Patterned ground refers to the distinct geometric patterns, such as circles, polygons, and stripes, formed in the surface soil and regolith of periglacial environments through the processes of cryoturbation and frost action.[1][2] These landforms are characteristic of regions with permafrost, where the ground remains frozen for at least two consecutive years, and develop primarily in the active layer—the uppermost soil that thaws seasonally.[1][3]The formation of patterned ground arises from repeated cycles of freezing and thawing, which cause the differential movement and sorting of soil particles, stones, and finer sediments based on size and density.[2][3] In this process, known as cryoturbation, ice expansion during freezing heaves coarser materials upward and outward, while finer particles migrate downward or to the centers, creating sorted patterns over timescales of decades to centuries.[3][2] Factors such as slope angle, sediment composition, and moisture availability influence the specific morphology; for instance, flat terrains favor circles and polygons, while steeper slopes promote stripes.[2]Common types of patterned ground include sorted circles, which are circular arrangements of larger stones surrounding finer soil, often seen in flat Arctictundra; ice-wedge polygons, non-sorted polygonal networks formed by thermal contraction cracks filled with ice; and sorted stripes, linear alignments of stones and soil paralleling slopes.[1][2][3] These features are widespread in polar regions like the Arctic (e.g., Alaska and the Taymyr Peninsula) and Antarctic, as well as high-altitude alpine areas such as the Sierra Nevada and Denali, where permafrost conditions persist.[1][3][2]Patterned ground plays a significant role in periglacial ecosystems by altering hydrology, vegetation distribution, and soil stability, often creating microhabitats that support specialized plant communities.[3][2] Relict forms of these landforms can also indicate past climatic conditions in now-temperate regions, providing evidence of former permafrost extent during glacial periods.[4] As climate warming accelerates permafrost thaw, patterned ground features are increasingly vulnerable to degradation, which can release stored carbon and disrupt landscapes.[1]
Definition and Overview
Definition
Patterned ground refers to the more or less symmetrical, geometric arrangements of soil, rock, or vegetation that result from deformation processes in periglacial environments, where intensive frost action predominates. These features manifest as regular patterns on the ground surface, typically involving the reorganization of materials through cryoturbation, a collective term for frost-induced mixing and movement of sediments. Originally defined as a group term for such forms characteristic of, but not confined to, areas subject to repeated freezing and thawing, patterned ground exemplifies the self-organizing nature of periglacial landscapes.[5]A key distinction exists between sorted and nonsorted patterned ground. Sorted patterns feature clear segregation of coarse materials, such as stones or gravel, from finer sediments like sand or soil, often forming borders or centers that highlight this separation. In contrast, nonsorted patterns lack such segregation, instead showing uniform material composition with possible vegetation contrasts or subtle topographic variations. This classification underscores the role of particle size and mobility in pattern development under frost influence.[5]The scale of patterned ground varies widely, ranging from a few centimeters to tens of meters in diameter or length, depending on local conditions like sediment type and frost intensity. These features are primarily associated with frost-dominated climates, including continuous or discontinuous permafrost zones as well as areas experiencing deep seasonal frost without permanent frozen ground. Such environments occur predominantly in high-latitude polar and subpolar regions or high-altitude alpine settings, where mean annual temperatures remain below freezing thresholds conducive to cryoturbation.[6][4]
Historical Context
The initial recognition of patterned ground features occurred during 18th- and 19th-century expeditions by European explorers to Arctic and sub-Arctic regions, where they documented unusual geometric arrangements of stones and soil on the ground surface, often attributing them to climatic or glacial influences without a unified explanatory framework. These early accounts, drawn from travels in areas like northern Scandinavia and North America, provided the first qualitative descriptions of what would later be understood as periglacial phenomena, though systematic study remained limited until the turn of the 20th century.[7]A pivotal advancement came with J.G. Andersson's 1906 publication on solifluction, in which he described sorted stone patterns and related landforms in periglacial settings, linking them to freeze-thaw processes and downslope soil movement during his observations in cold-climate environments. Building on this, Walery Łoziński's 1909 work in the Carpathian Mountains offered a formal classification, introducing the term "periglacial" for frost-dominated zones adjacent to glaciers and coining "cryoturbation" to denote the soil mixing and deformation responsible for polygonal and striped patterns. Łoziński's contributions emphasized the role of intensive frost action in creating these features, marking the emergence of periglacial geomorphology as a distinct field.[8]Terminology evolved from localized descriptors like "frost polygons" and "stone polygons"—used in early 20th-century reports—to the encompassing "patterned ground" by the mid-20th century, reflecting a broader recognition of diverse geometric forms driven by cryoturbation. The classification and review of patterned ground was notably advanced by A. L. Washburn in his 1956 publication, which provided a comprehensive framework for understanding these features.[5] This shift culminated in the term's adoption within international scientific discourse. The International Geographical Union established a Commission on Periglacial Morphology in 1949, which helped standardize nomenclature in periglacial studies.[9] Concurrently, early 20th-century expeditions, such as the 1910–1911 excursion to Svalbard organized by the XI International Geological Congress and parallel investigations in the Alps, employed photographs and sketches to capture and disseminate evidence of these patterns, solidifying their association with cold-climate geomorphic processes.[5][7]
Morphological Types
Polygons
Polygons represent a primary morphological type of patterned ground, characterized by closed, symmetrical networks of geometric shapes, predominantly hexagons, that tessellate flat or gently sloping terrains in periglacial environments. These features typically exhibit sides ranging from 0.5 to 30 meters in length, with outlines formed by either linear cracks, troughs, or alignments of coarse materials, resulting from cryoturbation processes in permafrost regions.[5][10][11]Nonsorted polygons lack particle size differentiation and appear as subtle microrelief patterns, often defined by frost cracks filled with finer soil or vegetation contrasts, forming interconnected cells on level ground. In contrast, sorted polygons display distinct borders of coarse stones or gravels encircling central areas of fine-grained sediments, such as silt or sand, due to differential sorting during freeze-thaw cycles. Repeated freeze-thaw action contributes to the delineation of these outlines through contraction and heaving.[5][12][13]Ice-wedge polygons constitute a prominent variation, where deep thermal contraction cracks, extending 2 to 6 meters or more into the permafrost, become filled with ice and hoar frost, eventually forming elevated troughs or shoulders around low-centered depressions that may pond water; they can also develop high-centered forms with raised centers due to sediment infilling. These are prevalent in moist, flat tundra settings, with examples including low-center polygons on the Arctic Coastal Plain near Barrow, Alaska, and Garry Island in Canada's Northwest Territories. Silt polygons, involving finer materials like siltloam, occur in relict flat permafrost areas such as the Saginaw Lowlands in Michigan but exhibit more subdued borders and are noted as remnants of Late Wisconsin conditions, though less extensively documented than coarser variants.[14][5][15]In the Siberian lowlands, such as the Lena River delta and northeastern tundra, ice-wedge polygons dominate expansive flat landscapes, covering vast areas of polygonal peatlands with cell diameters often 10 to 20 meters, influencing local hydrology and vegetation patterns. These features are ubiquitous across Arctic permafrost zones, including examples from Arctic Canada, where they form dense networks on coastal plains and inland lowlands, highlighting their role in structuring tundra ecosystems.[16][17][11]
Circles
Circles represent a fundamental morphological type of patterned ground characterized by discrete, rounded or oval configurations typically measuring 0.2 to 3 meters in diameter. These features manifest in various appearances, including barren mud spots, raised stone rings, or vegetated hummocks, resulting from the differential response of soil and sediment to freeze-thaw cycles in periglacial environments.[18][19]Sorted circles feature a central domain of fine sediments encircled by a border of coarser materials, such as stones or gravel, which segregate during cryoturbation processes driven by frost heaving and contraction. In contrast, nonsorted circles lack this particle sorting and often appear as turf or earth circles with organic-rich mats of vegetation surrounding a less vegetated or barren core, promoting localized permafrost aggradation.[20][21][22]These forms predominate in moist, flat terrains where drainage is impeded, facilitating sustained soil moisture essential for intensive frost action, as observed in the Alaskan tundra and the Antarctic dry valleys.[23][10] In such settings, substrate heterogeneity can influence circle development by altering freeze-thaw dynamics.Under continued cryoturbation, isolated circles may coalesce or deform into interconnected polygonal networks, marking a transitional phase in patterned ground evolution.[24]
Stripes
Stripes represent linear manifestations of patterned ground, characterized by parallel bands of stones, soil, or vegetation that develop primarily on moderate slopes due to the combined effects of frost action and gravitational forces. These features typically align perpendicular to the slope's fall line, elongating downslope as circular or polygonal patterns on flatter terrain transition into linear forms under the influence of slope gradient.[6][10]Sorted stripes consist of alternating bands of coarse (stone-rich) and fine (soil or gravel) material, with individual bands generally 1-3 meters wide, extending up to several hundred meters in length, and spaced 2-10 meters apart depending on local substrate and climate conditions. Nonsorted stripes, in contrast, are defined by variations in vegetation cover or subtle microrelief, such as grass-covered bands interspersed with bare soil, often resembling solifluction lobes driven by slow downslope mass movement.[10][25][26]These patterns form on slopes ranging from 2° to 12°, where cryoturbation processes like needle ice formation and differential frost heave sort materials along the slope, enhanced by gravitational alignment that prevents circular forms from persisting. Deformation from solifluction contributes to their development, as detailed in discussions of material sorting and deformation. Prominent examples occur in the Scottish Highlands, such as the sorted stone stripes on Tinto Hill, where fine-scale bands (0.1-0.3 m wide) reflect relict periglacial activity above 550 m elevation. Similarly, in Norwegian mountains like Jotunheimen and Rondane, sorted stripes above the alpine timberline exhibit comparable alignment and sorting, often stabilizing post-deglaciation around 400 years after ice retreat.[6][27][28][29]Variations in stripe morphology reflect substrate differences: stone stripes dominate rocky, debris-mantled areas with exposed coarse borders, while turf stripes prevail in grassy alpine zones, where vegetation bands (e.g., heather or sedge) outline the patterns amid finer soils. These features underscore the role of slope-driven elongation in distinguishing stripes from non-linear patterned ground on level surfaces.[10][30][31]
Steps
Steps in patterned ground manifest as discontinuous, stair-like terraces on steeper slopes, characterized by alternating treads—flat or gently sloping areas—and risers formed by borders of stones or vegetation. These features typically develop on slopes exceeding 7°, with tread widths ranging from 1 to 5 meters, creating a stepped topography that interrupts continuous downslope flow. Nonsorted steps, often referred to as solifluction terraces, feature vegetated or turf-banked risers separating bare or sparsely vegetated treads, resulting from slow mass movement of saturated soil in the active layer above permafrost. In contrast, sorted steps appear as stone-bordered benches, where coarser materials accumulate along the risers, delineating finer-grained treads through cryoturbation processes.[5][32]These landforms are prevalent in periglacial environments where seasonal thawing of the active layer facilitates downslope soil movement, particularly under freeze-thaw cycles that promote gelifluction and frost creep. In the Rocky Mountains, nonsorted steps are documented on Niwot Ridge at elevations of 3350–3700 m, where they form contour-parallel terraces linked to ongoing solifluction activity. Similarly, in the Himalayan foothills of Nepal, turf-banked terraces occur at 4700–5200 m a.s.l., associated with needle-ice creep and active layer dynamics in high-altitude periglacial zones. Sorted variants, with stone borders up to 0.5 m high, enhance drainage and soil stability on these slopes.[32][33]Unlike smoother, parallel features on gentler gradients, steps exhibit greater vertical relief—up to 0.5 meters per riser—and a pronounced interruption in slope profile, arising from cumulative solifluction lobes rather than uniform downslope sorting. This stepped configuration distinguishes them by promoting localized sediment accumulation and vegetation banding, often influenced briefly by gravitational effects that concentrate materials at terrace edges.[5][32]
Formation Mechanisms
Frost Action Processes
Frost action processes are fundamental to the development of patterned ground in periglacial environments, primarily through the repeated freezing and thawing of water within soil pores. This freeze-thaw cycle causes the formation of segregated ice lenses as water migrates to the freezing front and freezes, leading to differential heaving where finer soils expand more than coarser materials due to higher water retention.[10] Such heaving disrupts the soil structure, promoting vertical and horizontal displacements that contribute to the initial sorting observed in features like stone borders.[34]Cryoturbation represents the broader mixing and upheaval of regolith resulting from these frost action dynamics, occurring within the active layer—the seasonally thawed zone above permafrost, typically 0.3 to 2 meters deep. This process involves frost heaving, upfreezing of particles, and thaw settlement, which collectively churn the soil and expose deeper materials to the surface over multiple cycles.[35] In arctic tundra settings, cryoturbation is particularly pronounced in areas with nonsorted circles and polygons, where ice lens growth drives localized uplifts of up to 50 cm in hummock features.[35]Initial crack formation in patterned ground often begins with needle ice and ice-wedge casting. Needle ice develops as slender ice crystals grow upward from saturated soils during rapid nighttime freezing, creating small-scale disturbances that initiate shallow heaving and particle segregation.[36] Ice-wedge casting occurs when thermal contraction cracks the permafrost surface in winter, allowing water to infiltrate and refreeze into wedges; subsequent thawing causes soil infilling around these structures, preserving casts that influence polygon development.[10]Seasonal cycles amplify these processes: during summer thaw, finer particles mobilize downward through the active layer as ice melts and voids form, while winter freezing generates upward pressure that displaces coarser materials toward the surface via frost push and pull mechanisms.[35] This annual alternation, with freezing fronts advancing from both the surface downward and permafrost upward, sustains cryoturbation and reinforces the vertical sorting essential to patterned ground evolution.[37]
Material Sorting and Deformation
Material sorting in patterned ground arises primarily from differential frost heave, where larger clasts migrate upward through mechanisms of frost push and frost pull, leading to their concentration at the surface or along feature borders. Frost pull occurs when ice lenses form around individual stones during freezing, adhering to them and lifting them as the ground heaves, while frost push involves the expansion of ice beneath stones, displacing them vertically. This process results in sorted features such as stone-rimmed polygons or circles, where coarser materials are segregated from finer soils. In High Arctic sorted circles, stone content is typically low in the centers and higher in the surrounding rims.[38][39]Complementing this upward movement, finer particles percolate downward during the thaw phase, often facilitated by convection cells within the active layer that promote the circulation of soil and water. These cells form due to density differences and thermal gradients, allowing fines to settle into the lower portions of the active layer while larger clasts remain elevated. This segregation enhances the contrast between coarse borders and fine centers, stabilizing the patterns over time. Laboratory simulations confirm this dynamic, showing the development of sorted frost boils with clasts concentrated at the margins after repeated freeze-thaw cycles.[39][40]Deformation in patterned ground involves both initial nucleation and subsequent alignment, modeled through instabilities and mass movement processes. The Rayleigh-Taylor instability contributes to pattern nucleation by driving buoyancy-induced perturbations at the interface between denser thawed soil and lighter frozen layers, promoting the formation of nascent polygons or circles. On slopes, solifluction further deforms these features, aligning stripes or steps downslope through slow, saturated flow of the active layer over permafrost, at rates of 10–100 mm per year. These models explain the transition from random sorting to organized geometries observed in field transects across arctic regions.[39][40]The development of these sorted patterns occurs over extended timescales, typically centuries to millennia, with vertical movement rates of up to a few centimeters per year enabling gradual evolution from incipient disturbances to mature forms. This slow progression allows for the accumulation of differential heave, as corroborated by observations along North American arctic transects where pattern spacing correlates with active layer thickness.[39]
Distribution and Conditions
Geographical and Climatic Distribution
Patterned ground features are predominantly found in regions with continuous and discontinuous permafrost, which together cover approximately 15% of the exposed land surface in the Northern Hemisphere.[41][42][43][44][45] These areas include vast expanses of Arctic tundra, such as northern Alaska and Siberia, where intensive frost action drives the formation of sorted circles, polygons, and stripes across expansive lowlands and coastal plains. In the Southern Hemisphere, such features are far less common due to limited suitable conditions, but isolated occurrences exist in high-elevation zones like the Australian Alps, where relict periglacial landforms persist from cooler climatic periods.[41][42][43][44]Beyond polar latitudes, patterned ground manifests at high altitudes in mid-latitude mountain ranges, serving as analogs to low-latitude permafrost environments. For instance, in the Andes and Alps, these features appear above 3,000 meters, where cold temperatures and seasonal frost enable cryoturbation processes similar to those in the Arctic. Hyper-arid cold deserts, such as the Atacama in northern Chile, also host polygonal patterned ground on alluvial surfaces and slopes, despite minimal precipitation, due to diurnal temperature fluctuations and ground ice presence. Key non-polar sites include the Tibetan Plateau, where large-scale polygons (15–20 meters across) dominate permafrost landscapes at elevations of 4,500–4,800 meters, and Antarctic nunataks, such as those in Dronning Maud Land, where sorted stripes and polygons form on exposed rock surfaces amid surrounding ice sheets.[46][47][48][49]Climatically, patterned ground requires environments with mean annual temperatures typically below -4°C, often ranging from -2°C to -8°C in permafrost zones, coupled with more than 200 annual freeze-thaw cycles to facilitate soilsorting and deformation. These conditions are most prevalent in zones of deep seasonal frost and permafrost, where ground temperatures remain below 0°C for extended periods, promoting ice lens formation and cryoturbation. Recent climate warming has influenced this distribution, with permafrost thaw reducing the extent of active patterned ground by altering thermal regimes; for example, accelerated upfreezing and shrub encroachment in Siberian tundra have diminished feature visibility and stability since the late 20th century.[50][6][51][52]
Substrate and Topographic Influences
The development of patterned ground is profoundly shaped by substrate composition, which determines the potential for cryoturbation and material sorting. Fine-grained, silty substrates, such as loess, promote frost heaving by retaining moisture that facilitates the formation of ice lenses during freeze-thaw cycles.[22] These sediments allow for differential uplift in the centers of features like nonsorted circles and polygons, enhancing pattern visibility. In contrast, coarse gravel substrates inhibit patterned ground formation by limiting water infiltration and reducing the cohesion needed for heaving, often resulting in absent or poorly developed features.[53]Moisture availability further modifies these substrate effects by influencing the intensity of frost processes. In saturated zones, ample water enhances ice segregation, leading to greater vertical and horizontal displacements that amplify sorting and heaving in fine-grained materials.[39] This is particularly evident in permafrost regions where underlying ice maintains soil saturation, promoting robust patterned ground. Conversely, in arid or well-drained areas, low moisture restricts activity to thermal contraction cracking, limiting development to simple, unsorted polygons without significant heaving or sorting.[23]Topography interacts with substrate and moisture to dictate the morphology and persistence of patterns. Flat terrains favor the formation of polygons and circles, where uniform frost action allows symmetric heaving without directional bias.[13] On gentle slopes of 2° to 15°, gravitational forces elongate these features downslope, inducing stripes and steps through enhanced solifluction and sorting of coarser materials into treads.[13] Steeper slopes exceeding 20° disrupt patterns via mass wasting, as accelerated erosion and slumping prevent the stabilization required for cryoturbate features.[2]Substrate and topographic influences often interact to produce site-specific variations. For instance, in the Antarctic Dry Valleys, fine-grained sediments in valley floors enable the development of large sublimation polygons up to 35 m in diameter, where limited moisture and stable topography amplify contraction cracking over extended timescales.[54] These interactions are amplified by repeated frost cycles, which exploit substrate properties to drive differential movement.[22]
Significance and Research
Geomorphological and Paleoclimatic Indicators
Relict sorted circles and other fossil patterned ground features serve as key geomorphological indicators of past periglacial environments, particularly during the Pleistocene, when they reveal the former extent of permafrost in regions now free of such conditions. In mid-latitude Europe, these relict forms document widespread periglacial activity south of the glacial limits, covering extensive areas that were subject to intense frost processes during the Last Glacial Maximum and earlier cold stages.[55][56] For instance, large fossil polygons and sorted nets in areas like the Campine region of Belgium and the Sudetes Mountains indicate permafrost distribution that encompassed much of central and western Europe, reflecting colder climates with mean annual temperatures 10–15°C below present levels.[57][58]As paleoclimatic proxies, the density and morphology of these patterns correlate with former permafrost depth and thermal regimes, providing insights into past environmental conditions. Higher pattern densities often signify shallower permafrost tables and more frequent freeze-thaw cycles, while larger features suggest deeper, more stable permafrost.[23] Surface exposure dating using cosmogenic nuclides, such as 10Be, has yielded ages for sorted polygons in central Europe ranging from 30–20 ka during the Weichselian glacial stage, with some features indicating activity up to 100 ka, linking them to Marine Isotope Stages 3 and 4.[58][59] These chronologies confirm the patterns' role in reconstructing regional paleotemperatures and permafrost dynamics, often aligning with hemispheric climate oscillations recorded in ice cores.[60]Sorted patterned ground also holds ecological significance by generating microhabitats that influence vegetation distribution and biodiversity in periglacial zones. Stone borders around sorted circles create finer-textured soil centers that retain moisture and nutrients, supporting denser vegetation cover and higher plant species richness—up to 44 species in some alpine examples—compared to surrounding barren areas.[20] These features enhance local biodiversity by providing refugia for specialized flora and fauna, such as pikas in rock domains, while the coarser stone margins promote aeration and reduce soil compaction. Hydrologically, the patterns improve drainage through permeable stone rings, channeling meltwater to vegetated cores and mitigating waterlogging, which sustains wetland-like conditions in otherwise arid tundra settings.[61][62]Under ongoing climate change, thawing of the active layer above permafrost accelerates the disruption of patterned ground, leading to morphological degradation and loss of these features. This process destabilizes soil structure, causing subsidence and altered sediment transport, particularly in relict zones where patterns are no longer actively maintained.[63] As permafrost degrades, the active layer thickens, releasing stored organic carbon through enhanced microbial decomposition, with projections estimating 1–2 Gt of carbon emissions annually from northern permafrost regions by the late 21st century.[64] This feedback exacerbates global warming, underscoring the vulnerability of periglacial landscapes to rapid environmental shifts.[65]
Modern Applications and Extraterrestrial Analogues
Remote sensing technologies, including LiDAR-derived digital elevation models (DEMs) and satellite imagery such as Landsat and Radarsat Constellation Mission (RCM) data, have enabled detailed mapping of ice-wedge polygons—a key form of patterned ground—for monitoring permafrost stability and climate-driven changes in Arctictundra landscapes. These multisource datasets, with resolutions down to 5 meters, overcome limitations of optical imagery like cloud cover by integrating synthetic aperture radar (SAR) for all-weather detection, allowing classification of polygonal wetlands, uplands, and water bodies with high accuracy. Since 2022, artificial intelligence models, particularly convolutional neural networks (CNNs), have enhanced these efforts by fusing RCM SAR and ArcticDEM data to achieve mean intersection over union scores of 0.931 in polygon classification, supporting broader climate monitoring of thaw dynamics. Additionally, AI-driven detection of retrogressive thaw slumps—features arising from the degradation of ice-rich patterned ground—has produced multi-year databases covering over 1.64 million km² of the circum-Arctic, identifying thousands of active slumps from 2018–2023 using PlanetScope and Landsat imagery, thus predicting thaw risks in polygon-dominated areas. In 2025, the DARTS database further advanced this by providing AI-detected RTS footprints across 1.64 million km² from 2021–2023.[66]Patterned ground influences infrastructure stability in the Arctic, where thawing polygons cause differential subsidence and cracking in roads and runways due to increased unfrozen water and reduced soil cohesion in ice-rich soils. In Alaska, where ~70% of infrastructure lies in high-thaw-potential zones, permafrost degradation linked to patterned ground is projected to double damage costs to $37–51 billion by mid-century under medium-to-high emission scenarios, with roads accounting for 65–69% of impacts. Mitigation strategies include gravel-insulated roadbeds to minimize heat transfer to underlying permafrost, as well as thermosyphons and elevated designs to maintain ground stability in polygon terrains, drawing from adaptation guidelines for permafrost regions.Extraterrestrial analogues of patterned ground appear prominently on Mars, where thermal contraction polygons in Utopia Planitia, imaged by the High Resolution Imaging Science Experiment (HiRISE) since 2006, exhibit morphologies comparable to Earth's frost-driven features, indicating past episodes of water and frost activity in ice-rich mantles. These small-scale polygons (<25 m diameter), classified into types like mixed-center and subdued forms, formed through cracking of volatile-rich sediments ~1.5 million years ago, serving as proxies for ancient climatic conditions involving limited liquid water. Recent 2023–2025 studies have strengthened links to subsurface ice, mapping ~9,000 polygons in northern Amazonis Planitia with modal diameters suggesting ice at 8–12 cm depths, corroborated by radar data revealing buried excess ice; while not directly tied to InSight's Elysium Planitia site, such findings integrate seismic insights from the mission to model ice stability in polygonal terrains.Advancements in 2024 modeling have addressed research gaps by incorporating climate change feedbacks into projections of patterned ground evolution, revealing accelerated permafrost thaw and potential widespread degradation in the Arctic under warming scenarios. Global earth system models like MPI-ESM predict intensified coastal erosion and methane emissions from thawing polygons, with heterogeneous wetland expansion amplifying carbon feedbacks; these simulations indicate substantial losses in ice-wedge stability, underscoring the need for integrated monitoring to quantify regional pattern disruptions by century's end.[67]