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Chilling requirement

The chilling requirement refers to the cumulative exposure to low winter temperatures that certain , particularly temperate trees and some , must accumulate during to break endodormancy—a physiological state of rest—and enable synchronized break, flowering, and development in . This process, sometimes associated with in herbaceous , ensures that growth aligns with favorable seasonal conditions, preventing premature or erratic budding that could lead to frost damage. Quantified primarily through chill hours—hours of exposure to temperatures between 0°C and 7.2°C (32°F and 45°F), with optimal chilling around 7°C (45°F)—the requirement varies widely by species and to match regional climates. For example, low-chill varieties like 'Florida Prince' need only 150 chill hours, while high-chill apples such as '' may require 1,000–1,500 hours for reliable production. Several models refine these calculations: the simple Chilling Hours model counts all qualifying hours equally; the Utah model assigns weighted chill units (e.g., 1 unit for 2.5–9.1°C, with negation by temperatures above 16°C); and the Dynamic model accumulates reversible "chill portions" that become permanent after a threshold, better accounting for warm interruptions in warming climates. In and , meeting the chilling requirement is critical for yield and quality, as inadequate accumulation causes delayed, uneven flowering, reduced fruit set, smaller or deformed produce, and long-term tree decline. This is especially vital for crops like peaches (400–1,050 hours), pears (800–1,100 hours), and blueberries (900–1,000 hours), where mismatched varieties in warm regions lead to economic losses. Gardeners and growers select cultivars based on local chill hour averages—such as 1,000–1,500 in the U.S. —to optimize performance, while tools like online chill calculators aid in forecasting and .

Biological Basis

Definition and Mechanism

The chilling requirement denotes the minimum duration of exposure to low winter temperatures, typically in the range of 0–7.2°C (32–45°F), that temperate woody perennials, particularly and trees, must accumulate to overcome endodormancy and facilitate synchronized break, flowering, and fruiting. This process ensures that remain dormant during unfavorable winter conditions and resume growth only upon sufficient cold accumulation, preventing premature development in response to sporadic warm spells. Within this range, temperatures between 2–9°C are most effective for accumulating chilling, whereas those below 0°C or above 16°C either fail to contribute or actively counteract the process by negating prior chill gains. The concept of chilling requirement was first formalized in the mid-20th century through studies on peach trees (Prunus persica), stemming from observations in the early 1940s of irregular bud break and flower bud abortion following mild winters in California. Researchers noted that insufficient cold exposure led to delayed or uneven dormancy release, prompting quantitative assessments; for instance, J.H. Weinberger's 1950 work in Georgia established early models linking hours of cold to dormancy breaking in peaches. Physiologically, chilling releases endodormancy by inducing shifts in hormone balances, notably decreasing levels of (ABA)—a promoter of —and elevating (GA), which antagonistically counteract ABA to initiate growth resumption. Concurrently, cold exposure triggers epigenetic modifications in meristematic tissues, including histone alterations such as trimethylation of at lysine 27 (), which repress -associated genes like DORMANCY-ASSOCIATED (DAM) factors and reprogram for spring activation. These changes prepare apical and axillary meristems for subsequent forcing by warmer temperatures, culminating in timely blooming. Chilling thus interacts with post-winter heat unit accumulation to precisely time full bloom.

Role in Plant Dormancy

Plant dormancy is classified into three sequential phases: paradormancy, endodormancy, and ecodormancy. Paradormancy involves inhibition by signals from other plant parts, such as suppressing lateral buds. Endodormancy represents an internal physiological block that prevents growth regardless of environmental conditions, requiring exposure to low temperatures to resolve. Ecodormancy occurs when external factors, like unfavorable temperatures or water availability, inhibit growth after endodormancy has been broken. The chilling requirement specifically addresses endodormancy by fulfilling the necessary cold exposure, typically in the range of 0–7°C, to release buds from this internal inhibition and enable subsequent growth phases. This process ensures that plants do not resume growth prematurely during mid-winter warm spells, which could expose tender tissues to subsequent frosts. Without adequate chilling, endodormancy persists, leading to delayed or uneven bud break, reduced flower quality, and lower yields due to asynchronous flowering and poor pollination. Chilling accumulation occurs progressively, where partial fulfillment yields a partial response, such as limited bud break in terminal positions before lower buds, promoting uneven but initial growth. Full satisfaction of the chilling requirement synchronizes bud break across the plant, optimizing and uniform development for . This mechanism has evolved in temperate species as an adaptation to align bud burst and flowering with reliable conditions, minimizing risks from variable winter thaws and ensuring offspring survival in seasonal climates.

Measurement Methods

Chilling Hours Concept

The chilling hours concept quantifies the exposure of temperate trees to cold temperatures during their winter period, serving as a basic metric for estimating the fulfillment of chilling requirements needed to break and resume growth. It counts the total number of hours when air temperatures remain within a narrow optimal window of 0–7.2°C (32–45°F), as defined in the foundational Weinberger model. This accumulation generally occurs from to in temperate zones, aligning with the period of endodormancy when trees are most responsive to chilling cues. Developed by John H. Weinberger in 1950 specifically for cultivars, the chilling hours approach assumes a straightforward, linear buildup of effective cold exposure without any weighting or adjustments for suboptimal temperatures. This model emerged from observations of peach budbreak variability in response to winter cold, establishing a simple framework that counts only full clock hours within the specified range, treating each qualifying hour equally regardless of exact temperature within the window. The simplicity of calculation makes chilling hours a practical for growers: temperatures are monitored hourly (often via weather stations), and hours falling between 0°C and 7.2°C are tallied directly, with no corrections for day length, the sequence of cold and warm periods, or partial hours. For instance, a with a 500 chilling hours requirement would need precisely 500 such clock hours to accumulate sufficient chill for uniform budbreak. Despite its foundational role, the chilling hours model has notable limitations, as it tends to overestimate effective chilling in mild winters interrupted by brief warm spells and fails to incorporate the counteractive effects of elevated temperatures above 7.2°C that can negate prior accumulation. These shortcomings become evident in regions with variable or warming winters, where the unweighted linear count does not reflect the nuanced physiological responses to temperature fluctuations.

Chilling Units Calculation

Chilling units represent an advanced approach to quantifying winter chilling for temperate fruit trees, assigning differential weights to hours at various temperatures to better reflect the non-linear effectiveness of cold in fulfilling requirements, unlike the simpler unweighted chilling hours method. This weighting acknowledges that temperatures near 7°C are most effective, while milder or warmer conditions contribute less or even negate accumulation. The seminal model, introduced by Richardson et al. in , calculates chilling units () as the cumulative sum of temperature-specific weights applied to each hour during the dormancy period, typically from to in temperate regions. Under this model, accumulation proceeds until a cultivar-specific is reached, signaling sufficient chilling for uniform bud break and flowering. The model uses hourly temperature data, though approximations from daily minima and maxima are common for practical applications. The core of the Utah model is a step-function weight table, where each hour's contribution is determined as follows:
Temperature Range (°C)Weight (units per hour)
≤ 1.40
1.4–2.40.5
2.5–9.11.0
9.2–12.50.5
12.6–16.00
16.1–18.0-0.5
> 18.0-1.0
This structure allows the model to simulate chilling negation by warm spells, enhancing predictive accuracy for bloom timing. The total chilling units are computed via the equation: \text{CU} = \sum_{t=1}^{T} w(T_t) where T is the total hours in the dormancy period, T_t is the temperature at hour t, and w(\cdot) is the weight function from the table above. In practice, the Utah model enables growers to assess site suitability for cultivars; for instance, locations accumulating around 800 CU during winter support high-chill peach varieties like 'Redhaven', promoting consistent yields without delayed or uneven flowering.

Predictive Models

Simple Models

The simplest predictive model for chilling requirements is the Weinberger model, introduced in 1950, which quantifies chill accumulation by counting the total number of hours during the dormant period when temperatures fall between 0°C and 7.2°C, assigning one chilling hour (CH) to each such hour. This linear approach ignores the potential negating effects of warmer temperature interruptions and assumes uniform chilling effectiveness across the threshold range. The model's equation is straightforward: \text{CH} = \sum \text{hours where } 0 \leq T \leq 7.2^\circ\text{C} where T represents the hourly temperature. Another simple model is the Utah model, developed by Richardson et al. in 1974, which assigns weighted chill units (CU) to temperatures within a broader range. For example, 1 CU for 2.5–9.1°C (optimal), 0.5 CU for 1.4–2.4°C or 9.1–12.4°C, and negative values (e.g., -1 for >16°C up to -0.25 for 16–18°C) to account for negation by warm interruptions. Modifications to the Weinberger model have retained its linear structure while adjusting the upper temperature threshold, with some variants extending the to 0–10°C to account for slightly warmer conditions that may still contribute to dormancy release in certain . These adaptations are particularly useful for rapid assessments in traditional orchards where detailed hourly data may be limited. The Weinberger model's primary strength lies in its , allowing manual computation from basic temperature logs without requiring complex software or sequential adjustments, making it accessible for preliminary evaluations in regions with stable winter conditions. However, it performs poorly in climates with fluctuating winters, as it does not account for the reversal of accumulated chill by days exceeding 20°C, leading to overestimations of effective chilling in interrupted cold periods. In practice, the model is applied by tallying winter temperature records from weather stations to estimate fulfillment of needs; for example, many apple varieties require 800–1,000 , where direct summation of qualifying hours determines suitability for a growing site.

Advanced Models

Advanced models for chilling requirement prediction extend beyond static thresholds by integrating temperature interactions, partial reversibility of accumulated chill, and phased accumulation processes, enabling more precise forecasts under fluctuating winter conditions. The Dynamic model, developed by Fishman, , and colleagues in , conceptualizes chilling as a two-phase dynamic to better simulate physiological responses in temperate fruit trees. In the initiation phase, low temperatures between 1.4°C and 12.4°C promote the buildup of an intermediate "precursor" product, with optimal rates near 7°C; temperatures below -1.4°C or above 16°C inhibit or reverse this accumulation. The completion phase converts the precursor into effective "chill portions" once a critical is reached, though intervening warm periods can degrade up to 50% of the precursor, reflecting empirical observations of chill negation without full resets. This iterative approach, based on hourly data, has been validated across and other stone fruit cultivars, outperforming simpler models in regions with variable winters. Other notable advanced models include the (NC) model, which assigns positive chilling weights from 0°C to 14°C (peaking at 1 unit per hour at 7.2°C) and subtracts units for temperatures exceeding 19°C (e.g., -1 unit above 25°C), thereby incorporating partial without phased transitions. Validation studies in warming climates demonstrate the superiority of these advanced models, such as the Dynamic model performing more consistently than simpler models across Mediterranean sites including and .

Crop Requirements

Temperate Fruit Trees

Temperate fruit trees, including pome and stone fruits, exhibit a wide range of chilling requirements to ensure proper dormancy release and subsequent flowering, with variations driven by species, cultivar, and environmental adaptations. Peaches (Prunus persica) and nectarines, which are essentially freestone or clingstone varieties of the same species, are categorized by chilling needs: low-chill types require 150–400 hours below 45°F (7°C), such as 'Florida Prince' at approximately 150–200 hours, suited for subtropical regions like Florida. Medium-chill cultivars demand 600–1,000 hours, exemplified by 'Redhaven' at around 950 hours (adjusted for standard chill hour models), while high-chill varieties like 'Cresthaven' need 850–950 hours for optimal bud break in cooler temperate zones. These differences allow growers to select varieties matching local winter temperatures, preventing issues like delayed or uneven blooming. Apples (Malus domestica) generally require 400–1,700 chilling hours, with cultivar-specific needs influencing regional suitability; for instance, 'Golden Delicious' accumulates effective dormancy release at 600–800 hours, making it adaptable to mid-temperate areas with moderate winters. In contrast, 'Granny Smith' demands over 1,000 hours, thriving in cooler climates like parts of Australia and the U.S. Pacific Northwest where prolonged cold ensures uniform fruit set. Cherries (Prunus spp.) show similar variability: sweet cherries like 'Bing' (P. avium) require 800–1,000 hours for reliable production, while sour cherries such as 'Montmorency' (P. cerasus) need 600–900 hours, allowing cultivation in slightly warmer temperate regions. Pears (Pyrus communis), including 'Bartlett', typically require 800–1,200 hours to avoid bud abortion in marginal areas, and plums (Prunus spp.) like 'Santa Rosa' (P. salicina) have lower demands of 300–500 hours, facilitating growth in transitional zones. Varietal differences arise partly from breeding for regional adaptations, where cultivars like low-chill peaches are selected for southern U.S. states with mild winters, ensuring economic viability without excessive dormancy delay. Rootstock choice further modulates chilling needs; dwarfing rootstocks, such as those used in high-density apple and peach orchards, can reduce requirements by 10–20% through altered scion vigor and hormone signaling, enhancing site suitability assessments via chilling unit models. These factors underscore the importance of matching cultivars to local chill accumulation for sustained yields in temperate fruit production.

Nut and Other Crops

Nut trees generally exhibit chilling requirements that are lower and more uniform than those of many temperate fruit trees, enabling cultivation in milder winter regions while demanding consistent cold exposure to ensure proper kernel development and fill. Almonds (Prunus dulcis) typically require 200–500 chilling hours below 45°F (7.2°C), with the popular 'Nonpareil' variety needing 300–400 hours to achieve uniform bud break and flowering. These trees are particularly sensitive to excess warmth during the chilling period, as temperatures above 60°F (15.6°C) can negate accumulated chill units, leading to delayed or uneven bloom. Walnuts (Juglans regia), in contrast, demand higher chilling, ranging from 600–1,200 hours, with the 'Chandler' cultivar requiring approximately 700 hours and traditional English varieties often needing over 1,000 hours for optimal dormancy release. Pistachios (Pistacia vera) have requirements of 400–800 hours, varying by cultivar such as 'Kerman' (around 700–850 hours) and 'Peters' (900 hours), while pecans (Carya illinoinensis) need 400–1,000 hours, with 'Desirable' typically requiring 300–500 hours to support vigorous growth and nut set. Consistent chilling is crucial for nut crops, as insufficient or interrupted cold exposure can result in poor kernel fill and reduced nut quality, as observed in pecans during mild winters where shucks fail to open properly and kernels develop inadequately. Among other temperate crops, highbush blueberries () generally require 400–800 chilling hours, though northern varieties often need 800–1,000 hours for reliable fruiting, while southern highbush types can perform with 400–600 hours. Table grape varieties () have relatively low needs of 100–500 hours, allowing adaptation to warmer climates but still benefiting from moderate winter cold to promote even bud break and bunch development. Berry crops like blueberries exhibit greater variability in chilling requirements due to extensive hybrid breeding, which has produced cultivars spanning low-chill (150–300 hours) to high-chill (over 800 hours) types to match diverse growing regions.

Environmental Factors

Natural Variability

Chilling accumulation follows distinct seasonal patterns, with peak effectiveness occurring in mid-winter, typically December through early January, when temperatures most consistently fall within the optimal range of 32°F to 45°F (0°C to 7.2°C). This period aligns with the core of endodormancy for many deciduous fruit trees, where hours below 45°F contribute most to fulfilling dormancy requirements, forming a bell-shaped curve of efficiency that tapers off in late fall and early spring. Geographic factors like latitude further modulate this, with northern U.S. regions, such as parts of Washington state, often exceeding 1,000 chilling hours annually due to prolonged cold exposure, compared to 300–600 hours in southern states like coastal South Carolina. Microclimate variations significantly influence local chilling patterns beyond broad latitudinal trends. , for instance, enhances accumulation by lowering temperatures; in California's , chilling hours increase by approximately 40 per 100 feet (about 300 hours per 300 meters), while the sees around 25 per 100 feet (roughly 250 per 300 meters). heat islands exacerbate reductions in urban areas by elevating nighttime temperatures, leading to fewer effective chilling hours compared to rural surroundings, as trapped from impervious surfaces diminishes the cooling necessary for release. Similarly, coastal microclimates, moderated by marine influences, yield lower totals—such as 100–140 hours near —versus inland sites like Fresno, which can achieve 340–360 hours, highlighting differences of 200–400 hours that affect suitability. Inter-annual variability introduces further unpredictability, driven by weather anomalies that can alter accumulation by 15–25%. In , El Niño events warm winters, reducing chill hours by 14–21% on average, potentially delaying bud break and uneven flowering in crops like almonds and peaches. Extreme frost events below 32°F (0°C) contribute zero to chilling under standard calculations, as temperatures outside the (0–7.2°C) halt physiological progress toward release. Prolonged high temperatures can negate prior accumulation in some models. About 60% of years fall within one-third of the predicted mean, underscoring the need for robust planning. Site assessment relies on historical weather data, typically 30-year averages from nearby stations, to estimate reliable chilling and match sites to crop needs—such as selecting low-chill for coastal areas with 100–300 hours versus high-chill ones for inland valleys exceeding 800 hours. This approach ensures alignment with cultivar requirements, minimizing risks from annual fluctuations while optimizing for local patterns like elevated inland versus moderated coastal conditions.

Climate Change Effects

Global warming has led to significant observed declines in winter chilling accumulation, particularly in key horticultural regions. In California's Central Valley, a major producer of temperate fruits and nuts, winter chill has decreased by up to 30% between 1950 and 2000, with many areas experiencing 20–30% reductions since the 1970s due to rising winter temperatures. Similarly, in Mediterranean regions, winter chill for temperate fruit orchards has declined by around 20 chill portions historically, with projections of further 15–30 portion reductions by mid-century under high-emissions scenarios. These declines disrupt dormancy breaking in crops like peaches and almonds, leading to uneven budburst and reduced fruit set. Conversely, in some northern regions like the U.S. Midwest, observations indicate increased chill accumulation over the past 70 years, with projections of continued rises through the century. Projections indicate further substantial reductions in chilling under moderate emissions scenarios. By mid-century (around 2050), California's Central Valley could see 30–60% fewer chill hours relative to historical levels under scenarios comparable to RCP4.5, exacerbating shortfalls for chill-dependent crops. For almonds, which typically require 200–500 chill hours, future shortfalls of 100–200 hours are anticipated in warmer valleys, potentially limiting yields without adjustments. These trends are driven by warmer winters that shorten the period below critical thresholds (e.g., 7.2°C), with models showing consistent declines across the region. Crop vulnerabilities highlight the uneven regional impacts of these changes. High-chill peaches, requiring 800–1,200 hours, are shifting northward as southern growing zones become unsuitable; in areas like the U.S. Southeast, up to 40% of winters may fail to meet requirements by mid-century, resulting in yield losses of up to 40% without . Such shifts are less pronounced in higher latitudes, where persistently cold winters maintain adequate chilling, minimizing disruptions to local . Recent advancements in climate modeling offer tools for managing these risks. A 2024 study demonstrated that seasonal forecasts from global climate models can predict winter chill anomalies in with over 80% accuracy up to one month in advance, enabling better planning for crops like cherries and plums. This predictive skill supports proactive decisions in , particularly as uneven effects amplify challenges in mid-latitude production areas.

Practical Applications

Cultivar Selection

Cultivar selection for crops with chilling requirements involves evaluating local winter temperatures to match varieties that align with available chill hours, thereby optimizing bud break, flowering, and yield in diverse climates. This process begins with site-specific assessments, such as calculating cumulative hours below 7.2°C (45°F) during , often using models like the or Dynamic chill unit systems to predict annual chill accumulation. For instance, regions accumulating around 400 chill hours, common in transitional zones like parts of the U.S. Southeast, require cultivars with moderate requirements to avoid insufficient dormancy release, which can lead to delayed or uneven growth. Low-chill breeding programs have been pivotal since the 1980s, developing varieties suited to subtropical and warming areas where traditional high-chill types fail. In , the and Texas A&M released 'Tropic Beauty' peach in 1989, requiring only 150 chill hours, enabling production in upper with yellow-fleshed, semi-clingstone fruit of excellent flavor. Similarly, Australia's subtropical program has bred peaches and nectarines needing 100–300 chill hours, focusing on melting and non-melting flesh types for high-quality yields in low-chill environments. For desert climates, low-chill stone fruits like the 'Gold Kist' , with approximately 300 chill hours, support reliable cropping in arid low-chill sites by ensuring timely bud break without excessive winter cold. Globally, such adaptations address regional variability; in , breeding efforts have produced low-chill kiwifruit hybrids, including yellow-fleshed varieties evaluated for southern subtropical zones. In the , warming trends have prompted shifts toward apple cultivars needing around 500 chill hours, such as certain '' selections, to maintain productivity in regions like and where chill accumulation has declined by 20–50% since the due to effects. Proper matching yields significant benefits, including high break rates that promote uniform flowering and set, reducing variability and the need for frequent replanting amid shifting climates. This genetic approach minimizes risks from inadequate chilling, which can otherwise cause abortion or delayed harvest, enhancing long-term sustainability without relying on post-planting interventions.

Mitigation Techniques

Mitigation techniques for insufficient chilling in temperate fruit crops primarily involve non-genetic interventions to induce or enhance release, enabling budbreak and fruiting in regions with marginal winter temperatures. These methods supplement natural chilling accumulation without altering the plant's genetic makeup, focusing on chemical applications, cultural adjustments, and controlled environmental manipulations. Such approaches are particularly vital in warming climates where traditional chill hours fall short, allowing growers to maintain in established orchards. Chemical treatments represent a cornerstone of mitigation, with hydrogen cyanamide (HC) serving as the most widely adopted dormancy-breaking agent. Applied as a 0.5–2% aqueous solution to dormant buds just before swell—typically in late winter—HC disrupts endodormancy by interfering with cellular processes, promoting uniform budbreak even under low-chill conditions. In grapevines, for instance, HC applications have demonstrated improved effective chilling equivalence, hastening growth and boosting budbreak in vines exposed to fewer than 400 chill hours. However, its use is strictly regulated globally due to acute toxicity risks to applicators and non-target organisms, requiring protective equipment and adherence to residue limits in many jurisdictions; note that HC has been banned in the European Union since 2019, prompting research into alternatives like calcium cyanamide or oils. Cultural practices offer practical, low-cost alternatives to extend or optimize natural chilling exposure. Evaporative cooling via overhead misting systems during unseasonal winter warm spells can lower canopy temperatures by 2–5°C, thereby prolonging the accumulation of chill units below the required for most models. This , implemented through automated sprinklers that release fine water droplets for , has been effective in maintaining in stone fruit , reducing the risk of premature budbreak by simulating cooler conditions. Complementing this, strategic —such as tip-pruning or removal of 20–30% of last year's growth in early —helps synchronize bud development by redistributing hormonal signals, leading to more even flowering and fruit set in crops like peaches and apricots facing chill deficits. These methods enhance overall orchard resilience without chemical inputs, though their depends on site-specific and water availability. Alternative approaches include controlled environment techniques, such as forcing under artificial chilling regimes, which bypass erratic field conditions. In protected structures, dormant cuttings or potted can be exposed to steady low temperatures (e.g., for 400 hours) to fulfill requirements, followed by warming for accelerated growth; this has proven successful for blackberries and low-chill peaches, yielding harvests 4–6 weeks earlier than field-grown counterparts. Additionally, onto low-chill rootstocks—such as Gisela series for cherries or Krymsk for stone fruits—can reduce the overall chilling demand by 100–300 hours through improved vigor and stress tolerance, without changing the scion's varietal traits. These strategies are especially suited for high-value, off-season but require initial infrastructure investment. The efficacy of these techniques varies, with chemical agents like typically adding the equivalent of several hundred chill hours and improving yields in marginal sites, as evidenced in Mediterranean trials on peaches and grapes. However, limitations include potential from HC overdosing, which can cause bud in 5–10% of treated trees if applied above 2% concentration or during suboptimal temperatures, alongside environmental concerns over runoff. Cultural and alternative methods generally pose fewer risks but may only partially compensate for severe shortfalls (e.g., below hours), making them most effective when combined and tailored to local conditions, such as in orchards where 2022–2023 field studies confirmed HC's role in stabilizing amid declining winter chills. Overall, these interventions provide operational flexibility for existing plantings, though ongoing monitoring of regulatory changes and trends is essential for sustainable application.

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