Fact-checked by Grok 2 weeks ago

Foreign exchange controls

Foreign exchange controls are government-mandated restrictions on the acquisition, transfer, and disposal of foreign currencies and related assets, designed chiefly to conserve official reserves during balance-of-payments pressures and to influence the exchange rate by curbing speculative outflows or excessive imports. These measures typically encompass requirements to surrender foreign earnings to central banks, quotas on currency purchases for imports or travel, and outright bans on certain capital transactions, functioning as implicit taxes that elevate the effective cost of foreign exchange. Employed historically across diverse regimes—from interwar responses to the Great Depression's capital disruptions to post-colonial developing economies facing commodity price volatility—such controls have aimed to avert rapid reserve depletion and currency collapses, as seen in widespread adoption by commodity exporters after 1929 export price crashes. In practice, they have preserved short-term in acute crises, such as Arab countries' efforts to channel inflows amid oil shocks, but often at the expense of volumes, with explicit targeting of import-related transactions reducing bilateral by up to 10-15% in affected pairs. Critics highlight their propensity to spawn parallel black markets for , where unofficial rates diverge sharply from official pegs, enabling evasion via or under-invoicing while eroding policy credibility and incentivizing among insiders who capture scarce allocations. Empirical analyses reveal these distortions exacerbate through costly circumventions, undermine hedging and investment, and correlate with output volatility rather than sustained stability, prompting liberalization waves in the as evidence mounted of their net drag on growth.

Definition and Mechanisms

Core Definition and Objectives

Foreign exchange controls consist of regulatory measures enacted by governments to restrict the purchase, sale, transfer, or holding of foreign currencies by residents and, in some cases, non-residents. These controls often mandate the surrender of foreign exchange earnings to a central authority, impose quotas or licensing requirements on currency transactions, and prohibit or limit capital outflows to specified sectors. Such mechanisms aim to centralize the allocation of scarce foreign currency resources, typically administered by a central bank or dedicated exchange control authority. The principal objectives of foreign exchange controls include preserving national , which are critical for financing imports, servicing , and maintaining international payments . By foreign availability, governments seek to address balance-of-payments imbalances, where domestic demand for foreign goods and assets exceeds supply, potentially leading to reserve depletion. For example, controls prevent excessive during periods of economic uncertainty, as evidenced by their widespread use in emerging markets facing pressures, thereby supporting short-term macroeconomic stability. Additional goals encompass stabilizing the domestic currency's value against depreciation driven by , controlling imported by curbing non-essential foreign purchases, and directing resources toward priority areas such as essential imports or export promotion. In practice, these controls are justified as tools to insulate the from external shocks, though their effectiveness depends on enforcement rigor and complementary policies like fiscal adjustments. Empirical observations from institutions monitoring global practices indicate that controls are most commonly applied in countries with fixed or managed regimes to avert speculative attacks.

Types of Controls

Foreign exchange controls are typically classified into quantitative (administrative) restrictions, which impose direct limits or approvals on foreign currency transactions, and price-based measures, which alter the effective cost of accessing or using foreign exchange through rates, taxes, or subsidies. Quantitative restrictions often involve ceilings on the volume of foreign exchange available for specific uses, such as import financing or personal remittances, requiring central bank authorization to prevent depletion of reserves. These controls aim to ration scarce foreign currency but can distort trade by favoring certain sectors or creating black markets. Price-based controls, by contrast, include multiple exchange rates—where official rates differ by transaction type, such as preferential rates for essential imports versus market rates for luxuries—and surrender requirements obliging exporters to remit proceeds at sub-market rates, effectively generating fiscal revenue while discouraging exports. Controls are further delineated by the balance of payments category they target: current account transactions or capital account flows. Current account controls restrict payments for visible trade (imports and exports), invisibles (services like tourism or freight), and income transfers, often through import licensing tied to forex quotas or limits on outward payments for travel, which averaged allocations of under $1,000 per person annually in restrictive regimes like Argentina's pre-2015 system. Export surrender rules, a staple in such controls, mandate that 100% of foreign earnings be deposited with the monetary authority, as seen in Venezuela's policies through 2018, to capture revenues for redistribution. Capital account controls, meanwhile, govern financial transfers like direct investment, portfolio flows, loans, and profit repatriation, with outflow restrictions—such as bans on resident investments abroad—prevalent in over 50 IMF member countries as of 2023 to stem reserve losses during crises. Inflow controls, less common, tax or limit short-term "hot money" to avoid appreciation pressures, though empirical data from the IMF shows they rarely persist beyond temporary shocks. Hybrid forms combine elements, such as advance import deposits requiring importers to lodge domestic currency equivalents (often 100-200% of value) as collateral, functioning as both quantitative rationing and an interest-free loan to the government, implemented in countries like Nigeria in the 2010s to curb demand. The IMF's Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions (AREAER) documents these across 190 economies, revealing that comprehensive controls blending current and capital measures correlate with fixed exchange regimes, while partial controls often accompany managed floats. Enforcement varies, with penalties for evasion ranging from fines to criminal charges, though effectiveness wanes when parallel markets emerge, trading at premiums exceeding 50% in high-control environments like Zimbabwe in 2008.

Implementation Tools and Enforcement

Governments implement foreign exchange controls primarily through administrative mechanisms, such as licensing requirements and prior approvals for cross-border transactions, managed by s or designated monetary authorities. These processes typically mandate that residents obtain permission for purchasing foreign currency beyond thresholds, with banks serving as intermediaries to verify compliance and channel requests. For instance, export proceeds must often be surrendered to the within a specified period, such as 180 days, to prevent and bolster official reserves. Quantitative tools complement by imposing hard limits or quotas on allowable transfers, such as annual caps on outbound remittances or outflows per or firm, designed to ration scarce amid balance-of-payments pressures. Market-based instruments include transaction taxes, like Tobin-style levies on short-term flows, or /multiple rates that differentiate official rates for essentials (e.g., imports of and ) from commercial rates, effectively pricing out non-priority uses. In practice, these tools are calibrated to target inflows or outflows selectively; for example, Brazil's 2010-2013 inflow taxes on foreign borrowing reduced gross inflows by an estimated 10-15% without significantly altering net flows. Enforcement relies on by monetary authorities, who leverage the banking system's transaction records for and periodic audits of authorized dealers. Commercial banks are obligated to report suspicious activities and withhold services for unapproved deals, functioning as a first line of defense against evasion. , such as through FATF standards or bilateral agreements, aids in tracking violations, though effectiveness varies by institutional capacity; weaker frameworks in emerging markets often foster markets where unofficial rates exceed official ones by 20-50%. Penalties for circumvention, including unauthorized transfers or false declarations, encompass civil fines calibrated to the transaction value—often 10-30% of the evaded amount—alongside criminal sanctions like imprisonment for willful breaches. In jurisdictions with robust enforcement, such as during South Africa's 1985 reimposition of controls amid sanctions-induced outflows exceeding $5 billion, violators faced asset freezes, forfeiture, and up to 10 years' incarceration under the Currency and Exchanges Act, deterring but not eliminating black-market activity estimated at 5-10% of GDP. Empirical data indicate that stringent enforcement correlates with lower evasion rates but at the cost of reduced foreign investment; a 2011 IMF analysis found controls with strong penalties mitigated inflow surges by 20-30% in episodes like Iceland's 2008 crisis, though long-term adherence erodes without addressing underlying fiscal imbalances.

Theoretical Foundations

Economic Rationales and Justifications

Foreign exchange controls are often justified as a means to manage disequilibria and preserve international reserves, particularly in economies facing chronic deficits or sudden surges in . By rationing access to foreign currency, governments can prioritize essential imports such as , , and capital goods, thereby averting shortages that could exacerbate or economic contraction. In developing countries with limited reserves, this mechanism ensures that scarce foreign exchange is allocated to productive uses rather than speculative or non-essential outflows, supporting overall macroeconomic . A key rationale centers on mitigating financial crises through restrictions on capital outflows, which can act as a coordination device to halt self-fulfilling panics driven by investor and externalities. Theoretical models highlight how such controls address multiple equilibria in distressed settings, where unchecked flight depletes reserves and amplifies depreciations; empirical analysis of episodes shows controls deployed amid banking crises (30% incidence spike) and currency crises (25% spike), coinciding with GDP contractions of approximately 4%. This approach is particularly relevant for emerging markets vulnerable to volatile global flows, where controls temporarily restore confidence and prevent deeper instability. Controls also enable greater autonomy under the framework, allowing fixed or managed s alongside independent setting by curbing capital mobility that would otherwise force alignment with global rates. In the presence of market frictions—such as illiquid FX markets or unhedged foreign exposures—related interventions complement controls by smoothing volatility from shocks, reducing risks of sustained or defaults in open economies. Empirical literature supports that inflow controls can enhance this independence, altering flow composition and easing real pressures without fully liberalizing accounts. Additionally, exchange controls serve as a fiscal by generating through implicit taxation on transactions, often via multiple s that capture premia on official exports or imports. Theoretical models indicate potential yields up to 5% of GDP under optimal conditions, while historical cases in countries like , the , and (1951–1954) derived 5–20% of total from such systems; more recent evidence from (2007–2021) shows averages of 0.2–2% of GDP, augmented by real appreciation that reduces external debt burdens and expands fiscal space. This supports deficit financing without immediate , though effectiveness hinges on and evasion risks.

Criticisms from Free-Market Theory

Free-market theorists contend that foreign exchange controls fundamentally distort the essential for coordinating economic activity across borders, preventing exchange rates from equilibrating for currencies and thereby inducing resource misallocation. By artificially rationing access to foreign currency, these controls create shortages or gluts that favor politically connected entities over productive uses, undermining the of markets where individuals pursue their ends through voluntary trade. Such interventions, proponents argue, violate property rights by coercively limiting owners' disposal of assets, treating capital not as private means but as state-administered resources subject to bureaucratic discretion. Milton Friedman, a leading monetarist, criticized exchange controls as distortionary expedients born of fixed regimes, which compel governments to ration flows or impose barriers to defend pegs unsustainable under free mobility. He advocated floating rates, positing that they obviate the need for such controls by allowing rates to adjust automatically to underlying economic conditions, preserving monetary independence while facilitating interdependence without coercive restrictions. Friedman's analysis emphasized that controls exacerbate balance-of-payments disequilibria rather than resolve them, as evasion through black markets or erodes official reserves and invites further regimentation. Friedrich extended this critique by highlighting exchange controls' role in concentrating economic power, describing them as "the decisive advance on the path to " since they deliver individuals to state tyranny by suppressing escape from domestic policies via international movement. In (1944), illustrated how ostensibly narrow controls over foreign dealings permeate all life, enabling governments to dictate ends by monopolizing means, a dynamic observed in interwar where such measures paved the way for . Austrian economists like Ludwig von Mises viewed exchange controls as immoral and dictatorial tools that stifle trade and perpetuate inflation by shielding weak currencies from market discipline, advocating their immediate abolition to restore genuine monetary calculation and entrepreneurial discovery. Mises argued that controls, far from stabilizing economies, serve as vehicles for incremental socialism, rationing imports and exports under the guise of national interest while fostering dependency on state approval for essential transactions. This perspective holds that any attempt to override currency preferences through fiat leads to progressively harsher enforcement, as seen in historical cases where partial controls devolved into total prohibitions, ultimately hampering recovery by disconnecting domestic prices from global realities.

Empirical and Causal Analysis of Effects

Empirical analyses of foreign exchange controls reveal that while they may provide short-term stabilization in balance-of-payments crises by curbing immediate outflows, they frequently induce long-term economic distortions, including reduced and . A comprehensive review of over 30 studies standardized for methodological consistency finds that controls on capital inflows and outflows weakly influence aggregate flows but distort their composition, often channeling funds into less productive domestic assets and exacerbating financial fragility through misallocated credit . Similarly, econometric models assessing crisis probabilities show controls lower banking risks by limiting speculative inflows but simultaneously depress GDP by 0.5-1 percentage points annually in affected economies, as they deter and hinder efficient . Causally, controls foster evasion mechanisms such as black markets and informal , undermining their intended effects. In developing countries, stringent outflow restrictions correlate with heightened underground transactions, where official channels are bypassed, leading to unrecorded losses estimated at 10-20% of GDP in severe cases like during price control episodes intertwined with exchange restrictions. This evasion arises because controls create opportunities between official and parallel rates, incentivizing and networks, which erode tax bases and amplify inequality by favoring connected elites with access to exemptions. Empirical from emerging markets further demonstrate that controls on transactions reduce bilateral trade volumes equivalently to a hike of one standard deviation, as heightened inspections and transaction costs deter exporters and importers. ![South African exchange control document from the 1980s][float-right] In during the 1980s, exchange controls imposed amid sanctions and political instability accelerated , with outflows exceeding $20 billion from 1980 to 2000, equivalent to foregone and tax revenues that deepened recessionary pressures. from this period attributes intensified economic contraction—GDP growth averaging under 1% annually—to controls that isolated the financial sector, stifling gains from global and prompting dual systems that fueled inefficiency. Cross-country regressions confirm this pattern, where prolonged controls correlate with 15-25% lower foreign inflows compared to liberalized peers, as uncertainty over deters long-term commitments. Overall, models and difference-in-differences analyses of episodes, such as Chile's reforms, indicate that dismantling controls boosts growth by 2-3% over five years through enhanced capital mobility, underscoring the causal chain from restrictions to inefficiency via distorted incentives and reduced competition. While some studies suggest conditional benefits when paired with high reserves, these are short-lived and overshadowed by systemic risks from entrenched bureaucracies enforcing controls, which empirical literature consistently links to .

Historical Development

Origins and Early Examples

Foreign exchange controls originated in medieval as rudimentary measures to regulate the movement of and preserve domestic monetary stocks amid limited minting capacity and frequent coin debasements. In , restrictions on the and of were enacted as early as 1299, aiming to prevent the depletion of circulating specie and maintain during periods of imbalance and warfare. These early prohibitions reflected a causal understanding that uncontrolled outflows could exacerbate shortages of hard , which served as the primary and in coin-based economies. The early modern period saw these practices evolve into more systematic controls under mercantilist doctrines, which viewed national wealth as fixed and embodied in precious metals, necessitating state intervention to enforce surpluses and restrict s. Mercantilist policies typically banned or heavily penalized the of , silver, and coined to hoard reserves for and commercial power, as unrestricted flows were seen to undermine a country's and long-term solvency. In , for instance, Finance Minister implemented such prohibitions in the 1660s, complementing high tariffs on imports and bounties for s to retain metallic wealth within the kingdom. Similarly, reinforced medieval precedents through statutes like those under and Stuarts, which criminalized specie outflows except under licensed conditions, directly linking controls to colonial expansion and laws that funneled inflows from empires. These controls were empirically driven by the bimetallic realities of the era, where fluctuations in silver-gold ratios and incentives necessitated enforcement via royal decrees and port inspections, though evasion remained common due to black markets and opportunities across fragmented mints. While effective in short-term reserve accumulation—such as Spain's retention of silver inflows through 16th-century export bans—they often distorted trade by prioritizing hoarding over productive investment, setting precedents for later 20th-century systems.

Interwar and World War II Period

The saw the proliferation of foreign exchange controls as governments responded to post-World War I economic dislocations, including war reparations, , and the collapse of the gold standard. In , controls were first imposed on August 15, 1931, following a banking crisis and , granting the a on transactions to conserve reserves and stabilize the mark. This measure was rapidly emulated across Europe; by late 1931, , , , , , , and had adopted similar restrictions to curb outflows and manage balance-of-payments deficits amid the . The , after suspending the gold standard on September 21, 1931, introduced emergency controls to prevent sterling depreciation and capital exodus, marking a shift from free . Italy had maintained controls since 1917, which intensified in to support fascist policies, while countries like delayed until April 1936 before succumbing to reserve pressures. These controls often facilitated competitive devaluations and , as nations sought to insulate domestic economies from global deflationary spirals without fully floating currencies—a strategy dubbed "feared floating" in later analyses. In , post-1933 controls evolved into a comprehensive system of import licensing and bilateral clearing agreements, prioritizing rearmament by rationing scarce foreign exchange for essential imports while blocking outflows and enforcing . This regime suppressed secondary markets for foreign currency but relied on covert mechanisms, including black-market acquisitions, to fund expansionist policies amid chronic reserve shortages. Empirical assessments indicate that such controls mitigated immediate but prolonged recovery by distorting trade and investment flows, contrasting with faster recoveries in countries pursuing outright without rigid controls. During , exchange controls were universally tightened by both and Allied powers to mobilize resources for , prevent enemy financing, and ration imports under conditions. Germany's prewar system was further centralized, with the directing toward military procurement via clearing balances and plundered assets, though shortages persisted due to import dependencies. In the , the foreign exchange market was officially closed on September 3, 1939, with the outbreak of war, redirecting all transactions through state oversight to conserve dollars and gold for essential wartime purchases until partial reopening in 1951. The , initially neutral, established the Foreign Funds Control regime on April 10, 1940, under the Treasury Department to freeze Axis-linked assets, block enemy access to dollar markets, and safeguard neutral transactions while enabling support to Allies. Allied economic management, exemplified by centralized wage, price, and exchange rationing in Britain and the U.S., prioritized war production over , with controls extending to trade licensing to counter Axis blockades and secure raw materials. These measures, while effective for short-term , entrenched postwar dependencies on controlled currencies, delaying the restoration of multilateral exchange.

Bretton Woods System and Postwar Controls

The , concluded on July 22, 1944, at the Monetary and Financial Conference in , instituted a regime of fixed but adjustable exchange rates, with participating currencies pegged to the US dollar and the dollar convertible to at $35 per troy ounce. The system's architecture, overseen by the newly created (IMF), permitted members to exercise "such controls as are necessary to regulate international capital movements" under Article VI of the IMF Articles of Agreement, provided these did not obstruct current international transactions or multilateral payments. This provision reflected a deliberate compromise, accommodating postwar reconstruction needs while aiming for eventual liberalization of trade-related flows, as capital controls were viewed as essential to insulate fixed parities from speculative pressures and volatile short-term flows. The framework gained traction after , amid widespread European devastation and a global dollar shortage that constrained imports and reserves. Current-account convertibility for nonresidents was largely restored by 1958 in , marking the system's effective launch, yet restrictions endured to safeguard pegs and enable independent monetary policies. These controls, often administered through quotas, licensing, and quantitative limits on outflows, helped mitigate balance-of-payments crises by channeling scarce toward priority uses like imports of capital goods, thereby supporting recovery without immediate devaluations. Empirical assessments indicate they bolstered regional stability by curbing and fostering domestic investment, though at the cost of segmented financial markets and inefficiencies in resource allocation. European nations applied controls rigorously: the , operating under wartime legislation extended postwar, rationed foreign exchange via the Exchange Control Act, limiting personal allowances to £100 per adult traveler in 1945 and requiring approvals for most outward transfers until full abolition on October 24, 1979. similarly retained multifaceted restrictions, including dual exchange markets and bans on certain outflows, to defend the franc's parity and prioritize financing, consistent with Bretton Woods' endorsement of controls against destabilizing movements. Across the continent, such measures conserved dollars for essentials, averting reserve drains amid demands estimated at tens of billions in equivalent . The , despite its creditor position, faced mounting outflows by the as European recoveries boosted demand for assets; in response, the Interest Equalization Tax of levied a 1 percent charge on acquisitions of foreign securities and loans, effectively raising borrowing costs for foreigners and reducing net capital exports by an estimated $1.5–2 billion annually in its initial years. This unilateral tool, alongside voluntary restraints on bank lending, underscored the system's reliance on controls even from the reserve currency issuer to defend convertibility. By facilitating policy autonomy under fixed rates, these postwar controls prolonged the regime's viability, though escalating imbalances—exacerbated by persistent restrictions—contributed to its unraveling with the suspension of dollar- convertibility on August 15, 1971.

1970s Transition to Floating Rates

The of fixed exchange rates, operational from to the early 1970s, depended on capital controls to insulate domestic monetary policies from international pressures and defend currency parities against speculative flows. These restrictions, permissible under IMF Article VI, included limits on outflows and inflows to prevent balance-of-payments crises, with full convertibility limited to transactions since 1958. By the late 1960s, U.S. balance-of-payments deficits, driven by spending and domestic inflation, flooded global markets with dollars, eroding confidence in the dollar's gold peg at $35 per ounce and intensifying speculative attacks on weaker currencies. On August 15, 1971, President suspended U.S. dollar convertibility into gold—the ""—and imposed a 10% import surcharge, effectively halting the Bretton Woods mechanism and prompting temporary currency floats. The December 1971 Smithsonian Agreement attempted to salvage fixed rates through parity realignments, such as devaluing the dollar by 8.5% and widening fluctuation bands to ±2.25%, but persistent inflation differentials and rendered it untenable. By February 1973, renewed pressures led the U.S. to float the dollar, followed in March by major European currencies and adopting managed floats against the dollar, marking the de facto end of fixed rates among industrialized nations. The shift to floating rates addressed the "" of fixed exchanges, free capital mobility, and independent monetary policy, theoretically obviating the need for extensive controls by allowing market-driven adjustments to absorb shocks. In practice, however, controls persisted or evolved during the transition to mitigate volatility; for example, central banks intervened heavily in forex markets, with daily turnover limited and restrictions on short-term capital movements retained to curb speculation. countries began relaxing controls in the mid-1970s, aligning with floating regimes, though full lagged until the 1980s. The IMF formalized this transition via the 1976 , amending Articles of Agreement to endorse floating rates under Article IV, which introduced to prevent competitive depreciations while permitting temporary restrictions for balance-of-payments reasons. This framework shifted emphasis from defending parities to promoting orderly markets, yet from 1973–1983 showed floating rates amplified volatility in some cases—e.g., the dollar appreciated 50% against major currencies by —prompting selective controls rather than outright abolition. Countries like minimized interventions, relying on credibility, while others used controls to preserve policy space amid oil shocks and . Overall, the decade's reduced but did not eliminate controls, as causal factors like divergent rates necessitated ongoing management.

1980s-2000s Financial Crises

During the triggered by 's 1982 default, which spread to countries like and , governments intensified foreign exchange controls to ration scarce reserves for essential imports and payments. Exchange restrictions frequently resulted in external arrears, as authorities prioritized over needs, with importers often unable to secure dollars due to administrative allocations. , for example, adopted multiple exchange rates in the early , creating preferential tiers that transferred resources to select agents but deepened economic distortions and encouraged informal markets. These measures, combined with overvalued fixed rates, contributed to prolonged contractions, with regional GDP stagnating or declining through the "lost decade" of the . In the 1997 Asian financial crisis, Malaysia responded to currency depreciations and capital outflows by imposing selective capital controls on September 1, 1998, over a year after the regional contagion began. The controls targeted short-term portfolio investments, requiring a one-year holding period for repatriation with penalties, while allowing longer-term flows; this accompanied a fixed peg of the ringgit at 3.80 to the dollar to deter . Unlike IMF-advised in and , Malaysia's approach enabled monetary easing without immediate reserve depletion, facilitating a faster rebound with GDP growth resuming at 6.1% in 1999. Critics, including IMF analyses, argued the controls insulated inefficiencies rather than addressing underlying vulnerabilities like crony lending, though empirical recovery data supported short-term stabilization. Russia's 1998 crisis, precipitated by falling oil prices and fiscal deficits, culminated in the August 17 devaluation of the from a 6.0 corridor to a floating rate, alongside a domestic , but featured limited new controls amid chaotic . The shifted to managed floating post-crisis, intervening to curb without formal , though informal surrender requirements emerged to bolster reserves. This avoided outright restrictions but exposed the economy to a 75% by year-end, inflating import costs and contracting GDP by 5.3% in 1998. Argentina's 2001 collapse of the peso-dollar peg prompted emergency foreign exchange controls, including the December 1 "" decree freezing bank deposits over 250 pesos (about $250) and limiting cash withdrawals to prevent a and . The simultaneously restricted dollar purchases and transfers abroad, effectively trapping an estimated $70 billion in deposits domestically amid the convertibility regime's failure. followed on January 6, 2002, with the peso falling to 3-4 per dollar, sparking riots and a on $102 billion in debt; controls persisted into 2002, fostering parallel markets where rates diverged by up to 300%. These measures preserved some reserves but amplified contraction, with GDP dropping 10.9% in 2002 and reaching 21%.

Economic Impacts

Claimed Short-Term Benefits

Proponents of foreign exchange controls assert that they can deliver immediate stabilization during acute crises by restricting outflows, thereby preserving depleted foreign reserves and averting panic-driven collapses. In particular, such measures are claimed to interrupt speculative attacks, allowing central banks to maintain without resorting to exorbitant [interest rate](/page/interest rate) hikes that could exacerbate recessions. This short-term buffer purportedly buys policymakers time to implement fiscal or structural adjustments amid market turmoil. A prominent example is Malaysia's imposition of capital controls on September 1, 1998, amid the Asian financial crisis, which included a one-year lock-in period for short-term portfolio investments and limits on offshore ringgit trading. Advocates, including Malaysian officials, contended that these controls stemmed —reducing net outflows from approximately 6% of GDP in short-term inflows turning negative—and enabled a reduction in interest rates from over 10% to around 6% by late 1998, fostering economic stabilization without further reserve erosion. Empirical assessments supportive of this view note that the controls correlated with a quicker rebound in GDP growth, from -7.4% in 1998 to +6.1% in 1999, attributing the respite to insulated autonomy. Similarly, in Iceland's 2008 banking collapse, emergency capital controls enacted on October 6, 2008, restricted foreign currency outflows and non-essential transfers, which supporters argued prevented a total exhaustion of reserves—holding them at around $3.5 billion net—and mitigated overshooting of the krona, which had depreciated over 50% against the by year-end. IMF evaluations acknowledged that these measures stabilized the currency in the immediate aftermath, avoiding disorderly depreciation and supporting a controlled that preserved some external payment capacity amid bank failures equivalent to 10 times GDP. Proponents further claim this provided breathing room for and deposit protection, contributing to inflation cooling from 18% in late 2008 to under 6% by mid-2009. These claimed benefits are often framed as crisis-specific expedients rather than permanent fixtures, with advocates emphasizing their role in restoring and enabling policies once stability returns. However, such assertions typically draw from or IMF post-crisis reviews, which may underweight enforcement challenges or evasion risks in their optimism.

Long-Term Distortions and Costs

Foreign exchange controls distort by artificially constraining currency convertibility, leading to higher costs for imported inputs and reduced steady-state levels. These interventions prevent efficient capital flows, skewing investment toward domestic sectors regardless of and discouraging due to repatriation uncertainties. Empirical analyses indicate that persistent controls correlate with lower long-run , particularly in import-dependent economies where trade distortions compound efficiency losses. Over extended periods, such controls foster misallocation of resources, as firms face elevated external financing costs and adapt by prioritizing short-term survival over productive investments. This results in stifled and gains, with multinational enterprises reallocating activities to evade restrictions, ultimately hampering overall and . Studies using firm-level from policy episodes confirm that controls exacerbate misallocation, reducing exports and aggregate through heterogeneous firm responses. In dynamic models incorporating firm heterogeneity, these effects persist, amplifying distortions in capital-intensive sectors reliant on global markets. Controls often engender s and parallel exchange rates, which elevate and undermine while correlating with elevated indices. The emergence of unofficial forex channels incentivizes , as bureaucrats allocate scarce foreign currency permits, breeding favoritism and bribery; for instance, Venezuela's system post-2003 generated widespread graft in import approvals, distorting sectoral priorities. Such environments perpetuate inefficiency, as black market premia signal perceived policy risks, deterring legitimate investment and entrenching informal economies that evade taxation and . Long-term adherence to controls impedes structural reforms, locking economies into low-productivity traps; cross-country regressions show that countries maintaining outflow restrictions experience diminished growth compared to liberalizing peers. While some reserve accumulation under controls may temporarily bolster stability in emerging markets, the net effect remains negative, as evidenced by reduced credit allocation to high-return projects and heightened vulnerability to evasion-driven . These costs underscore the causal link between sustained interventions and foregone opportunities for market-driven efficiency.

Effects on Trade, Investment, and Growth

Foreign exchange controls, by restricting the of domestic for international transactions, impose barriers to comparable to non-tariff measures, empirically reducing bilateral trade flows between countries with such controls and their partners. A study analyzing data from over 100 countries in the and found that an increase in the intensity of exchange controls by one standard deviation lowers trade volumes by an amount equivalent to a 6-10% hike, as controls complicate payments, foster uncertainty, and encourage evasion tactics that raise transaction costs. These distortions persist even after for other trade policy variables, with controls on current account transactions particularly harming export competitiveness by limiting access to foreign exchange for inputs and . On investment, foreign exchange controls deter (FDI) by heightening risks associated with profit repatriation and capital mobility, leading investors to favor less restricted markets. Empirical analysis of IMF data from 136 countries between 1980 and 2003 indicates that tighter controls correlate with lower FDI inflows, as they signal policy unpredictability and reduce expected returns of transfer risks. For instance, controls often necessitate approvals for outbound remittances, which can delay or block returns, prompting multinational firms to allocate capital elsewhere; cross-country regressions show that liberalizing these controls boosts FDI by 1-2% of GDP in recipient economies over subsequent years. Domestic investment suffers similarly, as controls fragment financial markets, elevate black market premiums (sometimes exceeding 20% in controlled regimes), and misallocate savings toward inefficient state-directed channels rather than productive private ventures. Regarding economic growth, sustained foreign exchange controls impede long-term GDP expansion by constraining efficient capital allocation and trade integration, with panel data from developing economies revealing a negative association between control intensity and per capita growth rates. Regressions on 1970-2000 data across 50+ countries demonstrate that countries maintaining comprehensive controls experience 0.5-1% lower annual growth compared to liberalized peers, attributable to reduced productivity gains from global competition and technology transfer via FDI and exports. Liberalization episodes, such as those in Chile (1980s) and India (1991), yielded growth accelerations of 2-3% post-reform, underscoring how controls perpetuate inefficiencies like overvalued currencies and rent-seeking, though short-term adjustments can involve transitional output dips. While some analyses from international financial institutions note potential growth preservation in acute crises via temporary controls, the preponderance of evidence highlights net distortions that compound over time, favoring gradual removal for sustained expansion.

Case Studies

Persistent Controls in China

China has upheld stringent foreign exchange controls on capital account transactions since the mid-1990s, even as it achieved full for operations in 1996. These measures, administered primarily by the (SAFE) under the (PBOC), restrict the free movement of to maintain macroeconomic , manage volatility, and accumulate foreign reserves, which reached approximately $3.3 trillion by early 2024. Under the "closed" policy, entities must obtain SAFE approval or adhere to quotas for outflows, such as the annual limit of $50,000 in foreign exchange for individual residents' personal needs, including overseas , , and investments. Inflows, particularly (FDI), face registration requirements to verify authenticity and compliance, preventing unapproved repatriation of profits or principal. The persistence of these controls stems from their role in averting financial crises and directing domestic savings toward state priorities, as evidenced by China's insulation from the , where rapid capital outflows devastated more open economies. Post-2008 global financial crisis, authorities intensified scrutiny on outbound investments to curb speculative flows, mandating repatriation of foreign exchange proceeds from capital transactions. Despite incremental reforms—such as the 2016 Circular on Reforming Policies for Domestic Institutions' Cross-Border Financing and the 2025 easing of restrictions on FDI and certain cross-border investments—the core framework remains intact, with SAFE retaining oversight to monitor "hot money" and ensure alignment with national development goals. Full capital account convertibility, pledged in phases since the 2005 managed float of the (RMB), has not materialized, as policymakers prioritize stability amid domestic challenges like property sector deleveraging and slowing growth. Economically, these controls have facilitated reserve accumulation and supported export-led growth by undervaluing the RMB, but they also induce distortions, including inefficient allocation between domestic and foreign assets, as residents face barriers to diversification. Shadow banking channels have emerged to circumvent restrictions, amplifying risks during periods of tightening, while opaque approval processes foster and . As of 2025, ongoing interventions in markets—bolstered by controls—sustain the RMB's managed peg, limiting its despite efforts like offshore clearing hubs, as barriers deter unrestricted use. This approach reflects a deliberate : short-term insulation from external shocks at the expense of market efficiency and integration, with empirical models indicating persistent inefficiencies in and investment returns.

Argentina's Recurrent Impositions

Argentina has repeatedly imposed foreign exchange controls since the mid-20th century, primarily to defend dwindling international reserves amid chronic fiscal imbalances, high , and capital outflows, though these measures have often signaled deeper policy failures in monetary discipline. In the Peronist era, following Juan Perón's election in 1946, the government created the Instituto Argentino de Promoción del Intercambio (IAPI) to centralize export revenues and allocate , establishing multiple exchange rates and restricting private access to dollars for imports as part of an import-substitution strategy funded by wartime export surpluses. By late 1948, convertible had fallen to critically low levels, prompting further tightening to prioritize state-directed industrialization over market allocation. During the 1980s debt crisis and under the and Raúl Alfonsín's presidency, comprehensive exchange controls were enacted in March 1981, prohibiting most private foreign currency transactions and fostering parallel black markets where rates diverged sharply from official pegs, with premiums exceeding 100% by mid-decade. These persisted through failed stabilization plans like the 1985 Austral Pact, until partial liberalization in the early 1990s under Carlos Menem's convertibility regime pegged the peso to the U.S. dollar at , effectively suspending controls. The 2001 crisis collapse of the currency board prompted immediate impositions: on December 1, 2001, the "" froze bank deposits and restricted peso withdrawals to 250 weekly, while subsequent decrees mandated exporters to surrender 100% of dollar earnings to the at unfavorable rates, alongside limits on outward transfers to curb flight estimated at $20–30 billion. Controls eased gradually post-2002 but were reimposed stringently in October 2011 as the "cepo cambiario" under , capping monthly dollar purchases at $2,000 for individuals, requiring central bank approval for most transactions, and generating a 40–50% parallel premium amid annual above 20%. Recurrence intensified in 2019: after peso devaluation exceeding 25% post-primary elections, President Mauricio Macri's September 1 decree reinstated purchase caps at $10,000 monthly and prioritized imports, followed by Alberto 's December addition of a 30% tax on foreign currency acquisitions to fund subsidies and stem $15 billion in outflows. These layered restrictions—persisting through 2023 under —created three official rates plus a , distorting by delaying payments up to 180 days and deterring foreign , with reserves dropping below $30 billion by late 2022. Such episodes underscore a pattern where controls, intended as buffers, have repeatedly amplified inefficiencies rather than addressing root causes like .

Iceland's 2008 Crisis Response

In October 2008, amid the collapse of Iceland's three largest banks—Landsbanki, Glitnir, and Kaupthing—the imposed capital controls to stem massive outflows and prevent a total breakdown of the króna . These measures restricted transactions, cross-border payments, and capital transfers without prior central bank licensing, effectively trapping approximately €5 billion in foreign assets within the failed banks' estates. The banking system's assets had ballooned to nine times Iceland's GDP by mid-2008, rendering domestic resources insufficient to backstop foreign liabilities, which prompted the controls as an emergency stabilizer following the government's of the banks on –8. The controls formed a key component of Iceland's IMF Stand-By Arrangement, approved on November 19, 2008, granting access to SDR 1.4 billion (equivalent to about $2.1 billion at the time) alongside contributions from totaling $3 billion. This marked a departure from standard IMF practice, as capital controls were explicitly endorsed to curb overshooting and preserve official reserves, which had dwindled to cover just weeks of imports. By halting non-resident withdrawals and stabilizing liquidity, the policy averted hyperinflationary pressures, with the króna depreciating 60% against the from January to October 2008 but avoiding further freefall. Although intended as temporary, the controls persisted until due to risks of renewed outflows upon removal, with phased beginning in via equity outflows and domestic investment permissions. Full removal for residents, firms, and funds occurred on March 14, , after restructuring bank estates and building reserves to $5.5 billion. The approach facilitated rejection of the Icesave accords in 2010–2011 referendums, shielding public finances from €3.9 billion in foreign deposit claims, and supported a rebound with GDP contracting 6.6% in 2009 before growing 1.7% in 2010 and 2.9% in 2011. While enabling domestic recapitalization, the extended duration distorted investment flows and elevated compliance costs, though empirical assessments attribute the controls to faster stabilization relative to uncontrolled peers like .

Russia's Post-2022 Sanctions Era

In response to Western sanctions imposed after Russia's military operation in began on February 24, 2022, which froze approximately $300 billion of Russia's international reserves and restricted access to for major banks, the (CBR) enacted emergency foreign exchange controls to prevent a ruble collapse and . The ruble depreciated sharply to over 120 per U.S. dollar by late February, prompting the CBR to raise its key to 20% on February 28 and introduce mandatory and sale of foreign earnings. These measures included restrictions on cross-border transfers by residents, limits on foreign investors' ability to repatriate dividends and sell securities, and a ban on exporting foreign currency in cash exceeding the equivalent of $10,000 starting March 2. A core component was the requirement for legal entities to sell 80% of foreign currency proceeds from contracts received since February 1, 2022, aimed at bolstering domestic liquidity and supporting the . Exemptions were available for certain transactions, but the policy effectively channeled forex inflows into the , contributing to the 's rapid to around 50-60 per U.S. by mid-2022. Additional controls targeted "unfriendly" countries (those imposing sanctions), prohibiting payouts abroad without CBR approval and imposing scrutiny on outward investments. These restrictions, while stabilizing financial markets short-term, distorted incentives for exporters by forcing sales at potentially unfavorable rates and fostering reliance on parallel imports and barter-like trade with non-Western partners such as and . Over time, the controls evolved in response to economic conditions. In May 2022, the mandatory sale rate was reduced to 50%, with further adjustments to 40-60% in subsequent years based on volatility and trade balances. By April 2023, some restrictions on foreign investors were eased, allowing limited capital repatriation to encourage inflows amid high military spending and GDP growth of 3.6% that year. However, as the weakened to over 100 per U.S. in late 2024 due to rising imports and fiscal deficits, the CBR shifted to net sales of foreign reserves, halting purchases until 2025 and intervening directly to defend the currency. In May 2025, major exporters were still required to repatriate at least 40% of earnings and sell 90% of that amount, but by August 2025, the government eliminated the mandatory sales entirely as the strengthened from oil revenues and reduced import demand. The controls mitigated immediate crisis but imposed long-term costs, including reduced of the , elevated transaction risks for businesses, and a shift toward a more state-directed economy with $647 billion in reserves (half frozen) as of early 2025. While Russian official data report adaptation through redirection and domestic , independent analyses note persistent distortions such as misallocation and vulnerability to price swings, with the policy framework retaining discretionary CBR interventions into 2025 under budget rules.

Controversies and Debates

Debates on Effectiveness in Crises

Proponents of foreign exchange controls argue that they can mitigate acute outflows during crises by restoring for monetary stabilization, as evidenced by Malaysia's imposition of controls on September 1, , which pegged the ringgit at 3.8 to the and temporarily halted trading, coinciding with a rapid economic rebound where GDP growth returned to 6.1% in after a -7.4% contraction in . This approach, supported by accompanying fiscal stimulus and credit easing, is credited by some analysts with preventing deeper contagion from the Asian , allowing authorities to avoid IMF conditionalities and achieve faster recovery compared to neighbors like and . However, critics contend that such successes are context-specific and often overstated, noting that Malaysia's controls were enacted after the worst outflows had occurred, with pre-existing foreign reserves and export resilience playing larger roles in stabilization. Empirical studies reveal mixed but predominantly skeptical results on reactive controls' ability to avert or shorten crises. A 2023 IMF analysis of 27 advanced and emerging economies experiencing crises from 1995 to 2020 found that controls tightened during crises reduced gross capital inflows but failed to significantly curb outflows or hasten recovery, with post-control GDP growth averaging -0.5 percentage points lower than without them, attributing ineffectiveness to evasion via informal channels and trade misinvoicing. Similarly, Sebastian Edwards' examination of multiple episodes, including Latin American debt crises, concluded that private agents anticipate devaluations and bypass controls through leads and lags in trade payments or abroad, rendering them "largely ineffective" against speculative pressures when fundamentals like fiscal deficits persist. Outflow controls, in particular, underperform inflow controls, as shown in cross-country regressions where the former correlate with prolonged instability rather than resolution. Opponents further highlight causal distortions, arguing from market principles that controls suppress price signals, fostering black markets and resource misallocation that exacerbate crises. In Argentina's 2001-2002 meltdown, comprehensive exchange restrictions imposed in December 2001 amid a 75% peso failed to stem or restore confidence, instead fueling a parallel dollar market where rates diverged by over 50% from official levels, delaying structural reforms and contributing to a decade of stagnation with average annual GDP growth of just 2.3% through 2011. IMF policy evolution since 2012 acknowledges controls as a temporary tool in "exceptional circumstances" but emphasizes their inferiority to macroprudential measures, with recent reviews warning that overreliance signals weakness, deterring inflows and entrenching dual exchange systems seen in recurrent Argentine impositions from 2011 to 2019. The debate underscores a tension between short-term firefighting and long-term : while selective, preemptive controls may insulate economies with strong institutions, post-crisis impositions often correlate with deeper contractions, as in a NBER review of global financial cycle effects where controls amplified volatility in emerging markets by distorting investor expectations without addressing underlying vulnerabilities like overhangs. Rigorous econometric evidence, including from 50+ crises, indicates no robust link between control intensity and reduced crisis duration or severity, with evasion costs estimated at 1-2% of GDP annually in affected economies, ultimately favoring flexible exchange regimes and fiscal prudence over administrative barriers.

Capital Flight Prevention vs. Market Distortions

Foreign exchange controls are frequently justified as a mechanism to curb , defined as rapid outflows of domestic capital in response to perceived risks such as currency devaluation or policy instability, thereby preserving foreign reserves and stabilizing the . Proponents, including some policymakers in emerging markets, argue that abrupt exacerbates "sudden stops" in capital inflows, leading to reserve depletion; for instance, controls on outflows can temporarily reduce the velocity of flight by rationing access to foreign currency, as observed in Chile's 1990s encaje system, which imposed reserve requirements on inflows and modestly dampened short-term speculative movements. However, empirical analyses indicate such measures often provide only short-lived relief, with persisting through informal channels like trade misinvoicing or networks, ultimately eroding policy credibility and prolonging crises. Critics emphasize that these controls introduce profound market distortions by severing price signals in currency markets, fostering parallel exchange rates that diverge significantly from official pegs—sometimes by 50% or more in cases like Venezuela's bolívar in the —leading to inefficient where capital is directed toward low-productivity sectors favored by bureaucratic approvals rather than market viability. Such rationing creates rents exploitable by insiders, incentivizing and ; for example, black markets for emerge ubiquitously under controls, amplifying inflationary pressures through velocity mismatches and reducing overall , as evidenced by cross-country studies linking persistent controls to 1-2% lower annual GDP growth. Moreover, by signaling underlying vulnerabilities, controls deter and erode domestic savings mobilization, as investors anticipate future losses or evasion costs. The tension manifests in a causal : while controls may avert immediate reserve exhaustion—reducing outflow responsiveness to by up to 30% in select IMF case studies—they simultaneously amplify distortions that undermine long-term stability, such as credit misallocation and fiscal indiscipline born from the illusion of insulated policy space. Recent IMF research on outflow controls during distress episodes confirms their association with deeper GDP contractions and prolonged recoveries, suggesting that market-based alternatives like credible monetary tightening or fiscal restraint more effectively address flight roots without the evasion-inducing rigidities. This underscores a first-principles insight: interfering with voluntary capital mobility distorts incentives, often magnifying the very pressures controls seek to contain, as agents adapt via underground economies that evade oversight and perpetuate in access to .

International Policy Shifts and Reforms

Following the collapse of the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate regime in 1973, advanced economies progressively dismantled capital controls, building on earlier achievements in current account convertibility established in the late 1950s. By the 1980s, major industrial countries had largely abolished restrictions on capital movements, enabling greater financial integration and resource allocation efficiency. This shift reflected a recognition that persistent controls distorted incentives and limited access to international capital markets, with empirical analyses indicating that such barriers reduced trade volumes equivalently to substantial tariff equivalents. In emerging markets, a pronounced wave of liberalization occurred from the late 1980s through the mid-1990s, often as part of broader structural reforms addressing debt crises and macroeconomic instability. Capital controls, which had intensified in the early 1980s amid volatility, declined dramatically during this period, with many countries easing restrictions on foreign exchange transactions to attract inflows and stabilize currencies. For instance, acceptance of IMF Article VIII—committing members to avoid restrictions on current international payments—rose from 30% of members in 1970 to 45% by 1990, accelerating further in the ensuing decade as economies integrated into global markets. Regional integrations reinforced these reforms; within the , exchange controls were fully abolished on July 1, 1990, as the initial stage of , facilitating seamless capital mobility across member states. The initially championed capital account opening in the through and lending conditionality, viewing it as essential for growth and efficiency, though financial crises like Asia's in 1997-1998 exposed vulnerabilities to sudden stops. In response, IMF policy evolved toward pragmatism; the 2012 Institutional View on the Liberalization and Management of Capital Flows acknowledged that while yields net benefits, targeted capital flow management measures—temporary and nondiscriminatory—could mitigate systemic risks in specific circumstances, such as surges or outflows threatening stability. This framework balanced liberalization's advantages, including enhanced access to global savings, against the need for safeguards, without endorsing blanket controls. Globally, these shifts reduced the prevalence of exchange restrictions, with post-2000 data showing sustained progress in despite episodic reimpositions during crises, underscoring a causal link between and improved economic resilience over the long term.

References

  1. [1]
    [PDF] Exchange and Capital Controls as Barriers to Trade - WP/98/81
    Exchange controls act as a tax on the foreign currency required for purchasing foreign goods and services and, by raising the domestic price of imports ...
  2. [2]
    CHAPTER 10 Exchange Restrictions: The Setting in - IMF eLibrary
    The term exchange controls in this volume is used to designate a broad course of action and an entire apparatus of control, which usually includes exchange ...
  3. [3]
    [PDF] Exchange and Capital Controls as Barriers to Trade
    Exchange controls act as a tax on the foreign currency required for pur- chasing foreign goods and services and, by raising the domestic price of imports, they.
  4. [4]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES TRADE POLICY, EXCHANGE ...
    The collapse of export prices for commodity producers and the outflow of capital starting in 1929 led many countries to impose foreign exchange controls and.
  5. [5]
    5 Experience with Exchange Controls in the Arab Countries in
    Exchange controls are accompanied by a parallel market for foreign exchange, which constitutes a means for the diversion of foreign exchange inflows from ...
  6. [6]
    [PDF] Collateral Damage: Exchange Controls and International Trade
    Jan 1, 2007 · They cover 35 controls that explicitly target transactions related to international trade, including requirements for a foreign exchange budget ...
  7. [7]
    Black markets in foreign exchange: Origins, nature, and implications in
    Mar 1, 1985 · Exchange controls have frequently been used by countries attempting to protect their international reserves in periods o balance of payments ...<|separator|>
  8. [8]
    Shining a light on currency black markets - Winton
    Dec 13, 2018 · Black markets come about when controls on foreign exchange restrict access to the official markets, forcing people to resort to unofficial ...Missing: controversies | Show results with:controversies
  9. [9]
    [PDF] The Effects of Capital Controls on Exchange Rate Volatility and Output
    One may argue that there could be a reduction on the risk premium for the domestic currency if indeed the capital control leads to a decline in exchange rate ...
  10. [10]
    Evidence Building from Little, Bhagwati, Krueger, and Balassa in the ...
    Oct 1, 2024 · Krueger analyzed the costs of foreign exchange controls (Krueger 1966) and published a famous theoretical paper on rent seeking and ...Missing: peer- | Show results with:peer-
  11. [11]
    Capital Flight - Econlib
    Capital controls encourage black markets for foreign currency and other costly methods of evasion. Those who import or export goods can also export money by ...Missing: controversies | Show results with:controversies
  12. [12]
    Exchange Controls: Meaning & How Companies Get Around Them
    Exchange controls are government-imposed limitations on the purchase and/or sale of currencies. These controls allow countries to better stabilize their ...
  13. [13]
    Exchange Control - Overview, How It Works, Objectives
    Exchange control is government-imposed restrictions on foreign currency transactions, aiming to manage balance of payments and control foreign currency trading.
  14. [14]
    Echange Control Objectives - Central Bank of The Bahamas
    Exchange Controls are a set of rules, regulations and procedures which govern all foreign currency transactions between residents of The Bahamas and residents ...
  15. [15]
    DBS Insights on Foreign Exchange Controls and Restrictions
    Foreign exchange controls are governmental restrictions on foreign currency trading and cross-border payments, used to limit capital flight and maintain  ...
  16. [16]
    Foreign exchange controls Definition | Nasdaq
    Foreign exchange controls. Various forms of controls imposed by a government on the purchase/sale of foreign currencies by residents or on the purchase/sale ...
  17. [17]
    Foreign Exchange Control - an overview | ScienceDirect Topics
    Foreign exchange controls are government regulations restricting the buying and selling of foreign currencies to manage economic stability and protect national ...The Empirical Landscape Of... · 4 The Historical Evolution... · 4.3 Gatt Exceptions And The...
  18. [18]
    Annual Report on Exchange Arrangements and Exchange Restrictions
    Dec 19, 2024 · The AREAER provides a comprehensive description of restrictions on international trade and payments, capital controls, and measures implemented in the ...
  19. [19]
    [PDF] Anatomy and Consequences of Exchange Control Regimes
    The analysis of quantitative restrictions in the trade-theoretic literature has generally relied on the so-called equivalence proposition. This Marshallian.
  20. [20]
    Multiple Exchange Rates: Expectations and Experiences in
    The major alternative form of exchange control—quantitative restrictions—does not provide fiscal or monetary benefits unless it is combined with an export tax.
  21. [21]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES EXCHANGE CONTROLS AS A ...
    In the model economy, exchange controls work as follows. The government obliges ex- porters to surrender their foreign exchange earnings at the central bank in ...
  22. [22]
    [PDF] Exchange Controls As A Fiscal Instrument - Columbia University
    Both exchange controls and inflation finance significant portions of the deficit. JEL classification: F41, E5, E63. Keywords: Exchange controls, dual, parallel, ...
  23. [23]
    [PDF] Managing Capital Inflows: What Tools to Use?
    Apr 5, 2011 · This IMF paper discusses managing capital inflows and what tools to use, including capital controls and prudential tools.
  24. [24]
    Foreign Exchange Licensing and Control - Banco de Moçambique
    Banco de Moçambique manages foreign exchange controls through licensing and monitoring, including import/export payments, capital operations, and foreign ...
  25. [25]
    [PDF] The Effectiveness of Capital Controls and Prudential Policies in ...
    Aug 5, 2011 · Capital controls have little effect on overall flows, but may change flow composition. They also have little effect on currency appreciation.<|separator|>
  26. [26]
    [PDF] Foreign exchange controls and assets declarations for politicians ...
    Level of enforcement greatly varies from country to country, depending on the quality of the regulatory framework, the enforcement structure and level of ...
  27. [27]
    History - South African Reserve Bank
    1985 ; In 1985, South Africa introduced exchange controls in response to significant capital outflows resulting from debt default and economic sanctions. The ...Missing: enforcement | Show results with:enforcement
  28. [28]
    [PDF] 80s47. The South African Disconnection
    Apr 5, 1988 · 5 billion left South Africa after the reintroduction of exchange controls in September 1985. The outflow has continued. During the first three ...
  29. [29]
    [PDF] Capital Controls in Times of Crisis – Do They Work?
    ABSTRACT: This paper provides an analysis of the use and effects of capital controls in 27 AEs and EMDEs which experienced at least one financial crisis ...
  30. [30]
    Capital Controls on Outflows: New Evidence and a Theoretical ...
    Jul 26, 2024 · We study capital controls on outflows (CCOs) in situations of macroeconomic and financial distress. We present novel empirical evidence ...
  31. [31]
    Capital Controls: Theory and Evidence
    This paper synthesizes recent advances in the theoretical and empirical literature on capital controls. We start by observing that international capital flows ...Missing: justifications | Show results with:justifications
  32. [32]
    When Foreign Exchange Intervention Can Best Help Countries ...
    Oct 10, 2024 · When foreign exchange markets become illiquid, a central bank can use FXI to manage sharp changes in financial conditions that may arise from ...
  33. [33]
    The Middle of the Road Leads to Socialism - Mises Institute
    The foremost vehicle for the realization of this second type of socialism in industrial countries like Germany and Great Britain is foreign exchange control.
  34. [34]
    Hayek v. Krugman – Cyprus' Capital Controls | Cato at Liberty Blog
    Mar 25, 2013 · Before more politicians fall under the spell of capital controls, they should take note of what another Nobelist, Friedrich Hayek, had to say in ...Missing: criticisms | Show results with:criticisms
  35. [35]
    Milton Friedman: Float or Fix? | Cato Institute
    Sep 2, 2008 · He concluded that adopting floating exchange rates across Europe would remove the need for exchange controls and other distortionary policies ...
  36. [36]
    Testing the Significance of the Differences among Regression Equations: Outline of the Proper Analysis of Variance
    **Summary of Milton Friedman's Arguments on Exchange Rates (Based on Provided Content):**
  37. [37]
    Exchange Controls And International Trade | NBER
    From this, the economists concluded that attempts to enforce exchange controls most likely raised the cost to firms of engaging in importing and exporting. Just ...Missing: criticisms | Show results with:criticisms
  38. [38]
    6. Foreign Exchange Control and Bilateral Exchange Agreements
    Only those people should henceforth have the right to buy foreign exchange who need it for transactions of which the government approves. Commodities the ...
  39. [39]
    Ludwig von Mises as Policy Analyst: Monetary Reform, Fiscal Policy ...
    To avoid the loss of gold and hard currency reserves, the Austrian government imposed foreign exchange controls that greatly restricted trade, with the ...
  40. [40]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES CAPITAL CONTROLS
    Also, given that success is measured so differently across studies, we sought to “standardize” the results of over 30 empirical studies we summarize in this ...
  41. [41]
    Impact of capital controls on banking crises and economic growth
    We demonstrate that capital controls lower the probability of a banking crisis (positive effect) and simultaneously reduce economic growth (negative effect).
  42. [42]
    [PDF] Capital Flight, Illicit Flows, and Macroeconomic Crises, 1960-2012
    Sep 1, 2014 · Widespread price controls and the resulting proliferation of black markets were probably responsible for the fact that roughly 68 percent of ...<|separator|>
  43. [43]
    Collateral damage: Exchange controls and international trade
    This paper investigates the negative effects of exchange controls on trade. To minimize evasion of controls, countries often intensify inspections at the border ...
  44. [44]
    [PDF] Capital Flight from South Africa, 1980 to 2000
    Capital flight negatively impacts the economy in the form of foregone private investment, tax revenue and potential public investment. The extent of accumulated.
  45. [45]
    [PDF] CAPITAL FLIGHT FROM SOUTH AFRICA: A CASE STUDY
    Jun 25, 2020 · Thereafter, exchange controls were extended over time in response to worsening domestic political conditions and external political and economic ...
  46. [46]
    Effects of Financial Autarky and Integration: The Case of the South ...
    Sep 29, 2008 · The economic embargo imposed on South Africa between 1985 and 1993 brought the country closer to financial isolation. This paper interprets the ...
  47. [47]
    [PDF] Capital Controls: Gates versus Walls - Brookings Institution
    The implication of these arguments is that long-lasting capital controls, by preventing these transactions, hamper growth, develop- ment, and economic welfare.
  48. [48]
    Catching up by 'Deglobalizing': Capital account policy and economic ...
    Capital controls can promote economic growth when combined with reserve accumulation. · This effect is stronger for emerging markets and prior to the global ...
  49. [49]
    [PDF] Capital controls: what have we learned?
    The empirical literature tends to find that capital controls have weak effects on capital flows. However, the empirical literature is plagued by a problem that ...<|separator|>
  50. [50]
    [PDF] The U.K. exchange control: a short history - Bank of England
    Exchange control, in one form or another, can be traced back for many centuries. For example, as early as 1299 there were restric.
  51. [51]
    The UK exchange control a short history | Bank of England
    For example, as early as 1299 there were restrictions on the import and export of currency into and out of England.
  52. [52]
    Mercantilism: A Libertarianism.org Guide
    Aug 15, 2008 · This doctrine, which led to a ban on the export of bullion and even coined money in some countries, was criticized by later mercantilists, such ...
  53. [53]
    Exports for Precious Metals: Mercantilism in the Early Modern World
    Mar 30, 2020 · He prohibited the export of money, levied high tariffs on foreign manufactures, and gave liberal bounties to encourage French shipping.
  54. [54]
    The return of mercantilist thinking? How an old worldview shaped ...
    Jul 16, 2025 · From its inception, mercantilism was closely linked to colonialism. European powers established overseas colonies explicitly to serve these ...
  55. [55]
    Mercantilism - Oxford Public International Law
    These European States stand for different political, geographical, and economic starting conditions, under which the mercantilist approach finally emerged.
  56. [56]
    [PDF] Exchange Control in Italy and Bulgaria in the Interwar Period
    Oct 26, 2022 · Measures aimed at regulating exchange rates were introduced in Italy back in 1917. Page 5. Exchange Control in Italy and Bulgaria in the ...
  57. [57]
    Capital controls and recovery from the financial crisis of the 1930s
    Interwar controls on the movement of capital quickly grew into more comprehensive measures that also included restrictions on the use of currency for travel and ...<|separator|>
  58. [58]
    [PDF] The political economy of the German default in the 1930s - USC Price
    Through an import licensing system, the German government allocated foreign exchange to German importing firms so as to allow them to make foreign currency ...
  59. [59]
    [PDF] Foreign Debt, Capital Controls, and Secondary Markets - DIW Berlin
    Jan 19, 2022 · (2006): “The Influence of the SS on the Foreign Exchange Controls and the Despo- liation of the German Jews, 1935-1941,” UC Berkeley: Institute ...Missing: peer- | Show results with:peer-
  60. [60]
    [PDF] The Banking System in the Nazi Military and War Economy
    With the introduction of foreign exchange control in Germany in 1931, the ties between the German creditmechanism and money and capital markets abroad were ...Missing: 1930s | Show results with:1930s
  61. [61]
    Forex in Chains, 1945–1970
    Apr 30, 2024 · The foreign exchange market in London was officially closed on the outbreak of the Second World War in 1939. It was not allowed to reopen in London until 1951.
  62. [62]
    The Federal Reserve's Role During WWII
    The goal was to facilitate legitimate transactions while erecting barriers against Axis manipulation of dollar assets and Axis access to international markets.
  63. [63]
    20th-century international relations - Allied economic management
    The most centralized and complete war mobilization of any nation. It included controls on trade, foreign exchange, wages and prices, and raw materials.
  64. [64]
    [PDF] Financial Lifelines: How the Nazi Regime Secured Foreign Currency ...
    Jul 26, 2024 · The Nazi regime engaged in extensive black market activities to obtain foreign currency and circumvent international trade restrictions. These ...
  65. [65]
    The Bretton Woods System | World Gold Council
    The Bretton Woods system was drawn up and fixed the dollar to gold at the existing parity of US$35 per ounce, while all other currencies had fixed, but ...
  66. [66]
    [PDF] The Bretton Woods Agreements
    CONTROLS OF CAPITAL TRANSFERS. Members may exercise such controls as are necessary to regulate international capital movements, but no member may exercise ...
  67. [67]
    [PDF] The Bretton Woods International Monetary System
    Indeed, the IMF's Articles of Agreement enjoin all mem- ber countries to assist in enforcing the capital controls of those countries maintaining them. This ...<|separator|>
  68. [68]
    [PDF] Post-war reconstruction and development in the Golden Age of ...
    Jul 13, 2017 · As a result of the “dollar shortage” which resulted from the war, European countries and Japan continued to use import and foreign exchange.
  69. [69]
    Launch of the Bretton Woods System | Federal Reserve History
    The Bretton Woods system became operational in 1958 with the elimination of exchange controls for current-account transactions.
  70. [70]
    Macroprudential tools, capital controls, and the trilemma - CEPR
    Jun 13, 2018 · In the Bretton woods system, capital controls ensured the independence of monetary policy. This column argues that it is impossible to understand how they ...
  71. [71]
    The Impact of Bretton Woods International Capital Controls on the ...
    Aug 24, 2023 · This paper quantifies the positive and normative impact of Bretton Woods capital controls on global and regional economic activity.
  72. [72]
    CG78400 - Foreign currency: exchange control - GOV.UK
    Mar 12, 2016 · Exchange control was introduced into the United Kingdom shortly before the outbreak of the 1939-45 war and was abolished on 24 October 1979.
  73. [73]
    75 years of Bretton Woods: why nothing (ever) worked as expected
    Jul 15, 2019 · First, Bretton Woods officially authorised capital and exchange controls to prevent international financial movements that could destabilise ...
  74. [74]
    A Look Back at Financial Repression | Richmond Fed
    Capital controls were a widespread feature of postwar Europe. Across the continent, U.S. dollars were in short supply, particularly in the early postwar ...Bretton Woods Sets The Stage · Rationing Scarce Capital In... · Financial Repression In The...<|control11|><|separator|>
  75. [75]
    US Capital Flow Management in the 1960s: The Interest ...
    Feb 20, 2020 · The IET was a tax on capital outflows. For domestic US companies and others who are lending overseas, it effectively increased the cost of foreign capital.
  76. [76]
    The operation and demise of the Bretton Woods system: 1958 to 1971
    Apr 23, 2017 · Beginning in 1944, the Bretton Woods system played a major role in shaping the global economy in the post-war period.
  77. [77]
    [PDF] The Collapse of the Bretton Woods Fixed Exchange Rate System
    The collapse of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates was one of the most accurately and generally predicted of major economic events.' Hind-.
  78. [78]
    Nixon Ends Convertibility of U.S. Dollars to Gold and Announces ...
    President Richard Nixon's actions in 1971 to end dollar convertibility to gold and implement wage/price controls were intended to address the international ...
  79. [79]
    Nixon and the End of the Bretton Woods System, 1971–1973
    Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson adopted a series of measures to support the dollar and sustain Bretton Woods: foreign investment disincentives; ...
  80. [80]
    1973: The end of Bretton Woods When exchange rates learned to float
    The Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates, which had determined the exchange rate landscape for decades, had, in effect, been abolished.
  81. [81]
    Floating Exchange Rates after Ten Years | Brookings
    TEN YEARS AGO, in March 1973, the United States and other nations abandoned efforts to maintain the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates among the ...
  82. [82]
    [PDF] The Nixon Shock and the Trading System - The International Economy
    In support of fixed exchange rates, countries maintained capital controls under the Bretton. Woods system. With the shift to flexible exchange rates, such ...
  83. [83]
    [PDF] Floating Exchange Rates after Ten Years - Brookings Institution
    Transitional floats were permitted on several occasions in the later years of the Bretton Woods period, but the change in U.S. policy in. March 1973 marked the ...
  84. [84]
    [PDF] The Internationalization of Capital - Projects at Harvard
    Bretton Woods endorsed capital con- trols, but these were relaxed in the 1970s and virtually eliminated in the 1980s and 1990s in most OECD countries.
  85. [85]
    [PDF] Agreement on Exchange Rates: Rambouillet and Jamaica
    The agreement on exchange rates was difficult due to disagreements between floating and par value systems, and the US insistence on floating rates. The ...
  86. [86]
    From the History Books: The Rethinking of the International ...
    Aug 16, 2021 · The collapse of Bretton Woods prompted a fundamental rethink about what would give stability to the international monetary system.
  87. [87]
    The Political Economy of Capital Controls and Liberalization
    Feb 15, 2019 · When in the early 1970s the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates collapsed, it was widely believed that capital controls were needed ...<|separator|>
  88. [88]
    Chapter 1: The 1980s Debt Crisis in - IMF eLibrary
    Most “external arrears” generated by a country were created by exchange restrictions. For example, an importer might miss a payment because the authorities were ...Abstract · Setting the scene (1970-80) · Containing the crisis (1981-83)
  89. [89]
    Lessons from the Monetary and Fiscal History of Latin America
    The Mexican government resorted to increasing inflation and imposing multiple exchange rates, which led to large transfers to some economic agents at the ...
  90. [90]
    [PDF] External Debt and Macroeconomic Performance in Latin America ...
    By 1980, the export-GDP ratios in Asia were far higher than those in. Latin America. Second, overvalued exchange rates in Latin Amnerica encouraged capital ...
  91. [91]
    V Capital Controls in Response to the Asian Crisis in: Malaysia
    In tandem with the pegging of the exchange rate, the authorities introduced capital Controls in September 1998, aimed at restricting portfolio outflows and ...
  92. [92]
    [PDF] Capital and Control: Lessons from Malaysia
    Mar 20, 2023 · Perhaps most significant is the fact that the capital controls were imposed more than a year after the finan- cial crisis began in July 1997.
  93. [93]
    [PDF] Malaysian Capital Controls - World Bank Open Knowledge Repository
    Malaysian authorities implemented controls on and the authorities made good use of this time, international capital flows late in the Asian crisis, when.<|separator|>
  94. [94]
    [PDF] Malaysia: Was it Different? Rudi Dornbusch Working Paper 8325
    Capital controls were imposed after the crisis was over, as interest rates in all Asian crisis economies, including Malaysia, were already declining rapidly ...
  95. [95]
    [PDF] The history of the Bank of Russia's exchange rate policy
    The government debt crisis of 1998 triggered a shift to a managed floating exchange rate. After that crisis, exchange rate dynamics were largely market-driven.
  96. [96]
    [PDF] A Case Study of a Currency Crisis: The Russian Default of 1998
    On. August 17 the government floated the exchange rate, devalued the ruble, defaulted on its domestic debt, halted payment on ruble-denominated debt (primar-.
  97. [97]
    Russia's 1998 currency crisis: what lessons for today?
    May 16, 2022 · In 1998, Russia experienced a major currency crisis when the rouble lost over two-thirds of its value in three weeks, as well as a default on ...
  98. [98]
    The Role of the IMF in Argentina, 1991-2002 Draft Issues Paper for ...
    In December 2001, the Argentine authorities imposed a partial deposit freeze. With Argentina no longer in compliance with the conditions of the expanded IMF- ...
  99. [99]
    Foreign Exchange Controls In Argentina - vLex
    In December 2001 and after over ten years of economic deregulation, the Central Bank of the Republic of Argentina (the "Central Bank") imposed very tight ...
  100. [100]
    [PDF] Argentina's 2001 economic and Financial Crisis: Lessons for europe
    In the end, the fixed exchange rate regime collapsed and the country declared what until now has been the largest sovereign default in history ($85 billion) .
  101. [101]
    The impact of the 2001 financial crisis and the economic policy ...
    The government defaulted on its debt, repealed the convertibility regime of the Peso and devalued its currency to 1.4 Peso per US$.<|separator|>
  102. [102]
    [PDF] Capital Controls: Country Experiences with Their Use and ...
    This paper aims to develop a deeper understand- ing of the role that capital controls may play in coping with volatile movements of capital, and of.
  103. [103]
    Capital Controls: Mud in the Wheels of Market Efficiency Kristin J ...
    The most frequently cited benefit of capital controls is that they can reduce country vulnerability to crises. This claim is supported by events during the ...Missing: claimed | Show results with:claimed
  104. [104]
    [PDF] Malaysia's September 1998 Controls: Background, Context, Impacts ...
    In September 1998, the Malaysian authorities introduced capital and other currency controls. This was clearly an important challenge to the prevailing ...
  105. [105]
    98271-WP-Malaysia-Capital-Controls-Box385353B-PUBLIC.txt
    8 Short-term inflows in 1998 are projected to be negative, -6% of GDP, in contrast to 4% of GDP in 1997. FDI has also slowed from around 7% of GDP in 1997 ...
  106. [106]
  107. [107]
    10 - Short-Term Capital Controls and Malaysia's Fast Recovery after ...
    Nov 16, 2017 · Capital controls on short-term capital outflows as imposed by Malaysia in 1998 eliminated pressure on the economy (e.g. elimination of offshore ...
  108. [108]
    Iceland's Unorthodox Policies Suggest Alternative Way Out of Crisis
    Nov 3, 2011 · The policies that were adopted included capital controls to prevent massive capital outflows and a disorderly depreciation of the exchange rate.
  109. [109]
    [PDF] Iceland: Ex Post Evaluation of Exceptional Access Under the 2008 ...
    Apr 30, 2012 · Imposing capital controls helped avoid a further sharp depreciation and exchange rate overshooting, given the very large size of nonresident ...
  110. [110]
    Frozen markets: Iceland's experience with capital controls - SUERF
    Sep 23, 2021 · In late 2008, Iceland imposed capital controls in response to a severe financial crisis, these were maintained until 2017.
  111. [111]
    [PDF] LESSONS FROM THE ICELANDIC FINANCIAL CRISIS.
    Although the capital controls appear to have stabilized the currency, they did remain in place for an extended period, along with associated distortions ...<|separator|>
  112. [112]
    Back from the Brink: Iceland's Successful Economic Recovery
    Oct 20, 2022 · Capital controls come with the advantage of freeing up countries in crisis from using extreme interest rates to defend the value of their ...
  113. [113]
    [PDF] Malaysian Capital Controls: Macroeconomics and Institutions
    Independent of capital controls, Malaysia was well placed to experience a shallower downturn and a faster recovery than other countries. As em- phasized by ...
  114. [114]
    [PDF] International Trade, Distortions, and Long-Run Economic Growth
    The distortion that arises from foreign exchange controls always increases the price of the imported inputs and thereby lowers steady-state income, and ...
  115. [115]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES CAPITAL CONTROLS: GATES ...
    The converse of these arguments is that long-lasting capital controls hamper growth, development, and economic welfare.
  116. [116]
    [PDF] International Trade. Distortions and Long-Run Economic Growth
    Section V shows the negative effects of exchange controls on economic growth. Some empirical evidence follows in Section VI. The overall finding is that tariff ...
  117. [117]
    International Trade, Distortions, and Long-Run Economic Growth
    Trade distortions caused by tariffs and exchange controls lower the long-run growth rates more significantly in a country that needs to import more under a ...<|separator|>
  118. [118]
    [PDF] The Real Effects of Capital Controls: Firm-Level Evidence from a ...
    Further, capital controls can affect the cost of external finance and therefore firms that rely on external finance to fund their investment opportunities ( ...
  119. [119]
    The Costs of International Capital Controls | NBER
    Capital controls also tend to skew corporate behavior in ways that ultimately stymie investment. One study found that as U.S.-based multinational firms try to ...
  120. [120]
    Beware the Side Effects: Capital Controls, Trade, Misallocation and ...
    Feb 16, 2023 · We show that capital controls have large adverse effects on misallocation, exports and welfare using a dynamic Melitz-OLG model with heterogeneous firms.
  121. [121]
    The pitfalls of parallel currency markets: higher inflation and lower ...
    Mar 15, 2022 · High and chronic inflation, poor growth, and low control of corruption are common features among this group.
  122. [122]
    [PDF] The Effects of Exchange Controls on the Venezuelan Economy Or ...
    Many importers claim that they have been denied the right to buy dollars for political reasons. The Permit Process and Corruption. The permit system created by ...
  123. [123]
    The Impact of Corruption on the Black Market Premium - jstor
    A country with a higher rate of such distortions (or a high rate of corruption) is perceived by foreign investors as a less efficient country. Therefore ...
  124. [124]
    Capital Controls, Accumulation of Reserves, and Economic Growth
    Apr 1, 2023 · Strong capital controls coupled with foreign reserve accumulation can contribute to growth in real GDP and total factor productivity, particularly in emerging ...
  125. [125]
    [PDF] The Effect of Capital Controls on Foreign Direct Investment ...
    Increased ownership increases exposure to risk resulting in high-control modes with high returns and risks, and low-control modes (e.g. licences and other ...
  126. [126]
    [PDF] Capital Inflows: The Role of Controls; by Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish R ...
    Feb 19, 2010 · 11 At a most basic level, the greatest concern is that widespread use of capital controls by EMEs could have deleterious effects on the ...
  127. [127]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES DOES TRADE REFORM ...
    A consistent finding is that trade reforms have a positive impact on economic growth, on average, although the effect is heterogeneous across countries. Overall ...<|separator|>
  128. [128]
    [PDF] China: the evolution of foreign exchange controls and the ...
    Economic and financial integration have made remarkable contributions to China's rapid economic growth, but have also had a dragging effect on the adjustment ...
  129. [129]
    State Administration of Foreign Exchange
    Data on Foreign Exchange Settlement and Sales by Banks: 2025-10-22 ; Cross-border Receipts and Payments by Non-banking Sectors: 2025-10-22 ; Official Reserve ...Circular of the State... · Contact Us · Annual Report of the State... · About SAFE
  130. [130]
    China's Foreign Exchange Reserves: Past and Present Security ...
    China's foreign exchange reserves totalled roughly $3.3 trillion, including more than $1 trillion in US Treasury bonds.
  131. [131]
    Foreign Exchange Controls in China - Tradecommissioner.gc.ca
    Nov 2, 2021 · Currently, the government is using China (Shanghai) pilot free trade zone to test full currency convertibility and further liberalizations for ...
  132. [132]
    China - Foreign Exchange Controls | Privacy Shield
    The People's Bank of China (PBOC) and State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) regulate the flow of foreign exchange in and out of the country and ...
  133. [133]
    Major Functions_State Administration of Foreign Exchange
    To be responsible for supervising and checking the authenticity and legality of the receipt and payment of foreign exchange under the current account according ...
  134. [134]
    [PDF] Capital account management and its outlook in China - BIS papers ...
    For example, the SAFE requires all foreign exchange proceeds from capital account transactions overseas to be repatriated to China on a timely basis. In sum, ...
  135. [135]
    Circular of the SAFE on the Policies for Reforming and ...
    Dec 19, 2016 · A domestic institution shall comply with the following regulations in using foreign exchange receipts under the capital account and the RMB ...
  136. [136]
    SAFE further eases control over FDI and cross-border capital ...
    Oct 15, 2025 · The Notice signals China's continued efforts to liberalize restrictions over cross-border capital account transactions, promoting innovation- ...
  137. [137]
    China's FX Rules in 2025: New Measures Ease Cross-Border ...
    Sep 22, 2025 · China's FX rules in 2025 have been updated to ease cross-border investment, including facilitating property purchases for foreigners.
  138. [138]
    20 Years of Missed Opportunities in China's Exchange Rate Policy
    Jul 23, 2025 · We review the most important moments of China's exchange rate reforms since 2005, what has changed in twenty years, and more remarkably, ...Missing: history | Show results with:history
  139. [139]
    Capital controls in China: A necessity for macroeconomic stability
    The model shows that capital controls distort the allocation of assets between domestic bonds and foreign assets held by residents, leading to inefficiencies.
  140. [140]
    Internationalization of the Chinese renminbi: progress and outlook
    Aug 30, 2024 · The Chinese renminbi fraction of allocated official foreign exchange (FX) reserves has more than doubled from 1.1 percent in 2016 to 2.8 ...
  141. [141]
    Yuan Internationalisation Accelerates: China Market Trends 2025
    Aug 15, 2025 · China's capital controls and intervention in FX markets continue to limit the RMB's attractiveness for unrestricted use. Exporters may ...
  142. [142]
    Milei's Key Pending Task: Ending Argentina's Currency Controls ...
    Jan 10, 2025 · In November 1881, Juan José Dardo Rocha, governor of the Province of Buenos Aires, passed a decree that forbade the use of a widely used ...
  143. [143]
    [PDF] Argentina's Experience with Parallel Exchange Markets: 1981-1990
    Argentina's history of exchange controls and parallel exchange markets dates from the beginning of the 1930s and has persisted, with occasional episodes of ...Missing: details | Show results with:details
  144. [144]
    [PDF] Pre-peronist Argentina and the Origins of IAPI
    The government, controlling the bulk of total exchange dealings17, henceforth sold foreign currencies at a price substantially above the official buying rate ( ...
  145. [145]
    Perón's Legacy: Inflation In Argentina, An Institutionalized Fraud
    Jan 30, 2015 · In December 1948, Argentina's gold reserves and convertible foreign exchange (i.e., foreign exchange that could be used freely) decreased to ...
  146. [146]
    Multiple Exchange Rate Systems: The Case of Argentina 9 in
    Exchange controls were imposed in 1981, and the short time characterized by a spike in the parallel market rates—the second phase—represented a transition for ...<|control11|><|separator|>
  147. [147]
    [PDF] Foreign exchange intervention in Argentina
    May 8, 2020 · Up to December 2001, Argentina used a currency board system and the role of the central bank was to exchange, without restriction, pesos and US ...
  148. [148]
    [PDF] Argentina's Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies after the ...
    Finally, in December 2001, the government established hard restrictions on capital movements and on the retirements of cash from banks (the so-called “ ...
  149. [149]
    [PDF] Exchange Controls As A Fiscal Instrument
    The first cepo cambiario lasted from October 2011 to December 2015 and had an average exchange-rate gap of 45 percent. The second cepo cambiario started in ...Missing: recurrent | Show results with:recurrent
  150. [150]
    Cepo & Currency Competition
    May 17, 2024 · The set of restrictions on the purchase of foreign currency from people and companies in the Single and Free Exchange Market (MULC) is called “cepo” in ...
  151. [151]
    Argentina imposes currency controls to support economy - BBC
    Sep 2, 2019 · People still have bad memories of the "corralito", imposed in 2001, which stopped all withdrawals of dollars from bank accounts for a whole year ...
  152. [152]
    Argentina, plus ça change… - Bruegel
    Sep 9, 2019 · Faced with this environment, Macri opted for a gradual approach to economic reform (gradualismo). He eliminated the cepo cambiario and ...
  153. [153]
    Exchange rate controls and foreign reserves - Uc3nomics - UC3M
    Sep 30, 2024 · We use the introduction of the “cepo cambiario” in Argentina in the third quarter of 2011 as a natural experiment. We construct a synthetic ...Missing: recurrent | Show results with:recurrent
  154. [154]
    Overview of Argentine Capital Controls (History and Recent Impact ...
    Apr 6, 2021 · Argentina has a long and complicated history of capital controls (also known as cepo) aimed at influencing the FX market.<|separator|>
  155. [155]
    Seminar: Iceland's capital controls and the resolution of its ...
    Nov 21, 2017 · Iceland's capital controls were imposed in October 2008 in order to prevent massive capital flight and a complete collapse of the exchange rate.Missing: exact date
  156. [156]
    Iceland - State.gov
    The Central Bank of Iceland imposed capital controls in October 2008 to prevent a massive capital outflow by foreign investors with stakes in the Icelandic ...
  157. [157]
    [PDF] The banking crisis in Iceland
    Capital controls were a novel feature of the IMF programme, but they were kept in place for much longer than originally planned because their removal proved to ...
  158. [158]
    IMF Lending Case Study: Iceland
    The capital controls have largely been lifted, closing an important chapter in the country's financial crisis saga. Iceland's current account and budget have ...
  159. [159]
    [PDF] Iceland - International Monetary Fund (IMF)
    Nov 15, 2008 · As an emergency measure the Parliament of Iceland on October 6, 2008 passed a law that gave the Iceland. Financial Supervisory Authority (FME) ...
  160. [160]
    Ragnarök: Iceland's Crisis, its Successful Stabilization Program, and ...
    Sep 15, 2018 · In fact, the possibility of imposing capital controls is explicitly acknowledged in the IMF's Institutional View, which discusses the prevailing ...
  161. [161]
    Down But Not Out: The Russian Economy Under Western Sanctions
    Apr 11, 2025 · After the invasion of Ukraine, Russia installed capital controls for foreigners to keep capital from leaving the country. In April 2023, Putin ...
  162. [162]
    Russia counters sanctions' impact with currency controls, averts ...
    May 31, 2022 · Because the sanctions prevent foreign exchange reserve sales, the central bank responded with strict capital outflow controls. Russian residents ...Missing: post | Show results with:post
  163. [163]
    Measures adopted by Russia in response to sanctions
    Russian exporters can apply to the Central Bank for an exemption from the requirement for the compulsory sale of 80% of their foreign currency revenues. The ...
  164. [164]
    [PDF] Business related sanctions in Russia - Alliuris
    In addition, a ban on export of foreign currency in cash equivalent to more than USD 10,000 from Russia was introduced from March 2, 2022. The Central Bank ...Missing: details | Show results with:details
  165. [165]
    Monitoring of the Federal Legislation dated 31.03.2022 - Garant.ru
    Information Statement of the Bank of Russia dated March 5, 2022 "Information on the mandatory sale of foreign exchange earnings by exporters on March 5, 2022".
  166. [166]
    [PDF] Bank of Russia extends period for sale of foreign currency earnings ...
    303, dated 23 May 2022, the amount of foreign currency subject to mandatory sale is reduced from 80% to 50% of the total amount of export foreign currency ...Missing: details | Show results with:details<|separator|>
  167. [167]
    Russian central bank intervenes as rouble tumbles past 110 to the ...
    Nov 27, 2024 · Russia's central bank said on Wednesday it would stop foreign currency purchases in order to ease pressure on the financial markets.
  168. [168]
    Russia extends mandatory sale of forex revenue by exporting ...
    May 22, 2025 · Major exporters must repatriate at least 40% of their foreign currency earnings and sell at least 90% of the repatriated earnings on the ...
  169. [169]
  170. [170]
    Russia struggles to balance fiscal and monetary policy demands
    Sep 26, 2025 · The ruble is no longer a freely convertible currency as Russia has imposed various capital controls.
  171. [171]
    [PDF] MONITORING OF RUSSIA'S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK - SSRN
    In Q1 2025, Russia's international reserves grew by 6.3% to $647bn mainly due to positive revaluation. It should be noted that in Q1 2025 the volume of ...
  172. [172]
    Russia's CBRF to resume regular forex operations under budget ...
    Dec 26, 2024 · The bank said its first-half forex sales plan would run from Jan 9 - June 30, 2025. Under Russia's budget rule, the finance ministry sells ...
  173. [173]
    (PDF) The Malaysian Capital Controls: A Success Story?
    Aug 6, 2025 · The analysis suggests that carefully designed temporary capital controls were successful in providing Malaysian policymakers a viable setting ...
  174. [174]
    [PDF] How Effective Are Capital Controls? Sebastian Edwards Working ...
    His results suggest that, after controlling for other variables, capital restrictions have no significant effects on macroeconomic performance.
  175. [175]
    [PDF] The Role of Capital Controls in Financial Crises - Bond Law Review
    Inflow and Outflow Controls Compared. The empirical research suggests that inflow controls are more effective than outflow controls.38 Outflow controls are ...
  176. [176]
    [PDF] Lessons from the Argentine Crisis - IMF eLibrary
    In all past episodes of a financial crisis triggered by large capital outflows, the catalytic approach had failed before a more flexible exchange rate regime.
  177. [177]
    Why the IMF is Updating its View on Capital Flows
    Mar 30, 2022 · Today's review said that these measures, known as CFM/MPMs, can help countries to reduce capital inflows and thus mitigate risks to financial ...
  178. [178]
    The IMF's updated view on capital controls: Welcome fixes but major ...
    Apr 18, 2022 · The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently endorsed two updates to make its policies more accepting of the use of capital controls.
  179. [179]
    [PDF] NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES CAPITAL CONTROLS
    If evaluated through the lenses of the new theories, the empirical evidence reviewed suggests that capital controls can have the intended effects, even though.
  180. [180]
  181. [181]
    [PDF] Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Instability in Developing ...
    reported 10 separate categories for controls on capital transactions ... account controls, export receipt controls, and multiple exchange rates. The ...Missing: quantitative | Show results with:quantitative
  182. [182]
    [PDF] FOREIGN EXCHANGE CONTROLS, FISCAL AND MONETARY ...
    Parallel or black markets for foreign currencies have become common phenomena in developing countries, with parallel exchange rates deviating, in some cases, ...<|separator|>
  183. [183]
    III Effectiveness of Capital Controls in - IMF eLibrary
    Thus, although capital controls were effective in reducing the response of capital flight to increases in default risk, economic agents still managed to react ...
  184. [184]
    Capital Controls on Outflows: New Evidence and a Theoretical ...
    Jul 26, 2024 · We present novel empirical evidence indicating that CCO implementation is associated with crises and declines in GDP growth.
  185. [185]
    Advanced Country Experiences with Capital Account Liberalization
    Dec 30, 2016 · After the industrial countries established current account convertibility in the late1950s, they began to phase out their capital controls.
  186. [186]
    Advanced Country Experiences with Capital Account Liberalization
    In the 1980s, many advanced countries made significant progress in liberalizing capital movements. Virtually all capital controls have now been abolished among ...
  187. [187]
    [PDF] Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting ...
    The degree of capital controls increased in the early 1980s to dramatically decline in the 1990s. The profile of the capital controls index is strikingly ...
  188. [188]
    [PDF] The International Monetary Fund Capital Account Liberalization in ...
    Traditionally, emerging markets tended to rely on capital controls. However, the late 1980s through the mid 1990s saw a dramatic wave of liberalization. As ...<|separator|>
  189. [189]
    [PDF] The International Monetary Fund: Its Present Role in Historical ...
    In 1960, 13% of the IMF's members had accepted current account convertibility under Article VIII, in. 1970 30%, and by 1990 45%. By 1998, however, of the ...
  190. [190]
    The implementation of the first stage against a backdrop of ...
    On 10 September 1971 the European Commission addressed a memorandum to the Council of Ministers detailing its views on the measures planned by Europe to cope ...Missing: abolition | Show results with:abolition
  191. [191]
    [PDF] The IMF's Approach to Capital Account Liberalization
    During the 1990s, the IMF clearly encouraged capital account liberalization, but the evaluation sug- gests that, in all the countries that liberalized the ...Missing: trends historical
  192. [192]
    [PDF] An Institutional View; IMF Policy Paper; November 14, 2012
    Nov 14, 2012 · This paper clarifies the trade-offs between policy options for dealing with capital flows, harnessing the benefits of capital mobility, and ...
  193. [193]
    A welcome evolution: The IMF's thinking on capital controls and next ...
    Apr 8, 2022 · Country officials appreciated that the IMF had become both more open to the use of capital controls as a policy tool to handle inflow surges ...
  194. [194]
    Capital Accounts: Liberalize or Not? - Back to Basics
    Capital account liberalization presumably results in a higher degree of financial integration of that country with the global economy.