All Progressives Congress
The All Progressives Congress (APC) is a major political party in Nigeria, established on 6 February 2013 through the merger of prominent opposition groups including the Action Congress of Nigeria, Congress for Progressive Change, and All Nigeria Peoples Party, aimed at challenging the entrenched Peoples Democratic Party.[1] The party rose to power by defeating incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan in the 2015 presidential election, with candidate Muhammadu Buhari securing victory by nearly 2.6 million votes and ending the PDP's 16-year dominance of the executive.[2] Subsequent electoral successes in 2019, with Buhari's re-election, and 2023, under Bola Tinubu, have solidified the APC's control over the federal government and a majority of state assemblies, reflecting voter preference for its platform amid fragmented opposition.[3] The APC's manifesto emphasizes democratic governance, anti-corruption measures, economic liberalization, and infrastructure expansion as core tenets, positioning it as a vehicle for progressive change in a context where parties often converge on right-leaning economic policies despite nominal ideological labels.[4][5] However, its tenure has been marked by significant controversies, including persistent internal defections, allegations of electoral irregularities, and criticisms over inadequate responses to insecurity, economic stagnation, and corruption scandals that undermine its reformist credentials.[6][7]Origins and Formation
Pre-2013 Opposition Landscape
Prior to the formation of the All Progressives Congress in 2013, Nigeria's political opposition operated in a landscape dominated by the People's Democratic Party (PDP), which had controlled the presidency and a majority of state governorships since the return to civilian rule in 1999.[8] The PDP secured victories in all four presidential elections from 1999 to 2011, leveraging a broad coalition that spanned ethnic and regional lines, while opposition parties remained confined to regional strongholds and failed to mount a cohesive national challenge due to fragmentation driven by ethnic loyalties, personal rivalries among leaders, and the absence of unifying ideological platforms.[9] This disunity allowed the PDP to consolidate power, often through defections of opposition figures and allegations of electoral irregularities, as evidenced by opposition protests following the 2003 and 2007 polls.[10] The primary opposition entities included the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), which evolved from the Alliance for Democracy and held sway in the Yoruba-dominated southwest, governing Lagos State continuously since 1999 and expanding to Ekiti and Osun by 2011 under leaders like Bola Tinubu, who emphasized urban development and fiscal reforms in Lagos.[11] The Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), registered in 2010, drew significant support from northern Nigeria, particularly among Muslim voters disillusioned with PDP governance, and was anchored by Muhammadu Buhari's personal appeal rooted in his military background and anti-corruption rhetoric; it secured several governorships in the north-central and northeast regions.[9] The All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP), founded in 1999, initially commanded northern influence with governors in states like Borno and Yobe but weakened after internal splits, including Buhari's departure to form the CPC, leaving it with diminished national viability.[11] The 2011 presidential election exemplified this fragmentation: PDP candidate Goodluck Jonathan won with 22,498,188 votes (58.89%), while CPC's Buhari garnered 12,177,953 (31.98%) and ACN's Nuhu Ribadu obtained 2,203,031 (5.41%), splitting the anti-PDP vote and preventing any opposition contender from exceeding 32%.[12] Regional patterns reinforced the divide, with ACN dominating the southwest (e.g., over 90% in Lagos and Oyo), CPC prevailing in much of the north (e.g., 80%+ in Kano and Sokoto), and ANPP retaining pockets in the northeast, yet lacking cross-regional alliances to counter PDP's nationwide machinery.[12] Smaller parties like the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) held Igbo southeastern enclaves but contributed little to national opposition cohesion. This patchwork structure, compounded by over 50 registered parties by 2011, diluted resources and voter mobilization, fostering perceptions of PDP invincibility until merger discussions gained traction amid post-2011 discontent over security lapses and economic stagnation.[9][13]Merger Process and Official Launch
The merger process for the All Progressives Congress (APC) originated from discussions among leaders of Nigeria's major opposition parties in late 2012, aimed at consolidating fragmented anti-PDP forces to contest the incumbent People's Democratic Party's (PDP) dominance ahead of the 2015 elections.[14] Key figures, including Bola Tinubu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), Muhammadu Buhari of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), and leaders from the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP), initiated talks to form a unified platform, emphasizing progressive ideals and electoral viability.[11] A faction of the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA), led by Imo State Governor Rochas Okorocha, also joined the effort, bringing regional influence from the southeast.[15] On February 6, 2013, representatives from the ACN, CPC, ANPP, and the APGA faction formally announced the creation of the APC in Abuja, declaring their intention to dissolve into the new entity and register it with the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC).[16] The joint statement highlighted the merger as a strategic response to the PDP's 14-year rule, with the parties resolving to "merge forthwith and become the All Progressives Congress" to promote democratic change.[17] This announcement marked the initial public launch of the APC as a coalition, though full operational status required subsequent ratifications and regulatory approval.[14] Following the announcement, each constituent party conducted internal processes to ratify the merger. The ACN held its national convention on April 2013, where over 4,000 delegates approved the dissolution and integration into the APC.[18] Similar approvals occurred within the CPC and ANPP, solidifying the structural unification despite logistical challenges and internal dissent in some factions.[19] INEC initially scrutinized the application amid concerns over compliance with electoral laws, including the requirement for verifiable membership and non-duplication of existing parties.[20] The official launch of the APC as a registered political party culminated on July 31, 2013, when INEC approved the merger application from the ACN, CPC, and ANPP, issuing a certificate of registration that enabled nationwide operations and candidate nominations.[21] This regulatory endorsement, following months of documentation and verification, transformed the APC from a provisional alliance into Nigeria's first major opposition merger party, positioning it for primaries and the 2015 polls.[16] The process demonstrated unprecedented collaboration among rivals, though it faced PDP-backed legal challenges alleging procedural flaws, which were ultimately dismissed.[20]Historical Development
2013–2015 Opposition Era
The All Progressives Congress (APC) solidified its role as Nigeria's principal opposition party after its formation, mounting sustained critiques against President Goodluck Jonathan's administration for inadequacies in combating the Boko Haram insurgency, widespread corruption, and economic mismanagement.[22][23] In November 2014, the APC dismissed Jonathan's self-reported achievements as a "scorecard of monumental failures," emphasizing unaddressed security threats and governance lapses.[23] By February 2015, amid escalating violence, the party demanded Jonathan's resignation, holding him morally accountable for allowing Boko Haram to proliferate unchecked.[22] The APC expanded its influence through high-profile defections from the PDP, including governors such as Rabiu Kwankwaso of Kano and Murtala Nyako of Adamawa, which shifted the balance of power in several states and legislatures by mid-2014.[24] This influx strengthened the party's organizational base and demonstrated growing dissatisfaction with PDP rule. In off-cycle gubernatorial contests, APC incumbent Rauf Aregbesola secured re-election in Osun State on 9 August 2014 with 394,684 votes against PDP's Iyiola Omisore's 292,375, affirming regional support in the Southwest.[25] However, the party faced a reversal in Ekiti State on 21 June 2014, where incumbent Kayode Fayemi lost to PDP challenger Ayo Fayose amid allegations of electoral irregularities. On 11 December 2014, Muhammadu Buhari clinched the APC presidential nomination at the party's national convention in Lagos, garnering 2,285 delegates' votes in a field that included Atiku Abubakar and Rabiu Kwankwaso, signaling party unity behind his anti-corruption credentials.[26][27] The subsequent campaign emphasized "change" through security restoration, economic diversification, and graft eradication, resonating with voters disillusioned by PDP's 16-year incumbency. On 28 March 2015, Buhari defeated Jonathan with 15,424,921 votes (53.1%) to Jonathan's 12,853,162 (44.3%), marking the first opposition victory in a Nigerian presidential election and ending PDP dominance.[2] Jonathan conceded on 31 March, averting potential unrest.[2]Buhari Administration (2015–2023)
Muhammadu Buhari, the APC's presidential candidate, won the March 28, 2015, election with 15,424,863 votes (53.01 percent), defeating the incumbent People's Democratic Party's Goodluck Jonathan who received 12,853,162 votes (44.06 percent), marking the first peaceful transfer of power from an incumbent president in Nigeria's history.[28] [29] Buhari was inaugurated on May 29, 2015, promising to prioritize security, anti-corruption, and economic recovery amid challenges like the Boko Haram insurgency, oil price crash-induced recession, and entrenched graft.[30] The administration's early focus included restructuring security forces and launching the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) in 2017 to address diversification beyond oil dependency.[31] On security, Buhari pledged to end the Boko Haram insurgency that had controlled swathes of northeast Nigeria; by 2016, Nigerian and regional forces reclaimed most territories, reducing the group's conventional hold, though attacks persisted via asymmetric tactics and splinter factions like Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP).[32] Military recruitment expanded, with over 40,000 new police officers approved, and operations like the Multinational Joint Task Force enhanced regional cooperation, leading to high-profile arrests including Boko Haram leader Abubakar Shekau's death in 2021.[33] [34] However, critics noted ongoing civilian casualties, kidnappings, and farmer-herder clashes in other regions, with human rights groups documenting abuses by security forces including extrajudicial killings.[32] [35] The anti-corruption drive, a core APC manifesto pledge, saw the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) secure 603 convictions by May 2018, targeting past officials and recovering assets, though quantifiable recoveries remained modest compared to promises, with estimates under $1 billion by 2021 amid allegations of selective prosecution favoring APC allies.[36] [37] High-profile cases included convictions of former officials, but pardons of figures like former Delta State Governor James Ibori and withdrawals of charges against others drew accusations of undermining the campaign's credibility.[38] [39] Economically, the administration faced headwinds from global oil downturns and domestic supply shocks; GDP growth averaged 1.7 percent annually from 2015 to 2023, below the 6 percent target, with per capita GDP declining amid population growth.[40] [41] Inflation surged from 9 percent in 2015 to 22.4 percent by 2023, driven by naira devaluation, fuel subsidy maintenance until partial removal in 2023, and monetary expansion via Central Bank financing that ballooned money supply from N18 trillion to N55 trillion.[42] [43] Public debt rose from 18 percent to 35 percent of GDP, financed by domestic bonds and external loans including from China, raising sustainability concerns as debt service consumed over 80 percent of revenues by 2023.[42] [44] Unemployment peaked above 33 percent by 2020, exacerbated by COVID-19, though social programs like N-Power employed over 500,000 youths temporarily and conditional cash transfers aided 15 million households.[45] Infrastructure saw significant investment, with over 25,000 kilometers of roads constructed or rehabilitated, including the 376 km Lagos-Ibadan Expressway and Second Niger Bridge completed in 2022; rail projects advanced with the 327 km Warri-Itakpe line operational by 2020 and Lagos-Ibadan rail inaugurated in 2021, funded partly by $1.5 billion in concessional loans.[46] [47] Power generation capacity increased from 4,000 MW to over 13,000 MW, though transmission bottlenecks limited supply gains.[33] Buhari was re-elected on February 23, 2019, with 15,232,527 votes (53.0 percent) against Atiku Abubakar's 11,262,978 (39.2 percent), despite opposition claims of irregularities.[48] The second term grappled with similar issues, including escalated banditry in the northwest and #EndSARS protests in 2020 over police brutality, met with force leading to documented rights violations and internet shutdowns.[39] [49] By May 29, 2023, Buhari handed over to APC successor Bola Tinubu, leaving a mixed legacy of infrastructure advances and security gains against persistent economic stagnation, debt burdens, and governance critiques including repeated defiance of court orders on detentions.[35] [50]Tinubu Administration (2023–Present)
Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress was inaugurated as President of Nigeria on May 29, 2023, following his victory in the February 25, 2023, presidential election where he secured 36.61% of the vote amid disputes over electoral irregularities raised by opposition candidates.[51] The administration's early focus centered on macroeconomic stabilization, with the abrupt removal of the fuel subsidy regime announced in Tinubu's inaugural address, ending a long-standing policy that had drained fiscal resources but subsidized consumption disproportionately benefiting higher-income groups.[52] This reform, coupled with the unification of foreign exchange rates by floating the naira, aimed to curb fiscal leakages and attract investment, though it triggered immediate fuel price surges from approximately ₦185 to over ₦600 per liter and naira depreciation exceeding 70% against the dollar within months.[51] [53] Economically, the administration reported restored fiscal health, reducing the debt service-to-revenue ratio from 97% in 2023 to below 50% by October 2025 through enhanced non-oil revenue collection, including a tax-to-GDP ratio increase to 13.5%. Government revenue rose significantly, with ₦3.65 trillion raised in September 2025 alone—411% higher than May 2023—enabling investments in infrastructure and a ₦200 billion intervention fund for micro, small, and medium enterprises announced in October 2025.[52] [54] Nigeria's GDP grew by 4.23% in Q2 2025, surpassing forecasts and reflecting non-oil sector expansion, though full-year growth for 2024 stood at 3.40% amid rebasing efforts.[55] Public debt, however, escalated from ₦87 trillion in 2023 to ₦152 trillion by 2025, driven by exchange rate losses and new borrowings, with critics attributing this to reform-induced revenue shortfalls rather than structural profligacy.[56] Inflation peaked above 30% in mid-2024 due to subsidy removal and supply chain disruptions but showed moderation by late 2025, per administration data, though independent analyses highlight persistent hardship for low-income households without commensurate social safety net expansions.[53] On security, the Tinubu administration intensified operations against Boko Haram and bandit groups, with National Security Adviser Nuhu Ribadu reporting 13,543 insurgents killed and 124,408 surrenders by mid-2025, including high-profile bandit leaders like Halilu Sububu and Ali Kachala.[57] Efforts included enhanced military funding and regional cooperation, yet banditry in the northwest persisted, with thousands killed in unchecked attacks and kidnappings displacing communities, as documented by human rights monitors attributing failures to inadequate protection and proliferation of small arms.[58] Boko Haram's convergence with bandits in training and operations exacerbated violence, undermining agricultural output and fueling food insecurity.[59] Anti-corruption initiatives saw the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission secure over 7,000 convictions in the administration's first two years, targeting legacy cases from the Central Bank of Nigeria and other institutions, with President Tinubu emphasizing judicial independence to sustain momentum.[60] Investigations into prior officials like former CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele yielded recoveries, but public skepticism persists, with claims of eradicated corruption dismissed as overstated amid allegations of selective prosecutions favoring political allies.[61] [62] Overall, the administration's reforms have yielded fiscal gains and growth indicators but faced backlash for amplifying inequality and insecurity, with empirical outcomes hinging on sustained implementation amid partisan divides in source assessments.[51]Ideology and Policy Positions
Economic Principles
The All Progressives Congress advocates for a mixed economy emphasizing private sector initiative, supported by government facilitation of infrastructure, security, and policy stability to drive sustainable growth. Central to its principles is economic diversification away from oil dependency, which has historically accounted for over 80% of government revenues, toward value-added manufacturing, agriculture, and emerging sectors like digital technology and services. The party commits to sound macroeconomic management, including preservation of Central Bank independence and targeting annual real GDP growth of at least 10%, to restore investor confidence and ensure fiscal prudence.[63][64] Key policy pillars include job creation through targeted interventions, such as generating 3 million jobs annually via public works programs in infrastructure like railways and roads, alongside vocational training and small business loan guarantees to integrate the informal sector. In agriculture, the APC promotes modernization via mechanization, land reforms, and guaranteed minimum prices for key crops to position Nigeria as a regional food exporter, injecting funds like N30 billion into agro-allied industries. Manufacturing receives emphasis through private sector-led industrialization, establishment of regional economic hubs, and incentives for local content to boost "Made in Nigeria" production and export competitiveness under frameworks like the African Continental Free Trade Area.[63][64][65] Fiscal and monetary strategies focus on increasing public spending to 30% of GDP by prioritizing infrastructure (targeting 50% allocation by 2025), diversifying revenue sources beyond oil, and expanding credit access for micro, small, and medium enterprises. Anti-corruption measures are integral, aiming to eliminate waste and enhance economic efficiency via independent prosecutorial agencies. Under recent agendas like Renewed Hope, youth empowerment targets halving unemployment rates through 1 million ICT jobs in 24 months, 90% broadband coverage by 2025, and digital ecosystems for startups, while capping non-productive spending and limiting foreign debt to revenue-generating projects.[64][65]Social and Security Policies
The All Progressives Congress (APC) has articulated social policies emphasizing human capital development, poverty alleviation, and equitable access to basic services, as outlined in its 2015 manifesto and the 2023 Renewed Hope agenda. These include commitments to nine years of compulsory free basic education, tripling education spending to 24.5% of the budget over a decade, and introducing free daily school meals for primary pupils.[64] Health policies promise increasing federal allocation to 15% by 2020, establishing primary clinics within 5 km of every household, and prioritizing preventive care.[64] Welfare initiatives target social security for 25 million of the poorest Nigerians, including conditional cash transfers for vulnerable households, youth employment schemes, and support for the elderly and disabled.[64][65] Under the Buhari administration (2015–2023), these principles materialized through the National Social Investment Programme (NSIP), which provided cash transfers to over 2.6 million households via the Conditional Cash Transfer scheme, employed 500,000 youths through N-Power, and supported microenterprises for 2.9 million beneficiaries under the Government Enterprise and Empowerment Programme (GEEP).[66] The Home Grown School Feeding Programme reached 9.3 million primary school pupils daily by 2021, aiming to boost enrollment and nutrition.[67] Outcomes included lifting some households from extreme poverty, though evaluations noted implementation challenges like delays in payments and uneven coverage amid rising overall poverty rates to 40% by 2019.[68] The Tinubu administration (2023–present) has expanded these efforts, signing the Student Loans (Access to Higher Education) Act in June 2023 to offer interest-free loans for tuition and upkeep, targeting reduced dropout rates, and advancing the Adolescent Girls' Initiative for Learning and Empowerment (AGILE) to enroll 1.5 million out-of-school girls in northern states by 2025.[69][70] Health priorities under Renewed Hope include universal health coverage via mandatory insurance for 40% of the population within two years and strengthening primary care networks.[65] On security, the APC manifesto pledges to eradicate Boko Haram through military action, amnesty for repentant fighters, and addressing root causes like poverty, alongside recruiting 100,000 police officers, creating a Federal Anti-Terrorism Agency, and doubling defense spending.[64] The Renewed Hope document commits to modernizing military equipment, forming anti-terrorist battalions, enhancing border surveillance, and improving personnel welfare to combat insurgency, banditry, and transnational threats.[65] Buhari's tenure saw military operations reclaim over 90% of Boko Haram-held territory by 2016, establishing "super camps" for internal security, and degrading the group's capacity through multinational efforts, though attacks persisted with over 2,000 deaths annually in the northeast by 2022.[71] Banditry in the northwest escalated, linked to arms proliferation and resource conflicts, with groups conducting mass kidnappings despite operations like those against Fulani militias.[72] Under Tinubu, security forces reported killing 13,543 Boko Haram/ISWAP fighters and securing surrenders from 124,408 insurgents and bandits by October 2025, including high-profile bandit leaders like Halilu Sububu and Ali Kachalla, through intensified aerial and ground offensives.[57] Despite these metrics, insecurity remains acute, with banditry displacing millions in the northwest and ongoing kidnappings highlighting gaps in non-kinetic approaches like community engagement and economic interventions.[73]Anti-Corruption Stance
The All Progressives Congress (APC) has articulated a firm anti-corruption stance as a foundational element of its platform, emphasizing zero tolerance for graft in political, social, and civic spheres. Upon unveiling its manifesto and code of ethics in March 2014, the party declared its commitment to eradicating the "curse of corruption" through strict enforcement of existing laws, enhanced accountability mechanisms, and promotion of transparency to curb abuse of executive, legislative, and public offices.[74][63] This position was reinforced in the party's 2023 election manifesto, which pledged free and fair elections, respect for the rule of law, and genuine anti-corruption measures to foster public trust.[64] Central to the APC's anti-corruption rhetoric during its 2015 opposition campaign was the candidacy of Muhammadu Buhari, whose prior tenure as military head of state from 1983 to 1985 involved aggressive prosecutions of high-profile officials for economic crimes, establishing his image as an incorruptible reformer. The party positioned corruption as a primary driver of Nigeria's underdevelopment, promising systemic reforms including strengthened money laundering laws, whistleblower protections, and digitized financial transactions to minimize cash-based leakages.[75] This stance propelled the APC to victory, with anti-corruption serving as a key differentiator from the incumbent People's Democratic Party (PDP), accused of entrenched patronage networks. In governance, the APC under Buhari operationalized its stance through institutional tools such as the Treasury Single Account (TSA), implemented in 2015 to consolidate federal revenues and block unauthorized expenditures, alongside the Bank Verification Number (BVN) system for biometric financial tracking and a 2016 whistleblower policy incentivizing graft reports with monetary rewards.[76] The party advocated bolstering agencies like the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) and Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC) with expanded mandates and resources, aiming for proactive prevention over reactive punishment. While the APC maintains this framework persists into the Tinubu administration, with renewed focus on prosecuting enablers of corruption, implementation has faced scrutiny for perceived selectivity, though the official position upholds impartial enforcement as essential to national progress.[77]Organizational Structure
National Leadership and Organs
The All Progressives Congress (APC) maintains a structured hierarchy of national organs as outlined in its constitution, with the National Convention serving as the supreme decision-making body. Comprising over 7,500 delegates including state chairmen, party executives, elected representatives, and special delegates, the Convention convenes quadrennially to elect the National Working Committee (NWC), ratify the party manifesto, and amend the constitution.[78] It holds ultimate authority over major policy directions and leadership transitions, ensuring broad-based representation from Nigeria's 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.[79] The National Executive Committee (NEC) functions as the principal policy-making and oversight organ between Conventions, comprising the NWC, all serving APC governors, National Assembly principal officers, and zonal representatives. Meeting at least quarterly, the NEC approves budgets, endorses candidates for elections, and resolves internal disputes, with a composition exceeding 300 members to reflect federal character principles.[78] On July 24, 2025, the NEC unanimously endorsed Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda as National Chairman following a leadership transition process, replacing prior incumbents amid efforts to strengthen party unity ahead of future elections.[80][81] The NWC, the party's administrative nucleus with 21 elected members, handles operational duties including membership registration, campaign coordination, and financial management under the NEC's guidance. Key positions include the National Chairman (Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda, elected 2025), National Secretary (Senator Ajibola Basiru), and National Treasurer (Uguru Ofoke), alongside roles such as Deputy National Chairmen for North and South, Publicity Secretary, Legal Adviser, Financial Secretary, Organizing Secretary, Women Leader, and Youth Leader.[81][78] NWC members serve four-year terms, subject to recall by zonal executives for misconduct, promoting accountability within the structure.[79]| Position | Current Holder (as of October 2025) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| National Chairman | Prof. Nentawe Goshwe Yilwatda | Elected by NEC endorsement on July 24, 2025[81] |
| National Secretary | Senator Ajibola Basiru | Oversees administrative records and correspondence[81] |
| National Treasurer | Uguru Ofoke | Manages party finances and audits[81] |
State and Local Operations
The All Progressives Congress maintains a hierarchical structure at the state level, consisting of a State Congress that elects the State Executive Committee, including positions such as state chairman, deputy chairman, secretary, and other officers responsible for implementing national party directives, managing state budgets, coordinating local government area activities, and conducting membership drives.[79] State operations involve overseeing senatorial districts and zones within the state, with the State Working Committee handling day-to-day administration and the State Caucus providing advisory input on policy alignment with national ideology.[79] As of October 2025, APC state chapters operate in 24 states where the party holds governorships, enabling coordinated governance through party-affiliated state assemblies and executive influence on local appointments and policies.[82] At the local government level, APC structures include Local Government Area (LGA) Congresses that elect LGA Executive Committees, which manage membership registration, voter mobilization, fundraising, and distribution of party materials while supervising ward-level operations.[79] These committees oversee 774 LGAs nationwide, with APC dominance in elections within party-controlled states; for instance, in Rivers State, APC secured 20 of 23 LGA chairmanships in the August 2025 local polls. Ward-level executives, elected by Ward Congresses, handle grassroots mobilization, polling unit committees for election-day logistics, and local issue resolution, ensuring alignment with state and national objectives through regular reporting and appeals processes.[79] State and local operations emphasize decentralized implementation of APC's progressive agenda, including anti-corruption monitoring and infrastructure advocacy at subnational levels, though effectiveness varies by state due to factors like electoral disputes and resource allocation controlled by state governments.[79] Membership at these levels requires registration through ward executives, with registers updated biannually, fostering broad participation among eligible Nigerians aged 18 and above who endorse party principles.[79] Primaries for state assembly, gubernatorial, and LGA positions are conducted via direct or indirect methods supervised by higher party organs, promoting internal democracy while prioritizing electoral viability.[79]Electoral Performance
Presidential Elections
The All Progressives Congress (APC) first contested the Nigerian presidency in the 2015 general election, marking its debut as a unified opposition platform formed in February 2013 from a merger of several parties, including the Action Congress of Nigeria and Congress for Progressive Change. On March 28, 2015, APC candidate Muhammadu Buhari, a retired army general and former military head of state, secured victory with 15,424,921 votes (53.7 percent), defeating the incumbent People's Democratic Party (PDP) candidate Goodluck Jonathan, who received 12,853,162 votes (44.7 percent).[83][84] The election, overseen by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), saw a voter turnout of approximately 44 percent and was widely regarded as Nigeria's freest since the return to civilian rule in 1999, though isolated incidents of violence and logistical issues occurred.[85] Buhari's win ended the PDP's 16-year hold on power, with APC dominating northern states and making inroads in the southwest.[28] In the 2019 presidential election held on February 23, Buhari sought re-election and won with 15,232,527 votes (53.0 percent), outperforming PDP challenger Atiku Abubakar's 11,262,978 votes (39.2 percent).[86][87] INEC announced the results on February 27 amid delays due to technical glitches with result transmission and allegations of irregularities raised by the opposition, which Atiku initially rejected before the Supreme Court upheld Buhari's victory in July 2019. Voter turnout dropped to about 35 percent, reflecting concerns over insecurity and voter apathy.[88] APC maintained strong support in the north and expanded marginally in the southwest, though it faced setbacks in parts of the southeast and Middle Belt.[89] The APC's third consecutive presidential triumph came in the February 25, 2023, election, where Bola Tinubu, former Lagos State governor and APC national leader, garnered 8,794,726 votes (36.6 percent) to edge out Atiku Abubakar's 6,984,520 (29.1 percent) and Labour Party's Peter Obi's 6,101,533 (25.4 percent).[90][91] INEC declared Tinubu the winner on March 1, 2023, with turnout at a record low of 27 percent, attributed to voter disenfranchisement claims, logistical failures, and violence that marred polling in several areas.[92] The result faced immediate challenges from opposition parties alleging fraud and non-compliance with electoral laws, leading to petitions dismissed by the presidential election tribunal in September 2023 and affirmed by the Supreme Court in October 2023.[93] APC secured 12 states outright, with Tinubu's votes concentrated in the southwest, north-central, and parts of the northwest, while Obi disrupted traditional PDP-APC dominance in the southeast and urban centers.[94]| Election Year | APC Candidate | APC Votes (%) | Main Opponent (PDP) Votes (%) | Turnout (%) | Outcome Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Muhammadu Buhari | 15,424,921 (53.7) | Goodluck Jonathan: 12,853,162 (44.7) | ~44 | First APC victory; PDP incumbency ended.[83] |
| 2019 | Muhammadu Buhari | 15,232,527 (53.0) | Atiku Abubakar: 11,262,978 (39.2) | ~35 | Re-election amid delays; court upheld.[86] |
| 2023 | Bola Tinubu | 8,794,726 (36.6) | Atiku Abubakar: 6,984,520 (29.1) | ~27 | Narrowest win; legal challenges rejected.[90] |
National Assembly Elections
In the 2015 National Assembly elections, conducted alongside the presidential vote on March 28, the All Progressives Congress (APC) achieved a decisive victory, capturing 60 of 109 Senate seats and 212 of 360 House of Representatives seats, thereby securing majorities in both chambers and ending the People's Democratic Party's (PDP) long-held dominance.[95][96] Voter turnout stood at approximately 43.7%, reflecting widespread participation amid high stakes following the APC's opposition coalition formation. This outcome enabled the APC to control legislative agendas, including key reforms during Muhammadu Buhari's subsequent presidency. The 2019 elections, held on February 23 after a brief postponement due to logistical challenges, saw the APC retain its majorities with 63 Senate seats and 210 House seats, despite facing stronger PDP opposition and reports of violence in some regions.[97][98] Turnout declined to 35.7%, attributed partly to security concerns and voter fatigue. The APC's success was bolstered by incumbency advantages and regional strongholds in the north and southwest, allowing passage of budgets and anti-corruption legislation aligned with party priorities.| Election Year | Senate Seats (APC/Total) | House Seats (APC/Total) |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 60/109 | 212/360 |
| 2019 | 63/109 | 210/360 |
| 2023 | 59/109 | 162/360 |
Gubernatorial and State Elections
In the April 11, 2015, gubernatorial elections across all 36 states, the All Progressives Congress secured 21 governorships, representing a decisive expansion from its nascent federal presence and displacing the People's Democratic Party in numerous strongholds, including in the Southwest and North.[102][103] This outcome reflected voter dissatisfaction with incumbent governance amid security challenges and economic stagnation, with APC candidates prevailing in states such as Lagos (Akinwunmi Ambode), Kaduna (Nasir el-Rufai), and Kano (Abdullahi Ganduje).[104] Concurrent state houses of assembly elections yielded APC majorities in these controlled states, enabling unified policy implementation at the subnational level.[102] The 2019 gubernatorial cycle, covering 29 states on March 9, saw the APC win 16 seats, retaining core bases in the North and Southwest while losing ground in select contests to PDP challengers, such as in Bauchi and Adamawa, amid allegations of logistical failures and violence reported by observers.[105][106] Post-election, factoring off-cycle results and legal resolutions, the party maintained approximately 20 governorships overall.[105] State assembly results mirrored gubernatorial patterns, with APC dominating legislative seats in its victorious states, though opposition parties gained footholds in PDP-held assemblies.[105] During the March 18, 2023, elections in 28 states, the APC clinched 16 governorships, including re-elections in Lagos (Babajide Sanwo-Olu) and victories in Ogun and Ogun, but conceded terrain to emerging parties like the Labour Party in Abia and the New Nigeria Peoples Party in Kano, amid documented irregularities including voter suppression and result manipulations contested in courts.[107][108] This resulted in the APC holding 19 governorships immediately post-cycle, with subsequent off-cycle wins in states like Imo (2023) and Kogi (2023) bolstering its tally to 20 by 2024.[109] In state houses of assembly, the APC captured majorities in its governed states, controlling over 70% of seats across those chambers per INEC declarations.[110]| Election Cycle | APC Gubernatorial Wins (in Cycle States) | Key Factors |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | Anti-incumbency wave, PDP defections[102] |
| 2019 | 16 | Retention in strongholds, losses to PDP[105] |
| 2023 | 16 | Multi-party competition, judicial affirmations[107] |
Governance Outcomes
Economic Reforms and Performance
The All Progressives Congress (APC) administrations, beginning with Muhammadu Buhari's presidency from 2015 to 2023, implemented economic policies centered on fiscal consolidation, infrastructure spending, and diversification away from oil dependency through the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) launched in 2017.[31] Key measures included the introduction of the Treasury Single Account to curb leakages in public spending and increased borrowing for capital projects, which expanded public debt from approximately 18% of GDP in 2015 to 35% by 2021.[42] [111] However, these efforts coincided with macroeconomic underperformance, including a recession in 2016 triggered by falling global oil prices and foreign exchange shortages, with GDP contracting by 1.6% that year.[112] Economic indicators deteriorated significantly during Buhari's tenure: inflation rose from 9% in May 2015 to 22.4% by 2023, driven partly by expansionary fiscal policies, naira devaluation, and supply chain disruptions, while unemployment peaked above 33% and multidimensional poverty affected 133 million Nigerians.[41] [42] GDP growth averaged below 2% annually from 2015 to 2020, with per capita GDP declining amid population growth, reflecting limited structural reforms and over-reliance on oil revenues that fell sharply post-2014.[113] [114] Critics attribute this to policy inconsistencies, such as delayed exchange rate adjustments and inadequate diversification, though proponents highlight external shocks like the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbating vulnerabilities.[115] Under President Bola Tinubu's APC administration since May 2023, reforms shifted toward market-oriented adjustments, including the abrupt removal of fuel subsidies on May 29, 2023, and unification of the exchange rate by floating the naira, ending decades of multiple exchange windows.[116] These measures aimed to eliminate fiscal drains—subsidies cost N4.39 trillion in 2022—and attract investment, reportedly saving the government N8 trillion annually and up to $20 billion in foreign exchange outflows.[117] [118] Initial impacts were severe, with petrol prices surging over 200% to around N600 per liter, inflation climbing to 34.2% by mid-2024, and an estimated 7-30 million additional Nigerians falling into poverty due to heightened living costs.[119] [120] By mid-2025, signs of stabilization emerged, with GDP growth accelerating to 3.9% in the first half of the year, foreign reserves exceeding $42 billion, and public debt projected to decline from 42.9% of GDP, supported by improved transparency in oil remittances and reduced Ways and Means financing from the central bank.[116] [121] International bodies like the IMF and World Bank have commended these reforms for addressing long-standing distortions, though short-term hardships persist, underscoring the trade-offs between immediate pain and potential long-term gains in fiscal sustainability and private sector competitiveness.[122] [123]| Year | GDP Growth (Annual %) | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 2.7 | Pre-recession baseline amid oil price collapse.[124] |
| 2016 | -1.6 | Recession onset.[112] |
| 2017-2019 | 1.9-2.2 (avg.) | Slow recovery under ERGP.[113] |
| 2020 | -1.8 | COVID-19 impact.[124] |
| 2021-2022 | 3.3-3.1 | Modest rebound.[125] |
| 2023 | 2.5 | Transition year with reforms.[126] |
| 2024 | ~3.0 (est.) | Post-reform adjustment.[116] |
| 2025 (H1) | 3.9 | Emerging stabilization.[116] |