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TOI-700 d

TOI-700 d is a , approximately 1.16 times the radius of , orbiting the M-type star every 37.4 days at a semi-major axis of 0.163 , placing it squarely within the star's where liquid water could potentially exist on its surface. Discovered in January 2020 by NASA's (TESS) through the transit method, it represents the first Earth-sized world in a habitable zone identified by this mission, located about 101 light-years away in the constellation . The host star is a cool, dim M2 dwarf with a mass of 0.42 masses, a radius of 0.42 radii, and an of around 3,480 , making its much closer to the star than that of Sun-like stars. d receives about 86% of the stellar flux that does from the Sun, resulting in an equilibrium temperature of approximately 269 , though actual surface conditions would depend on atmospheric , which remains uncharacterized. Its mass is estimated at 2.4 masses based on 2024 measurements, suggesting a rocky with a about 1.5 times that of . As part of a multi-planet system that includes at least three other confirmed worlds—TOI-700 b, c, and the more recently discovered TOI-700 e— orbits with a low of 0.04 and near-edge-on inclination, facilitating detailed observations. Despite its promising location, challenges to arise from the red dwarf's frequent stellar flares and high radiation, which could strip atmospheres unless the planet possesses a strong or thick protective gas envelope. Ongoing observations with telescopes like the , including Cycle 3 programs targeting transmission spectroscopy as of 2025, aim to probe its atmosphere for biosignatures, such as or oxygen, to assess its potential for supporting life.

Discovery and observation

Initial discovery

TOI-700 d was initially detected as a transit signal in data from NASA's Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) during Sector 3 observations, collected between September 2018 and January 2019. The signal was identified using the Science Processing Operations Center (SPOC) pipeline at NASA's Ames Research Center, which flagged it as a potential exoplanet candidate orbiting the nearby M2 dwarf star TOI-700, located 31.1 parsecs away. This detection was part of TESS's survey of bright nearby stars, where the host star's brightness and stability facilitated the identification of small planetary signals. Early analysis raised concerns that the transit signal might be a false positive caused by a nearby eclipsing binary contaminating the TESS pixels. To address this, ground-based photometric follow-up was conducted using NASA's Spitzer Space Telescope, which observed a full transit of TOI-700 d at 4.5 μm in October 2019, confirming the signal's planetary origin and depth consistent with an Earth-sized world. Additional validation came from observations with several 0.6-m telescopes, including the CROW telescope at the South African Astronomical Observatory, which provided high-precision light curves ruling out background eclipsing binaries and other false positive scenarios. These efforts reduced the false alarm probability to less than 0.23%. Radial velocity measurements using the CHIRON spectrograph on the 1.5-m SMARTS began in early 2020, providing initial upper limits on the planet's mass of less than 13.5 masses at 3σ confidence, supporting its classification as a rather than a larger body. The discovery was announced by on January 6, 2020, and detailed in a paper led by Emily A. Gilbert et al., published in The Astronomical Journal on August 14, 2020 (DOI: 10.3847/1538-3881/aba4b2). This marked TOI-700 d as the first Earth-sized planet in a discovered by TESS, receiving about 86% of 's incident stellar flux.

Follow-up observations and characterization

Following the initial detection by TESS, campaigns targeted the system to constrain masses, with observations using the EXPRES spectrograph from 2020 to 2022 providing early upper limits on the mass of TOI-700 d of less than 5.8 M⊕ at 95% confidence. These efforts were complemented by data from the ESPRESSO spectrograph on the , where analysis of observations spanning 2020–2024 yielded a precise mass measurement for TOI-700 d of 2.40 ± 0.49 M⊕, confirming its nature and enabling density estimates consistent with a rocky composition. Transit timing variations (TTV) have been analyzed using TESS photometry from Sectors 7, 34, 35, and 46, which extended the observational baseline and refined the of d to 37.42343 ± 0.00004 days, reducing uncertainties and probing potential gravitational interactions within the multi-planet system. At the 2025 meeting (as of June 2025), new data were presented, further confirming the nature of d and revealing a low for TOI-700 c (0.73 g cm⁻³), indicative of a /helium-dominated atmosphere enveloping a low-mass core. In 2024, the Space Telescope's Cycle 1 General Observer program GO 6193 (PI: Emily Pass) observed of TOI-700 d using NIRISS/SOSS for single-object slitless , aiming to detect atmospheric signals and search for exomoons comparable in size to through perturbations in the and spectral features. As of November 2025, analysis of these data is ongoing, with no published atmospheric constraints yet available.

Host system

The host star TOI-700

is a star of spectral type M2V, situated in the constellation at a distance of 101.4 light-years (31.1 parsecs) from . It exhibits an apparent visual magnitude of 13.15, which, combined with its proximity, enables detailed photometric and spectroscopic studies using both space- and ground-based observatories. The star possesses an effective temperature of 3480 ± 70 K, a radius of 0.416 ± 0.024 R, and a of 0.415 ± 0.043 M, making it roughly 42% the and of while being significantly cooler and dimmer. Its is slightly subsolar at [Fe/H] = -0.08, with a of log g = 4.73 (cgs units), confirming its status as a main-sequence M dwarf with a stable . The age of is estimated at 1.5–6.5 Gyr, inferred from gyrochronological relations calibrated against its photometric variability and chromospheric activity indicators, such as Hα emission, which show no significant youth signals. displays low levels of stellar activity, characterized by a period of approximately 54 days and infrequent, minimal flares that pose limited threats to the retention of planetary atmospheres. This quiet nature, typical for older M dwarfs, supports the potential for long-term in its circumstellar environment. The star's subdued activity and red were key to enabling the detection of its by the (TESS).

The multi-planet system

The TOI-700 system consists of four confirmed planets, designated TOI-700 b, c, d, and e, all detected via the transit method using data from NASA's (TESS). Planets b, c, and d were discovered and validated in 2020, with orbital periods of 9.98 days for b, 16.05 days for c, and 37.42 days for d; b has a radius of 0.94 R⊕ and a mass upper limit of <0.74 M⊕, while c is a sub-Neptune with a radius of 2.65 R⊕ and mass of 2.50 ± 0.34 M⊕, and d has a radius of 1.16 R⊕ and mass of 2.40 M⊕. Planet e was identified in 2023 through additional TESS sectors and Spitzer photometry, with an orbital period of 27.81 days, radius of 0.93 R⊕, and mass upper limit of <1.16 M⊕; it orbits between c and d. The system exhibits a compact architecture, with all four planets orbiting within 0.16 AU of the host star, a configuration enabled by the cool M2 dwarf's low luminosity that allows habitable-zone planets to reside close-in. The orbital periods show near-resonant spacing, such as a ratio of approximately 1.6:1 between c and b (close to a 3:2 resonance) and 1.35:1 between d and e (near a 4:3 resonance), suggesting possible formation through disk migration followed by capture into these configurations. Dynamical stability simulations, including N-body integrations over billions of years, indicate that the system remains stable on gigayear timescales for a range of planetary masses and low eccentricities (<0.01), with no significant transit timing variations observed to disrupt the orbits. TOI-700 d and e, both Earth-sized and positioned in or near the , position the system as a prime target for comparative exoplanetology, enabling studies of planetary diversity under similar stellar irradiation and potential atmospheric evolution.

Physical properties

Size, mass, and density

TOI-700 d is classified as a super-Earth based on its measured physical dimensions. The planet's radius is 1.156^{+0.064}_{-0.063} R, derived from updated combined transit photometry observations including data from the (TESS). These transits provide precise constraints on the planet's size relative to its host star, confirming its Earth-like while accounting for instrumental systematics and stellar variability. The mass of TOI-700 d was measured to be 2.40^{+0.49}_{-0.52} M through high-precision (RV) observations using the spectrograph on the in 2024. This RV data, spanning multiple observing seasons, detected the planet's gravitational influence on its host star, enabling the mass determination despite the challenges posed by the faint M-dwarf primary. The measurement briefly references the integration of RV signals with prior ephemerides to refine the planetary parameters. From these radius and values, the of TOI-700 d is calculated as \rho = \frac{3M}{4\pi R^3} = 8.47^{+2.44}_{-2.59} \, \mathrm{g/cm^3}, where the assumes a spherical body and the uncertainty arises from of the and radius measurements using the \sigma_\rho / \rho \approx (\sigma_M / M) + 3(\sigma_R / R). This exceeds Earth's value of 5.51 g/cm³, indicating a predominantly rocky composition potentially enriched in iron or depleted in light volatiles.

Composition and internal structure

TOI-700 d is modeled as a rocky with a differentiated internal structure consisting of a substantial iron , a , and little to no layer, based on mass-radius relations derived from the (PREM). Recent measurements yield a of approximately 8.47 g/cm³, which aligns with compositions featuring a mass fraction of 50-70%, significantly higher than Earth's 32%, indicating an iron-enriched interior similar to Mercury. This high fraction rules out volatile-rich interiors, as the planet's exceeds expectations for water- or ice-dominated structures. Differentiation models place the core-mantle boundary at roughly 0.3-0.4 radii from the center, comprising the innermost region dominated by iron and alloys under high pressure. The overlying mantle, composed primarily of magnesium and iron silicates, extends to the surface, potentially enabling internal and heat transport. A thin hydrogen-helium envelope, if present, would constitute less than 1% of the planet's mass but is deemed unlikely given the elevated density relative to sub-Neptune companions like c in the same system. The planet's surface gravity is estimated at about 1.8 times Earth's, supporting a terrain akin to or Mars in scale and composition, though with greater overall mass. Tidal interactions within the system could drive modest internal heating, potentially fostering volcanic activity in , as seen in tidally active bodies like , though at lower intensities due to the planet's orbital distance. These 2024 constraints from firmly exclude low-density, volatile-laden models, reinforcing the interpretation of a predominantly interior.

Equilibrium temperature and irradiation

The equilibrium temperature of TOI-700 d is calculated based on the stellar irradiation it receives, assuming zero Bond albedo and efficient heat redistribution across the planet's surface, equivalent to a rapid rotator model with no greenhouse effect. This yields a value of T_{\rm eq} = 268.8 \pm 7.6 K, or approximately -4.3°C. The calculation uses the standard formula for blackbody equilibrium temperature: T_{\rm eq} = T_{\star} \sqrt{\frac{R_{\star}}{2 a}} (1 - A)^{0.25} where T_{\star} = 3480 is the of the host , R_{\star} is the stellar radius in AU, a = 0.161 AU is the semi-major axis of the planet's orbit, and A = 0 is the . The planet receives an insolation flux of approximately 0.86 times that of (S_{\rm eff} = 0.86 \, S_{\oplus}), which positions it within the conservative of the M-dwarf host . This flux level provides a baseline thermal input that could support liquid water under certain atmospheric conditions, though actual surface temperatures would depend on planetary properties. Variations in significantly alter T_{\rm eq}; for an Earth-like of 0.3, the temperature drops to approximately 240 K, emphasizing the cooling effect of reflected stellar radiation. Atmospheric models incorporating effects from gases such as CO₂ or H₂O suggest potential surface warming, raising effective temperatures to 280–300 even with moderate values, depending on composition and thickness. Given its proximity to the host star, TOI-700 d is likely tidally locked, with one hemisphere perpetually facing the star. This configuration can lead to substantial day-night temperature contrasts, up to 200 in simulations with limited atmospheric heat transport, influencing global circulation and stability.

Orbital characteristics

Orbital elements

The orbit of TOI-700 d is characterized by a semi-major axis of 0.1633 ± 0.0027 . Its is 37.42396 ± 0.00039 days, determined from photometry and refined through transit timing variations (TTV). The is nearly circular, with an of 0.042 ± 0.045 based on (RV) measurements and TTV analysis. The is 89.80 ± 0.12°, consistent with the edge-on geometry required for . TOI-700 d shares its orbital region with the inner planet TOI-700 e, with a period ratio of approximately 1.346:1 (near 4:3 mean-motion ), suggesting possible dynamical interactions influencing long-term , as 38% of N-body simulations show resonance capture with low eccentricities. The planet's Hill radius is approximately 0.0024 , a scale relevant for assessing the stability of potential natural satellites within its sphere of gravitational influence. Due to the nearly edge-on orientation of the orbit, parameters such as the and the argument of pericenter remain unconstrained by current observations.

Transit parameters

The transits of TOI-700 d are characterized by a depth of approximately 547 parts per million (0.0547%) in the TESS bandpass, corresponding to the square of the planet-to-star ratio. The total transit duration from first to fourth is 3.314 ± 0.067 hours, with the ingress and egress each lasting approximately 5 minutes based on the fitted ingress/egress timescale of 0.00367 ± 0.00078 days. These photometric properties were derived from phase-folded light curves using the EXOFASTv2 modeling framework, which accounts for the planet's near 90 degrees. The impact parameter, indicating the minimum projected separation of the planet's center from the stellar disk in units of stellar radii, is measured as b = 0.29 \pm 0.14. during is modeled with a , yielding coefficients u_1 = 0.20 \pm 0.12 and u_2 = 0.48 \pm 0.13 in the TESS bandpass, consistent with theoretical expectations for an M2 dwarf in the relevant wavelength range. A combined fit of TESS and Spitzer 4.5 μm photometry refines the planetary radius to $1.073 \pm 0.059 R_\oplus, achieving a precision of about 5% and confirming the signal across bandpasses without chromatic variation indicative of astrophysical false positives. The analysis shows no evidence for planetary rings, which would produce asymmetric or extended shapes, nor for additional transiting bodies that could dilute or distort the signal. The of 37.42 days ensures predictable ephemerides for follow-up. Prospects for high-precision transit monitoring with the include NIRISS single-object slitless spectroscopy (SOSS) mode, where the expected for measuring the transit depth is approximately 20–30 per transit at 1 μm, limited by the faint host star of J \approx 10.5 but aided by the low stellar activity of TOI-700. Due to the host star's southern of -65.58°, TOI-700 d transits are observable from Earth-based telescopes for roughly 40% of the year, primarily from sites to maximize sky visibility and minimize airmass.

Habitability and prospects

Position in the habitable zone

TOI-700 d orbits its host star at a semi-major axis of 0.163 , positioning it firmly within the conservative boundaries of 0.14 AU (inner edge) to 0.32 AU (outer edge) as calculated using the for M-dwarf stars by Kopparapu et al. (2013). This placement indicates potential for surface liquid water under Earth-like atmospheric conditions, with the planet receiving 85–88% of Earth's insolation (S_⊕). Such flux levels keep TOI-700 d below the inner threshold of approximately 0.97 S_⊕, which marks the onset of a , and well interior to the outer limit of 1.67 S_⊕ associated with the maximum greenhouse scenario. In contrast, the neighboring planet TOI-700 e orbits at 0.132 and receives about 1.27 S_⊕, situating it within the optimistic but near its inner boundary, where higher irradiation may limit stable liquid water unless mitigated by a dense atmosphere or other factors. The around is projected to shift outward over the star's main-sequence lifetime of roughly 5 Gyr due to gradual cooling and modest increase typical of M-dwarf , thereby preserving TOI-700 d's position within habitable conditions for billions of years. TOI-700's relatively low magnetic activity, evidenced by the absence of detected white-light flares across multiple TESS sectors, minimizes high-energy radiation exposure and associated atmospheric erosion risks for its planets compared to more flare-prone M-dwarfs.

Atmospheric retention and models

TOI-700 d's escape velocity, estimated at approximately 16 km/s based on its mass of 2.4 Earth masses and radius of 1.16 Earth radii (as of 2024), exceeds Earth's 11.2 km/s, providing a strong gravitational barrier to atmospheric loss. The planet receives a stellar XUV flux of approximately 65 times that incident on Earth, yet this is moderated by TOI-700's age of ~5.1 Gyr (as of 2025) and quiescent nature, reducing the risk of hydrodynamic escape. A 2023 study using multi-fluid MHD simulations modeled ion escape for a Venus-like CO2-dominated atmosphere (1 bar pressure, unmagnetized case) and found that it could be retained for over 1 billion years under XUV fluxes below 30 times Earth's current value, with escape rates suppressed by the interplanetary magnetic field orientation nearly parallel to the stellar wind. If the planet formed with hydrated minerals, outgassing could contribute a subsurface H2O layer, enhancing long-term volatile retention. Climate modeling with general circulation models (GCMs) indicates diverse atmospheric states for TOI-700 d, depending on volatile and . For atmospheres rich in CO2 and H2O, a could elevate surface temperatures to 273-373 , supporting global liquid oceans under tidally locked conditions with efficient heat redistribution. In contrast, scenarios with minimal volatiles may result in a snowball state, with surface ice covering most of the planet and temperatures below 200 . These models assume a rocky core-dominated , as evidenced by the planet's of approximately 8.5 g/cm³. Transmission spectroscopy observations with the (JWST) offer prospects for detecting key atmospheric constituents on TOI-700 d. Simulations predict signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) greater than 5 for H2O, CO2, or absorption features in the 1-5 μm range, assuming an atmosphere 10 times thicker than Earth's (e.g., 10 bar pressure), achievable with NIRSpec or instruments over multiple transits. However, thinner atmospheres near 1 bar yield lower SNR (~1-2), complicating detection amid the star's faintness and the planet's small . TOI-700 d's higher density compared to its inner neighbor c (density ≈0.7 g/cm³, indicative of a H/He ) suggests that d either formed rocky without accreting a thick gaseous or lost one early via photoevaporation, distinguishing its atmospheric evolution. This rocky nature may facilitate volatile from , potentially seeding a secondary atmosphere.

Potential for natural satellites

The Hill sphere of TOI-700 d, calculated at approximately 0.003 for a of 2.4 masses in its around the M2 dwarf , defines the region where a satellite's can remain against perturbations from the parent star. Within this sphere, stable prograde moons could orbit up to roughly 0.001 from the , a distance scaled comparably to the Moon's around when adjusted for TOI-700 d's lower mass. This limit aligns with dynamical simulations for habitable-zone planets around red dwarfs, where the Hill radius constrains moon semi-major axes to about 40% of the sphere's extent to avoid ejection over long timescales. Potential formation mechanisms for moons around TOI-700 d include capture of asteroids from the or co-accretion within a during the planet's inward migration. In the system, gravitational influences from the neighboring planet TOI-700 e could enhance capture efficiencies by perturbing disk material during migration phases, facilitating the assembly of Luna-sized satellites. Such processes are consistent with models of satellite formation around terrestrial planets in compact multi-planet systems orbiting low-mass . Ongoing observations with the under General Observer program 6193 (cycle 3, 2024–2025) target of TOI-700 d using the NIRISS/SOSS instrument to search for natural satellites. These aim to detect transit timing deviations caused by a moon's gravitational tug or excess emission from a Luna-sized companion (radius ≈0.27 R⊕) during and around the event. Non-detection at this would constrain the occurrence rate of such moons to below 12% for Earth-like habitable-zone worlds. Dynamical stability analyses indicate that prograde moons around TOI-700 d could remain bound for gigayears, with simulations showing survival times exceeding 1 Gyr under nominal orbital parameters. In contrast, retrograde moons face instability due to rapid tidal evolution, potentially leading to inward migration and Roche lobe overflow within less than 100 million years. The planet's low (e < 0.05) minimally disrupts these stability boundaries but could slightly widen the allowable moon orbits in resonant configurations. The presence of natural satellites could enhance TOI-700 d's by stabilizing the planet's against climatic chaos, promoting consistent seasonal cycles over billions of years. Additionally, tidal interactions between the planet and its moons might drive internal heating, fostering and sources that sustain subsurface even under stellar flares. These effects, modeled for exomoons in systems, underscore the potential role of satellites in broadening the conditions for life on worlds like TOI-700 d.

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