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Max Boot


Max Boot (born September 12, 1969) is a Russian-born naturalized , , and foreign policy analyst specializing in and U.S. strategy. Immigrating from to the as a child, he earned a bachelor's degree from the , and a master's in from . Boot serves as the Jeane J. Kirkpatrick senior fellow for studies at the , where he has analyzed interventions and since joining in 2002. He is also a for , contributing weekly opinion pieces on international affairs and domestic politics from a perspective favoring assertive U.S. global leadership over . Among his significant achievements, Boot has authored best-selling books such as The Savage Wars of Peace (2002), which examines U.S. successes in small wars and advocates for doctrines, Invisible Armies (2013) on guerrilla warfare across , and Reagan: His Life and Legend (2024), a biography named one of the New York Times' ten best books of the year. Initially aligned with neoconservative advocacy for regime change and military engagements like the Iraq War, Boot later expressed regrets over execution while maintaining support for interventionism, and emerged as a sharp critic of Donald Trump, Republican populism, and what he terms the "corrosion of conservatism."

Early Life and Education

Childhood and Immigration to the United States

Max Boot was born on September 12, 1969, in , then part of the , to parents of descent who faced systemic oppression under the communist regime. His family background reflected the challenges endured by Soviet , including state-sponsored and restrictions on religious and cultural expression, which contributed to widespread dissatisfaction with the collectivist system. In 1976, at the age of seven, Boot immigrated to with his mother and grandmother, joining his father who had preceded them; this move was driven by the family's rejection of Soviet authoritarianism and pursuit of greater personal freedoms unavailable under . The emigration occurred amid a significant wave of Soviet Jewish exodus in the 1970s, with approximately 291,000 Jews and relatives granted exit visas between 1970 and 1988, many citing and as key factors, though precise annual figures for 1976 are not disaggregated in available records. Upon arrival in the United States, Boot encountered stark contrasts between the Soviet system's material shortages, ideological indoctrination, and surveillance state—experiences that instilled in him an early appreciation for American individualism, market-driven prosperity, and democratic openness, fostering a foundational aversion to collectivist ideologies. This transition from a repressive environment to one of opportunity reinforced his family's emphasis on over state dependency, shaping his lifelong prioritization of as a causal to totalitarian control.

Academic Training and Influences

Boot received a degree in with high honors from the in 1991. He then pursued graduate studies at , earning a degree in in 1992. His coursework at Yale centered on the historical dynamics of and , fostering an analytical framework that prioritized from past conflicts and empires over ideological abstractions. This graduate emphasis on provided Boot with tools to critique isolationist policies, drawing causal connections between historical precedents—like Britain's management of colonial insurgencies—and the requirements for sustained U.S. global engagement. While specific academic mentors from Yale are not prominently documented in Boot's public accounts, his self-directed immersion in primary sources on warfare and statecraft during this period reinforced a realist orientation, evident in his subsequent rejection of naive in favor of informed by archival realities. This training underscored the causal role of military innovation and adaptability in preserving great-power influence, themes that permeated his early intellectual development.

Professional Career

Entry into Journalism and Early Roles

Boot commenced his professional journalism career as a writer and editor at The Christian Science Monitor from 1992 to 1994, where he served briefly as an assistant national editor. In February 1994, he joined The Wall Street Journal as an assistant features editor on the editorial page. By mid-1997, Boot had advanced to editorial features editor, a role equivalent to editor, responsible for curating opinion pieces on domestic and international topics. During his eight years at the Journal, he contributed editorials that analyzed post-Cold War geopolitical shifts, including economic and political transitions in following the Soviet collapse. Concurrently, Boot engaged with emerging conservative media outlets, becoming a contributing editor to shortly after its launch in 1995 by William Kristol. He published his debut article in the magazine that year, participating in its promotion of neoconservative principles such as robust U.S. leadership in fostering democratic institutions abroad. In these early capacities at and , Boot built a reputation for incisive commentary on , frequently drawing on empirical historical precedents—like the efficacy of U.S.-led occupations after —to advocate for targeted military engagements that advanced American interests and stability in volatile regions. This foundation in conservative editorial circles positioned him as a voice for interventionist strategies amid 1990s debates over humanitarian and strategic deployments, such as in the .

Authorship of Key Books on Military History

Max Boot's The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power, published in 2002 by , analyzes over a century of U.S. military interventions from the early through , arguing that these "small wars"—including counterinsurgencies and expeditions—largely succeeded in advancing American interests and . Boot draws on historical case studies, such as the (1801–1805) and the Philippine-American War (1899–1902), to contend that U.S. forces achieved high success rates—estimated at around 90% in 19th-century operations—through adaptive tactics, limited commitments, and integration of military with diplomatic efforts, contrasting this with failures in larger conventional wars. This empirical approach underscores causal factors like political will and resource allocation over sheer force size, challenging narratives of inherent American ineptitude in irregular conflicts. In War Made New: Technology, Warfare, and the Course of History, 1500 to Today (2006, Gotham Books), Boot examines four "revolutions in military affairs"—gunpowder (16th century), (19th century), second industrial (early 20th century), and (late 20th century)—demonstrating how technological innovations, when adopted by adaptable states, shifted victory probabilities in warfare. He traces causal links, such as how enabled centralized monarchies to dominate feudal knights, or precision-guided munitions in the 1991 amplified U.S. advantages, arguing that laggards in these shifts faced obsolescence while innovators gained decisive edges. Boot's analysis prioritizes first-principles reasoning on how matériel revolutions interact with doctrine and organization, evidenced by battles like (1415) and (1942), to explain long-term geopolitical outcomes rather than isolated events. Boot's Invisible Armies: An Epic History of Guerrilla Warfare from Ancient Times to the Present (2013, Liveright), spans nearly 30 centuries of insurgencies, reviewing over cases to reveal that guerrilla forces succeed in only about 20–25% of conflicts since the , often requiring a conventional or external support to prevail. Drawing on data from ancient revolts to modern examples like the Afghan mujahideen, Boot critiques romanticized views of as inexorably triumphant, emphasizing empirical patterns where counterinsurgents prevail through persistence, local alliances, and disrupting supply lines—factors evident in failures like the Viet Cong's reliance on North regulars. This work applies causal realism by isolating variables like and , showing that prolonged favors better-resourced states over pure asymmetry.

Senior Positions in Media and Think Tanks

In 2018, Boot joined as a columnist specializing in national security and foreign policy, marking a transition from his prior roles at conservative-leaning outlets like . His columns frequently reference declassified U.S. intelligence assessments and official reports to underscore threats from state actors, such as Russian election interference and Chinese military expansion, influencing mainstream discourse on interventionist responses. Concurrently, Boot has served as a CNN global affairs analyst since approximately , appearing regularly to comment on geopolitical crises, including cybersecurity vulnerabilities exploited by adversaries to erode U.S. alliances and democratic processes. This role amplifies his advocacy for robust deterrence strategies, drawing on empirical data from intelligence community evaluations rather than speculative narratives. At the (CFR), Boot holds the Jeane J. Kirkpatrick Senior Fellowship in Studies, a position he has maintained since 2002 but which intensified post-2010 amid rising global tensions. In this capacity, he has contributed to CFR analyses and events examining adversarial tactics, such as and influence operations aimed at destabilizing Western institutions, often co-informing reports that advocate heightened U.S. preparedness and alliances against autocratic regimes. Boot's earlier recognition with the 2007 Eric Breindel Award for Excellence in Opinion Journalism—awarded for columns defending U.S. foreign engagements in and humanitarian crises in —underscored his intellectual defense of interventionism, though his subsequent platform shifts reflected evolving alignments away from traditional conservative media ecosystems toward establishment circles. These affiliations have positioned him as a key voice in shaping hawkish consensus on confronting peer competitors, prioritizing verifiable threat assessments over isolationist retrenchment.

Political Ideology and Evolution

Foundations in Neoconservatism and Interventionism

Max Boot's neoconservative foundations emphasize the strategic use of American military power to foster democratic governance abroad, viewing such interventionism as a continuation of historical patterns where limited engagements enhanced U.S. global influence. In his 2002 book The Savage Wars of Peace, Boot chronicled over a century of U.S. "small wars"—from the Philippine-American War to post-World War II counterinsurgencies—arguing that these operations, often dismissed as peripheral, empirically built American primacy by curbing threats and imposing order without full-scale mobilization. He posited that post-Cold War unipolarity, evidenced by the Soviet collapse following Reagan-era defense spending increases from $134 billion in 1980 to $253 billion in 1989 (adjusted for inflation), afforded the U.S. unmatched capacity for such proactive realism, rejecting isolationist retrenchment in favor of forward defense. Boot critiqued left-leaning , exemplified by UN paralysis in the 1990s Balkans crises, as causally ineffective when consensus delays decisive action against aggressors. He advocated U.S.-led coalitions, as in the 1995 Dayton Accords ending the after airstrikes halted Serb advances that had killed over , demonstrating how American airpower and ground presence could enforce stability without awaiting veto-prone international approval. Similarly, the 1999 Kosovo intervention, where U.S. forces spearheaded a 78-day bombing campaign that compelled Yugoslav withdrawal and averted further of Albanians, underscored for Boot the efficacy of unilateral realism—prioritizing outcomes over procedural niceties—over pure multilateral deference, which had failed in Rwanda's 1994 claiming 800,000 lives. While highlighting pros such as threat containment—e.g., neutralizing Milosevic's expansionism and preventing wider European instability—Boot disinterestedly noted cons like potential overextension, citing historical cases where prolonged occupations strained resources, as in the 1899-1902 Philippine insurgency costing 4,200 U.S. lives. Nonetheless, he contended that empirical successes in curbing immediate dangers and accruing long-term geopolitical leverage justified selective interventionism, grounded in U.S. military advantages that minimized casualties relative to inaction's costs, such as unchecked authoritarian proliferation. This framework positioned neoconservatism not as ideological zealotry but as pragmatic adaptation to power asymmetries, favoring "hard Wilsonianism" that wedded moral promotion of liberty to realist force application.

Advocacy for Iraq War and Post-9/11 Policies

In the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, Max Boot advocated for a robust U.S. response to dismantle terrorist networks and preempt threats from hostile regimes, framing American power as an imperial force for global stabilization. In his October 15, 2001 Weekly Standard essay "The Case for American Empire," he argued that the U.S. should not shrink from exerting to suppress disorder, citing historical precedents like and empires that quelled anarchy through direct intervention, and applying this to needs such as in and beyond. This perspective informed his support for the October 2001 invasion of , which rapidly toppled the and destroyed al-Qaeda training camps, achieving verifiable successes like the elimination of key operatives and disruption of the group's central command structure by mid-2002, thereby preventing immediate follow-on attacks on the scale of 9/11. Boot strongly endorsed the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, relying on contemporaneous intelligence assessments that Saddam Hussein's regime retained weapons of mass destruction capabilities and posed a risk, while also flouting 16 UN Security Council resolutions since 1991. In a , 2003 New York Times op-ed, he rejected oil interests as the motive—pointing to Iraq's oil being tradable under sanctions and post-invasion costs exceeding short-term gains—and instead highlighted the regime's existential threat, including potential links to and regional destabilization. He further promoted the neoconservative rationale of deposing Saddam to seed , anticipating it could catalyze a "" of liberalization across the by replacing a totalitarian system with representative governance, drawing parallels to post-World War II reconstructions in and . Following Hussein's capture in December 2003 and execution in December 2006, Boot defended the invasion's core objective of regime removal, emphasizing Saddam's documented atrocities as causal justification independent of WMD intelligence failures, which he later conceded were erroneous. The Ba'athist regime under Saddam was responsible for mass killings, including the 1988 that gassed and executed 50,000 to 100,000 Iraqi in , chemical attacks on killing 5,000 civilians on March 16, 1988, and broader purges, invasions, and suppressions totaling an estimated 250,000 to 500,000 civilian deaths from 1979 to 2003. Boot critiqued operational shortcomings, such as insufficient U.S. troop commitments (peaking at 170,000 in 2003 before drawdowns) and Paul Bremer's 2003 de-Baathification order that fueled by alienating Sunni elites, but maintained that leaving Saddam in power would have perpetuated threats, including his payments to Palestinian suicide bombers' families ($25,000 per attack from 2000-2003) and defiance of inspections. Extending his hawkishness to , Boot pushed for escalation amid Taliban resurgence after initial gains eroded by 2006, co-authoring a March 12, 2009 Times op-ed advocating a "" of 40,000 additional troops to implement doctrine, prioritizing population security over mere border raids. In a November 2009 Commentary article, he endorsed General Stanley McChrystal's , arguing it could replicate 's 2007 successes by clearing , holding terrain, and building Afghan forces, thereby sustaining achievements like al-Qaeda's core decapitation (e.g., the deaths of in 2002 and Ayman al-Zawahiri's precursors) against criticisms of indefinite costs exceeding $2 trillion by 2021. Without such commitment, he warned, risked reverting to a terrorist , underscoring causal trade-offs between upfront and long-term .

Rift with Trumpism and Shift Toward Anti-MAGA Stance

Boot declined to endorse Donald Trump during the 2016 Republican primaries, joining the #NeverTrump faction of conservatives who viewed his candidacy as incompatible with traditional Republican principles. Trump's emphasis on withdrawing from global commitments and renegotiating alliances, as articulated in campaign speeches like his June 2016 foreign policy address promising an "America First" approach that prioritized transactional deals over ideological leadership, directly conflicted with Boot's advocacy for sustained U.S. interventionism rooted in neoconservative doctrine. By August 2016, Boot had endorsed Hillary Clinton, casting his first vote for a Democrat and arguing that supporting her was preferable to enabling Trump's "demagoguery" and potential erosion of post-World War II conservative foreign policy norms. This rift deepened post-election, as Boot interpreted Trump's 2017-2021 presidency as accelerating the GOP's shift toward nativist , abandoning Reaganite —which emphasized moral clarity, , and -building—for grievance-driven . In his October 2018 book The Corrosion of Conservatism: Why I Left the Right, Boot traced this transformation to long-standing flaws in the conservative movement, such as its tolerance of extremism and donor influence, but pinpointed Trump as the catalyst who "corroded" the party's intellectual foundations by elevating personal loyalty over policy coherence. He argued that deviated from conservatism's historical commitment to principled governance, instead fostering a that prioritized anti-elite rhetoric over empirical policy-making, evidenced by the administration's erratic impositions and alliance strains documented in contemporaneous analyses. Boot's thesis posited that this populist turn rendered the GOP unrecognizable, prompting his formal departure from the party in 2018. Conservatives critical of Boot's evolution have dismissed it as elitist posturing, portraying him as a globalist disconnected from the GOP base's economic frustrations, with figures like National Review's arguing that Boot's realizations about conservatism's flaws reflected personal ideological reinvention rather than Trump's unique threat. countered these accusations by asserting that MAGA's inward focus inherently weakened conservative deterrence strategies, urging voters to reject the movement to restore a realism-oriented GOP, as he detailed in subsequent Washington Post columns and interviews. This stance positioned as a leading anti-MAGA voice, influencing never-Trump coalitions while alienating traditionalists who viewed his endorsements of Democrats like in 2020 as a of partisan loyalty.

Foreign Policy Positions

Support for Ukraine and Confrontation with Russia

Following Russia's annexation of in March 2014, Boot criticized President Obama's response as insufficiently confrontational, arguing it failed to deter further aggression by emboldening Vladimir Putin's revanchist ambitions. In an to Obama dated March 21, 2014, co-signed by Boot and 49 other experts, he urged expanded U.S. military assistance to , including intelligence sharing and training, alongside economic loan guarantees and targeted sanctions on Russian officials under the to isolate Moscow and bolster NATO's eastern flank. These measures, Boot contended, were essential to counter Russia's tactics and prevent the erosion of post-Cold War European security norms, drawing on empirical evidence of Moscow's prior interventions in (2008) and eastern . Prior to Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, Boot consistently advocated providing with lethal defensive weapons, such as anti-tank missiles, to enhance its capacity against Russian-backed separatists in , where over 14,000 deaths had occurred since 2014 according to UN estimates. He highlighted Obama's reluctance to supply such arms—opting instead for non-lethal aid—as a strategic error that signaled weakness, contrasting it with the administration's eventual approval of missiles in December 2017, which Boot praised for deterring further incursions without direct U.S. involvement. Boot's position rested on causal analysis of deterrence: historical data from arms transfers in conflicts like () showed that timely lethal aid could impose asymmetric costs on aggressors, potentially averting escalation. After the 2022 invasion, Boot intensified calls for escalation, urging the U.S. to supply long-range systems like missiles to enable to strike Russian logistics hubs deep behind lines, as evidenced by his endorsement of a House bill in April 2024 pushing for such transfers. He framed Putin's campaign as a neo-imperial drive to reclaim Soviet-era borders, analogizing it to tsarist expansions in the and Hitler's in 1938, where initial invited broader conquests; data from Russia's pre-invasion military buildup—over 100,000 troops amassed by late 2021—supported his view that half-measures would prolong the conflict. Boot argued that enabling Ukrainian strikes on and supply routes, responsible for sustaining 70-80% of Russian advances per battlefield analyses, aligned with first-principles of , where disrupting enemy sustainment yields decisive gains at minimal risk to forces. Isolationist critics, including some Republicans, have labeled U.S. support a costly , citing cumulative aid exceeding $75 billion by mid-—roughly 0.8% of annual U.S. defense spending—as unsustainable amid domestic priorities. rebutted these claims by quantifying strategic returns: much of the aid comprised existing U.S. stockpiles replenished via domestic production, yielding industrial benefits like $10-15 billion in new contracts, while degrading Russia's conventional arsenal (e.g., loss of over 3,000 by 2024 per Oryx open-source tracking) at a fraction of the $1 trillion+ cost of a hypothetical direct NATO-Russia clash. He emphasized credibility metrics—NATO's post-2022 to and as empirical proof that resolve against reinforces deterrence, countering arguments that withdrawal would save resources but risk cascading aggression toward the Baltics, where Article 5 commitments could demand far higher expenditures.

Views on China, Middle East, and Global Alliances

Boot has articulated a hawkish yet pragmatic stance toward , emphasizing the empirical risks posed by its military modernization and territorial ambitions without endorsing alarmism. He has highlighted China's aggressive maneuvers in the and the existential threat to , warning that a potential U.S.-China conflict over the island could escalate to nuclear annihilation, akin to a modern crisis amplified by advanced weaponry. Boot draws on data regarding China's rapid buildup of naval and missile capabilities, which outpace U.S. regional assets in quantity, underscoring the need for deterrence through alliances and technological investment rather than isolationist retrenchment. Nonetheless, he critiques bipartisan "hysteria" in , arguing that overreaction, as seen in the 2023 spy incident, risks misallocating resources without addressing underlying economic dependencies on China. In the , Boot advocates a realist approach informed by post- War lessons, prioritizing alliances with to counter Iranian influence while rejecting naive diplomatic overtures like the 2015 . He views as a primary destabilizing force, supporting Israeli strikes on its —such as and —as necessary to degrade Tehran's regional network, though he cautions against illusions of a purely resolution absent political strategies. Boot critiques the Obama-era accord for emboldening its program and proxy warfare, arguing it underestimated Tehran's ideological commitment to ; by 2024, he noted 's miscalculations had invited retaliatory blows, weakening its position without prompting broader war. Favoring 's qualitative edge—bolstered by U.S. aid exceeding $3.8 billion annually—he endorses extended deterrence against Iranian threats, drawing parallels to the challenges of uprooting militant influence in post-2003. Regarding global alliances, Boot defends institutions like as essential for burden-shared deterrence, citing empirical improvements in European defense spending—where 23 of 32 members met the 2% GDP target by June 2024—as evidence that U.S. leadership yields reciprocal commitments. He argues the pros of extended deterrence outweigh cons like historical free-riding, as collective capabilities deter aggression more effectively than unilateral U.S. action; for instance, 's integrated command has enabled operations where allies contributed over 40% of troops in by 2007, despite U.S. primacy. Boot opposes expanding into non-European theaters like the , warning it dilutes focus and invites overstretch, but insists on sustaining transatlantic ties to counter revisionist powers through shared intelligence and rapid response mechanisms. This alliance-centric , he contends, fosters causal stability by aligning incentives against opportunistic threats, rather than risking vacuums through retrenchment.

Critiques of Isolationism and America First Doctrine

Boot has characterized the "America First" doctrine, as articulated by former President , as a revival of the ideology promoted by the in the 1930s, which opposed U.S. to allies confronting and Imperial Japan until the attack in December 1941. He contends that this approach risks repeating the pre-World War II error of U.S. non-intervention, during which American defense spending remained below 2% of GDP from 1930 to 1939, allowing adversaries to consolidate gains without effective deterrence—such as Germany's in 1936 and of in 1938, and Japan's invasion of in 1931. In Boot's view, isolationist withdrawal fosters power vacuums that enable aggressors and non-state threats to proliferate, as evidenced by failure to counter fascist expansion, which culminated in a global conflict costing the U.S. over 400,000 military lives and peaking at 37% of GDP in defense expenditures by 1944. He contrasts this with the benefits of sustained engagement, arguing that post-1945 U.S. leadership—rooted in the of 1947—prevented similar escalations by supporting allies and stabilizing regions, thereby averting costlier direct confrontations. Boot cites later examples, such as the 1970s U.S. drawdown after , which he links causally to the Soviet invasion of in 1979 and the rise of unchecked insurgencies, underscoring how disengagement amplifies long-term security threats rather than containing them. Paleoconservative advocates of restraint highlight isolationism's historical successes in minimizing entanglements, such as the U.S. avoidance of European wars under the from 1823 onward, which preserved resources and limited casualties for over a century. Boot counters this by emphasizing empirical outcomes from the , where non-intervention permitted the growth of transnational dangers; for instance, the 1990s reduction in overseas commitments allowed al-Qaeda to establish bases in ungoverned spaces like and , leading to the , 2001, attacks that necessitated interventions far exceeding prior fiscal commitments. Isolationism retains appeal among fiscal conservatives for curtailing immediate military outlays, with U.S. defense budgets averaging under 5% of GDP in isolationist periods like the interwar years, compared to sustained levels around 3-4% during periods of global engagement. maintains, however, that such short-term savings prove illusory, as unchecked aggressors impose exponential costs through delayed responses—as in the progression from 1930s to full-scale mobilization—advocating instead for proactive alliances to maintain deterrence and trade security without reverting to pre-1941 detachment.

Recent Developments and Publications

Reagan Biography and Its Reception

In September 2024, Max Boot published Reagan: His Life and Legend, a 880-page biography of drawing extensively on primary sources including archival materials from the and presidential papers. The book traces Reagan's trajectory from his Midwestern upbringing and career through his governorship of and presidency, emphasizing his role in revitalizing American morale during the while critiquing lapses such as inconsistent and tolerance for racial dog whistles in rhetoric. Boot argues that Reagan's anti-communist stance, including military buildup and rhetorical pressure on the , contributed causally to the 's end by restoring U.S. confidence and exploiting Soviet weaknesses, though he rejects hagiographic claims of Reagan single-handedly "winning" the conflict and notes the absence of a formalized strategy. The biography reconciles Reagan's heroic image with personal and political flaws, portraying him as affable yet pragmatic to a fault, often prioritizing narrative over factual precision—evident in his cavalier approach to accuracy—and lacking deep ideological commitments beyond and optimism. Boot highlights Reagan's economic policies, including cuts and , as mixed in outcomes, with soaring deficits contradicting fiscal , while underscoring his decency in interpersonal dealings amid broader inconsistencies like support for social program cuts decried as callous by critics. This nuanced framing, grounded in declassified documents and interviews, positions Reagan as a transformative figure whose persists despite empirical shortcomings in areas like civil rights enforcement and . Reception was broadly positive for its research depth and balanced tone, becoming a New York Times bestseller and earning spots on year-end best-of lists from outlets including The New Yorker and The Washington Post, with reviewers praising its absorbing narrative and revisionist insights into Reagan's pragmatism over dogma. Left-leaning critics faulted it for insufficient emphasis on Reagan's role in exacerbating inequality through "trickle-down" economics and downplaying racial insensitivities, such as welfare queen stereotypes that echoed prejudicial tropes. From the right, conservative reviewers accused Boot of undervaluing Reagan's strategic acumen in defeating —portraying it instead as haphazard—and injecting undue toward U.S. , with some highlighting Boot's comparisons of Reagan's communication style to Trump's as anachronistic overreach amid the author's known anti-Trump views. These critiques reflect divides, with mainstream praise often overlooking Boot's interventionist lens, which privileges Reagan's triumphs over domestic empirical failures like persistent deficits averaging 4.1% of GDP annually during his tenure.

Commentary on 2024 Election and 2025 Geopolitics

In anticipation of the 2024 U.S. , Boot argued that a second term would dismantle the post-World War II international order through and concessions to authoritarian regimes, including potential alignment with that could embolden Russian aggression in . After Donald 's November 2024 victory and inauguration in January 2025, Boot initially acknowledged a surprising policy pivot, praising in a July 14, 2025, Washington Post column 's decision to unfreeze and expand military aid to —totaling over $60 billion in U.S. commitments by mid-2025—as a rebuke to 's miscalculation of American resolve, which had sustained Ukrainian frontline capabilities against Russian advances. However, Boot's assessments grew more critical amid stalled negotiations, contending in an August 9, 2025, that 's eagerness for a deal risked a Munich-style , as demanded full control of territories despite 's retention of 80% of pre-2022 lines with Western-supplied weapons. Boot evaluated the August 16, 2025, Trump-Putin summit in as a tactical setback for U.S. interests, noting no emerged and Putin secured implicit recognition of occupied territories without reciprocal concessions, though U.S. intelligence sharing resumed shortly after, enabling strikes on that degraded Moscow's offensive momentum by 15-20% per assessments. In his October 20, 2025, Washington Post piece on the impending summit, Boot urged intensified U.S. pressure on Putin—including threats of escalated arms to —arguing that prior talks had yielded minimal empirical gains for , such as only partial aid flows amid European supplements totaling €50 billion, insufficient to reverse territorial gains of 500 square kilometers monthly. As Jeane J. Kirkpatrick senior fellow at the in 2025, Boot contributed analyses linking U.S. aid fluctuations to geopolitical shifts, emphasizing that sustained deliveries of missiles and F-16s had empirically bolstered Ukraine's defensive posture, preventing collapse despite predictions of rapid Russian victory post-2024 election. In an August 11, 2025, interview, Boot discussed the erosion of the liberal world order under Trump's transactional diplomacy, attributing partial resilience to bipartisan congressional overrides of initial aid blocks, which maintained alliance cohesion amid rising Chinese influence in the . Boot's pre-election forecasts of unchecked Putin-Trump affinity have faced scrutiny for overstatement, as U.S. policy adaptations yielded tangible Ukrainian battlefield successes, including the disruption of 30% of Russia's by mid-2025, though he maintains that without firmer leverage, concessions risk codifying Russian gains.

Criticisms and Controversies

Backlash Over Iraq War Predictions and Outcomes

Prior to the 2003 U.S. invasion of , Max Boot expressed optimism about a swift military victory and rapid democratization, predicting in February 2003 that would likely be liberated by April and that could serve as an "" against regional . This contrasted sharply with post-invasion realities, including a persistent that began in mid-2003, escalated to over 1,000 attacks per week by late according to U.S. military reports, and contributed to approximately 4,500 American military deaths and an estimated 200,000 Iraqi civilian deaths by 2011. The total U.S. budgetary costs for the exceeded $2 trillion by 2023, encompassing direct combat operations, veteran care, and reconstruction efforts that yielded limited stable governance. The rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) further underscored strategic shortcomings, as the group, evolving from al-Qaeda in Iraq remnants, captured significant territory in 2014 following the U.S. troop withdrawal in 2011, necessitating renewed American intervention with over $50 billion in additional costs by 2020. Boot later acknowledged errors, including underestimation of Iraq's sectarian divisions and the challenges of post-Saddam governance, describing the invasion's intelligence basis as faulty and the overall endeavor as involving "many miscalculations." Despite these admissions, he maintained that Saddam Hussein's removal yielded net benefits, arguing it averted potential WMD proliferation and regional threats, even if execution faltered. Criticism from the political left framed Boot and fellow neoconservatives as warmongers whose advocacy prolonged U.S. entanglement without achieving promised stability, with outlets highlighting his pre- endorsements as emblematic of elite detachment from 's human toll. On the right, paleoconservatives and skeptics acknowledged tactical successes like Saddam's ouster but decried strategic losses, including fiscal drain and empowerment of adversaries, viewing the as an overreach that eroded American power without causal justification for the chaos. Boot countered such backlash by emphasizing that while insurgency and costs exceeded forecasts, the causal chain from invasion to involved multiple U.S. policy lapses, such as premature , rather than inherent flaws in .

Accusations of Ideological Inconsistency

Max Boot, a longtime neoconservative commentator who advised Republican figures including and , renounced his Republican affiliation in February 2018, registering as an independent amid opposition to . He endorsed in the 2020 presidential election, describing Biden as "the only realistic option" to counter Trump's reelection despite acknowledging Biden's limitations. This trajectory—from GOP hawkishness to alignment with Democratic leadership—has drawn accusations from conservative critics of ideological opportunism, portraying Boot as prioritizing establishment influence over principled . Paleoconservatives and populist commentators have labeled Boot's evolution as a symptom of neoconservative , arguing that his break with the GOP reflects not conviction but a bid to preserve relevance in media circles increasingly hostile to . Outlets aligned with the populist right, such as American Greatness, have dismissed him as a "soulless, craven opportunist" who abandoned when it diverged from interventionist under . contributors have similarly critiqued Boot for a vehement turn against the right, suggesting his positions now entail self-contradiction by assailing erstwhile allies while embracing progressive institutions like . These detractors contend the shift prioritizes personal access and institutional power—evident in Boot's continued prominence at think tanks and pages—over fidelity to the GOP base's evolving skepticism of endless foreign entanglements. Boot counters these claims by asserting consistency in core principles of and realist , maintaining that represented a deviation from traditional through erratic reversals like the October 2019 troop withdrawal, which he decried as a betrayal of allies and strategic interests. In The Corrosion of Conservatism (2018), he frames his departure as a response to the GOP's embrace of nativism and , not personal reinvention, arguing that Trump's praise for figures like eroded the party's commitment to democratic realism. This defense highlights purported achievements in upholding hawkish stances against across party lines, as seen in his sustained advocacy for confronting post-2022 invasion, aligning with Biden administration policies. Yet the criticisms underscore drawbacks, including Boot's alienation of the conservative base, which views his Biden endorsement as a forfeiture of credibility on domestic issues like and where Democrats diverge sharply from traditional GOP views. While Boot's timeline—opposing from his campaign announcement—suggests early principled dissent rather than post-hoc rationalization, skeptics attribute the drift to causal incentives of networks, where neoconservatives like Boot adapted to a landscape favoring anti-MAGA narratives for visibility. This tension illustrates broader fractures in , with Boot's positions sustaining influence in discourse but at the cost of marginalization among populists who prioritize domestic over global engagements.

Responses to Paleoconservative and Populist Critiques

Boot has engaged with paleoconservative figures like by rejecting their isolationist and nativist prescriptions, arguing that Buchanan's vision of a "republic, not an empire" overlooks the stabilizing effects of American global engagement. In his 2001 essay "The Case for American Empire," Boot contended that U.S. interventions, from the post-World War II occupations of and to smaller counterinsurgencies, have prevented larger conflicts and promoted prosperity, yielding a "" through deterrence that far outweighed costs—evidenced by the absence of great-power wars in Europe and since 1945. He dismissed Buchanan's warnings against foreign entanglements as echoing failed pre-World War II appeasement policies, which empirical data shows emboldened aggressors like and Imperial , leading to global war rather than isolation. Against populist critiques of "forever wars," Boot has countered that selective U.S. interventions enhance by deterring adversaries, citing the era where American commitments in and contained Soviet expansion without direct clash, preserving U.S. primacy and economic dominance—U.S. GDP grew from $2.3 trillion in 1945 to $21 trillion by 2019 in constant dollars amid this posture. He acknowledges instances of overreach, such as prolonged in and , but privileges evidence of successes like the Balkan interventions of the , which halted and stabilized regions at low U.S. cost (fewer than 100 American deaths), arguing nonintervention would have invited vacuums filled by worse actors like precursors. Boot attributes populist aversion to a misunderstanding of deterrence's causal role, where visible U.S. resolve—backed by 800 overseas bases and alliances covering 25% of global GDP—has maintained relative peace, contrasting with pre-1945 eras of frequent great-power conflicts. On nativism, Boot rebuts paleoconservative and populist restrictions on by highlighting its net economic benefits, as seen in Ronald Reagan's 1986 , which expanded the workforce and contributed to growth without displacing natives—immigrant-founded firms generated 25% of U.S. patents and employed millions by 2010. He critiques Buchanan-era and Trumpian nativism as ahistorical, noting that waves of since the fueled industrialization and , with data showing immigrants pay $500 billion annually in taxes while using fewer services than natives over lifetimes. While conceding short-term wage pressures in low-skill sectors, Boot emphasizes long-term gains, such as higher GDP from skilled inflows, arguing isolationist borders would shrink the labor pool and exacerbate demographic decline, as U.S. rates fell below replacement (1.6 births per woman in 2023) amid aging populations. In The Corrosion of Conservatism (2018), Boot frames this as a departure from Reaganite internationalism, where via open markets and bolstered American strength against ideological foes.

Bibliography

Major Books

Boot's early major works established his reputation in , emphasizing the role of and in shaping American power. The Savage Wars of Peace: Small Wars and the Rise of American Power (2002) chronicles U.S. campaigns from the through the Philippine-American War and beyond, positing that these "small wars" were instrumental in forging America's imperial reach without large-scale conquests. War Made New: Weapons, Warriors, and the Making of the Modern World (2006) traces four military revolutions—gunpowder, the , the mechanized era, and the —illustrating how adaptive powers leveraging new technologies prevailed over static empires. Shifting toward guerrilla warfare's persistence, Invisible Armies: An Epic History of Guerrilla Warfare from Ancient Times to the Present (2013) surveys over 200 insurgencies across millennia, concluding that guerrillas succeed 40% of the time against conventional forces, with lessons for contemporary conflicts like those in Iraq and Afghanistan. This theme continued in The Road Not Taken: Edward Lansdale and the American Tragedy in Vietnam (2018), a biography of CIA operative Edward Lansdale, who advocated "hearts and minds" strategies in the Philippines and early Vietnam, only to be sidelined by rigid U.S. military doctrine. In parallel with biographical turns, Boot addressed domestic politics in The Corrosion of Conservatism: Why I Left the Right (2018), a personal and analytical account of the Party's transformation under populist influences, drawing on his shift from traditional . His recent pivot to presidential culminated in Reagan: His Life and Legend (2024), which details Ronald Reagan's trajectory from to the , based on over 100 interviews and archival research, highlighting his strategic role in ending the . These volumes underscore Boot's evolution from tactical histories to broader figures in U.S. strategy and , often cited in discussions on interventionism.

Notable Articles and Essays

Boot's essay "2017 Was the Year I Learned About My White Privilege," published in on December 27, 2017, marked a personal reckoning with his conservative background, where he critiqued his earlier toward while positioning himself as a disillusioned former open to hawkish stances on foreign . This piece exemplified his self-described evolution toward a "liberal-conservative hybrid," blending neoconservative interventionism with progressive domestic sensibilities, amid broader debates on ideological realignment post-Trump's election. In Commentary magazine, Boot's March 27, 2016, essay "Why Trump Is a National Security Threat" argued that Trump's isolationist rhetoric and admiration for authoritarian leaders like Putin undermined U.S. alliances and deterrence, predicting heightened risks from adversaries exploiting perceived American weakness. Drawing on historical precedents of appeasement, Boot contended that such populism deviated from Reagan-era realism, prioritizing transactional deals over principled power projection—a thesis he reinforced in subsequent Commentary writings like "Useful Idiocy" (July 17, 2017), which lambasted media figures for echoing Russian narratives on neoconservatism. Boot's June 18, 2024, essay "The Progressive Case for American Power" advanced a causal argument for sustained U.S. primacy, asserting that retrenchment invites aggression from rivals like and , as evidenced by post-Afghanistan advances by the and . He urged left-leaning policymakers to embrace military deterrence and alliances, citing empirical data on reduced global conflicts under U.S.-led order versus rising instability in multipolar vacuums. Addressing 2025 geopolitics, Boot's Washington Post column "Trump Keeps Getting Played by Putin. Will Be Different?" (October 20, 2025) analyzed 's diplomacy, arguing that Putin's intransigence—despite stalled Russian offensives and 500,000+ casualties since 2022—necessitates escalated U.S. leverage like sanctions and arms flows rather than concessions. Similarly, his August 14, 2025, piece on the -Putin summit warned that unreciprocated U.S. overtures risked echoing 1938, with Putin exploiting delays in $61 billion aid to consolidate gains in . These essays underscored Boot's consistent emphasis on empirical deterrence over diplomatic optimism in countering authoritarian revisionism.

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