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Resolution Copper

Resolution Copper Mining LLC is a owned 55% by Rio Tinto and 45% by , focused on developing an underground mine near , targeting one of the largest undeveloped deposits in the world, with estimated resources of approximately 1.8 billion metric tonnes grading 1.5% . ![Superior AZ + Queen Crk Canyon][float-right] The deposit lies 5,000 to 7,000 feet underground and employs block caving extraction, with projections for an operational lifespan exceeding 40 years and output capable of supplying up to 25% of anticipated future copper needs for several decades. Located in a with a mining heritage dating to the , the project promises economic revitalization through thousands of jobs and billions in investment, bolstered by recent federal fast-track permitting status to expedite development amid rising domestic demand for in and . However, advancement has been mired in legal disputes, primarily over a proposed land exchange transferring Oak Flat—a site sacred to the San Carlos Apache Tribe—from federal to company control, prompting lawsuits alleging violations of religious freedom and environmental laws, including a 2025 halting the transfer.

Project Fundamentals

Location and Geology

The Resolution Copper project is located near the town of Superior in Pinal County, Arizona, approximately 60 miles (97 km) east of Phoenix. The proposed mine site encompasses federal lands administered by the Tonto National Forest, including the Oak Flat area, with the ore deposit lying primarily beneath these forested lands. Geologically, the Resolution deposit constitutes a high-grade copper-molybdenum system hosted within and basement rocks, intruded by Laramide-age (approximately 64 million years old) porphyritic stocks. The orebody extends eastward for at least 2 km and is characterized by strong lithological controls on mineralization, with grades exceeding 2% in dolerite and units adjacent to quartz-eye . The deposit occurs at depths ranging from 5,000 to 7,000 feet (1,500 to 2,130 meters) below the surface, with an estimated average grade of 1.5%, roughly 2 to 3 times higher than typical porphyry deposits. This positioning aligns with a 50 km east-northeast trending belt of porphyry deposits in the Superior district, reflecting regional tectonic and magmatic controls on mineralization.

Ownership and Investment

Resolution Copper Mining LLC operates as a joint venture between Rio Tinto, which holds a 55% stake through its subsidiary Resolution Copper Company, and , which owns the remaining 45% via BHP Copper Inc. Rio Tinto serves as the project operator. Since the joint venture's formation in 2004, Rio Tinto and have collectively invested more than $2 billion in , , ore body delineation, enhancements, and permitting processes for the project. In June 2017, Rio Tinto approved an additional $302 million specifically for advancing programs, geotechnical studies, and environmental compliance efforts. These expenditures underscore the partners' long-term commitment amid ongoing regulatory hurdles, with no full-scale production funding committed until land exchange and permitting finalization.

Mining Technology and Operations

The Resolution Copper project utilizes underground block caving, a gravity-based method optimized for high-volume extraction from massive, deep bodies, as the core mining technology. This approach involves creating an undercut level through targeted , which triggers the ore to fracture and collapse naturally under its own weight into engineered funnels and drawpoints below. The resulting broken ore is then selectively extracted using load-haul-dump machines at drawpoints, minimizing the need for ongoing blasting in the production phase and reducing energy consumption compared to methods like sublevel stoping. Panel caving, a sequenced variant of block caving, will be applied to manage cave propagation, , and ore dilution across multiple panels. The ore deposit extends more than 1,600 meters beneath the surface, positioning the operation among the deepest underground mines globally and necessitating advanced ventilation, cooling, and ground support systems to handle geotechnical stresses and elevated temperatures up to 76–82°C. Extraction occurs via multiple access shafts, including the deepened No. 9 Shaft—the deepest in the U.S.—and upgraded facilities like the No. 8 Shaft with a 5 kV variable frequency drive for enhanced hoisting capacity. Ore is transported underground to stationary crushers, conveyed to skips, and hoisted to surface stockpiles, with projected daily throughput of 51,000 to 115,000 tons once at full capacity. Surface operations integrate processing at a dedicated concentrator complex, where run-of-mine material undergoes primary crushing followed by wet grinding into a fine . This feeds flotation cells, where separate copper minerals to yield a concentrate grading 29–31% , alongside byproducts like . The concentrate is then dewatered, stored, and shipped off-site for and electrolytic into 99.999% pure . Over the anticipated 40+ year mine life, this sequence is designed to process approximately 1.4 billion tons of , producing around 40 billion pounds of . and technologies will support , though detailed implementation remains subject to final during development.

Historical Development

Early Exploration

The Resolution Copper deposit, located approximately 2 km south of the historic mine in , was discovered through targeted programs initiated in the early by Magma Copper Company, building on prior fault and vein explorations in the region. Earlier efforts at the adjacent Magma mine during the had identified the North fault , which drops strata by about 3,000 feet and serves as a mineralization conduit, while underground explorations in the 1970s uncovered South Vein structures south of the No. 9 . Surface from 1973 to 1981 east of the mine tested carbonates but yielded no economic mineralization. In 1991–1992, Magma's surface drilling program advanced with hole MB-9, collared 6,300 feet southeast of the No. 9 shaft and drilled to 3,267 feet, intersecting altered volcaniclastics containing , which suggested proximity to an underlying system beneath over 1,000 meters of cover. This was followed in 1992 by the identification of the South Boundary Fault, later confirmed as another key structural control on mineralization. Underground intensified in 1994–1995, with hole S27E reaching 3,648 feet and intersecting 1,575 feet of altered rock averaging 0.56% , providing initial evidence of a deposit. The definitive discovery occurred in 1995 when underground hole S27H encountered 141 feet assaying 1.95% and 0.036% , delineating a high-grade hypogene copper- porphyry system and confirming the economic potential of the Resolution deposit. These findings, derived from a combination of surface and targeting fault-controlled targets, established an initial inferred resource of 1,624 million metric tons grading 1.47% and 0.037% , marking the transition from exploratory to resource delineation.

Legislative and Permitting Milestones

The Southeast Arizona Land Exchange and Conservation Act, which authorized the exchange of federal land in the for private parcels to enable mine development, was first introduced in the 111th but failed to pass as standalone legislation. Subsequent versions, including H.R. 1904 in the 112th (2011) and H.R. 687 in the 113th (2013), also stalled despite bipartisan support in committee. The act was ultimately incorporated into the for Fiscal Year 2015 and signed into law by President on December 19, 2014, directing the U.S. Forest Service to convey approximately 2,422 acres of federal land to Resolution Copper Mining LLC in exchange for 5,344 acres of private land designated for conservation. This exchange remains contingent on the completion of environmental permitting and the issuance of a Record of Decision (ROD) by the Forest Service. In parallel with legislative progress, the federal permitting process under the (NEPA) commenced in 2013 when Resolution Copper submitted its Mine Plan of Operations to the U.S. Forest Service, outlining proposed underground mining activities on federal land. The Forest Service initiated a comprehensive environmental review, culminating in the release of a Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) on August 9, 2019, which analyzed potential impacts and mitigation measures after an initial scoping phase and baseline studies. A Final EIS and draft ROD were published on January 15, 2021, proposing approval of the project with required mitigations, but these documents were withdrawn on March 1, 2021, by direction of the U.S. Department of Agriculture for additional review amid administrative changes. Under the second Trump administration, the project received FAST-41 designation in April 2025, establishing timelines for permitting actions to expedite review as a critical minerals initiative. On April 16, 2025, the Forest Service issued a notice of intent to republish the Final EIS and draft within 60 days, initiating a 45-day objection upon release, with full permitting completion projected for 2026 pending resolution of objections and any administrative appeals. As of October 2025, the has not been finalized, delaying land exchange consummation and construction authorization.

Pre-Production Infrastructure

The primary pre-production infrastructure for the Resolution Copper project consists of deep vertical shafts developed to provide access, ventilation, and material handling to the orebody at depths of 5,000 to 7,000 feet (1,500 to 2,130 meters). Shaft No. 10, a 28-foot (8.5-meter) diameter production shaft, was sunk in a single lift to approximately 7,000 feet (2,134 meters), establishing it as the deepest continuous mine shaft in the United States upon completion in 2016. This shaft supports underground development activities, including drilling, geotechnical assessments, and installation of conveyance systems for future panel caving operations. Complementary to Shaft No. 10, the existing No. 9 from the historic was rehabilitated and deepened by an additional 2,000 feet (610 meters) to over 6,800 feet (2,073 meters) total depth, with connections established to Shaft No. 10 at two levels to enhance airflow and emergency egress. This deepening, completed around 2021, utilized raiseboring techniques and integrated legacy infrastructure while addressing groundwater inflows encountered during excavation. Recent enhancements include a 2024 upgrade to the adjacent No. 8 , replacing outdated 480V variable frequency drives to improve power reliability for and pumps. Underground tunneling efforts have focused on exploratory declines and crosscuts from these shafts to delineate the orebody and prepare extraction drawpoints, with the Never Sweat extended several miles to facilitate and material transport from existing workings. These elements represent over $2 billion in cumulative investment as of 2025, primarily directed toward and subsurface preparation without initiating commercial ore .

Legal and Regulatory Framework

Congressional Authorization

The Resolution Copper project requires congressional authorization for a land , as the primary ore body lies beneath approximately 2,422 acres of land within the , including the Oak Flat area, which is subject to federal management restrictions. This would convey the federal parcel to Resolution Copper Mining LLC in return for roughly 5,344 acres of non- land of equivalent value, selected for purposes such as protection and public access. The process is mandated under for certain public lands to ensure , with the conditioned on appraisals, environmental compliance, and tribal consultations. Legislative efforts began in the late , with early bills like S. 409 (introduced in 2009) seeking to direct the Secretary of to facilitate the exchange, but these failed to advance independently. In 2013, H.R. 687, the Southeast Land Exchange and Conservation Act, was introduced to authorize and expedite the swap, requiring Resolution Copper to relinquish claims on adjacent Leap lands and provide replacement parcels, though it did not pass as standalone . Bipartisan negotiations incorporated similar provisions into broader packages, reflecting priorities for domestic amid concerns over foreign supply dependencies. Authorization was ultimately achieved through Section 3003 of the (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2015 (Public Law 113-291), signed by President on December 19, 2014. This provision mandates the land exchange upon completion of required environmental impact statements, resource studies, and other statutory obligations, while prohibiting subsidence impacts on Apache Leap and directing mitigation for cultural resources. The NDAA inclusion followed years of failed standalone attempts, with supporters citing benefits from copper reserves essential for and . As of 2025, the 2014 remains in effect, though the has not been finalized due to ongoing administrative reviews and judicial challenges unrelated to the legislative mandate itself. Attempts to the authorization, such as a 2021 provision in House reconciliation legislation, did not succeed. The law requires the U.S. Forest Service to convey title once preconditions are met, underscoring Congress's directive for the project to proceed under specified safeguards.

Key Litigation and Court Rulings

The primary litigation surrounding the Resolution Copper project has centered on the proposed land exchange of Oak Flat (Chi'chil Bildagoteel), a sacred site to the Western and San Carlos Tribe, authorized by in Section 3003 of the for Fiscal Year 2015 (Public Law 113-291). Multiple lawsuits have challenged the exchange on grounds including violations of the (RFRA), the of the First Amendment, inadequate environmental reviews under the (NEPA), and failures in cultural resource consultations under the (NHPA). These cases, primarily filed by Apache Stronghold (a nonprofit representing Western interests), the San Carlos Tribe, and environmental groups such as the Center for Biological Diversity and Arizona Mining Reform Coalition, have delayed the transfer from federal to private ownership by Resolution Copper Mining LLC, a of Tinto and . In Apache Stronghold v. United States (No. 21-15295, 9th Cir. 2024), the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals affirmed the district court's denial of a preliminary against the land transfer, ruling that the plaintiffs' RFRA and Free Exercise claims failed under the Supreme Court's framework in (1990), as the transfer did not constitute a "substantial burden" on religious exercise where had explicitly mandated the exchange. The court emphasized that judicial deference to legislative action precluded blocking the transfer absent a clear constitutional violation. The U.S. denied on May 27, 2025, effectively upholding the Ninth Circuit's decision and clearing a path for the project, though dissenting opinions from environmental advocates highlighted concerns over the site's irreversible destruction. A subsequent for rehearing was denied on October 6, 2025, marking the second rejection of the case. Parallel challenges by the San Carlos Tribe invoked RFRA and argued that the land exchange desecrates sacred prayer sites, including Ga'an Canyon and Apache Leap. In a related state-level case, San Carlos Apache Tribe v. Arizona Department of (CV-22-0290-PR, Ariz. Sup. Ct. 2024), the Supreme Court on June 27, 2024, upheld the renewal of an Aquifer Protection Permit issued in 2017, finding the tribe's claims of inadequate impact assessments unpersuasive under state , as the permit incorporated federal analyses and mitigation plans. Federally, the tribe's federal lawsuit (consolidated with others) alleged deficient NHPA Section 106 consultations; however, on August 15, 2025, U.S. District Judge Steven P. Logan denied a preliminary in Arizona Mining Reform Coalition v. U.S. Forest Service (No. 2:21-cv-00122-DWL), ruling that the Forest Service lacked discretion to alter the congressionally mandated transfer and that NEPA reviews—spanning over 11 years and thousands of pages—were sufficiently rigorous. Despite these setbacks for opponents, the Ninth Circuit issued an emergency injunction on August 18, 2025, temporarily halting the scheduled land transfer (originally set for August 19, 2025) pending resolution of consolidated appeals from the San Carlos Apache Tribe and environmental plaintiffs, who contended that recent Forest Service final environmental impact statements (released in 2024) omitted critical modeling and cultural details. This ruling paused implementation amid four ongoing federal challenges, underscoring procedural disputes rather than outright invalidation of congressional authorization. Resolution Copper has maintained that the project's independent NEPA process addressed over 80,000 public comments and complies with all statutes, positioning the injunction as a delay attributable to litigation rather than substantive flaws. As of October 2025, the appeals remain pending, with no final disposition on the transfer.

Recent Developments (2024–2025)

In September 2024, Resolution Copper completed a significant upgrade at the historic Mine's 8 Shaft, replacing a 20-year-old 480V to enhance operational reliability and support future development activities. This work, conducted from September 8 to 24, aligned with ongoing pre-production preparations amid protracted permitting delays. Early 2025 saw accelerated federal support for the project under the Trump administration. On , the project was included in the initial wave of critical mineral initiatives prioritized for permitting streamlining. It received FAST-41 designation on April 29, enabling coordinated agency reviews to expedite environmental and operational approvals. On May 27, 2025, the U.S. Supreme Court denied certiorari in Apache Stronghold v. United States, declining to review a Ninth Circuit ruling that the Religious Freedom Restoration Act (RFRA) does not apply to the congressionally authorized land exchange for Oak Flat, as the site's transfer does not substantially burden religious exercise under federal law. Justices Gorsuch and Thomas dissented, arguing the decision overlooked potential free exercise violations. This outcome upheld prior court findings favoring the project despite claims of cultural desecration by Apache groups. Progress continued in June 2025 when U.S. Department of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins announced the U.S. Forest Service's republication of the Final (FEIS) and draft Record of Decision for the project and land exchange. The FEIS, republished to address prior procedural issues, supported underground mining operations while proposing mitigations for surface impacts, paving the way for the mandated land swap of at Oak Flat for private parcels. Resolution Copper welcomed the step, noting it advanced the 2014 congressional authorization under the . Community investments reached $2.87 million in the first quarter alone, building on $4.9 million expended in 2024 for local schools, businesses, and tribal agreements. Legal setbacks emerged in August 2025. On August 19, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals issued an emergency temporary injunction, halting the scheduled land transfer hours before completion, in response to consolidated lawsuits from the San Carlos Apache Tribe alleging violations of religious and environmental protections at Oak Flat. The stay, granting a 60-day window for further hearings, delayed the exchange despite the Court's earlier ruling. of the Interior Secretary criticized the decision on August 29 as unwarranted judicial overreach, urging the court to lift the stay to enable the project, which designated a priority for domestic production. President Trump publicly condemned the ruling, emphasizing its threat to 3,800 and U.S. mineral independence. By October 2025, permitting timelines extended into 2026 per dashboards, with ongoing litigation clouding operational startup projections originally targeting high-grade to meet 25% of U.S. demand. Resolution Copper reported cumulative investments exceeding $2 billion, underscoring commitment amid regulatory hurdles.

Environmental and Cultural Dimensions

Geological and Ecological Impacts

The Resolution Copper deposit constitutes a porphyry copper-molybdenum ore body situated 4,500 to 7,000 feet beneath Oak Flat in the Superior Mining District, Arizona. The proposed panel cave mining technique will induce surface subsidence commencing in mine years 6–7 and persisting for approximately 40 years, resulting in a subsidence crater up to 800–1,115 feet deep across a continuous zone of 1,686 acres and a total affected area of 1,751 acres. This subsidence will permanently alter landforms, slopes, and drainage patterns at Oak Flat, with low risk of significant mine-induced seismicity or structural damage to adjacent features like Apache Leap. Ecological impacts primarily stem from groundwater dewatering required to sustain dry underground operations, entailing the removal of 87,000 to 590,000 acre-feet over the mine life depending on the alternative selected. Predicted drawdowns include up to 228 feet at the Desert Wellfield center under the preferred alternative, affecting the Apache Leap Tuff and shallow aquifers within the Resolution Graben, bounded by fault barriers that limit broader propagation. These reductions will impact 18–20 groundwater-dependent ecosystems (GDEs), including 6–9 springs and riparian habitats along Queen Creek and Devil’s Canyon, potentially drying segments and diminishing flows by 5–19%. Vegetation and wildlife effects include the loss or fragmentation of 151–267 acres of xeroriparian and riparian habitats, alongside disturbance to 9,780–17,000 acres overall from facilities and , favoring species recovery while hindering specialized riparian communities like cottonwood-willow stands. Affected wildlife encompasses 50 special-status , such as the endangered southwestern , western , and northern Mexican gartersnake, with habitat reductions in critical areas but determinations of no likely on their viability. Water quality degradation risks arise from oxidation in mine rock (63.7% acid-generating potential) and seepage, potentially elevating metals like , , and in receiving waters, exceeding standards in post-closure scenarios absent controls.

Cultural Significance to Indigenous Groups

Oak Flat, known to the Western Apache as Chi'ch'il Biłdagoteel, holds profound religious and cultural importance to the San Carlos Tribe and other communities, serving as a site for prayer gatherings, coming-of-age ceremonies, rituals, and the annual Sunrise . Tribal oral traditions describe it as a place of ancestral origins for multiple clans and a long-term residence for people, with evidence of continuous cultural use spanning generations through practices tied to the land's natural features, such as rock formations and water sources essential for ceremonies. The site's significance extends beyond the San Carlos Apache to at least eight other tribes, including the , Yavapai-Apache, and Fort McDowell Yavapai, who recognize Oak Flat as a shared sacred landscape integral to their spiritual practices and identity, often invoking it in broader cosmology as a living entity where human and natural elements interconnect. Resolution Copper acknowledges that portions of the area hold great meaning to some San Carlos Apache members, though emphasizes that not all tribal individuals share the same level of attachment, highlighting internal variations in cultural valuation. Opposition to the mine's development, led by groups like Apache Stronghold, centers on the irreversible destruction of these sites, as the proposed block-cave extraction method would subside the surface into a approximately two miles wide and over 1,000 feet deep, eliminating physical locations for rituals and severing ties to ancestral landscapes that underpin religious freedom claims under the . Tribal leaders, including San Carlos Chairman Terry Rambler, argue that such equates to cultural , with ceremonies like the Sunrise Dance—performed as recently as October 2025—directly threatened by mining activities. While empirical archaeological evidence of pre-contact occupation at Oak Flat is limited due to the site's surface-level ceremonial focus rather than , the cultural claims rest on documented ethnographic records and ongoing practices verified in federal litigation.

Proposed Mitigations and Alternatives

Resolution Copper Mining LLC has proposed several measures to address potential environmental impacts, including drawdown and surface from block cave mining. The project includes a and plan for -dependent ecosystems and wells, which involves baseline assessments, ongoing hydrological , and adaptive management to counteract drawdown effects on riparian areas and wells, with potential remedies such as well deepening or supplemental supplies if thresholds are exceeded. For use, the company plans to consume less than 5 gallons per of copper produced—compared to 10-50 gallons at typical operations—through and efficient processes, while complying with the Clean and state standards. management features dry-stack facilities to minimize loss and seepage, with alternatives like thickened evaluated but deemed less optimal in the (EIS). Cultural and ecological offsets center on the congressionally authorized land exchange, where Resolution Copper would transfer approximately 5,400 acres of private land—valued at over $1 billion, including rare old-growth ponderosa pine forests and recreational parcels—to the U.S. Forest Service in exchange for 2,422 acres of federal land, reduced from an initial larger proposal to limit the affected area around Oak Flat. This exchange is framed as compensatory mitigation for subsidence-induced cratering at Oak Flat, a site of religious significance to groups, though critics from tribes like the San Carlos argue it fails to preserve the site's intact spiritual value. Additional cultural mitigations include tribal consultations under Section 106 of the , preservation of historical mining heritage in the Copper Triangle, and a draft conceptual compensatory mitigation plan outlining habitat restoration and avoidance measures for wetlands under Section 404 permits. The EIS evaluated multiple alternatives to the proposed action, including a no-action alternative that would deny the general plan of operations and halt the land exchange, preserving Oak Flat but forgoing mineral extraction. Action alternatives considered variations in , such as alternative tailings storage facility sites and designs (e.g., in-pit versus remote locations) to reduce visual and hydrological impacts, and different mining technologies, though alternatives to block caving were rejected as technically infeasible or economically unreasonable due to the ore body's depth and . No alternative fully avoided while accessing the deposit, leading to the preferred underground mine plan with integrated mitigations.

Economic and Strategic Value

Resource Reserves and Production Projections

The Resolution Copper deposit, located in central , hosts an estimated mineral resource of 1.787 billion metric tonnes of at an average of 1.5% , containing approximately 27 million metric tonnes of metal. This positions it among the world's largest undeveloped resources, with the deposit extending from depths of 1,500 to 2,130 meters below the surface. is also present as a , though specific resource estimates for it remain limited in public disclosures. Production projections for the proposed block-cave anticipate an output of up to 40 billion pounds (18.1 million tonnes) of over a 40-year operational life, potentially supplying 20-25% of U.S. annual demand during peak years. Initial annual is forecasted to ramp up to around 450,000 tonnes of , based on ore throughput rates of 51,000 to 115,000 tonnes per day at grades exceeding 1.5% . These estimates assume successful permitting and development, with contained valued at roughly $270 billion at current market prices as of 2025. Actual recoverable reserves would require further delineation through feasibility studies and proven economic viability, distinguishing them from the broader inferred and indicated resources currently reported.

Employment and Local Economic Effects

The Resolution Copper project is projected to directly employ approximately 1,500 workers during full operations, including positions with competitive wages averaging over $89,000 annually per employee. These roles would span operations, , , and support functions, drawing primarily from Arizona's skilled labor pool while prioritizing local hiring from communities like Superior and nearby towns. Indirect employment through suppliers, contractors, and induced economic activity is estimated to support an additional 2,000 jobs, yielding a total of around 3,500 positions across the region. Annual wages and benefits from direct operations are forecasted at $134 million, with total compensation including indirect effects reaching $280 million, bolstering household incomes in Pinal and Gila counties. For the town of Superior, a of about 2,800 residents historically reliant on intermittent , the could inject significant stimulus; local businesses anticipate revenue growth from worker spending on , , and services, potentially transforming the area's from stagnation to expansion. Construction phases, if initiated post-permitting, would temporarily create thousands more jobs, peaking at higher levels before stabilizing at operational figures. Fiscal contributions include $88–113 million in annual state and local taxes, funding , schools, and public services in , alongside federal royalties exceeding $200 million yearly from copper production. Community investments by Resolution Copper, totaling $4.9 million in 2024 for , workforce training, and , underscore commitments to local capacity-building, with a 2024 Good Neighbor Agreement formalizing ongoing support for regional growth. Over the mine's 60-year lifespan, cumulative economic output for could reach $61 billion, though these figures represent proponent estimates contingent on regulatory approval and market conditions.

Broader Implications for U.S. Supply Security

The relies on imports for approximately 45% of its annual consumption, with refined imports reaching 810,000 tonnes in 2024, valued at around $10 billion, amid rising demand from , , and applications. 's designation as a critical mineral by the U.S. Geological Survey in the draft 2025 list underscores its role in , as it is essential for manufacturing technologies, electric vehicles, power grids, and semiconductors, where supply disruptions from foreign sources—primarily , , and —pose risks exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and China's dominance in refining. The Resolution Copper project, holding an estimated 1.7 billion metric tons of ore containing up to 28 million metric tons of reserves, has the potential to produce 400,000 tons annually, meeting about 25% of U.S. demand and positioning it as one of North America's largest producers if developed. This domestic output would enhance , reducing vulnerability to import tariffs, export restrictions, and global market volatility, as evidenced by recent U.S. policy moves like proposed 50% tariffs on imports starting August 2025 to bolster home production. Delays in permitting and litigation for Resolution Copper threaten to widen the U.S. copper gap, with projections indicating net import reliance could exceed 60% by 2035 without expanded domestic , potentially constraining projects and readiness. Successful advancement aligns with strategies to secure critical minerals, as articulated by of the Interior officials emphasizing the project's role in and economic competitiveness over the next 50 years.

Current Status and Future Outlook

Operational Preparations

Resolution Copper Mining LLC, a between Rio Tinto (55%) and (45%), has advanced several preparatory measures for the proposed underground block-cave mine near , pending federal approvals. These include infrastructure enhancements at legacy sites to support eventual shaft access and ventilation systems critical for deep-level mining operations. In September 2024, the company completed a significant upgrade at the historic Magma Mine's No. 8 Shaft, replacing a 20-year-old 480V with modern equipment to improve reliability for potential future use in ore handling and . Permitting remains the primary bottleneck, with the project designated under the FAST-41 permitting improvement process to streamline federal reviews. The U.S. Forest Service republished the Final in June 2025, incorporating tribal consultations and addressing land exchange requirements for surface access on lands. As of August 2025, proponents anticipate full federal permits by February 2026, enabling construction to commence potentially in 2027, though legal challenges from indigenous groups and environmental advocates could extend timelines. Technical preparations emphasize the block-caving extraction method, which requires pre-conditioning of the orebody through extensive drilling and hydraulic fracturing to induce controlled cave-ins. Rio Tinto allocated $302 million in 2019 for exploratory development, including tunnel advancements and geotechnical testing to validate cave propagation models and mitigate risks like seismic events. Ongoing efforts also involve hydrological modeling for management, as the mine's depth—exceeding 2,000 meters—necessitates pumping systems to handle inflows estimated at up to 20,000 gallons per minute. Workforce and supply chain readiness includes for training programs, with projections for 3,700 construction jobs transitioning to 1,500 operational roles upon startup. The company has secured reuse of the disturbed mine footprint for processing facilities, minimizing new surface disturbance while preparing storage via in-pit deposition at the adjacent historic open . These steps align with U.S. critical minerals strategy, but actual operational commencement hinges on resolving land exchange disputes and obtaining a Record of Decision from the Forest Service, anticipated post-2025.

Ongoing Challenges and Pathways Forward

The Resolution Copper project faces persistent legal obstacles, primarily stemming from lawsuits by Apache Stronghold and affiliated indigenous groups challenging the land exchange of Oak Flat, a site sacred to the San Carlos Apache Tribe known as Chí'chil Biłdagoteel. On August 18, 2025, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals issued an emergency injunction halting the transfer of over 2,400 acres of federal land to Rio Tinto and BHP, preventing mine development until further review. Apache Stronghold has sought en banc rehearing to overturn prior panel decisions upholding the exchange under the Religious Freedom Restoration Act, arguing irreversible cultural desecration from subsidence caused by block cave mining. These disputes, ongoing since 2021, have delayed final permitting despite the U.S. Forest Service completing its environmental impact statement review and tribal consultations by early 2025. Environmental and resource concerns compound the litigation, with critics highlighting projected groundwater drawdown exceeding 250 billion gallons over the mine's 40-year life, potentially impacting aquifers and ecosystems in the . Regulatory scrutiny persists under the , even after the project's inclusion in the FAST-41 permitting acceleration program in April 2025, which aims to streamline timelines but has not resolved judicial blocks. Opposition from environmental coalitions emphasizes risks to and in arid , contrasting with proponent claims of advanced tailings management and reclamation plans. Pathways forward hinge on judicial and executive actions, with Rio Tinto expressing optimism for expedited approvals under the administration's pro- policies, including directives to fast-track 10 critical mineral projects announced in April 2025. Resolution of the 9th Circuit's review or potential U.S. intervention could unlock the land , building on the Court's May 2025 denial of an earlier while leaving broader RFRA claims unresolved. The , having invested over $2 billion to date, continues exploratory and infrastructure work, such as electrical upgrades completed in October 2025, positioning for operations if permits issue. Enhanced tribal engagement and mitigation commitments, including land protections elsewhere, remain proposed to address cultural concerns, though acceptance varies among factions. Full production, projected to yield up to 40% of U.S. demand, awaits clearance of these intertwined legal, regulatory, and stakeholder barriers.

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