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Center for Global Development

The Center for Global Development (CGD) is a nonprofit founded in November 2001 by Edward Scott Jr., C. Fred Bergsten, and Nancy Birdsall, headquartered in Washington, D.C., with an additional office in established in 2011. Its mission centers on reducing global poverty and enhancing lives via innovative economic research aimed at informing superior policy and practice among decision-makers. CGD positions itself as independent and , rejecting funding restrictions that could compromise its research or publications, and discloses grants exceeding $30,000 for . CGD conducts analysis on international development topics including aid effectiveness, , , climate policy, and multilateral institutions, producing tools such as the Commitment to Development Index to evaluate wealthy nations' contributions to poorer countries. Its work has influenced reforms like improved aid transparency initiatives and incentives for results-based financing in development assistance. Under presidents like Nancy Birdsall and current leader Rachel Glennerster, CGD has advocated evidence-driven approaches, critiquing inefficient aid models while promoting pragmatic solutions such as cash transfers and engagement. Although generally regarded for rigorous scholarship, some assessments characterize its policy advocacy—favoring expanded foreign aid and —as aligning with left-center perspectives, potentially reflecting funding from foundations. No major scandals have marred its operations, distinguishing it from more ideologically driven organizations in the development field.

Founding and Early History

Establishment and Founders

The Center for Global Development (CGD) was established in November 2001 as a focused on reducing global and improving lives through rigorous economic research and policy analysis. The organization emerged amid heightened international attention to assistance and alleviation following events like the , aiming to bridge gaps in independent, evidence-based evaluation of aid effectiveness that were perceived as lacking in existing institutions. Initial funding came primarily from philanthropist Edward W. Scott Jr., who committed resources to support its operations from inception. CGD's founders were Edward W. Scott Jr., C. Fred Bergsten, and Nancy Birdsall, who jointly envisioned an entity that combined scholarly research with actionable policy advocacy on global development issues. Edward W. Scott Jr., a technology entrepreneur who co-founded BEA Systems (later acquired by Oracle), served as the primary financial backer and board chair, drawing from his experience in philanthropy and prior establishment of nonprofits to prioritize empirical approaches over ideological ones. C. Fred Bergsten, an economist and founder of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, contributed expertise in international economics and trade policy, emphasizing the need for data-driven critiques of development finance. Nancy Birdsall, an economist with prior roles including executive vice president at the Inter-American Development Bank, brought deep knowledge of development institutions and focused on accountability in aid delivery, having co-authored influential works on inequality and governance. Their collaboration reflected a shared commitment to causal analysis of policy impacts rather than uncritical support for prevailing aid paradigms.

Initial Focus and Growth (2002–2010)

Following its founding in November 2001, the Center for Global Development concentrated its early efforts on independent policy research aimed at enhancing the effectiveness of foreign aid, promoting debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries, and evaluating rich nations' contributions to global development through tools like the Commitment to Development Index (CDI), first published in 2003. The CDI ranked 21 high-income countries based on seven policy components, including aid quantity and quality, trade openness, investment barriers, environmental sustainability, security contributions, technology transfer, and migration policies, providing a composite score to assess holistic development support beyond mere aid volumes. Key early publications included "Delivering on Debt Relief from HIPC to PRSP, the Importance of Getting the Basics Right" in 2002, which critiqued implementation flaws in debt relief initiatives and advocated for better poverty reduction strategies. During 2002–2004, CGD's activities encompassed research on trade policies, global public goods such as and , and challenges in weak states, complemented by public outreach materials like the "Rich World, Poor World" brief series to educate policymakers and the public on development interconnections. The organization grew from a small team of researchers, bolstered by initial philanthropic funding from board chair Edward Scott, to establishing specialized programs by the mid-2000s, including the () Monitor in 2005 to track U.S. aid selectivity and the Monitor to evaluate funding efficacy. This expansion reflected increasing support from foundations like the and the , enabling recruitment of senior fellows and policy experts. By 2010, CGD had solidified its influence through initiatives like the for , launched in 2005 and culminating in a $1.5 billion pilot agreement in 2009 to incentivize development of vaccines for diseases affecting low-income countries, and the Evaluation Gap Working Group, which contributed to the founding of the International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie) in 2009. Policy impacts included advocacy supporting $30 billion in for in 2005 and $1.2 billion for in 2009, demonstrating CGD's role in shaping international financial mechanisms. Staff had expanded to include approximately 20 senior fellows and several directors by the end of the decade, with annual revenue reaching $9.4 million in 2010, primarily from grants, underscoring institutional maturation amid a focus on evidence-based reforms in , , and aid architecture.

Organizational Structure and Operations

Leadership and Governance

The Center for Global Development (CGD) operates as a nonpartisan, independent nonprofit think tank governed by a Board of Directors chaired by Lawrence H. Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury. The board comprises prominent figures from public policy, finance, academia, and the private sector, providing strategic oversight and ensuring alignment with CGD's mission to reduce global poverty through evidence-based research. Governance emphasizes transparency and accountability, with policies prohibiting funders from influencing research findings or publications. Executive leadership is led by President Rachel Glennerster, who succeeded (now President Emeritus) and also serves as a trustee for CGD . The senior team includes Vice Presidents and Senior Fellows Markus Goldstein and Clemence Landers, appointed on February 19, 2025, to oversee research and policy programs; and Mikaela Gavas, Managing Director for and Senior Policy Fellow. These roles focus on directing operations across CGD's Washington, D.C., and offices, with decision-making informed by empirical analysis rather than partisan agendas. CGD Europe functions as a distinct entity, registered as a company limited by guarantee in England and Wales and as a charity, supervised by its own Board of Trustees responsible for regional activities. Overall, CGD's structure prioritizes institutional independence, with no formal committees detailed in public disclosures beyond board-level guidance.

Staff and Fellows

The Center for Global Development maintains a staff comprising economists, policy experts, and researchers dedicated to analyzing international development challenges, with operations spanning offices in Washington, D.C., and London. The organization employs between 51 and 200 professionals, including full-time researchers, program directors, and support personnel, as reported in professional networking data. Staff expertise covers areas such as global health, finance, governance, and gender equity, often drawing from academic, governmental, and multilateral institution backgrounds. Leadership is headed by President Rachel Glennerster, an economist with prior experience as chief economist at the UK Department for International Development and executive director of the Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab, who took office in May 2024. Other key executives include Executive Vice President and Senior Fellow Amanda Glassman, who also serves as CEO of CGD Europe; Vice President and Senior Fellow Markus Goldstein, specializing in ; and Managing Director for Europe and Senior Policy Fellow Mikaela Gavas. holds the title of President Emeritus, reflecting his prior tenure.
NameTitle
Rachel GlennersterPresident
Amanda GlassmanExecutive Vice President and Senior Fellow
Markus GoldsteinVice President and Senior Fellow
Mikaela GavasManaging Director, and Senior Policy Fellow
Kehinde AjayiDirector, and Program and Senior Fellow
Charles KennySenior Fellow
Rachel BonnifieldDirector, Global Health Policy Program and Senior Fellow
CGD's fellows include resident senior fellows who lead research programs and non-resident fellows affiliated for collaborative work without full-time commitment. Notable senior fellows contribute to policy-oriented studies on topics like and . The non-resident fellows program engages a broader network of scholars, including figures such as Anjali Adukia in and Jenny Aker in technology for development, enabling external expertise to inform CGD outputs. Additionally, CGD administers competitive fellowships, such as the one-year Post-Doctoral Research Fellowship, to support early-career researchers applying empirical methods to development questions.

Research Programs and Priorities

Core Research Areas

The Center for Global Development (CGD) organizes its research into several interconnected core areas, emphasizing evidence-based analysis to influence policies that address global and challenges. These areas encompass , global policy, migration and humanitarian policy, finance, technology and , and the impact of government policies on outcomes. This structure allows CGD to tackle systemic issues through economic research, policy recommendations, and targeted initiatives, often prioritizing measurable impacts on , resource allocation, and institutional effectiveness. In , CGD examines factors affecting equal life opportunities and formation, including gender disparities in , intergenerational mobility barriers, and variations in across regions. in this area critiques inefficiencies in educational systems and advocates for reforms to enhance learning outcomes and , drawing on from low- and middle-income countries. Global health policy constitutes a major focus, with studies on constructing resilient health systems, optimizing financing mechanisms, bolstering security against pandemics, and mitigating disease burdens through equitable treatment access and fiscal incentives. CGD's work here analyzes effectiveness and trade-offs, such as distribution and health spending priorities in resource-constrained settings. Research on migration, displacement, and humanitarian policy addresses for migrants, refugees, and host communities, evaluating development-oriented responses to crises like . This includes assessments of labor mobility's role in and critiques of restrictive policies that hinder opportunity creation in affected regions. Sustainable development finance explores strategies to mobilize and direct capital toward achieving , including innovations in funding allocation, debt management, and private sector involvement to bridge financing gaps in and . The technology and development domain investigates how digital tools, , and innovations like biometric identification can enhance service delivery, , and , while addressing risks such as data privacy and amplification from technological adoption. Recent emphases include applications for outcomes like improved and reduced mortality rates. Finally, governments and development scrutinizes the policies of major donors, such as the , , and European nations, through tools like the Commitment to Development Index, which quantifies contributions to global development via aid, trade, and environmental policies. This area also covers institutional reforms in international bodies and regional dynamics, particularly in and fragile states. Cross-cutting themes, such as climate and energy transitions, , and , integrate into these cores, with dedicated initiatives like the Energy for Growth Hub promoting affordable energy access in developing economies.

Key Publications and Outputs

The Center for Global Development (CGD) produces a range of outputs including over 600 working papers since 2003, policy briefs, books, and reports focused on empirical analysis of development policies, aid effectiveness, and global health interventions. These publications emphasize data-driven evaluations, often drawing on randomized controlled trials and econometric methods to assess causal impacts of policies in low-income countries. A flagship series is Millions Saved, which compiles evidence of successful programs that averted millions of deaths. The original volume by Ruth Levine examined 17 cases, such as supplementation and expanded programs, arguing that targeted investments can yield high returns when scaled with rigorous monitoring. Updated editions, including Millions Saved: New Cases of Proven Success in (2016) edited by Amanda Glassman, Dan Silverman, and others, added 13 new studies on interventions like conditional cash transfers and antiretroviral therapy rollout, while critiquing failures to underscore the need for adaptive, evidence-based scaling. The series has influenced donor prioritization by highlighting cost-effective strategies, with case studies updated through 2021 to include responses. Influential working papers include "Solutions When the Solution Is the Problem: Arraying the Disarray in " (2005) by Michael Woolcock, which applied to critique top-down aid models and advocate for context-specific reforms. Another is "New Data, New Doubts: Revisiting 'Aid, , and Growth'" (2004) by David Roodman, which reanalyzed cross-country data to question optimistic links between foreign aid and , finding weaker evidence after controlling for and interactions. In 2018, CGD released "Guaranteed Employment or Guaranteed Income?" by David Newhouse et al., comparing rights-based programs like India's MGNREGA with cash transfers, concluding that income guarantees often provide more efficient without distorting labor markets. CGD's policy reports, such as those from the 2022 case studies on organizational impact, evaluate internal initiatives like the Advance Market Commitment for vaccines, attributing them to accelerated development of pneumococcal vaccines saving over 700,000 child lives by 2020. Outputs also include annual updates to indices like the Commitment to Development Index, ranking rich countries on policies affecting poor nations, with 2023 data showing declines in trade openness scores amid protectionist trends. These works prioritize verifiable metrics over advocacy, though critics note potential in success narratives favoring interventionist approaches.

Policy Advocacy and Initiatives

Major Initiatives

The Center for Global Development has launched several targeted initiatives aimed at influencing development policy through evidence-based recommendations and innovative financing mechanisms. These efforts often focus on optimizing resource allocation, enhancing policy evaluation tools, and addressing specific global challenges such as health prioritization and labor mobility. One prominent initiative is the Commitment to Development Index (CDI), first published in 2003, which annually ranks 40 high-income countries based on the development impact of their policies across seven components: aid, finance, trade, investment, migration, environment, and technology. The index quantifies how domestic policies in wealthy nations affect the 5 billion people living in poorer countries, with the 2023 edition showing Finland leading the rankings due to strong performance in environment and migration policies, while the United States ranked 23rd, hindered by lower scores in environment and technology transfer. CGD uses the CDI to advocate for reforms that align rich-country policies more effectively with global poverty reduction. The Project Resource Optimization (PRO) Initiative, established to identify high-impact, cost-effective funding opportunities amid disruptions like U.S. foreign aid cuts, reached a in September 2025 by facilitating funding for approximately 80 projects totaling $110 million, primarily in and programs previously supported by USAID. Hosted by CGD, PRO employs rigorous and networks with donors to redirect resources, emphasizing empirical evaluations to maximize lives saved per dollar spent, such as prioritizing and vitamin supplementation interventions with proven high returns. In , the International Decision Support Initiative (iDSI), co-hosted by CGD since 2013, provides technical assistance to low- and middle-income countries for evidence-based priority-setting to achieve universal coverage. iDSI has supported over 20 countries in institutionalizing processes, leading to reallocations like Thailand's prioritization of cost-effective cancer treatments and Vietnam's investment decisions grounded in economic modeling. The initiative collaborates with to build local capacity, countering inefficiencies in aid-driven spending. Other notable efforts include the Labor Mobility Partnerships (LAMP), initiated to connect international labor markets and boost economic opportunities for migrants from developing countries through bilateral agreements that facilitate temporary work visas, with pilot programs demonstrating potential GDP gains of up to 5% for origin countries via remittances and skill transfers. Additionally, the Energy for Growth Hub, launched in 2017, advocates for pragmatic energy access strategies in sub-Saharan Africa, challenging over-reliance on renewables by promoting hybrid models incorporating natural gas to accelerate electrification for 600 million people without reliable power, based on analyses showing faster deployment and lower costs compared to solar-only approaches.

Events and Public Engagement

The Center for Development conducts public engagement through diverse such as high-profile conversations, technical seminars, and book talks, which disseminate research findings and foster dialogue on global and policy innovation. These gatherings attract participants from governments, multilateral organizations, , academia, and media to discuss evidence-based approaches to challenges. CGD actively participates in international forums, including the IMF and Spring Meetings, where it hosts sessions on topics like inflation dynamics in , lead exposure mitigation, international cooperation mechanisms, private capital mobilization, and progress at institutions such as the . The organization also co-organizes major conferences, such as the , to bridge and policymaking. Specific events illustrate this engagement, including discussions on U.S. foreign assistance lessons and priorities, involving experts from , business, and . Recent examples encompass panels on sustainable solutions to the financing crisis, rethinking European development amid shifting geopolitical contexts, and the Growth Summit emphasizing and structural transformation in development agendas. The CGD Society enhances public involvement by providing members—ranging from professionals to advocates—with advanced notice of public conferences, invitations to informal briefings with experts and policymakers, and opportunities for idea exchange across sectors. Membership tiers offer escalating benefits, including priority event access and complimentary publications, supporting broader outreach. Historical high-profile engagements include a January 6, 2010, address by U.S. Hillary Rodham Clinton on 21st-century development strategies.

Funding and Financial Model

Sources of Funding

The Center for Global Development (CGD) derives its funding primarily from unrestricted or flexibly restricted provided by philanthropic , bilateral agencies, multilateral organizations, and individual donors, with a policy of rejecting any contributions that could compromise research independence, findings, or publications. This model supports an annual budget sustained through multi-year commitments, emphasizing diversity to mitigate reliance on single sources. CGD discloses all exceeding $30,000 publicly, earning high ratings for transparency from evaluators such as GuideStar and . In 2024, major funders included several multimillion-dollar contributors from the philanthropic sector. The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, , Founders Pledge, and Lakeshore Foundation each provided over $1,000,000. Additional significant support came from , , the , and the , among others in the $200,000–$999,999 range.
Contribution RangeSelected Funders
$1,000,000+, William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, Founders Pledge, Lakeshore Foundation
$500,000–$999,999, , , (Sida), Echidna Giving
$200,000–$499,999Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO), , , (Norway)
Bilateral donors such as the Australian DFAT, Swedish Sida, UK FCDO, and Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation (Norad) represent recurring governmental support focused on global development priorities, while individual contributions, including from figures like economist Lawrence H. Summers, supplement core operations. Anonymity is permitted for certain individual or donor-advised fund gifts following internal review to ensure alignment with organizational standards. Historically, patterns show sustained backing from entities like the Gates Foundation across multiple years, enabling long-term research initiatives.

Transparency and Accountability Measures

The Center for Global Development (CGD), as a , files annual IRS returns, which detail revenues, expenses, , and governance practices, and makes these publicly available on its website. For instance, the 2023 , filed in 2024, reports total revenues of approximately $18.7 million, primarily from contributions and grants, with detailed breakdowns of program services and administrative costs. CGD undergoes independent annual audits of its consolidated , conducted by certified public accounting firms such as Carr, Riggs & Ingram, LLP. The 2022 audited statements, for example, confirm with U.S. generally accepted principles, with no material weaknesses identified in internal controls over financial reporting, and disclose net assets exceeding $30 million alongside restricted and unrestricted fund balances. Similar audits for prior years, including 2020 and 2019, affirm consistent financial oversight without qualifications. Accountability is further supported by board-level oversight, with governing documents, policies, and financial statements provided upon public request, as stated in disclosures. CGD maintains a policy of , publicly listing major donors in annual reports and historical disclosures, such as a commitment to detail contributors to promote in line with its advocacy for development sector openness. awards CGD a 4/4 star rating in its & beacon, based on factors including quality, of IRS filings, and absence of reported asset diversions.

Policy Influence and Measured Impact

Attributed Policy Changes

The Center for Global Development (CGD) attributes several policy changes to its research and advocacy efforts, particularly through five key initiatives evaluated in a 2022 external assessment. In the realm of U.S. , CGD's 2011 and subsequent congressional testimonies by researchers Todd Moss and Ben Leo contributed to the passage of the BUILD Act on October 11, 2018, which consolidated the and other programs into the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC), expanding its lending authority to $60 billion and granting equity investment powers. and congressional staff credited CGD's proposals, though attribution is complicated by collaborations with groups like the , which mobilized over 1,500 congressional calls and 78,000 petition signatures. In global health financing, CGD's HIV/AIDS Monitor (2006–2010) and Value for Money Working Group (2012–2013) influenced the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) to adopt commitments under PEPFAR 2.0 in 2013, including public dashboards by 2015, and shaped the Fund's strategies for 2017–2022 and 2023–2028 by integrating value-for-money principles and piloting results-based financing like aid in starting in 2014. PEPFAR officials and Fund documents reflect engagement with CGD analyses, yet multiple actors, including the and Clinton Health Access Initiative, shared the advocacy space, limiting isolated causal claims. CGD research on migration, led by Michael Clemens from 2005, proposed global skill partnerships in 2014, which were incorporated into Objective 18e of the UN Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration adopted in December 2018; this framework has spurred pilots, such as Germany's program with via GIZ in 2017 and Australia's APTC expansion in 2018. On identification systems, Alan Gelb's reports from 2010 onward supported the World Bank's Identification for Development (ID4D) initiative launched in 2014, influencing biometric ID implementations in countries like (2016 onward) and the adoption of global Principles on Identification for in 2017 (revised 2021). In procurement transparency, CGD's work, including Charles Kenny's 2012 paper and the launch of the in 2012–2013, led to open contracting adoptions in over 40 countries by 2019, Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative mandates for contract disclosure by 2021, and pledges at the 2016 London Anti-Corruption Summit that prompted implementation steps in more than half of committing nations by 2017; Ukraine's ProZorro system, analyzed by CGD in 2019, demonstrated cost savings. These outcomes stem from CGD's partnerships, but shared credit with organizations like underscores challenges in precise attribution across collaborative fields. The 2020–2022 external review by Benjamin Soskis noted that while CGD's rigorous research built credibility, long timelines, political barriers, and multi-stakeholder dynamics often dilute direct causal links.

Empirical Evaluations of Effectiveness

The Center for Global Development (CGD) has primarily focused on promoting empirical methods for evaluating development interventions rather than subjecting its own operations to similar rigorous, scrutiny. No comprehensive, peer-reviewed empirical studies have quantified CGD's causal on global development outcomes, such as reduced rates or improved allocation attributable directly to its or . Instead, effectiveness is often inferred from historical attributions and sector-wide metrics, like the proliferation of evaluations post-CGD initiatives. For example, CGD's 2006 Evaluation Gap Working Group report, "When Will We Ever Learn? Improving Lives through ," documented the paucity of randomized controlled trials and quasi-experimental designs in programs—fewer than 100 major evaluations worldwide at the time—and called for dedicated . This effort is credited with contributing to the founding of the Initiative for (3ie) in 2009, which by 2020 had funded over 300 evaluations across health, education, and social protection, informing policies like scaled-up programs in and with estimated benefits exceeding evaluation costs by factors of 10-100 in select cases. Quantitative proxies for CGD's influence include citation metrics and policy adoption rates tied to its outputs. The report's recommendations aligned with a surge in development impact evaluations, from under 100 pre-2006 to thousands by 2019, as tracked by databases like the Campbell Collaboration and 3ie repositories, though disentangling CGD's specific role from broader trends in evidence-based making remains challenging without counterfactual analyses. CGD's Commitment to Development Index (), launched in 2003 and updated annually through 2023, empirically ranks 40 high-income countries on policies affecting developing nations across seven dimensions (, , , , , , and ), revealing patterns such as the EU's average score of 5.6/10 in versus the U.S.'s 4.9, based on standardized indicators like as a percentage of GNI (0.33% for average in ). These rankings have been referenced in over 500 academic citations and official reports, including by the and U.S. , potentially influencing donor commitments—e.g., correlating with a 20% rise in tracked volumes from 2003-2015—but lacking randomized or instrumental variable designs to establish . Critics note a gap in self-evaluation akin to the "evaluation gap" CGD critiques in aid agencies, with internal reviews absent from public records and reliance on anecdotal policy attributions over longitudinal data. A 2020 analysis of impact evaluation uptake found that while CGD-backed tools like rapid evaluation frameworks have accelerated study timelines (e.g., from years to months for adaptive learning in USAID programs), uptake in low-income countries remains below 20% of major projects, suggesting limited propagation of CGD's methodological innovations. Funded efforts, such as a 2017 Open Philanthropy grant of $299,000 to CGD for case studies on policy successes and failures (e.g., bed nets vs. unproven interventions), yielded qualitative insights into evidence-to-policy pathways but no aggregated empirical metrics on CGD's return on investment. Overall, while CGD's outputs correlate with sector improvements in evaluation rigor, the absence of independent, data-driven audits—such as difference-in-differences analyses comparing policy outcomes in CGD-influenced vs. non-influenced jurisdictions—leaves its effectiveness under empirically substantiated.

Criticisms, Controversies, and Debates

Allegations of Political Bias

has rated the Center for Global Development as exhibiting a left-center , attributing this to its promotion of policies that predominantly align with the , including advocacy for aggressive and criticism of the administration's trade policies. The organization also employs language favoring liberal priorities such as expanded foreign aid for and pro-vaccination initiatives in developing countries, though it maintains high factual reporting standards with properly sourced analyses and no failed fact checks over five years. InfluenceWatch describes the Center for Global Development as a left-of-center , emphasizing its focus on economic policies supporting , particularly in areas like , , and managed migration. Critics point to affiliations of key figures, such as board chair , who served in Democratic administrations under Presidents and Obama, and founder Edward Scott Jr., who co-founded initiatives with and , as indicative of ideological leanings. In November 2019, Simeon Djankov, former official and creator of the Doing Business index, publicly labeled the Center for Global Development as "Marxist" during an panel, accusing its researchers of being "reformed Marxists" incapable of producing a competing index after CGD critiqued the 's methodology for alleged libertarian bias and data inconsistencies. The Center for Global Development rejected the characterization, asserting its status and data-driven approach, noting that its analysis highlighted verifiable flaws, such as arbitrary adjustments in rankings for countries like and , without endorsing institutional ideological positions. These assessments contrast with the organization's self-description as independent and , focused on to inform global development without formal stances on issues. Allegations of often stem from its funding ties to foundations like the and , which support progressive international agendas, though such connections do not inherently invalidate research outputs.

Critiques of Aid and Development Paradigms

Critics of foreign paradigms, including those analyzed and reformed by the Center for Global Development, argue that such assistance systematically creates in recipient nations, eroding incentives for domestic revenue mobilization and institutional . In a , CGD researchers identified an "-institutions " in , where high aid inflows—averaging over 10% of GDP in many countries—correlate with diminished , as governments reduce efforts and prioritize donor preferences over citizen . This dynamic, critics contend, perpetuates a cycle where aid props up inefficient bureaucracies rather than fostering self-sustaining growth, with from aid-dependent states showing stagnant despite decades of transfers totaling trillions globally. Economist William Easterly has specifically challenged aid advocates associated with CGD, asserting in a 2006 debate that top-down planning ignores local knowledge and accountability mechanisms, leading to wasted resources on unproven interventions. Easterly highlighted cases like post-tsunami aid where billions yielded minimal long-term benefits due to lack of feedback from beneficiaries, contrasting with CGD's emphasis on evidence-based selectivity. Similarly, Dambisa Moyo's 2009 analysis in Dead Aid documented how aid to Africa—exceeding $1 trillion since 1960—has crowded out private investment and fueled corruption, with countries receiving over $500 per capita in aid exhibiting slower growth than less-aided peers. CGD senior fellow Todd Moss countered that aid's flaws warrant refinement, such as results-based models, rather than abolition, but skeptics maintain this overlooks systemic incentive distortions where donors and recipients game metrics without addressing root governance failures. Broader empirical reviews reinforce these concerns, revealing inconsistent links between aid and development outcomes under prevailing paradigms like the Paris Declaration on Aid Effectiveness, which CGD has supported through tools like the QuODA index measuring donor quality. Studies of conditionality schemes, intended to tie aid to policy reforms, show compliance rates below 50% in many cases, with aid often continuing despite unmet targets, thus failing to enforce causal drivers of progress such as . Critics attribute this to factors, where aid sustains patronage networks in recipient states and vested interests among donors, undermining alternatives like trade liberalization that have empirically boosted growth in without equivalent dependency. While CGD advocates targeted applications, such as health interventions averting 50 million deaths via vaccines since 2000, detractors argue these short-term gains mask long-term stagnation, as aid-financed programs rarely transition to domestic funding, perpetuating external reliance.

Specific Incidents and Responses

In 2019, , then director of the Center for Global Development's (CGD) programme on women's , economy, and development, faced non-renewal of her contract following public statements on expressing gender-critical views, including that is immutable and that self-identification policies undermine women's sex-based . Forstater's tweets, posted in late 2018 and early 2019, criticized proposed reforms allowing changes without medical evidence, prompting internal complaints at CGD and external pressure from advocacy groups. CGD leadership, including then-president , cited reputational risks and donor concerns as factors in the decision, though the organization maintained the non-renewal aligned with standard contract practices. Forstater filed an claim against CGD Europe, CGD, and Ahmed, alleging direct , harassment, and victimization under the UK's on the basis of her protected philosophical beliefs—gender-critical views that a prior preliminary ruling in December 2019 confirmed qualified as protected under the Act's criteria for cogent, serious, and worthy of respect beliefs. The full , held in March 2022, ruled on July 6, 2022, that CGD had unlawfully discriminated against Forstater by not renewing her contract due to her beliefs and victimized her through subsequent actions, such as references and internal communications that portrayed her views negatively. However, claims of harassment and against Ahmed personally were dismissed. The awarded Forstater compensation, culminating in a £100,000 settlement in July 2023, covering lost earnings and injury to feelings. CGD responded to the July 2022 judgment by stating it was reviewing the mixed outcome—where some claims succeeded and others failed—and reaffirmed its commitment to an "inclusive workplace, including for trans people," while emphasizing its core mission of research on global . The did not publicly alter its policies on expression or but continued operations without further comment on the case specifics. Forstater appealed aspects of the ruling to the Employment Appeal , which in upheld the protection of her but deferred broader remedies to the original tribunal. The incident drew attention to tensions between gender-critical perspectives and institutional norms in think tanks, with supporters arguing it exemplified viewpoint and critics viewing Forstater's statements as incompatible with professional conduct. No other major employment or ethical incidents involving CGD staff have been publicly adjudicated.

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