10, far surpassing typical auroral visibility confined to high latitudes.

Effects on Telegraph Networks

During the intense geomagnetic storms of late August and early September 1859, part of Solar Cycle 10, telegraph networks across and experienced widespread failures due to (GICs) from rapid changes in . These currents rendered many lines inoperable for hours, as the induced electricity overwhelmed or neutralized the standard power, making transmission impossible in places like and . In some cases, operators discovered that the GICs were strong enough to power the systems without batteries; for instance, in on September 2, lines functioned using this "auroral current" for about two hours, reportedly better than with conventional batteries connected. This vulnerability highlighted the nascent electrical infrastructure's susceptibility to solar-terrestrial interactions, briefly referenced as arising from the and observed by Richard Carrington. Specific incidents underscored the severity of these disruptions. In on August 28, sparks and streams of fire erupted from telegraph instruments, posing fire hazards to equipment. Operators faced physical dangers, including severe electric shocks; one account from Washington, D.C., described a worker being stunned by a leaping from their forehead to the telegraph sounder. In , the disturbance caused bells on instruments to ring spontaneously, while in , paper at a telegraph station ignited from sparks during the September 2-3 event. These effects stemmed from GICs flowing through long conductive lines, varying by orientation and grounding, and affected an estimated 125,000 miles of global telegraph wire. The storms' reach extended globally, with reports from as far as Bombay, where a significant magnetic disturbance disrupted operations at local observatories on , though no direct auroral current linkage was confirmed. In , stations saw needles in constant motion, interrupting service, while planning for transatlantic cables—already challenged by prior failures—faced added concerns over potential GIC vulnerabilities in extended undersea lines. Beyond telegraphs, ships at sea reported compass deviations due to the intense magnetic fluctuations, providing early evidence of influences on .

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