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2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election

The 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election was conducted on 10 May 2023 to elect members for all 224 seats in the unicameral Karnataka Vidhan Sabha, the of the state legislature. The achieved a decisive majority with 135 seats, displacing the ruling , which had governed since 2019 under Chief Ministers and and secured 66 seats, while the Janata Dal (Secular) won 19. Voter turnout marked a record high of 73.19 percent, surpassing previous elections and reflecting heightened electoral participation. Results were declared on 13 May 2023, enabling the Congress to form the government without coalition support, ending the BJP's tenure amid perceptions of governance lapses and internal party discord. This outcome represented Congress's strongest performance in the state since 1989, driven by effective mobilization in southern and central regions where against the BJP's handling of economic and social issues proved decisive.

Background

Historical context of Karnataka elections

The Karnataka Legislative Assembly, comprising 224 seats, has conducted elections every five years since the state's unification in 1956 under the States Reorganisation Act, with the maintaining dominance through the post-independence period, securing majorities in nearly all assemblies until the 1980s due to its organizational strength and association with the freedom struggle. In the 1989 election, Congress won 179 seats, capturing approximately 79% of the assembly. The 1980s and 1990s marked a shift toward multi-party competition, with the Janata Party's victory in 1985 under breaking Congress's uninterrupted rule, followed by the rise of factions amid regional caste dynamics and anti-Congress sentiments. By 1994, secured 115 seats, reflecting fragmentation of the socialist vote. The (BJP) emerged as a contender in the mid-1990s, expanding from 4 seats in 1989 to 44 in 1999, primarily in northern districts through appeals to Lingayat communities and mobilization. The 2000s saw hung assemblies and coalitions, with the 2004 election yielding no clear majority—Congress with 65 seats and BJP with 79—leading to a short-lived Congress-Janata Dal (Secular) alliance. BJP achieved a breakthrough in , winning 110 seats and forming the first non-Congress majority government in southern under . returned to power in 2013 with 122 seats, benefiting from against BJP's governance. The 2018 poll resulted in another hung house, BJP emerging largest with 104 seats but relying on legislative defections to sustain a minority administration under Yediyurappa and later , highlighting persistent instability in the state's polarized politics among , BJP, and JD(S).

Performance of the Bommai BJP government (2019-2023)

The BJP government in , led by from July 2021 onward following B.S. Yediyurappa's resignation, oversaw a period marked by sustained economic expansion driven by the state's IT sector and manufacturing investments. Real GSDP growth averaged 7.4% annually from 2012-13 to 2021-22, exceeding the national average of 5.6%, with maintaining its position as India's third-largest economy by GSDP. Fiscal management remained disciplined, with the fiscal deficit targeted at 2.6% of GSDP for 2022-23 and actual revenue deficit at 0.78% of GSDP in estimates, supported by borrowings of Rs. 77,750 crore. inflows were robust, with attracting over $57 billion from October 2019 to March 2025, comprising about 20% of national totals during that span, though a year-on-year decline occurred in FY23-24. Welfare initiatives emphasized rural and agricultural support, including the Raita Vidya Nidhi scholarship program providing financial aid for farmers' children pursuing , and advancements in such as the first 100% piped water project in taluk. Digital governance was enhanced through revival of the Pratibimba for real-time monitoring of projects. The responded to the with infrastructure leveraging, achieving marginally better outcomes than states like , though challenges in healthcare capacity were evident amid national shortages. rates remained relatively low, with urban figures at 4.2% in FY23, supported by IT and services sector resilience. Criticisms centered on lapses and allegations, including scams in recruitment and procurement, as raised by opposition leaders who labeled the administration as the "most corrupt" in the country. Internal BJP infighting and losses, such as in constituency in November 2021, highlighted political vulnerabilities. Despite these, the government prioritized infrastructure projects worth significant investments to boost industrial growth. Overall performance reflected continuity in economic strengths but was tempered by fiscal pressures from and pandemic recovery, with opposition claims of pro-people failures unsubstantiated by independent economic indicators.

Pre-election political defections and alliances

In the lead-up to the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, the major political parties opted to contest independently without formal pre-poll alliances. The Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)), led by , explicitly ruled out any alliance on October 19, 2022, stating the party would field candidates on its own symbol across all 224 constituencies, with its first list of candidates scheduled for release on November 1, 2022. The (BJP) and also proceeded solo, forgoing seat-sharing pacts despite speculation of potential JD(S)-BJP coordination in Vokkaliga-dominated regions. Defections became a notable feature of the pre-election landscape, primarily involving senior BJP figures switching to after being denied party tickets during the candidate selection process in March and April 2023. On April 12, 2023, former Deputy Laxman Savadi resigned from the BJP's primary membership and the following the denial of a ticket for the Athani constituency, joining two days later on April 14 in the presence of state leaders and . Similarly, former Jagadish Shettar, a six-time MLA and BJP veteran, quit the party on April 16, 2023, after being overlooked for Hubli-Dharwad North, and formally joined the next day, April 17, citing internal party favoritism toward a select few leaders. Other BJP defectors included , a former minister denied a ticket for Chikkodi-Sadalga, who aligned with in late March 2023, contributing to a perceived erosion of BJP's organizational strength in Lingayat and other influential communities. These shifts, totaling at least five high-profile cases, were attributed by observers to BJP's ticket distribution favoring newer faces and parachuted candidates over long-serving loyalists, prompting accusations of high command interference from . leveraged these defections to bolster its campaign in winnable seats, while BJP expelled some defectors and fielded replacements, though the moves highlighted internal fissures within the ahead of the May 10 polling date.

Electoral Framework

Election schedule and administrative details

The announced the schedule for the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election on 29 March 2023, triggering enforcement of the . The official gazette notification was issued on 13 April 2023, marking the formal commencement of the nomination process. Nominations were accepted until 20 April 2023, followed by scrutiny on 21 April 2023 and a withdrawal deadline of 24 April 2023. Polling occurred on a single day, 10 May 2023, across all 224 constituencies from 7:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., with provisions for extended hours in areas of low initial turnout. Counting of votes took place on 13 May 2023 at designated centers under tight security. The process was overseen by the Chief Electoral Officer of Karnataka, reporting to the , with approximately 5.21 electors eligible to vote. Voter information slips were distributed to aid identification of polling stations and serial numbers in electoral rolls. The election adhered to standard administrative protocols, including special arrangements for vulnerable groups and electronic voting machines across polling stations.

Voter demographics and polling infrastructure

As of the final electoral rolls for the 2023 election, had approximately 5.2 registered electors eligible to vote across the state's 224 constituencies. Women voters outnumbered male voters in 112 of these constituencies, predominantly in rural areas spanning 28 of 's 34 , reflecting regional variations in gender ratios within the electorate. The established 58,282 s statewide to accommodate the electorate, with each station equipped with Machines (EVMs) consisting of a and balloting unit connected by cable. Polling occurred on May 10, 2023, from 7:00 a.m. to 6:00 p.m., with voter information slips distributed in advance to indicate polling station locations, serial numbers in the , and voting details. In urban areas like , additional measures included 264 theme-based model polling stations aimed at boosting participation amid historical apathy. The infrastructure supported single-phase voting across the state, with EVMs sealing votes post-polling for secure transport and counting.

Contesting Parties and Alliances

Bharatiya Janata Party and NDA partners

The (BJP), the incumbent ruling party and national convener of the (NDA), contested the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election without pre-poll alliances with other parties in the state. Union Home Minister announced in December 2022 that the BJP would fight the polls independently to maximize its own strength. The party fielded candidates across 223 of the 224 constituencies, led by , who had assumed office in July 2021 following B. S. Yediyurappa's resignation. Bommai served as chairman of the BJP's state election campaign committee, appointed in March 2023. The BJP's campaign emphasized the state government's welfare programs, including the continuation of free rice distribution under the Anna Bhagya scheme, infrastructure projects, and accusations against the opposition of minority appeasement and potential financial mismanagement. National leaders, particularly , conducted multiple rallies to bolster the effort, positioning the election as a on strong against alleged in previous regimes. Despite these efforts, internal critiques emerged during the campaign, with Bommai's leadership somewhat overshadowed by central party figures setting the narrative. In the results declared on 13 May 2023, the BJP won 66 seats, a significant drop from its 104 seats in the 2018 election, failing to retain power amid factors. secured re-election from the constituency for a fourth consecutive term, but the party's overall performance prompted calls for renewal, with himself stating post-defeat that the BJP needed "new blood and new thinking." No other NDA constituents, such as future allies like the Janata Dal (Secular) which joined the coalition only in September 2023 for national polls, participated in the state assembly contest.

Indian National Congress

The (INC) contested the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election independently, without formal pre-poll alliances, fielding candidates in all 224 constituencies. The party operated under the leadership of Karnataka Pradesh Congress Committee president , with positioned as the chief ministerial candidate due to his prior experience as from 2013 to 2018. In the election held on May 10, 2023, the secured 135 seats, achieving a in the unicameral legislature and ending the Bharatiya Janata Party's incumbency. This victory represented the party's strongest performance in the state since 1989, when it last won an outright majority with a comparable vote share. was sworn in as on May 20, 2023, with Shivakumar appointed as Deputy Chief Minister, reflecting an internal power-sharing arrangement to manage factional dynamics within the party. The INC's platform emphasized welfare-oriented guarantees targeting women, youth, farmers, and households, including Gruha Jyothi for 200 units of electricity monthly, for bus travel for women, and Yuva Nidhi providing monthly unemployment allowances of ₹3,000 for graduates and ₹1,500 for holders. Additional pledges encompassed Bhagya for 10 kg of rice per family member and Gruha Bhagya offering up to ₹2 in aid for construction or repairs. The also committed to repealing laws passed by the previous BJP government deemed "anti-people," such as those related to job exemptions for industries and cow protection. These promises aimed to capitalize on sentiments by addressing economic grievances and social welfare deficits observed under the administration.

Janata Dal (Secular) and regional parties

The Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)), a regional party rooted in Karnataka's community and active primarily in the southern and coastal regions, contested the 2023 Legislative Assembly election independently, eschewing formal pre-poll alliances after earlier explorations with the . Led by , the former , JD(S) positioned itself as a defender of local interests, emphasizing protection of land, water resources, language, and cultural rights in its campaign strategy. The party hoped for a fragmented that would enable it to play a kingmaker role in , drawing on its historical influence in hung assemblies. JD(S) fielded candidates across a significant number of constituencies, concentrating efforts in its strongholds like the Old Mysore region (, , districts) and parts of coastal . In the election held on May 10, 2023, the party won 19 seats out of the 224-member assembly, securing victories including Kumaraswamy's in constituency. This marked a reduction from its 37 seats in the 2018 election, reflecting losses to both the and in Vokkaliga-dominated areas. The Congress's strong performance in southern eroded JD(S)'s base, preventing the anticipated hung outcome. Smaller regional parties, including the and , also participated but secured no seats, with independents winning only two constituencies. JD(S) remained the primary regional contender, maintaining its status as a state-recognized party despite the setback. Post-election, the party opted for opposition status, later forming an alliance with the BJP ahead of the 2024 polls.

Major Issues

Governance and economic performance

Karnataka's gross state domestic product (GSDP) grew to Rs. 22.41 crore in 2022-23, reflecting a 14.2% increase from the previous year under the BJP-led government. This growth was driven primarily by the services sector, particularly and hubs in , which sustained momentum despite national economic disruptions from the . The state's rose from approximately Rs. 244,437 in 2019-20 to higher levels by 2022-23, positioning among India's top performers, though rural-urban disparities persisted with facing challenges like droughts and low productivity. Unemployment rates in Karnataka remained relatively low compared to the national average, with urban unemployment at 4.2% in FY 2023, but in the 15-29 age group hovered higher, contributing to voter dissatisfaction over job creation. The government attracted significant investments, including agreements worth Rs. 1.3 crore in September 2022, bolstering and IT sectors, while inflows supported the state's appeal as an investment destination. However, critics, including opposition leaders, highlighted uneven recovery, with industrial contractions during the and insufficient rural schemes exacerbating agrarian distress. On governance, the Bommai administration emphasized infrastructure development and welfare continuity, such as extending rice subsidies under Anna Bhagya and launching programs for women's self-help groups, but faced accusations of in and liquor contracts, which opposition parties amplified as evidence of administrative lapses. issues, including communal tensions and enforcement gaps, drew scrutiny, though the government claimed improvements in police modernization and drives. Overall, while economic indicators showed resilience, governance perceptions were mixed, with fueled by perceptions of favoritism toward urban elites over rural and marginalized communities.
Key Economic Indicators (2019-2023)Value/Rate
GSDP Growth (2022-23)14.2%
(2019-20)Rs. 244,437
Urban (FY 2023)4.2%
Agreements (Sep 2022)Rs. 1.3

Corruption allegations and financial scandals

The campaigned extensively on allegations of systemic corruption in the Basavaraj Bommai-led (BJP) government, particularly the "40% commission" racket in public works contracts. These claims gained prominence following of Patil on April 12, 2022, in whose note he accused senior BJP ministers, including those from the Bellary district, of demanding 40% kickbacks for approving bills and releasing payments on stalled projects worth over ₹6,000 crore. leaders, including during his rallies in early 2023, amplified the issue by branding the BJP as the "Bribe Janata Party" and promising judicial probes if elected, positioning it as a core narrative that resonated with contractors and small businesses affected by delayed payments. The Bommai administration dismissed note as unsubstantiated and challenged to provide evidence, while noting that Patil's firm had received ₹183 crore in payments under prior regimes, including -led ones. Additional financial scandals targeted by opposition included irregularities in procurement under the BJP regime from 2020 to 2022, with alleging over-invoicing and substandard equipment purchases totaling thousands of s, such as ventilators and PPE kits bought at inflated rates without tenders. A March 2023 incident involving the arrest of BJP MLA Kumaraswamy M. Goutham's son, G. Maruthi, with ₹6.1 in unaccounted cash during an raid, further fueled perceptions of , as the funds were linked to alleged transactions for election funding. Critics from the BJP countered that such cases were isolated and that 's own historical governance in , including the 2013 mining scandal under Siddaramaiah's tenure, involved similar illicit mining and smuggling estimated at ₹16,000 in losses, though these defenses had limited traction amid the incumbent's vulnerabilities. The Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)), contesting independently before its post-poll alliance with BJP, echoed some accusations against the BJP but focused less on financial specifics, instead highlighting governance lapses; however, JD(S) leader faced indirect scrutiny over family-linked businesses receiving state contracts during prior coalitions. Overall, these allegations contributed to the BJP's narrative defensive posture, with emphasizing development achievements over rebuttals, though empirical voter surveys indicated as a top concern driving the Congress's victory on May 13, 2023. Post-election probes, including a one-man in 2025 finding partial merit in the 40% claims but no conclusive proof of a statewide , underscored the allegations' role as politically potent rhetoric rather than fully adjudicated facts at the time of the polls.

Social policies, reservations, and communal dynamics

The debate over caste-based reservations intensified during the campaign, with the BJP-led government's prior efforts to reallocate quotas drawing scrutiny. In 2018, under Chief Minister , the state had enhanced reservations for the politically influential and communities to 15% each by classifying sub-groups as backward classes, but this was partially rolled back and faced legal challenges. The struck down the inclusion of these communities' sub-castes in Category 2A on March 22, 2023, ruling it exceeded the 50% constitutional ceiling and lacked empirical data, leaving dominant castes like (about 15% of population) and (17%) dissatisfied with perceived under-representation relative to their demographic weight. This judicial intervention fueled demands for a census, as parties vied for support from these land-owning groups, who traditionally backed the BJP but showed signs of fragmentation. Congress countered by pledging a comprehensive caste census and removal of the 50% reservation cap to enable higher quotas for Other Backward Classes (OBCs), Scheduled Castes (), and Scheduled Tribes (), framing it as restorative justice for marginalized groups amid accusations of BJP favoring upper castes. Internal quotas within and also emerged as flashpoints, with sub-castes like Madigas and Banjaras protesting unequal benefit distribution; major parties allocated candidate tickets predominantly to just five dominant SC/ST sub-castes across 51 reserved seats, sidelining nomadic and artisan groups like Bhovis and Korachas. These dynamics underscored caste arithmetic's role, as built alliances with OBCs and smaller factions, while the BJP relied on Lingayat consolidation but struggled with intra-Dalit fissures. Social welfare policies featured prominently in manifestos, with Congress emphasizing targeted guarantees to appeal to women, youth, and the poor. The party's five pre-poll pledges included Gruha Jyothi (free electricity up to 200 units monthly for households), (free bus travel for women across state transport), Anna Bhagya (10 kg free rice per family member), (Rs 2,000 monthly to women heads of household), and Yuva Nidhi (Rs 3,000 unemployment allowance for graduates and Rs 1,500 for diploma holders aged 18-25). These schemes, costing an estimated Rs 55,000 crore annually, prioritized economic relief over structural reforms and were positioned against the BJP's governance record. The BJP's manifesto, in contrast, promised implementation of a (UCC) based on state-specific consultations, alongside enhanced pensions and housing for SC/STs, but critics viewed the UCC push as an attempt to unify Hindu personal laws while implicitly challenging minority practices. Communal dynamics saw the BJP employing to consolidate Hindu votes, invoking issues like "," certifications, and alleged Congress appeasement of Muslims through subsidies. Campaign speeches by leaders like and N. Ravikumar highlighted conversions and wakf encroachments, aiming to in regions like coastal Karnataka, where the BJP held sway via networks. However, this strategy yielded mixed results, failing to deliver a sweep in the coast despite anti-minority mobilization; empirical vote shifts indicated voters prioritized and over religious appeals, with gaining among and even some Hindu sub-groups. Incidents of communal , including protests over temple-mosque disputes, amplified but did not translate into proportional seat gains for the BJP, reflecting limits to amid economic grievances.

Regional disputes and agricultural concerns

Agricultural distress emerged as a critical voter concern in the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, particularly in rural constituencies where erratic monsoons and conditions in northern districts like , , and led to substantial losses, exacerbating farmer indebtedness and prompting demands for loan waivers and improved . Pre-election analyses highlighted disaffection among farmers due to the BJP government's perceived failure to deliver timely relief and compensation, with high rates in agrarian areas amplifying these grievances and driving rural support toward the , which secured victories in 90% of rural seats. The manifesto addressed these issues head-on by pledging a farm loan waiver up to ₹2 for eligible farmers, a promise rooted in addressing chronic problems like rising input costs, inadequate minimum support prices, and over 1,000 farmer suicides reported annually in the state prior to the polls, often linked to crop failures from deficient rainfall— received 20-40% below-normal rains in key farming zones during 2022-23. This contrasted with the BJP's focus on schemes like PM-KISAN but drew criticism for insufficient coverage amid ongoing , influencing voter turnout in Vokkaliga and Lingayat-dominated farming belts where economic survival hinged on agricultural viability. Regional water disputes compounded agricultural woes, notably the perennial Cauvery River sharing conflict with , which strained irrigation for paddy and sugarcane farmers in and surrounding districts; the BJP-led state government's resistance to Supreme Court-mandated releases in early preserved local water stocks but fueled protests over long-term inequities, with farmers arguing that upstream diversions and poor reservoir management had reduced cultivable area by up to 30% in affected basins. The Mahadayi (Mhadei) inter-state river dispute with similarly affected Konkan-border farmers, as unauthorized canal constructions proceeded despite tribunal delays, limiting freshwater access for horticulture and raising electoral pitches for assertive state advocacy on resource rights. In contrast, the with , involving claims over 865 villages and linguistic tensions, did not significantly shape campaign narratives, as border residents prioritized infrastructure development over emotive Marathi-Kannada rhetoric, with parties downplaying the issue amid pendency since 1966. These interconnected challenges underscored causal links between hydrological mismanagement, interstate federal frictions, and electoral outcomes, where empirical rural discontent—evident in Congress's sweep of 122 seats versus BJP's 66—reflected a rejection of status quo policies favoring urban growth over agrarian resilience.

Campaign Dynamics

Bharatiya Janata Party strategy and manifesto

The (BJP), as the incumbent ruling party under Chief Minister , adopted a strategy centered on rather than projecting a single chief ministerial face, aiming to mitigate internal factionalism and leverage national leadership appeal. The campaign emphasized extensive grassroots mobilization through booth-level events, taluk conventions with thematic focuses on development and welfare, and high-profile rallies featuring Prime Minister Narendra Modi to consolidate Hindu votes and highlight the "double-engine" governance model linking state and central administrations. BJP strategically fielded strong candidates against prominent leaders, such as challenging in and DK Shivakumar in , to disrupt opposition strongholds. The party also intensified "" tactics with widespread candidate changes—replacing over 50 sitting MLAs—to refresh its image amid sentiments. Key campaign themes revolved around defending governance achievements, including continuation of welfare schemes like Anna Bhagya for free rice distribution and Gruha Lakshmi housing, while accusing the of corruption, dynasty politics, and minority appeasement. The BJP highlighted economic performance under its rule, such as infrastructure development and the increasing reservations for backward classes to counter caste-based mobilization by rivals. Efforts included promoting narratives through enforcement of anti-conversion laws and positioning the party as protector of , though this drew criticism for polarizing rhetoric. On May 1, 2023, the BJP released its , titled Sankalp Patra, outlining 16 key promises aimed at welfare, security, and cultural reforms. Central pledges included implementing the (UCC) based on a state committee's recommendations and preparing for the (NRC) to address . Welfare commitments featured providing free Nandini milk packets daily to below-poverty-line (BPL) families, 200 units of free electricity per month for households, increasing old-age pensions to ₹3,000, and establishing a ₹5,000 youth fund. The also promised housing for 10 homeless poor, autonomy for temple administrations, and infrastructure boosts like declaring a capital region with enhanced funding. These assurances sought to appeal to diverse voter bases, including women, , and rural communities, while reinforcing the party's nationalist credentials.

Indian National Congress strategy and manifesto

The (INC) adopted a strategy focused on against the (BJP) government, emphasizing governance failures, corruption allegations, and targeted welfare promises to appeal to women, youth, farmers, and backward classes. The campaign, led by as the chief ministerial face, avoided internal factionalism by projecting a unified , contrasting with the BJP's perceived disarray following Basavaraj Bommai's elevation amid scandals. INC highlighted the "40% commission" graft claims against BJP, framing the incumbent as a "commission government" that prioritized over public welfare. The , released on May 2, 2023, under the title Sarva Janangada Shanthiya Thota (Garden of Peace for All Communities), outlined five core "guarantees" as immediate deliverables upon forming : Gruha Jyothi providing 200 units of free electricity monthly to households; offering free bus travel for women across state-run services; Anna Bhagya supplying 10 kilograms of free rice per family member; Nidhi disbursing ₹3,000 monthly to graduates and ₹1,500 to diploma holders for two years as unemployment aid; and Gruha granting ₹2,000 monthly to the woman head of each household. These schemes aimed to address economic distress among the poor and , with an estimated annual cost exceeding ₹50,000 , funded through increased own-tax revenue and efficiency measures rather than central aid dependence. Additional commitments included conducting a comprehensive caste census within a year to reassess reservations, potentially increasing quotas for backward classes beyond the existing 50% cap; repealing "anti-people" BJP-enacted laws like the APMC amendments and job regularization ordinances; and enhancing agricultural support through loan waivers up to ₹2 for small farmers, higher milk procurement prices, and investments. The strategy integrated appeals, promising minority welfare without overt communal rhetoric, while focusing on local issues like (peaking at 3.4% in urban areas) and inflation to consolidate votes in southern and central regions where held historical strength. INC's ground-level execution involved door-to-door canvassing, leveraging Siddaramaiah's popularity among (Al minority, backward classes, Dalits) communities, and countering BJP's narrative by prioritizing economic grievances over . The party fielded candidates strategically to avoid three-way splits with Janata Dal (Secular), securing an edge in winnable seats through alliances and independent sweeps in 135 constituencies. This approach yielded 38% vote share, translating to 135 seats, as voters prioritized tangible guarantees amid perceptions of BJP's 2019-2023 tenure delivering uneven growth (state GDP at 8.3% but rural distress high).

Janata Dal (Secular) strategy and manifesto

The Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) contested the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election independently, without a pre-poll alliance, aiming to secure seats primarily in its Vokkaliga-dominated strongholds in the Old Mysore region to emerge as a potential in the event of a hung assembly. Party patriarch and leader emphasized consolidating the party's core rural and farming community base, leveraging Deve Gowda's legacy of agricultural focus and Kumaraswamy's prior governance record. The strategy included fielding candidates across over 200 constituencies, with Kumaraswamy personally contesting from , while highlighting anti-corruption and pro-Kannada sentiments to differentiate from the BJP and . On April 15, 2023, JD(S) released an initial set of 12 promises in , unveiled by , targeting key voter concerns such as farmer welfare and youth employment. The party's full , titled "Janata Pranalike," was launched on April 27, 2023, by , incorporating a "Pancharatna" program of flagship schemes including annual financial assistance for farmers and infrastructure development in rural areas. Key manifesto pledges focused on social and economic incentives, such as providing ₹2 to women marrying youth from farming families to encourage agricultural continuity, restoring the 4% for in and jobs (previously reallocated by the BJP government), and enacting legislation to reserve jobs for to promote local employment. Additional promises included supplying five free LPG cylinders annually to households and drawing inspiration from Telangana's welfare models for expanded social security schemes, all framed under a Kannada pride narrative to appeal to regional sentiments. These commitments aimed to position JD(S) as a pro-farmer, pro-local alternative amid allegations of failures by incumbents.

Pre-Election Assessments

Opinion polls and predictions

Several opinion polls conducted in the lead-up to the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election projected varied outcomes, with many forecasting a hung assembly or a narrow lead for the incumbent (BJP), while others anticipated a stronger showing for the (Congress). Early surveys, released shortly after the Election Commission's notification in late March 2023, often highlighted anti-incumbency against the BJP government but predicted no clear majority, attributing this to fragmented voter preferences amid allegations and regional dynamics. For instance, a Zee News-Matrize poll estimated the BJP securing 103-115 seats, Congress 79-91, and Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) emerging as a potential with around 20 seats.
Polling FirmDateCongress SeatsBJP SeatsJD(S) SeatsSource
Peoples PulseApril 202398Not specified (leading to Congress-led government)Not specified
ABP-CVoterLate April 2023107-119Second position (exact range unspecified)Not specified
C-Voter (final pre-poll for ABP News)Early May 2023110-122Not specifiedNot specified
A Bengaluru-based independent survey by Eedina, involving extensive grassroots sampling, bucked the trend by projecting to win approximately 137 seats, closely aligning with the eventual outcome of 135 seats and demonstrating higher accuracy compared to mainstream polls, which tended to underestimate momentum driven by welfare promises and BJP fatigue. Lokniti-CSDS pre-poll surveys focused more on voter priorities like and rather than seat projections, noting widespread dissatisfaction with the BJP's but no decisive shift toward a single party majority. Predictions from political analysts emphasized Congress's advantage in southern and coastal regions due to its guarantee schemes, contrasted with BJP's reliance on Hindu consolidation and JD(S)'s Vokkaliga base, yet most foresaw coalition possibilities rather than outright victory, reflecting caution amid Karnataka's history of fractured mandates. Party leaders, including BJP's , expressed confidence in retaining power based on development records, while campaigned on a "40% corruption" narrative against the BJP-JD(S) , though internal polls reportedly aligned with public surveys showing competitiveness. Overall, the divergence in polls underscored methodological differences, with citizen-led efforts like Eedina's proving more prescient than agency-driven ones potentially influenced by urban sampling biases.

Exit polls and initial analyses

Exit polls conducted immediately after voting on May 10, 2023, generally projected a favorable outcome for the , with several forecasting a clear in the 224-seat , where 113 seats are required to form a government. The India Today-Axis My India survey predicted would secure 122-140 seats, the (BJP) 62-80 seats, and the Janata Dal (Secular) (JDS) the remainder, emphasizing 's strong performance in southern and central districts. Similarly, the C-Voter survey for estimated at 110-122 seats, positioning it as the largest party ahead of the incumbent BJP's projected 66-82 seats. Other polls indicated a tighter race, with five out of ten major surveys anticipating a hung assembly and JDS potentially acting as with 20-30 seats, though a consensus emerged on improving substantially from its 2018 tally of 80 seats while BJP declined from 104. Only one poll gave BJP a narrow lead, but the overall trend highlighted 's edge, driven by patterns and regional shifts. Initial analyses following the polls attributed Congress's projected gains to widespread against the BJP's governance, particularly over handling of the , infrastructure deficits, and perceived favoritism in resource allocation. Pundits highlighted Congress's unified campaign under leaders like and , focusing on five "guarantee" welfare schemes targeting women, youth, and farmers, which resonated amid economic grievances. arithmetic played a pivotal role, with Congress consolidating votes among backward classes, Scheduled Castes, and , while BJP's Lingayat base showed erosion due to disputes and the 40% commission scandal allegations. Analysts noted JDS's potential influence in Vokkaliga-dominated regions but predicted its limited growth from 37 seats in , insufficient for independent power. Urban-rural divides were evident, with stronger in rural areas grappling with agricultural distress and , contrasting BJP's hold in Bengaluru but losses elsewhere due to concerns. These assessments, while prescient on the winner, underestimated 's eventual 135-seat victory announced on May 13, underscoring exit polls' limitations in capturing late swings or over-reporting enthusiasm biases.

Election Results

Overall seat and vote share outcomes

The achieved a clear majority in the 224-seat , winning 135 seats following the declaration of results on May 13, 2023. This outcome ended the Bharatiya Janata Party's tenure in power, with the BJP securing 66 seats despite having formed the government after the 2018 election. The Janata Dal (Secular) obtained 19 seats, while the Kalyana Rajya Pragati Paksha and Sadhana Karnataka Party each won one seat, alongside two independents. Vote shares reflected a significant consolidation for the , which garnered 43.91% of valid votes cast, its strongest performance in since 1989. The BJP polled 36.04%, a marginal decline from prior elections, while the JD(S) received 13.03%. Other parties and independents accounted for the remaining 7.02%. Total valid votes numbered approximately 38.89 million out of 52.13 million electors, with a turnout of 73.86%.
PartySeats WonVote Share (%)
13543.91
6636.04
Janata Dal (Secular)1913.03
Others (including Independents)47.02
The Congress's seat tally exceeded the 113 needed for a , enabling it to form the without alliances, in contrast to the fragmented results that led to a short-lived BJP-JD(S) . This victory marked a reversal from the BJP's gains in bypolls and local elections, attributed to against the Bommai administration.

Regional and district-wise performance

The demonstrated robust regional dominance in the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, securing victories across diverse geographic and demographic areas, including rivals' traditional bastions, while the retained pockets of strength in urban and coastal zones. This pattern reflected Congress's vote share gains of approximately 6-7 percentage points in most regions compared to , driven by against the BJP government and effective appeals on welfare and local grievances. In the Old Mysore region—encompassing southern districts like Mysuru, Mandya, and Hassan, with 64 seats and a Vokkaliga-dominated electorate—Congress won 43 seats with a 42% vote share, up significantly from 2018, while Janata Dal (Secular) took 14 seats (down from stronger showings previously) and BJP managed only 7. This marked a decisive erosion of JD(S)'s influence in its core area, where it had polled 26% but lost ground to Congress's consolidation of anti-BJP votes. The Mumbai Karnataka region (north-western districts including Belagavi, , and , totaling 50 seats) saw capture 33 seats with over 40% vote share, a gain from BJP's 33 seats in 2018, leaving BJP with 16 amid localized setbacks from governance perceptions. In Hyderabad-Karnataka (north-eastern districts like , , and , 40 seats), led with 26 seats and 46% vote share, reducing BJP to 10 seats despite the latter's Lingayat base. Bengaluru Urban, with 28 seats, bucked the statewide trend as BJP secured 15 (up 4 from 2018) with 46.1% vote share against Congress's 13 seats and 41%, reflecting urban voter preferences for BJP's focus despite overall losses elsewhere. In coastal (19 seats across Dakshina Kannada and ), BJP dominated with 12 wins and 48.6% vote share, holding firm among its Hindu nationalist-leaning voters, while took 6.
RegionTotal SeatsINC SeatsBJP SeatsJD(S) Seats
Old Mysore6443714
Mumbai Karnataka503316-
Hyderabad-Karnataka402610-
Bengaluru Urban2813150
Coastal Karnataka19612-
District-level variations underscored these trends: Congress swept Mandya (all 7 seats, eroding JD(S)) and Mysuru (most seats), while BJP held sway in coastal districts like (5 of 5) but faltered in and Gadag.

Key constituency results and upsets

In the high-profile constituency, leader secured a decisive victory with 46,163 votes against Bharatiya Janata Party's , reflecting strong Lingayat and minority support in the region despite Somanna's cabinet position and development promises. Channapatna, a Janata Dal (Secular) stronghold in the Vokkaliga-dominated Old Mysore belt, saw win by 15,915 votes over Bharatiya Janata Party's C. P. Yogeshwar, maintaining family influence amid broader JD(S) setbacks elsewhere. Shiggaon delivered a comfortable win for incumbent of the , defeating candidate Pathan Yasir Ahmed Khan by 35,978 votes, bucking the statewide anti-incumbency trend in his base. A notable upset occurred in Hubli-Dharwad Central, where former , who defected from to weeks before polling, lost to BJP's Mahesh Tenginkai by approximately 1,300 votes, underscoring voter loyalty to party symbols over individual switches in urban Lingayat areas. In Ramanagara, another Vokkaliga heartland seat, Congress's H. A. Iqbal Hussain defeated Janata Dal (Secular)'s Nikhil Kumaraswamy—grandson of former Prime Minister H. D. Deve Gowda—by 10,715 votes, marking a significant erosion of the Gowda family's dominance in the region amid Congress's aggressive caste outreach. Sorab saw Bharatiya Janata Party Assembly Speaker lose to Congress's Sharada Poogali by over 10,000 votes, contributing to the defeat of all four outgoing or former speakers and highlighting against legislative leadership. Jayanagar in Urban provided one of the tightest races, with Bharatiya Janata Party's winning by just 16 votes after a recount against Congress's Parameshwara, preserving BJP's edge in select upscale urban pockets despite the party's overall urban underperformance.

Controversies and Disputes

Pre-poll irregularities and voter data issues

Ahead of the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, electoral rolls underwent a special summary revision starting November 9, 2022, with January 1, 2023, as the qualifying date, aiming to update voter data but prompting complaints from political parties about potential manipulations. In the Aland constituency, authorities later uncovered a coordinated scheme to file fraudulent deletion applications for over 6,000 legitimate voters, with each request processed for a of ₹80 at a cyber center in , targeting names to suppress turnout in a Congress-leaning area. A 2025 (SIT) probe confirmed six suspects involved in generating these applications using mobile software and fake documents, though interventions by local booth-level officers and Congress MLA prevented most deletions from taking effect. The (ECI) acknowledged "unsuccessful attempts" to delete 5,994 names in Aland but emphasized that verification processes blocked unauthorized changes, dismissing broader claims of systemic fraud as unproven without affidavits. leaders, including Deputy Chief Minister , alleged similar patterns of bogus deletions and additions elsewhere, accusing the ECI of enabling "vote theft" through lax oversight, while the BJP rejected involvement, attributing revisions to routine and noting no link to ruling party officials at the time. In Bengaluru's Mahadevapura constituency, pre-poll scrutiny revealed anomalies such as multiple Electors Photo Identity Cards (EPIC) linked to single addresses and unexplained voter surges, which Congress later cited as evidence of inflated rolls favoring the BJP, contributing to its narrow victory margin of 32,707 votes despite discrepancies in segment-wise data. The ECI countered that such issues stemmed from historical data errors rather than deliberate rigging, urging parties to provide verifiable proof, while independent analyses highlighted faultlines in both deletions (targeting opposition voters) and additions (potentially padding pro-incumbent lists). These episodes underscored vulnerabilities in digital voter management systems, with critics pointing to inadequate safeguards against bulk filings, though no widespread pre-poll judicial interventions occurred before the May 10 voting date. The campaign between the (BJP) and the (INC) centered on allegations of corruption and governance failures. The INC prominently deployed the "40% commission sarkar" slogan, asserting that the BJP-led state government under systematically extracted 40% kickbacks from public works and contracts, a charge rooted in audio recordings and investigative reports circulated during the campaign. The BJP dismissed these as fabricated and countered by highlighting the INC's alleged favoritism toward minorities, including promises in its manifesto to revisit the hijab policy and ban groups like the , which described as an attempt to "make a mockery of Hindu faith." The BJP emphasized "double-engine" governance, arguing that alignment with the central government under Prime Minister would accelerate development, while portraying the as promoting dynastic politics through leaders like and . The , in turn, focused on , , and unfulfilled promises, pledging schemes like free electricity and bus travel for women to appeal to rural and lower-income voters. Communal undertones persisted in BJP rallies, with references to past riots and demographic shifts, though overt polarization moderated compared to prior elections amid scrutiny. Legal challenges primarily involved complaints to the Election Commission of India (ECI) over Model Code of Conduct (MCC) violations. On May 2, 2023, the INC filed petitions seeking to bar BJP leaders Amit Shah, J.P. Nadda, and Yogi Adityanath from campaigning, accusing them of hate speech that targeted minorities and incited division, including Adityanath's remarks on Hindu symbols and Shah's comments on "vote jihad." The BJP responded with complaints against INC figures, including Siddaramaiah for alleged inducements via cash distributions at events. The ECI issued notices to both parties for MCC breaches, such as unauthorized ads and inflammatory rhetoric, and on May 2 urged restraint in discourse to avoid communal escalation, though no formal bans were imposed. Additional complaints targeted individual BJP candidates like K.S. Eshwarappa for speeches deemed hate speech under IPC sections, prompting ECI probes but no disqualifications before polling on May 10.

Post-poll claims on electoral integrity

Following the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, allegations of electoral roll manipulation surfaced in 2025, centered on the Aland constituency where the BJP's B. Sriramulu defeated Congress candidate B. Ramulingappa by 1,415 votes. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi claimed that approximately 6,018 voter names, predominantly from Congress-leaning demographics such as Muslims and backward classes, were illegally deleted from the rolls prior to the May 10, 2023, polling using Form 7 applications, accusing the BJP and Election Commission of India (ECI) of collusion in "vote chori" to suppress opposition votes. A Special Investigation Team (SIT) constituted by the Congress-led state government in September 2025 investigated the claims and uncovered evidence of a coordinated operation involving over 6,000 fraudulent Form 7 deletion requests, with payments of ₹80 per application traced to a call-center-like setup; suspects included associates of former BJP MLA Subhash Guttedar, who defected from Congress to BJP months before the election. The SIT raided Guttedar's premises and identified six key individuals, estimating the total payout at around ₹4.8 lakh, though it noted challenges in proving actual deletions due to incomplete ECI data disclosure. The BJP dismissed the allegations as politically motivated fabrications by the incumbent government to deflect from its failures, asserting that voter deletions are standard procedures for inaccuracies and that no proof linked the efforts to successful roll changes or ECI complicity; party leaders demanded affidavits from accusers and highlighted the absence of contemporaneous complaints during the polls. The ECI rejected systemic claims, repeatedly urging Gandhi and to provide sworn evidence of irregularities, while maintaining that electoral roll updates follow legal protocols and dismissing broader accusations of partisanship. No widespread post-poll challenges to Machines (EVMs) or counting processes were filed by the BJP despite its defeat, contrasting with pre-result rebuttals by the ECI to Congress queries on potential EVM swaps; isolated local disputes over booth-level irregularities were reported but did not escalate to state-wide integrity contests.

Immediate Aftermath

and leadership changes

Following the declaration of results on May 13, 2023, the Indian National Congress emerged victorious with 135 seats in the 224-member Karnataka Legislative Assembly, surpassing the majority mark of 113 seats. The Bharatiya Janata Party secured 66 seats, while Janata Dal (Secular) won 19. Incumbent Chief Minister Basavaraj Bommai of the BJP tendered his resignation to Governor Thawar Chand Gehlot later that day, accepting responsibility for his party's defeat despite retaining his Shiggaon constituency. Congress leaders Siddaramaiah and met the on May 18, 2023, staking claim to form the government with a letter of support from 135 newly elected MLAs. The invited , the legislature party leader, to form the government, resolving an internal contest within where Shivakumar had also aspired to the chief ministership; high command intervention ensured Siddaramaiah's selection as with Shivakumar as Deputy Chief Minister to maintain factional balance. Siddaramaiah was sworn in as on May 20, 2023, at in , with Shivakumar taking oath as Deputy ; eight other MLAs were inducted as ministers in the initial cabinet. This marked the end of BJP's three-year rule since and 's return to power in the state after a 10-year gap, with no immediate coalition dependencies due to the absolute majority. The cabinet was expanded later, but the core leadership duo of and Shivakumar has remained stable through 2025, despite occasional speculation on future transitions.

Initial policy shifts and public reactions

Following the Congress party's victory in the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, Siddaramaiah was sworn in as Chief Minister on May 20, 2023, with D.K. Shivakumar as Deputy Chief Minister. In the first cabinet meeting held the same day, the government granted in-principle approval to implement the five pre-election guarantees, estimating an annual cost of ₹50,000 crore. These included Gruha Jyothi for 200 units of free electricity to households, Gruha Lakshmi providing ₹2,000 monthly to the female head of eligible families, Anna Bhagya for 10 kg of free rice per family member, Shakti for free bus travel for women, and Yuva Nidhi offering ₹3,000 monthly unemployment allowance to graduates and ₹1,500 to diploma holders for two years. Orders to initiate implementation were issued immediately, signaling a priority on fulfilling electoral promises. On June 2, 2023, the cabinet formalized the launch of all five schemes within the 2023-24 financial year, with later revising the projected annual expenditure to ₹59,000-60,000 crore in a June 26 statement. This rapid rollout marked a shift from the previous BJP government's focus on and incentives toward direct transfers targeting , , and low-income households. The policies aimed to address immediate economic relief post-COVID, drawing from Congress's emphasis on . Public reception was initially enthusiastic among Congress supporters and intended beneficiaries, with reports of high application volumes for schemes like Gruha Lakshmi and Shakti indicating strong uptake. The government highlighted the schemes as transformative for household finances, particularly for women and the unemployed. However, opposition parties, led by the BJP, criticized the initiatives as fiscally irresponsible "freebies" likely to increase state debt and divert funds from development projects, with former Chief Minister Basavaraj Bommai warning of long-term economic strain. Economists echoed concerns over sustainability, noting the schemes' potential to exacerbate revenue deficits without corresponding revenue enhancements. Despite this, the policies bolstered Congress's image among rural and lower-income voters in the short term.

Subsequent Developments

Bypoll outcomes (2023-2025)

Following the 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, three bypolls were necessitated in 2024 due to vacancies arising from resignations and a death. The seat fell vacant after , the incumbent Janata Dal (Secular) MLA, resigned following his victory in the 2024 election from constituency. Shiggaon became vacant when former , the BJP MLA, resigned to facilitate his son Bharath Bommai's candidacy amid internal party dynamics. Sandur's seat was vacated by the death of Congress MLA , who passed away in April 2024. The bypolls occurred on November 13, 2024, with vote counting on November 23, 2024, under the oversight of the . Voter turnout was recorded at 81.84% across the three seats. The achieved a clean sweep, securing all three constituencies and increasing its assembly strength from 135 to 137 seats, thereby strengthening its majority in the 224-member house. This outcome represented a setback for the BJP-JD(S) alliance, as Congress wrested from JD(S) and from BJP while retaining Sandur.
ConstituencyWinner (Party)Margin of VictoryRunner-up (Party)Previous Holder (Party)
ChannapatnaC. P. Yogeeshwara ()26,000+ votesNikhil Kumaraswamy (JD(S)) (JD(S))
ShiggaonPathan Yasir Ahmed (INC)Approximately 12,000 votesBharath Bommai (BJP) (BJP)
SandurE. Annapurna (INC)Close contest, margin under 5,000 votesBangaru Hanumantha (BJP) (INC)
No further bypolls were reported in Karnataka's between late 2023 and October 2025, maintaining the post-bypoll seat distribution with at 137, BJP at 65, JD(S) at 19, and others holding the remainder. The results were interpreted by as validation of its welfare schemes, while opposition parties attributed losses to localized factors rather than broader trends.

Long-term political implications

The 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election, in which the secured 135 seats and formed a without coalition support, marked a significant reversal for the (BJP), which had governed the state since 2008 except for a brief interruption. This outcome highlighted the limitations of the BJP's reliance on national leadership appeals and communal mobilization in a linguistically and culturally distinct southern state, prompting internal reassessments within the party on balancing ideology with local governance priorities such as infrastructure and economic delivery. The victory facilitated the rollout of five flagship guarantees—monthly financial aid to women, allowances, free , enhanced rice rations, and student stipends—implemented progressively from onward, which analysts attribute to consolidating support among lower-income and marginalized groups, including Scheduled Castes and Tribes, who shifted en masse from the BJP. By mid-2025, these schemes had enrolled millions, with over 1.5 women receiving the Gruha Jyothi benefit alone, fostering a model of populist redistribution that influenced opposition strategies in subsequent state polls elsewhere in . However, fiscal strains from these expenditures, estimated at over ₹50,000 annually, raised concerns about long-term and potential backlash if faltered. Nationally, the election signaled a temporary resurgence, enabling it to project competence in countering the BJP's dominance and inspiring alliance-building efforts ahead of the 2024 polls; yet, the BJP's retention of 19 of Karnataka's 28 parliamentary seats in 2024 underscored the assembly result's limited spillover, as national narratives of security and development overshadowed state-specific grievances. The Janata Dal (Secular)'s poor performance, securing only 19 seats and subsequent merger of its legislature wing with the BJP in 2024, diminished regional influence as a counterweight, tilting Karnataka's bipolar contest further toward Congress-BJP lines. By October 2025, the government's stability under Chief Minister faced tests from internal factionalism and leadership succession speculation, with Deputy Chief Minister positioning for a potential , though assurances of a full term persisted amid economic pressures like and industrial unrest. This dynamic suggested that while the 2023 mandate entrenched 's administrative hold, sustaining it would hinge on delivering tangible outcomes beyond welfare, potentially reshaping caste-based alliances and urban-rural divides in the lead-up to the 2028 assembly polls.

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