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Cross-Border Interbank Payment System

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) is a renminbi-denominated clearing and settlement infrastructure authorized by the to facilitate efficient, low-cost cross-border payments between financial institutions. Launched on October 8, 2015, by the , CIPS operates as a wholesale primarily handling transactions in Chinese yuan (RMB), with services including and support for trade, investment, and activities. Its establishment addressed limitations in existing correspondent banking networks for RMB transactions, which often relied on slower, costlier dollar-based channels via systems like . CIPS has expanded from an initial pilot phase involving select domestic banks to a network encompassing over 1,500 direct and indirect participants across more than 100 countries by mid-2025, reflecting steady growth in RMB usage for settlements. Key achievements include the adoption of messaging standards for enhanced and the processing of daily average transaction values exceeding RMB 300 billion in recent years, though this remains a fraction of global SWIFT volumes dominated by the U.S. dollar. The system's integration with domestic platforms like China's CNAPS has streamlined end-to-end RMB flows, contributing to the currency's gradual internationalization amid China's push for reduced dependence on foreign financial networks. Despite these developments, CIPS faces structural challenges, including the renminbi's limited and heavy reliance on SWIFT for outbound messaging, limiting its independence as a full alternative to -dominated systems. analysts have raised concerns over its potential as a tool for evading financial sanctions, given China's strategic incentives to build parallel , though shows CIPS volumes and global adoption lag far behind established s due to effects and in dollar liquidity. These dynamics underscore CIPS's role more as a complementary facilitator for RMB transactions than a disruptive challenger to the international financial order.

History

Inception and Launch

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) originated as an initiative by the (PBOC) to establish a dedicated for clearing and settling cross-border (RMB) transactions, supporting China's broader efforts to internationalize the and enhance efficiency in global trade payments dominated by the U.S. dollar and systems like . Development of CIPS commenced in 2012, driven by the need to address limitations in correspondent banking networks for RMB-denominated flows and to provide a domestically controlled alternative for high-value interbank transfers. CIPS Phase 1 launched on October 8, 2015, marking the operational debut of the system under PBOC oversight, with initial focus on payment-versus-payment (PvP) settlements to mitigate in RMB trades. At inception, the platform operated solely during Chinese business hours, relied on messaging standards ( and MT202) for interoperability, and connected to 's domestic CNAPS system for . The launch included 19 direct participants—primarily major Chinese state-owned banks such as the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, alongside select foreign institutions like —and 176 indirect participants spanning 50 countries and regions, enabling initial transaction volumes primarily among approved entities. This phased rollout prioritized stability and , with the PBOC emphasizing risk controls and anti-money laundering features from the outset, though early adoption was constrained by the system's limited hours and dependence on existing global messaging protocols. By design, CIPS aimed to process an average daily value exceeding RMB 100 billion shortly after launch, reflecting China's strategic push for RMB usage in Belt and Road Initiative-related trade.

Expansion and Milestones

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) began operations on October 8, 2015, initially with 19 direct participants focused on for -denominated cross-border transactions. Early expansions followed, with announcements in 2016 admitting additional direct and indirect participants under the Interim Rules for Cross-border RMB Payment System Business issued by the . By December 2016, further direct participant expansions were implemented, enabling broader access for financial institutions handling clearing. A significant milestone occurred on March 26, 2018, when CIPS Phase II entered trial operation, introducing 24-hour settlement cycles and initially involving 10 additional direct participants, including both Chinese and foreign-funded banks such as the . Phase II became fully operational on May 2, 2018, after successful piloting, which enhanced system availability and supported extended operating hours to align with global time zones. This upgrade facilitated increased transaction efficiency and participant onboarding, with indirect participant expansions continuing through announcements in 2017, 2019, and beyond. Participant growth accelerated post-Phase II, reaching 33 direct participants and 903 indirect participants across 94 countries and regions by the end of 2019, reflecting year-over-year increases of 74% and 413%, respectively, from launch levels. By April 2025, the network had expanded to 171 direct participants and 1,500 indirect participants, with the latter predominantly from Asia (1,094 institutions). This growth continued into May 2025, with 174 direct and 1,509 indirect participants, underscoring CIPS's broadening geographic reach amid rising renminbi internationalization efforts. Transaction volumes demonstrated steady escalation, starting modestly—such as the RMB 35 million cleared by the Industrial and Commercial Bank in on launch day—and achieving annual growth rates exceeding 40% in recent years. In 2024, CIPS processed RMB 175.49 trillion in total volume across 8.2169 million transactions, marking a 42.6% increase in value and 24.25% in transaction count year-over-year. First-half 2025 volumes surpassed $2.1 trillion, up 39% year-over-year, highlighting sustained momentum in cross-border usage. Key product expansions, including the June 2025 launch of RMB-denominated services, further supported this trajectory by integrating additional clearing functionalities.

Technical Standards and Operations

Core Standards and Protocols

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) employs the standard as its foundational messaging protocol, adopted at launch in October 2015 to handle high-value payments with structured, extensible data formats. This enables detailed transaction elements, such as legal entity identifiers () for counterparties and support for multilingual characters including , while optimizing fields for compliance and scalability across message types like initiations (pacs.008), status queries, and confirmations. Settlement protocols in CIPS distinguish between participant types: direct participants' transactions undergo (RTGS), processed individually upon receipt without netting or deferral, ensuring immediate finality. Indirect participants' transactions, routed via sponsoring direct participants, settle through designated-time netting, aggregating positions for multilateral offset at predefined intervals to reduce liquidity demands. These mechanisms operate under oversight from the , prioritizing operational stability for cross-border flows. CIPS messaging integrates with external networks for enhanced reach, including a proprietary ISO 20022-based system alongside optional use of for secure transmission between direct participants. This hybrid approach, established via a 2016 memorandum of understanding with , allows connectivity to over 11,000 global institutions while positioning CIPS as the RMB-specific clearing hub. Ongoing enhancements address early-adoption variances from global norms, such as proprietary codes and absence of certain exception-handling messages (e.g., camt.110), with transitions to external code sets, unique end-to-end references, and full harmonization with high-value guidelines targeted for completion by 2026. These updates aim to mitigate discrepancies in data models, like time zone handling (currently Beijing-based with planned UTC offsets), without compromising CIPS's focus on RMB-centric efficiency.

Clearing and Settlement Mechanisms

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) employs a (RTGS) mechanism as its core approach to clearing and , processing cross-border (RMB) transactions on a full-amount, gross basis without netting debits against credits. This RTGS model ensures immediate finality of payments, minimizing by debiting and crediting participant accounts in upon validation of messages. Direct participants, which include domestic and foreign banks with dedicated access, maintain settlement accounts directly with CIPS, linked to the People's Bank of China's High-Value Payment System (HVPS) for liquidity support. Indirect participants route transactions through direct participants or designated settlement banks, which handle the final clearing leg. In its initial Phase I, launched on October 8, 2015, CIPS adopted full-amount exclusively for direct participants' cross-border RMB business, including client remittances, transfers, and support for in as well as direct . occurs via shared clearing accounts in the HVPS, where no overdrafts are permitted; participants must ensure sufficient through intraday via HVPS operations or lending. At the end of each operating day, unsettled funds automatically revert to participants' HVPS accounts, resetting CIPS balances to zero and eliminating overnight exposure. Operating hours span 9:00 to 20:00 time, designed to overlap with major global financial markets and facilitate timely processing across time zones. Subsequent enhancements, including Phase II rollout starting November 2018, introduced a deferred net (DNS) option layered atop the RTGS framework, enabling hybrid liquidity optimization by allowing multilateral netting for certain low-risk transactions while preserving real-time gross handling for high-value or urgent payments. This dual-mode capability reduces liquidity demands compared to pure RTGS, as DNS batches and nets positions periodically before final , though RTGS remains the default for core cross-border flows to prioritize speed and risk mitigation. CIPS integrates with domestic systems like HVPS for high-value transfers and connects to international networks via standardized messaging in English and Chinese, ensuring compliance checks, anti-money laundering verification, and seamless fund transfers. Liquidity management in CIPS emphasizes participant self-sufficiency, with direct access to PBC facilities for intraday repos or collateralized funding to cover obligations, thereby enhancing overall efficiency and reducing in RMB-denominated cross-border activities. As of early , this infrastructure supported operations across 178 countries and regions, processing volumes that underscore its role in streamlining RMB without reliance on banking chains. The system's design prioritizes low-cost, reliable services, with CIPS Co., Ltd. as operator overseeing validation, queuing, and finality under PBC oversight.

Products and Services

Primary Payment Products

The primary payment products of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) consist of clearing and services specialized for cross-border (RMB) transactions, enabling direct participants to process remittances, settlements, and related financial flows between s. These services support customer credit transfers and financial institution transfers, facilitating efficient handling of payments linked to cross-border in , direct investment, and other transactions. Launched in Phase 1 on , , the initial product focused on (RTGS), allowing immediate, irrevocable processing of individual high-value payments without netting. In Phase 2, operational from May 2, 2018, CIPS expanded its primary offerings by introducing deferred net settlement (DNS) alongside RTGS, creating a model that optimizes usage through multilateral netting of positions at designated intervals while maintaining capabilities for urgent transactions. This dual-mode structure supports additional functionalities such as (DvP) for securities settlements, payment versus payment (PvP) for transactions, and integration with central counterparties (CCP), all denominated in RMB. Operating on a 5×24-hour basis plus four additional hours for intra-day processing, these products emphasize using standards to minimize delays and costs. CIPS's settlement services are backed by accounts held at the , ensuring finality and reducing risk through money, with direct participants maintaining settlement s for gross or net positions as applicable. Query, statement, and information services complement the core clearing functions, providing participants with real-time visibility into statuses and balances. By end-2019, these products had connected over 3,000 banking institutions across 167 countries and regions via 33 direct and 903 indirect participants, underscoring their role in promoting RMB .

CIPS Connector and Integrations

The CIPS Connector is a standardized platform provided by the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) to enable seamless connectivity between direct and indirect participants and their institutional clients for (RMB) cross-border transactions. It functions as the primary application carrier for CIPS standards, offering a one-stop solution that supports core payment functions such as customer credit transfers, transfers, query and response services, account statements, and value-added information services. Designed for interoperability, the Connector adheres to the messaging standard, facilitating uniform () and compatibility with existing CIPS protocols. It accommodates multiple connection methods, including dedicated leased lines and virtual private networks (VPNs), while providing two access modes: () for automated integration and graphical user interfaces (GUIs) for manual operations. Security features incorporate international mechanisms, multi-access controls, intelligent , and to ensure low-latency, high-reliability transmission. A key integration aspect involves the mandatory use of Legal Entity Identifiers (LEIs) for user activation and as a required in transaction messages, which maps LEIs to other identifiers like Bank Identifier Codes (BICs) and CIPS participant IDs to enhance entity transparency and reduce reconciliation errors. This LEI incorporation aligns with global standards for cross-border payments, achieving full coverage for domestic Connector users and supporting STP improvements. By early 2022, over 75,000 LEIs had been issued to entities, with more than 1,100 digital certificates embedding LEIs distributed to users, reflecting adoption driven by over 1,500 financial institutions signing up by the end of 2021. The Connector also enables transceiver-level direct connections between participants via standard interfaces, bypassing central CIPS routing for certain non-settlement information exchanges, which further optimizes efficiency for value-added services. Overall, it reduces transaction timelines, lowers operational costs, and boosts cross-border RMB payment efficiency compared to traditional multi-step processes, while ensuring through standardized protocols.

Participant Network

Direct and Indirect Participants

Direct participants in the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) are that maintain settlement accounts with the CIPS , enabling them to directly process cross-border (RMB) payments, clearing, and transactions. These entities must possess CIPS codes and demonstrate robust RMB capabilities, legal status, and compliance with operational standards set by the (PBoC). As of September 2025, CIPS had 184 direct participants, including major Chinese state-owned banks such as the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, , and , alongside a growing number of foreign institutions. Indirect participants, by contrast, access CIPS services through agent relationships with direct participants, without maintaining their own settlement accounts or handling direct clearing. They are required to exhibit strong RMB settlement capabilities and stable business ties with direct participants but do not engage in independent transaction processing with the system. This tier allows broader network participation, particularly for smaller or regionally focused institutions. As of September 2025, indirect participants numbered 1,553, with 1,138 located in Asia (including ), reflecting a concentration in regions with high RMB volumes. The distinction facilitates scalability: direct participants bear primary settlement risks and costs, including liquidity provision and compliance with PBoC oversight, while indirect participants leverage this for efficiency. Foreign direct participation has expanded notably, with agreements signed for six additional overseas institutions in June 2025, including (UOB), bringing non-Chinese direct members to support RMB internationalization efforts. Overall, indirect participants constitute the majority—approximately 89% of the total network—enabling CIPS to connect over 4,900 licensed banking institutions globally by mid-2025.

Growth and Geographic Reach

Since its operational launch in , the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) has demonstrated substantial expansion in transaction volumes and participant numbers. In , CIPS processed an annual business volume of RMB 175 trillion (approximately $24.5 trillion), marking a 43% year-over-year increase, accompanied by a 24% rise in transaction count to 8.2 million. By July 2025, daily clearing volumes exceeded RMB 750 billion across around 23,000 transactions, reflecting sustained momentum in RMB-denominated cross-border settlements. This growth trajectory, from an initial RMB 4.808 trillion in to over 36-fold expansion by mid-2025, underscores CIPS's role in facilitating RMB internationalization amid rising trade and investment flows involving . Participant numbers have similarly accelerated, with direct participants—primarily maintaining accounts—increasing from 33 in 2019 to 176 by June 2025, while indirect participants, which access the via direct counterparts, grew from 903 to 1,514 over the same period. Total participants reached 1,683 by May 2025, a 10% year-over-year gain, predominantly comprising indirect entities that enable broader network effects without direct connectivity requirements. Over half of participants operate outside , integrating with more than 4,800 banking institutions globally and extending CIPS services to RMB clearing and . Geographically, CIPS's reach encompasses participants from 119 to 189 countries and regions as of mid-2025, with services effectively covering up to 185 jurisdictions through interconnected networks. The majority of indirect participants are concentrated in , followed by , while representation remains limited in (4%), (2%), (2%), and (1%). Recent expansions include new partnerships in the and (MEA) and , such as direct participation by regional banks, enhancing RMB payment efficiency in emerging markets aligned with China's . This distribution reflects CIPS's strategic focus on trade corridors with high RMB usage, though penetration in Western-dominated financial centers lags due to entrenched dollar reliance and regulatory hurdles.

Ownership and Governance

Corporate Structure

CIPS Co., Ltd. serves as the primary corporate entity operating the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System, handling clearing and settlement for cross-border transactions. Established in 2015 under the auspices of the (PBOC), the company functions as a private limited liability entity supervised and administered by the PBOC, which provides regulatory oversight while delegating operational responsibilities. Ownership is held by 36 domestic and overseas acting as shareholders, reflecting a distributed structure that includes major banks and select participants. A capital increase, along with the introduction of overseas investors, received PBOC approval on March 29, 2018, followed by formal agreements signed in July 2018 to broaden the shareholder base and support system expansion. The inaugural shareholders' meeting and meeting convened on December 3, 2019, in , marking the formalization of governance mechanisms. Governance operates through a elected by shareholders, adhering to the Business Rules on Cross-border Interbank Payment System and the CIPS Participants Agreement, which outline participant obligations, , and operational standards. While the PBOC retains ultimate supervisory , including approval of business expansions and participant access, the corporate form allows for shareholder input on strategic decisions, distinguishing it from fully state-owned entities. The company's scope encompasses cross-border RMB clearing and settlement services, data processing, information technology support, and additional functions entrusted by shareholders or explicitly authorized by the PBOC, such as integration with domestic high-value payment systems. This structure enables CIPS Co., Ltd. to process transactions for direct participants while maintaining compliance with PBOC-mandated standards for financial stability and efficiency.

Key Stakeholders and Control

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System Co., Ltd. (CIPS Co., Ltd.), established in 2015 and headquartered in , operates the CIPS infrastructure under direct supervision by the (PBOC), China's central bank. The PBOC authorized CIPS as a wholesale specializing in (RMB) cross-border clearing and , approving its business scope, including and IT support services entrusted by shareholders. Key stakeholders include 36 domestic and overseas financial institutions serving as shareholders, following a capital increase approved by the PBOC in March 2018 and formalized through a in July 2018. Among international shareholders are major global banks such as , , , , , and , which joined to support RMB internationalization efforts. Domestic stakeholders primarily consist of Chinese state-owned and commercial banks, reflecting the system's integration with China's financial ecosystem. The first shareholders' meeting occurred on December 3, 2019, establishing a to oversee operations. Despite its corporatized structure with private and foreign shareholders, CIPS remains under PBOC control, which administers the system, launches phases of development (e.g., Phase I in October 2015 for ), and enforces compliance with national financial policies. This oversight ensures alignment with PBOC objectives, such as RMB cross-border use, but limits independent decision-making, as evidenced by PBOC approvals for expansions like offshore clearing integrations. U.S. congressional analysis describes CIPS Corp. as explicitly "controlled and run by" the PBOC, highlighting state dominance over governance despite shareholder involvement.

Comparison with SWIFT

Functional Differences

The primary functional difference between the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) and SWIFT is that SWIFT operates solely as a messaging network for transmitting standardized payment instructions between financial institutions, without handling clearing or settlement of funds itself. Settlement in SWIFT-dependent transactions typically occurs through separate correspondent banking relationships or domestic systems like CHIPS in the U.S. or TARGET2 in Europe, often involving multiple intermediaries and potential delays. In contrast, CIPS functions as a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) system that integrates messaging with direct clearing and settlement for renminbi (RMB)-denominated cross-border payments, processing transactions on a gross basis without netting. CIPS settlement is facilitated through participants' accounts at the (PBOC), enabling finality of payment within operating hours (typically 9:00 to 24:00 Beijing time), which reduces counterparty and liquidity risks compared to SWIFT's indirect model. This direct settlement capability allows CIPS to bypass some layers of correspondent banking for RMB flows, potentially lowering costs and shortening processing times—averaging under one day for many transactions—versus SWIFT's reliance on bilateral relationships that can extend settlement to days. However, CIPS direct participants may still use SWIFT for messaging in hybrid scenarios, such as non-RMB legs of trades or connections to non-CIPS banks, highlighting partial rather than full independence. While SWIFT supports multi-currency messaging across over 11,500 institutions in more than 235 countries and territories, CIPS is RMB-specific, focusing on yuan-denominated obligations and serving a narrower network of around 1,400 participants in over 100 countries as of 2025. CIPS employs messaging standards, aligning with SWIFT's ongoing migration, but its settlement finality is governed by PBOC rules, introducing currency and jurisdictional constraints absent in SWIFT's neutral, non-settling framework.
Functional AspectSWIFTCIPS
Core OperationSecure messaging for payment instructions (e.g., MT series)Integrated messaging, clearing, and RTGS settlement for RMB payments
Settlement MechanismNone; depends on external systems and correspondentsDirect via PBOC accounts, gross basis per transaction
Processing FinalityIndirect, varies by settlement venue (T+1 or longer common)Real-time during operational window, with intraday finality
Currency ScopeMulti-currency (e.g., USD, EUR, all major)RMB-exclusive

Interoperability and Dependencies

CIPS maintains interoperability with primarily through messaging compatibility and shared standards, enabling hybrid usage in cross-border RMB transactions. In March 2016, and the CIPS operator signed a to facilitate secure financial messaging services, allowing CIPS participants to leverage 's global network for communication with non-CIPS counterparties. This agreement supports the translation of CIPS messages into SWIFT-compatible formats, with direct CIPS participants able to exchange instructions either via CIPS's proprietary system or , while indirect participants typically route through SWIFT-enabled agents. Both systems align on the messaging standard, which CIPS adopted from inception and which SWIFT has been migrating toward since 2023, enhancing structural compatibility for data-rich payment instructions. SWIFT's updates to support Chinese characters further ensure seamless handling of RMB-related messaging originating from CIPS. CIPS membership details are also integrated into SWIFT's SwiftRef directory since 2017, aiding participant validation and reducing settlement frictions in interconnected transactions. Despite these integrations, CIPS exhibits significant dependencies on , particularly for external connectivity, as approximately 80% of its transaction volume relies on SWIFT messaging to interface with global banks outside the CIPS network. This reliance stems from CIPS's focus on RMB clearing and settlement rather than comprehensive global messaging, necessitating for bridging to banking relationships not yet covered by CIPS's 1,500-plus participants as of 2024. Such dependencies limit CIPS's operational autonomy, as disruptions or exclusions from —such as those imposed on entities post-2022—could indirectly constrain CIPS flows involving financial institutions, underscoring its complementary rather than substitutive role.

Geo-Economic and Strategic Implications

Role in RMB Internationalization

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) serves as a core infrastructure for advancing the renminbi's (RMB) by enabling efficient clearing and of cross-border RMB transactions, thereby reducing dependence on dollar-dominated banking networks. Established by the and operational since October 8, 2015, CIPS processes RMB-denominated payments directly between participants, supporting trade invoicing, investment flows, and financial s in RMB without mandatory conversion to other currencies. This capability addresses key barriers to RMB usage, such as settlement frictions and liquidity management, fostering greater acceptance among international banks and corporates engaged in transactions with . CIPS's expansion has correlated with measurable growth in RMB's global payment share, driven by its role in streamlining cross-border operations. In 2024, the system recorded 8.2 million transactions valued at RMB 175.49 (approximately ), reflecting year-on-year increases of 24% in transaction volume and 43% in value, which highlights its utility in handling surging RMB trade . By providing a centralized RMB clearing hub accessible to onshore and offshore institutions, CIPS has facilitated RMB's integration into bilateral trade agreements and projects, where RMB usage has risen as a preferred to mitigate risks and costs. Complementing other RMB promotion measures—like offshore clearing centers and lines—CIPS enhances predictability and operational efficiency through features such as extended windows and with global messaging standards. Its participant base, spanning over 1,400 institutions from more than 100 countries by 2024, underscores broadening geographic adoption, particularly in and emerging markets, which has incrementally elevated RMB's role in reserves and payments despite persistent dominance of established currencies.

De-Dollarization and Sanctions Resistance

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) contributes to de-dollarization efforts by enabling direct clearing and settlement of (RMB)-denominated transactions, allowing participants to bypass dollar-based correspondent banking networks and the U.S.-influenced messaging system. Launched in 2015 and primarily focused on RMB cross-border payments, CIPS processed a total annual volume of ¥175.49 trillion (approximately $24.45 trillion) in 2024, reflecting a 43% year-over-year increase driven by expanded participation from 1,427 financial institutions across 109 countries and regions. This growth supports settlements in local currencies, particularly between and its trading partners, reducing exposure to dollar volatility and U.S. . For instance, in RMB , the currency ranks among the top three globally, facilitating non-dollar invoicing in sectors like commodities and . In the context of sanctions resistance, CIPS provides an alternative infrastructure for entities facing Western financial restrictions, as it operates independently of U.S.-controlled clearing houses like and avoids SWIFT's vulnerability to exclusionary measures. , disconnected from SWIFT following its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, has integrated more deeply with CIPS—initially connecting in 2015 but accelerating RMB usage post-sanctions, with bilateral China- trade shifting toward local currencies via the system to evade dollar-denominated payment blocks. , subject to longstanding U.S. sanctions, became a direct CIPS participant in 2023, enabling RMB settlements for oil and other exports to and coordinating with and on alternative financial channels to counter perceived weaponization of the dollar system. Such integrations allow sanctioned actors to maintain trade flows, though daily CIPS volumes remain modest at around ¥385 billion ($57 billion) as of early 2022, compared to trillions in dollar systems. Despite these advancements, CIPS's role in de-dollarization and sanctions circumvention is constrained by the renminbi's limited global share—under 3% of international payments and below 2% of as of recent data—necessitating continued reliance on hybrid systems for full efficacy. Analyses indicate that while CIPS bolsters RMB internationalization within and aligned blocs, broader adoption hinges on capital account liberalization and reduced state controls, limiting its immediate challenge to dollar dominance. Russian and Iranian usage, for example, has not fully offset SWIFT exclusions due to scale disparities and incomplete RMB .

Controversies and Criticisms

Geopolitical Risks and Sanctions Evasion

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) has been identified as a potential mechanism for evading Western financial sanctions, particularly those enforced through the messaging network, due to its role in facilitating renminbi-denominated transactions outside U.S.-dollar-dominated channels. Following the 2012 exclusion of Iranian banks from , China accelerated development of CIPS as a domestic alternative for cross-border payments, aiming to reduce vulnerability to similar measures while promoting RMB internationalization. By 2022, after Western sanctions disconnected major Russian banks from in response to the invasion of , several Russian financial institutions joined CIPS as indirect participants, enabling RMB settlements for with that bypass traditional dollar-based systems. This integration has supported Russia's pivot to non-Western payment routes, with CIPS transaction volumes surging 43% year-over-year to RMB 175.49 trillion (approximately US$24.45 trillion) in 2024, partly driven by heightened adoption amid sanctions pressures. Despite these capabilities, CIPS's utility for sanctions evasion remains constrained by its partial reliance on SWIFT-compatible standards and Western clearing infrastructures, where many indirect participants still route messages or settlements through U.S.-exposed entities, exposing transactions to secondary sanctions risks. usage, for instance, focuses on RMB-denominated and commodity trades with but has not fully insulated from broader financial isolation, as CIPS handles only a fraction of global payments compared to SWIFT's daily volume exceeding $5 trillion. Analysts note that while CIPS offers sanctioned entities like those in or a partial , its effectiveness is limited without widespread de-dollarization, and aggressive Western secondary sanctions—such as those targeting third-party facilitators—could deter further integration. Geopolitically, CIPS heightens tensions by enabling a parallel financial architecture that challenges U.S. dominance in global payments and sanctions enforcement, potentially fracturing the international system into competing blocs aligned with or . This development amplifies risks of , as expanded CIPS by sanctioned states could diminish the deterrent of financial penalties, prompting the U.S. to impose broader measures that inadvertently accelerate de-dollarization efforts among non-aligned economies. For , the system introduces reciprocal vulnerabilities, including exposure to retaliatory sanctions if perceived as systematically aiding evasion networks involving , , or , thereby complicating its balancing act between economic interdependence with the and strategic alignment with authoritarian partners. Overall, while CIPS does not yet pose a systemic to financial , its growth signals a causal shift toward multipolar infrastructures, where sanctions efficacy increasingly depends on multilateral coordination rather than unilateral U.S. .

Operational Limitations and State Control Issues

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) faces several operational constraints that limit its efficiency and global reach compared to established networks like . As of October 2024, CIPS has only 160 direct participants, which handle directly with the system, and 1,413 indirect participants that rely on direct ones for access; this is a modest network primarily comprising banks and select foreign entities incorporated in . Daily transaction volumes remain low, averaging around 25,900 payments as of early 2025, with annual totals reaching RMB 175.49 trillion (approximately $24.45 trillion) in 2024—a 43% year-over-year increase but still a fraction of 's scale, which processes trillions in daily value across millions of messages globally. Furthermore, approximately 80% of CIPS transactions depend on for message transmission and translation, undermining claims of full independence and exposing the system to vulnerabilities in the event of disruptions or sanctions targeting usage. These limitations extend to processing and compliance requirements. CIPS operates on a real-time gross settlement basis but mandates adherence to China's capital controls, often requiring prior regulatory approvals for certain cross-border flows, which can introduce delays and reduce liquidity for non-RMB or high-value transfers. While operating hours have expanded to 124 hours per week since to better align with international time zones, the system remains anchored to China's statutory working days, potentially hindering seamless 24/7 global operations. State control introduces additional risks of operational opacity and potential interference. Overseen directly by the (PBOC), CIPS mandates that direct participants maintain zero-balance accounts under uniform PBOC management, with only one such account per entity, enabling centralized monitoring of all flows. This structure facilitates PBOC tracking of transactions for compliance but raises concerns about arbitrary prioritization or restriction of payments based on national policy objectives, such as supporting sanctioned entities or enforcing export controls, without independent oversight akin to SWIFT's cooperative governance. The requirement for direct participants to be domestically incorporated further entrenches state influence, limiting broader international bank participation and exposing users to geopolitical directives that could override commercial neutrality. Such controls, while enhancing RMB settlement sovereignty, contrast with decentralized systems and may deter adoption by institutions wary of politicized disruptions.

Achievements and Metrics

Transaction Volume and Adoption Growth

In 2024, CIPS recorded a 43% year-over-year increase in annual transaction value to RMB 175.49 trillion (approximately US$24.45 trillion), accompanied by a 24% rise in transaction count to 8.2 million. This marked a continuation of expansion from 2023, when volumes reached RMB 123 trillion across 6.6 million transactions, reflecting heightened reliance on the system for renminbi-denominated cross-border settlements. Such growth aligns with broader trends in renminbi internationalization, though CIPS volumes remain concentrated in Asia and linked to Chinese trade flows. Adoption has paralleled volume increases, with participant numbers expanding steadily. As of July 2025, CIPS comprised 176 direct participants—primarily settlement banks—and 1,531 indirect participants, spanning multiple regions with a heavy Asian focus (1,112 indirect from Asia). This represents growth from December 2024 figures of 168 direct and 1,461 indirect participants across 109 countries and regions. Total participants reached 1,683 by May 2025, a 10% year-over-year gain, predominantly in indirect categories that access the system via direct counterparts. Direct participants, which handle clearing and settlement, have grown from around 119 in October 2023, indicating gradual international onboarding despite a core of domestic Chinese institutions.
YearTransactions (millions)Value (RMB trillions)Value Growth (%)
20236.6123-
20248.2175.543
These metrics underscore CIPS's operational scaling, driven by integration with domestic clearing networks and incentives for use in trade, though full-year 2025 data remains preliminary as of October.

Strategic Impacts and Future Potential

The Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) bolsters China's financial autonomy by enabling RMB-denominated cross-border settlements independent of U.S.-controlled networks like , thereby mitigating risks from Western sanctions on entities such as Russian banks post-2022 . This capability has facilitated RMB trade invoicing growth to 6% of global by late 2023, supporting bilateral deals with partners like and that bypass dollar intermediaries. However, CIPS's effectiveness remains constrained by China's capital controls and incomplete RMB convertibility, limiting its appeal for non-state actors seeking full sanctions evasion. Geopolitically, CIPS advances RMB internationalization as a counterweight to dollar dominance, with transaction volumes surging 43% to ¥175.49 trillion ($24.45 trillion) in 2024 across 8.2 million payments, reflecting adoption by over 1,400 institutions. Integration with initiatives like the Belt and Road has deepened ties in and , where RMB usage in settlements rose amid U.S. export controls on semiconductors and technology. Yet, its reliance on offshore RMB clearing centers and partial SWIFT interoperability underscores that CIPS augments rather than supplants the existing order, as evidenced by persistent dollar usage in 80-90% of global trade. Looking ahead, CIPS holds potential for expanded role in multipolar finance through linkages with BRICS alternatives like Russia's and pilots, potentially handling 10-15% of China's cross-border flows by 2030 if RMB reserves grow beyond current 2.5% share. Network reach to 189 countries and regions by September 2025, processing $12.7 trillion in H1 alone, signals scalability, particularly for e-CNY interoperability in real-time settlements. Challenges persist, including geopolitical distrust and competition from systems like Europe's , but accelerating de-dollarization trends—driven by U.S. weaponization of finance—could elevate CIPS to a pivotal node in RMB-centric blocs, contingent on reforms enhancing .

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