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X-energy


X-energy is an American advanced nuclear reactor and fuel fabrication company founded in 2009, focused on developing Generation IV high-temperature gas-cooled small modular reactors (SMRs) and TRISO particle fuel to enable scalable, inherently safe carbon-free energy production.
The company's flagship Xe-100 reactor design employs a pebble-bed core with helium coolant, operating at temperatures up to 750°C, which proponents claim provides passive safety features preventing meltdown even under loss-of-coolant scenarios due to the fuel's thermal stability and negative reactivity coefficients.
X-energy has secured significant milestones, including a $80 million cost-shared award from the U.S. Department of Energy's Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program, partnerships for deployment such as with Dow Chemical for industrial heat and power, and collaborations with the U.S. Department of Defense to advance microreactor technologies for national security applications.
Recent developments include ISO-9001 quality management certification, confirmed feasibility for Xe-100 deployment in Alberta, Canada, and major investments announced in Maryland for manufacturing facilities to support domestic fuel production and reactor deployment.
While X-energy's technologies draw on proven pebble-bed concepts tested in prototypes like Germany's AVR and China's HTR-10, the company faces the broader challenges of regulatory approval, supply chain scaling for TRISO fuel, and economic viability in competing with intermittent renewables amid policy-driven nuclear renaissance efforts.

Overview

Founding and Corporate Structure

X-energy was established in 2009 by Dr. , a serial entrepreneur previously involved in founding companies like Stinger Ghaffarian Technologies (SGT), with the objective of advancing technologies to meet future demands for clean, safe, and affordable power generation. Headquartered initially in , the company has grown to employ over 400 personnel focused on reactor design, fuel fabrication, and related engineering. Operated as a private (X Energy, LLC), X-energy maintains a structure emphasizing innovation in small modular reactors and TRISO-based fuels, with comprising founder and Executive Chairman alongside CEO J. Clay Sell, who assumed the role to guide commercialization efforts. remains privately held, supported by venture including a $700 million Series C-1 round closed in February 2025 and investments from entities like to accelerate technology deployment. A planned 2022 business combination with Ares Acquisition Corporation to go public via SPAC did not proceed, preserving its private status amid ongoing private capital raises. In July 2025, X-energy announced consolidation of its to Gaithersburg in , underscoring its roots and expansion in the state.

Mission and Strategic Goals

X-energy's mission centers on delivering the next generation of carbon-free energy through the reinvention of , emphasizing safe, reliable, and clean technologies to reduce global emissions and enable decarbonization. The company is committed to producing advanced that is accessible worldwide, leveraging innovative and fuel designs to transform the energy sector. This approach prioritizes Generation IV high-temperature gas-cooled s and TRISO fuel to address limitations of traditional nuclear systems, such as vulnerabilities and fuel performance under stress. Key strategic goals include the development and commercialization of the Xe-100 (SMR), a pebble-bed design capable of scalable deployment for baseload power, industrial applications, and integration with sources. X-energy aims to achieve this through proprietary TRISO-X fuel, engineered to withstand temperatures exceeding 1,600°C, far beyond conventional fuels, thereby enhancing operational reliability and reducing proliferation risks. The company targets cost-effective production of clean energy without compromising safety, focusing on inherent passive mechanisms that require no active intervention, , or for shutdown and cooling. To advance these objectives, X-energy pursues strategic partnerships and funding, including a collaboration with to deploy more than 5 gigawatts of SMR capacity in the United States by 2039—the largest such commercial target announced. Participation in the U.S. Department of Energy's Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) supports demonstration projects, such as the first industrial SMR deployment with Dow, aligning with goals for rapid and grid-scale contributions to net-zero targets. Overall, these efforts seek to position advanced as a viable, scalable solution for diverse needs while meeting regulatory milestones for licensing and deployment.

Historical Development

Inception and Early Research (2009–2015)

X-energy was founded on September 10, 2009, by , an Iranian-American engineer and entrepreneur who had previously co-founded Ghaffarian Technologies, a contractor specializing in engineering services. Headquartered in , the company originated from Ghaffarian's vision to address global energy demands through advanced technologies that prioritize , affordability, and minimal environmental impact, drawing on established concepts like high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs). Initial operations were supported primarily through Ghaffarian's personal funding, allowing the firm to operate as a private entity focused on proprietary research without immediate reliance on external investors or government grants. From 2009 to 2015, X-energy's early research centered on conceptual and preliminary engineering design for Generation IV systems, particularly pebble-bed modular reactors using tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) particles for enhanced and . This work built on prior international HTGR demonstrations, such as those in and , adapting pebble —spherical elements containing thousands of TRISO-coated particles—for scalable, high-temperature operations up to 750°C. The Xe-100 design emerged as the core project, envisioning 80 MWe modules deployable in multi-unit plants, with inherent to mitigate meltdown risks through gas circulation and graphite moderation. A key milestone in this phase occurred on October 27, 2015, when X-energy representatives, including Doug McCuistion, Ralph Loretta, and Jeff Harper, presented initial Xe-100 progress to the chapter of the American Nuclear Society, detailing reactor configuration, fuel integration, and early modeling of thermal-hydraulic performance. This event marked the company's first public disclosure of technical advancements, signaling completion of foundational feasibility studies and simulations, though full-scale prototyping and regulatory pre-applications followed in subsequent years. During this period, the firm maintained a small team, emphasizing in-house expertise in fuel fabrication and reactor physics to differentiate from incumbents.

Expansion and Initial Funding (2016–2020)

In January 2016, X-energy secured a pivotal five-year grant of up to $40 million from the under the Advanced Reactor Concepts program to advance the development of its Xe-100 design. This cost-shared funding, requiring matching contributions from the company, marked a significant early endorsement of X-energy's technology and enabled expanded research into engineering and safety features. Concurrently, the company initiated its first private funding round on January 15, 2016, laying the groundwork for operational scaling though specific amounts remain undisclosed in public records. That same year, X-energy expanded its fuel technology capabilities by establishing a pilot-scale TRISO-X fabrication facility at , demonstrating the production of tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) fuel particles essential for the Xe-100's inherent safety profile. In August 2016, the company formed a strategic with Southern Nuclear, leveraging the latter's expertise in nuclear operations to collaborate on advanced reactor testing and validation, further broadening X-energy's technical and regulatory network. These initiatives supported workforce growth and R&D acceleration, with providing cumulative support exceeding $139 million for reactor and fuel work by the period's end. By April 2018, X-energy received an additional $9 million award to qualify its TRISO fuel for commercial deployment, enhancing fuel performance data and readiness. This built momentum toward demonstration-scale projects. In October 2020, the company achieved a major funding milestone when the selected it for the Advanced Demonstration (ARDP), awarding an initial $80 million—part of a potential $1.2 billion cost-shared commitment—to design, license, and construct a 320 MWe four-unit Xe-100 plant. These public funds, supplemented by private investments, positioned X-energy for commercialization while underscoring federal prioritization of advanced nuclear technologies amid decarbonization goals.

Recent Milestones and Commercialization Efforts (2021–Present)

In November 2021, the U.S. appropriated approximately $1.1 billion toward X-energy's Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) project with the , culminating in the signing of a cooperative agreement for a roughly $2.5 billion public-private initiative through fiscal year 2025 to demonstrate the Xe-100 and TRISO fuel production. Progress in TRISO fuel fabrication advanced with the production of kilogram-scale quantities at a pilot facility in by 2021, supporting plans for a commercial-scale TRISO-X plant targeted for operation in 2025. In April 2024, X-energy received a $148.5 million tax credit under the to support the TRISO-X facility, followed by selection of in August 2025 for the $48.2 million construction phase of the fuel fabrication plant. Commercialization efforts gained momentum through strategic partnerships. In March 2023, X-energy and Dow signed a joint development agreement to deploy Xe-100 reactors at a Dow U.S. Gulf Coast site, aiming to provide process heat and power for industrial decarbonization. In October 2024, Amazon committed to supporting a 320 MW Xe-100 project with Energy Northwest in Washington state, part of broader plans for up to 5 GW of nuclear capacity. Regulatory advancements included pre-application engagements with the U.S. (NRC) for the Xe-100 design. In March 2025, X-energy submitted a construction permit application for the Dow Texas site, with the NRC issuing an 18-month review schedule in June 2025. International efforts progressed with a September 2025 feasibility confirmation for Xe-100 deployment at TransAlta's site in , , and a joint development agreement with for up to 6 of Xe-100 capacity in the UK, targeting initial operations in the early . Additional funding supported scaling, including a $700 million Series C-1 round closed in February 2025 led by investors such as and , alongside partnerships like the August 2025 collaboration with , , and for 5 GW of U.S. Xe-100 deployments by 2039. These developments position X-energy toward first-of-a-kind demonstrations, with the ARDP project emphasizing maturation and risk reduction for broader commercialization.

Core Technologies

Xe-100 Reactor Design

The Xe-100 is a pebble-bed (HTGR) with a thermal power output of 200 MWt and an electrical output of 80 per unit. Its allows deployment as a single unit or in configurations of up to four units, yielding a combined 320 , with potential for further scaling. The reactor employs as the primary , enabling core outlet temperatures exceeding 750°C to support high efficiency and compatibility with various industrial heat applications. The consists of an annular bed housed within a -moderated structure, surrounded by top and bottom reflectors, a core barrel, and an outer . , each containing thousands of TRISO (tristructural isotropic) particles with oxycarbide (UCO) kernels, are continuously circulated through the core via gravity-fed multi-pass refueling, with more than 200,000 pebbles processed to maintain criticality and minimize downtime. Control is achieved through adjustable absorbers and dedicated control rods inserted from the top, ensuring precise reactivity management without reliance on soluble poisons. The design incorporates a 60-year operational life, leveraging the inherent of the pebble bed and TRISO under high-temperature conditions. The reactor vessel and internals are engineered for load-following capability, accommodating fluctuations with minimal thermal cycling due to the high of the and pebble matrix.

TRISO Fuel Fabrication

TRISO-X fuel, developed by X-energy, consists of tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) particles embedded within pebbles designed for the Xe-100 . Each particle features a oxycarbide (UCO) kernel enriched to high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) levels of 5% to 19.75%, surrounded by four protective coating layers: a porous carbon buffer, inner , , and outer . These layers, applied via , encapsulate fission products and enable the fuel to withstand temperatures exceeding 1600°C without failure, enhancing . The fabrication process begins with synthesizing the UCO kernel through a sol-gel method, forming spherical particles of and carbon precursors that are subsequently carburized. The kernel is then coated in a : first with a porous carbon buffer layer to accommodate gas swelling, followed by dense inner for product retention, a high-strength layer as the primary pressure boundary, and an outer layer for mechanical integrity. Coated TRISO particles, numbering tens of thousands per , are mixed with a matrix material such as and , molded into spherical pebbles approximately 60 mm in diameter, and subjected to and high-temperature graphitization to achieve the final dense structure. X-energy's process incorporates patented refinements for HALEU compatibility and pebble uniformity, building on over 60 years of TRISO development. X-energy operates a pilot-scale TRISO-X fabrication facility at , established in 2016, which demonstrates the full process from kernel production to pebble forming and has produced qualification fuel batches for irradiation testing. The company is constructing the TX-1 commercial facility in —the first in dedicated to HALEU TRISO production—which broke ground on October 13, 2022, with site preparation and building construction advancing as of August 2025 under a $48.2 million contract with Clark Construction Group. Designed for an annual output of 5 metric tons of uranium equivalent, sufficient to fuel multiple Xe-100 reactors, the facility received a $148.5 million investment tax credit in April 2024 and its first HALEU allocation in April 2025; commissioning is targeted for 2025, with full operations enabling scaled supply for advanced reactors.

Safety and Operational Features

Inherent Passive Safety Mechanisms

The Xe-100 , a (HTGR) developed by X-energy, incorporates inherent passive safety mechanisms that rely on the intrinsic physical properties of its core materials and design to prevent accidents without dependence on active systems, electrical power, or operator intervention. These features enable automatic shutdown through negative reactivity from the moderator and fuel, where rising temperatures reduce reactivity, halting the . The design's low excess reactivity and optimized core geometry further support this passive shutdown, ensuring the achieves a subcritical state during off-normal conditions. Central to these mechanisms is the TRISO-X fuel, consisting of tri-structural isotropic (TRISO) particles embedded in pebbles, which inherently retains fission products and up to temperatures of 1800°C without melting or significant release. This fuel's robust encapsulation provides multiple barriers to radionuclide escape, leveraging the chemical stability and high-temperature tolerance of its ceramic coatings ( kernel surrounded by porous carbon, inner , , and outer layers). The coolant, operating at 6.0 MPa and up to 750°C, remains gaseous across a wide range without boiling or freezing, facilitating passive via conduction, , and natural while avoiding chemical reactions that could exacerbate accidents. Passive decay heat removal is achieved through the reactor's low (approximately 200 MWt per module) and the thermal properties of the core, comprising about 220,000 pebbles, which conduct to the reactor and ultimately to the without pumps or forced circulation. The moderator contributes a of reactivity, enhancing self-stabilization, while the overall design maintains temperatures below limits even in loss-of-cooling scenarios, as verified through analyses ensuring compliance with radiological release limits. These inherent features result in "walk-away safe" operation, with an emergency planning zone of only 400 meters, contrasting sharply with larger exclusion zones for conventional light-water s.

Reliability and Risk Mitigation

The Xe-100 reactor's reliability is underpinned by its TRISO-X fuel particles, which feature a triple-isotropic designed to retain fission products under extreme conditions, including temperatures up to 1,800°C for over 300 hours with minimal damage observed in testing. These particles, approximately the size of a , demonstrate high resistance to , , oxidation, and mechanical , enabling burnups up to 19% in extended tests—three times that of typical fuel—while maintaining structural integrity. This fuel form supports continuous online refueling with graphite pebbles, targeting 95% plant availability over a 60-year operational life. At the reactor level, the Xe-100's modular high-temperature gas-cooled design incorporates low , a strong coefficient of reactivity, and fixed-phase moderation to enhance operational stability and prevent runaway excursions. Scalable to 320 in a four-unit using road-transportable components, the system supports load-following from 40% to full power in 12 minutes, minimizing downtime and through and only four primary operator-controlled variables. coolant at 6.0 MPa and ASME-compliant pressure vessels further contribute to long-term reliability by tolerating outlet temperatures up to 750°C without compromising core integrity. Risk mitigation relies on inherent passive safety features, including "walk-away" cooldown without active intervention, eliminating meltdown potential due to the fuel's thermal resilience and natural circulation. The Reactor Protection System (RPS), prototyped in 2022 using FPGA-based hardware from Paragon Energy Solutions, provides four-fold redundancy for automatic shutdown, independent instrumentation, and cyber-secure operation free of runtime software vulnerabilities. This reduces dependencies on operator actions, as validated in human reliability analyses assuming zero credited interventions, while probabilistic risk assessments inform design to align with NEI 18-04 guidelines for low environmental and core damage risks. Overall, these elements yield a 400-meter safety perimeter, far smaller than traditional reactors' exclusion zones.

Projects and Deployments

U.S.-Based Initiatives

X-energy's primary U.S.-based initiatives center on demonstrating its Xe-100 and establishing domestic TRISO fuel production capabilities, supported by the Department of Energy's (DOE) Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP). Under ARDP, selected in 2020, X-energy received funding to develop and deploy a four-unit Xe-100 plant totaling 320 megawatts electrical (MWe) net output, alongside fuel fabrication infrastructure. A key project is the TRISO-X fuel fabrication facility (TX-1) in , at the Horizon Center Industrial Park. Construction broke ground in October 2022, with the facility designed to produce up to 5 metric tons of annually in TRISO pebbles—sufficient to fuel multiple Xe-100 reactors—using high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU). In August 2025, X-energy awarded a $48.2 million contract to Group for the building phase, marking progress toward operational status as the first commercial-scale TRISO-HALEU facility in the U.S. This builds on a pilot facility operational at since 2016, which has demonstrated TRISO-X fuel production processes. The initial Xe-100 deployment targets Dow Inc.'s UCC Seadrift Operations site in , announced in March 2023 as part of ARDP. This co-located project aims to power industrial operations with the 320 plant, integrating reactor output directly into Dow's manufacturing processes for enhanced energy reliability. In March 2025, X-energy and Dow submitted a construction permit application to the (NRC), which docketed it in May 2025, advancing toward licensing for the Long Mott Generating Station designation. Another initiative involves a potential multi-unit Xe-100 deployment at the Advanced Energy Facility near , in partnership with and supported by Amazon's investment in X-energy. Announced in October 2025, the site—adjacent to Energy Northwest's —could host up to 12 Xe-100 units for grid-scale power, leveraging existing nuclear infrastructure. X-energy is also advancing the XENITH through a August 2025 agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense's , focusing on mobile, transportable units for applications at military bases, distinct from grid-focused Xe-100 efforts.

International Partnerships

X-energy has pursued international collaborations to facilitate the global deployment and integration of its Xe-100 small modular reactors. In September 2025, the company entered a joint development agreement with , the United Kingdom's largest energy retailer, to deploy up to 6 gigawatts of advanced modular reactors, marking the initial effort to introduce X-energy's technology in the UK market. This partnership emphasizes co-development of sites, regulatory engagement with UK authorities, and scaling production to meet net-zero energy demands. The firm has also forged ties with South Korean entities to enhance manufacturing and financing capabilities. In April 2023, X-energy signed a with the Export-Import Bank of Korea (KEXIM) to identify project financing for initiatives incorporating Korean supply chains, including reactor components and fuel production. This was expanded in August 2025 through a with (KHNP) and , alongside , focusing on reactor engineering, construction planning, and investment to deploy up to 960 megawatts by 2039, primarily leveraging Korean expertise for cost-effective scaling. These arrangements build on South Korea's established export experience, aiming to integrate TRISO fuel fabrication and modular assembly processes. Further afield, X-energy announced a global collaboration with Kinectrics, a Canadian and technology firm, in April 2021 to refine Xe-100 design elements, including safety systems and deployment strategies applicable to international regulatory frameworks. This agreement supports technical validation and potential adaptation for non-U.S. markets, though no specific overseas projects have been confirmed from it to date.

Funding, Investments, and Economics

Government Grants and Programs

In October 2020, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) selected X-energy for its Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP), awarding an initial $80 million in cost-shared funding to support the development, licensing, construction, and demonstration of the Xe-100 at a commercial scale. The ARDP aims to deploy advanced reactors within 5 to 7 years, with X-energy's project partnering with Dow to build four Xe-100 reactors at an industrial site in , potentially up to $1.2 billion total federal contribution contingent on milestones and . appropriated approximately $1.1 billion for X-energy's ARDP efforts through fiscal year 2025 as part of broader funding packages. X-energy also received a $40 million DOE award under the Advanced Reactor Concepts program, completed in August 2022, which advanced the Xe-100 and TRISO integration for high-temperature gas applications. Earlier, in 2020, the DOE's Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy () granted $6 million to innovate operational aspects of the Xe-100, focusing on performance and efficiency. These programs build on prior DOE support for conceptual and phases of the Xe-100 and TRISO under the Advanced Reactor Concepts initiative. In April 2024, X-energy's subsidiary TRISO-X secured a $148.5 million Investment Tax Credit from the DOE under the Inflation Reduction Act, incentivizing construction of a first-of-a-kind TRISO fuel fabrication facility in Tennessee to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium fuel. This tax credit, while not a direct grant, functions as a federal incentive within DOE's advanced nuclear fuel programs to reduce commercialization barriers. No significant non-U.S. government grants have been publicly awarded to X-energy as of October 2025, with funding primarily channeled through domestic DOE initiatives prioritizing domestic advanced nuclear deployment.

Private Sector Backing and Financial Milestones

X-energy has attracted significant private sector investment, reflecting confidence in its high-temperature gas-cooled reactor technology and TRISO fuel fabrication capabilities. In February 2025, the company closed an upsized Series C-1 financing round, raising $700 million to fund reactor design completion, licensing, and initial fuel production scaling. The round was supported by Segra Capital Management, Jane Street, funds affiliated with Ares Management, and Emerson Collective, among others, positioning X-energy to address growing demand for clean, reliable baseload power. Building on prior equity commitments, X-energy finalized its Series C round in December 2023 with $235 million, including an incremental $80 million from Ares Management Corporation and founder Kam Ghaffarian. This followed earlier private placements, such as Ares Management's $75 million commitment in 2022 as part of a planned business combination that was later restructured into direct investments after mutual termination of the SPAC merger in October 2023. Amazon emerged as a key private backer in October 2024, committing direct to advance X-energy's Xe-100 deployment, including early for projects like the initiative aimed at expanding carbon-free energy capacity. These milestones underscore X-energy's strategy to leverage private capital for commercial viability, with cumulative private funding exceeding $1 billion by early 2025, distinct from government grants.

Regulatory Status

NRC Licensing Process

X-energy initiated pre-application engagement with the U.S. (NRC) for its Xe-100 design in September 2018, focusing on early feedback for safety analyses, testing programs, and regulatory approaches. This phase has involved submitting multiple Licensing Topical Reports (LTRs) for NRC review and potential approval, covering key design elements such as principal design criteria (submitted August 2023), reactor core design (March 2024), transient and safety analysis methodologies (March and June 2025), graphite core material qualification (October 2024), and mechanistic source term for radiological releases (July 2025). These reports enable modular regulatory approvals that future permit or license applications can reference, aligning with NRC guidance for advanced reactors under the Innovation and Modernization Act (NEIMA). In parallel, X-energy advanced toward site-specific deployment by submitting, in collaboration with Dow Inc., a construction permit application for an Xe-100 at the Long Mott Generating Station site in on April 2, 2025. The NRC docketed this application on May 15, 2025, initiating a formal review process that includes safety and environmental assessments. On June 16, 2025, the NRC published an expedited 18-month review schedule—half the standard timeframe—under efficiencies enabled by the Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program and NEIMA, with concurrent environmental review proceeding under the . As of October 2025, the review remains in progress, with no final decision issued; Dow has indicated potential start no earlier than 2028 pending approval and further commercial commitments. X-energy has not yet submitted a full standard design certification application to the NRC, which would establish a referenced design for multiple deployments valid for 40 years (renewable). Instead, the topical report strategy supports phased licensing, including additional pre-application submissions on emergency planning (August 2023) and training systems (February 2024), to address Xe-100's and passive safety features. This approach leverages NRC-endorsed guidance for non-light-water reactors, updated in March 2024, to streamline future certifications or combined license applications. Progress reflects broader NRC efforts to adapt regulations for advanced reactors, though site-specific permits like Long Mott's precede broader design approvals.

Global Regulatory Engagements

X-energy has pursued regulatory engagements beyond the to facilitate Xe-100 deployments in key international markets, including and the , while collaborating with global bodies like the (IAEA). These efforts focus on pre-licensing reviews, vendor design assessments, and alignment of safety standards to support commercial viability. In , X-energy completed the first phase of the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission's (CNSC) Vendor (VDR) for the Xe-100 in January 2024, marking a significant pre-licensing milestone that positions the design for formal licensing applications. This followed a joint regulatory review under the 2018 CNSC-U.S. (NRC) Memorandum of Cooperation in August 2021, which harmonized technical assessments and identified no fundamental barriers to licensing. A September 2025 feasibility study, funded by 's Emissions Reduction Alberta, confirmed technical and economic viability for Xe-100 deployment in the province, laying groundwork for subsequent CNSC engagements. In the United Kingdom, X-energy signed a joint development agreement with Centrica in September 2025 to explore Xe-100 deployment at the former Hartlepool site, targeting up to 960 MW from 12 units by the mid-2030s, pending approval from the Office for Nuclear Regulation (ONR). This builds on April 2024 UK government funding of £3.34 million to X-energy and Cavendish Nuclear for deployment planning, emphasizing supply chain localization. Ongoing discussions with ONR aim to align with U.S. licensing progress under bilateral technology cooperation frameworks. X-energy initiated Safeguards by Design with the IAEA in August 2023 to integrate non-proliferation measures into the Xe-100 , ensuring with international safeguards standards from the outset of design. This proactive engagement addresses verification protocols for high-temperature gas-cooled reactors using TRISO fuel.

Criticisms and Challenges

Economic Viability Debates

Proponents of X-energy's Xe-100 high-temperature gas-cooled (SMR) argue that its modular , factory fabrication, and use of TRISO-X fuel enable cost reductions through serial production and simplified construction, targeting a (LCOE) as low as $0.06/kWh for nth-of-a-kind units. A 2021 by projected an LCOE of $47/MWh for a 320 MWe Xe-100 deployment in the over 2014–2043, factoring in , operations, and factors above 90% due to features allowing higher uptime. Similarly, a September 2025 pre-front-end and study for Alberta's program concluded that Xe-100 levelized costs are competitive with regional alternatives, supported by repurposing existing sites to minimize land and infrastructure expenses. Critics, including the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), contend that SMRs like the Xe-100 remain economically unviable due to escalating costs and unproven scalability, with power prices projected to exceed those of renewables plus by factors of 2–3 times. Historical projects have routinely exceeded budgets by 2–5 times, and a 2024 review of advanced reactor estimates highlighted capital costs ranging from $4,000–$7,000/kWe with operating costs of $15–$35/MWh, underscoring high upfront risks for first-of-a-kind deployments where learning curves have yet to materialize. A 2023 noted that pre-commercial SMR cost projections carry significant uncertainty, often underestimating regulatory delays and issues, potentially inflating effective LCOE beyond $100/MWh for initial units. The debate hinges on first-of-a-kind versus nth-of-a-kind economics: X-energy's backers, including Department of Energy grants and private investments, emphasize that fabrication innovations and high-temperature efficiency (up to 750°C outlet) will drive costs below $10/MWh long-term, enabling dispatchable baseload power competitive in high-demand grids. Opponents counter that without demonstrated deployments—none operational as of October 2025—such claims overlook systemic cost overruns, with TRISO production scaling projected to add $50–100/MWh initially due to specialized . A 2022 Maryland feasibility study for a Xe-100 plant at a retired site affirmed site-specific viability but cautioned that broader adoption requires policy support to offset financing premiums from extended licensing timelines. Overall, while optimistic models suggest parity with combined-cycle gas at $60–80/MWh, skeptics prioritize from large reactors, arguing SMRs exacerbate per-kW costs without proven volume efficiencies.

Technical and Deployment Hurdles

The Xe-100 pebble-bed design faces mechanical challenges in management, including potential blockages in the outlet tube during pebble recirculation and uneven velocity distribution of spheres, which can affect shuffling efficiency and uniformity. These issues stem from the continuous online refueling process, requiring precise control of pebble flow to maintain reactivity and avoid hotspots, as demonstrated in historical operations. Additionally, the reactor's reliance on introduces vulnerabilities to ingress events, such as moisture or air leakage, which could degrade components or trigger in metallic structures, necessitating advanced sensors and purification systems. Fuel fabrication for TRISO particles presents further technical hurdles, as the multi-layer process demands near-perfect defect-free yields to ensure product retention under high-burnup conditions exceeding 15% fissile utilization. X-energy's TRISO-X , produced via a pilot facility operational since 2018 at , requires scaling to commercial volumes while qualifying high-assay low-enriched (HALEU) kernels, where inconsistencies in particle or could compromise margins. High temperatures, up to 750°C outlet, also challenge material selection, with moderators susceptible to oxidation and metallic vessels needing alloys resistant to helium permeation and neutron-induced embrittlement. Deployment hurdles include establishing a domestic for TRISO pebbles, as X-energy's TX-1 facility in , aims for 5 metric tons of annually but depends on nascent HALEU production amid broader U.S. enrichment constraints. Historical HTGR projects, such as the South African , encountered unforeseen pebble breakage and dust generation during handling, complicating remote and increasing operational risks for first-of-a-kind deployments. Siting advanced reactors like the Xe-100 at industrial or repurposed sites requires addressing ground stability for the and integrating high-temperature steam output with existing processes, as assessed in feasibility studies for and locations. These factors contribute to extended timelines, with demonstration projects like those with Dow Chemical targeting construction starts no earlier than 2026 despite accelerated permitting.

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