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Arihant -class submarine

The Arihant-class submarine is a series of nuclear-powered submarines (SSBNs) developed indigenously to establish a sea-based leg of the country's , enabling a credible second-strike capability against potential adversaries. These vessels feature an 83-megawatt for propulsion, allowing submerged speeds of up to 24 knots and extended underwater endurance without reliance on systems common in conventional submarines. The class emerged from the Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) project initiated in the , marking India's entry into the exclusive club of nations operating nuclear-powered submarines. The lead boat, INS Arihant (S73), was laid down in 2004, launched in 2009, and commissioned into service on 26 August 2016 after extensive sea trials that validated its reactor and weapon systems. With a length of 111 meters, a beam of 11 meters, and a surfaced displacement of approximately 6,000 tonnes, INS Arihant can accommodate a crew of about 95 personnel and is armed with four launch tubes capable of deploying either twelve K-15 Sagarika short-range ballistic s (range: 750 km) or four longer-range K-4 missiles (range: 3,500 km). The second vessel, INS Arighat (S3), an improved variant, was commissioned on 29 August 2024, incorporating enhanced features and missile capacity while maintaining similar dimensions. Subsequent boats under , including INS Aridhaman (S4), feature stretched hulls exceeding 7,000 tonnes displacement to support additional missile tubes for greater payload flexibility. These submarines represent a of India's strategic deterrence, patrolling the to ensure in response to nuclear threats, with operational deployments demonstrating deterrence patrols since 2018. Despite challenges in miniaturizing the reactor and integrating missiles, the program's success underscores advancements in India's defense-industrial base, reducing dependence on foreign technology for critical strategic assets.

Background and Development

Strategic Rationale

India's nuclear doctrine, formalized in 2003, emphasizes and a policy, requiring assured retaliatory capabilities to deter nuclear aggression through massive response. Sea-based platforms like the Arihant-class SSBNs address vulnerabilities in land- and air-delivered systems, which risk preemption during escalation; submarines provide stealthy, mobile launch options for second-strike, enhancing survivability in contested environments. This triad completion—land, air, sea—aligns with strategic assessments that continuous at-sea deterrence demands 3-4 operational SSBNs for patrols, with long-term goals of 8-12 for reliability against peer adversaries. The program responds to regional threats, particularly China's nuclear modernization—including its Type 094 SSBNs and expanding presence via bases and undersea surveillance networks—and Pakistan's tactical nuclear weapons and potential submarine nuclearization. Border disputes and maritime frictions amplify the need for a bastion-based deployment strategy in the , where Arihant-class boats can leverage geographic cover while developing longer-range missiles like the K-4 (3,500 km). INS Arihant's criticality in 2013 and first 20-day deterrence patrol in November 2018 marked operationalization of this leg, signaling maturity in sea-based forces despite initial range constraints of the K-15 (750 km). Operationally, the Arihant-class navigates a "triangular dilemma": bolstering credibility against China's distant targets without provoking Pakistan's escalation via perceived first-strike risks, as land-based assets already suffice for the latter. Analysts note that while symbolic prestige drives aspects of the program, causal imperatives center on countering China's "Undersea Great Wall" and ensuring non-vulnerable reserves amid arms races. Infrastructure like Project Varsha supports this, though full deterrence maturity may span decades due to reactor endurance and stealth gaps.

Project Origins and Phases

The Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) , encompassing the development of the Arihant-class submarines, originated in the amid India's pursuit of a survivable second-strike capability to counter regional threats, particularly from and . Conceived under Prime Minister , the initiative sought to indigenously master for submarines, drawing initial impetus from earlier feasibility studies dating back to the , including Project S-2 for submarine-launched ballistic missiles. Formal approval came in April 1984 under Prime Minister , establishing the ATV program under a tripartite structure involving the for operational requirements, the (BARC) for reactor technology, and the (DRDO) for systems integration. Early efforts prioritized a compact 85 MW (PWR), with land-based prototypes undergoing testing from the late ; a definitive prototype achieved criticality around 2000 at , though full engineering challenges in heat exchangers and fuel fabrication persisted into the 2000s. The project progressed through distinct phases: an initial research and design phase (1984–2000) focused on reactor miniaturization and hull conceptualization, transitioning to fabrication and assembly from 2000 onward at the secretive Ship Building Centre in Visakhapatnam. Keel laying for the lead boat, INS Arihant, occurred circa 2005, with hull completion enabling a float-out by 2009; the submarine was officially launched on 26 July 2009. Subsequent phases emphasized fleet expansion and refinements, including Phase II for the enlarged INS Arighat (commissioned 2024) and Phase III for two larger 7,000–8,000-tonne variants with extended endurance and K-4 missile compatibility, reflecting iterative improvements in propulsion efficiency and stealth. Throughout, the program maintained a high degree of content, estimated at over 90% for core technologies by operational stages, though delays from technological hurdles—such as achieving sustained reactor power without foreign assistance—extended timelines from initial projections of deployment by the early . Total investment exceeded ₹90,000 (approximately US$11 billion) by the mid-2010s, underscoring the causal trade-offs of versus expedited acquisition.

International Collaboration and Indigenous Efforts

The Arihant-class submarines emerged from India's Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) project, initiated in the late as a strategic effort to develop indigenous nuclear-powered capabilities, with hull commencing in at a secretive facility in . The project emphasized self-reliance, involving domestic fabrication of the pressure using special steel produced by Indian firms like , alongside steam generators from (BHEL) and valves from Audco India. Key indigenous contributions centered on the (BARC), which designed and developed the 83 MW (PWR) by miniaturizing a land-based prototype that achieved criticality at , enabling compact naval propulsion without external fissile material dependencies beyond initial fuel loads. The (DRDO) handled integration, including the K-15 Sagarika short-range ballistic , while the oversaw overall systems integration and operational requirements. Private sector involvement, notably for precision components and for auxiliary systems, supported construction, marking a shift toward greater domestic industrial capacity in submarine engineering. Despite these efforts, early indigenous attempts in the 1970s and 1980s faltered due to challenges in achieving viable compact designs and sourcing high-quality specialized components, prompting selective international collaboration. provided critical assistance through agreements, including consultancy on , operational expertise drawn from decades of Soviet-era experience, and vital know-how for miniaturization. Russian support extended to supplying precision equipment and designs for the VM-5 series PWR, which formed the basis of the Arihant-class reactor fitted in 2007, alongside on-site technical services from engineers aiding the (DAE) and DRDO. This included training for personnel, with the leasing of an Akula-II class (INS ) in 2011 facilitating crew familiarization with operations. The overall vessel design drew partial inspiration from the Akula-class, though modifications emphasized and compatibility, resulting in a platform where propulsion technology bridged foreign inputs with domestic assembly and adaptation. Subsequent boats in the class have incorporated progressively higher indigenous content, reducing reliance on external expertise.

Design and Technical Specifications

Hull and Structural Design

The Arihant-class submarines feature a compact, teardrop-shaped derived from Akula-class influences, optimized for submerged ballistic missile operations and acoustic stealth. The lead boats, and , have an overall length of approximately 110–112 , a of 11 , and a of 10 , with a surfaced displacement of around 6,000 tonnes. This configuration supports a crew of about 95 personnel while integrating a miniaturized nuclear propulsion system within spatial constraints. The pressure hull, constructed from high-strength, low-alloy steels such as equivalents, forms the primary structural backbone, enabling dives to tested depths of 300 meters. A dedicated 42-meter section of the pressure hull encases the , shielding tank, and associated controls, utilizing specialized pressure vessels to contain the 83 MW output under high-pressure conditions. Internal bulkheads are arranged compactly to accommodate the reactor's footprint, differing from larger Western SSBN designs by prioritizing over expansive volume. Subsequent variants, including INS Aridhaman, incorporate enlarged measuring up to 125 meters in length and displacing 7,000 tonnes surfaced, with expanded beam and internal compartments to house additional silos while retaining the core hull architecture. The outer light hull, where applicable, enhances buoyancy control and tube integration, contributing to a low through hydrodynamic shaping and potential anechoic coatings, though specific material compositions remain classified. Hull fabrication commenced in 1998 at Visakhapatnam's , emphasizing welding techniques for spherical and cylindrical sections to ensure structural integrity under cyclic loads.

Propulsion and Power Plant

The Arihant-class submarines utilize an indigenous 83 MW pressurized (PWR) as the core of their nuclear propulsion system, developed by the (BARC) and fueled with . This compact reactor design enables extended submerged operations without reliance on or frequent surfacing, providing strategic endurance limited primarily by crew provisions and maintenance cycles. The generates to drive a connected to a single fitted with a seven-blade fixed-pitch , achieving submerged speeds of up to 24 knots and surface speeds exceeding 12 knots. The overall plant, encompassing the compartment, primary coolant loops, generators, and auxiliary machinery, spans 42 meters in and 8 meters in , optimized for the submarines' approximately 6,000-tonne submerged . Validation of the reactor design occurred through a land-based prototype at the Kalpakkam site, which underwent critical experiments and power-up tests to ensure reliability in maritime conditions, including high-pressure steam trials and submersion simulations. This PWR configuration, while derived from scaled-down naval adaptations of civilian light-water technology, reflects India's self-reliant approach amid international technology transfer restrictions on nuclear submarine propulsion. Subsequent Arihant-class variants, such as those under Project S4, are slated for upgraded reactors exceeding 100 MW to enhance speed and payload capacity, but the lead boats retain the baseline 83 MW unit rated at approximately 111,000 shaft horsepower.

Armament and Missile Capabilities

The primary armament of the Arihant-class submarines consists of submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) designed for second-strike capability. The lead submarine, , is equipped with 12 K-15 Sagarika SLBMs, each with a range of approximately 700-750 kilometers and capable of carrying a 500-800 kg , either conventional high-explosive or . These missiles are launched from four groups of three vertical tubes integrated into the hull, providing a credible deterrent limited to regional targets within . Subsequent boats in the class, such as , feature enlarged missile compartments compatible with the longer K-4 SLBM, which achieves a range of 3,000-3,500 kilometers with a payload, enabling strikes deeper into adversary territory, including parts of . Successful submerged tests of the K-4 from were conducted in November 2024, confirming integration and operational viability. For self-defense and , Arihant-class submarines are fitted with six 533 mm tubes forward, supporting wire-guided with an estimated capacity of 18-24 reloads. These tubes can also launch anti-ship cruise missiles, including submarine-launched variants of the , though deployment on early boats remains limited to for preservation. No vertical launch systems for additional cruise missiles have been publicly confirmed, prioritizing ballistic payload over multi-role versatility.

Sensors, Electronics, and Crew Accommodations

The Arihant-class submarines are equipped with indigenous systems developed by India's (DRDO). The primary sensors include the USHUS hull-mounted , originally designed for the Indian Navy's Kilo-class diesel-electric submarines, providing active and passive detection capabilities for underwater threats. Complementing this is the Panchendriya integrated suite, which functions as a unified encompassing processing, tactical control, and underwater communication, enhancing and command integration. Electronics systems feature DRDO's Panchendriya as a core component for combat management, linking data with fire control and subsystems to support operations and defensive maneuvers. Limited (BEL) manufactures these systems, incorporating indigenous signal processing for reduced reliance on foreign technology, though specifics on radar or electronics remain classified. Advanced fire control systems enable precise targeting for submarine-launched s, integrated with inertial for stealthy submerged operations. Crew accommodations support a complement of approximately 95 personnel, optimized for extended submerged patrols in the submarine's 110-meter and 11-meter . Berthing areas prioritize space efficiency with modular bunks and shared facilities, including galleys and sanitary units, to sustain operations without surfacing. These designs draw from conventional precedents but incorporate nuclear-specific redundancies for during deterrence missions lasting weeks.

Construction and Fleet Status

Lead Boat: INS Arihant

INS , the lead boat of the Arihant-class submarines, began construction in secrecy at the Ship Building Centre in , with its hull launch occurring on 26 July 2009. Extensive and sea trials followed, confirming operational readiness on 23 February 2016. The submarine was quietly commissioned into the on 26 August 2016. In early 2017, INS Arihant suffered a significant setback when seawater flooded the vessel through an accidentally left-open hatch, damaging the electrical systems and batteries, which sidelined it for approximately 18 months for repairs. Following recovery and additional trials, including successful test-firings of K-15 missiles, the submarine completed its first deterrence patrol in November 2018, after which Prime Minister publicly announced its full operational status. This milestone marked India's achievement of a survivable sea-based nuclear deterrent triad. As of 2025, INS Arihant remains in service with the Indian Navy's , contributing to deterrence patrols despite plans for it to toward a training role as more advanced Arihant-class boats enter the fleet. Its operational history underscores both successes and challenges in reliability, with the 2017 incident highlighting risks in complex platforms. The boat's deployment has been low-profile, focused on maintaining continuous at-sea deterrence in the region.

Second Boat: INS Arighaat

INS (S3), the second boat of the Arihant-class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, underwent keel-laying in the early as part of the Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) project extension, with construction primarily at the Ship Building Centre in under the oversight of the and . The submarine incorporates the same 83 MW and overall dimensions as the lead boat INS but features several technological upgrades, including enhanced stealth features, improved sensors, and better crew accommodations derived from lessons learned during Arihant's trials. The hull was launched on 19 November 2017, marking a milestone in India's indigenous submarine-building capabilities, followed by extensive harbor trials and sea trials commencing in early 2018 to validate , weapon systems, and submerged endurance. These trials, spanning over six years, addressed integration challenges and compatibility, culminating in successful tests of the K-4 (SLBM) with a range exceeding 3,500 km in November 2024, demonstrating canisterized launch capabilities from underwater depths. Arighaat displaces approximately 6,000 tonnes submerged and can carry up to 12 K-15 or four K-4 SLBMs in its four launch tubes, alongside six 533 mm torpedo tubes for heavyweight wire-guided torpedoes. Commissioning occurred on 29 August 2024 at Visakhapatnam, presided over by Raksha Mantri Rajnath Singh, integrating the vessel into the Indian Navy's Strategic Forces Command and bolstering continuous at-sea deterrence by providing operational redundancy to INS Arihant. Post-commissioning, Arighaat has undergone initial deterrence patrols, with its upgrades reportedly improving reliability over the lead boat's early maintenance issues, though full operational deployment timelines remain classified. The boat's induction reflects incremental advancements in India's nuclear triad, emphasizing survivable second-strike options amid regional maritime threats.

Planned and Under-Construction Boats

The third boat of the Arihant-class, designated S4 and named INS Aridhaman, is undergoing extensive sea trials as of mid-2025, with formal commissioning anticipated by the end of 2025 or early 2026. This vessel features enhancements over the lead boats, including a tweaked 83 MW for improved efficiency and capacity for multiple K-4 submarine-launched ballistic missiles with a range of approximately 3,500 km. Its submerged displacement is around 7,000 tonnes, positioning it as a key step in expanding India's sea-based nuclear deterrent. The fourth boat, designated S4* and part of an advanced variant, was launched into water on , 2024, and remains under construction at the Ship Building Centre in . This incorporates higher content, estimated at 75%, and is designed with modular construction techniques for faster assembly compared to predecessors. It is projected for around 2027, alongside potential completion of INS Aridhaman, to achieve dual SSBN additions within two years. India's Advanced Technology Vessel (ATV) program initially envisioned four Arihant-class submarines, with discussions of a fifth boat remaining in planning stages without confirmed construction start as of late 2025. These follow-on boats emphasize propulsion and to address limitations in earlier vessels, such as reactor reliability, though detailed timelines depend on trial outcomes and factors.
Boat DesignationNameStatusExpected Commissioning
S4INS AridhamanSea trialsLate 2025 / Early 2026
S4*(Unnamed)Under construction (launched Oct 2024)~2027

Operational History

Sea Trials and Commissioning Timeline

INS Arihant, the lead boat of the class, achieved criticality in August 2013, enabling subsequent preparations for operational testing. Sea trials commenced in December 2014, encompassing evaluations of , submerged endurance, and weapon systems integration over an extended period to verify and capabilities. Following certification as fit for operations on 23 February 2016, the submarine was commissioned into the in August 2016 without public fanfare, marking India's entry into nuclear-powered operations. The second vessel, INS Arighat, faced protracted development, with sea trials initiating after its launch in November 2017 and extending through multiple phases amid technical refinements and challenges. Trials, including machinery, , and command-and-control validations, progressed unevenly, with reports of near-completion in late 2020 but actual culmination in the early 2020s due to upgrades for enhanced reliability. INS Arighat was formally commissioned on 29 August 2024 at , doubling India's operational SSBN fleet and bolstering continuous deterrent patrols. Subsequent boats, such as INS Aridhaman, entered advanced construction phases by the early , with sea trials anticipated to commence post-hatch-flooding tests, targeting commissioning in 2025 to expand the class's . Delays across the program, attributed to indigenous reactor development and constraints, have extended timelines beyond initial projections, yet each commissioning advances India's second-strike .

Deployment and Readiness Achievements

INS Arihant completed its inaugural deterrence patrol on 5 November 2018, departing in early October and remaining submerged for approximately one month, thereby establishing India's sea-based nuclear second-strike capability as part of its . This milestone, announced by Prime Minister , validated the submarine's ability to maintain strategic deterrence at sea, with the vessel carrying K-15 Sagarika submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) during the operation. The commissioning of INS Arighaat on 29 August 2024 enhanced fleet redundancy and operational tempo, enabling alternating patrols to sustain continuous at-sea deterrence against potential adversaries, particularly amid regional tensions with and . In late November 2024, Arighaat successfully test-fired a nuclear-capable SLBM from underwater, confirming its full and of the K-15 with the platform's fire control mechanisms. These achievements have positioned the Arihant-class as a cornerstone of India's underwater nuclear posture, with the targeting an 80% readiness rate across the growing SSBN fleet to ensure reliable patrol cycles and mission availability. The dual-boat operational status mitigates single-point vulnerabilities, allowing for maintenance rotations without gaps in deterrence coverage, as evidenced by post-commissioning evaluations of Arighaat's enhanced endurance over the .

Incidents, Reliability Challenges, and Maintenance

In 2017, , the lead boat of the Arihant-class, experienced a significant flooding incident while docked at , where seawater entered the compartment through an improperly secured hatch, damaging electrical circuits, batteries, and . The mishap, attributed to , rendered the submarine inoperable for approximately ten months as water was pumped out and affected components, including piping, were repaired or replaced. This event highlighted procedural vulnerabilities in a first-of-class vessel, contributing to broader concerns about the Navy's operational readiness amid a history of maintenance lapses in its fleet. Reliability challenges for the Arihant-class stem from its compact 83-megawatt , derived from a Soviet-era design adapted indigenously, which has constrained endurance and acoustic performance compared to larger contemporary SSBNs. of the reactor, initiated in the 1980s under the Advanced Technology Vessel project, faced setbacks including coolant and control issues, delaying criticality achievement until 2013 and limiting initial deterrent patrols to about 20 days due to fuel and power constraints. These factors, combined with the class's reliance on a miniaturized power plant for a 6,000-ton , have raised questions about sustained submerged operations and , essential for credible second-strike , as the submarines require frequent surfacing or support for optimal performance. No major incidents have been publicly reported for , commissioned in 2024, though it incorporates design refinements aimed at addressing Arihant's limitations, such as enhanced reactor efficiency. Maintenance demands for Arihant-class submarines are intensive due to their and integration of systems, necessitating specialized dry-dock facilities and skilled personnel, which strain India's limited . Post-flooding repairs on underscored the logistical challenges, with costs estimated in the hundreds of millions amid saltwater corrosion risks to sensitive electronics and the auxiliary systems. The class's operational is further complicated by a small fleet size—currently two boats—and the need for extended refits every few years to sustain life and compatibility, potentially limiting cycles and exposing gaps in continuous deterrence. Indian defense analysts have noted that without expanded yard capacity and training, these vessels risk prolonged downtime, echoing patterns in the Navy's conventional fleet where and failures have compounded availability issues.

Strategic Impact and Evaluations

Role in India's Nuclear Deterrence Posture

The Arihant-class submarines form the sea-based leg of India's nuclear triad, complementing land-based ballistic missiles and air-delivered weapons to ensure a survivable second-strike capability under India's no-first-use doctrine. This triad structure supports credible minimum deterrence, with the submarines' stealth and endurance providing a platform less vulnerable to preemptive attacks compared to fixed land silos or vulnerable air assets. The lead vessel, INS Arihant, completed its maiden deterrence patrol in November 2018, marking the operationalization of India's underwater nuclear deterrent. Equipped with up to 12 K-15 submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) with a 750 km range or fewer K-4 missiles extending to 3,500 km, the Arihant-class enables retaliatory strikes on key targets in adversarial territories, particularly and coastal . The commissioning of on August 29, 2024, doubled the fleet's capacity, enhancing continuous at-sea deterrence and strategic depth against growing naval threats from and . This development bolsters India's ability to absorb a first strike and respond massively, aligning with the emphasis on assured retaliation in official policy statements. In the broader context, the Arihant-class contributes to regional stability by signaling resolve against escalation, though its limited missile loadout and range constrain full-spectrum coverage compared to larger foreign SSBNs. Government sources highlight its role in establishing strategic balance, yet independent analyses note that full maturity requires additional boats and missile integration for robust second-strike reliability.

Technical Achievements and Limitations

The Arihant-class submarines represent India's first domestically developed nuclear-powered submarines (SSBNs), featuring an indigenous 83 MW (PWR) using fuel, which enables extended submerged patrols without reliance on systems typical of conventional submarines. This , a miniaturized design built by the , achieved criticality in 2013, marking a key milestone in India's technology despite limiting access to foreign expertise. The vessels' hull incorporates advanced steel alloys for pressure resistance, allowing a test depth of approximately 350 meters, and integrates four 533 mm tubes alongside 12 vertical launch tubes for submarine-launched s (SLBMs). Technical achievements include the successful integration of the K-15 Sagarika SLBM with a 750 km range and the longer-range K-4 missile capable of 3,500 km, providing India with a credible sea-based second-strike capability that enhances survivability of its nuclear arsenal compared to land- or air-based systems vulnerable to preemptive attacks. The submarines' displacement of around 6,000 tonnes submerged, with a length of 110-112 meters and beam of 11 meters, supports quiet propulsion at speeds up to 24 knots submerged, facilitating stealthy operations in the Indian Ocean region. However, limitations stem from the class's compact design, which results in a payload capacity inferior to larger SSBNs operated by major powers, such as those exceeding 12,000-18,000 tonnes with 16-24 missile tubes and more robust reactors. The 83 MW reactor's output constrains maximum speed and endurance relative to higher-powered systems (e.g., 150+ MW in advanced foreign designs), contributing to shorter operational cycles and potential detectability from elevated acoustic signatures during high-speed transits. Initial missile ranges, particularly the K-15's, limit effective targeting to regional adversaries like Pakistan, while integration challenges with longer-range systems like the K-4 remain ongoing. Furthermore, the class's smaller size and less mature noise-reduction technologies—despite pump-jet propulsors—yield higher radiated noise levels than established SSBNs, reducing overall stealth in contested waters against sophisticated anti-submarine warfare assets. These constraints reflect inherent trade-offs in India's self-reliant path, prioritizing rapid deployment over optimized performance, with subsequent S4-class boats planned to incorporate upgraded 100+ MW reactors and expanded capacities to address shortfalls.

Criticisms, Controversies, and Geopolitical Implications

The development of the Arihant-class submarines has faced significant criticism for persistent technical challenges and delays inherent to India's nuclear propulsion program. The lead vessel, , experienced prolonged setbacks in reactor integration and propulsion systems, postponing full operational status until 2018 despite commissioning in 2016. These issues stem from the complexities of miniaturizing a naval reactor without foreign assistance, resulting in extended refit periods that undermined early deterrence claims. A major controversy arose from a 2017 incident aboard , where seawater flooded the propulsion compartment after a member allegedly left a forward escape hatch open during harbor operations, causing extensive damage and sidelining the submarine for approximately 18 months. Indian Navy officials attributed the mishap to rather than design flaws, but it exposed deficiencies in and procedural , echoing broader reliability concerns across the fleet. Reports of potential during the repair phase further fueled skepticism about the platform's seaworthiness, with the returning to service only after rigorous checks in early 2018. Critics, including analysts, argue these incidents highlight systemic vulnerabilities in India's operations, including a history of accidents like the 2013 INS Sindhurakshak , questioning the sustainability of expanding the SSBN force amid resource constraints. Geopolitically, the Arihant-class bolsters India's nuclear second-strike capability, providing a survivable sea-based deterrent against potential first strikes from or , where land-based assets remain vulnerable to preemption. However, with limited range (K-15 at 750 km) and a small fleet size—only two operational boats as of —the class necessitates risky forward deployments near adversarial coasts, potentially escalating crisis instability. This has prompted concerns over an undersea in the , as 's expanding Type 094/096 SSBN fleet and 's nascent sea-based ambitions could compel to accelerate follow-on Aridhaman-class construction, straining budgets and diverting focus from conventional naval modernization. Analysts note that without achieving continuous at-sea deterrence—projected to take decades due to production bottlenecks—the submarines' strategic impact remains symbolic rather than robust, potentially inviting miscalculations in Indo-Pacific tensions.

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