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Vernalization

Vernalization is the promotion of flowering in certain plants through exposure to prolonged periods of low, non-freezing temperatures, a physiological that synchronizes reproductive development with the onset of to avoid premature blooming during unpredictable autumn conditions.00528-3) This process, first experimentally demonstrated by Gustav Gassner in through studies on varieties requiring cold for floral induction, underpins the distinction between winter and cultivars in crops like and , where winter types necessitate vernalization for timely heading. At the molecular level, vernalization often involves epigenetic silencing of floral repressors, such as the FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC) in , achieved via cold-induced modifications that maintain repression even after return to warmer conditions, exemplifying a stable "memory" of winter. While the phenomenon enhances agricultural predictability and yield stability in temperate regions, historical applications were marred by pseudoscientific extensions under in the , who erroneously claimed heritable transmission of vernalized states, leading to famines through misguided policies that suppressed genetic evidence for fixed varietal differences. Contemporary research prioritizes quantitative trait loci like VRN1 in cereals, enabling breeding for climate-resilient varieties amid shifting winters.

Definition and Principles

Core Process and Requirements

Vernalization is the physiological process whereby plants exposed to prolonged cold temperatures acquire to initiate flowering upon return to warmer conditions, thereby aligning reproduction with favorable spring environments. This requirement evolved in temperate species to prevent autumn flowering that would expose developing seeds to winter frost. The core environmental cue involves exposure to temperatures typically ranging from 0°C to 10°C, with species-specific optima; for example, achieves vernalization at 0–6°C, while (Triticum aestivum) responds to temperatures below 9°C. Durations of 4 to 12 weeks are generally required to saturate the response, varying by and conditions—such as 40 days at 11°C or longer at cooler temperatures in cultivars. This process primarily operates in winter annuals, biennials, and rosette-stage perennials including , , and species, distinguishing it from photoperiodic responses to day length or autonomous maturation pathways. Vernalization treatments are effective when applied to imbibed seeds, seedlings, or vegetative rosettes, but efficacy diminishes in later reproductive stages. The induced flowering demonstrates mitotic stability, maintained across cell divisions without ongoing cold, as evidenced by experiments where vernalized seedlings or apices, upon warming, exhibit accelerated flowering under permissive photoperiods or autonomously. This stability ensures the plant's progeny revert to requiring cold for vernalization, preventing heritable epigenetic shifts.

Distinction from Other Flowering Cues

Vernalization promotes flowering competence through prolonged exposure to cold temperatures, typically 4–10°C for 4–12 weeks depending on , inducing a heritable epigenetic state that persists post-cold, in contrast to , which senses day length via and photoreceptors to activate floral integrators like FLOWERING LOCUS T (). This cold-specific memory enables plants to anticipate conditions without reliance on duration cues, as demonstrated in accessions where vernalized plants flower under non-inductive short days, unlike non-vernalized controls. Gibberellin signaling accelerates flowering in long-day or species by upregulating SOC1 and LFY independently of , but vernalization operates through distinct chromatin-based repression of inhibitors, showing causal separation; for instance, gibberellin-deficient mutants still vernalize effectively, while vernalization-deficient lines respond to exogenous only partially. Age-related flowering, via the autonomous pathway that reduces repressor transcripts like FLC over developmental time without environmental input, contrasts with vernalization's acute response to winter , ensuring the latter's specificity to seasonal risk assessment rather than mere maturation. In temperate cereals such as wheat, cold induction of VRN1 epigenetically silences repressors like VRN2, overriding inhibition of FT homologs and permitting flowering competence even under short-day conditions that would otherwise delay it in winter varieties, highlighting vernalization's partial independence from photoperiod integration. This distinction underscores vernalization's role in aligning reproduction with reduced frost probability after prolonged cold, a adaptation evident in fossil and genetic evidence from early temperate grasses where cold sensing predates photoperiod fine-tuning.

Historical Context

Pre-20th Century Observations

Farmers in ancient agricultural societies, particularly in the where grasses like wheat and were domesticated around 10,000 years , empirically selected for crop varieties capable of overwintering through cold exposure, which promoted robust spring flowering and higher yields compared to those sown later without such conditioning. This distinction between autumn-sown "winter" cereals, which relied on prolonged cold to transition to reproductive growth, and spring-sown varieties that flowered promptly without it, formed the basis of sowing practices in temperate regions, enhancing survival and productivity under seasonal climates. By the early 19th century, European observers formalized these observations, debating whether spring and winter wheat represented fixed varieties or environmentally induced forms. In his 1800 publication A New Farmer's Calendar, John Lawrence noted that winter wheat, when sown in autumn, benefited from cold to prevent premature heading and ensure timely maturation, while spring wheat lacked this necessity. Such knowledge guided crop management across , where winter varieties yielded up to 20-30% more under cold-conditioned regimes than unexposed plantings. Experimental quantification emerged in the 1830s, predating formal vernalization theory. In 1837-1838, Colonel Abbott tested by soaking seeds, exposing them to chilling conditions, and in ; the treated flowered earlier and resembled spring varieties, demonstrating cold's role in hastening reproductive development without altering inherent varietal traits. These trials, reported in agricultural periodicals like The Monthly Genesee Farmer, confirmed farmers' empirical insights that controlled cold exposure could accelerate flowering in winter cereals by 4-6 weeks, influencing predictions and strategies.

20th Century Formulation and Key Experiments

Gustav Gassner conducted foundational experiments in , demonstrating that winter cereals such as and require exposure to low temperatures shortly after to promote timely flowering. By subjecting imbibed seeds to near-freezing conditions (approximately 0°C) for extended periods, Gassner observed that treated plants flowered earlier and more uniformly compared to untreated controls, establishing cold as a critical physiological trigger for floral competence in these species. Building on Gassner's findings, coined the term "jarovization" (later translated by him as "vernalization" from the Latin vernalis, meaning "of spring") in his 1928 publication detailing trials on seeds in the . Lysenko's method involved moistening dry seeds to initiate (typically 50 parts water per 100 parts ) followed by chilling at low temperatures for several weeks, which induced heritable flowering competence in the treated generation, enabling spring planting to yield crops as if naturally vernalized over winter. These experiments emphasized the necessity of moisture during cold exposure to activate the response, distinguishing it from mere dry storage. In the 1930s, international researchers replicated and validated vernalization effects in cereals, confirming that prolonged cold (often 4–6 weeks at 0–5°C) on imbibed seeds or young seedlings accelerated ear emergence and flowering in winter varieties of and , independent of photoperiod. For instance, experiments in the demonstrated marked advancement in heading dates for treated winter and , aligning with Russian results and extending applicability to field conditions. The vernalization response is physiological rather than an inheritance of acquired traits, as the induced flowering is not transmitted to subsequent generations; progeny of vernalized revert to requiring their own cold exposure if they are winter types. This non-transmissibility, observed consistently in experiments, refutes claims of permanent genetic change and underscores the effect's reset between generations.

Influence of Political Ideologies on Research

In the from the early 1930s onward, elevated vernalization—initially a to hasten through cold exposure—as a of his agrobiological program, asserting that it induced heritable physiological changes in akin to Lamarckian of acquired traits. Lysenko rejected Mendelian as incompatible with , framing vernalization as evidence that environmental modifications could permanently alter plant heredity without genetic mutation, a claim empirically unsupported and contradicted by controlled breeding experiments showing no intergenerational transmission of such traits. This ideological alignment with Soviet Marxism-Leninism secured state patronage, including Stalin's personal endorsement in 1935, enabling Lysenko to dominate agricultural academies and enforce vernalization in collective farms despite inconsistent yields from rushed implementations. Political suppression under dismantled genetic critiques of vernalization's limits, purging rivals like in 1940 and banning Mendelian research, which prioritized unverified Lamarckian hypotheses over data from tests. Soviet policies mandating widespread vernalization from 1931 contributed to agricultural inefficiencies, with overoptimistic promises of doubled harvests failing amid poor adaptation to local conditions and exacerbating post-collectivization grain shortfalls through the . Official Soviet reports inflated successes while concealing failures, reflecting institutional bias toward ideology over empirical falsification, as dissenting data risked accusations of . Western researchers, unencumbered by such orthodoxy, affirmed vernalization's utility for synchronizing crop cycles—evidenced by British trials in yielding 10-20% yield increases under controlled conditions—but decoupled it from claims, fostering incremental advances in via genetic crosses that highlighted stable varietal differences. This apolitical contrasted sharply with Soviet prioritization of political utility, where vernalization symbolized class struggle against "formal ," delaying integrative genetic models until Lysenko's ouster in 1964 allowed partial recovery, though Soviet contributions to vernalization's molecular underpinnings remained minimal compared to post-1950s efforts.

Molecular Mechanisms

Epigenetic Repression of Flowering Repressors

Prolonged cold exposure during vernalization triggers the recruitment of Polycomb Repressive Complex 2 (PRC2) to regions of flowering loci, initiating a cascade of modifications that enforce stable transcriptional silencing. PRC2, composed of core subunits such as CURLY LEAF (CLF), SWINGER (SWN), and FERTILIZATION INDEPENDENT ENDOSPERM 2 (FIE), deposits trimethylation on at 27 (H3K27me3), a hallmark repressive mark that compacts and inhibits access. This modification spreads bidirectionally from nucleation sites, often linked to antisense transcripts like COOLAIR, ensuring domain-wide repression without requiring DNA sequence alterations. The repression exhibits dose-dependency, where the duration and intensity of directly correlate with the extent of accumulation and the degree of , mimicking a quantitative "" of winter severity to calibrate flowering timing. Shorter periods yield partial repression with incomplete spreading, while extended exposure (typically 4-6 weeks at 4-5°C) achieves near-complete silencing in a , allele-specific manner across populations. This progressive buildup allows to integrate cumulative signals, accelerating flowering proportionally upon return to warm conditions through reduced output. Mathematical models describe this as a probabilistic switching of loci from active to silenced states, with repression strength scaling logarithmically with duration to buffer against environmental variability. Epigenetic stability arises from the self-reinforcing propagation of during subsequent mitotic divisions post-vernalization, independent of ongoing cold signals or transcription. During the non-dividing cold phase, initial establishes the mark via cold-responsive factors, creating a heritable template that PRC2 reads and amplifies in progeny cells under warmer temperatures. Verification through confirms persistence correlates with flowering competence, while reveals auxiliary DNA hypermethylation at some loci reinforces but does not initiate the core histone-based memory. This mechanism ensures mitotic inheritance without reliance on cellular proliferation during cold, providing causal fidelity to seasonal cues.

Key Genes and Pathways in Arabidopsis

In , vernalization primarily acts through epigenetic repression of the floral repressor FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC), enabling competence to flower upon return to warm conditions. Prolonged cold exposure induces VERNALIZATION INSENSITIVE 3 (VIN3), an RNA helicase that facilitates compaction at the FLC locus by promoting histone deacetylation and H3K27 trimethylation via Polycomb Repressive Complex 2 (PRC2). PHD-finger proteins such as VIL1 (VIN3-INTERACTING PROTEIN 1), part of the VIN3-PRC2 complex, bind H3K4me3-marked regions and recruit PRC2 to initiate stable silencing during cold. This repression is quantitative, depending on cold duration, typically requiring 4-6 weeks at 4°C for full effect in winter annual accessions. Post-vernalization, VRN1, encoding a MADS-domain homologous to APETALA1, maintains FLC silencing through warm temperatures by counteracting reactivation mechanisms, as evidenced by vrn1 mutants showing incomplete FLC repression and delayed flowering after cold treatment. VRN1 interacts with PRC2 components like VRN2 (a Su(z)12 homolog) to sustain marks, ensuring epigenetic memory unique to species. This FLC-VRN1 axis distinguishes vernalization from cereal pathways, where orthologous genes regulate different repressors. The autonomous pathway integrates with vernalization by constitutively repressing FLC via genes such as FCA (RNA recognition motif protein) and FVE (histone-binding protein), which promote alternative polyadenylation and histone deacetylation at FLC. Mutants like fca and fve exhibit elevated FLC expression and late flowering under long days, but vernalization bypasses this delay by directly silencing FLC, confirming the pathway's causal role in modulating cold responsiveness. Genetic screens in the identified these mutants, demonstrating that autonomous regulation sets a FLC level, which vernalization further reduces for flowering promotion. Age-dependent competence to vernalize involves the miR156/miR172 module, where high juvenile miR156 levels repress SQUAMOSA PROMOTER-BINDING PROTEIN-LIKE (SPL) transcription factors, delaying miR172 accumulation and thus reducing sensitivity to cold-induced FLC repression. As plants age, declining miR156 allows SPLs to promote miR172, which targets APETALA2-like repressors, enhancing vernalization efficacy; this mechanism, conserved from studies in related Brassicaceae like Cardamine flexuosa (2013), modulates cold sensitivity in Arabidopsis juveniles versus adults.

Variations in Cereals and Other Species

In temperate cereals such as (Triticum aestivum) and (Hordeum vulgare), vernalization induces flowering through the upregulation of VRN1, a that establishes floral identity and overrides the winter growth habit. This process coincides with the repression of VRN2, a CONSTANS-like that acts as a long-day flowering and maintains vegetative growth prior to cold exposure. The VRN3 locus, orthologous to FLOWERING LOCUS T (FT), serves as an integrator of vernalization and photoperiod cues, transmitting the cold-promoted signal from leaves to the shoot apex to activate VRN1 under inductive long-day conditions. A fourth locus, VRN-D4 on the short arm of chromosome 5D, contributes to vernalization diversity via a ~290-kb insertion from chromosome 5AL, which originated in ancient Asian wheat populations and facilitated the transition to spring sowing by reducing cold requirements. Regulatory mutations at VRN-D4 exhibit epistatic interactions with VRN1 alleles, enabling fine-tuned modulation of flowering time and explaining domestication-driven shifts from obligate winter to facultative types, as documented in varieties from northeastern and northwestern as of 2015 analyses. Such allelic variation underscores the genetic basis for grass adaptations, where vernalization responsiveness traces to an early evolutionary origin within the subfamily. Legumes, including species like chickpea (Cicer arietinum) and lupin (Lupinus spp.), diverge markedly by lacking functional FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC) orthologs, the central repressor in Brassicaceae vernalization pathways. Instead, multiple FT-like paralogs integrate cold-duration signals directly, with vernalization primarily derepressing these florigen genes to trigger reproductive transition without an FLC-mediated repression lift. This FT-centric mechanism reflects broader phylogenetic divergence, as empirical studies confirm FT upregulation post-cold in legumes correlates with flowering acceleration, distinct from the VRN-dominated repression-induction dynamics in Pooideae cereals.

Reversal and Modulation

Devernalization by Heat

Devernalization by heat involves the reversal of vernalization-induced flowering competence through exposure to elevated temperatures, which destabilizes the epigenetic silencing of floral repressors. In Arabidopsis thaliana, this process erases the cold-established memory, restoring high levels of the repressor FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC) expression and delaying bolting. Experiments demonstrate that vernalized seedlings exposed to 30°C for 6–7 days immediately after cold treatment exhibit reduced trimethylation of at 27 () at the FLC locus, leading to FLC reactivation, increased vegetative number (e.g., 4 additional leaves), and delayed flowering (e.g., bolting postponed by approximately 5 days compared to stabilized vernalized controls). This heat threshold of around 30°C acts within a narrow window; prior stabilization at 20°C for 2 weeks preserves marks, rendering subsequent 30°C exposure ineffective in reactivating FLC. The causal mechanism centers on heat-mediated disruption of stability at FLC, involving partial demethylation that prevents the full propagation of repressive marks required for stable silencing, distinct from the initial cold-dependent nucleation and spreading phases of vernalization. In cereals like and , heat devernalization nullifies incomplete vernalization competence, as observed in mid-20th-century experiments where warm interruptions (e.g., above 20°C) following short cold periods fully reversed the process, whereas prolonged prior chilling reduced reversibility. This temperature-sensitive erasure ensures that only sufficiently stable cold memory promotes flowering, adapting plants to variable overwintering conditions.

Interruptions and Reinitiation of Vernalization

In temperate grasses such as Brachypodium distachyon, brief interruptions by warm temperatures during the vernalization cold period temporarily upregulate floral repressors like VRT2, delaying the stable epigenetic silencing required for flowering competence, but do not fully reset the process. Upon return to cold conditions, vernalization reinitiates through the action of the BdVRT2, which facilitates renewed repression of flowering inhibitors, preserving partial progress from prior cold exposure. This mechanism ensures that accumulated cold signaling is not entirely lost, differing from complete devernalization where post-vernalization heat fully reactivates repressors and erases stable modifications. Experimental evidence from B. distachyon accessions shows that interrupting 8 weeks of cold (at 4°C) with 1-2 weeks of warm (22°C) extends the time to flowering by 2-4 weeks compared to uninterrupted controls, even when total cold duration is matched, indicating that the process requires consecutive cold to efficiently propagate . BdVRT2 mutants exhibit heightened sensitivity to these interruptions, failing to reinitiate repression effectively and resulting in prolonged vegetative growth, underscoring its role in bridging interrupted cold phases. Similar patterns occur in related cereals like winter rye, where disruptions delay bolting despite equivalent cumulative cold days, suggesting a conserved quantitative yet non-strictly additive response mediated by VRT2 orthologs. Vernalization models incorporating cumulative cold hours—typically calculated as hours below 10°C above a base of 0°C—predict thresholds (e.g., 700-1400 hours in relatives), but must account for interruptions reducing efficiency by 20-50% per event in controlled trials. Field validations in temperate cereals confirm that partial credits from interrupted winters correlate with delayed but eventual flowering, as plants reaccumulate units without starting , aiding predictions for variable climates. These dynamics highlight vernalization as a resilient, incremental pathway where epigenetic partially endures warm perturbations, enabling to fluctuating overwinter temperatures.

Ecological and Agricultural Roles

Evolutionary Adaptations in Temperate Plants

Vernalization evolved as an adaptive mechanism in temperate plants to synchronize flowering with reliable conditions, mitigating risks from fluctuating winter temperatures and false springs that could trigger untimely . Phylogenetic analyses indicate that vernalization responsiveness originated early in the subfamily of grasses, with responsive species distributed widely across the lineage, predating diversification into modern temperate niches. This trait likely emerged around 40-50 million years ago, coinciding with Eocene-Oligocene cooling and the expansion of seasonal climates, enabling ancestors—originally from tropical origins—to colonize cooler latitudes by preventing flowering during brief warm spells amid variable cold periods. By requiring prolonged non-freezing cold exposure, vernalization ensures reproductive efforts align with post-winter stability, reducing frost damage to developing seeds and enhancing overall fitness in unpredictable environments. Empirical studies of rear-edge populations, such as those in americana, reveal ongoing evolutionary adjustments to shorter, less reliable winters, with southern populations exhibiting phenological shifts like reduced vernalization sensitivity or earlier flowering cues to compensate for inconsistent durations. These adaptations highlight vernalization's role in buffering against climate variability, where populations at range margins evolve modified requirements to maintain reproductive timing despite milder conditions, as documented in 2025 analyses comparing rear-edge and central-range genotypes. Such underscores the trait's selective advantage in historically glacial-influenced regions, where false thaws posed recurrent threats, allowing to defer flowering until cumulative verifies seasonal transition. While vernalization promotes higher seed set by avoiding reproductive losses from late frosts following premature blooms, it imposes constraints in warming scenarios, potentially restricting species distributions if prolonged becomes scarce. In temperate ecosystems, this mechanism has facilitated post-glacial recolonization by favoring genotypes that reliably flower after verified winter passage, though phylogenetic evidence suggests independent evolution in non-Pooideae lineages, indicating convergent selection for -cued across angiosperms adapted to seasonal variability. These adaptations prioritize causal reliability—verifiable cold accumulation—over speculative environmental signals, optimizing survival in climates prone to .

Practical Applications in Crop Breeding and Production

Speed vernalization protocols, developed in 2022 for winter cereals including , enable accelerated generation advancement by condensing the required cold exposure period from 6–9 weeks to as little as 2–4 weeks under controlled conditions of 4–10°C with extended photoperiods, facilitating rapid stacking and selection for yield-enhancing genes in programs. These methods integrate with speed techniques to shorten full generation cycles, allowing breeders to advance populations multiple times per year and optimize s like disease resistance and without compromising vernalization efficacy. In practice, such protocols have been applied to and lines, yielding viable flowering responses and supporting yield improvements through pyramiding of quantitative loci for higher productivity. In field production, vernalization via soil-transmitted cold enables late-emerged to fulfill chilling requirements post-emergence, influencing tillering and head development critical to potential; extension data from 2025 indicate that emerging after mid-November can still achieve partial vernalization if exposed to sufficient sub-4°C temperatures over winter, supporting yields of 50–70 heads per with 25–30 per under optimal management. However, incomplete vernalization in such scenarios delays maturity and reduces spike fertility, capping at 60–80% of timely-planted counterparts unless compensated by higher plant densities or inputs. Facultative wheat varieties, which exhibit partial vernalization responsiveness, provide verifiable benefits for flexible windows, allowing autumn or planting without strict cold mandates and enhancing adaptability to variable weather for sustained yields; a 2025 review highlights their role in optimizing uptake and tolerance across sowing dates, reducing production risks in temperate regions. Despite these advantages, over-reliance on accelerated vernalization in risks maladaptation by prioritizing lab-optimized cycles over field-variable cold exposures, potentially yielding cultivars sensitive to post-flowering or inconsistent chilling, as evidenced by reduced yields in vernalized under combined abiotic pressures. Balanced integration with multi-environment trials mitigates such concerns, ensuring robust performance in diverse agroecosystems.

Recent Advances and Challenges

Discoveries in Epigenetic Dynamics (2020-2025)

In 2022, research identified the demethylases JMJ30 and JMJ32 as key regulators that modulate the speed of vernalization in by activating the floral repressor FLOWERING LOCUS C (FLC), thereby slowing the accumulation of repressive marks during cold exposure. These enzymes counteract premature silencing of FLC, ensuring vernalization requires sufficient cold duration for stable epigenetic repression. By 2023, studies clarified the dynamic role of the antisense transcript COOLAIR in FLC regulation, showing its induction by C-repeat binding factors (CBFs) during early vernalization stages in Arabidopsis, followed by declining levels as FLC chromatin compacts into a silenced state. Parallel pathways emerged, with COOLAIR transcription mediating antisense repression independently of Polycomb Repressive Complex 2 (PRC2), which deposits H3K27me3; mutants lacking COOLAIR still achieved partial FLC silencing via PRC2, indicating redundancy in epigenetic silencing mechanisms. In cereals, epigenomic sequencing advances by 2024 mapped vernalization-responsive cis-regulatory elements at VRN1 loci in , revealing mutations that alter promoter accessibility and cold-induced expression, aiding dissection of quantitative variations in flowering competence. Extending to , a 2025 analysis of demonstrated that vernalization upregulates FTa1 and FTa3 expression post-cold, regardless of species-specific flowering responses, linking epigenetic derepression of FLOWERING LOCUS T homologs to accelerated floral transition in this non-model crop. Also in 2025, screening over 16,000 compounds identified five small-molecule devernalizers (DVRs) that reverse vernalization in Arabidopsis without heat, by reactivating FLC through disruption of H3K27me3 stability and nucleosome positioning at the locus, offering a chemical tool to probe and manipulate epigenetic memory in lab settings. Concurrently, cold-triggered nucleosome remodeling at FLC was detailed, showing phased chromatin opening and phase separation of PRC2 components as prerequisites for stable silencing, integrating temperature sensing into epigenetic switching.

Implications for Climate Adaptation and Criticisms of Models

Climate warming reduces the duration and intensity of winter periods, potentially providing insufficient vernalization to satisfy requirements in winter cereals, leading to delayed flowering and desynchronization with optimal growth conditions or pollinators. Field studies in regions like indicate that many winter wheat genotypes fail to accumulate adequate vernalizing temperatures under projected warming scenarios, compromising without targeted breeding. Facultative wheat varieties, with reduced vernalization needs allowing flexible autumn or sowing, offer a pathway for to variable winters, as demonstrated in 2025 analyses of their response to variability. However, these adaptations incur trade-offs, including lower tolerance and altered tillering patterns that diminish accumulation compared to fully vernalized winter types. Criticisms of predictive models highlight their frequent reliance on Arabidopsis thaliana mechanisms, such as FLC repression, which undervalue the allelic diversity at cereal VRN1, VRN2, and VRN3 loci and the distinct MADS-box gene networks in polyploid species like wheat. This Arabidopsis-centric approach often overestimates adaptive plasticity, ignoring how VRN allelic combinations in cereals modulate responses to fragmented cold exposure more variably than simulated. Transcriptome studies from 2021 further reveal that vernalization pathways operate independently of cold acclimation stress responses, debunking assumptions in some models that link the two processes and thereby inflating predictions of cross-tolerance under warming. Empirical field data, such as phenological shifts at species' rear edges, underscore discrepancies with simulations by showing inconsistent compensation for reduced vernalization cues, prioritizing on-ground observations over theoretical projections. For adaptation strategies, conventional selection from diverse VRN alleles enables incremental gains in vernalization sensitivity tailored to local climates, leveraging standing without introducing novel risks, though it proceeds slowly relative to warming rates. , such as editing VRN loci for reduced requirements, could accelerate targeted adjustments but faces challenges like unintended pleiotropic effects on yield stability and regulatory hurdles, contrasting with selection's preservation of adaptive diversity. Prioritizing field-validated hybrids over engineered monocultures mitigates uniformity risks in variable environments.

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