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Peterson Institute for International Economics

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent, nonpartisan, nonprofit research organization based in Washington, D.C., dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy through rigorous, open analysis of international economic policy issues.^[1] Founded in 1981 as the Institute for International Economics by C. Fred Bergsten in response to a need for dedicated research on international economics, it was renamed in 2006 to honor Peter G. Peterson, its founding chairman who provided significant financial support.^[1]^[2] PIIE conducts research on key areas including international trade and investment, finance and exchange rates, macroeconomic policy, globalization effects, and economic developments in major regions such as China, the European Union, and the United States.^[1] The institute employs a staff of approximately 75, including over 50 senior researchers with policy and academic expertise, and emphasizes accessible ideas to inform public debate and anticipate emerging issues.^[1] Among its notable contributions, PIIE has laid intellectual groundwork for initiatives like the North American Free Trade Agreement, International Monetary Fund reforms, and the US-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue, while maintaining the highest transparency rating from Charity Navigator.^[1]

History

Founding and Early Development (1981–2005)

The Institute for International Economics (IIE) was established in late 1981 in Washington, D.C., as an independent, nonpartisan think tank dedicated to research on international economic policy.^[1] It was founded by C. Fred Bergsten, who served as its first director after leaving his role as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs, with initial support from the German Marshall Fund of the United States (GMF) under president Frank Loy.^[3] Peter G. Peterson, former U.S. Secretary of Commerce and cofounder of Blackstone Group, was appointed founding chairman, providing strategic guidance and helping secure a $4 million startup grant from GMF.^[3] The initiative addressed a perceived gap in U.S.-based institutions focused on medium-term international economic issues, distinct from short-term advocacy or long-term academic abstraction.^[3] The IIE's founding mission emphasized rigorous analysis to inform policy on trade, exchange rates, investment, and global financial stability, aiming to promote prosperity through evidence-based recommendations rather than ideological positions.^[1] Bergsten shaped its operational blueprint, recruiting early scholars such as William R. Cline and John Williamson to prioritize actionable research with a 1–3 year horizon.^[3] Key early backers included figures like George Shultz and Reginald Jones, who contributed to its executive committee and helped establish credibility among policymakers.^[3] Operating as a 501(c)(3) nonprofit, the institute maintained independence by diversifying funding from foundations, corporations, and individuals, avoiding reliance on government grants.^[1] In its first two decades, the IIE produced influential works that shaped debates on global challenges, including the 1982 publication by John Williamson on IMF reform, William Cline's 1983 analysis of the Third World debt crisis, and a 1985 joint study by Bergsten and Cline on U.S.-Japan economic imbalances.^[3] Subsequent outputs addressed currency issues, such as Stephen Marris's 1985 book Deficits and the Dollar, and trade policy, culminating in Gary Clyde Hufbauer and Jeffrey Schott's 1993 assessment of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which provided empirical support for its economic benefits amid political contention.^[1] By the early 2000s, the institute had influenced reforms in Latin America via the Washington Consensus framework and U.S. trade negotiations, earning recognition as a leading voice in international economics through frequent citations in media and policy circles.^[1] Staff growth and policy engagements solidified its role, with Bergsten directing operations until 2006.^[4]

Renaming and Institutional Growth (2006–2012)

In October 2006, the Institute for International Economics (IIE) was renamed the Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) during its 25th anniversary gala on October 23.^[5] The renaming honored Peter G. Peterson, the institute's founding chairman since 1981, whose longstanding financial and leadership support had sustained its operations.^[6] ^[7] The name change coincided with the successful conclusion of a $50 million capital campaign, announced by director C. Fred Bergsten, which substantially augmented the institute's endowment—reportedly quadrupling its prior level to support long-term independence and research expansion.^[8] ^[9] ^[3] This influx of funds, derived from private donors including Peterson, enabled enhanced operational capacity amid rising global economic challenges, such as the prelude to the 2008 financial crisis.^[10] From 2007 to 2012, the bolstered endowment facilitated institutional maturation, including deepened engagement in policy arenas like the G-20's 2009–2010 IMF reforms and the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue, where PIIE research informed bilateral economic coordination.^[1] The period saw sustained output of nonpartisan analyses on trade, finance, and macroeconomic stability, reflecting growth in the institute's role as a fixture in international economic discourse without reliance on government funding.^[1] While exact staff figures remain undocumented in contemporaneous reports, the financial strengthening underpinned program diversification and intellectual influence during a decade of geopolitical economic shifts.^[3]

Recent Evolution and Policy Engagements (2013–Present)

In January 2013, Adam S. Posen assumed the presidency of the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), succeeding C. Fred Bergsten, who had led the institution since its founding in 1981.^[11]^[12] Posen, previously a senior fellow at PIIE and external member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee from 2009 to 2012, shifted the institute's emphasis toward rigorous analysis of post-financial crisis challenges, including monetary policy normalization, fiscal sustainability, and the risks of protectionism amid slowing global growth.^[13] Under his leadership, PIIE maintained its core commitment to evidence-based research on international economic integration while adapting to geopolitical shifts, such as the 2016 U.S. presidential election's implications for trade agreements like the Trans-Pacific Partnership.^[14] Institutionally, PIIE experienced steady expansion during Posen's tenure, growing its research staff to over 50 scholars by 2025 from approximately 30 fellows in 2013, alongside a 50% increase in its endowment to support independent analysis.^[12]^[15] This growth enabled enhanced output, including semiannual Global Economic Prospects reports forecasting trends like modest 2.5% global GDP growth in 2014 amid financial stability risks and steady expansion through 2025 despite inflationary pressures from trade policies.^[16]^[17] The institute earned accolades, such as recognition as North America's top think tank, reflecting its influence in shaping debates on globalization's benefits versus domestic inequities.^[12] No major structural reorganizations occurred, but PIIE deepened collaborations with international bodies, producing initiatives on industrial policy in Asia-Pacific economies and evaluations of fiscal responses to events like the COVID-19 pandemic.^[18] PIIE's policy engagements intensified post-2013, with experts providing frequent congressional testimonies on topics ranging from U.S.-China economic relations to retirement savings regulations. For instance, Posen testified before the House Financial Services Committee in November 2013 on monetary policy amid recovery efforts, while senior fellow Mary Lovely addressed the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission in 2021 and 2024 on technology competitiveness and supply chain vulnerabilities.^[13]^[19]^[20] In recent years, PIIE hosted bipartisan events, such as a 2025 discussion with Senators Tim Kaine and Rand Paul on Congress's role in trade disputes, critiquing tariff escalations for their lagged inflationary effects without commensurate benefits to U.S. workers.^[21]^[22] These activities underscored PIIE's advocacy for multilateral trade reforms over unilateral measures, informing debates on U.S. fiscal and macroeconomic responses to deglobalization trends.^[23]

Governance and Operations

Organizational Structure and Leadership

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) operates as an independent, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization governed by a Board of Directors comprising 47 members, including business leaders, former high-level government officials, international civil servants, and scholars.^[24] The board's primary role is to safeguard the institute's independence and excellence in policy research on global economic issues, with its Executive Committee responsible for overseeing the budget, management, and performance evaluation.^[24] Michael A. Peterson, Chairman and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson Foundation, has served as Chair of the Board since May 2018; Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Treasury Secretary and Harvard professor, acts as Vice Chair; and Stephen Freidheim, CIO of Cyrus Capital Partners, chairs the Executive Committee.^[25] ^[24] Day-to-day leadership is provided by President Adam S. Posen, who has held the position since January 2013 and oversees the institute's research agenda, operations, and policy engagement.^[14] ^[26] Supporting Posen is Executive Vice President and Director of Studies Marcus Noland, who manages research programs and staff coordination.^[26] The leadership team includes specialized vice presidents handling key functions: Maggie Chai as Vice President for the Executive Office and Board Liaison; Jeff Cordeau as Vice President for Operations and Chief Technology Officer; Nell Henderson as Vice President for Publishing; Todd Herrick as Assistant Vice President for Development; Melina Kolb as Vice President for Communications; David O'Brien as Vice President for Development and External Affairs; and Steven R. Weisman as Senior Editorial Adviser.^[26] PIIE's staff totals approximately 75 members, with over 50 dedicated to senior research roles across areas such as trade, macroeconomics, and international finance.^[1] The structure emphasizes a core research focus supported by administrative, communications, and development personnel, all based in Washington, DC, to facilitate rigorous analysis and public dissemination without partisan influence.^[1] ^[26] This setup enables the institute to maintain operational autonomy while engaging policymakers and scholars globally.^[1]

Funding Sources and Financial Practices

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) derives its funding from a diverse array of sources, including corporations, private foundations, individuals, public institutions, endowment income, and publication revenues, with historical breakdowns showing corporations contributing 35-46%, individuals 30-39%, foundations 3-17%, public institutions 3-18%, and other sources 3-28% of total revenue between 2010 and 2024.^[27] For fiscal year 2023-2024 (July 1, 2023–June 30, 2024), PIIE reported an operating budget of $16 million, supported by donations and grants from entities such as corporations (e.g., Exxon Mobil, Google, HSBC), the Peter G. Peterson Foundation as its largest single donor, individuals, and public institutions like Norges Bank Investment Management, alongside endowment contributions and publishing income.^[28] Approximately 90% of 2024 revenue was unrestricted, with 6% restricted from foundations and 4% from public or corporate sources, while non-U.S. funding ranged from 12-46% over the 2010-2024 period; however, 5% of 2024 donations were anonymous, including contributions from two donors exceeding $250,000, which has drawn scrutiny for potentially limiting full accountability despite aggregate disclosure.^[27]^[29] PIIE's financial practices emphasize independence through diversified funding and strict non-interference policies, with no single donor or category dominating to avoid undue influence on research agendas, which are determined internally by leadership and senior fellows.^[27] The institute maintains that donors hold no rights to review or alter publications, and all research undergoes peer review with data made publicly replicable, barring rare confidential exceptions that are explicitly noted.^[30] Authors and staff are required to disclose relevant financial relationships, such as consulting or board roles within three years of publication, via a signed transparency form, ensuring conflicts are flagged without assuming institutional endorsement of external work.^[31]^[32] Transparency is upheld through annual public disclosures of all institutional funding sources since June 2013, with specific study acknowledgments in publications linking to full supporter lists, earning PIIE top ratings from Charity Navigator for accountability and openness.^[31]^[33] Specific research funding must be acknowledged in outputs like books, briefs, and papers, and while PIIE claims donor neutrality preserves nonpartisan analysis, critics have questioned the implications of high-level anonymous gifts and corporate ties in a landscape where think tanks may align with funder interests, though no direct evidence of influence on PIIE outputs has been substantiated.^[30]^[29]

Research Focus Areas

Trade Policy and Globalization

The Peterson Institute for International Economics conducts extensive research on trade policy, emphasizing the economic benefits of liberalization and critiquing protectionist measures. Its analyses quantify gains from market openness, such as an estimated $2.6 trillion addition to U.S. GDP in 2022 from post-1950 engagement in global markets, equivalent to a 10% boost and $7,800 per person.^[34] This work attributes productivity improvements and lower consumer prices to trade expansion, while acknowledging adjustment costs like 300,000 annual job displacements from imports between 2001 and 2016, against a backdrop of 50 million total annual job transitions in the U.S. economy.^[34] PIIE scholars argue that U.S. trade deficits arise primarily from domestic savings-investment imbalances rather than foreign manipulation or unfair practices, rejecting claims that deficits reflect imposed losses.^[35] For instance, post-1998 surges were linked to U.S. consumption booms and financial deregulation, not solely global savings gluts, with dollar depreciation in the 2000s failing to shrink deficits due to internal demand factors.^[35] The institute's policy briefs assess trade agreements positively, concluding they have not harmed the U.S. economy overall, countering narratives of net losses from deals like NAFTA or WTO accession.^[36] On globalization, PIIE tracks its evolution, noting the end of "hyperglobalization" around 2008 amid rising barriers, yet documenting continued integration despite backlash, including under recent U.S. administrations.^[37] Early 2020s research highlighted a postwar retreat in global trade openness, the first since World War II, driven by tariffs and supply chain shifts.^[38] Recent evaluations of U.S.-China trade tensions and proposed "reciprocal" tariffs warn of inflationary risks and inefficiency, estimating that such policies exacerbate deficits without addressing root causes like fiscal imbalances.^[39] These studies advocate for multilateral reforms over unilateral actions to sustain gains from interconnected markets.

Macroeconomics and Fiscal Issues

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) analyzes macroeconomic trends and fiscal policy with a focus on their implications for global stability, often integrating international trade and monetary factors. Research in this area includes assessments of fiscal tools for economic stabilization, the macroeconomic effects of tariffs, and the drivers of inflation surges. PIIE scholars emphasize evidence-based evaluations, such as the limitations of monetary policy in certain environments, advocating for enhanced fiscal responses.^[40] In fiscal policy, PIIE has critiqued the use of tariffs as a revenue mechanism, particularly under the 2025 escalation in the United States, where tariffs generated revenue alongside income tax cuts but imposed efficiency losses equivalent to about 33% of that revenue. Authors Kimberly A. Clausing and Maurice Obstfeld argue that such tariffs act as a negative supply shock, elevating prices, diminishing economic activity, and eroding tax progressivity while complicating administration.^[41] ^[42] They contrast this with traditional fiscal instruments, noting that fiscal and exchange rate adjustments, rather than tariffs, more effectively address trade deficits by influencing savings-investment imbalances.^[43] PIIE research highlights fiscal policy's role in macroeconomic stabilization, recommending quasi-automatic stabilizers like a variable value-added tax (VAT) rate tied to aggregate output indicators to counter monetary policy constraints. This approach, modeled in a New Keynesian framework, accounts for inflation passthrough, liquidity constraints, and anticipation effects, drawing on empirical evidence of VAT demand impacts.^[40] On inflation, a 2024 analysis attributes the U.S. pandemic-era surge primarily to inelastic supply responses rather than excessive fiscal stimulus alone, informing lessons for future policy design.^[44] Macroeconomic outlooks from PIIE incorporate fiscal influences, projecting U.S. GDP growth to slow to 1.7% in 2026 from 1.9% in 2025 amid tariff-induced reductions in purchasing power, with global growth similarly decelerating due to policy headwinds.^[45] Analyses of fiscal deficits extend to international contexts, such as China's evolving budget system rendering official deficit figures less indicative of true fiscal positions, and U.S. cases where economic growth alone insufficiently curbs deficits.^[46] Scholars like Joseph E. Gagnon contribute to these discussions, stressing causal links between fiscal balances and external imbalances.^[43]

International Finance and Monetary Policy

The Peterson Institute for International Economics conducts research on international finance emphasizing exchange rate regimes, capital flows, global financial stability, and the operations of institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF).^[47] Scholars at the institute analyze how imbalances in global savings and investment influence currency valuations and financial vulnerabilities, advocating for multilateral coordination to mitigate systemic risks.^[48] Key work includes examinations of the dollar's dominant role in international transactions and potential shifts in reserve currency dynamics amid geopolitical tensions.^[49] In monetary policy, PIIE focuses on cross-border spillovers from major central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve's decisions affecting emerging markets through channels like inflation transmission, asset price fluctuations, and policy feedback loops.^[50] Maurice Obstfeld, C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow, detailed these mechanisms in a 2019 working paper, arguing that global factors constrain U.S. policy tradeoffs by amplifying external influences on domestic conditions.^[50] Joseph E. Gagnon, another senior fellow, has explored how unconventional tools like quantitative easing propagate internationally, often exacerbating capital flow volatility in developing economies.^[48] The institute critiques overly accommodative policies for fostering moral hazard in global finance while supporting frameworks for better central bank communication to reduce uncertainty.^[51] PIIE engages policymakers through events and briefs on adapting monetary strategies to low-interest environments and post-pandemic inflation challenges. For instance, a April 24, 2025, panel reviewed central bank framework updates in response to the 2020s inflationary surge, emphasizing data-dependent approaches over rigid targets.^[52] Similarly, discussions on the euro's role amid uncertainty, held April 23, 2025, addressed European Central Bank dilemmas in balancing domestic mandates with global spillovers.^[53] Nonresident fellows like José De Gregorio contribute insights on exchange rate flexibility in Latin America, linking it to monetary credibility and external shocks. Overall, the institute's output underscores empirical evidence for international policy interdependence, cautioning against unilateralism that could destabilize global liquidity.^[1]

China, Emerging Markets, and Geoeconomics

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) maintains a dedicated research program on China, emphasizing its integration into global trade, economic vulnerabilities, and policy implications for advanced economies. Key analyses include assessments of China's slowing growth, overreliance on state-directed investment, and challenges in transitioning to consumption-led expansion, as tracked through the institute's China Economic Watch blog launched in the mid-2010s.^[54] PIIE scholars have quantified the US-China trade conflict's scope, reporting that by mid-2025, US tariffs on Chinese imports averaged 57.6 percent ad valorem equivalents across 100 percent of goods, with China's retaliatory measures at 32.6 percent on US exports, based on harmonized trade data adjustments for tariff pass-through and substitution effects.^[55] These studies argue that while tariffs have modestly reduced bilateral deficits, they impose net welfare losses on the US economy through higher consumer prices and disrupted supply chains, without substantially altering China's export orientation.^[56] PIIE's work on emerging markets addresses financial resilience, capital flows, and institutional reforms, drawing lessons from crises like the 1997-1998 Asian turmoil and the 2013 taper tantrum. A October 2023 working paper applied natural language processing to over 10,000 central bank statements from 1997-2022, finding that emerging-market (EM) institutions lag advanced peers in forward guidance clarity, correlating with higher inflation volatility and currency depreciation during shocks.^[57] Institute research underscores capital markets' role in EM development, with a March 2025 analysis of firm-level data from nearly 80,000 companies across 50 countries showing that deeper equity and bond markets boosted investment by 15-20 percent and employment growth by 10 percent in high-access EMs from 2000-2020.^[58] PIIE policy briefs from 2021-2022 highlighted EM vulnerabilities to global rebound asymmetries post-COVID, recommending multilateral liquidity support via IMF facilities to mitigate capital outflow risks, evidenced by 2022 episodes of 5-10 percent GDP contractions in cases like Sri Lanka and Zambia.^[59]^[60] In geoeconomics, PIIE examines how strategic rivalries reshape trade, investment, and supply chains, with a focus on US-China decoupling dynamics. A June 2023 working paper modeled geopolitical tensions' trade impacts, estimating that intensified US export controls on semiconductors reduced China's high-tech imports by 25 percent from 2018-2022 while elevating global fragmentation costs equivalent to 1-2 percent of world GDP annually.^[61] Institute events, such as a January 2025 panel on transatlantic US-China geoeconomic competition, analyzed divergences in derisking strategies, noting Europe's 40 percent rise in China dependencies for critical minerals versus US efforts to cap them at pre-2018 levels.^[62] PIIE President Adam Posen's August 2025 Foreign Affairs essay outlined a "new economic geography" where geoeconomic blocs emerge, projecting that full US-China trade separation could shrink global output by 5 percent by 2030, based on gravity model simulations incorporating security-driven friend-shoring.^[63] These analyses critique China's coercive trade practices—such as 2020-2023 sanctions on Australia yielding 10-15 percent export drops—as distortions undermining WTO norms, while advocating calibrated Western responses over blanket protectionism to preserve efficiency gains from globalization.^[61]

Key Outputs and Policy Influence

Publications and Analytical Contributions

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) produces a range of publications including books, Policy Briefs, Working Papers, PIIE Briefings, and scholarly articles, emphasizing empirical economic analysis on international trade, finance, and policy issues.^[15] Policy Briefs constitute the core of its output, offering concise assessments of pressing policy challenges with historical context, quantitative modeling, and proposed solutions grounded in data-driven evaluations.^[64] Working Papers present preliminary findings from econometric models and simulations, subject to internal review before potential refinement into formal publications.^[65] Books published by PIIE undergo rigorous peer review and cover specialized topics such as crisis management and trade dynamics; notable examples include The Central Bank as Crisis Manager (October 2024) by Patrick Honohan, analyzing central bank responses to financial disruptions, and How Latvia Came Through the Financial Crisis (2011), detailing fiscal and structural reforms during the 2008–2009 downturn.^[66] ^[67] PIIE Briefings compile diverse materials like op-eds, testimonies, and event transcripts to synthesize viewpoints on evolving economic debates.^[68] Analytically, PIIE contributions have focused on trade policy impacts, including a 2021 Working Paper assessing the US–China trade war's effects, which estimated tariff-induced costs and limited compliance with the Phase One agreement through trade diversion rather than structural change.^[69] A 2024 Policy Brief critiqued misconceptions surrounding US trade deficits, arguing they reflect savings-investment imbalances rather than inherent unfairness, using balance-of-payments data to challenge mercantilist interpretations.^[35] Earlier work, such as a Policy Brief on trade and income distribution, employed household survey data and gravity models to evaluate globalization's wage effects, finding modest overall gains offset by sector-specific disruptions without evidence of broad inequality exacerbation attributable to trade alone.^[70] These outputs prioritize quantitative rigor, often incorporating computable general equilibrium models to simulate policy scenarios, influencing discussions on tariff reductions as anti-inflationary tools.^[71]

Engagement with Policymakers and Global Debates

PIIE scholars frequently testify before U.S. congressional committees and commissions, providing expert analysis on trade, taxation, sanctions, and international economics. For instance, Kimberly Clausing testified twice before Congress in 2024 on tax reform issues.^[66] In May 2024, Mary E. Lovely appeared before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission to discuss U.S. trade strategy toward China.^[66] Jeffrey J. Schott testified in October 2024 to the U.S. International Trade Commission regarding automotive rules under the USMCA.^[66] Earlier, in April 2023, Clausing testified to the U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget about corporate tax avoidance.^[72] Elina Ribakova provided testimony to the U.S. Senate on February 27, 2024, evaluating the effectiveness of sanctions against Russia, with some of her recommendations subsequently adopted in policy.^[66]^[72] These engagements extend to executive branch interactions, including briefings by Lovely to White House, State Department, and Treasury staff on China-related economic policies in 2023.^[72] PIIE research has informed specific outcomes, such as the U.S. government's addition of copper to its critical minerals list in July 2023 following advocacy by scholar Cullen Hendrix.^[72] The institute's analyses have also shaped debates on U.S. debt ceiling negotiations and European Union fiscal rules.^[72] Internationally, PIIE experts engage parliamentary and executive bodies abroad, as well as United Nations commissions and other global organizations. Chad P. Bown testified in February 2023 before the European Parliament on U.S. policies affecting COVID-19 vaccine supply chains.^[72] Leaders of PIIE's China Program, such as Mary E. Lovely, conducted engagements with policymakers and analysts in China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan, hosting five events in 2023 to discuss economic challenges and geoeconomic strategies.^[72] PIIE contributes to global debates through high-profile events and publications that convene policymakers and scholars. In April 2024, the institute hosted World Trade Organization Director-General Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala for a discussion on renewing the global trading system.^[66] It co-hosted an IMF conference on climate action's macroeconomic effects, attracting over 1,500 attendees, and participated in the WTO Public Forum in September 2024 with a panel drawing 800 participants.^[66] A 2024 PIIE-BIS-WTO conference addressed geopolitics and trade fragmentation.^[66] Publications, including modeling of potential Trump administration policies and estimates of tariff costs to U.S. households ($1,700–$2,600 annually), have garnered thousands of citations and influenced discussions on protectionism, immigration, and U.S.-China rivalry.^[66]

Personnel

Current and Former Leadership

Adam S. Posen has served as president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics since January 2013.^[14] In this role, he oversees the institute's research agenda, policy outreach, and operations, drawing on his prior experience as a monetary policy economist at institutions including the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve.^[14] Marcus Noland holds the position of executive vice president and director of studies, managing scholarly programs and staff coordination.^[26] The institute was founded in 1981 as the Institute for International Economics by C. Fred Bergsten and Anthony M. Solomon, with Bergsten serving as its first and only director until December 2012.^[6]^[73] Bergsten, a former U.S. Treasury official, shaped the organization's early focus on global economic policy analysis during his 31-year tenure.^[74] He transitioned to director emeritus upon retirement, continuing as a nonresident senior fellow.^[4] No interim leadership preceded Posen's appointment.^[14]

Notable Scholars and Their Contributions

Adam S. Posen, serving as president since January 2013, has directed PIIE's research agenda on international economic policy, emphasizing central bank strategies and their spillovers, informed by his prior analyses of Japanese monetary easing and European integration.^[14]^[75] C. Fred Bergsten, director from the institute's founding in 1981 until 2012 and now director emeritus, shaped early scholarship on global imbalances, proposing a "Marshall Plan" for the dollar and coordinated G7 interventions to stabilize exchange rates in the 1980s.^[4]^[76] Olivier Blanchard, senior fellow since 2019 following his role as IMF chief economist from 2015 to 2019, has advanced empirical models of fiscal multipliers during recessions—showing them higher than previously assumed—and critiqued rigid inflation targeting in favor of supply-side responses post-pandemic.^[77]^[78] Chad P. Bown, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow, has quantified the economic costs of US tariffs since 2018, estimating over $80 billion in annual welfare losses from retaliatory measures in WTO data analyses, influencing congressional testimony on trade enforcement.^[79]^[80] Gary Clyde Hufbauer, nonresident senior fellow since the 1980s, co-developed gravity models for trade flows, demonstrating in studies that NAFTA boosted North American GDP by 0.5% annually through reduced barriers, while assessing dispute settlement efficacy in over 100 cases.^[81]^[82] Maurice Obstfeld, senior fellow since 2019 after serving as IMF chief economist from 2015 to 2018, has modeled optimal currency areas and sudden stops in capital flows, arguing in 2020s work that flexible exchange rates mitigate balance-of-payments crises more effectively than capital controls alone.^[83]^[84]

Facilities

Headquarters and Infrastructure

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is headquartered at 1750 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, D.C. 20036-1903.^[85]^[75] The institute occupies a dedicated four-story building designed by Kohn Pedersen Fox Associates, completed in 2001 and recognized with architectural awards for its modern design on Washington's "think tank row."^[1]^[86] The structure spans approximately 37,000 square feet (3,500 square meters) and includes specialized office spaces for researchers, dedicated facilities for economic analysis and data processing, and a conference center with capacity for up to 250 attendees.^[86]^[87] These infrastructure elements support PIIE's core activities, including hosting events, seminars, and videoconferencing for global policy discussions, with the building's layout optimized for collaborative research and public engagement.^[87] The facility's proximity to key U.S. government institutions facilitates direct interactions with policymakers.^[1]

Reception and Legacy

Achievements and Empirical Impacts

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) has shaped international economic policy through research advocating trade liberalization and institutional reforms. Its analyses informed the development of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), implemented in 1994, which expanded trade among the United States, Canada, and Mexico by reducing tariffs on goods and services. ^[1] PIIE scholars also contributed to the establishment of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum in 1989 and the United States-Korea Free Trade Agreement, ratified in 2011 and effective from 2012, which boosted bilateral trade volumes by over 50% in the subsequent decade. ^[1] In multilateral institutions, PIIE recommendations influenced International Monetary Fund (IMF) governance reforms agreed upon at G-20 summits in 2009 and 2010, reallocating voting shares to enhance representation for emerging economies like China and India by approximately 6 percentage points collectively. ^[1] The institute's work on currency manipulation and trade imbalances helped frame the U.S.-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue launched in 2009, leading to bilateral commitments on exchange rate policies and intellectual property enforcement. ^[1] Empirically, PIIE research has quantified globalization's net benefits, estimating that U.S. participation in world markets since 1950 generated $2.6 trillion in additional economic output by 2022, equivalent to about $7,800 per American household annually after adjusting for trade-related adjustments. ^[88] Studies on services trade liberalization project annual global welfare gains of up to $1 trillion by 2030 through reduced barriers in sectors like finance and telecommunications. ^[89] Recent analyses of protectionist measures, including projections that broad U.S. tariffs proposed in 2024 would raise costs by $2,600 per year for middle-income households while contracting GDP by 0.5% to 1%, have been cited in congressional testimonies and informed debates on fiscal and trade legislation. ^[66] Similarly, empirical modeling of immigration policy shows that expanding lawful work visas could reduce unlawful border crossings by 20% to 40%, influencing U.S. legislative proposals on migration reform. ^[66] These findings, grounded in computable general equilibrium models, underscore trade openness's role in productivity growth, though they acknowledge distributional costs requiring domestic mitigation. ^[90]

Criticisms, Controversies, and Viewpoint Debates

The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) has drawn criticism for its staunch advocacy of free trade and globalization, which detractors from labor unions, protectionist economists, and populist movements argue systematically underweights the localized costs of trade liberalization, such as manufacturing job displacement and wage pressures in import-competing sectors. Empirical analyses supporting PIIE's positions often highlight aggregate welfare gains—estimating, for instance, that past U.S. globalization has added approximately $1 trillion annually to the economy—but critics counter with evidence from sector-specific data showing persistent adjustment failures, including over 2 million manufacturing jobs lost to China post-2001 WTO accession, per studies attributing much of this to trade surges rather than automation alone.^[91]^[92] In trade policy debates, PIIE's opposition to tariffs and protectionism has sparked contention, with the Institute asserting that such measures inflate consumer prices and diminish overall efficiency, as evidenced by models projecting significant GDP losses from proposed broad tariffs. Opponents, including figures like Oren Cass, have accused PIIE of oversimplifying economic consensus by dismissing legitimate strategic rationales for selective protectionism, such as safeguarding supply chains or countering non-market practices by state-subsidized competitors like China.^[35]^[92] These viewpoint clashes reflect broader tensions between neoliberal frameworks emphasizing comparative advantage and realist perspectives prioritizing national industrial resilience amid geopolitical rivalries. Concerns over funding sources have also surfaced, as PIIE relies on a mix of corporate contributions, foundations, and anonymous donors—including several at the $250,000+ level—which some observers link to the Institute's alignment with multinational interests favoring open markets. A 2025 analysis of think tank financing highlighted PIIE's anonymous pledges amid critiques of opaque "dark money" potentially skewing research toward donor-preferred outcomes, though the Institute discloses aggregate funding and prohibits donor vetoes over publications.^[29]^[27]^[31] PIIE defends its nonpartisan stance through diversified revenue and rigorous peer review, but skeptics argue institutional incentives in globalist-leaning economics circles may foster under-scrutiny of globalization's causal downsides, such as inequality amplification documented in labor market data.

References

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About PIIE
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The Peterson Institute for International Economics is Born at GMF
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[PDF] Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics at 25
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C. Fred Bergsten | PIIE
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The Institute's 25th Anniversary Gala | Event | PIIE
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Mar 20, 2018 · Economic policy research by the Institute's 50+ internationally recognized scholars is the foundation of our mission and work. View All.Missing: history | Show results with:history<|separator|>
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Peter G. Peterson, a Power From Wall St. to Washington, Dies at 91
Mar 20, 2018 · In 2006, his financial support transformed the Institute for International Economics into the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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Congratulations to Fred Bergsten and the Peterson Institute for ...
Oct 27, 2006 · Fred Bergsten, the director of the Institute, announced the successful completion of a $50 million capital campaign, and the renaming of the IIE ...
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https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB116166000986801755
[10]
Pete Peterson: Hard Lessons From a Billionaire's Philanthropy
Mar 21, 2018 · Three nonprofit institutions bear the late billionaire's name: the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a top Washington policy group ...
[11]
Adam S. Posen | World Bank Live
Adam S. Posen has been president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics since January 2013. Over his career, he has contributed to research ...
[12]
Adam S Posen - CEPR
Under his leadership, since January 2013, the Institute has grown to 42 world-renowned fellows, raised its endowment by 50%, and won global recognition – ...
[13]
[PDF] Testimony before the House Financial Services Committee
Nov 13, 2013 · 4 See my testimony to the Joint Economic Committee on April 18, 2013, http://www.piie.com/publications/testimony/posen20130418.pdf, and the ...Missing: examples | Show results with:examples
[14]
Adam S. Posen | PIIE
During Dr. Posen's presidency, the Peterson Institute has won global recognition as the leading independent think tank in international economics, including ...
[15]
PIIE - Publications
The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and ...
[16]
Identify Ongoing Risks to Financial Stability Limiting Stimulus and ...
Apr 9, 2014 · Peterson Institute economists forecast modest growth in major economies; identify ongoing risks to financial stability limiting stimulus and recovery.
[17]
PIIE projects steady global economic growth in 2025 amid falling ...
Oct 15, 2024 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is forecasting that the world's economy will continue to expand at its current pace through 2025.Missing: 2013-2025 | Show results with:2013-2025
[18]
Industrial policy for Asia and the Pacific: Lessons and future directions
Jun 5, 2025 · This event explores key themes from the 2025 Pacific Trade and Development (PAFTAD) Conference, offering a timely evaluation of how major ...Missing: reports 2013-2025
[19]
[PDF] Mary Lovely Testimony
Jan 28, 2021 · A healthy world economy is beneficial to China not only as a growing market for its exports, but as a source of key inputs and advanced.
[20]
[PDF] Mary Lovely Testimony
May 23, 2024 · Commissioner Miller, Commissioner Wessel, and members of the Commission, thank you for inviting me to testify today.
[21]
A bipartisan conversation with Senators Kaine and Paul | Event | PIIE
Congress's role in the trade war: A bipartisan conversation with Senators Kaine and Paul. Date. October 29, 2025, 5:30 PM to 6:15 PM EDT.Missing: engagements testimonies 2013-2025
[22]
PIIE president Adam S. Posen explains why substantial inflationary ...
Oct 10, 2025 · PIIE president Adam S. Posen explains why substantial inflationary impact from tariffs & deportations has been lagged but is coming.
[23]
PIIE's Adam Posen says tariffs fail the American people - YouTube
Jun 11, 2025 · PIIE president Adam S. Posen spoke at a spotlight forum hosted by ... event here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GSOz6a9S08g.
[24]
Board of Directors | PIIE
The Board of Directors comprises a diverse group of business leaders, former high-level government officials, international civil servants, and distinguished ...
[25]
Peterson Institute for International Economics Announces New ...
May 30, 2018 · Michael A. Peterson Named Chair of the Board of Directors · Lawrence H. Summers to serve as Vice Chair and Stephen C. Freidheim to chair ...
[26]
Staff | PIIE
PIIE's staff includes leadership like Adam S. Posen (President), and roles such as VP for Publishing (Nell Henderson), and IT Support Specialist (Juan Bascope).
[27]
[PDF] On the Funding of the Peterson Institute for International Economics
Mar 11, 2025 · Financial support for the Institute's operations is provided through donations and grants from corporations, individuals, private foundations, ...Missing: 2006-2012 | Show results with:2006-2012
[28]
[PDF] 2024-annual-report.pdf - Peterson Institute for International Economics
PIIE Donors. Note: Figures above are based on the PIIE fiscal year, July 1, 2023 – June 30, 2024. Read the PIIE. Transparency. Policy. Page 22. PIIE ANNUAL ...
[29]
Big Ideas and Big Money: Think Tank Funding in America
Jan 3, 2025 · ” The Peterson Institute for Economics lists a handful of anonymous donors, including two at its highest range: $250,000 and above. Steven ...
[30]
The Institute's Policy on Transparency of Research | PIIE
In addition, the Institute discloses sources of funding and any material about authors' financial relationships that might bear on their research. Replicability ...
[31]
Transparency Policy | PIIE
We disclose all sources of funding for the Institute and all sources underwriting a specific study. PIIE and outside authors must disclose to the Institute ...
[32]
[PDF] PIIE Transparency and Disclosure form
1) The source of all research funding must be acknowledged in each book, Policy Brief, Working Paper,. PIIE Briefing, report, or other such publication. Such ...
[33]
Support PIIE
The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity and ...
[34]
America's payoff from engaging in world markets since 1950 was ...
Dec 11, 2023 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening ...
[35]
Misconceptions about US trade deficits muddy the economic policy ...
Aug 12, 2024 · Two theories that blame foreign countries for deficits hold that deficits arose from unfair competition by trade partners or from a “global savings glut.”
[36]
[PDF] Policy Brief 22-17: Have trade agreements been bad for America?
US trade policy began to be outward-looking in 1934, in the depths of the Great. Depression, when President Roosevelt began the arduous task of dismantling. US ...
[37]
Trade hyperglobalization is dead. Long live…? | PIIE
Nov 22, 2023 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening ...
[38]
Globalization is in retreat for the first time since the Second World War
Apr 28, 2020 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening ...
[39]
[PDF] Policy Brief 25-6: “Reciprocal” tariffs: What are they really for?
Aug 1, 2025 · Claiming they would offset unfair foreign trade practices that cause chronic US trade deficits, President Donald Trump announced “reciprocal” ...
[40]
Fiscal policy as a stabilization tool | PIIE
Apr 28, 2025 · This paper argues that, given the limits on monetary policy, fiscal policy should play a larger role.
[41]
Tariffs as Fiscal Policy | PIIE
Sep 24, 2025 · The year 2025 brought a remarkable shift in the role of tariffs in the US economy, as the Trump administration simultaneously escalated the ...
[42]
Tariffs as Fiscal Policy by Kimberly A. Clausing, Maurice Obstfeld
Sep 26, 2025 · Tariffs as Fiscal Policy. Peterson Institute for International Economics Working Paper 25-19. 46 Pages Posted: 26 Sep 2025. See all articles by ...
[43]
Fiscal and exchange rate policy, not tariffs, can reduce the trade deficit
Feb 25, 2025 · Fiscal and exchange rate policy, not tariffs, can reduce the trade deficit. Joseph E. Gagnon (PIIE). February 25, 2025.
[44]
Fiscal policy and the pandemic-era surge in US inflation
Dec 16, 2024 · The authors present a collection of evidence implying that the inflation surge was driven largely by supply being fairly inelastic.
[45]
PIIE sees global economic growth slowing in 2026 amid policy ...
Oct 9, 2025 · With tariffs reducing purchasing power, US GDP growth is projected to moderate to 1.7 percent in 2026 from 1.9 percent in 2025. Less-restrictive ...
[46]
Fiscal Deficit | PIIE
Economic growth won't reduce the deficit enough, and China's official deficit is no longer a meaningful measure as its budget system evolves.
[47]
International Monetary Fund | PIIE
Monetary Policy · Sanctions · Supply Chains · Technology · Trade & Investment · USMCA ... The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent ...
[48]
https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/joseph-e-gagnon
[49]
Maurice Obstfeld on trade and the international financial system
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity ...
[50]
Global Dimensions of US Monetary Policy | PIIE
Oct 2, 2019 · This paper is a partial exploration of mechanisms through which global factors influence the tradeoffs that US monetary policy faces.
[51]
Monetary Policy | PIIE
Monetary Policy. Search. Author. Topics and Regions. - Any -, BRICS, China's State ... The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent ...
[52]
Review of monetary policy strategy by central banks | Event | PIIE
Apr 24, 2025 · ... monetary policy frameworks, incorporating lessons learned from ... The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent ...
[53]
Monetary policy and the euro in an uncertain world | Event | PIIE
Apr 23, 2025 · ... monetary policy, and the implications of a changing world for ... The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent ...
[54]
China Economic Watch | PIIE
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity ...
[55]
US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart | PIIE
Average US tariffs on Chinese exports now stand at 57.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. China's average tariffs on US exports are at 32.6 ...
[56]
US-China Trade War | PIIE
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening prosperity ...
[57]
Central banks and policy communication: How emerging markets ...
Oct 31, 2023 · This paper uses innovative natural language processing techniques to analyze central bank communication in emerging-market (EM) central banks.
[58]
The role of capital markets in emerging-market growth | Event | PIIE
Mar 13, 2025 · Drawing on data from nearly 80,000 firms worldwide, the study shows how capital markets have been a key driver of investment and job creation in ...
[59]
An uneven global rebound will challenge emerging-market and
"An uneven global rebound will challenge emerging-market and developing economies," Policy Briefs PB21-21, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
[60]
Emerging-market and developing economies need support amid ...
Oct 6, 2022 · The emerging-market and developing economies (EMDEs), are closer to recession. These economies are now beset by capital outflows and in some cases currency ...<|separator|>
[61]
[PDF] The Effect of Geopolitical Rivalry on the World Trading System
Jun 16, 2023 · China uses trade measures for purposes of coercion and denies that market forces must govern competitive outcomes as it increases the role of.
[62]
Transatlantic perspectives on US-China geoeconomic competition
Jan 29, 2025 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to ...
[63]
The New Economic Geography - Foreign Affairs
Aug 19, 2025 · ADAM S. POSEN is President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. More by Adam S. Posen.
[64]
Policy Briefs | PIIE
Policy Briefs form the core of our research agenda. They address urgent policy problems and potential solutions, providing historical context and economic ...Missing: geoeconomics | Show results with:geoeconomics
[65]
Working Papers | PIIE
Working Papers convey preliminary research results, using economic models and analysis, and are part of the Institute's review process.
[66]
Annual Report 2024 - Peterson Institute for International Economics
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy.Missing: expansion | Show results with:expansion
[67]
How Latvia Came Through the Financial Crisis (Peterson Institute for ...
30-day returnsThis book offers a rare insider's look at how a national government responded to a global financial crisis, made tough choices, and led the country back to ...Missing: notable | Show results with:notable
[68]
PIIE Briefings
The Institute's PIIE Briefings are compendiums of short papers, op-eds, event presentations, transcripts, testimony, speeches, and other materialsMissing: Congress 2013-2025
[69]
The US–China trade war and phase one agreement | PIIE
Feb 25, 2021 · The Trump administration changed US trade policy toward China in ways that will take years for researchers to sort out.<|separator|>
[70]
Trade and Income Distribution: The Debate and New Evidence | PIIE
This Policy Brief summarizes the main findings and recommendations of his Trade and Income Distribution, published by the Institute for International Economics ...Missing: key | Show results with:key
[71]
Trade barrier reduction is the most important anti-inflation ...
Apr 6, 2022 · The Peterson Institute for International Economics is an independent nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to strengthening ...
[72]
Annual Report 2023 - Peterson Institute for International Economics
The Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE) is dedicated to strengthening prosperity and human welfare in the global economy.Missing: expansion | Show results with:expansion
[73]
At Peterson Institute, a founder steps down - The Washington Post
Jan 24, 2012 · Bergsten, 70, has run the institute since its founding in 1981, when he was tapped by the German Marshall Fund to set up a think tank devoted ...<|separator|>
[74]
President Obama Announces More Key Administration Posts
Sep 25, 2014 · C. Fred Bergsten – Member, Advisory Committee for Trade ... Bergsten was the Peterson Institute's Founding Director from 1981 through 2012.
[75]
Peterson Institute for International Economics
Economic policy research by the Institute's 50+ internationally recognized scholars is the foundation of our mission and work. View All · Blogs · Publications.Employment · About PIIE · Events · Experts
[76]
[PDF] C. Fred Bergsten: Intellectual Entrepreneur
Michael Mussa has been a senior fellow at the Institute since 2001. Peterson Institute for International Economics | www.petersoninstitute.org. Page 2. part ...
[77]
Olivier Blanchard
- **Biography**: Olivier Blanchard is a Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE).
[78]
Annual Report 2022 - Peterson Institute for International Economics
PIIE scholars gain recognition. Olivier Blanchard received an honorary doctorate from the Athens University of Economics and Business and was awarded the Murray ...
[79]
https://www.piie.com/experts/senior-research-staff/chad-p-bown
[80]
PIIE names Mary E. Lovely as the Anthony M. Solomon Senior Fellow
Jan 4, 2022 · Bown, Reginald Jones Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute, has been among the most widely cited and respected economists in the world on ...
[81]
Gary Clyde Hufbauer
- **Biography**: Gary Clyde Hufbauer is a Nonresident Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE).
[82]
PIIE's “Living Legend on Trade Policy” - YouTube
Jan 30, 2018 · Gary Clyde Hufbauer reviews the debates, achievements, and ... Peterson Institute for International Economics.
[83]
Maurice Obstfeld joins the Peterson Institute | PIIE
Jan 31, 2019 · Obstfeld is the Class of 1958 Professor of Economics and former chair of the department of economics at the University of California, Berkeley, ...
[84]
Maurice Obstfeld | PIIE
Maurice Obstfeld, C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow, has been associated with the Peterson Institute for International Economics since February 2019.
[85]
Contact | PIIE
Address: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 1750 Massachusetts Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20036-1903, +1.202.328.9000
[86]
Peter G. Peterson Institute for International Economics - KPF
Location. Washington DC, USA ; Client. Institute for International Economics ; Type. Civic + Cultural · Headquarters ; Size. 3,500 m2 / 37,000 ft ; Share ...
[87]
Peterson Institute of International Economics - Washington - MapQuest
The Institute moved into its own award-winning building, which includes full conference and videoconferencing facilities in Washington, D.C., in 2001. More.
[88]
Policy Briefs, Peterson Institute for International Economics
2023 · PB23-17 America's payoff from engaging in world markets since 1950 was almost $2.6 trillion in 2022 · PB23-16 Monetary policy in Latin America: The easing ...
[89]
The Globalization of Services: What Has Happened? What are the ...
The aim of this paper is to provide a succinct survey of the process of globalization as it impacts upon the service economy.
[90]
What Is Globalization? - Peterson Institute for International Economics
Trade is an important part of the global economy. The United States has lagged the world and other major advanced economies on its rate of trade expansion.
[91]
Answering the Critics: Summary | PIIE
Jan 1, 2008 · The Peterson Institute calculates that the US economy is approximately $1 trillion richer each year owing to past globalization—the payoff ...
[92]
What populists don't understand about tariffs (but economists do) | PIIE
Oct 1, 2024 · Oren Cass's shallow and selective defense of Donald Trump's trade policy proposals in The Atlantic misrepresents what economists know about tariffs.