Defensive Runs Saved
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) is a sabermetric statistic in Major League Baseball that measures a fielder's defensive performance by estimating the number of runs they save or cost their team compared to an average player at the same position.[1][2] Developed by statistician John Dewan, DRS was first introduced in the second edition of The Fielding Bible in 2009 as an evolution of earlier defensive metrics like adjusted range factor and zone ratings.[3] It builds on Dewan's prior work with plus/minus systems from the 1980s and 1990s, aiming to provide a comprehensive, run-based evaluation of fielding that integrates multiple aspects of defense. Subsequent updates, including the 2020 PART system (Positioning, Air, Range, Throwing) for infielders, have further refined its components.[3][1][4] DRS is calculated using video-scouted data from Baseball Info Solutions (BIS), where observers grade every batted ball and play to assess range, reaction, and execution against expected outcomes for an average defender.[1] The metric combines several components to yield a total run value: Plus/Minus Runs Saved (rPM) evaluates a player's ability to convert batted balls into outs based on location and type; Outfield Arms Runs Saved (rARM) credits throws that prevent runners from advancing; Double Play Runs Saved (rGDP) measures turning potential double plays at second and shortstop; Bunt Runs Saved (rBU) assesses handling bunts at first and third base; Stolen Base Runs Saved (rSB) quantifies catchers' and pitchers' success in preventing steals; and Home Run Runs Saved (rHR) accounts for robbing home runs, valued at approximately 1.6 runs each.[1] Later refinements added elements like pitch framing for catchers, known as Strike Zone Runs Saved.[3] A positive DRS indicates runs saved above average, with elite fielders typically posting 15 to 20 or more per season, while negative values reflect below-average performance; for context, a team’s total defensive contribution includes summed player DRS plus adjustments for positioning.[2][1] DRS has become influential in player evaluation, powering the Fielding Bible Awards since 2009 (which began in 2006 using precursor metrics) and influencing MLB's Gold Glove selections, though it shares limitations with other advanced metrics, such as sensitivity to small sample sizes and challenges in accounting for defensive shifts.[3][1]Introduction
Definition
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) is a sabermetric statistic that quantifies a baseball player's defensive contributions by estimating the number of runs they save or allow compared to an average defender at the same position.[2][1] A positive DRS value indicates that the player has saved runs for their team through superior fielding, while a negative value signifies runs allowed due to below-average performance relative to peers.[2][5] This metric is inherently position-specific, as defensive demands vary across positions such as catcher, infielder, or outfielder, and scales with playing time, as it measures total runs saved during the player's defensive opportunities.[1] Additionally, DRS accounts for positional difficulty, ensuring fair comparisons within roles like shortstop versus first base.[2] In practical terms, a DRS of +10 for a player means they prevented 10 more runs from scoring defensively over the course of a season than an average performer at their position would have.[1][5] This run-based framework allows DRS to integrate seamlessly into broader player evaluation models, such as Wins Above Replacement (WAR).[6]Purpose in Baseball Analytics
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) emerged as a key metric in the 2000s analytics revolution to provide an objective evaluation of defensive performance, moving beyond subjective observations and rudimentary statistics toward data-driven insights.[7] Traditional metrics like fielding percentage, which primarily track error rates on balls put in play, fail to capture essential aspects of defense such as a player's range or ability to prevent runners from advancing.[8] In contrast, DRS addresses these limitations by integrating multiple defensive elements—including range, arm strength, error avoidance, and double-play proficiency—into a unified, run-valued measure that quantifies a player's overall impact relative to an average defender at their position.[9][1] This run-based framework allows DRS to serve as a context-neutral tool for assessing defensive contributions, enabling comparisons across players and positions in the modern era without bias from park dimensions or league-wide shifts in play.[10] By expressing defensive value in terms of runs prevented or allowed, DRS facilitates its seamless integration with offensive and baserunning statistics within comprehensive player evaluation systems like Wins Above Replacement (WAR), where it directly contributes to the fielding component.[10] For instance, Baseball-Reference's version of WAR employs DRS to calculate fielding runs, providing a holistic view of a player's total value that informs strategic decisions in team building.[10] Ultimately, the purpose of DRS lies in empowering scouts, front offices, and analysts with a reliable, quantifiable metric for talent identification, roster optimization, and contract negotiations, thereby enhancing the precision of baseball's analytical ecosystem.[11] Its adoption underscores a broader shift toward objective defense evaluation, allowing teams to identify undervalued defenders and allocate resources more effectively in an era dominated by advanced data.[12]History and Development
Origins
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) originated from work by John Dewan and Baseball Info Solutions (BIS), which began developing advanced defensive metrics in 2003. The inaugural The Fielding Bible (2006) introduced the plus/minus system as part of its project to revolutionize fielding analysis through statistical evaluation, covering the 2005 season.[13] This emerged during the sabermetrics era, where traditional metrics like fielding percentage were inadequate, building on zone-based systems such as those developed by Mitchel Lichtman in the early 2000s.[3][14] Dewan, experienced in baseball data, aimed for a comprehensive run-based metric to quantify defensive value relative to average, overcoming subjective and data-limited prior methods.[15] The initial plus/minus relied on BIS's video review of every MLB play, classifying batted balls by type, speed, trajectory, and location with pixel-accurate coordinates.[16] This detailed process, scaled in the mid-2000s, assessed range, arm strength, and play-making beyond earlier approximations. DRS evolved from this, launching in the second edition of The Fielding Bible (2009), with data retroactively available from 2003.[3] The 2006 book highlighted performers like shortstop Adam Everett, who led with 34 plus/minus runs saved in 2005, demonstrating potential for scouting and decisions.[17] Initially proprietary to MLB teams, its publication spurred interest in run-based defense.[18]Evolution and Adoption
Following initial development in 2003 by Baseball Info Solutions (BIS), Defensive Runs Saved gained visibility through analytics platforms. In 2010, Baseball-Reference incorporated DRS into Wins Above Replacement (WAR) calculations from 2003 onward, enhancing player evaluations.[10][19] This underscored DRS's role beyond traditional metrics in sabermetrics.[20] In the 2010s, DRS refined with technology and game changes. Post-2015, it integrated batted ball speed and trajectory from MLB's Statcast, improving range accuracy for harder-hit balls.[21] Adjustments for defensive shifts were incorporated starting from the 2013 season; in 2016, as shifts proliferated, they accounted for 31% of infielders' total runs saved or cost.[22] These enhanced DRS for modern strategies. MLB adoption grew in the mid-2010s, influencing acquisitions. The Los Angeles Angels traded for shortstop Andrelton Simmons in November 2015, partly due to his league-leading +32 DRS that season.[23][24] By 2020, DRS was standard in platforms like FanGraphs and the Fielding Bible, used in scouting and contracts.[4] DRS faces criticism for subjectivity in BIS video scouting, like error and positioning calls.[25] Developers adopted hybrid models blending video with Statcast data, reducing human judgment while retaining context.[20] By 2023, 20 years of data (from 2003) supported studies of trends; as of 2025, it remains key for Fielding Bible Awards.[20]Calculation Methodology
Data Collection
The primary data for Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) is collected through video scouting conducted by Baseball Info Solutions (BIS), which has tracked defensive plays in Major League Baseball (MLB) since 2003. BIS employs a team of video scouts who review footage of every MLB game, logging details for approximately 150,000 batted balls per season, including the precise location where the ball is hit (recorded as pixel coordinates on a computer screen and converted to vector angles and distances from home plate), the type of batted ball (such as grounder, line drive, fly ball, pop-up, or bunt), its velocity (classified as soft, medium, or hard), and the trajectory since refinements in 2006. Since 2009, scouts have also timed each batted ball's speed and path—ground balls until first touched by a fielder or reaching the outfield grass, and fly balls until caught or landing—to provide objective measures of hang time and roll. This comprehensive logging captures the outcome of each play, whether an out, hit, or error, forming the foundational input for evaluating fielder performance relative to expected results.[18] In addition to batted ball data, BIS scouts record player positioning at the moment the pitch is hit, which influences the assessment of range and opportunity for plays, as well as specific actions like arm strength on outfield throws (evaluating accuracy and speed to bases or cutoffs) and double-play turns by infielders (measuring pivot efficiency and execution rates). These elements contribute to components of DRS such as outfield arm runs saved and double-play runs saved, which quantify how fielders prevent extra bases or additional outs compared to league averages. Post-2015, following the introduction of MLB's Statcast tracking system, BIS integrated automated data including exit velocity (the speed of the ball off the bat) and launch angle (the vertical trajectory), enhancing the precision of play-by-play analysis starting in the 2016 season. In 2020, further enhancements incorporated Statcast data into the ART (Air, Range, Throwing) component for infielders, splitting fielder credit into positioning, air balls, range, and throwing for more advanced evaluation.[26][4] The scouting process involves assigning "plays" to fielders based on zone-based systems, similar to those used in Plus/Minus metrics, where zones are divided across the field and plays are rated by whether a fielder converts an expected out (based on historical probabilities for similar batted balls) or allows a hit that an average player would prevent. To ensure consistency, data is processed through zone ratings that compare actual outcomes to league norms, with aggregation across all plays to isolate individual contributions. While raw play logs are maintained for internal validation, the final datasets are anonymized and aggregated at the player and team levels to protect proprietary scouting details and comply with MLB data-sharing protocols. Quality control is integral to the BIS process, with scouts completing a minimum of three passes through each game's video footage to verify entries, supported by automated software checks for inconsistencies in coordinates, timings, and classifications. Auditing reports are generated regularly, and a subset of plays undergoes secondary review by additional scouts to monitor inter-rater reliability, reducing subjective bias and ensuring high accuracy—early implementations saw "no video" plays drop from 8% in 2002 to effectively 0% by 2011 through improved tools and protocols.[18]Key Components and Formulas
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) is calculated as the sum of several key components that quantify a player's defensive contributions in terms of runs prevented or allowed compared to an average fielder at their position. As of 2020, the primary components include: ART (Air, Range, and Throwing Runs Saved for infielders), Range and Positioning Runs Saved, Outfield Arm Runs Saved, Double Play Runs Saved (rGDP), Bunt Runs Saved (rBU), Good Plays/Misplays Runs Saved (which includes errors), Catcher and Pitcher Stolen Base Runs Saved (rSB), Adjusted Earned Runs Saved (catcher blocking), Strike Zone Runs Saved (pitch framing for catchers), and Home Run Runs Saved (rHR, for robbing home runs). This total represents the net runs saved over a season, typically scaled to a full-time player's workload of approximately 1,350 innings for comparability across players. Positional adjustment, which accounts for the inherent difficulty of each position, is not included in DRS but is added separately when computing total defensive value in metrics like Wins Above Replacement (WAR).[27][1][9] ART measures infielders' performance on balls hit in the air, range to ground balls, and throwing success, using combined BIS video and Statcast data since 2020 to split contributions more precisely. Range and Positioning Runs Saved (for non-infielders or supplemental) measure a fielder's ability to convert batted balls into outs based on the play's location, speed, and type, using video-scouted data to determine expected success rates. The component is derived from the difference between actual plays made and expected plays, multiplied by a run value specific to the play outcome; for instance, converting a ground ball into an out might be valued at approximately +0.35 runs, reflecting the average run expectancy change for that type of out. A specific example involves a shortstop fielding a 65-75 mph ground ball in a low-probability zone with a 23% league success rate: making the play credits +0.77 runs (1.00 minus the expected success probability), while failing it debits -0.23 runs. This approach uses a "24-States Run Matrix" to assign precise run values based on game situations.[18][9] Double Play Runs Saved (rGDP) evaluates infielders' efficiency in turning potential double plays, particularly for second basemen and shortstops, by comparing actual conversions to league averages adjusted for batted ball characteristics like speed and location. Credit is split between the lead fielder and pivot man, with run values derived from the incremental runs saved by a double play over a single out (typically around +0.5 to +1 run per successful double play above average, depending on runners on base). This includes handling grounders into double-play situations, with timer data since 2009 to refine probabilities.[18] Outfield Arm Runs Saved (rARM) assess outfielders' throwing ability by tracking runner advancement on hits, comparing actual outcomes to expected bases gained or outs recorded. For example, preventing an extra base might save approximately +0.2 runs per instance, based on run expectancy differences, while miscellaneous "kills" (e.g., throwing out advancing runners) are valued at +0.75 runs each. The calculation factors in hit type (grounders vs. fly balls), location, and throw velocity to isolate arm impact.[18] Good Plays/Misplays Runs Saved tracks over 60 types of plays, including errors that allow baserunners. Each error is typically valued at -1 run, adjusted for severity and context (e.g., an error on a routine grounder allowing a runner to reach might cost more than a minor overthrow), using run expectancy to quantify the impact. This component also credits good plays that prevent advancement.[18][9] Catcher-specific components include Stolen Base Runs Saved (rSB, crediting 35% of responsibility to the catcher, with each prevented steal valued at approximately +0.65 runs), Strike Zone Runs Saved (framing, around +0.125 runs per strike gained), and Adjusted Earned Runs Saved (blocking wild pitches and passed balls). These are regressed for sample size and adjusted for pitching staff quality to isolate the catcher's contribution. Home Run Runs Saved (rHR) credits fielders for robbing home runs, valued at approximately 1.6 runs each. Bunt Runs Saved (rBU) assesses handling bunts at first and third base (and catchers/pitchers).[18][28][29] Positional adjustment accounts for the inherent difficulty of each defensive position and is applied separately from DRS, adding or subtracting runs based on full-season equivalents (1,458 innings). The values are as follows:| Position | Adjustment (Runs per Full Season) |
|---|---|
| Catcher (C) | +12.5 |
| First Base (1B) | -12.5 |
| Second Base (2B) | +2.5 |
| Shortstop (SS) | +7.5 |
| Third Base (3B) | +2.5 |
| Left Field (LF) | -7.5 |
| Center Field (CF) | +2.5 |
| Right Field (RF) | -7.5 |
| Designated Hitter (DH) | -17.5 |
Applications and Comparisons
Use in Player Evaluation
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) plays a key role in MLB scouting and drafting by providing a quantifiable measure of a player's defensive value, allowing teams to project future contributions and prioritize prospects with high defensive potential, particularly at up-the-middle positions like shortstop and center field. Analytics-driven organizations, such as the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays, integrate DRS and similar metrics (e.g., Outs Above Average) into their evaluation processes to assess defensive skills alongside offensive projections, using tools like regression analysis to correlate these stats with overall player value in Wins Above Replacement (WAR). For instance, the Astros highlighted shortstop Carlos Correa's elite defensive metrics, including a +12 OAA in his early career, as a factor in drafting and developing up-the-middle defenders during the 2010s, emphasizing range and arm strength in trade and prospect acquisitions.[31][32][31] In contract negotiations, DRS significantly influences free-agent deals by demonstrating a player's run-saving impact, often leading to premium compensation for elite defenders. Empirical analysis of contracts from 2012 to 2015 shows that each additional run saved via DRS correlates with a 3.5% increase in free-agent salary, underscoring its role in quantifying defensive worth comparable to offensive metrics. A prominent example is shortstop Andrelton Simmons, whose exceptional DRS totals—leading MLB with +41 in 2013—contributed to the Atlanta Braves extending him a seven-year, $58 million contract in 2014, recognizing his glove as a cornerstone asset despite modest offensive output.[33][33][34] DRS also guides strategic decisions in defensive alignments and shifts, enabling teams to optimize positioning based on batted-ball data to maximize run prevention. Prior to MLB's 2023 ban on extreme infield shifts, DRS incorporated shift-specific components to quantify their value, with shift plays accounting for up to 43% of total runs saved or cost by 2019, helping managers like those in the Rays organization evaluate alignment effectiveness through metrics like Good Fielding Plays and Defensive Misplays. Following the 2023 ban, shift contributions to DRS have diminished, with teams adapting through optimized traditional alignments, saving approximately 5-10 runs per season for top units as of 2025.[22][22][35][36] This data-driven approach allowed teams to deploy shifts against pull-heavy hitters, saving an estimated 10-15 runs per season for top units, and informed broader tactical shifts toward versatile defenders. Despite its utility, DRS has limitations in player evaluation, requiring contextual adjustments such as park factors—though it is inherently park-adjusted—and large sample sizes for reliability, making it less predictive for rookies with limited MLB exposure. Defensive metrics like DRS exhibit high variability in small samples (under one full season), necessitating 1-3 years of data to stabilize estimates and avoid over- or under-valuing prospects transitioning from the minors. Teams mitigate this by combining DRS with scouting reports and complementary stats, ensuring holistic assessments.[1][1][1]Comparison to Other Defensive Metrics
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) shares methodological similarities with Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR), as both metrics estimate a fielder's defensive contribution in runs above or below average using zones to evaluate the success rate of converting batted balls into outs. However, DRS relies on video scouting by Baseball Info Solutions (BIS) observers to classify plays on a play-by-play basis, incorporating factors like arm strength, errors, and double plays, which provides greater accuracy for those elements. In contrast, UZR depends primarily on hit location data from BIS to assess range and consistency, without the same level of subjective scouting input. The two metrics exhibit a strong correlation for qualified starting fielders, indicating they generally agree on player rankings, though DRS's inclusion of specialized components for catchers (e.g., caught stealing) and pitchers (e.g., balls blocked) extends its scope beyond UZR's focus on positional fielders. DRS evolved directly from the Plus/Minus system, an earlier metric that quantified a fielder's plays made relative to an average performer at their position, often resulting in higher volatility due to its binary counting of successes and failures without run-value scaling. DRS refines Plus/Minus by assigning run values to each play using a run expectancy matrix, which estimates the impact on scoring outcomes, and incorporates positional adjustments to account for varying defensive demands across the field. This approach reduces year-to-year instability in evaluations, as the run-based framework smooths out the raw play counts from Plus/Minus, leading to more stable assessments of long-term defensive talent. Compared to traditional statistics like Fielding Percentage, which simply measures the ratio of successful plays to total chances (putouts plus assists divided by total opportunities including errors), DRS provides a more nuanced evaluation by capturing range, arm strength, and the contextual difficulty of plays. Fielding Percentage overlooks opportunities where fielders fail to reach hittable balls and treats all errors equally, ignoring their run impact or the skill required for routine versus challenging chances; for instance, a fielder with a perfect 1.000 Fielding Percentage but limited range might still record a negative DRS due to missed opportunities on reachable balls. DRS thus excels in highlighting comprehensive defensive value, whereas traditional metrics like Fielding Percentage remain limited to error avoidance without addressing proactive fielding contributions. Among advanced metrics, DRS stands out for its broad coverage, integrating multiple defensive facets into a single run estimate, but it faces criticism for potential subjectivity in video scouting classifications, which can introduce measurement error despite standardization efforts. To mitigate this, analysts often average DRS with UZR for more robust player evaluations, leveraging UZR's data-driven consistency to balance DRS's detailed but observer-dependent insights. This complementary use underscores DRS's strength in holistic assessment while acknowledging the need for cross-validation in defensive analysis.Records and Leaders
Single-Season Leaders
The single-season record for Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) in the modern era (since systematic tracking began in 2003) is held by shortstop Andrelton Simmons, who recorded +41 in 2017 with the Los Angeles Angels, a performance that underscored his elite range and arm strength at a premium position.[37][38] This mark contributed to his sixth consecutive Gold Glove Award. In the modern era (post-2002), the leaders are dominated by shortstops due to the position's high volume of defensive opportunities and the metric's emphasis on range and error avoidance. Adam Everett's +24 in 2006 with the Houston Astros ranks among the top seasons, where he led the league in fielding percentage at shortstop and earned a Gold Glove.[39] High DRS values often correlate with Gold Glove wins, as seen in Simmons' and Everett's seasons, though factors like defensive shifts in the 2010s inflated numbers for infielders by optimizing positioning against batted ball tendencies.[40] By position, outfield examples include Juan Pierre's +20 in 2003 with the Chicago Cubs, driven by his speed and gap coverage.[41] At catcher, Yadier Molina's +19 in 2012 with the St. Louis Cardinals incorporated framing and pop time advantages, earning him a Fielding Bible Award.[42][43] More recent seasons show lower peaks, with the 2025 season's highest DRS at +22 by Steven Kwan (Cleveland Guardians, LF) and Ernie Clement (Toronto Blue Jays, 3B), benefiting from individual skill post-MLB's 2023 shift ban.[2] Overall trends through 2025 indicate declining extremes, with no season exceeding +25 since 2020, as DRS now more purely rewards individual skill over strategic alignments.| Rank | Player | Year | Team | Position | DRS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrelton Simmons | 2017 | LAA | SS | +41 |
| 2 | Adam Everett | 2006 | HOU | SS | +24 |
| 3 | Yadier Molina | 2012 | STL | C | +19 |
| 4 | Juan Pierre | 2003 | CHC | OF | +20 |
| 5 | Steven Kwan | 2025 | CLE | LF | +22 |
Career Leaders
Defensive Runs Saved (DRS) career leaders highlight players who demonstrated exceptional defensive consistency over extended periods, with the metric rewarding sustained performance adjusted for innings played at each position. Since DRS was first tracked in 2002 by Baseball Info Solutions, the all-time leader is shortstop Andrelton Simmons with +189 DRS over his career (2012–2023), followed by outfielder Mookie Betts at +143 and third baseman Nolan Arenado at +133 as of the end of the 2025 season.[44][45] These figures underscore the value of elite fielding in up-the-middle positions, where DRS incorporates positional adjustments to account for varying defensive demands.[1] Retroactive applications of DRS to pre-2002 eras have been attempted by groups like the Fielding Bible team, identifying historical greats such as third baseman Brooks Robinson and shortstop Ozzie Smith as elite, though exact totals vary by methodology and are not universally adopted.[46]| Position | Leader | Career DRS (Modern Era unless noted) |
|---|---|---|
| Shortstop | Andrelton Simmons | +189 (2012–2023)[47] |
| Outfield | Mookie Betts | +143 (2011–2025)[47] |
| Third Base | Nolan Arenado | +133 (2011–2025)[47] |