Fact-checked by Grok 2 weeks ago

Jared Diamond

Jared Mason Diamond (born September 10, 1937) is an American professor of geography and physiology at the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), known for his interdisciplinary work applying biogeography, evolutionary biology, and physiology to explain patterns in human societal development and historical outcomes. Diamond's research emphasizes how geographical and environmental contingencies, such as continental orientations and access to domesticable species, shaped the trajectories of human societies more than inherent cultural or genetic differences. His seminal book Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies (1997) posits that Eurasia's east-west axis enabled faster diffusion of agriculture, technology, and disease resistance compared to the Americas or sub-Saharan Africa, contributing to conquest dynamics rather than superior ingenuity. This work earned the 1998 Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction and influenced discussions on inequality and historical determinism. Subsequent books like Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005) analyze how environmental mismanagement and decision-making led to the downfall of civilizations such as the Maya and Easter Islanders, advocating for sustainable practices informed by past failures. While Diamond's frameworks have been lauded for synthesizing empirical data from multiple fields to challenge Eurocentric narratives of progress, they face criticism from anthropologists and historians for overemphasizing environmental determinism at the expense of human agency, cultural innovation, and proximate political factors. These critiques argue that his models simplify complex historical contingencies and underplay evidence of independent inventions or adaptive strategies in non-Eurasian societies.

Background

Early Life and Education

Jared Diamond was born on September 10, 1937, in , , to Louis K. Diamond, a pediatrician who had immigrated from the region now part of , and Flora K. Diamond, a teacher, musician, and linguist of Polish-Jewish heritage. He grew up in with one sister who was one and a half years older, in a household that included his parents and sibling. Diamond attended the before pursuing higher education. He earned a degree from in 1958, initially focusing on studies that led him toward biochemistry and . In 1959, Diamond entered graduate school at the University of Cambridge's Trinity College, where he conducted research on function and , earning a Ph.D. in in 1961. His early academic training emphasized empirical physiological mechanisms, laying the groundwork for later interdisciplinary explorations in and human societies.

Personal Life

Diamond married Marie Cohen, a clinical and at the UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine, in 1982. The couple has twin sons, Max and , born in 1987. Diamond has described his family as central to his life, with his home life providing balance amid extensive fieldwork and academic pursuits. The Diamonds reside in a neo-Georgian house near the UCLA campus in , where they maintain a household focused on intellectual and outdoor interests. He and share hobbies such as , including trips to locations like in 1994. Diamond, who grew up in with parents—a father and musician mother—and a younger sister, pursued music seriously in his youth, playing piano and considering it a potential career before shifting to .

Academic and Research Career

Professional Positions

Diamond commenced his academic career with postdoctoral research at from 1962 to 1966. In 1966, he was appointed a of at the (UCLA) School of Medicine, where he conducted research on membrane and evolutionary aspects of physiological capacities, such as nutrient transporters and biological safety factors. Diamond later expanded his roles at UCLA to include a professorship in , focusing on , human societies, and historical ; he taught courses on world regions and past societies. He held joint distinguished professorships in , , and environmental health sciences (). Following retirement, Diamond serves as Professor Emeritus of at UCLA.

Contributions to Physiology and Ornithology

Diamond earned a Ph.D. in and membrane from the in 1961, with his thesis focusing on function and epithelial mechanisms. His early research examined the biophysical processes underlying water and solute across epithelial membranes, particularly in the , where he investigated water absorption driven by active solute . In a seminal 1962 study, Diamond proposed the standing-gradient osmotic flow model to explain how epithelial cells generate osmotic gradients for coupled water and solute movement, challenging prevailing views on and in biological membranes. As a at Harvard and later as a professor of at UCLA starting in 1966, Diamond extended his work to intestinal absorption and the evolutionary matching of and transporter capacities to dietary demands, publishing on topics such as membrane fixed charges' effects on potentials and paracellular glucose transport. These contributions advanced understanding of epithelial barrier functions and adaptive physiological designs, with applications to regulation and organ-specific transport variations across . Diamond's interests shifted toward in the mid-1960s during field expeditions to , where he began studying avian and community assembly. His surveys, including elevational transects on Mount Karimui in 1965 and Karkar Island in 1969, documented bird species distributions that empirically validated and refined MacArthur and Wilson's theory of island , revealing patterns of , turnover, and saturation on fragmented habitats. In ornithology, Diamond contributed foundational insights into tropical bird ecology, particularly New Guinea's avifauna, by identifying "assembly rules" governing community structure—such as competitive exclusions leading to non-random species combinations and checkerboard distributions on islands. He highlighted New Guinea's role as a natural laboratory for evolutionary processes, attributing its high bird diversity to geological history, isolation, and adaptive radiations, which influenced global understandings of insular speciation and habitat gradients. These findings, derived from extensive fieldwork, bridged physiology's mechanistic focus with ecological pattern analysis, establishing Diamond as a pioneer in integrative evolutionary biology.

Conservation and Field Work

Efforts in New Guinea and Pacific Islands

Diamond began conducting ornithological fieldwork in in 1964, initiating a series of over 30 expeditions spanning decades to study bird distribution, , and across the island and adjacent Pacific archipelagos, including the . These efforts revealed patterns of avian driven by the island's fragmented habitats and isolation, informing biogeographic models that emphasized habitat connectivity for persistence. His observations contributed to empirical assessments of hotspots, such as montane forests where elevational gradients influence ranges. In conservation planning, Diamond applied island biogeography principles—drawing from equilibrium theory—to advocate for reserve designs that prioritize large, interconnected areas over small isolated ones, arguing that fragmentation exacerbates risks in dynamic ecosystems like 's. He developed a comprehensive strategy for Indonesian (), proposing protected zones to encompass key habitats for endemic and mammals; nearly all elements of this plan were enacted by Indonesian authorities, enhancing coverage of high-biodiversity regions. As a consultant, he advised on park systems and ecosystem management in , the , and , integrating field data on populations to guide land-use policies amid and pressures. Diamond's initiatives extended to on-the-ground projects, including expeditions to remote areas like the Foja Mountains, where in 2005 his team rediscovered the golden-fronted bowerbird (Chlamydera lafesnayei), presumed extinct for decades, and documented dozens of previously unrecorded , bolstering arguments for immediate protected status. In Papua New Guinea's Trans-Fly ecoregion, he supported the expansion of Wildlife Management Areas, such as the 2014 addition of over 1.3 million hectares to the Tonda WMA through community-led designations, urging private sector involvement to counter habitat loss from development. Resurveys of sites, including Karimui, demonstrated climate-driven upslope migrations in bird assemblages—averaging 100 meters per decade—highlighting vulnerabilities in montane refugia and necessitating adaptive conservation strategies. These findings underscore causal links between warming and range contractions, with lowland failing to recolonize vacated elevations.

Development of National Park Systems

Diamond served as a consultant for conservation and planning in , the , and , leveraging his extensive field experience in the region to advocate for protected areas that preserve amid rapid environmental changes. His work emphasized integrating ecological surveys, particularly of avian species, into park designations to safeguard endemic vulnerable to habitat loss from and human expansion. A key achievement was devising a comprehensive national park system for Indonesian New Guinea (Irian Jaya), developed in collaboration with the Indonesian government and the World Wildlife Fund during his ongoing expeditions to the area since the 1960s. The plan prioritized large-scale reserves encompassing diverse ecosystems, including montane forests and coastal zones, informed by Diamond's ornithological research that documented over 300 bird species in . Almost all elements of this blueprint were subsequently implemented, establishing foundational protected areas that now cover significant portions of the region's hotspots and mitigating threats from resource extraction. These efforts extended Diamond's influence beyond academia into practical policy, where he argued that effective park systems require government commitment to enforcement and local incentives to prevent encroachment, drawing from observations of patterns in the Pacific islands. As a founding member of the Society of Conservation Biology and board member of organizations like /USA, his planning contributions underscored the causal links between inadequate land protection and risks, as later elaborated in his writings. Despite successes, challenges persisted, including inconsistent funding and conflicts, highlighting limitations in top-down conservation models without sustained local buy-in.

Guns, Germs, and Steel (1997)

Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies is a nonfiction book authored by Jared Diamond, first published in July 1997 by W. W. Norton & Company. The work originated from a question posed to Diamond in 1972 by Yali, a local politician in Papua New Guinea, inquiring why white people possessed abundant "cargo" (material goods and technology) while indigenous peoples had little. Diamond frames this as emblematic of broader historical disparities in societal development, rejecting explanations rooted in racial or intellectual superiority in favor of geographic and environmental factors. The book sold over two million copies and received the 1998 Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction. Diamond's central thesis posits that the uneven distribution of power and technology across human societies arose from biogeographic differences among continents, amplified over millennia through feedback effects, rather than inherent human variances. He distinguishes proximate causes—such as guns, weapons, and resistance that enabled Eurasian conquests of other regions—with ultimate causes traceable to environmental advantages in . benefited from a east-west continental axis spanning similar climates, facilitating the diffusion of crops, , and innovations across latitudes, unlike the north-south axes of the and , which hindered such spread due to varying day lengths, temperatures, and rainfall. Additionally, hosted more species suitable for domestication: approximately 13 of the 14 large terrestrial species capable of yielding significant , compared to zero in and the post-Pleistocene extinctions. The book argues that these factors enabled independent domestication of food crops and animals starting around 8500 BCE in the Fertile Crescent, leading to sedentary agriculture, food surpluses, population growth, and social stratification by approximately 5000–4000 BCE. Agriculture supported higher population densities, which fostered infectious diseases from zoonotic origins—Eurasians developed partial immunity to pathogens like smallpox and measles derived from domesticated animals, granting a lethal advantage during conquests, as evidenced by the 90% population decline in the Americas post-1492 from Old World epidemics. Diamond further contends that dense populations spurred technological innovation and centralized political organization, culminating in "guns, germs, and steel" that propelled Eurasian dominance, such as Francisco Pizarro's 168-man force capturing Inca emperor Atahualpa at Cajamarca in 1532 despite vast numerical inferiority. Structurally, the book comprises a on Yali's question, five parts examining historical patterns up to 1500 CE, the origins and spread of , the chain from to advanced societies, regional variations across continents, and an applying the framework to modern policy in . Diamond draws on interdisciplinary evidence from , , , and to support claims, such as the Fertile Crescent's wild progenitors for , , sheep, and enabling early farming, while Australia's isolation limited comparable developments. He emphasizes that these environmental contingencies shaped human history's "broad pattern," though he acknowledges contingencies in specific outcomes.

Collapse (2005)

Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed is a by Jared Diamond published in 2005 by Viking, a division of (USA), with 978-0-670-03337-9 for the original hardcover edition. The work analyzes the of various historical societies, attributing their downfall primarily to environmental mismanagement compounded by other pressures, while emphasizing that societal decisions play a decisive role in outcomes. Diamond structures the book around comparative case studies, drawing on archaeological, historical, and ecological evidence to argue that modern societies can learn from past failures to avoid similar fates. Diamond proposes a five-point framework for understanding , integrating environmental stressors with human responses. The first four points encompass external and self-inflicted challenges: (1) human-induced environmental damage, such as , , water mismanagement, overhunting, and ; (2) altering resource availability; (3) hostile neighbors leading to or ; and (4) loss of essential trading partners disrupting . The fifth point, societal responses, hinges on political, economic, institutions, and cultural values, which determine whether a recognizes problems, accepts , and implements effective solutions. Diamond illustrates this framework through detailed examinations rather than deterministic causation, noting that not all factors apply equally to every case, and successful adaptations—like resource conservation in Tokugawa —demonstrate viable alternatives. The book opens with a contemporary of , highlighting ongoing tensions between mining, logging, ranching, and environmental conservation to frame broader themes. Historical collapses receive in-depth treatment: Easter Island's population plummeted from deforestation-driven resource scarcity by the 18th century, with no external invaders implicated; the failed around 1450 due to over-reliance on unsustainable amid cooling temperatures and isolation from ; the Classic Maya lowland cities declined between 800 and 1000 CE from agricultural overextension, , and exacerbating soil loss; and the Anasazi () abandoned their Southwest U.S. centers circa 1150–1350 owing to prolonged , resource depletion, and social strife. Contrasting successes include the Polynesian island of , where cultural practices limited population growth and preserved forests, and the Dominican Republic's efforts versus Haiti's degradation. Diamond extends analysis to modern contexts, such as Rwanda's 1994 fueled by land pressure and ethnic tensions, and Australia's mining-driven environmental -offs. Diamond critiques "bottom-up" versus "top-down" problem-solving, advocating for elite-driven recognition of long-term risks over short-term elite interests, as seen in business case studies like the mining industry. He warns of global parallels, urging industrialized nations to address , soil degradation, and before tipping points, while acknowledging that collapses are rarely monocausal but often involve ignored warning signs. The 2011 revised edition incorporates updates on cases like -Dominican Haiti contrasts.

Other Key Books and Essays

Diamond's : The Evolution and Future of the Human Animal, published in 1991, investigates human origins by highlighting biological and behavioral continuities with chimpanzees, with whom humans share approximately 98.8% of DNA, and addresses uniquely human developments like , artistic expression, and agriculture's impacts. The book also scrutinizes destructive human tendencies, including and , warning of potential self-inflicted existential risks from and habitat destruction driven by . In Why Is Sex Fun? The Evolution of Human Sexuality (1997), Diamond analyzes deviations in human reproductive strategies from other mammals, such as —which obscures fertile periods to foster pair bonding and paternal investment—and the decoupling of from estrus cycles, enabling recreational that strengthens social ties beyond mere . He attributes to evolutionary trade-offs favoring grandmotherly roles in offspring survival over further childbearing, contrasting this with continuous fertility in most animals, and posits that these traits enhanced human cooperation in resource-scarce environments. The World Until Yesterday: What Can We Learn from Traditional Societies? (2012) contrasts state-organized modern societies with pre-state tribal groups, primarily from and the , across domains like warfare—where tribal feuds often escalate via cycles absent centralized authority—and child-rearing practices that emphasize communal care and risk exposure to build . Diamond evaluates potential modern applications, such as adopting tribal to mitigate elderly cognitive decline or diverse diets to reduce chronic diseases, while acknowledging trade-offs like higher violence rates in stateless settings. Upheaval: Turning Points for Nations in Crisis (2019) extends Diamond's societal analysis to national-scale responses, examining cases including Finland's 1939–1940 against Soviet invasion, Japan's 1853–1868 amid Western pressures, and Germany's post-1945 reconstruction. Employing a therapeutic analogy inspired by psychiatrist Pauline Boss's framework for , he identifies five stages—national recognition of crisis, honest self-appraisal, , implementation, and adaptive flexibility—alongside enabling factors like strong identity and helpful allies, attributing success or failure to these elements' interplay with and . Diamond has also authored influential essays, such as "The Worst Mistake in the History of the Human Race" (1987) in Discover magazine, arguing that the Neolithic shift to agriculture reduced nutritional quality and increased disease and inequality compared to hunter-gatherer lifestyles, based on archaeological evidence of height declines and skeletal pathologies post-domestication. Other pieces, like those in Natural History on biogeography's role in species distribution, underscore his integration of evolutionary biology with historical causation.

Reception and Impact

Awards and Honors

Diamond received the Fellowship in 1985, recognizing his contributions to , , and integrative . In 1998, his book was awarded the , praised for dismantling racially based theories of human history through environmental explanations. He was conferred the U.S. in 1999 for his broad contributions to understanding human societies and environmental influences. Other honors include the , awarded for his work on societal collapses and environmental impacts, and Japan's International Cosmos Prize in 2008 for interdisciplinary research bridging science and . Diamond also earned the Rhone-Poulenc Prize (now the Royal Society Science Book Prize) in 1992 for . Additional recognitions encompass conservation medals from the Zoological Society of in 1993.

Praise for Broadening Public Understanding

Jared Diamond's works have garnered acclaim for distilling intricate concepts from , , and historical analysis into compelling, readable prose that engages lay readers. His seminal book (1997) elucidates the geographic and environmental factors influencing societal trajectories over millennia, presenting a multidisciplinary framework without invoking racial , thereby rendering these explanations approachable for non-experts. The volume's translation into 25 languages and adoption as required reading in underscore its role in disseminating such ideas beyond academic circles. Reviewers have highlighted the rarity of Diamond's clarity in blending scientific rigor with narrative accessibility, describing his approach as "highly accessible" for a science-infused historical inquiry, which has amplified its influence on public discourse about global inequalities. Similarly, (2005) applies analogous methods to dissect environmental collapses of past civilizations, earning praise for equipping general audiences with analytical tools to assess contemporary challenges. Diamond's contributions to periodicals such as , , and further exemplify this, conveying novel interdisciplinary insights to broader readerships. Prominent figures, including , have endorsed Diamond's oeuvre for its capacity to illuminate lessons from traditional societies and historical patterns, positioning his writings as vital for informed public comprehension of human development. This recognition aligns with characterizations of Diamond as an effective synthesizer of empirical data across disciplines, fostering wider appreciation for causal mechanisms in societal evolution.

Criticisms of Environmental Determinism

Critics of Jared Diamond's work, particularly (1997), have labeled his emphasis on geographic and ecological factors as a form of , arguing that it attributes historical outcomes primarily to continental axes, domesticable availability, and patterns while minimizing the role of human , , and . Geographer , in a 1999 published in Geographical Review, contended that Diamond's thesis revives discredited deterministic ideas by claiming "environment molds ," linking this to Eurocentric assumptions that privilege Eurasia's east-west orientation for crop and technology spread, which Blaut dismissed as overstated and ignoring evidence of north-south adaptations like maize from Peru to temperate zones. Blaut further criticized Diamond's dating of domestication origins, such as prioritizing the Fertile Crescent over earlier sites in China or New Guinea, attributing discrepancies to preservation biases rather than inherent environmental superiority, and accused the framework of neglecting human agency in choices like adopting pastoralism among the Khoi people. Anthropologists have echoed concerns over reduced human agency, asserting that Diamond's model portrays societies as passive responders to environmental constraints, sidelining cultural adaptations, , and motivational factors such as ambition or strategies in shaping trajectories. For instance, critiques highlight how Diamond's explanation of Eurasia's advantages overlooks instances where environmental conditions did not preclude advanced developments, like complex societies in environmentally challenging regions of or the , suggesting overreliance on distorts causal chains by subordinating endogenous social dynamics. Economists and , in their 2012 book , challenged Diamond's geographic primacy by prioritizing inclusive institutions over environmental endowments, arguing that post-colonial divergences—such as Botswana's success versus Zimbabwe's failure despite similar geographies—demonstrate how political and economic choices, not fixed ecological inheritances, drive prosperity and collapse. They acknowledged geography's influence in initially shaping institutional paths but rejected determinism, citing empirical patterns like the "reversal of fortune" among former colonies where resource-rich areas under extractive regimes fared worse than those fostering property rights and markets. These institutional critiques posit that Diamond's framework inadequately accounts for variance within similar environments, where human-designed rules and enforcement mechanisms prove more predictive of long-term outcomes than latitude or axis alone.

Debates on Human Agency and Cultural Factors

Critics of Diamond's (1997) contend that the book unduly minimizes human agency—the capacity of individuals and societies to make decisions influencing outcomes—in favor of geographic and environmental factors as primary drivers of historical divergences in power and technology. For instance, anthropologists have argued that Diamond's framework attributes Eurasian dominance largely to continental orientations facilitating east-west diffusion of crops and ideas, while largely sidelining cultural choices, such as why fragmented polities innovated militarily more aggressively than centralized empires like , which abandoned ocean-going fleets in the early despite technological capability. This approach, detractors claim, renders overly deterministic, portraying societal trajectories as inevitable products of rather than contingent responses to internal dynamics, including leadership decisions and institutional variations. Diamond has countered that his analysis does not eliminate but situates it within material constraints; geographic advantages, such as access to domesticable and axes of , created unequal starting points that amplified over millennia through loops, without invoking racial or innate cultural superiority. In the book's , he acknowledges proximate causes like individual leadership and cultural idiosyncrasies remain underexplored, framing his work as addressing ultimate rather than immediate causation. Responding to reviewers in outlets like magazine (1999–2003), Diamond emphasized that environmental factors explain broad patterns but do not preclude human choices, citing examples where isolated societies like those in demonstrated adaptive within harsh geographies. In (2005), Diamond explicitly incorporates greater emphasis on cultural and decision-making elements, analyzing how societies like the or Greenlanders failed due to maladaptive responses—such as overreliance on deforestation-prone or ideological resistance to dietary shifts—despite environmental warnings, thereby restoring as a pivotal variable in societal survival. Critics, however, maintain this adjustment comes late and inconsistently, arguing that even in , ecological determinism overshadows nuanced cultural analyses, as seen in the downplaying of elite mismanagement or belief systems in cases like the , where ethnic ideologies exacerbated resource scarcity. These debates highlight tensions between structural explanations and voluntarist accounts, with from archaeological records—such as variable adoption rates of across similar environments—supporting arguments for culturally mediated over pure geographic predestination.

Specific Controversies

Diamond's 2012 book : What Can We Learn from Traditional Societies? provoked sharp backlash from s, who accused him of oversimplifying complex ethnographic data, ignoring rigorous methodological standards, and promoting outdated stereotypes of non-state societies as uniformly violent or primitive. Critics, including anthropologist Rex Golub, argued that Diamond's synthesis lacked depth in engaging with anthropological theory on and failed to grapple with the nuances of cultural adaptation beyond environmental factors. A review highlighted the book's sparse footnotes and unsubstantiated claims, such as broad generalizations about warfare and child-rearing practices drawn from selective case studies in and other regions, without sufficient cross-cultural validation. Some detractors escalated to allegations of or "structured plagiarism" in Diamond's popular writings, claiming he condensed academic sources—such as Lee's work on hunter-gatherers—into his narratives with minimal attribution or rephrasing, presenting them as original insights. For instance, in his essay "The Worst Mistake in the History of the Human Race," critics asserted that Diamond repackaged revisionist arguments from anthropologists like Mark Nathan Cohen on the downsides of without crediting primary influences, effectively borrowing wholesale ideas under his own voice. These charges, primarily from blogs and forums, have not resulted in formal investigations or retractions but reflect ongoing tensions between Diamond's interdisciplinary synthesis and disciplinary purists who view his accessible style as diluting scholarly rigor. In (2005), specific disputes arose over Diamond's case studies, including accusations of factual distortions, such as overstating environmental causation in the Norse failure while underemphasizing social and ideological rigidities documented in archaeological records. Art critic publicly challenged Diamond's [Easter Island](/page/Easter Island) analysis, alleging he fabricated or exaggerated data on to fit his thesis, drawing from unverified secondary sources rather than primary paleoenvironmental . These episodes underscore broader academic friction, where Diamond's reliance on broad patterns over granular debates has been seen by some as empirical overreach, though he has defended his approach as necessary for public communication of interdisciplinary .

Legacy and Recent Activities

Influence on Policy and Public Discourse

Diamond's analyses of societal collapses and successes, particularly in Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005), have shaped discussions on by highlighting how past civilizations' mismanagement of resources—such as on and soil erosion in ancient territories—led to downfall, urging modern policymakers to prioritize sustainable practices amid analogous pressures like habitat loss and . The book's examination of twelve environmental stressors, including destruction and freshwater drawdowns, has informed advocacy for proactive measures in , though critics argue it overemphasizes ecological determinism at the expense of political and economic variables. As a consultant for the World Wildlife Fund, Diamond contributed to planning and conservation strategies in , the , and during the late , applying geographic and biological insights to protect hotspots and mitigate human impacts on ecosystems. His fieldwork-informed recommendations emphasized integrating local ecological knowledge with land-use policies to prevent , influencing regional efforts to balance development with preservation in island nations vulnerable to external pressures. In public engagements, such as speeches at the in 2004 on , , and interlinkages, Diamond has advocated for policies addressing exponential and its strain on finite resources, framing these as imperatives for avoiding historical pitfalls. Works like Upheaval (2019) extend this to crisis management, analyzing how nations like and adapted to existential threats through selective national therapy—drawing on past traumas and honest self-appraisal—thereby contributing to discourse on resilient governance amid contemporary challenges like and , without direct legislative enactment.

Ongoing Research and Public Engagements (Post-2019)

Following his 2019 publication Upheaval, Diamond has produced limited new scholarly output, with one notable in Project Syndicate on December 29, 2020, analyzing how the might foster greater international cooperation on existential threats like and pandemics, drawing parallels to historical national crises. This essay posits that the pandemic's visibility could catalyze , though Diamond cautions that such shifts depend on political will, evidenced by uneven global distribution data from 2020-2021 where high-income nations secured over 70% of doses despite comprising 16% of the population. Diamond's ongoing research emphasizes and , particularly the adaptive capacities of , informed by his long-term field studies in on evolution and conservation challenges amid habitat loss, with rates of deforestation in the region exceeding 1% annually in recent decades. These efforts align with his broader framework of environmental influences on societal outcomes, though no major peer-reviewed papers or books have emerged post-2019, suggesting a shift toward synthesis of prior work rather than novel empirical data collection. Public engagements have centered on applying Diamond's crisis frameworks to contemporary issues. In a December 10, 2021, podcast, he explored why past societies like Norse Greenland collapsed—citing refusal to adapt diets despite fish abundance—and argued modern technology enables avoidance of similar errors through data-driven policy, such as transitions reducing reliance on finite resources. A September 26, 2020, discussion extended Upheaval's case studies to ongoing national upheavals, emphasizing selective crisis resolution via leadership and honest self-appraisal. In a dialogue, Diamond critiqued the framing of as uniquely demanding global solutions, noting prior transnational issues like required similar coordination but faced political fragmentation, with evidence from failed 2020 multilateral pledges. More recently, on June 6, 2025, he discussed abrupt cultural declines and imperatives in a conversation, linking biological resilience to human societies' adaptive failures. On October 17, 2025, Diamond joined political scientist James Robinson for a session on modern nations' trajectories, probing geographic and institutional factors in stability versus fragility, consistent with his emphasis on causal chains over ideological narratives. These appearances underscore Diamond's role in bridging academic analysis with policy-relevant warnings, without endorsing unsubstantiated optimism amid empirical indicators of , such as rising metrics in developed economies post-2020.