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Tropical wave

A tropical wave, also known as an easterly wave, is an elongated trough of relatively low that propagates westward within the trade wind easterlies across the and . It typically features a cyclonic maximum, with organized and cloudiness often concentrated on its eastern side, and spans wavelengths of about 2000 kilometers while moving at speeds of 10-15 knots. These waves are a common feature in the tropical atmosphere, particularly during the warm season, and play a crucial role in the dynamics of tropical weather systems. Tropical waves form primarily from baroclinic and barotropic instabilities in the African Easterly Jet, driven by strong meridional temperature gradients over , such as the contrast between the cooler and the hotter Desert. They originate over northern and emerge into the tropical Atlantic or eastern Pacific oceans, where they continue westward under the influence of the prevailing easterly flow south of the subtropical high-pressure ridge. Key characteristics include an inverted V-shape in , maximum amplitude around 700 millibars in the lower middle with an eastward tilt with height, and periods of 3-4 days between successive waves; strong waves can produce pressure falls of up to 4 millibars. Activity peaks from to , with approximately 60 waves tracked annually in the Atlantic basin. These disturbances are significant because they frequently serve as the initial low-level and organizational trigger for , with about 60% of all Atlantic and 85% of major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) originating from tropical waves. In favorable environments—characterized by sea surface temperatures above 26.5°C, high , and low vertical —a tropical wave can evolve into a , , or hurricane as intensifies and the system becomes more symmetric. While most waves dissipate without further , they also contribute to widespread rainfall and activity in the , influencing regional patterns across the Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and other basins.

Definition and Characteristics

Definition

A tropical wave, also known as an easterly wave, is an elongated trough of low pressure oriented north-south that propagates westward in the tropical easterlies at speeds of 10–15 knots. This inverted trough represents a cyclonic curvature maximum in the , often associated with organized and a of approximately 2,000 km. Unlike closed circulation systems such as tropical depressions, tropical waves lack a fully developed vortex but serve as synoptic-scale disturbances in the lower . Tropical waves are distinctly confined to low-latitude regions, typically between 5° and 20° north or south of the , where the easterly prevail and the Coriolis parameter is small. This tropical restriction differentiates them from mid-latitude waves or Rossby waves, which occur in higher latitudes (generally poleward of 30°) and are driven by planetary vorticity gradients rather than equatorial easterly flows. In the , these waves propagate westward due to the background easterly winds, contrasting with the eastward phase speeds of Rossby waves in mid-latitudes. The nomenclature "tropical wave" traces its origins to early 20th-century meteorological observations that connected these disturbances to lines, particularly those forming over and propagating into . Pioneering analyses in the , such as those by Gordon E. Dunn and Herbert Riehl, formalized the concept by linking African lines to westward-moving troughs that influenced formation. Riehl's 1945 study, "Waves in the Easterlies and the Polar Front in the Tropics," provided the foundational model for understanding their structure and African genesis.

Physical Characteristics

Tropical waves exhibit synoptic-scale dimensions, with typical wavelengths ranging from 2000 to 2500 kilometers and meridional amplitudes of approximately 500 to 1000 kilometers, reflecting their elongated north-south orientation within the trade wind regime. These disturbances propagate westward at speeds of 5 to 8 meters per second (approximately 11 to 18 miles per hour), a motion primarily driven by the prevailing easterly trade winds, though variations occur due to interactions with regional wind patterns. At the surface, tropical waves manifest as troughs of low pressure, featuring enhanced in the ahead (east) of the trough axis and behind (west) it. This kinematic structure promotes upward motion and moisture convergence on the forward flank, fostering organized clusters and associated thunderstorms, while on the rear side often leads to clearer conditions. These surface expressions contribute to squally weather, including brief gusts that can occasionally approach force, underscoring the waves' role in modulating tropical rainfall patterns. In observations, tropical waves are readily identifiable by their distinctive inverted-V signatures, where convective activity arches eastward from the trough , forming a characteristic pattern visible in visible and imagery. This visual hallmark aids in tracking the waves across ocean basins and highlights their potential as precursors to more intense tropical systems.

Formation and Dynamics

Formation Mechanisms

Tropical waves, particularly African easterly waves (AEWs), primarily originate from instabilities within the African easterly jet (AEJ), a mid-tropospheric easterly flow at approximately 600–700 hPa that forms during the boreal summer due to meridional contrasts in convective heating between the Sahara Desert and the . These instabilities are characterized by a mixed baroclinic-barotropic growth mechanism, where barotropic energy conversion from the mean flow supports wave amplification, while baroclinic processes involving temperature gradients contribute to vertical structure development. AEWs exhibit wavelengths of 2000–4000 km and periods of 3–5 days, emerging as synoptic-scale disturbances along the AEJ's southern flank. The connection to equatorial dynamics arises through interactions with westward-moving mixed Rossby-gravity (WMRG) waves and equatorial Rossby waves, which propagate from the or into the African region. WMRG waves, with periods of 3–4 days and phase speeds of about 11 m s⁻¹, provide initial perturbations that align with the AEJ, exciting AEW growth through meridional advection and upper-tropospheric . Similarly, equivalent barotropic equatorial Rossby waves (modes 1 and 2) contribute by introducing deep tropospheric structures that tilt eastward with height below the AEJ, enhancing baroclinic . In years of strong AEW activity, these equatorial waves accumulate energy over due to reduced group velocities in stronger easterlies, fostering sustained wave generation. Convective heating plays a crucial role in initiating these waves, particularly over , where mesoscale convective systems in the Guinea Highlands generate localized heating anomalies that perturb (PV) and low-level . These perturbations, often on sub-synoptic scales, merge with emerging AEW troughs, amplifying cyclonic (typically 3–4.5 × 10⁻⁵ s⁻¹ at 850 ) and promoting wave development through stretching of by divergent flows. Over the Pacific warm pool, analogous processes occur, with transient stratiform heating near midlevel jets (around 15°N, 600 ) triggering easterly waves via barotropic growth, producing anomalies of about 4 × 10⁻⁶ s⁻¹ and wavelengths near 2000 km within 4 days. The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) modulates tropical wave generation on intraseasonal timescales by altering convective patterns and shear in the AEJ region. During MJO phases 1–3 (based on the Real-time Multivariate MJO index), enhanced convection over the and increases release, shifting the AEJ northward and boosting its , which leads to elevated eddy kinetic energy and AEW activity. In contrast, phases 6–8 suppress convection, reducing shear and wave formation. This modulation arises from MJO-excited equatorial Rossby waves that propagate westward, providing favorable low-level westerly anomalies to enhance cyclonic shear along the AEJ.

Atmospheric Structure

The atmospheric structure of a tropical wave features a pronounced vertical profile in and circulation patterns. At low levels, below approximately 700 , cyclonic relative dominates east of the trough axis, driven by southerly winds and , while anticyclonic relative prevails to the west, associated with northerly winds and . This low-level supports surface ahead of the wave, enhancing upward motion in the eastern sector. At upper levels, above 300 , occurs primarily over the eastern portion, allowing mass export and ventilation of convective updrafts. Thermodynamically, the wave exhibits conditional instability and enhanced moisture east of the trough, fostering organized moist and ascent throughout the , often reaching brightness temperatures indicative of deep clouds around 240 . In contrast, the western side is marked by dry and descending motion, leading to suppressed and clearer conditions due to mid- to upper-level dry air intrusion. These features create a in vertical velocity, with ascent rates up to -18 Pa/s ahead of the trough in active waves. The wave's amplitude peaks at mid-levels, between 600 and 700 , coinciding with the core of the easterly that influences wave . Cross-sectional views reveal tilting of the circulation with height, showing upward motion east of the trough extending to upper levels and to the west, modulated by the jet's .

Role in Tropical Cyclogenesis

Precursor Role

Tropical waves serve as critical precursors to by acting as initial atmospheric disturbances that can evolve into tropical cyclones under favorable conditions. In basin, historical analyses indicate that approximately 60% of all tropical cyclones, including 85% of major hurricanes, originate from African easterly waves. Recent studies as of 2024 confirm similar percentages over the period 1980-2022. These waves initiate the process by introducing organized and propagating through environments with reduced vertical , which minimizes disruption to developing and allows for the gradual intensification of low-level circulations. The mechanism involves the wave's inherent dynamical features, such as increased relative in the trough axis, that provide a for rotational development. Low within the wave's influence zone protects nascent vortices from being tilted or sheared apart, enabling sustained upward motion and moisture convergence essential for spin-up. This precursor function is particularly evident in , where waves departing the African continent often encounter warm waters that further support their potential for formation. A key illustration of this role is seen in Cape Verde-type hurricanes, which develop from tropical waves emerging off the west coast of . These disturbances travel westward across the tropical Atlantic, frequently organizing into intense storms due to the initial and low-shear conditions they carry. The wave structure, with its associated convective bands, contributes to the early organization of these systems.

Development Factors

The development of a tropical wave into a depends on several key environmental conditions that support sustained deep and vortex organization. Foremost among these is (SST) exceeding 26.5°C over a sufficient depth, typically at least 50 meters, which provides the necessary heat and moisture flux to fuel convective activity. Low vertical , generally less than 10 m/s between the surface and upper , is also critical, as it minimizes disruption to the nascent vortex and allows for symmetric inflow. Additionally, sufficiently high mid-level moisture in the prevents convective suppression by of dry air and promotes the release of . Wave-relative dynamics further influence development by modulating local environmental conditions. When the phase speed of the tropical wave aligns closely with the prevailing flow, a critical layer forms where recirculation occurs, effectively reducing the impact of ambient on the embedded . This alignment fosters enhanced deep moist within a protected "" region of cyclonic , allowing for the aggregation of mesoscale vortices into a coherent proto-cyclone. Tropical waves often supply the initial low-level necessary for this process, serving as a precursor disturbance. Conversely, certain conditions can inhibit development. Elevated vertical exceeding 10-15 m/s tilts column, ventilating mid-level warm moist air and inhibiting intensification. Dry air intrusions, such as those from the in , further suppress by increasing and reducing release through enhanced evaporative cooling.

Regional Variations

Atlantic Basin

Tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, primarily manifesting as easterly waves (AEWs), exhibit peak activity during the official from June 1 to November 30, with the highest frequency occurring in August through October. These disturbances originate over the tropical regions of , particularly near the Cape Verde Islands, where they form due to instabilities in the easterly jet stream. On average, approximately 61 AEWs emerge from the coast each season, providing a critical source of synoptic-scale organization for potential development. The typical track of these waves follows a westward path across the tropical North Atlantic, propelled by the at speeds of 10 to 20 miles per hour, covering the distance from to the in about 4 to 6 days. As they approach the , the waves often interact with the region's complex , including the mountainous islands and Central landmasses, which can either disrupt the wave's coherence through frictional effects or trigger enhanced by lifting moist air over elevated . This interaction frequently influences the wave's potential for intensification, with some systems organizing into tropical depressions near the or . Statistically, around 18% of these AEWs—averaging 11 per season—develop into named tropical storms or hurricanes within the Atlantic basin, underscoring their role as precursors while highlighting the selective nature of . A key suppressive factor is the (SAL), a layer of warm, dry, dust-laden air that advects westward from the , often overlying the moist environment of tropical waves and inhibiting deep by stabilizing the atmosphere and reducing availability. This dust influence is particularly pronounced during periods of high SAL outbreaks, which can limit the overall efficiency of wave-to-cyclone transitions.

Eastern Pacific Basin

In the Eastern Pacific Basin, tropical waves, also known as easterly waves, exhibit distinct patterns compared to other regions, primarily forming within the basin or emerging through topographic gaps in . These waves often originate from convective heating associated with the midlevel jet near the Panama Bight, a key gap in the , where transient heating triggers barotropic instabilities and downstream wave development. Additionally, some waves propagate across the Intra-Americas Sea from the , maintaining coherence as they pass through gaps such as those in and , influenced by zonal easterly flows and topographic interactions. The seasonality of these waves aligns with the eastern North Pacific hurricane season, spanning from May to , with peak activity during the extended summer months of through . During this period, approximately 20-30 tropical waves traverse the basin each season, a notably lower number than in , reflecting the more localized generation mechanisms. Despite their relative scarcity, these waves demonstrate a higher propensity for , with roughly 50% converting into named tropical storms or hurricanes, attributed to favorable environmental conditions like warm sea surface temperatures and reduced vertical . A unique aspect of eastern Pacific tropical waves is their frequent interaction with the trough, particularly as they approach the Mexican coast. This interaction enhances convective organization and barotropic energy conversion, often leading to near the , where waves propagate northwestward along leeward topographic features. Such dynamics contribute to the basin's overall activity, with waves serving as primary precursors under low environments that facilitate development.

Special Phenomena

Screaming Eagle Waves

Screaming represent a rare subtype of tropical distinguished by their unique patterns visible in . These patterns often resemble the head or silhouette of a screaming , typically appearing as a broad, wing-like structure extending from a circulation within an inverted-V-shaped band associated with easterly . This visual signature is most commonly observed in the eastern North Pacific and basins, where weak disturbances exhibit such features east of the wave axis. The characteristics of screaming eagle waves include strong low-level convergence that drives explosive but short-lived , often lasting 3-6 hours. These waves are frequently linked to negatively tilted troughs, where the wave axis tilts eastward with height, resulting in stronger winds at 850 compared to 700 levels. This configuration can lead to squally , severe convective bursts, and occasional waterspouts, though the disturbances generally remain weak and non-developing. The name derives directly from the eagle-like resemblance of the formations in views, highlighting their rapid evolution and intense, localized activity. A notable example occurred on 3 October 1971 in the eastern North Pacific, west of 120°W, where captured a screaming eagle pattern in the second of two weak tropical waves. The feature showed spiral cloud bands around a circulation center at approximately 115°W, with calm winds indicated by sunglint in the visible imagery, confirming the non-developing nature of the disturbance. Such patterns underscore the role of screaming eagle waves as precursors to transient convective events rather than major .

Inverted Trough Waves

Inverted trough waves represent a specialized variant of tropical waves characterized by an east-west oriented trough axis, distinguishing them from the more common north-south alignment of standard tropical waves. These systems often appear as closed or semi-closed low-pressure centers embedded within the broader wave structure, particularly in equatorial regions or monsoon-influenced areas such as the western North Pacific. The , a key example, serves as a where easterly meet westerly monsoonal flows, fostering these embedded lows that can evolve into organized convective clusters. The dynamics of inverted trough waves are amplified through interactions between propagating easterly waves and the (ITCZ) or , which promotes sustained low-level and . This merging process perturbs the shear flow across the trough, generating multiple closed lows and enhancing persistent deep over warm sea surfaces. Such conditions reduce vertical and increase mid-level humidity, creating an environment ripe for vortex consolidation and upscale growth. In the western North Pacific, these dynamics contribute to elevated rates of , with studies showing that strong phases can yield daily genesis rates up to three times the climatological average. Compared to conventional tropical waves, inverted trough waves exhibit slower westward propagation, often remaining quasi-stationary due to their integration with larger-scale features, which allows for prolonged convective organization. This sluggish movement heightens their cyclone development potential, especially in regions, where analogs in the western Pacific account for a significant portion of seasonal formations—over 50% in some analyses—far exceeding rates in other basins with more transient wave activity. These systems frequently act as precursors to by providing initial rotational structure and moisture.

Observation and Impacts

Detection Methods

Tropical waves, also known as easterly waves, are primarily detected through a combination of and in-situ observations that identify their characteristic mid-level troughs, patterns, and associated cloud clusters. Satellite-based methods have become the cornerstone of modern detection since the , leveraging imagery to visualize mid-level troughs in the atmosphere. These images, captured by geostationary satellites such as those from the GOES series operated by NOAA, highlight regions of dry air intrusion and moisture gradients that delineate the wave's axis, allowing meteorologists to track wave propagation at speeds of 8-15 m/s across the . Satellite imagery incorporates infrared and visible channel data to quantify convective activity along the wave's trough through of cloud patterns, such as elongated cloud bands trailing the trough. This method has been refined through automated algorithms that process data in , improving detection accuracy in data-sparse regions like the eastern Pacific. Recent advances include techniques for identifying and tracking waves, particularly over the . For instance, the Tropical Weather Outlook from the routinely employs these satellite-derived analyses to identify potential wave disturbances. In-situ tools complement observations by providing direct measurements of atmospheric variables essential for confirming wave signatures, particularly relative and . arrays, such as the Tropical Atmosphere (TAO) project in the Pacific and the Prediction and Research Moored Array in (PIRATA), deploy ocean buoys equipped with anemometers and barometers to record surface winds and perturbations associated with passing waves. Radiosondes launched from island stations and research vessels measure vertical wind profiles, revealing the easterly jet streams and maxima at 700-850 levels that characterize tropical waves. More recently, GPS dropsondes deployed from have enhanced in-situ detection by sampling the three-dimensional structure of waves during field campaigns like the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses (AMMA). These instruments, released from altitudes up to 15 km, provide high-resolution data on temperature, humidity, and winds, enabling precise mapping of wave-induced fields with horizontal resolutions down to 10 km. Such data have been instrumental in validating detections and refining wave tracking algorithms. Historically, detection relied on sparse ship reports and pilot observations in the and , which documented recurring easterly wind shifts and pressure troughs in , as noted in early studies by researchers like . These manual methods were limited by coverage but laid the groundwork for systematic analysis. By the post-1970s era, the advent of models, such as those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), integrated ship and data to simulate wave , marking a shift to model-assisted detection that now routinely forecasts wave positions up to 5 days in advance.

Meteorological Impacts

Tropical waves generate substantial rainfall and associated squalls as they propagate westward through tropical regions, often causing moderate to strong convective showers and thunderstorms over areas such as the and . This rainfall can lead to localized flooding and that damage fields and , as well as street and riverine flooding during prolonged wet periods. In the , waves contribute significantly to seasonal rainfall. These disturbances also play a key role in modulating the (ITCZ) position, influencing its meridional shifts and thereby driving seasonal variability across the tropics. By organizing convective activity, tropical waves amplify or suppress rainfall along the ITCZ, contributing to intra-seasonal fluctuations that affect drought-prone regions and overall hydroclimatic patterns. For instance, convectively coupled waves enhance gradients near the ITCZ, leading to variability in wet and dry spells that shapes annual rainfall totals. Beyond , tropical waves produce non-cyclonic gusty winds within lines, accompanied by intense thunderstorms featuring , , and heavy downpours. These conditions create hazardous , , and reduced visibility, posing significant risks to operations by complicating takeoffs, landings, and en-route flight paths in tropical . Similarly, the gusts and rough seas disrupt shipping routes, delaying vessel traffic and increasing safety concerns for maritime navigation across and eastern Pacific.