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Perim

Perim is a small volcanic island administered as part of Yemen, located in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the southern entrance to the Red Sea, approximately 1.5 miles off the southwestern coast of the Arabian Peninsula and 11 miles from the African mainland. Positioned at coordinates roughly 12°40′N 43°24′E, it divides the approximately 32-kilometer-wide strait into a broader western channel and a narrower eastern passage critical for shipping traffic between the Mediterranean and Indian Ocean routes. The island's rugged terrain rises to elevations of over 200 meters and features a natural harbor, but it lacks fresh water sources, rendering it largely uninhabited today with no permanent population. Historically, Perim's strategic location has drawn successive foreign powers seeking to control Red Sea access, beginning with brief Portuguese visits in the 16th century and French occupation in 1738, followed by British seizure in 1799 during campaigns against French influence in Egypt, though initial abandonment occurred due to water scarcity. Britain reoccupied the island in 1857 amid Suez Canal developments, establishing it as a coaling station for steamships, complete with lighthouses, a condensing plant for water, and facilities supporting pearl fishing and maritime refueling until the 1930s shift to oil diminished its utility. Perim remained under British administration as part of Aden until Yemeni independence in 1967, after which it saw intermittent use in regional conflicts, including Egyptian blockades during the 1973 Yom Kippur War and guerrilla operations in the 1970s. In modern times, Perim's position continues to underscore its geopolitical significance amid Yemen's , with control contested by various factions; in , Saudi-led Gulf forces recaptured it from Houthi-aligned groups to secure shipping lanes vital for global trade, though reports of subsequent infrastructure developments like runways have raised concerns over . The island's role in facilitating or threatening passage through one of the world's busiest chokepoints highlights enduring causal dynamics of geography dictating and economic priorities, independent of ideological narratives propagated in some contemporary accounts.

Geography

Location and Physical Features

Perim is a small island positioned within the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which links the to the and separates the from the . The island divides the strait into two channels: a narrower eastern passage approximately 3 kilometers wide adjacent to and a broader western channel about 26 kilometers across toward . Perim lies roughly 3.5 kilometers offshore from Yemen's Shaikh Said Peninsula on the mainland and approximately 25 kilometers from the Djiboutian coast. The island spans 13 square kilometers and consists primarily of volcanic rock formations, including rough lava fields and low volcanic cones. Its terrain is rocky and arid, rising to elevations of up to 65 meters, with sparse adapted to the harsh, water-scarce lacking permanent freshwater sources. Perim remains largely uninhabited, accommodating only intermittent presence of or lighthouse maintenance staff.

Geology

Perim Island is composed predominantly of basaltic lavas and associated deposits forming part of the Aden Trap Series, a sequence of volcanic rocks linked to in the and southern system. These rocks, primarily stratoid basalts erupted between approximately 10 and 5 million years ago during the to , represent an eroded remnant of flank from a larger volcanic center near the southwestern . The island's terrain includes ancient lava flows, minor ash cones, and volcanic vents, with overlying terraces developed on exposed surfaces. This occurred within the Aden-Yemen volcanic province, driven by mantle upwelling and lithospheric thinning associated with the of the Arabian and plates at the Afro-Arabian plate boundary. The process reflects early stages of continental rifting that initiated the Red Sea-Gulf of system, with Perim marking the western extent of the Aden volcanic line, where activity predates younger, more alkaline eruptions to the east. of the basaltic bedrock has produced limited thin soils, supporting minimal cover, while no economically viable resources have been documented in geological surveys of the . The island's location in a tectonically active exposes it to minor seismic activity, with recorded earthquakes typically below magnitude 5 since 2012, consistent with ongoing plate divergence rates of 1-2 cm per year across the Bab el-Mandeb region. Such events underscore the structural instability tied to the rift's propagation, though no major volcanic eruptions have been noted on Perim in historical records.

Climate

Perim features a hot desert (Köppen ), characterized by extreme and high temperatures influenced by its position in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. annual temperatures hover between 25°C and 35°C, with summer highs frequently surpassing 40°C and occasional peaks near 44°C during heatwaves, while winter lows rarely drop below 20°C. These conditions are broadly comparable to nearby coastal stations in , where mean summer temperatures reach 35°C and annual extremes align with Perim's exposure to the Arabian Sea's heat. Precipitation is negligible, averaging under 50 mm annually, confined mostly to irregular winter showers from to that rarely exceed 10-20 mm in any month. Prolonged droughts are the norm, exacerbated by the island's volcanic terrain limiting , with data proxies from confirming similarly low totals of 40-50 mm per year across 's southern coasts. Relative remains low at 50-60% diurnally but can rise during breezes, while frequent banks and northerly winds exceeding 20-30 km/h often impair visibility, particularly in the strait. The island's flat, low-lying profile (elevation under 30 m) heightens vulnerability to regional cyclones, such as those originating in the , which have historically brought storm surges and erosion despite infrequency. Projected sea-level rise of 0.5-1 m by 2100 poses risks of inundation to coastal facilities, compounded by minimal and soil cover that amplify flash flooding during rare events. Long-term records are sparse due to the absence of a dedicated meteorological station, relying instead on extrapolations from and observations.

History

Pre-Colonial and Early Modern Period

Perim Island, known in Arabic as Jazīrat Mayyūn, featured sparse human activity in pre-colonial times, limited primarily to seasonal fishermen and occasional pirates drawn to its strategic position at the Bab el-Mandeb Strait's southern entrance. The island's rugged volcanic terrain and acute scarcity of freshwater precluded any significant permanent settlements or agricultural development. During periods of Ottoman control over Yemen, including from 1538 to 1635, Perim fell under nominal , though fleets patrolled the region for maritime security without establishing a notable presence on the island itself. Early exploration brought fleeting attention: Portuguese forces under landed on Perim in 1513, christening it Vera Cruz amid efforts to dominate Red Sea-Indian Ocean trade routes. This visit marked one of the earliest documented contacts, yet no followed due to logistical challenges posed by shortages. In the , forces briefly occupied Perim in 1738, attempting to leverage its location for naval operations, but abandoned it shortly thereafter for similar reasons of resource inadequacy. Throughout this era, the island served mainly as a navigational and occasional refuge, with its Mayyūn reflecting its role as a rather than a populated .

British Colonial Administration

Britain annexed Perim Island on 11 January 1857, establishing it as a coaling to support traffic along the Aden route through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and to preempt French territorial ambitions. The occupation was prompted by intelligence of a French vessel departing intent on seizing the island, leading Palmerston to authorize the move. As a dependency of the , Perim was garrisoned with a small detachment from Aden troops, initially focused on securing the site and improving navigation. To facilitate safe passage in the hazardous waters, a was constructed at the island's eastern end and commissioned on 1 1861, providing a revolving light visible to approaching vessels. Basic fortifications, including for a of approximately 50-100 personnel, were established to maintain control, with additional laborers employed for operational needs such as coaling and . Commercial development accelerated in when the Perim , founded by Hinton Spalding, received permission to operate a coaling depot in the inner harbor, which could accommodate large vessels and competed with until the shift to oil fuel diminished demand by . During the World Wars, Perim's strategic position supported British naval operations, including patrols against enemy shipping in the ; for instance, in , vessels intercepted an Italian submarine north of the island amid early wartime engagements. The island's population, comprising , coal workers, and transients, peaked at around 200 during high-activity periods but remained sparse otherwise due to limited and harsh conditions. relinquished control in 1967 alongside the withdrawal from , transferring the island to the newly independent without reported significant infrastructural legacy beyond rudimentary facilities.

South Yemeni and Unified Yemen Control

Upon achieving independence from on November 30, 1967, Perim Island was transferred to the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, the Marxist-oriented state encompassing former and its dependencies. The new authorities promptly depopulated the island, displacing most of its estimated 4,500 residents to prioritize strategic militarization over civilian settlement. As a Soviet-aligned regime, received technical assistance from the USSR to modernize naval facilities on Perim, positioning it as a forward outpost for monitoring transit through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Governance during this era emphasized nominal administrative control from , with limited on-site presence focused on lighthouse maintenance and occasional naval patrols rather than economic exploitation or habitation. No permanent population resided there, and development initiatives were absent, reflecting the regime's ideological emphasis on over individual or infrastructural investment. Sporadic reports of activities surfaced, but lacked comprehensive documentation or enforcement data. Following unification with on May 22, 1990, Perim fell under the Republic of Yemen's central authority, administered loosely through coastal districts without dedicated local governance structures. The island's status remained one of sovereignty asserted by Sana'a, yet practical oversight was minimal, confined to intermittent signaling via the aging and rudimentary fisheries monitoring. Decades of governmental neglect precluded any resettlement or modernization, leaving Perim uninhabited and underdeveloped amid Yemen's post-unification economic strains and internal priorities through 2014.

Yemen Civil War Era

In early 2015, as Houthi forces advanced amid 's political upheaval following their capture of in September 2014, they established positions on Perim Island, leveraging its location to threaten shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. This move aligned with broader Houthi efforts to control coastal areas, enabling the deployment of anti-shipping weapons, including missiles supplied through Iran-linked networks that facilitated logistics to 's western ports. Perim's seizure exacerbated risks to the strait, a chokepoint handling approximately 12% of global seaborne oil trade and 8% of flows prior to intensified disruptions.

Houthi Seizure

Houthi fighters, capitalizing on the collapse of authority, overran Perim in the first months of , displacing any remaining Yemeni military presence and establishing defensive positions. The island's volcanic terrain and proximity to mainland Yemen's governorate allowed Houthis to integrate it into their Red Sea-facing operations, focusing on monitoring and potential interdiction of maritime . Empirical assessments from monitoring indicate this facilitated early tests of coastal-launched threats, though specific Perim-based incidents remained limited compared to mainland launches. UN panel reports on arms flows highlight Iran's role in providing that reached such positions, underscoring causal links between external support and Houthi maritime capabilities.

Saudi-led Coalition and UAE Intervention

The Saudi-led coalition, comprising UAE and other Gulf states, initiated airstrikes on March 26, 2015, under Operation Decisive Storm, targeting Houthi assets including positions on Perim to degrade their ability to project power into the strait. By April 2015, coalition aircraft struck Houthi sites on the island, contributing to the rapid recapture of Perim later that year as ground forces, supported by naval blockades, expelled remaining fighters. UAE special forces played a key role in securing Red Sea islands, including Perim, to counter Houthi mining and missile threats that had already prompted rerouting of some commercial vessels. These operations reduced immediate Perim-based risks, though broader strait disruptions persisted, with Houthi attacks from nearby coasts causing a temporary spike in insurance premiums and delays for an estimated 5-10% of transiting cargo volumes in 2016. Coalition control metrics, per neutral observers, stabilized island access but highlighted challenges in fully neutralizing Iran-supplied weaponry caches.

Post-2018 Shifts and Saudi Handover

Following UAE's partial drawdown in 2019, forces assumed primary responsibility for Perim, constructing facilities including a rudimentary airstrip by 2021 to monitor Houthi movements. In June 2021, the (STC), backed by coalition logistics, asserted control over Perim (also known as Mayyun), informing UN experts of the to consolidate anti-Houthi positions amid stalled talks. This shift reflected intra-coalition dynamics, with prioritizing de-escalation while STC forces maintained patrols to deter resurgent threats, though Houthi drone incursions tested defenses sporadically. By 2023, UN-verified data showed no major ground contests on the island, but ongoing strait-wide attacks underscored Perim's enduring role in equations.

Houthi Seizure

In early 2015, as Houthi forces advanced southward during the , they rapidly occupied Perim Island (also known as Mayun), exploiting the disarray of Yemeni government defenses weakened by the rebels' prior capture of Sana'a in September 2014 and subsequent control over much of the mainland coast near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. The island's sparse population—estimated at fewer than 200 residents at the time—and its isolation from mainland support limited any organized resistance, allowing the to establish control with minimal opposition from local garrisons or tribal elements. Following the , Houthi militants fortified Perim by transporting weapons systems, including coastal missiles and equipment, to strategic positions overlooking the , positioning the island as a forward base to threaten shipping lanes that handle approximately 10% of global trade. This militarization enabled early Houthi operations in the , with reports of reconnaissance and preparations for anti-ship strikes emerging by mid-2015, heightening risks to vessels transiting the narrow waterway between Perim and the Yemeni mainland. The immediate aftermath saw Perim serve as a launch point for initial documented Houthi maritime threats, including the deployment of sea mines and unmanned surface vessels in surrounding waters, which contributed to elevated insurance premiums and preliminary adjustments in shipping routes, though widespread rerouting remained limited until subsequent escalations. These actions underscored the island's tactical value in disrupting traffic, prompting international naval patrols to monitor Houthi activities from the outpost.

Saudi-led Coalition and UAE Intervention

In October 2015, forces loyal to Yemeni President , supported by (UAE) troops and the broader Saudi-led coalition, recaptured Perim Island (also known as Mayyun) from Houthi control, securing a key position in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. The operation marked an early ground-focused effort by the UAE, which deployed alongside Yemeni allies to dislodge Houthi positions entrenched since their initial seizure of the island earlier that year. Following the recapture, UAE forces established surveillance bases on the island to monitor maritime traffic and detect potential threats in the strait. UAE-led joint patrols with Yemeni government forces commenced shortly after, focusing on naval to curb Houthi incursions via small boats and unmanned vessels. These operations contributed to stabilizing access to the Bab el-Mandeb shipping corridor, with coalition naval assets from Perim helping to deter attacks that had disrupted commercial traffic; for instance, despite a claimed Houthi strike on a UAE vessel in October 2016, patrol efficacy reduced successful incursions in the vicinity during 2016-2017 compared to peak Houthi disruptions in early 2015. The UAE provided logistical backbone, including resupply via air and sea, to sustain these efforts amid the island's harsh terrain and limited infrastructure. By 2017, UAE support extended to infrastructure enhancements on Perim, such as initial expansions of airstrip capabilities to facilitate rapid troop deployment and flights, bolstering coalition power projection without relying solely on mainland bases. These developments underscored the UAE's emphasis on ground and maritime control in the 's southern theater, distinct from Saudi Arabia's predominant aerial campaign.

Post-2018 Shifts and Saudi Handover

In July 2019, following the ' announcement of a strategic redeployment from , control of Perim Island was transferred to n forces alongside the operating from . This handover addressed the UAE's reduced direct military footprint in the region, where it had maintained positions since the coalition's 2015 intervention, while assumed primary responsibility for securing the Bab al-Mandeb Strait approaches. The transition preserved coalition oversight without immediate disruptions, as UAE elements withdrew from the island's installations, potentially retaining limited advisory support amid ongoing operations. , including surveillance and systems, continued to deter Houthi advances toward Perim, with reports of sporadic probes from Houthi-held mainland positions across the . The island's uninhabited status precluded any significant civilian repercussions from these shifts.

Strategic and Military Significance

Geopolitical Role in Bab el-Mandeb Strait

Perim Island, situated at the southern entrance to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, divides the waterway into two primary channels: the narrower eastern Bab Iskender channel, approximately 2 miles (3.2 km) wide, and the wider western channel, about 16-20 miles (26-32 km) across. Larger commercial vessels predominantly utilize the deeper western channel for transit, while the overall strait at its narrowest point is 20 miles (32 km) wide, channeling the bulk of maritime traffic through these Perim-adjacent passages. This configuration positions Perim as a pivotal geographic feature influencing navigational efficiency in a strait that facilitates approximately 10% of global maritime trade volumes, with annual cargo throughput averaging 1.6 billion tons from 2020 to 2023. The strait's role in energy security is underscored by its handling of significant oil flows, with an average of 8.7 million barrels per day (b/d) of crude oil and petroleum products transiting in 2023, primarily destined for Asian markets such as and . Disruptions here compel rerouting around the , increasing shipping times by 10-14 days and elevating freight costs, thereby exerting upward pressure on global energy prices through delays and higher insurance premiums. Historical precedents, such as the brief during the 1973 War imposed by the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen, restricted oil deliveries to via the and contributed to the broader , where prices quadrupled amid coordinated Arab production cuts and embargo effects. Shipping risks in the Bab el-Mandeb have evolved from Somali piracy in the preceding decades to Houthi-led attacks post-2015. Prior to the Houthi ascendancy, Somali pirate operations in the adjacent peaked between 2008 and 2012, targeting vessels transiting the and prompting naval patrols that reduced incidents by over 90% by 2013. In contrast, Houthi actions since late 2023 have involved and drone strikes rather than boarding, resulting in a halving of oil transits to 4.0 million b/d through 2024 and diverting over 90% of container traffic away from the route. These shifts highlight the strait's vulnerability to asymmetric threats, amplifying geopolitical tensions without direct territorial control over Perim itself.

Historical and Current Military Uses

During the British occupation beginning in , Perim served primarily as a naval to enforce blockades against forces in during the , with troops landing to secure the island for strategic denial. By 1857, Britain formally seized Perim to preempt claims, establishing a coaling by 1881 to support traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, accompanied by a small and constructed around 1860 for navigational and defensive purposes. These installations focused on maritime surveillance and resupply rather than heavy fortifications, enabling convoy protection and anti-submarine operations during later conflicts like , though without permanent forts comparable to mainland defenses. In contrast, post-2015 military uses emphasize aerial and radar capabilities amid Yemen's civil war. The Saudi-led coalition, including UAE forces, recaptured Perim from Houthi control in late September 2015 via air and sea operations, installing temporary garrisons to monitor strait traffic and counter asymmetric threats. Satellite imagery from 2021 revealed construction of a 1.8-kilometer runway and associated structures on the island, enabling drone deployments and intelligence collection on Red Sea movements, with UAE reportedly relocating unmanned aerial vehicles there from Eritrean bases. Coalition statements confirm equipment and personnel presence for maritime security, including interception of Houthi-launched drones targeting Saudi targets, though specific Perim-based interception rates remain undisclosed in public reports; official denials assert no permanent foreign bases exist, attributing facilities to Yemeni government-aligned operations despite verified temporary infrastructure.

Infrastructure Developments

Following the onset of the Yemen conflict in 2015, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), as part of the Saudi-led coalition, initiated infrastructure projects on Perim Island (also known as Mayun Island) to enhance military logistics and surveillance in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Construction of an airstrip began toward the end of 2016, aiming for a runway over 3 km in length, but this initial effort was abandoned amid operational challenges. Resumed work around early 2021 produced a shorter runway, approximately 1.85 km (6,070 ft) long, as revealed by Planet Labs satellite imagery showing construction vehicles, grading equipment, and associated hangars. This length supports operations for medium transport aircraft like the C-130, rather than solely light aircraft, facilitating rapid deployment of coalition forces and supplies. Satellite imagery through 2022 indicated stalled progress on the planned 1.9 km , with limited activity suggesting logistical pauses, though UAE-linked facilities persisted for ongoing use. By 2025, imagery confirmed integration into a broader UAE of bases encircling the , including Perim as a key node for real-time monitoring of Houthi maritime threats via and hubs. These hubs, comprising camps and technical installations, enable logistics by relaying data on shipping lanes, where Houthi and attacks since 2016 have disrupted over 10% of global oil transit volume through the strait. Houthi-aligned outlets and Yemeni officials have criticized the developments as escalatory foreign occupation, claiming they violate Yemen's and provoke Red Sea instability, though such sources often omit justifications tied to defensive responses against Ansar Allah attacks on commercial vessels. In contrast, the facilities have correlated with reduced successful Houthi interdictions post-2021, supporting metrics of secured flows amid over 200 documented attacks on shipping by 2025. No public UAE confirmation exists, but patterns match Emirati power-protection shifts from offensive to strait-focused .

Development and Economic Prospects

Proposed Connectivity Projects

A conceptual suspension bridge linking Yemen and Djibouti via Perim Island was proposed in the mid-2000s as part of a broader transcontinental connectivity initiative across the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. The project, dubbed the "Bridge of the Horns," envisioned a 28-kilometer span divided into two phases: the first connecting the Yemeni mainland to Perim, and the second linking Perim to Djibouti, with Perim serving as a central anchorage point due to its strategic mid-strait position. Initial feasibility studies highlighted engineering viability through high-strength suspension designs, but estimated costs ranged from $20 billion for the initial phase alone, escalating to $200 billion when incorporating ancillary infrastructure like ports and roads. Proponents argued the bridge could transform regional trade by enabling direct land connections between and the , potentially reducing reliance on maritime routes through the strait and facilitating faster overland freight from the to Asian markets via Yemen's road networks. However, technical assessments identified significant hurdles, including the strait's powerful currents exceeding 4 knots, deep waters up to 300 meters, and Perim's volcanic prone to seismic activity and eruptions, which could compromise structural integrity over time. Alternative proposals for an undersea tunnel were evaluated but rejected due to heightened risks from earthquake-prone fault lines in the region, where tectonic shifts have historically triggered underwater landslides. Development stalled following the onset of Yemen's in , with no substantive progress reported as of despite intermittent announcements of renewed interest. Geopolitical instability, including disrupted funding and security concerns in the , has prevented detailed design or procurement phases, rendering the project indefinitely postponed amid ongoing conflict and economic constraints in both nations. Recent visions incorporating the bridge into larger urban developments, such as renewable-powered cities, remain aspirational without secured financing or engineering advancements to address the site's environmental volatility.

Resource and Utilization Challenges

Perim Island's arid climate, characterized by minimal annual below 130 mm and temperatures often exceeding 30°C, severely limits freshwater availability, necessitating reliance on for any sustained human activity. The island's volcanic terrain lacks natural aquifers or rivers, exacerbating typical of 's coastal islands, where powered by renewable sources has been recommended but remains unimplemented due to logistical barriers. Despite high solar insolation potential in Yemen's southern regions, Perim's isolation—approximately 5 km from the mainland but lacking connectivity infrastructure—has prevented harnessing for or other civilian uses, as national efforts focus on accessible areas like rather than remote outposts. This untapped resource contrasts with broader Yemeni initiatives, where projects have alleviated shortages elsewhere, but Perim's inaccessibility deters investment amid ongoing disruptions. Adjacent fisheries in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait offer proximity to , yet regional through destructive practices has depleted stocks, reducing Yemen's annual fish production and posing risks for localized efforts on Perim. warnings highlight illegal and unregulated as key factors, with no of viable, managed fisheries on the island itself due to enforcement challenges. Tourism utilization faces insurmountable barriers from the island's barren, rocky landscape and extreme heat, offering no scenic or ecological attractions comparable to Yemen's highlands or , rendering it unviable without massive infrastructure that precludes. The absence of potable , accommodations, or hotspots further diminishes prospects, as Yemen's coastal struggles with similar environmental constraints. The has indefinitely delayed civilian resource projects, with attacks on compounding isolation and diverting funds from development to humanitarian needs, stalling potential or initiatives on Perim. and fragmented governance have halted investments, leaving the island's non-military potential unrealized despite identified environmental opportunities.

Sovereignty Disputes and Controversies

Claims of Foreign Influence and Occupation

The Houthi movement has accused the United Arab Emirates (UAE) of occupying Perim Island (also known as Mayun) since the coalition's military intervention in Yemen began in 2015, claiming that UAE forces established a persistent presence to control the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and facilitate foreign influence, including unsubstantiated allegations of Israeli involvement. These assertions intensified following reports of UAE-linked military infrastructure, such as an airbase and runway constructions detected via satellite imagery, which Houthis portray as violations of Yemeni sovereignty rather than defensive measures against their own control attempts. In contrast, the Saudi-led coalition, including UAE elements, maintains that operations on Perim constitute legitimate support for the internationally recognized Yemeni government, emphasizing the island's recapture from Houthi forces in October 2015 as a restoration of control to anti-Houthi factions rather than foreign occupation. Following the UAE's partial military drawdown from Yemen in July 2019, assumed control of Perim Island alongside Yemeni coast guard units, as documented in reports of troop deployments to secure assets amid shifting dynamics. Saudi officials have dismissed Houthi and media claims of ongoing UAE dominance on the island as baseless, attributing any infrastructure—like a reported airbase—to efforts in coordination with Yemeni authorities, though evidence from 2021 onward has shown extensions and facilities bearing UAE-affiliated markings, such as "I love UAE" . The UAE-backed (STC), aligned with parts of the Yemeni government, has acknowledged deploying troops to Perim's facilities, framing this as countering Houthi threats rather than territorial overreach. Yemeni government officials have expressed mixed positions, with Foreign Minister Ahmed bin Mubarak denying unauthorized foreign activities on Perim in 2021 while attributing base constructions to UAE initiatives without formal Yemeni consent, raising concerns amid the civil war's fragmentation. analyzed in 2024 revealed ongoing UAE-associated airstrip development on the island, measuring approximately 1,000 meters and capable of supporting , contradicting claims of full Saudi or Yemeni handover and fueling accusations of de facto UAE control despite no rulings on the matter. resolutions, such as 2786 (2025), consistently reaffirm Yemen's and over its islands, including Perim, without endorsing or investigating specific foreign presence claims, underscoring the absence of binding international on these disputes.

Impacts on Regional Stability

The contested control of Perim Island, situated at the southern gateway to the , has intensified vulnerabilities in 's western maritime approaches, facilitating Houthi operations that disrupt regional shipping security. Houthi forces, leveraging territorial gains in since 2014, have positioned missile and launch sites along the coastline proximate to Perim, enabling attacks on vessels transiting the ; between November 2023 and March 2025, these groups executed over 300 such incidents targeting commercial and military shipping. This basing capability stems from unresolved disputes over Perim, where Houthi advances have outpaced Yemeni reclamation efforts, allowing sustained threats to the 20-mile-wide chokepoint that handles 10-15% of global trade. These Houthi actions have causally elevated risks to strait stability, with war risk insurance premiums for Red Sea voyages rising from 0.3% to 0.7% of a vessel's insured value by July 2025 amid renewed lethal strikes, including sinkings that killed crew members. The premium hikes, often exceeding 100% in acute phases, have prompted widespread rerouting via the Cape of Good Hope, extending transit times by 10-14 days and inflating freight costs by up to 300% on affected routes, thereby straining Yemen's adjacent ports and exacerbating food insecurity in the region. Saudi-led coalition patrols and interdictions in the strait vicinity have periodically suppressed attack volumes—correlating with lower incident rates during heightened naval enforcement phases prior to 2023 escalations—yet proxy escalations persist, as coalition strikes on Houthi coastal assets have provoked retaliatory drone swarms. Underlying these dynamics is the Iran-Saudi proxy rivalry, where Iranian transfers to Houthi allies— including missile components traced to —have bolstered capabilities for strait-targeted operations, sustaining Yemen's fragmentation and inviting external interventions like U.S.-led naval coalitions. Perim's disputes amplify this, as foreign-backed maneuvers (e.g., reported UAE basing interests) risk perceptions of occupation, fueling Houthi recruitment and cross-border incursions into Saudi territory, with over 100 and attacks logged against the kingdom from 2017-2021 alone. Such cycles undermine broader Gulf stability, diverting Saudi resources from economic diversification and heightening escalation risks amid Iran's leverage-seeking via Houthi proxies.

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