Vigorish, commonly abbreviated as vig or referred to as juice, is the commission or fee charged by bookmakers, sportsbooks, or gambling establishments for accepting wagers, ensuring the house maintains a profit margin regardless of the bet's outcome.[1] This fee represents the built-in advantage, or edge, that the operator holds over bettors in the long term.[2]In sports betting, vigorish is typically embedded in the odds offered; for example, standard American moneyline odds of -110 require a bettor to wager $110 to win $100, with the additional $10 serving as the vig collected by the sportsbook on losing bets.[3] To calculate the vigorish percentage, one converts the odds to implied probabilities—for -110 odds, this is approximately 52.38% per side—adds them together (yielding about 104.76% for a two-way bet), and subtracts 100% to reveal the house's edge of roughly 4.76%.[4] The vig can vary by market, bet type, and sportsbook, but it is often around 10% of the stake in even-money propositions, influencing bettors' strategies by requiring them to win more than 52.4% of bets to break even.[5]Beyond sports, vigorish applies to casino games where the house takes a direct cut, such as the 5% commission on banker bets in baccarat or the rake in poker, which is a percentage of the pot deducted by the dealer.[6] The term originates from the Russian word vyigrysh (выигрыш), meaning "winnings," entering English via Yiddish slang in the early 20th century, initially in the context of illegal bookmaking and later extending to legitimate gambling.[7] Outside of betting, vigorish also denotes exorbitant interest rates charged by loan sharks, reflecting its broader association with usurious financial practices.[8]
Terminology and Origins
Etymology
The term "vigorish" originates from Yiddish וויגריש (vigrish), a loanword borrowed from Russian вы́игрыш (výigryš), which translates to "winnings" or "gain."[9] This linguistic path reflects the influence of Eastern European immigrant languages on American slang, particularly in contexts involving profit or advantage.[10]The word entered English usage as slang in the early 20th century, with its first known attestation in 1912, in the writing of Alfred Henry Lewis, initially referring to a percentage returned to card players from their losses to encourage continued play.[11] It spread through American Jewish communities in urban centers and became associated with organized crime and gambling operations, where it denoted the fee or cut taken by bookmakers or houses.[12]Related terms include the shortened "vig," a direct abbreviation that gained popularity in mid-20th-century gamblingvernacular. Synonyms such as "juice," derived from 1920s American underworldslang for illicit profit, and "take," an English term for the portion skimmed by operators, emerged alongside it but have distinct roots outside the Yiddish-Russian lineage.[11]
Historical Development
The practice of bookmakers extracting a fee from wagers predates the formal term "vigorish," originating in 19th-century U.S. horse racing through parimutuel systems introduced at Jerome Park Racetrack in New York in 1872, where operators deducted approximately 10% from the total betting pool as a commission before distributing winnings.[13] This informal take ensured profitability for track operators and bookies amid widespread illegal betting, as antigambling laws proliferated in the late 1800s and early 1900s, nearly eradicating organized racing in many states.[13]In the early 20th century, vigorish emerged explicitly in U.S. bookmaking within illegal betting syndicates, often influenced by organized crime figures such as Meyer Lansky and Benjamin "Bugsy" Siegel, who from the 1910s onward controlled gambling operations including horse racing and sports wagers through groups like the Bugs and Meyer Mob, using the fee to secure steady profits amid enforcement crackdowns.[14] This era's underground culture was vividly captured in the 1910s–1920s literature of Damon Runyon, whose short stories portrayed Broadway gamblers, bookies, and their relentless pursuit of edges in a world dominated by illicit odds-making.[15] Bootleggers during Prohibition (1920–1933) further entrenched mob involvement in gambling, applying logistical expertise from liquor rackets to manage bookmaking networks in cities like New York, Chicago, and Florida, though their control varied regionally and did not uniformly dominate all operations.[16]Nevada's legalization of casino gambling in 1931, signed into law by Governor Fred B. Balzar, marked a pivotal formalization of vigorish in legal contexts, allowing regulated sportsbooks and bookmakers to openly incorporate the fee into operations at venues like those in Reno and Las Vegas, shifting some activity from mob-controlled shadows to state oversight.[17] By the 1950s, as illegal bookmaking persisted nationwide, the practice evolved toward standardized fixed percentages in modern sports books, particularly through innovations like the point spread system paired with an 11/10 odds structure that embedded a consistent vig for bookmaker profitability.[18] This standardization facilitated broader adoption, paving the way for global expansion in the 1970s–1980s as international sports wagering grew with regulatory changes in Europe and beyond, incorporating similar commission models into cross-border betting markets.[19]
Core Mechanics
Definition and Purpose
Vigorish, commonly abbreviated as vig or referred to as juice, is the commission or fee imposed by bookmakers, casinos, or other gambling operators on wagers, functioning as the house edge to secure a mathematical advantage for the operator irrespective of the bet's outcome. In sports betting, it manifests as an adjustment to the odds offered, while in casino games, it is embedded in the rules and payouts of the games themselves, ensuring the house retains a portion of player stakes over numerous plays.[2][6][20]The core purpose of vigorish lies in risk management and profitability assurance for gambling operators, achieved by balancing opposing bets and incorporating an overround into the odds structure, where the total implied probabilities across all outcomes surpass 100%. This overround creates a systematic edge that allows operators to profit from the aggregate volume of wagers, even if individual results vary, thereby sustaining operations and mitigating exposure to losses.[5][2]Vigorish differs from pure odds, which represent unbiased probabilities of an event, by serving as a built-in margin rather than a direct tax or explicit charge on winnings. This integrated advantage ensures the operator's long-term gain without altering the fundamental event probabilities, distinguishing it as an essential component of the gambling ecosystem rather than an add-on fee.[5][2]
Calculation Methods
Vigorish in two-outcome events, such as a simple win-lose bet, is calculated using the formula v = 100 \left(1 - \frac{pq}{p+q}\right), where p and q represent the decimal odds for each outcome. This formula derives from the implied probabilities of the outcomes, where the implied probability for the first outcome is $1/p and for the second is $1/q. The sum of these implied probabilities exceeds 1 due to the bookmaker's margin, and the vigorish represents the proportion of total stakes retained by the bookmaker in a balanced book, equivalent to $1 - \frac{1}{\sum (1/\text{[odds](/page/Odds)})}. For instance, with even implied odds adjusted to p = 1.91 and q = 1.91 (corresponding to American odds of approximately -110), the calculation yields v \approx 4.55\%.[21]For multi-outcome events, such as a three-way bet on a sports match (home win, draw, away win), the vigorish is generalized as v = 100 \cdot \frac{\frac{1}{p} + \frac{1}{q} + \frac{1}{t} - 1}{\frac{1}{p} + \frac{1}{q} + \frac{1}{t}}, where p, q, and t are the decimal odds for each outcome. The derivation begins with the implied probabilities $1/p, $1/q, and $1/t, whose sum s > 1 incorporates the bookmaker's edge. The fair probabilities are obtained by normalizing: divide each implied probability by s, ensuring they sum to 1. The vigorish then measures the discrepancy as $1 - 1/s, or equivalently the fraction (s - 1)/s, multiplied by 100 for percentage. This approach extends to any number of outcomes N, using v = 100 \left(1 - \frac{1}{\sum_{i=1}^N 1/o_i}\right), where o_i are the odds.[21]The overround provides an alternative perspective on vigorish, defined as the sum of the reciprocals of the odds minus 1, expressed as a percentage: \text{overround} = 100 \left( \sum 1/\text{odds} - 1 \right). It quantifies the total excess implied probability beyond 100%, directly reflecting the bookmaker's built-in advantage before normalization. For example, fair odds of 2.00 for each side in a two-outcome event imply probabilities summing to 1 (50% each). To incorporate vigorish, these are adjusted downward to approximately 1.90/1.90, yielding an overround of $100 (1/1.90 + 1/1.90 - 1) \approx 5.26\%. This adjustment ensures the bookmaker profits regardless of the outcome in a balanced book, with the overround serving as a key metric for market efficiency.[21][22]
Applications in Gambling
Sports Betting
In sports betting, vigorish, often referred to as "vig" or "juice," represents the bookmaker's built-in commission on wagers, ensuring profitability regardless of the outcome when betting action is balanced across options. For standard point-spread or moneyline bets in major professional leagues, the most common format in the United States is the -110/-110 line, where bettors must risk $110 to win $100 on either side, embedding a 10% juice on the total amount wagered.[23] This structure allows the bookmaker to profit $10 from the $210 in total bets (including the winning payout) on balanced action, as the implied probabilities exceed 100% when normalized, creating an overround of approximately 4.76%.[24]When betting action becomes unbalanced due to public bias—such as heavy wagering on a popular team—bookmakers adjust the lines to encourage bets on the less-favored side, thereby restoring balance and mitigating riskexposure. For instance, if public sentiment skews heavily toward one outcome, the odds may shift to make the opposite side more attractive, effectively increasing the effective vig on the imbalanced side to protect the bookmaker's margin.[25] This dynamic line movement is a core risk-management strategy, allowing bookmakers to maximize profits from the vigorish while minimizing potential losses from lopsided outcomes.[26]Global variations in vigorish presentation reflect regional odds formats, with the U.S. American odds (-110/-110) contrasting European decimal odds (typically 1.91/1.91 for equivalent lines), where the latter implies a similar overround but calculates payouts as a multiple of the stake.[27] In professional sportsbooks, the average vigorish ranges from 4% to 10%, with sharper books like Pinnacle offering lower margins around 2% on liquid markets to attract volume, while softer books charge higher to account for recreational bettor behavior.[28] These differences influence bettor value, as lower-vig markets provide closer-to-fair odds and better long-term expected returns.[29]
Casino Games
In casino games, vigorish is primarily manifested as the house edge, a built-in mathematical advantage ensuring the casino's long-term profitability, or as direct commissions collected from winning bets.[20]In table games like baccarat, the vigorish is often taken as a 5% commission on winning banker bets, resulting in a house edge of 1.06% for that wager despite the banker's slight probabilistic advantage in the game's drawing rules.[30] This commission adjusts the even-money payout to 0.95:1, balancing the edge while keeping the bet attractive.[31]Craps incorporates vigorish through payout structures that deviate from true odds; the pass line bet, which wins on a 7 or 11 come-out roll and establishes a point otherwise, pays even money but carries a house edge of 1.41% due to the 244/495 probability of losing against 251/495 for winning.[32] Taking free odds behind the pass line has no house edge, as it pays true odds (e.g., 2:1 on 4 or 10), but the overall edge on the combined bet remains tied to the initial pass line wager.[33]Poker, unlike player-versus-house games, generates vigorish via the rake, a fee collected by the casino from each pot in cash games, typically 5-10% up to a cap of $4-5 depending on stakes and venue.[34] In tournaments, the rake appears as an entry feepercentage (around 10%), deducted upfront to cover house operations while players compete against each other.[35]Slot machines embed vigorish within their return to player (RTP) rates, which average 92-96% in land-based casinos, implying a 4-8% house edge over millions of spins through programmed payout algorithms.[36] Video poker variants offer lower vigorish, with RTPs up to 99.5% (0.5% house edge) when using optimal strategy in full-pay games like 9/6 Jacks or Better.[20]Blackjack achieves its vigorish via rules favoring the dealer, such as acting last, yielding a house edge of 0.5-2% with basic strategy, depending on factors like deck count and payout for blackjack (3:2 versus 6:5).[37] Optimal play minimizes this by dictating decisions like hitting or standing based on the player's hand and dealer's upcard.[38]
In proportional vigorish, the bookmaker applies an equal margin to both sides of a balanced market, ensuring symmetry in the implied probabilities. For instance, fair odds of 2.00/2.00 (representing a 50% probability for each outcome) might be adjusted to 1.95/1.95, resulting in implied probabilities of approximately 51.28% each and a total overround of about 2.56%. This approach is common in theoretically fair, balanced markets where the goal is consistent profit regardless of betting volume distribution.[39]In contrast, disproportional vigorish involves uneven margins across outcomes, often placing a higher burden on the underdog or longshot side to exploit bettor preferences for higher payouts. An example is adjusting fair 2.00/2.00 odds to 2.00/1.95, yielding a total overround of around 2.56% with the heavier margin on the underdog (implied probability of 51.28% vs. 50%). This asymmetry aligns with the favorite-longshot bias, where bettors disproportionately wager on underdogs, allowing bookmakers to extract greater profits from overbet longshots.[39]Proportional vigorish promotes theoretical fairness by maintaining an equal house edge per unit wagered, which simplifies risk management in evenly matched contests and aligns with efficient market assumptions. However, it may yield lower overall profits if betting volumes skew heavily toward one side. Disproportional vigorish, while potentially less "fair," enhances practical profitability by capitalizing on behavioral biases, as evidenced in markets like soccer where actual loss rates (7.8%) exceed proportional overround predictions (6.5%), compared to tennis (7.5% vs. 5.4%). Bookmakers apply proportional structures more often in tennis for its balanced nature, whereas soccer frequently sees disproportional adjustments to manage lopsided public betting on underdogs.[39]
Modern and Non-Gambling Contexts
In the realm of online gambling, vigorish has adapted to digital platforms, particularly in esports betting, where sportsbooks typically charge a commission ranging from 3% to 10% on wagers to ensure profitability regardless of outcomes.[40] This structure mirrors traditional sports betting but has proliferated since the 2010s with the expansion of mobile apps, exemplified by DraftKings, which transitioned from daily fantasy sports in 2012 to full online sportsbooks following the 2018 U.S. Supreme Court ruling legalizing statewide betting.[41] In cryptocurrency-enabled platforms, such as decentralized prediction markets, vigorish equivalents appear as lower trading or reporting fees, often below 5%, fostering peer-driven forecasting on blockchain networks like Ethereum without centralized intermediaries.[42]Beyond gambling, the term vigorish persists in non-traditional financial contexts, notably as slang for exorbitant interest rates imposed by loan sharks in illegal lending. These rates can reach 20% per week on outstanding principal, compounding rapidly and trapping borrowers in cycles of debt, as documented in historical organized crime investigations.[43] Such practices violate usury laws in most jurisdictions, where maximum legal rates typically cap at 10-25% annually, highlighting vigorish's role as a marker of predatory finance.[44]Emerging trends extend vigorish concepts to hybrid gaming and fintech applications, including fantasy sports platforms where operators collect a rake—equivalent to vigorish—from entry fees, commonly 10-15% of total prize pools to cover operational costs.[45]Peer-to-peer betting apps further innovate by minimizing traditional vig through transaction fees that are 50-90% lower than standard sportsbooks, enabling direct wagers between users with transparent, no-juice odds.[46] Post-2020 U.S. regulations have emphasized transparency in crypto gambling, with state-level amendments requiring clearer disclosure of fees and risks in digital asset transactions to protect consumers amid rising blockchain-based betting.[47]
Theoretical and Practical Aspects
Theoretical Models
In theoretical models of vigorish, the balanced book theory posits that a bookmaker achieves a guaranteed profit by setting odds such that the total amount wagered on all possible outcomes is equalized, ensuring the payout liability matches the total handle minus the vigorish margin regardless of the event's result.[23] Under this model, the vigorish represents the overround, defined as the difference between the sum of implied probabilities from the odds and 100%, which translates to the bookmaker's expected profit per unit wagered.[21] For a two-outcome event with symmetric odds of -110 (implied probability of 52.38% each), the overround is approximately 4.76%, yielding a long-run expected value (EV) for bettors of -4.76% per wager, or EV = -vig percentage, assuming fair underlying probabilities.[23]Game theory extends this framework by modeling odds setting as a strategic interaction between the bookmaker and bettors, where the bookmaker seeks a Nash equilibrium to minimize riskexposure while extracting vigorish. In equilibrium, the bookmaker adjusts prices dynamically to balance betting intensities across outcomes, ensuring no unilateral deviation improves their position; for instance, using rate functions like \lambda_i(p_i, u_i) = p_i \frac{1-p_i}{1-u_i} u_i, where u_i is the price for outcome i and p_i is its probability, optimal prices u_i^* = \sqrt{p_i} maintain a balanced book and incorporate vigorish as the margin over fair odds.[48] This equilibrium minimizes variance in payouts, with the bookmaker's value function maximizing expected utility: V(t, x, p, q) = x - p \cdot q + E_t \int_t^T \sup_{\hat{u}} \sum_i \lambda_i(P_s, \hat{u})(\hat{u}_i - P_i s) \, ds, where risk is hedged through proportional adjustments.[48] In multi-outcome settings, repeated zero-sum games lead to equilibria where maximum loss per round equals the optimal opportunistic bookmaking loss, scaled by overround \Gamma > 1 to embed vigorish.[49]For bettors, the Kelly criterion provides a strategy to overcome vigorish by sizing bets to maximize long-term growth when an edge exists over the implied probabilities. The optimal fraction f^* of bankroll to wager is given by f^* = \frac{p b - 1}{b}, where p is the bettor's estimated probability of winning, and b is the net odds (payout per unit stake, incorporating vigorish); this requires p > \frac{1}{b} to yield positive EV, countering the negative expectation from the vig.[50] Partial Kelly adjustments, such as scaling by 0.5, further mitigate variance while preserving growth against the house edge.[50]These models assume infinite rational bettors with perfect information and no behavioral biases, leading to a perfectly balanced book where the bookmaker's long-run return equals the vigorish percentage, derived as the overround m = \sum_{i=1}^{N} \frac{1}{O_i} - 1 applied uniformly across wagers.[21] Under these conditions, the expected operatorprofit is \pi = \frac{1}{\sum_{i=1}^{N} \frac{1}{O_i}} per unit, confirming the vig as the sole source of return in equilibrium.[21]
Real-World Considerations
In real-world sports betting, bettor behaviors often deviate from theoretical assumptions of balanced action, leading to practical adjustments in vigorish application. Public bettors tend to overbet favorites due to biases such as the reverse favorite-longshot effect, where they allocate disproportionately more wagers to perceived safer outcomes, necessitating higher vigorish on those sides to maintain bookmaker profitability and balance the book.[51][52] Conversely, sharp bettors—experienced professionals who identify inefficiencies—place targeted wagers that compel sportsbooks to adjust lines rapidly, effectively lowering the realized vigorish to 2-4% in competitive markets as books shade odds to limit exposure.[53][54]Operational challenges further complicate vigorish implementation beyond ideal models. In niche or low-volume markets, such as player props or obscure sports, limited liquidity increases risk for bookmakers, prompting them to impose vigorish rates up to 15-20% to cover potential imbalances from sparse betting action.[55] Regulatory environments also influence vigorish variability; in the UK, overrounds typically range from 105-110% in competitive markets, fostering tighter margins compared to the more permissive U.S. landscape, where vigorish can fluctuate widely by state and operator without uniform caps.[56][5]Empirical outcomes reveal the tangible impact of these factors on bookmaker performance. U.S. sportsbooks achieve an average annual hold— the percentage of total handle retained as profit—of approximately 9-10% as of 2025, reflecting a blend of public biases, sharp adjustments, market dynamics, and increased parlay betting that prevent theoretical maximums from materializing.[57][58][54] Since the 2018 U.S. Supreme Court decision legalizing statewide sports betting, intensified online competition has influenced vigorish; for instance, sharp-focused operators like Pinnacle maintain margins of 2-3%, contrasting with traditional books' 5-10% in less competitive segments, as lower transaction costs and broader access erode pricing power.[59][28][60]