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Ice pellets

Ice pellets, also known as in , are a form of winter consisting of small, hard grains of transparent or translucent that are typically spherical, irregular, or rarely conical in shape and less than 5 mm in diameter. These particles originate as snowflakes or raindrops in clouds such as altostratus or nimbostratus and fall to the ground after undergoing specific atmospheric processes, distinguishing them from other frozen like , which forms in convective thunderstorms and is larger. Ice pellets form through a multi-layered profile in the atmosphere: begins as in a layer aloft (below °C), partially or completely melts while descending through a warmer layer (above °C, often 1.5 km or more deep), and then refreezes into solid particles in a shallow subfreezing layer (below °C) closer to the surface before reaching the ground. This refreezing can occur via contact freezing of supercooled drops with crystals or through the remnants of partially melted , resulting in particles with a density near or above 0.92 g/cm³ that are not easily crushable. Unlike , which remains until impacting surfaces below °C where it freezes on contact, ice pellets arrive frozen and audibly upon hitting hard ground, often accumulating in layers that can reduce when mixed with other . The presence of ice pellets indicates specific synoptic conditions, such as a or low-level , and they commonly occur in mid-latitude winter storms, lasting from minutes to hours depending on the speed of the weather system and atmospheric stability. Physically, they may appear opaque if derived from refrozen aggregates or transparent if from fully melted and refrozen raindrops, with shapes ranging from smooth ovoids to irregular forms with filaments in some cases. Ice pellets pose notable hazards, including slippery road and surfaces that impair and traction, potential in-flight ice accretion, and reduced braking action, often leading to travel disruptions and aviation advisories under the METAR code . They differ from by their harder texture and from by lacking a soft, rime-covered exterior, serving as key indicators for forecasters in predicting mixed winter events.

Definition and Terminology

Definition

Ice pellets are a form of consisting of small, hard, translucent or opaque spheres or irregular pellets of , generally less than 5 mm in diameter. These particles are composed of frozen or mostly frozen raindrops, or refrozen partially melted snowflakes, that form through specific atmospheric processes. In meteorological classification, ice pellets are defined as spherical, spheroidal, irregular, or rarely conical transparent ice particles with diameters generally less than 5 mm, distinguishing them from larger forms of solid such as . They are reported in and weather observations using the METAR code to indicate their presence and intensity. Ice pellets exhibit distinct visual and tactile properties: they are not easily crushable, bounce upon impact with hard surfaces producing an audible sound, and tend to accumulate in thin, dense layers on cold ground rather than forming deep drifts. In some regions, they are commonly referred to as , though this term can vary by location.

Terminology and Regional Variations

In the United States, the term "" is the official designation used by the for , referring specifically to small, hard pellets of transparent or translucent ice formed from frozen drops or refrozen partially melted flakes, and it is distinctly differentiated from , which involves supercooled liquid droplets freezing on contact with surfaces. In contrast, in the and other countries, "" typically denotes a mixture of and partially melted , while the precise term "" is employed for the frozen type consisting of solid ice grains. The UK further reinforces this by defining as solid particles less than 5 mm in diameter, emphasizing their distinction from sleet mixtures in weather reporting. In , Environment Canada officially adopts "ice pellets" as the standard term for this , described as transparent or translucent spherical or irregular ice particles up to 5 mm in diameter, deliberately avoiding "sleet" to eliminate ambiguity with the UK-style mixture of . This choice aligns with aviation and public forecasting needs, as seen in NAV CANADA's meteorological references, which note ice pellets (sometimes colloquially called sleet) as indicators of specific mid-level atmospheric conditions. The terminology for ice pellets evolved historically, with the term standardized in international meteorology through the World Meteorological Organization's (WMO) , particularly following revisions in the mid-20th century that formalized definitions for precipitation types to enhance global consistency in observations and reporting. Earlier European meteorological texts often referred to similar phenomena as "granular snow" or "grains of ice," reflecting less precise classifications before widespread adoption of "ice pellets" post-1950s. In non-English contexts, regional varies; in French-speaking meteorological communities, the term "grésil" is used for ice pellets, denoting small, hard ice grains distinct from larger ("grêle"). In , "Eiskörner" serves as the equivalent for ice pellets, translating to "ice grains" and capturing their small, solid form, while terms like "Eisregen" may occasionally appear but more commonly refer to .

Formation and Meteorology

Atmospheric Conditions Required

Ice pellets require a distinct vertical profile in the atmosphere, featuring subfreezing surface temperatures below 0°C, an elevated warm layer aloft with temperatures above 0°C—typically 1°C to 3°C—and a colder layer above where initial forms as crystals. This warm layer is generally situated between 1,500 and 3,000 meters in altitude and must be of moderate depth, often less than 300 meters thick, to allow sufficient time for melting while enabling subsequent refreezing in the lower subfreezing layer. The subfreezing layer near the surface needs to extend at least 750 meters deep with temperatures at or below -6°C to facilitate the refreezing process. High content within the clouds and warm layer is essential, ensuring adequate water availability for complete melting of particles before they descend into the cold layer. These conditions often arise in proximity to weather fronts, particularly ahead of advancing warm fronts or within occluded systems, where warm air overrides a shallow layer of cold air trapped at the surface, establishing the required inversion. Relative humidity exceeding 75% in the upper dendritic growth zone (between -12°C and -18°C) further supports robust development that feeds into the process. Such profiles are dynamically maintained by interactions between contrasting air masses, with the warm layer's moisture playing a key role in sustaining the intensity needed for pellet formation. Ice pellets predominantly occur during winter in mid-latitude regions, such as eastern (east of the Rockies, including the U.S. Midwest and southeastern ) and , where frontal systems and seasonal cooling frequently produce these temperature structures. They are rare in tropical areas due to the absence of sufficiently deep cold layers aloft required for the initial ice formation and refreezing.

Processes of Formation

Ice pellets form through a sequence of meteorological processes involving phase changes in particles as they descend through varying temperature layers in the atmosphere. The process initiates in the upper atmosphere where temperatures are below freezing, allowing snowflakes to develop via the Bergeron process or other growth mechanisms. As these snowflakes fall into an elevated warm layer with temperatures typically ranging from 1°C to 3°C above freezing, they melt completely into raindrops due to the sufficient heat and duration of exposure in this layer. This complete melting requires the warm layer to be of adequate thickness, often referenced in analyses of winter profiles. Upon exiting the warm layer, the raindrops enter a subfreezing surface layer near the ground, becoming supercooled as they cool below 0°C without immediate freezing. In this stage, if the subfreezing layer is shallow—typically under 1,000 meters thick—and sufficiently cold (below -5°C), the supercooled raindrops undergo freezing through contact with ice nuclei or remnants of partially melted particles, forming solid pellets before reaching . This process is typically heterogeneous, involving interactions with existing ice structures in the . The shallowness of the layer limits the time available for partial refreezing or other interactions, ensuring the pellets form as discrete frozen drops. An alternative formation pathway arises when snowflakes experience only partial melting in a thinner or cooler warm layer aloft, transforming into wet, partially aggregates often termed "wet ." These aggregates then descend into the subfreezing surface layer, where they accrete additional through riming or direct freezing of the liquid component, resulting in irregular-shaped pellets. This process is more common when the warm layer's thermal profile does not fully melt the snow, preserving some ice structure for subsequent icing. The overall transformation from to ice pellet for an individual particle encompasses the and refreezing phases during descent through the atmospheric layers. Variations in layer thicknesses and temperatures can influence the final pellet characteristics.

Physical Characteristics

Size, Shape, and Appearance

Ice pellets typically measure 1 to 5 in diameter, with sizes generally less than 5 , making them smaller than most hailstones but larger than fine snow grains. Diameters rarely exceed 6 , as their formation limits growth beyond this scale. In shape, ice pellets are predominantly spheroidal or irregular, though conical forms occur rarely due to the dynamics of rapid freezing from supercooled droplets or refrozen flakes. Partial melting followed by refreezing can produce irregular contours, but the surfaces remain smooth and glossy from the quick solidification process. Ice pellets exhibit a translucent and clear appearance, akin to small marbles, when formed from frozen raindrops; those originating from refrozen snowflakes may appear partly white or opaque due to trapped air bubbles during the freezing of melted aggregates. This clarity distinguishes them visually from opaque precipitation like . On the ground, ice pellets accumulate as a thin, hard layer—typically up to 5 deep in moderate events—that feels crunchy underfoot and emits a gravel-like when walked upon, owing to their and tendency to bounce audibly without easy crushing. Heavy accumulations, defined as exceeding 1.3 , amplify this effect and increase surface hazards.

Composition and Density

Ice pellets consist primarily of water ice (H₂O) in crystalline form, rendering them transparent when derived from the freezing of raindrops. When formed from partially melted and refrozen snowflakes, they may exhibit partial opacity due to incorporated air or structural variations. Impurities are generally minimal in clean atmospheric conditions, though trace atmospheric pollutants can be entrained during formation in contaminated environments. The density of ice pellets typically approximates or exceeds that of pure ice at 0.917 g/cm³, reflecting their solid, compact nature. However, variations occur based on formation dynamics; for instance, slow-falling ice pellets often display a lower bulk density of about 0.16 g/cm³, attributable to 75–90% air volume from trapped inclusions during rapid freezing. This places their density below solid ice (0.917 g/cm³) yet above that of snow (0.05–0.4 g/cm³). Microstructurally, ice pellets feature hard, low-compressibility interiors akin to small , making them resistant to crushing and capable of bouncing upon impact. Fracturing reveals internal cracks and voids, often resulting from air entrapment and volume expansion during the freezing process. Their melting point aligns with pure ice at 0°C, though higher-density variants exhibit slower melt rates compared to due to reduced air content and enhanced .

Distinctions from Similar Phenomena

Comparison to Hail

Ice pellets and are both forms of frozen , but they differ markedly in size and internal structure. Ice pellets, also known as , are small, typically measuring less than 5 mm in diameter, and consist of uniform, rounded or irregular grains without concentric layering. In contrast, is defined as precipitation ice greater than 5 mm in diameter, with stones often reaching up to 15 cm or more in severe cases, and featuring distinct internal layers formed by successive cycles of growth in turbulent updrafts. The formation processes of ice pellets and highlight their divergent atmospheric origins. Ice pellets develop through a top-down mechanism in winter storms, where falling snowflakes or raindrops partially melt upon passing through a shallow layer of above-freezing air aloft (typically 0–6°C) and then refreeze into small pellets as they descend through a deeper subfreezing layer near the surface. , however, forms bottom-up within powerful updrafts, where supercooled water droplets freeze onto ice nuclei high in cumulonimbus clouds, accreting additional layers of ice as the growing stone is repeatedly lifted and falls until it becomes too heavy to be supported by the . This convective process in contrasts sharply with the stratiform, melting-refreezing dynamics of ice pellets, which occur without strong vertical motions. These differences extend to their impacts and field . Ice pellets primarily pose risks by accumulating on surfaces to create slippery conditions for , bouncing upon impact without causing structural damage due to their diminutive size and low mass. , by comparison, can inflict substantial harm, denting vehicles, shattering windows, damaging crops and roofing, and even injuring or killing and when stones exceed 2.5 cm in . For , ice pellets are typically translucent, uniform in , and melt quickly on warm surfaces, whereas are often opaque, irregularly shaped with visible cross-sectional rings, and persist longer due to their greater volume.

Comparison to Graupel and Freezing Rain

Ice pellets differ from primarily in their formation and physical properties. , also known as soft hail or snow pellets, forms through a riming process where supercooled water droplets freeze directly onto falling snowflakes within a cold cloud layer, resulting in soft, opaque, white particles that resemble tiny snowballs. In contrast, ice pellets originate as snow that partially melts into liquid drops in a warmer mid-level atmospheric layer before refreezing into hard, translucent spheres in a subfreezing layer near the surface. This refreezing imparts a brittle, glassy texture to ice pellets, distinguishing them from the spongy, air-filled structure of graupel, which often contains trapped air bubbles and crushes easily under pressure. Compared to freezing rain, ice pellets are discrete solid particles that reach the ground already frozen, whereas freezing rain consists of supercooled liquid droplets that remain unfrozen aloft and only solidify upon impacting subfreezing surfaces, forming a smooth layer of glaze ice. This difference arises from the thickness of the warm layer: a thinner layer allows partial melting and refreezing for ice pellets, while a thicker one keeps drops liquid until contact for freezing rain. Consequently, ice pellets accumulate as loose, granular piles that can bounce on impact, whereas freezing rain creates adherent, heavy ice coatings that weigh down branches and power lines. In terms of texture and auditory cues, ice pellets produce a sharp, crunching or shattering when stepped on or crushed, reflecting their hardness and low , and they often audibly upon hitting hard surfaces. , by comparison, crumbles softly underfoot without shattering, due to its fragile, rime-encrusted composition. , lacking discrete particles, results in no such sounds from falling but instead forms a slick, glassy surface that can crack under weight. All three phenomena occur in subfreezing surface conditions but require distinct vertical temperature profiles: ice pellets necessitate a mid-level melting layer for refreezing, which is absent in formation where riming happens entirely in cold air, while involves complete melting aloft without subsequent refreezing until impact. This meteorological overlap in winter storms underscores the importance of precise profiling for accurate differentiation.

Effects and Impacts

Impacts on Transportation and Infrastructure

Ice pellets pose significant hazards to road transportation by accumulating on pavements and forming dense, slippery layers that drastically reduce tire-road . These accumulations create low-traction surfaces with friction coefficients similar to those of (around 0.1 to 0.2), which increases the likelihood of skids, loss of control, and collisions. Unlike softer , ice pellets are harder and more compact, making them slower and more labor-intensive to clear through plowing or mechanical removal, as they resist deformation and do not melt as readily under ambient conditions. In operations, ice pellets contribute to reduced visibility during and contaminate , necessitating enhanced protocols and potentially leading to flight delays. Meteorological reports, such as codes designating "" for ice pellets, trigger warnings that severely restrict allowance times for anti-icing fluids, often to just a few minutes in light to moderate conditions, with no allowable takeoffs during heavy ice pellet events due to the risk of frozen contamination on aircraft surfaces. contamination from ice pellets can further degrade braking performance, requiring runway treatments that indirectly prolong ground operations. Although the weight of ice pellets alone imposes minimal stress on power lines and structures compared to the denser glaze from , they often occur in mixed precipitation events that amplify overall icing loads. For instance, the 1998 North American ice storm featured periods of ice pellets interspersed with , resulting in ice accretions that downed thousands of utility poles and transmission towers, causing outages for over 3 million customers and damages exceeding $5 billion across the northeastern U.S. and southeastern . Effective mitigation of ice pellets relies primarily on mechanical plowing to remove accumulations, as traditional rock salt becomes largely ineffective below -5°C, where its ice-melting capability diminishes due to reduced formation on solid pellets. Plowing operations in affected areas can incur costs of $100 to $500 per kilometer, depending on , terrain, and event severity, underscoring the economic burden on transportation agencies during such events.

Environmental and Broader Impacts

Ice pellets generally pose minimal direct harm to , as their small size and brittle nature limit physical to animals compared to larger or heavy . However, heavy accumulations can indirectly affect ecosystems by damaging , such as bending or breaking branches under weight, which disrupts habitats for and small mammals. In severe cases, ice pellet layers can encase low-lying plants, inhibiting and growth, while rapid melting contributes to by increasing runoff and dislodging in sloped areas. Climate change is linked to shifts in ice pellet occurrences, with studies from the indicating potential increases in frequency within transitional zones—such as mid-latitude regions—due to warmer mid-level atmospheric temperatures promoting supercooled formation aloft while surface air persists. As of 2025, continued warming is projected to increase ice pellet events in mid-latitude transitional zones, per updated climate models. This aligns with broader IPCC assessments projecting more mixed events, including , as alters temperature profiles and enhances atmospheric moisture, though overall solid may decline in warmer areas. Societally, winter storms featuring ice pellets contribute to substantial economic losses in , with insured damages from such events averaging $1-5 billion annually when factoring in disruptions to , , and . Health risks are notable, particularly from slips on icy surfaces leading to strains, sprains, and fractures, with over 20,000 occupational cases reported in the U.S. in 2017 alone. Regarding global distribution, post-2015 suggests ice pellets may become less common in southern warming regions due to reduced surface layers, but intensify in northern transitional and polar-amplified areas, such as elevated inland zones, as shifts and warmer upper atmospheres favor mixed-phase . For instance, projections for indicate decreasing ratios in coastal lowlands but increases at higher elevations under future warming scenarios.

Observation and Forecasting

Detection and Measurement Methods

Ice pellets are detected and measured using a combination of ground-based instruments and techniques, which provide data on particle characteristics, distribution, and occurrence. Ground-based methods primarily rely on disdrometers for in-situ measurements of ice pellet size, shape, and fall speed distributions. -optical disdrometers, such as the OTT Parsivel, illuminate falling particles with a laser sheet to record their diameters and velocities, enabling the identification of ice pellets by their distinct terminal velocities compared to raindrops or snowflakes, typically for particles exceeding 1 mm in size. Two-dimensional video disdrometers (2DVD) further enhance this by capturing high-resolution stereo images of individual particles, allowing for precise counting, shape analysis (e.g., ), and differentiation from or based on transparency and roundness, with applications in observations. Manual collection in gauges, such as the standard 8-inch funnel type, quantifies accumulation depth by capturing and measuring settled ice pellets, providing total ice load data for sites without . Automated surface observing systems (), widely deployed since the early , use identification (PI) sensors to detect ice pellets through acoustic or optical means, reporting them via code PL when confirmed. Post-2000 advancements, including evaluations of add-on acoustic sensors like the HIP-100, improved reliability for distinguishing ice pellets from or by analyzing impact sounds on a vibrating surface, though challenges persist in light detection below 0.01 inch per hour. Remote sensing with weather radars identifies ice pellets through weak echo returns, typically exhibiting reflectivity factors of 20-30 dBZ due to their small size and composition, which scatters less energy than . Dual-polarization radars enhance by measuring differential reflectivity (Z_DR), where low values (near 0 dB) indicate the near-spherical shape of ice pellets, contrasting with the forms of snowflakes. Satellite-based detection of ice pellets is limited to indirect inference, as passive sensors cannot resolve individual small particles at the surface. Instruments like MODIS on NASA's and Aqua satellites map surface ice cover and infer pellet formation from brightness temperature profiles revealing multi-layered clouds with supercooled liquid water aloft (cloud-top temperatures around -10°C to -20°C) and shallow cold surface layers.

Meteorological Forecasting Techniques

Meteorologists employ (NWP) models, such as the high-resolution Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System, to simulate atmospheric profiles and predict the conditions conducive to ice pellet formation. These models resolve vertical layers by integrating physical parameterizations for cloud microphysics and processes, enabling forecasts of the elevated warm layer (above 0°C) and subfreezing surface layer required for and refreezing of hydrometeors. Additionally, soundings from weather balloons provide critical vertical profiles of and , allowing forecasters to identify melt-refreeze signatures, such as a reversed "S" shape in the profile indicating a thin warm layer above a cold surface layer. To quantify risks, NWP model outputs are processed into probabilistic "ice pellet risk" maps, often using ensemble forecasting techniques that run multiple simulations with perturbed initial conditions to account for in initial atmospheric states. methods improve precipitation type discrimination in mid-latitudes, achieving hit rates exceeding 50% for ice pellets and reducing overconfidence in deterministic forecasts by spreading predictions across likely scenarios. Post-2020 advancements incorporate into forecasting workflows, enhancing short-term nowcasts (0-6 hours) of phase by training algorithms on historical NWP data and observations to classify mixed-phase events more accurately than traditional thresholds alone. For instance, models generate probabilistic forecasts of winter types, including ice pellets, by learning patterns in thermodynamic profiles and outperforming baseline NWP in transitional zones. Commercial applications, such as those integrated into platforms like The Weather Company (which powers services including ), leverage AI-driven ensembles for localized alerts on hazardous winter . Forecasting ice pellets remains challenging due to the need for fine vertical resolution—typically less than 500 meters—to accurately depict thin elevated warm layers (often 100-300 meters thick) that determine whether hydrometeors fully melt or only partially refreeze. Current global models like ECMWF struggle with such scales, leading to biases in predicting ice pellets versus in marginal thermodynamic regimes. Climate projections from regional models indicate varied changes in freezing precipitation events, including ice pellets, with decreases in most mid-latitude regions (e.g., >100% in southern U.S.) and potential increases in northern areas like the by mid-century under moderate emissions scenarios.