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Public

Public is an American company and mobile brokerage platform founded in 2019 by Leif Abraham and Jannick Malling, headquartered in , that facilitates commission-free trading of , exchange-traded funds (ETFs), options, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and alternative assets through a user-friendly app interface. The platform initially distinguished itself by integrating social features, enabling users to follow other investors, share rationales for trades, and engage in discussions to democratize access to market insights traditionally reserved for professional networks. Public has expanded offerings to include individual retirement accounts (IRAs) with contribution matching, high-yield cash accounts, and trading capabilities, attracting over a million users by emphasizing fractional share ownership and multi-asset portfolio building for novice to intermediate investors. In June 2025, the company terminated its core functionalities amid regulatory and operational shifts, refocusing on core brokerage services while retaining elements through creator partnerships and educational content. Despite praise for its intuitive design and broad asset access, Public has drawn criticism for limited advanced research tools compared to established competitors and occasional user reports of execution delays during high-volatility periods.

Etymology and Historical Origins

Linguistic Roots and Early Usage

The English word public derives from the Latin adjective pūblicus (feminine pūblica, neuter pūblicum), which meant "belonging to the people or state," "common," or "official," and was contracted from earlier Old Latin poplicus, rooted in poplus (later populus, denoting "the people" or "populace"). This etymon emphasized communal or state ownership, as opposed to private (privatus), reflecting Roman conceptions of res publica as matters concerning the collective populus Romanus. In classical Latin usage, pūblicus applied to institutions, funds, and spaces accessible or administered for the community's benefit, such as aerarium publicum (public treasury) or locus publicus (public place). The term entered Old French as public or publique by the late medieval period, retaining connotations of openness to the general populace or state affairs, before being borrowed into Middle English around the late 14th century. The Oxford English Dictionary records the earliest attested use in 1394, in the sense of something "generally observable" or relating to the broader community, while Etymonline dates adjectival forms like "of or pertaining to the people at large" to the early 15th century and extensions to "public affairs" by the late 15th century. Initial English applications often mirrored Latin and French precedents, describing matters open to scrutiny or collective interest, as in references to public worship, roads, or assemblies, distinguishing them from private domains. By the 15th and 16th centuries, public expanded in English to encompass nominal uses for "the public" as a collective body, with adverbial forms like publicly appearing by 1534 to denote actions performed openly or by communal . This early semantic range prioritized empirical and involvement over abstract ideals, aligning with historical contexts where "public" denoted tangible communal resources amid feudal transitions toward centralized . Spelling variants like publike or publick persisted into the , gradually standardizing to modern public as and standardized vernacular usage.

Evolution Through Classical and Medieval Periods

In classical Latin, the adjective publicus (earlier attested as poplicus), rooted in populus denoting the Roman people, signified that which belonged to or concerned the collective citizen body, in opposition to privatus for individual or household matters. This usage underpinned res publica, the "public affair" or commonwealth, a term Cicero employed extensively in works like De Re Publica (c. 51 BC) to describe the Roman Republic's shared governance, institutions, and welfare of the populus Romanus. Public spaces such as forums and temples embodied this, serving as venues for assemblies, legal proceedings, and communal rituals, while publicum as a noun referred to state-held property or revenues. Roman law formalized distinctions via ius publicum, governing relations between the state and citizens, including administration of ager publicus—conquered lands owned collectively and often leased or allotted, as reformed by the Licinian-Sextian laws in 367 BC and Gracchan legislation in 133 BC to mitigate elite concentration. Under the Empire, Augustus established the cursus publicus in 27 BC, a state-maintained relay network of roads, stations, and mounts for official dispatches, exemplifying publicus as imperial administrative infrastructure sustained through taxation until the 4th century AD. The term's connotation narrowed somewhat, associating publicus more with emperor-centric authority than republican citizen participation, as seen in legal texts like the Digest of Justinian (533 AD). In , publicus endured in , , and chronicles, but its republican resonance diminished amid feudal , where authority fragmented into private lordships and ecclesiastical domains. Carolingian capitularies under (c. 802 AD) invoked publica to assert oversight of and coinage against local autonomies, reviving models. Gratian's Decretum (c. 1140) applied it to distinguish public offices from private benefices, emphasizing communal ecclesiastical order. Yet, with the Empire's structure, publicus increasingly denoted or prerogatives versus holdings, as in Otto I's privileges (962 AD), reflecting a of legacy and Germanic customs rather than a unified . The remnants influenced early papal and monastic networks, but vernacular equivalents like public began emerging by the 12th century, signaling linguistic transition.

Definitions and Conceptual Distinctions

Primary Definitions as Noun and Adjective

As a noun, "public" primarily refers to the at large or the general populace, encompassing the collective body of individuals in a or . This sense traces to Latin publicus, denoting matters "of the " or , entering English via around 1300. It can also denote a specific segment of sharing interests, such as an targeted by or , as in "the reading public." Less commonly, it indicates a space open to common access, though this usage often appears in phrases like "in ." As an adjective, "public" describes that which pertains to, affects, or involves the people as a whole, rather than individuals or entities. Core senses include openness to general observation or participation, as in public forums or records; association with or functions, such as or ; and provision for communal benefit, exemplified by public utilities funded through taxation or shared resources. It contrasts with by emphasizing accessibility and , originating from the same Latin root implying or popular orientation. These definitions underpin broader conceptual uses in , , and , where "public" implies non-exclusivity and orientation toward societal .

Public Versus Private Dichotomy

The public-private dichotomy delineates realms of collective versus individual concern, with the encompassing matters oriented toward the , societal oversight, or state involvement, while the domain pertains to personal , restricted access, or individual ownership. This distinction traces to foundational contrasts in Western thought, where public affairs involve impartial rules and collective deliberation, contrasted with private spheres of intimate relations and . In political and , the facilitates rational-critical debate among citizens on issues affecting the , such as and policy, whereas the encompasses familial, economic, and personal activities shielded from collective scrutiny to preserve . This separation emerged prominently in Enlightenment-era , positing that public life adheres to universal norms of and rationality, while private life allows for particularistic freedoms, though boundaries have shifted with state expansion into areas like and . Critics argue that rigid dichotomies overlook how private actions, such as economic transactions, generate public externalities requiring intervention, challenging the assumption of neat compartmentalization. Economically, the dichotomy manifests in the provision of goods: public goods, like national defense, are non-excludable and non-rivalrous, necessitating collective funding to avoid free-rider problems, in contrast to private goods allocated via market exchanges based on individual preferences and property rights. theory highlights failures in this divide, as bureaucratic incentives in the can mimic private self-interest, leading to inefficiencies like , evidenced by empirical studies showing government spending growth outpacing private sector productivity gains since the mid-20th century. Legally, governs state-citizen relations through constitutional and administrative frameworks enforcing collective obligations, such as taxation and , while regulates interpersonal disputes via contracts and torts rooted in voluntary agreements. This bifurcation supports rule-of- principles by limiting state intrusion into consensual private dealings, though modern doctrines like regulatory takings illustrate tensions, where public interests in justify overriding claims, as upheld in U.S. precedents since the 1920s. The dichotomy's application remains contested in areas like data , where private corporate handling of information intersects with public demands for and .

Philosophical Foundations

Ancient Greek and Roman Conceptions

In , the public realm was embodied in the polis, the conceived as a natural association prior to the individual and oriented toward the . , in his , posited that humans are political animals whose —complete flourishing or —is realized only within the polis, which exists not merely for survival but for the virtuous life shared by citizens. The (koinon agathon) demanded that political constitutions promote the advantage of the whole community rather than factional or private interests, with justice requiring rulers to legislate for collective happiness rather than self-enrichment. This public orientation subordinated private pursuits, such as those in the household (), which handled daily necessities like but lacked the capacity for ethical and development inherent in civic participation. Citizenship in the was defined by active involvement in public and , enabling the exercise of reason () and the pursuit of excellence (), which private life alone could not achieve. emphasized that the polis comprises free men capable of ruling and being ruled in turn, excluding slaves, women, and laborers from full public roles due to their perceived focus on necessity over leisure for virtue. Public and laws were thus communal instruments to cultivate habits aligning individual actions with the collective , ensuring self-sufficiency and stability. Plato's similarly prioritized the public guardians' role in harmonizing the state for , though critiqued its communal property schemes as undermining household incentives necessary for public sustenance. Roman conceptions of the public centered on , literally "public thing" or "affair of the people" (res populi), denoting the communal property, institutions, and governance shared by citizens rather than any single ruler's domain. , drawing on Greek influences in (c. 51 BCE), defined the res publica as "the property of the people," a multitude associated by consensus on () and mutual advantage (utilitas), where public welfare supersedes private ambition. He advocated a mixed —blending , , and —to balance powers and prevent dominance by any class, ensuring the res publica served the common utility through virtuous leadership and legal equity. In Roman thought, public law (ius publicum) governed relations between state and citizens, distinct from private law (ius privatum) over individual contracts, reflecting a pragmatic distinction where magistrates and the Senate administered communal resources like temples and roads for collective defense and prosperity. Cicero stressed citizens' duties to safeguard the res publica via pietas (devotion to community) and oratory in forums, viewing public opinion and assemblies as mechanisms to align elite actions with popular interests, though elite optimization often tempered pure democratic impulses. This framework influenced later republican ideals, emphasizing public virtue (virtus publica) over personal gain, as seen in Cicero's execution of conspirators like Catiline in 63 BCE to preserve communal stability.

Enlightenment Thinkers and the Emergence of Public Reason

The , spanning roughly the late 17th to late 18th centuries, marked a pivotal shift toward prioritizing rational inquiry over traditional authority, religious , and monarchical fiat in matters of governance and social organization. Thinkers like laid groundwork by arguing that legitimate political authority derives from the rational consent of individuals, as outlined in his (1689), where government exists to protect natural rights to life, liberty, and property, with power reverting to the people if rulers violate this rational compact. Locke's (1689) further emphasized reason as the primary tool for discerning truth, subordinating revelation to rational scrutiny and rejecting innate ideas in favor of , thereby elevating public discourse grounded in observable facts over unsubstantiated claims. Immanuel Kant crystallized the concept of public reason in his 1784 essay "An Answer to the Question: What is ?", defining as humanity's emergence from self-imposed immaturity—the inability to use one's own reason without external guidance. Kant distinguished between the private use of reason, restricted by one's professional or civic duties (e.g., a officer obeying orders or a clergyman adhering to doctrinal limits), and the public use of reason, which demands unrestricted freedom when addressing the broader reading public as a scholar or citizen. He asserted that "the public use of one's reason must always be free, and it alone can bring about among men," positioning it as essential for societal progress, while private uses could remain constrained to maintain order. This framework privileged rational arguments accessible to all rational beings, excluding appeals to private faith or , and influenced subsequent ideas of deliberative legitimacy in pluralistic societies. Jean-Jacques Rousseau complemented these ideas in The Social Contract (1762), positing the "general will" as the collective rational expression of the public , distinct from mere aggregation of private interests, where citizens deliberate as equals to discern laws aligned with rather than factional whims. Unlike Locke's , Rousseau's conception emphasized and direct participation, warning against corruption by partial associations that undermine public rationality. These formulations—rooted in Lockean , Kantian , and Rousseauian generality—emerged amid institutional critiques, such as voluntary associations like coffeehouses and salons fostering rational debate, laying causal foundations for modern notions of public justification independent of esoteric or coercive sources. Empirical historical data, including the proliferation of periodicals from 200 titles in 1700 to over 1,000 by 1780 in alone, underscores how these ideas facilitated broader dissemination of reasoned arguments.

Theoretical Developments in Sociology and Politics

The Public Sphere in Habermas and Critiques

Jürgen introduced the concept of the bourgeois in his 1962 work The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere: An Inquiry into a Category of Bourgeois Society, tracing its emergence in 18th-century , particularly in , , and , where private individuals engaged in rational-critical debate on matters of general interest to form capable of legitimizing or critiquing . This sphere operated through institutions like coffeehouses, salons, and voluntary associations, supported by the expansion of print media such as newspapers and journals, which facilitated discussion abstracted from status hierarchies and oriented toward rational argument rather than mere opinion exchange. argued that this model represented an ideal of , where participants bracketed private interests to pursue consensus on the basis of the "unforced force of the better argument," thereby constituting a counterweight to absolutist rule and fostering democratic legitimacy. Habermas posited a structural decline of this public sphere in the 19th and 20th centuries, attributing it to the rise of mass media, commercialized culture industries, and the interventionist welfare state, which ref feudalized publicity by replacing critical debate with staged consensus and administrative manipulation, as seen in the integration of public relations techniques and propaganda during the interwar period. He contended that this transformation eroded the autonomy of public opinion, substituting plebiscitary mass democracy for genuine deliberative processes, evidenced by the shift from argumentative periodicals to entertainment-oriented media by the early 20th century. Critiques of Habermas's framework highlight its exclusionary character, noting that the historical bourgeois primarily involved propertied white males, systematically marginalizing women, laborers, and non-Europeans, as feminist scholars like have argued in proposing "subaltern counterpublics" to account for parallel spheres of contestation by excluded groups. Empirical analyses question the idealization of rationality, pointing to evidence that even 18th-century discussions were influenced by economic interests and rhetorical strategies rather than pure argumentation, with studies of culture revealing persistent class-based deference rather than egalitarian . Further criticisms address methodological limitations, such as Habermas's Eurocentric focus, which overlooks non-Western public formations and overstates the of the bourgeois model, while postmodern thinkers challenge the universalist assumption of as a veiled bias ignoring power embedded in itself. Contemporary evaluations, including those examining , argue that Habermas underestimates fragmentation and algorithmic curation, which exacerbate rather than revive deliberative ideals, as evidenced by surveys showing declining trust in and rising echo chambers since the . Despite these, Habermas later refined his theory in works like Between Facts and Norms (1992), integrating to address pluralism without abandoning the public sphere's normative core.

Public Opinion Formation and Measurement

Public opinion forms through a combination of interpersonal communication, media exposure, and social pressures, rather than isolated rational deliberation among the masses. Empirical studies indicate that much opinion formation occurs via a "two-step flow" model, where influential opinion leaders—often elites or local figures—filter and interpret information before disseminating it to broader audiences, as observed in Paul Lazarsfeld's 1940s analyses of election campaigns showing limited direct media effects on voters. This process underscores elite mediation, with subsequent research confirming that cues from political elites can shift public attitudes even among informed citizens, as demonstrated in experiments where partisan elite endorsements altered policy preferences by 5-10 percentage points. Social dynamics further amplify prevailing views through mechanisms like Elisabeth Noelle-Neumann's theory, proposed in 1974, which posits that individuals self-censor minority opinions due to perceived fear of , leading to a feedback loop where dominant sentiments appear stronger over time. Laboratory and field experiments support this, revealing that people overestimate majority support by up to 20% and adjust expressions accordingly, particularly on controversial issues like or . Media plays a reinforcing role, with quantitative analyses of large-scale datasets showing that shifts in news coverage salience can alter public perceptions of issue importance by correlating opinion trends with media volume, though causation is mediated by elite framing rather than raw exposure. In the digital era, algorithmic curation on platforms exacerbates these effects, as feeds prioritize engaging content, fostering echo chambers and bandwagon tendencies where users conform to visible signals. A study of opinion dynamics found that success-driven strategies in networked interactions lead to polarized clusters, with empirical simulations matching real-world data on rapid opinion cascades during events like the 2016 U.S. election. Critiques from realist perspectives emphasize that formation often reflects dominance and irrational heuristics over deliberative reason, with from panel surveys indicating low stability in individual opinions—fluctuating 15-30% over months absent elite cues—challenging assumptions of a coherent, autonomous public. Measurement of primarily relies on sample surveys using random probability sampling to estimate population parameters, with organizations like employing and panels to achieve margins of error around ±3% for national samples of 1,000-2,000 respondents. Scientific polling involves to correct for demographics, question wording to minimize , and for non-response, which averaged 80-90% refusal rates in recent U.S. surveys, necessitating adjustments that introduce uncertainty. Accuracy varies, with aggregate pre-election polls correctly predicting outcomes within 2-4 points in 70-80% of U.S. races from 1952-2016, but systematic errors emerged in 2016 and 2020, underestimating support for certain candidates by 3-5 points due to failures in capturing non-respondents like low-propensity voters. Critiques highlight methodological flaws, including social desirability bias—where respondents overstate socially approved views by 5-10% on sensitive topics—and herding among pollsters chasing consensus forecasts, as seen in clustered errors during Brexit polling in 2016. Alternative measures like market indicators or behavioral data (e.g., donation patterns) sometimes outperform polls for predicting turnout, revealing limitations in self-reported attitudes that correlate only modestly (r=0.4-0.6) with actions. Despite these, rigorous polls remain the most reliable snapshot when transparently reported, though they risk retroactively shaping opinion via publicized results, as Gallup polls influenced voter turnout perceptions in 1944 by amplifying perceived majorities.

Economic Dimensions

Public Goods and Tragedy of the Commons

Public goods are commodities characterized by two properties: non-excludability, where it is infeasible to prevent individuals from benefiting regardless of payment, and non-rivalry, where one person's consumption does not reduce availability for others. This framework was formalized by in his 1954 article "The Pure Theory of Public Expenditure," distinguishing public goods from private goods and highlighting their inefficient market provision. Classic examples include national defense, where protection extends uniformly to all citizens without rivalry, and lighthouses, which guide ships indiscriminately. The emerges as rational actors withhold contributions, anticipating benefits from others' payments, resulting in underproduction relative to socially optimal levels. Optimal provision requires the sum of individuals' marginal benefits to equal , often necessitating coercive taxation to internalize these externalities, though empirical studies indicate supply can suffer from bureaucratic inefficiencies and misallocation. The addresses common-pool resources, which are non-excludable but rivalrous, meaning use by one depletes availability for others. introduced the concept in his 1968 article, using a of herders a : each adds to maximize personal gain, collectively overgrazing until ruin. This dynamic stems from open access incentivizing short-term exploitation over long-term , as no individual bears the full cost of depletion. Historical cases include the collapse of Newfoundland's Grand Banks cod fishery by 1992, where unrestricted harvesting reduced stocks from millions of tons to near extinction despite known limits. Similarly, overexploitation of in led to populations dropping below 10% of historical levels by the early 2000s, prompting international quotas. Addressing these failures involves establishing property rights or regulations to curb free-riding and overuse. For public goods, voluntary mechanisms like assurance contracts occasionally succeed in small groups, but scale favors state intervention, as evidenced by U.S. defense spending exceeding $800 billion in 2023 to provide . For commons, —such as individual transferable quotas in fisheries—has restored stocks, with Iceland's system increasing cod biomass by over 50% since 1995 implementation. Elinor Ostrom's Nobel-recognized research () demonstrates successful community governance in small-scale through rules like rotational use, though Hardin argued such arrangements falter without enforced in large populations. Empirical data from global fisheries show property-based approaches outperforming , with privatized systems yielding sustainable yields 2-3 times higher than unregulated ones.

Public Choice Theory and Government Failures

Public choice theory applies the tools of microeconomics to the study of political decision-making, treating government actors—politicians, bureaucrats, and voters—as rational, self-interested individuals rather than benevolent stewards of the public good. Originating in the mid-20th century, the framework was formalized by economists James M. Buchanan and Gordon Tullock in their 1962 book The Calculus of Consent: Logical Foundations of Constitutional Democracy, which analyzes how constitutional rules aggregate individual preferences into collective outcomes. Buchanan, awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1986 for his contributions, characterized the approach as "politics without romance," challenging the presumption that political processes inherently serve societal welfare. This perspective emphasizes methodological individualism, where all social phenomena, including policy failures, result from individuals pursuing utility maximization amid institutional constraints. Central to public choice is the recognition that incentives in political markets differ from competitive private markets, often leading to inefficiencies. Voters face high information costs and diffuse costs from policies, while politicians prioritize reelection through targeted benefits to organized groups, as modeled in Anthony Downs's 1957 , where candidates converge on the preferences of the pivotal voter to minimize vote losses. Bureaucrats, per William Niskanen's 1971 model, expand agency budgets to maximize personal utility, unconstrained by profit motives or market discipline. —mutual vote-trading among legislators—further distorts outcomes, as seen in U.S. congressional appropriations where members exchange support for district-specific projects. These dynamics explain why governments frequently allocate resources suboptimally, with concentrated benefits (e.g., subsidies to specific industries) imposed on broadly dispersed taxpayers. Government failures, as analyzed through , encompass both substantive shortcomings, such as inability to correct failures due to fiscal (where voters underestimate costs), and procedural flaws like agenda manipulation or veto-point exploitation that favor incumbents. , a concept pioneered by Tullock in 1967, illustrates resource dissipation as lobbyists expend real costs (e.g., campaign contributions totaling $3.5 billion in the 2020 U.S. federal elections) to secure artificial transfers like tariffs or grants, yielding no net social gain. Pork-barrel spending exemplifies this, with U.S. federal earmarks peaking at over 15,000 annually before a 2011 moratorium, often funding low-priority local infrastructure at national expense. , theorized by in 1971, occurs when agencies prioritize regulated firms' interests, as evidenced by the Interstate Commerce Commission's historical favoritism toward railroads over shippers through rate-setting that stifled competition. Empirical studies, including cross-national analyses of budget growth, confirm that bureaucratic expansion correlates with electoral cycles and interest-group density rather than efficiency needs, underscoring public choice's predictive power over idealized public-interest models.

Role in Democratic Theory

Pluralism Versus Elite Rule

In democratic theory, asserts that power is distributed across competing interest groups, allowing the public to exert influence through organized advocacy and electoral competition, thereby checking elite dominance. Proponents, including in his 1961 study of New Haven politics, argued that no single group monopolizes decision-making; instead, policies emerge from bargaining among diverse coalitions with multiple access points to . Dahl's empirical observations showed shifting alliances among business, labor, and community groups, supporting the view that democratic responsiveness arises from polycentric competition rather than centralized control. Elite rule theory, conversely, maintains that a small, interconnected cadre—often drawn from corporate executives, military officials, and high-level politicians—effectively governs, rendering public input symbolic or subordinate. C. Wright Mills, in The Power Elite (1956), described this as a unified stratum that interlocks through shared institutions like elite universities and boards, deciding national policy on war, economy, and welfare while the broader public remains passive or manipulated via mass media. Mills critiqued pluralism as overlooking structural inequalities, noting that elite cohesion, forged in crises like World War II, overrides fragmented group competition; for instance, he cited the military-industrial complex's sway over foreign policy, where public opinion trails elite consensus. The debate hinges on empirical tests of influence. Pluralist models predict policy alignment with broad public preferences when groups mobilize effectively, yet studies reveal asymmetries favoring resource-rich actors. Martin Gilens and Benjamin Page's 2014 analysis of 1,779 U.S. policy issues from 1981 to 2002 found that economic elites' preferences predicted outcomes with high (r ≈ 0.75), while average citizens' views showed negligible impact (r ≈ 0.00) unless aligned with elites or business groups. This evidence bolsters "biased pluralism," where organized interests filter public input selectively, over majoritarian or egalitarian variants. Further, data on expenditures—$3.4 billion in 2022 alone—underscore how affluent groups outspend mass-based ones, correlating with favorable like tax cuts post-2017. Critiques of pluralism highlight its underestimation of causal barriers, such as information asymmetries and , which amplify elite leverage; himself later acknowledged inequalities in On Democracy (1998), though he retained optimism for institutional reforms. faces challenges in proving intentional versus emergent coordination, but patterns like revolving doors—over 400 former U.S. officials joining firms since 2000—suggest structural affinity over 's dispersed power. Overall, while idealizes public agency through aggregation, evidence tilts toward elite predominance, tempered by occasional veto points where mobilized publics constrain but rarely initiate policy.

Empirical Evidence on Public Influence in Policy

A seminal empirical analysis by Martin Gilens and Benjamin I. Page examined 1,779 proposed policy changes from to 2002, drawing on surveys and records of enacted policies. Their multivariate regression models, controlling for factors such as interest group advocacy and public mood, revealed that the preferences of economic elites—defined as the top 10% of income earners—exerted a statistically significant positive influence on policy outcomes, with an of approximately 1.15 for each unit increase in elite support for a policy. In contrast, the influence of average citizens, represented by the preferences of the median-income 50th percentile, was statistically indistinguishable from zero across the dataset, even when mass-based interest groups aligned with . Organized business interest groups also demonstrated substantial independent effects, supporting theories of biased pluralism where policy responsiveness favors affluent and organized actors over unorganized publics. Gilens' earlier work further illuminated income-based disparities in democratic responsiveness, analyzing over 1,000 cases from to 2002. Policy enactment closely tracked the views of high-income respondents (90th ) regardless of broader public support, with responsiveness to lower-income groups declining markedly during periods of rising , such as the and . For instance, when affluent Americans favored a policy opposed by the poor, rates were high; the reverse yielded near-zero responsiveness. These patterns persisted across domains, including economic and , suggesting causal pathways through contributions, , and networks rather than direct public pressure. Extensions and replications have reinforced these findings while highlighting nuances. A 2020 study by Gilens and co-authors on policy signals confirmed that affluent opinions predict congressional agendas and outcomes more reliably than median public views, with average citizens' input mattering primarily when congruent with elite preferences. International comparisons, such as those in , show modestly higher public responsiveness in systems—e.g., a 0.4 to 0.6 correlation between opinion and policy change in and from 1985 to 2000—but still attenuated effects for non-elite groups, often overridden by organized interests. Critiques, including those questioning methods, have not overturned the core result of elite dominance; for example, reanalyses accounting for opinion volatility still yield near-zero coefficients for mass influence in the U.S. context. Collectively, this body of evidence challenges pluralist models positing broad public efficacy, indicating instead that tracks sporadically, chiefly when mobilized by crises or aligned with powerful actors.

Criticisms and Realist Perspectives

Idealization of the Public and Rationality Assumptions

Democratic theories, particularly those rooted in ideals and elaborated in works like Jürgen Habermas's concept of the , posit the public as a of rational individuals capable of deliberating on common interests through informed and selecting representatives accordingly. This view assumes citizens possess or can acquire the knowledge necessary to evaluate complex policies, prioritize goods over personal biases, and resist manipulation. However, such assumptions idealize human cognition and motivation, ignoring constraints like information costs and psychological limitations. Early critiques exposed these flaws. , in (1922), argued that the public cannot directly apprehend the world's complexity, relying instead on mediated "pseudo-environments" shaped by stereotypes, news, and personal experience, which distort rational assessment. Lippmann maintained that this gap necessitates expert intermediaries to interpret reality for governance, as the "omnicompetent citizen" is a unsupported by how humans process distant events. Similarly, in (1942) rejected the classical doctrine's portrayal of voters as engaged consumers rationally debating issues, observing that most citizens exhibit apathy, emotional responses, and diminished intellectual capacity in , reducing democracy to passive endorsement of proposals rather than sovereign deliberation. Empirical research reinforces these realist perspectives. Anthony Downs's economic model of democracy (1957) introduced , where individuals forgo political information because a single vote's marginal impact is negligible compared to acquisition costs, leading to widespread uninformedness. Surveys, such as those from the American National Election Studies, consistently show low knowledge levels: for example, substantial portions of respondents fail to identify basic political facts, like the number of justices or key policy positions of candidates. extends this in The Myth of the Rational Voter (2007), documenting not mere ignorance but systematic biases—such as anti-foreign, anti-market, and make-work fallacies—where public views deviate predictably from economic expertise, driven by "": voters indulge comforting errors at low personal cost. These patterns suggest the idealized rational public underestimates cognitive shortcuts and incentives for bias, contributing to policy distortions like excessive regulation or .

Manipulation, Irrationality, and Elite Dominance

Realist analyses contend that public opinion is frequently shaped by deliberate manipulation from media and political actors, who exploit framing effects and elite cues to align mass preferences with established interests. Experimental research demonstrates that impersonal communications from political elites and policy stakeholders can directly alter individual attitudes on specific issues, with effects persisting even in controlled settings where participants lack prior strong views. Similarly, organized campaigns on social media, documented in 81 countries as of 2020, involve state and partisan actors deploying disinformation at industrial scale to suppress opposition and bolster regime support, often amplifying echo chambers that distort collective deliberation. Empirical studies underscore the inherent in , marked by , inconsistency, and to cognitive biases rather than stable rational processing. agendas exhibit high flux, with issue salience shifting abruptly due to priming rather than underlying causal changes, as measured across longitudinal polls in multiple democracies. This instability aligns with behavioral findings that individuals rely on heuristics like and anchoring, leading to herd-like responses in surveys; for example, aggregate on economic policies often correlates more with recent framing than objective indicators. Such patterns indicate that publics operate with limited information depth, rendering them prone to bandwagon effects and short-term perturbations over principled evaluation. Elite dominance further erodes public agency, as policy outcomes systematically favor affluent interests over median citizen preferences. In a comprehensive dataset of 1,779 U.S. policy proposals from 1981 to 2002, multivariate regression revealed that economic elites' support predicted adoption with statistical significance, while average citizens exerted negligible independent influence—near-zero when elite views were controlled for—supporting oligarchic rather than pluralistic models. C. Wright Mills's framework posits a coordinated "power elite" of interlocking corporate, military, and executive leaders who orchestrate national decisions, treating the public as a passive mass apparatus rather than a deliberative force; this structure persists through institutional channels like lobbying and appointments, insulating policy from mass inputs. These findings, drawn from quantitative policy tracing and network analysis, highlight causal pathways of concentrated influence, challenging assumptions of responsive democracy while acknowledging methodological debates over data aggregation in elite studies.

Contemporary Manifestations and Challenges

Digital Publics and Social Media Fragmentation

The concept of publics refers to networked communities where individuals engage in collective discourse, deliberation, and opinion formation, often approximating aspects of Jürgen Habermas's but mediated by platforms like (now X), , and . These spaces emerged prominently in the early with the widespread adoption of , enabling rapid information sharing and mobilization, as seen in movements like the Arab Spring starting in December 2010. However, unlike traditional that fostered broader exposure to diverse viewpoints, digital platforms prioritize user engagement through algorithmic recommendations, which amplify content aligning with users' past interactions. Social media fragmentation manifests through mechanisms such as filter bubbles—personalized content feeds that limit exposure to opposing views—and echo chambers, where homogeneous networks reinforce preexisting beliefs via selective sharing and . Algorithms on platforms like and exacerbate this by optimizing for metrics like likes and shares, which favor emotionally charged or confirmatory material; a 2021 analysis found that 's structure promotes denser ideological clustering than 's, leading to more isolated opinion communities. User-driven factors, including self-selection into ideological groups, compound this: a 2022 survey indicated that 64% of U.S. adults obtain news from , with conservatives and liberals reporting markedly different sources and trust levels. Empirical studies, such as a 2023 examination of data during global debates on and , revealed that ideological alignment drives agenda-setting, with polarized clusters dominating 70-80% of high-engagement conversations. Evidence on the extent of fragmentation remains mixed, with some research challenging pervasive narratives. A 2022 Reuters Institute literature review of over 100 studies concluded that while selective exposure exists, cross-ideological interactions occur more frequently than assumed, particularly on platforms with public timelines; for instance, only 20-30% of users in analyzed networks were fully insulated from counter-attitudinal content. Nonetheless, longitudinal data from 2020-2023 U.S. election cycles show correlating with heightened affective , where partisan animus rose by 10-15 percentage points among heavy users, per panel surveys tracking sentiment shifts. Platforms' policies, often criticized for inconsistent enforcement favoring certain viewpoints, further entrench divides; a 2021 report linked algorithmic amplification to a 25% increase in exposure to extreme content during polarized events. This fragmentation undermines cohesive formation, fostering parallel digital publics that prioritize intra-group signaling over cross-cutting dialogue, as evidenced by reduced consensus on factual baselines during crises like the 2020 U.S. , where in voter varied by over 50 percentage points across platforms. In mass societies, where physical interactions decline, reliance on these siloed environments erodes shared realities, complicating democratic responsiveness; a 2024 systematic of 50+ studies noted that while echo chambers do not universally dominate, their effects intensify in high-stakes topics, amplifying spread by 2-3 times within clusters. Causal analyses attribute much of this to platform design incentives over user agency alone, suggesting interventions like algorithmic transparency could mitigate but not eliminate divides.

Decline of Cohesive Publics in Mass Societies

Mass society theory, articulated by sociologists in the mid-20th century including , describes how industrialization, , and the rise of since the late have dismantled traditional community structures, fostering atomized individuals detached from mediating institutions like families, churches, and local associations. In this framework, cohesive publics—characterized by direct , shared norms, and balanced exchange of opinions—give way to passive masses where far fewer participants originate views and the majority merely consume mediated content, eroding collective deliberation. This shift, accelerated by in Western nations from under 200 million in and in 1900 to over 800 million by 2000, promotes anonymity, isolation, and susceptibility to elite or propagandistic influence rather than organic consensus. Empirical indicators of this decline include rising affective , where partisan animus intensifies beyond policy disagreements. , the proportion of adults holding consistently or conservative opinions doubled from 10% in 1994 to 21% in 2014, correlating with reduced cross-aisle social ties and . By 2023, 65% of Americans reported feeling exhausted and 55% angry when considering , reflecting fragmented engagement amid echo chambers that amplify division. Similar patterns appear in , with social metrics in the showing declines from 45% interpersonal in 1990 to 30% by 2020 in countries like the and , linked to exceeding 80% of populations and heterogeneous inflows averaging 1-2% annually since 2000. While some analyses find stable or nonlinear neighborhood-level —such as no overall drop in perceived bonds from 1985 to 2018 U.S. data—broader fragmentation persists due to selective exposure in diversified landscapes, where individuals increasingly ideologically aligned streams. Critics of theory argue it overstates without sufficient causal evidence, positing instead that sustains diversity without inevitable decline; however, causal links from scale-induced anonymity to reduced institutional hold in longitudinal studies, as large-society favors subgroup insularity over unified publics. In contemporary mass societies, this fragmentation manifests in policy gridlock and populist surges, as evidenced by approval for elite-led decisions falling below 30% in nations by 2022, undermining the capacity for publics to exert coherent influence against concentrated power. The theory's emphasis on causal realism—prioritizing structural scale over voluntarist ideals—highlights how unmediated mass opinion, rather than fostering , amplifies irrational herd dynamics, a pattern observable in approval spikes for demagogues during crises like the 2008 financial downturn, where trust in publics as rational actors proved illusory.