Fact-checked by Grok 2 weeks ago

Aridity

Aridity denotes a climatic state marked by insufficient availability to sustain typical and ecosystems, quantified via the (AI) as the ratio of mean annual to . This index classifies regions into categories such as hyper-arid (AI < 0.05), arid (0.05–0.20), semi-arid (0.20–0.50), and dry sub-humid (0.50–0.65), reflecting escalating dryness gradients that constrain water balance and biotic productivity. Aridity primarily stems from persistent descending air masses in subtropical anticyclones, which inhibit convective uplift and while enhancing evaporative demand through solar heating. Additional causal factors include topographic rain shadows and coastal upwelling of cold currents that stabilize atmospheres and reduce influx. Covering nearly one-third of global land area, arid zones host unique adaptations in flora and fauna but pose challenges for agriculture and water resource management, with empirical trends indicating expansion driven by amplified under warming conditions.

Definition and Measurement

Conceptual Definition

Aridity refers to the permanent climatic condition of a region characterized by a chronic deficit of water availability, where annual precipitation consistently falls short of potential evapotranspiration, resulting in insufficient moisture to sustain dense vegetation or agriculture without supplemental irrigation. This water imbalance arises from the interplay of low incoming precipitation and high evaporative demand driven by temperature, solar radiation, and wind, leading to sparse ecosystems such as , , or . Unlike temporary phenomena like , which involve anomalous shortfalls in precipitation relative to a region's normal variability, aridity represents a long-term, inherent attribute of the climate system, often persisting over decades or centuries and shaping regional geomorphology, hydrology, and biodiversity. Conceptually, aridity embodies a state of atmospheric and terrestrial dryness that constrains biological productivity and human settlement patterns, with thresholds typically defined by the ratio of precipitation to potential evapotranspiration (P/PET) below approximately 0.65, indicating conditions where evaporative losses perpetually exceed water inputs. This framework underscores aridity's role as a fundamental driver of dryland formation, where soil moisture recharge remains inadequate, promoting adaptations in flora and fauna such as deep root systems, water storage tissues, or dormancy cycles to cope with recurrent scarcity. In environmental science, aridity is thus not merely a metric of low rainfall but a holistic indicator of climatic unsuitability for moisture-dependent processes, influencing global patterns of land degradation and resource management.

Key Aridity Indices

Aridity indices quantify the balance between water supply and atmospheric demand, enabling classification of climates from humid to hyper-arid based on long-term averages of precipitation and evaporative potential. These indices are essential for delineating drylands, which cover approximately 40% of Earth's land surface, and for assessing vulnerability to desertification. The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Aridity Index (AI), the most commonly applied metric, is calculated as the ratio of mean annual precipitation (P, in mm) to mean annual potential evapotranspiration (PET, in mm): AI = P / PET. PET estimates the maximum possible evaporation and transpiration under given climatic conditions, typically computed via the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation incorporating solar radiation, temperature, wind speed, and humidity. Values range from near 0 in extremely dry areas to over 1 in humid zones, with AI < 1 signaling water-limited conditions. This index underpins global dryland mapping, using 30-year climatological normals (e.g., 1970–2000 from WorldClim datasets). UNEP thresholds classify aridity as follows:
AI RangeCategory
< 0.05Hyper-arid
0.05–0.20Arid
0.20–0.50Semi-arid
0.50–0.65Dry sub-humid
> 0.65Humid
These categories align with observed dryland extents, where hyper-arid and arid zones together span about 12% of global land, primarily in subtropical deserts. Another established index is the De Martonne aridity index, formulated in as I = P / (T + 10), where P is annual (mm) and T is mean annual (°C). This simpler metric approximates aridity by linking precipitation deficits to thermal regimes without requiring evapotranspiration data, making it suitable for data-sparse regions. Higher values (>30–60) indicate humid conditions, while lower ones (<10) denote aridity; for instance, values below 5 characterize extreme deserts. It correlates with AI in many applications but can overestimate aridity in high-elevation or seasonal regimes due to its temperature proxy for . The Thornthwaite aridity index, developed in 1948, derives from monthly water balance computations, defining aridity as the cumulative deficit (d) between potential evapotranspiration and precipitation relative to total water need (n): roughly 100 × d / n. It emphasizes seasonal thermal efficiency and has informed early climatic classifications, though it is less favored today for relying on empirical temperature-based PET estimates that undervalue radiation and humidity effects. Modern variants, like the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), extend these by standardizing multi-scalar deficits for drought monitoring, but core aridity assessments prioritize AI for its direct causal linkage to soil moisture availability. Limitations across indices include sensitivity to PET parameterization and failure to capture groundwater or land-use influences, necessitating validation against field data.

Causes and Mechanisms

Atmospheric and Climatic Drivers

The primary atmospheric drivers of aridity stem from large-scale circulation patterns in the , particularly the Hadley cells that dominate tropical and subtropical . These cells feature rising moist air near the , where intense solar heating promotes and heavy , followed by poleward flow aloft that cools and loses moisture before descending as dry, stable air around 20° to 30° latitude north and south. This warms the air adiabatically at rates of approximately 9.8°C per kilometer, reducing relative and suppressing vertical motion needed for formation and rainfall, thereby establishing belts of high and predominant aridity. Subtropical high-pressure systems, or anticyclones, exemplify this process, with semi-permanent features like the North Atlantic Subtropical High () and the South Indian Ocean High maintaining clockwise circulation in the and counterclockwise in the Southern, directing dry equatorward and poleward. These systems inhibit moisture convergence by promoting divergence at the surface, where sinking air creates inversion layers that cap convective activity; for instance, the aligns with the persistent North African subtropical , receiving less than 250 mm of annual due to this dynamic stability. Globally, such patterns explain the concentration of hot deserts, including the Kalahari and Australian interior, under these ridges, where clear-sky conditions allow at night but daytime heating intensifies evaporative demand. Climatic factors amplifying these drivers include elevated () driven by high temperatures and low humidity, which outpaces sparse in arid zones; can exceed 2,000 mm annually in regions like the , where coincides with cold ocean currents further desiccating incoming air masses. Interannual variability arises from shifts in these circulations, such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases that temporarily weaken or displace subtropical highs, but long-term aridity persists due to the thermodynamic stability of descending dry air masses. Polar aridity, conversely, results from the descending limb of the polar cell, producing cold deserts like with annual below 200 mm, as cold air holds minimal and reinforces surface .

Topographical and Soil Factors

Topographical features significantly influence aridity by altering precipitation patterns and local climates. Mountain ranges create s, where prevailing winds forced upward over windward slopes lose moisture through orographic precipitation, resulting in drier conditions on leeward sides. For instance, the and Cascade Mountains in the United States produce a pronounced effect, contributing to the aridity of the , where annual precipitation often falls below 250 mm. Similarly, the cast a rain shadow over the , exacerbating dryness despite proximity to influences. Elevation gradients further modulate aridity; while higher may receive more due to uplift, arid basins at lower elevations experience and adiabatic warming, reducing relative and enhancing rates. In such topographic depressions, like the Dead Sea Basin, aridity is intensified by minimal formation and high insolation. Soil factors compound these effects through variations in water retention and infiltration. Coarse-textured , prevalent in arid regions, exhibit low water-holding capacity; sandy soils, for example, retain only about 0.5-1.5% water by volume at compared to 2-3% in clay soils, leading to rapid post-rainfall drying and limited plant-available moisture. Low content in arid soils, often below 1%, further diminishes retention, as organic material can increase holding capacity by up to 20 times its weight in . Impermeable soil crusts, formed by algal or physical processes, reduce infiltration rates to less than 1 mm/hour, promoting and erosion rather than , thereby perpetuating deficits. These properties interact with ; for example, in rain-shadow valleys with skeletal soils derived from weathered , evapotranspiration exceeds sparse inputs, sustaining hyperarid conditions. Empirical studies confirm that finer textures mitigate aridity's impacts by enhancing storage, though such soils are rarer in topographically induced .

Global Patterns and Classification

Dryland Extent and Types

Drylands encompass regions where the aridity index (AI), calculated as the ratio of annual to , falls at or below 0.65, indicating persistent deficits relative to evaporative demand. These areas constitute approximately 41.3% of the Earth's terrestrial surface, excluding , spanning diverse ecosystems from deserts to savannas and supporting over 2 billion people, or about 38% of the global population. The precise extent varies slightly across datasets due to differences in models, measurements, and exclusion of hyper-arid zones in some definitions, but consensus from assessments places the figure around 40-42% of ice-free land. Drylands are classified into four subtypes based on AI thresholds, reflecting gradients in water availability, vegetation potential, and land use constraints: hyper-arid (AI < 0.05), arid (0.05 < AI ≤ 0.20), semi-arid (0.20 < AI ≤ 0.50), and dry sub-humid (0.50 < AI ≤ 0.65). This system, adopted by the Convention to Combat (UNCCD), prioritizes empirical ratios over absolute thresholds to account for temperature-driven variations. Hyper-arid zones, the driest subtype, receive under 100 mm of annual and cover about 6.6-9% of global land, featuring minimal like scattered shrubs or lichens and high reliance on subsurface . Arid regions, comprising roughly 10-15% of land area, experience 100-300 mm of precipitation yearly but face intense evaporation, limiting productivity to sparse xerophytic plants and pastoralism. Semi-arid areas, spanning 12-14% of the surface, support seasonal grasses and steppes suitable for rain-fed agriculture and extensive grazing, though droughts recur frequently. Dry sub-humid zones, often transitional to humid climates, cover 8-10% and enable mixed farming with woodlands, yet remain vulnerable to variability in the AI range. These subtypes collectively highlight escalating ecological stress with declining AI, where hyper-arid and arid lands dominate in subtropical high-pressure belts, while semi-arid and dry sub-humid prevail in continental interiors.
Dryland TypeAridity Index (AI)Typical Annual PrecipitationKey Features
Hyper-arid< 0.05< 100 mmExtreme scarcity; oases-dependent; <1% vegetation cover.
Arid0.05–0.20100–300 mmDesert shrubs; nomadic herding; high risks.
Semi-arid0.20–0.50300–600 mmGrasslands; crop-livestock systems; drought-prone.
Dry sub-humid0.50–0.65600–900 mmSavannas; rain-fed farming; woodland degradation.

Regional Distributions

Arid regions, encompassing hyper-arid deserts, arid zones, and semi-arid steppes under Köppen B climates, are primarily concentrated in subtropical high-pressure belts between 15° and 30° latitude north and south, where subsiding air inhibits , supplemented by rain shadows and continental interiors. These distributions reflect patterns like the , with additional mid-latitude extensions in areas such as and the due to topographic barriers and distance from moisture sources. Globally, span approximately 41% of the Earth's land surface, hosting diverse ecosystems adapted to . Africa exhibits the highest proportional aridity, with drylands covering 66% of its land area, dominated by the Sahara in the north—the world's largest hot desert, extending across 11 countries from the Atlantic to the . Southern extensions include the along the Atlantic coast, characterized by fog-dependent ecosystems despite extreme dryness, and the Kalahari, a semi-arid basin with seasonal grasses. These regions arise from subtropical anticyclones and coastal reducing humidity. In Asia, arid lands comprise 40% of the continent, featuring vast hyper-arid basins like the Taklamakan in China's and the Gobi spanning and northern , both influenced by the and distance from oceans. The hosts the Rub' al-Khali, while the Thar and Syrian Deserts mark the and , respectively, with aridity enhanced by barriers and westerly jet streams. Central Asian steppes transition into semi-arid zones supporting . Australia's interior is markedly arid, with occupying 77% of its territory, including the Great Victoria, Gibson, and Tanami Deserts, where low relief and encirclement by oceans prevent moisture influx, yielding annual rainfall below 250 mm in core areas. These conditions stem from subtropical ridge dominance and El Niño variability amplifying . The display fragmented arid distributions, with South America's Atacama along the receiving under 50 mm precipitation annually in hyper-arid cores due to the cold Peru Current and Andean —the driest non-polar location globally. North America's Southwest includes the Sonoran and Mojave Deserts, extending into Mexico's Chihuahuan, driven by the limitations and Pacific High persistence; semi-arid fringes add to the extent. in features cold deserts from westerly rain shadows. Europe and other areas have minor semi-arid pockets, such as Spain's southeast and parts of Central Asia's periphery, but these are dwarfed by continental-scale distributions elsewhere. Polar regions like qualify as hyper-arid by low but are typically distinguished from temperate drylands in ecological analyses.

Paleoclimatic Variations

Paleoclimatic reconstructions of aridity rely on proxies including lake sediment levels, assemblages, oxygen isotopes, activation dates, and eolian fluxes from and cores, which reveal pronounced fluctuations over glacial-interglacial cycles driven by Milankovitch orbital parameters, extent, and shifts in dynamics and monsoonal intensity. These records demonstrate that aridity is not uniformly global but exhibits strong regional contrasts, with cold glacial stages often amplifying production and desert expansion in source regions like and due to reduced atmospheric moisture capacity from lower temperatures. During the (), spanning approximately 26,500 to 19,000 years , aridity intensified across much of the and mid-latitudes, evidenced by widespread of lake basins, increased aeolian deposition in the northwestern Pacific from Asian interiors, and higher terrestrial dust inputs to ice cores, reflecting diminished under expanded high-pressure systems and cooler sea surface temperatures. Exceptions occurred in certain extratropical zones, such as the , where lakes like those in the expanded, indicating locally higher effective moisture from intensified tracks. Deglaciation and the early (circa 11,700 years before present onward) featured episodic humid phases amid overall transitions. In , the (approximately 11,000 to 5,000 years before present) markedly reduced aridity, transforming the into a vegetated with lakes and , as strengthened due to peak summer insolation from precessional alignment. This interval ended abruptly around 5,500 years before present, with and sediment records showing a shift to hyperaridity via declining insolation, feedbacks from vegetation die-off, and atmospheric reorganization. Similar precession-paced humid incursions recur over the past 800,000 years, underscoring orbital control on tropical aridity. Mid-Holocene aridity peaked in several regions, including North America's and (intervals of 9,850–7,670 and 6,770–5,310 years ), where δ¹⁸O enrichment, sparse , and low lake stands signal drought intensification tied to reduced , elevated northern hemisphere insolation, and La Niña-like tropical Pacific gradients that suppressed winter . In contrast, late conditions (post-4,000 years ) trended wetter in these areas, approaching modern aridity levels with denser vegetation and stabilized water bodies. These variations highlight causal linkages between high-latitude forcing, ocean-atmosphere teleconnections, and regional in modulating aridity beyond direct radiative effects.

Modern Observed Shifts Since 1900

Observational records indicate that global dryland extent, defined by aridity indices such as the ratio of to (P/PET), exhibited variability over the , with an overall contraction of approximately 0.71 million km² from 1901 to 2017, though this trend reversed toward expansion in recent decades due to rising outpacing changes in many regions. This shift reflects increased atmospheric demand for moisture driven by warming temperatures, which amplified aridity despite localized increases. From the mid-20th century onward, empirical data from reanalysis datasets and station observations show a marked intensification of aridity globally, particularly after 1948, with drylands expanding by about 1.3% of Earth's land surface between 1948 and 2008. Attribution studies link this to factors, including increasing and aerosols contributing to suppression, resulting in a detectable on patterns traceable back to 1900 in some reconstructions. Dryland surface temperatures rose faster than in humid regions during the , by 1.2–1.3°C compared to 0.8–1.0°C globally, exacerbating evaporative demand. Regionally, aridity trends diverged: in the conterminous , the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPEI) reveals intensifying dryness since 1900, especially in the Southwest, with negative trends indicating prolonged droughts linked to reduced . In northern , late-spring to mid-summer declined since the mid-20th century, heightening aridity in savanna drylands. Conversely, some semi-arid zones, such as parts of the , experienced wetter conditions post-1980s due to shifts in dynamics, though overall global dryland fraction increased. These patterns underscore that while early 20th-century data suggest relative stability or slight wetting in select areas, post-1960 observations confirm a net global drying trend, with aridity indices declining in 60–70% of dryland pixels analyzed.

Environmental and Ecological Impacts

Effects on Vegetation and Biodiversity

Aridity constrains structure and function by limiting , resulting in sparse canopy cover and reduced net primary productivity compared to mesic ecosystems. in arid environments typically exhibit xeromorphic adaptations, such as reduced area, thick cuticles, and deep systems to minimize and access subsurface water, enabling survival under prolonged stress. Empirical studies across global show that vegetation greenness isolines have shifted poleward and upslope in response to historical aridity increases, with projected further migrations threatening boundaries. For instance, in semi-arid grasslands, aridity gradients correlate with decreased aboveground , as water deficits inhibit and favor over perennial species. Biodiversity in arid regions displays complex patterns, with (species richness within sites) often declining under intensifying aridity due to physiological stress and competitive exclusion by drought-tolerant dominants. A of terrestrial ecosystems indicates that plant positively associates with soil multifunctionality in humid areas but weakens or reverses in hyper-arid zones, where amplifies vulnerability to further drying. Soil microbial communities, including diazotrophs essential for , exhibit reduced richness and β-diversity (turnover across sites) with rising aridity, as disrupts community assembly and function. Conversely, functional may increase in drier habitats through selection for convergent traits like resistance, fostering complementarity in resource use among surviving . Increasing aridity exacerbates erosion via legacies, where prior water deficits elevate mortality rates and hinder community recovery, particularly in forests and grasslands. experiments demonstrate heightened sensitivity to along aridity gradients, with legacy effects reducing by up to 20-30% in subsequent dry periods through altered and soil legacies. In , aridity intensifies tradeoffs between and , as taller-stature plants dominate but crowd out diverse understories, potentially destabilizing communities under future climate scenarios. These dynamics underscore aridity's role as a primary filter on assemblages, with models forecasting widespread dieback and homogenization if aridity thresholds are crossed without .

Soil Degradation and Desertification Processes

Soil degradation in arid and semi-arid regions encompasses physical, chemical, and biological processes that diminish , , and , often culminating in when degradation persists and expands desert-like conditions beyond natural boundaries. According to the United Nations Convention to Combat (UNCCD), specifically denotes in arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid areas resulting from climatic variations and human activities, leading to reduced biological and economic of rain-fed cropland, irrigated cropland, or range, pasture, forest, and woodlands. These processes are amplified by inherent aridity factors such as low (typically under 500 mm annually), high rates, and sparse cover, which limit natural recovery mechanisms like accumulation and root reinforcement. Wind and water erosion represent primary physical degradation mechanisms, stripping away nutrient-rich and exposing less fertile subsoil or . In arid ecosystems, erosion predominates due to frequent high-velocity winds and minimal vegetative anchoring; for instance, rates can exceed 100 tons per hectare per year in overgrazed semiarid rangelands, accelerating formation and dust storms. erosion, triggered by intense but infrequent rainfall events, further exacerbates this through sheet, , and development, particularly on slopes where runoff velocity increases with reduced infiltration from compacted or crusted surfaces. , often from trampling or vehicular , reduces pore space, impairs water retention, and promotes surface sealing, thereby intensifying both erosive processes. Chemical degradation includes salinization and nutrient depletion, which undermine soil's capacity to support plant growth. Salinization occurs primarily through with brackish or inadequate drainage in , where concentrates salts on the surface; affected areas have expanded by over 1 million hectares annually in regions like and since the mid-20th century. Nutrient loss follows or , compounded by continuous cropping without fertilization, resulting in deficiencies of , , and organic carbon—levels of which can drop by 20-50% within decades in intensively farmed arid soils. Biological degradation, such as diminished microbial activity and populations due to low organic inputs and aridity-induced stress, further perpetuates these cycles by slowing and nutrient cycling. Human activities drive approximately 75-80% of desertification cases, with reducing vegetation cover by up to 30% in pastoral systems, for fuelwood eliminating root systems that stabilize soil, and improper land conversion to exposing bare ground to erosive forces. Climatic drivers, including prolonged droughts, interact synergistically; for example, a 2020 analysis attributed 5.43 million km² of dryland since 1980 partly to exacerbating . These processes form feedback loops: degraded soils reflect more solar radiation (lowering and local rainfall), release stored carbon, and diminish water-holding capacity, hastening further . Empirical monitoring via reveals that 12-24% of global exhibit moderate to severe , with hotspots in the , , and parts of where recovery lags without intervention.

Human Impacts and Societal Consequences

Agricultural and Water Resource Challenges

Arid conditions severely constrain through persistent water deficits, which restrict plant growth and necessitate irrigation-dependent farming systems. In , where rainfall is insufficient for , crop yields are particularly vulnerable to variability in moisture availability, with empirical analyses indicating that heightened aridity reduces yields via diminished and increased evaporative demand. For example, studies attribute a one standard deviation increase in to a 0.6% to 0.9% decline in GDP , mediated in part by lower agricultural output. production in arid zones faces amplified risks from warming, where yields decline more sharply than in humid regions due to compounded heat and stress. The notes that semi-arid constraints sharply limit potential, affecting over 3.2 billion people in high agricultural areas. Irrigation, while enabling in arid settings, drives extensive extraction, accounting for 70% of global withdrawals and higher shares in , leading to depletion and unsustainable resource use. In the United States High Plains and Central Valley, irrigation-related depletion constitutes approximately 50% of national loss since 1900, with levels accelerating in 30% of global over recent decades. Globally, over 25% of crops are threatened by such risks, as agricultural demands—responsible for 70% of withdrawals—exacerbate in arid basins. Water resource management in drylands grapples with over-reliance on finite supplies, inefficient distribution, and competition intensified by and variability, often resulting in and reduced system resilience. In regions like the , and have caused alarming agricultural land degradation, undermining . declines exceeding 0.1 meters annually in 36% of monitored aquifers highlight the pace of depletion, driven by agricultural over-extraction and poor recharge in low-precipitation environments. These challenges necessitate precise allocation to avert collapse, yet traditional practices erode without robust .

Health and Economic Effects

Aridity contributes to elevated levels through mechanisms such as reduced cover and intensified , leading to increased frequency and severity of dust storms in regions like the U.S. Southwest. These events elevate concentrations of (PM10 and PM2.5), which penetrate respiratory systems and are associated with short-term increases in mortality, emergency department visits, hospitalizations for respiratory conditions, and exacerbated symptoms of and (COPD). Long-term in arid zones correlates with higher incidences of cardiovascular diseases, infections, and potentially cancer, as observed in populations of Iran's arid and semi-arid areas where environmental and scarcity link to these outcomes. Water scarcity inherent to arid conditions impairs hygiene and sanitation, fostering outbreaks of waterborne diseases such as cholera and typhoid, while also elevating risks of vector-borne illnesses due to altered ecological dynamics during dry periods. Dehydration from limited access exacerbates heat-related illnesses, particularly in unmitigated arid heatwaves, and contributes to nutritional deficits through reduced food availability, affecting over 815 million people in dryland areas with food insecurity tied to desertification processes. Mental health burdens, including heightened anxiety and depression, arise from chronic resource stress and displacement in arid regions. Economically, progressive and associated reduce GDP per by 0.6% to 0.9% for each standard deviation increase in aridity metrics, driven by diminished and land usability. In global , affecting 2.3 billion people or 30.9% of the , these changes ravage up to 70% of agricultural drylands, resulting in losses of up to 10% of agricultural GDP through and declines. Annual fluctuations in soil aridity exert significant negative impacts on economic output, surpassing long-term trends in some analyses, with broader consequences for , infrastructure, and migration-driven labor disruptions in affected economies.

Adaptation Strategies and Human Responses

Technological and Engineering Solutions

technologies, particularly , have become central to in arid regions, with global capacity reaching approximately 100 million cubic meters per day as of 2022, predominantly in the where such plants account for 70% of worldwide output. In , the Ras Al-Khair plant processes 9.7 million cubic meters daily, supplying over 34 million people and representing 22% of global desalinated water production. These systems convert to potable water but require significant , often mitigated by integration in recent advancements. Drip irrigation systems deliver water directly to plant roots, reducing and achieving water savings of 20-60% compared to traditional methods, which is critical for consuming over 70% of freshwater in arid zones. In China's arid northwest, mulched has sustained yields while optimizing water use efficiency under conditions since the early 2000s. Such precision techniques, combined with sensors for monitoring, enhance crop productivity without expanding irrigated land. Wastewater recycling treats and reuses effluent for non-potable and increasingly potable applications, with recycling 86% of its wastewater by 2015, primarily for , establishing it as the global leader in this domain. Namibia's plant has produced drinking water from recycled since 1968, demonstrating long-term feasibility in hyper-arid settings through advanced and disinfection. In the and , membrane bioreactors and ultraviolet disinfection enable urban reuse for and industry, addressing barriers like public perception via rigorous treatment standards. Atmospheric water generators extract moisture from air via or hygroscopic materials, yielding potable even in low-humidity arid climates above 50°C. A 2024 device captures significant volumes from arid air, outperforming prior models in efficiency for remote or off-grid applications. These systems, though energy-intensive, support decentralized supply in regions lacking . Cloud seeding disperses silver iodide or salts into clouds to enhance precipitation, with operational programs in the U.S. West reporting 5-15% seasonal increases in snowpack and rainfall, as evidenced by decades of monitoring in Utah and Nevada. China's arid northwest has applied the technique since the 1950s, augmenting water for agriculture during droughts, though effectiveness varies with cloud conditions and requires site-specific validation. Such weather modification supplements but does not resolve underlying aridity driven by evaporation exceeding precipitation.

Agricultural and Land Management Practices

practices, including reduced or no-tillage, permanent cover through crop residue retention, and crop diversification via rotations, enhance and water infiltration in arid and semi-arid zones, thereby improving retention and reducing losses. Long-term adoption of these methods has demonstrated a 21% average increase in indicators, such as content and microbial activity, while maintaining comparable crop productivity to conventional systems after two decades in semi-arid . In semi-arid , conservation tillage combined with residue mulching elevated soil water storage by up to 15-20% during dry spells, supporting yields under variable rainfall. Precision irrigation techniques, particularly systems, optimize water delivery to crop roots, minimizing and deep in water-scarce environments. In arid , mulched applied over multiple seasons increased yields by 10-15% and water use efficiency by over 20% compared to traditional furrow methods, primarily through sustained levels and reduced weed competition. Similarly, subsurface in Arizona's desert valleys improved cantaloupe water productivity by 30-50% relative to flood , with yields rising under deficit scheduling that aligns with demands. These systems also lower energy inputs for pumping and mitigate buildup, though initial installation costs necessitate subsidized adoption in low-income dryland communities. Cultivar selection emphasizes drought-resistant varieties of staples like , , and , bred for deeper systems and efficient , which sustain yields under rainfall deficits exceeding 30%. In India's semi-arid , integrating such varieties with structures, such as contour bunds, boosted millet productivity by 25% over baseline rainfed systems from 2015-2020 trials. integrations, planting nitrogen-fixing trees like alongside crops, further stabilize soils against wind erosion and enhance humidity, with studies in African regions reporting 10-15% yield gains for intercropped cereals. Grazing land management employs rotational systems to prevent , allowing vegetation recovery and root biomass accumulation that bolsters cohesion and infiltration rates. In Mongolian steppes, controlled stocking densities reduced bare ground exposure by 40% over five years, curbing wind-driven loss and maintaining availability during prolonged dry periods. and terracing on slopes mitigate runoff, capturing up to 50% more in micro-basins for vegetative growth, as evidenced in Yemen's arid highlands where these restored cover from 20% to 60% within a decade. These practices collectively address causal drivers of aridity exacerbation, such as and vegetative depletion, though efficacy depends on local enforcement and integration with monitoring via for adaptive adjustments.

Future Projections and Debates

Climate Model Predictions

Climate models participating in the Phase 6 (CMIP6) project a general intensification of aridity across much of the globe under medium- to high-emissions scenarios (SSP2-4.5 to SSP5-8.5), with the —defined as the ratio of to (PET)—declining by 5-20% on average by 2100 relative to 1850-1900 baselines. This trend arises primarily from warming-induced increases in PET, which models estimate will rise 10-30% globally due to higher temperatures and vapor pressure deficits, often outpacing projected changes that vary regionally from slight decreases to modest increases. Multimodel ensembles indicate dryland expansion by 5-15% of global land area, particularly in subtropical belts between 20°-40° in both hemispheres, including the , , , and parts of and . Regionally, projections show high agreement for aridity increases in extratropical dry zones, with PET-driven drying exacerbating deficits and meteorological ; for instance, CMIP6 simulations forecast a 20-50% rise in frequency in the Mediterranean under SSP5-8.5 by mid-century. In contrast, higher-latitude regions like the exhibit projected decreases in aridity due to enhanced from poleward moisture transport, though with lower owing to model disagreements on tracks. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) assigns medium confidence to these patterns for ecological and agricultural in mid-latitude semi-arid zones by 2040-2060 under 2°C warming, but low confidence for short-term meteorological in many areas due to uncertainties in projections. High-emissions pathways amplify these signals, with equatorial-to-30°N bands facing the most severe shifts toward hyper-arid conditions. Standard aridity metrics in these models, such as the FAO Penman-Monteith formulation, emphasize thermodynamic drivers but have been critiqued for potentially overstating drying by underrepresenting the dampening effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 on transpiration through stomatal closure and reduced leaf area. Bias correction of CMIP6 outputs for historical and errors can reduce projected aridity changes by 10-30% in some regions, highlighting to initial condition biases. Nonetheless, ensembles consistently predict net global expansion of arid conditions, with implications for stability and water availability.

Uncertainties and Alternative Explanations

Projections of future aridity exhibit substantial uncertainties stemming from limitations in climate models' simulation of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration (PET), the primary components of aridity indices like the P/PET ratio. These uncertainties arise from model structural errors, emission scenario assumptions, and initial condition sensitivities, leading to divergent estimates of aridification extent across global drylands. Internal climate variability, including modes like the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, further amplifies projection spread, particularly in extratropical regions where variability exceeds forced trends on decadal scales. Near-term (2021–2040) tropical aridity changes remain small and inconsistent across ensembles, underscoring the dominance of unforced variability over anthropogenic signals in the short term. Alternative explanations for observed trends emphasize natural oscillations over monotonic forcing. In regions like the Mediterranean, high temporal variability rather than a sustained trend accounts for declines, with observational data showing no robust long-term shift when filtered for multidecadal cycles. Similarly, near-surface specific in arid and semi-arid zones has remained stable or declined over the past four decades, contradicting model predictions of vapor increases and suggesting overestimation of greenhouse-driven in simulations. Eastern Australia's aridity intensification, for instance, reflects compounded effects of droughts and but is mitigated by CO2 fertilization, which has enhanced and water-use efficiency, outpacing aridity's negative impacts from 1982 to 2020. Empirical in provides a counter-narrative to model-based fears, as elevated CO2 levels promote stomatal closure and photosynthetic gains, expanding cover in water-limited ecosystems. Satellite observations indicate that CO2-driven fertilization has turned arid regions greener since the 1980s, potentially shifting dominant plant types and buffering hydrological drying. Despite projections of expansion by up to 23%, actual risks remain low, affecting less than 4% of areas, with responses to CO2 challenging narratives of inevitable . These discrepancies highlight how models often undervalue physiological CO2 effects and natural variability, prioritizing while empirical data reveal multifaceted causal interactions.

References

  1. [1]
    Chapter I. The arid environments
    Aridity is the binding element of arid regions, expressed by rainfall and temperature. Aridity is measured by the index p/ETP. Hyper-arid, arid, and semi-arid ...<|separator|>
  2. [2]
    Causes of Aridity, and Geography of the World s Deserts
    Desert formation in these particular latitudes is primarily due to complex global air-circulation patterns caused by the rotation of the earth on its axis.Missing: first principles
  3. [3]
    Growing aridity poses threats to global land surface - Nature
    Dec 19, 2024 · This total increase of 9.99 million km² in arid areas represents 5.9% of the global land surface, excluding Greenland and Antarctica.
  4. [4]
    Aridity - an overview | ScienceDirect Topics
    Aridity is defined as a key climatic feature of drylands characterized by constant water deficit conditions, where precipitation is less than 65% of evaporative ...
  5. [5]
    1. definition of drought
    Drought differs from aridity in that drought is temporary; aridity is a permanent characteristic of regions with low rainfall. Drought is an insidious hazard ...
  6. [6]
    Version 3 of the Global Aridity Index and Potential ... - Nature
    Jul 15, 2022 · This paper describes the updated Version 3 of the “Global Aridity Index and Potential Evapotranspiration (ET0) Database” (Global-AI_PET_v3), ...
  7. [7]
    Patterns of Aridity - WAD | World Atlas of Desertification
    Aridity is a climate phenomenon characterized by a shortage of water, occurring even in cold climates with little net precipitation.Missing: scientific | Show results with:scientific
  8. [8]
    Aridity Index (AI) - Integrated Drought Management Programme
    AI can be used to determine the onset of drought, as the index takes into account temperature impacts as well as precipitation.
  9. [9]
    Spatial evaluation of climate change-induced drought characteristics ...
    May 15, 2023 · The De Martonne aridity index is based on the aridity index I = P/(T + 10), in which T is the average temperature (°C), while P is the average ...
  10. [10]
    aridity index - Glossary of Meteorology
    Mar 28, 2024 · As used by CW Thornthwaite in his 1948 climatic classification: an index of the degree of water deficit below water need at any given station.
  11. [11]
    How to calculate Aridity Index? | ResearchGate
    Aug 25, 2020 · ARIDITY INDEX is an indicator characterizing the degree of dryness (aridity) of the climate. According to Thornthwaite, it is equal to 100 d / n ...
  12. [12]
    Did You Know? | Subtropical Highs
    The air under subtropical highs warms and dries as it descends, resulting in generally sunny skies and dry weather.
  13. [13]
    How the Atmosphere Influences Aridity
    Oct 29, 1997 · The surface air that flows from these subtropical high-pressure belts toward the Equator is deflected toward the west in both hemispheres by ...
  14. [14]
    Desert - National Geographic Education
    Aug 5, 2025 · The descending air hinders the formation of clouds, so very little rain falls on the land below. The world's largest hot desert, the Sahara, is ...
  15. [15]
    Rain Shadow - National Geographic Education
    Dec 9, 2024 · A rain shadow is a patch of land that has been forced to become a desert because mountain ranges blocked all plant-growing, rainy weather.
  16. [16]
    What Is The Rain Shadow Effect? - World Atlas
    What Is The Rain Shadow Effect? The Tibetan Plateau in China can be considerably arid due to the rain shadow effect it receives from the massive Himalayas ...<|separator|>
  17. [17]
    The Influence of Topography on the Global Terrestrial Water Cycle
    Jan 3, 2025 · Above the land surface, topography induces gradients and contrasts in water and energy availability. Long-term precipitation usually increases ...
  18. [18]
    Global influence of soil texture on ecosystem water limitation - Nature
    Oct 23, 2024 · Low soil moisture and high vapour pressure deficit (VPD) cause plant water stress and lead to a variety of drought responses, ...
  19. [19]
    The important role of soil texture on water - Crops and Soils
    The texture of soil, including its composition of sand, silt, and clay, affects water retention and drainage capabilities differently.Missing: aridity | Show results with:aridity
  20. [20]
    Aridity drives the response of soil total and particulate organic ...
    Oct 4, 2024 · As soil texture becomes finer, the available moisture storage generally increases, progressing from sands to loams and silt loams (27).
  21. [21]
    On the role of groundwater and soil texture in the regional water ...
    Oct 9, 2009 · Our results suggest that soil textural differences may strongly modify the impact of climate on regional water balance.
  22. [22]
    Soil Texture's Hidden Influence: Decoding Plant Diversity Patterns in ...
    In arid zones, where water scarcity constitutes the primary limiting factor for vegetation growth, soil texture significantly modulates water interception, ...
  23. [23]
    2010–2020: UN Decade for Deserts and the Fight against ... - UN.org.
    Drylands are arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid areas, taking up 41.3% of the land surface, and are home to 2.1 billion people.Missing: types | Show results with:types
  24. [24]
    Drylands and land degradation | IUCN
    Drylands are areas which face great water scarcity. They cover over 40% of the earth's land surface, and are home to more than two billion people.
  25. [25]
    Global evaluation of current and future threats to drylands and their ...
    Jul 4, 2024 · Drylands are categorized using an aridity index (the ratio of annual precipitation to potential evapotranspiration), with values below 0.65.
  26. [26]
    1 | Geographical distribution of drylands, delimited based on the...
    The classification of AI is: Humid AI > 0.65, Dry sub-humid 0.50 < AI ≤ 0.65, Semi-arid 0.20 < AI ≤ 0.50, Arid 0.05 < AI ≤ 0.20, Hyper-arid AI < 0.05.
  27. [27]
    [PDF] Drylands, people and land use
    The UNCCD classification employs a ratio of annual precipitation to potential evapotranspiration. (P/PET). This value indicates the maximum quantity of water ...
  28. [28]
    Semi-arid? Hyper-arid? Everything you need to know about drylands
    Mar 25, 2021 · There are four sub-categories of drylands, which are classified according to their aridity indices: dry and sub-humid; semi-arid; arid; and hyper-arid.
  29. [29]
    UN Report on Global Aridity and Desertification
    Jun 16, 2025 · Based on six aridity index classes of global lands, 55.1% was “humid”; 14.3% was “semi-arid”; 10.5% was “arid”; 9.1% was “hyper arid” (such as ...Missing: type | Show results with:type
  30. [30]
    Arid Land - an overview | ScienceDirect Topics
    Hyper arid regions cover ~ 8% of the Earth's surface (aridity index 0.03–0.20): Maximum precipitation varies from 100 to 300 mm per year. Arid zones cover ~ 16 ...
  31. [31]
    [PDF] Expansion of global drylands under a warming climate - ACP
    Oct 14, 2013 · Global drylands encompassing hyper-arid, arid, semiarid, and dry subhumid areas cover about 41 percent of the earth's terrestrial surface ...
  32. [32]
    Geographic Extent and Characteristics of the World's Arid Zones and ...
    Mar 14, 2019 · These areas occupy 41% area of the earth's land surface and are home to roughly 2.5 billion people who rely directly on arid land ecosystem ...
  33. [33]
    Where are deserts located? - Internet Geography
    Deserts are on every continent, mainly around the Tropics of Cancer and Capricorn, often on the west of continents. The Sahara is in North Africa.
  34. [34]
    A global distribution of the desert areas according to their Aridity...
    The largest desert are in the world the Sahara Desert in North Africa, along with the Kalahari and Namibia deserts in the southern parts of Africa. In the ...
  35. [35]
    Which Countries Have Deserts? - World Atlas
    Deserts are found in Asia (China, Pakistan, Kazakhstan), Africa (Chad, Mali, Algeria), South America (Argentina, Peru, Chile), and Australia. The US has over ...
  36. [36]
    Inside the World's Hottest Regions: A Complete Guide to Hot Desert ...
    Australia: Most of the continent is covered by arid or semi-arid land. This includes named deserts like the Great Sandy, Great Victoria, and Gibson Deserts ...
  37. [37]
    Desert: Mission: Biomes
    Deserts are the driest biomes, with little rain, drastic temperature changes, and plants adapted to water scarcity, like cacti.
  38. [38]
    [PDF] Regional and global aridity trends and future projections - UNCCD
    Regional and global aridity trends and future projections. Chapter 3. Current and future aridity impacts cyclone formation rather than to trends in climate ...<|separator|>
  39. [39]
    [PDF] Updated world map of the K¨oppen-Geiger climate classification
    Of these three the dominant climate type by land area is the arid B (57.2%), followed by tropical A (31.0%) and temperate C (11.8%).
  40. [40]
    Aridity synthesis for eight selected key regions of the global climate ...
    Nov 16, 2020 · Aridity patterns for eight key areas of the global climate system have been reconstructed for the last 60 000 years.
  41. [41]
    North African humid periods over the past 800,000 years - Nature
    Sep 8, 2023 · These North African Humid Periods (NAHPs) are astronomically paced by precession which controls the intensity of the African monsoon system.
  42. [42]
    A quick background to the last Ice Age
    Dec 2, 1997 · The Last Glacial Maximum was much more arid than present almost everywhere, with desert and semi-desert occupying huge areas of the continents ...
  43. [43]
    Late Pleistocene and Holocene record of eolian deposition in the ...
    A 30,000-year record of eolian deposition in the northwestern Pacific Ocean provides a history of the aridity of the Asian source region and information on ...
  44. [44]
    Great Basin Paleoclimate and Aridity Linked to Arctic Warming and ...
    Jun 12, 2020 · Early to Middle Holocene aridity was associated with reduced arctic sea ice extent and a warm tropical Pacific Ocean driven by northern hemisphere summer ...
  45. [45]
    African Humid Period Precipitation Sustained by Robust Vegetation ...
    Oct 19, 2020 · The African Humid Period (∼11,000–5,000 years before present) was the most recent of several precessionally paced wet intervals during which ...Missing: aridity | Show results with:aridity
  46. [46]
    Early warning signals of the termination of the African Humid Period(s)
    May 7, 2024 · The transition from a humid green Sahara to today's hyperarid conditions in northern Africa ~5.5 thousand years ago shows the dramatic environmental change.
  47. [47]
    Regional aridity in North America during the middle Holocene
    Increased aridity throughout the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain region during the middle Holo cene has been documented from pollen records, aeolian proxy ...
  48. [48]
    Rapid increase of potential evapotranspiration weakens the effect of ...
    The results showed that the total dryland area shrunk 0.71 × 106 km2 during 1901–2017 with reversed trend of shrinking to expanding. Precipitation dominates ...
  49. [49]
    Human-caused long-term changes in global aridity - Nature
    Dec 21, 2021 · Aridity, and associated water scarcity, is a long-term hydrologic and climatic condition, exerting pervasive influences on dynamics in human ...
  50. [50]
    Scientists See Fingerprint of Warming Climate on Droughts Going ...
    May 1, 2019 · ... they have detected a growing fingerprint of human-driven global warming on global drought conditions starting as far back as 1900.
  51. [51]
    Aridity trends across the conterminous US since 1900. Panel (a ...
    Note that negative trends in SPEI indicate intensifying aridity, and positive trends in SPEI CV indicate increasing climatic variability. Significance of ...
  52. [52]
    Drought increase since the mid-20th century in the northern South ...
    Feb 20, 2023 · Our study provides an overview of the temporal evolution of the late-spring–mid-summer precipitation for the period 1625–2013 CE at the northern South American ...<|control11|><|separator|>
  53. [53]
    Assessment of global aridity change - ScienceDirect.com
    The results reveal that the aridity changes are mostly caused by the positive PET trends, even though the slight precipitation increase lessens the magnitude ...
  54. [54]
    Terrestrial biodiversity threatened by increasing global aridity ...
    Aug 30, 2021 · Moreover, in drylands, the shifts of vegetation greenness isolines were found to be significantly coupled with the tracks of aridity velocity.
  55. [55]
    Plant diversity patterns along an elevation gradient - Frontiers
    May 10, 2023 · This study examines how the alpha and beta diversity indices vary along the elevation gradient and which factors are more responsible for arid and semi-arid ...
  56. [56]
    Aridity-driven shift in biodiversity–soil multifunctionality relationships
    Sep 9, 2021 · Our results show a strong positive association between plant species richness and soil multifunctionality in less arid regions.
  57. [57]
    Effect of aridity on the β-diversity of alpine soil potential diazotrophs
    Dec 7, 2023 · These findings indicate that aridity indirectly shapes β-diversity by influencing soil properties (total nitrogen, soil organic carbon, soil ...
  58. [58]
    How Do Taxonomic and Functional Diversity Metrics Change Along ...
    The tendency for higher functional diversity in drier sites, suggests that higher aridity selects for particular drought-adapted species with diverse functional ...
  59. [59]
    Drought legacies and ecosystem responses to subsequent drought
    Drought can exert legacy effects on plant communities by reducing species richness (Stampfli et al., 2018), abundance of specific species (Hoover et al., 2014; ...
  60. [60]
    Field experiments have enhanced our understanding of drought ...
    Oct 31, 2023 · Overall, drought experiments have provided strong evidence that ecosystem sensitivity to drought increases with aridity, but that plant traits ...
  61. [61]
    Intensifying aridity induces tradeoffs among biodiversity and ...
    Aug 2, 2024 · Aridity intensified the tradeoffs between biodiversity and woody production potential by mitigating the negative effect of tree height in dry ...
  62. [62]
    Article 1. Use of terms - UNCCD
    "desertification" means land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climatic variations and human ...
  63. [63]
    [PDF] UNITED NATIONS CONVENTION TO COMBAT DESERTIFICATION
    For the purposes of this Convention: (a) “desertification” means land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, ...
  64. [64]
    Chapter 3 : Desertification
    Processes of desertification are mechanisms by which ... scientific agreement in trends of environmental changes in the Sahel, including their causes.
  65. [65]
    Soil Erosion Processes and Rates in Arid and Semiarid Ecosystems
    Land use changes often lead to soil erosion, land degradation, and environmental deterioration. However, little is known about just how much humans accelerate ...
  66. [66]
    Editorial: Soil degradation and restoration in arid and semi-arid ...
    Oct 16, 2023 · This Research Topic aims to attract more researchers to pay attention to soil degradation in arid and semi-arid regions and promote the remediation and ...
  67. [67]
    Nature's laws of declining soil productivity and Conservation ...
    These effects result in chemical, physical, hydrological, and biological degradation of the soil and in environmental degradation and loss of ecosystem services ...
  68. [68]
    Soil Degradation and Restoration in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions
    Peer review · Research integrity · Research Topics · FAIR² Data Management · Fee ... Soil Degradation and Restoration in Arid and Semi-Arid Regions. 37.1K. views.
  69. [69]
    Dynamic Causal Patterns of Desertification - Oxford Academic
    Sep 1, 2004 · Desertification is driven by climatic, economic, and population factors, with proximate causes like cropland expansion, overgrazing, and ...
  70. [70]
    Anthropogenic climate change has driven over 5 million km2 of ...
    Jul 31, 2020 · Anthropogenic climate change has degraded 12.6% (5.43 million km 2 ) of drylands, contributing to desertification and affecting 213 million people.
  71. [71]
    Remote sensing of soil degradation: Progress and perspective
    This review encompasses recent advances and the state-of-the-art of ground, proximal, and novel RS techniques in soil degradation-related studies. We reviewed ...Missing: peer- | Show results with:peer-
  72. [72]
    The long-term economic effects of aridification - ScienceDirect.com
    Our results indicate that a one standard deviation increase in desertification is associated with a 0.6% to 0.9% decrease in GDP per capita.
  73. [73]
    Full article: Desertification, crop yield and economic development
    The above findings are valuable and suggest that the reduced crop yield resulting from the higher aridity of the soil might be a significant channel explaining ...
  74. [74]
    Climate change impacts on crop yields across temperature rise ...
    Jul 2, 2025 · We found that crop yields in arid regions are most adversely affected by global warming compared to other zones, while adaptive potential is ...
  75. [75]
    [PDF] The State of Food and Agriculture 2020 - FAO Knowledge Repository
    challenge: 3.2 billion people live in agricultural areas with high to very ... semi-arid regions, is a sharp constraint on agricultural production ...
  76. [76]
    Agriculture | UN World Water Development Report 2022 - UNESCO
    Apr 20, 2023 · 70% of global groundwater withdrawals, and even more in arid and semi-arid regions, are used in the agricultural production of food, fibres, livestock and ...
  77. [77]
    Groundwater depletion and sustainability of irrigation in the US High ...
    Groundwater depletion in the irrigated High Plains and California Central Valley accounts for ∼50% of groundwater depletion in the United States since 1900.
  78. [78]
    Rapid groundwater decline and some cases of recovery in aquifers ...
    Jan 24, 2024 · Critically, we also show that groundwater-level declines have accelerated over the past four decades in 30% of the world's regional aquifers.
  79. [79]
    One-Quarter of World's Crops Threatened by Water Risks
    Oct 16, 2024 · Agriculture is already the biggest driver of water stress, responsible for 70% of the world's withdrawals. According to data on Aqueduct, the ...
  80. [80]
    Review Climate change impacts on water security in global drylands
    Jun 18, 2021 · This review examines observed and projected climate change impacts on water security across the world's drylands to the year 2100.
  81. [81]
    FAO study reveals alarming agricultural land degradation in the ...
    Jun 17, 2025 · The Arab region is an area acutely affected by desertification, land degradation, and drought. At COP16 – held in the Arab region for the first ...
  82. [82]
    Water Consumption and Climate Change Driving Global ...
    Mar 6, 2024 · It found that, alarmingly, 36% of the aquifers studied experienced a rapid decline in groundwater levels, exceeding 0.1 meters annually. In 12% ...Missing: statistics | Show results with:statistics<|control11|><|separator|>
  83. [83]
    Over-reliance on water infrastructure can hinder climate resilience in ...
    Feb 16, 2024 · We show that while developing new SWI releases water shortages in the short term, it can erode traditional adaptation practices without adequate governance.
  84. [84]
    Effects of Increasing Aridity on Ambient Dust and Public Health in ...
    The U.S. Southwest is projected to experience increasing aridity due to climate change. We quantify the resulting impacts on ambient dust levels and public ...
  85. [85]
    Global Health Impacts of Dust Storms: A Systematic Review - PMC
    Short-term impacts include mortality, visitation, emergency medical dispatch, hospitalization, increased symptoms, and decreased pulmonary function. Long-term ...
  86. [86]
    Socio-Environmental Determinants and Human Health Exposures in ...
    Apr 14, 2022 · The population of the arid and semi-arid zones of Iran is facing respiratory, cardiovascular, cancer and infection diseases linked to environmental problems.
  87. [87]
    Health Impacts of Drought - CDC
    Mar 28, 2024 · Increases in infectious disease can be a direct consequence of drought. Viruses, protozoa, and bacteria can pollute both groundwater and surface ...
  88. [88]
    Health Effects of Drought: a Systematic Review of the Evidence - PMC
    Jun 5, 2013 · Drought health effects include nutrition, water, airborne/dust, vector-borne, mental health, and other effects like wildfire and migration.
  89. [89]
    [PDF] Chapter 3 : Desertification
    Figure 3.9 Socio-economic impacts of desertification and climate change with the SDG framework. 17. 3.5.2.1 Food and Nutritional Insecurity. 18. About 815 ...
  90. [90]
    An overview of global desertification control efforts: Key challenges ...
    Dec 16, 2024 · This review paper aims to thoroughly examine the global endeavours aimed at mitigating desertification, pinpoint the reasons behind the ...
  91. [91]
    Desertification, crop yield and economic development
    We use the aridity index (AI) to measure desertification and find that annual variations of soil aridity have a more significant economic impact than ...
  92. [92]
  93. [93]
    Seawater desalination of arid regions: comparing the policy of the ...
    The installed capacity for seawater desalination is now 100 million m3/day, positing the process as a way to overcome the scarcity of clean water, especially in ...
  94. [94]
    Desalination - EU Blue Economy Observatory - European Commission
    Currently, desalination is largely used in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA region) – accounting for 70% of global capacity – in the US, and only to a ...Missing: arid | Show results with:arid
  95. [95]
    Water Desalination System, the global leader is the Middle East
    Sep 24, 2024 · It processes 9.7 million cubic meters of water daily, accounting for 22% of the world's desalinated water and providing for over 34 million ...
  96. [96]
    Solar energy-driven desalination: A renewable solution for climate ...
    May 10, 2025 · In particular, according to IDA, approximately 22,000 desalination plants exist worldwide, with a total daily capacity of almost 109.22 million ...
  97. [97]
    Drip Irrigation - MIT GEAR Lab
    Drip can reduce water consumption by 20-60% compared to conventional flood or furrow irrigation. As irrigation accounts for over 70% of freshwater use, large- ...
  98. [98]
    Why Drip Irrigation Is The Key To Water Conservation In Arid Regions
    Mar 11, 2025 · Drip irrigation systems provide a high level of water efficiency by delivering water directly to the plant roots, reducing evaporation and ...
  99. [99]
    a promising practice for sustainable agriculture in China's arid region
    Sep 25, 2024 · The long-term practice of mulched drip irrigation (MDI) has significantly advanced cotton production in China's arid regions.
  100. [100]
    Agricultural and Technology-Based Strategies to Improve Water-Use ...
    This article explores the significance of WUE enhancement in agriculture, especially under drought conditions, and discusses various strategies to optimize WUE ...
  101. [101]
    Israel's Water Technology and Innovation Lead to Resilience and ...
    Mar 29, 2024 · By 2015, Israel had treated and recycled 86% of its wastewater for agriculture, making it the top nation in the world for wastewater recycling.
  102. [102]
    Countries that recycle wastewater into drinking water
    Aug 3, 2023 · Namibia has been treating wastewater for drinking since 1968. But it's another country that remains the undisputed pioneer in this field - ...
  103. [103]
    Addressing barriers in the water-recycling innovation system to ...
    Using a case-based approach, this paper analyzes the water-recycling practices in Australia, the United Arab Emirates (U.A.E.), and Jordan, which, as arid ...
  104. [104]
    Atmospheric water generator by GENAQ. Get water from air.
    Water wherever you need it​​ These generators perform efficiently even in extremely arid climates with temperatures exceeding 50°C (122°F) and humidity levels ...
  105. [105]
    Engineers invent high-yield atmospheric water capture device for ...
    Nov 5, 2024 · A groundbreaking technology that pulls large amounts of water from the air in low humidity. The research, whose co-authors include University of Utah engineers ...
  106. [106]
    Atmospheric water generation in arid regions – A perspective on ...
    This review presents emerging technologies developed for atmospheric water generation focused on the Middle East and critically assesses their performance.
  107. [107]
    Utah holds its first cloud seeding symposium
    Cloud seeding is a low-cost, low-risk, non-structural method that can increase water supply between 5-15% in seeded areas at a cost between $10 -$15 per acre- ...
  108. [108]
    A Brief History and Review of the Science Behind Cloud-Seeding
    Mar 15, 2023 · Although not a panacea for drought-stricken regions, cloud-seeding can increase seasonal precipitation by about 10%. In the Reno area alone, ...
  109. [109]
    Evaluating cloud seeding initiatives for sustainable water supply in ...
    In China, cloud seeding has been used to increase rainfall in arid regions since the 1950 s. In 2008, China used cloud seeding during the opening day of the ...
  110. [110]
    Can Cloud Seeding Help Quench the Thirst of the U.S. West?
    Mar 3, 2022 · States in the American West are embracing cloud seeding to increase snow and rainfall. Recent research suggests that the decades-old approach can be effective.
  111. [111]
    Conservation Agriculture Boosts Soil Health, Wheat Yield, and ...
    Conservation agriculture boosts soil health, wheat yield, and nitrogen use efficiency after two decades of practice in Semi-Arid Tunisia.
  112. [112]
    Conservation agriculture improves soil health and sustains crop ...
    Oct 10, 2024 · Overall, conservation agriculture results in an average 21% increase in soil health and supports similar levels of crop production after long- ...
  113. [113]
    Evaluating water conservation methods for improving soil moisture ...
    Feb 27, 2025 · These findings suggest that RF water conservation method can help farmers to mitigate the impact of drought on tef production.<|control11|><|separator|>
  114. [114]
    Cantaloupe Yield and Water Productivity Under Different Irrigation ...
    This publication evaluates the effectiveness of three irrigation systems: flood, subsurface drip, and center pivot (overhead sprinkler) for two irrigation ...
  115. [115]
    Enhancing crop water productivity and aquifer recharge in arid regions
    Jun 30, 2025 · Converting to drip irrigation from flood irrigation promises to increase crop water productivity (WPC) but at the potential costs of lower crop ...
  116. [116]
    Small-scale farming in drylands: New models for resilient practices ...
    Feb 2, 2023 · We present new models that focus on the ecological factors driving finger millet, pearl millet and sorghum traditional cultivation, with a global perspective.
  117. [117]
    The role of agricultural land management in modulating water ...
    Feb 1, 2025 · Strategies such as implementing drought-resistant crops, conservation agriculture, and agroforestry are highlighted as essential methods to ...
  118. [118]
    [PDF] DRYLANDS - UNCCD
    Drylands cover 41 per cent of the land surface, produce. 44 per cent of the crops, and contain over 2 billion people and half of the world's livestock.Missing: percentage | Show results with:percentage
  119. [119]
    Ancient methods of preventing desertification and recovering from ...
    Jun 17, 2022 · “Natural infrastructure” is one option that offers a cost-effective and flexible approach for disaster-risk and water-resource management.
  120. [120]
    Global projections of aridity index for mid and long-term future based ...
    Jan 24, 2025 · This study evaluates and projects global aridity index (AI) and dryland distribution using the FAO Aridity Index based on Penman-Monteith potential ...<|control11|><|separator|>
  121. [121]
    CMIP6-based global estimates of future aridity index and potential ...
    The “Future_Global_AI_PET Database” provides high-resolution (30 arc-seconds) average annual and monthly global estimates of potential evapotranspiration (PET) ...
  122. [122]
    How will drought evolve in global arid zones under different future ...
    In scenarios with higher emissions, the equatorial to northern latitude 30° region will experience more severe drought.
  123. [123]
    Chapter 11: Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing ...
    In Asia, most AR6 regions showlow confidence in projected changes in meteorological droughts at 1.5°C and 2°C of global warming, with a few regions ...
  124. [124]
    Chapter 12: Climate Change Information for Regional Impact and for ...
    Aridity and drought: Recent decades have seen a general decrease in Arctic aridity, with projections indicating a continuing trend towards reduced aridity ...
  125. [125]
    Why do drought indices overestimate the drought-related impacts of ...
    In global climate models, CO2-driven warming causes strong and very widespread mean drying trends in climatic wetness indices like the Palmer Drought ...
  126. [126]
    The Influence of Climate Model Biases on Projections of Aridity and ...
    We concentrate on how bias-correcting raw GCM output can modify projections of precipitation and PET and subsequent changes in aridity and drought occurrences.
  127. [127]
    Future aridity under conditions of global climate change
    The uncertainties in GCM projections result due to, among others, errors in the model structure, scenarios, and initial conditions (Woldemeskel et al., 2014).
  128. [128]
    “Certain Uncertainty: The Role of Internal Climate Variability in ...
    Nov 17, 2020 · Generally speaking, internal climate variability is larger in the extra-tropics than the tropics, greater in winter than summer, larger for ...
  129. [129]
    An uncertain future change in aridity over the tropics - IOPscience
    May 3, 2024 · We assess future changes in aridity using three climate models and several single-forcing experiments. Near-term (2021–2040) changes in aridity are small.
  130. [130]
    High temporal variability not trend dominates Mediterranean ...
    Mar 12, 2025 · As an alternative approach, we compared the observed changes in precipitation, based on the extensive observational dataset employed in this ...
  131. [131]
    Observed humidity trends in dry regions contradict climate models
    Dec 29, 2023 · Over the last four decades, near-surface water vapor has not increased over arid and semi-arid regions. This is contrary to all climate model simulations.
  132. [132]
    Thirty-eight years of CO2 fertilization has outpaced growing aridity to ...
    Jan 28, 2022 · We conclude rising CO 2 has mitigated the effects of increasing aridity, repeated record-breaking droughts, and record-breaking heat waves in eastern Australia.
  133. [133]
    Elevated carbon dioxide making arid regions greener
    May 31, 2013 · In addition to greening dry regions, the CO2 fertilization effect could switch the types of vegetation that dominate in those regions.Missing: aridity | Show results with:aridity
  134. [134]
    Less than 4% of dryland areas are projected to desertify despite ...
    Jun 5, 2024 · Future projections show continued increases in aridity due to climate change, suggesting that drylands will expand. In contrast, satellite ...
  135. [135]
    With CO2 Levels Rising, World's Drylands Are Turning Green
    Jul 16, 2024 · By allowing them to use scarce water more efficiently, the CO2-rich air fertilizes vegetation growth in even some of the driest places. As we ...