The Passport Index
The Henley Passport Index is a global ranking of passports from 199 countries and territories, assessing their "power" by the number of destinations—out of 227 worldwide—that holders can access without a prior visa, including visa-free entry, visa on arrival, or electronic travel authorization.[1] Produced by Henley & Partners, a firm specializing in citizenship and residence advisory services, the index draws exclusively on data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA), the trade body for the airline industry that maintains the most comprehensive database of international travel requirements.[2] First published in 2006, it provides quarterly updates and spans nearly two decades of historical trends, enabling comparisons of passport strength over time.[2] The index's methodology emphasizes empirical visa waiver agreements and travel policies, scoring passports on a scale where higher access correlates with greater diplomatic and economic influence of the issuing nation, though it excludes considerations like bilateral relations or individual traveler profiles.[2] Henley & Partners, founded in 1997, leverages the ranking to highlight global mobility trends, but as a provider of investment-based citizenship programs, its outputs inherently promote pathways to enhanced passport access, potentially aligning with client interests in optimizing personal sovereignty through residency schemes.[3] This has drawn limited critique for simplifying complex geopolitical factors into a single metric, yet the IATA-sourced data remains the standard for objectivity in such assessments, outperforming less rigorous alternatives reliant on manual compilations.[4] Rankings influence perceptions of national prestige and inform expatriates, investors, and policymakers on mobility advantages, with top-tier passports like those from Singapore or European Union states granting access to over 190 destinations, while lower-ranked ones, such as those from Afghanistan or Iraq, offer fewer than 30.[4] The index underscores causal links between economic strength, foreign relations, and visa openness, revealing how passport power has broadly increased since 2006 due to expanded bilateral agreements, though disparities persist along lines of geopolitical stability and development.[2] No major methodological flaws have undermined its credibility, distinguishing it from competitors like the Arton Capital Passport Index, which updates less frequently and covers fewer entities.[5]History and Development
Origins and Launch
The Passport Index was created in 2014 by Arton Capital, a global financial advisory firm headquartered in Montreal, Canada, specializing in residence and citizenship by investment programs.[6] The tool emerged as an interactive online platform designed to rank and compare the travel freedom afforded by passports from 199 countries and territories, drawing on real-time data about visa-free access, visa-on-arrival options, and electronic travel authorizations.[5] Unlike earlier static reports, it introduced dynamic visualizations and user-driven comparisons, positioning itself as the first such real-time global passport ranking system.[5] Arton Capital, established in 2006, developed the index to support its advisory services in investor migration, where quantifying passport strength aids clients in evaluating mobility benefits from acquiring second citizenships or residencies.[7] The platform's launch coincided with growing interest in global mobility amid economic globalization and geopolitical shifts, providing empirical metrics like the Mobility Score—a composite of destination access weighted by human development indicators from the United Nations Development Programme.[5] Initial data collection relied on official government sources and international agreements, emphasizing verifiable visa policies over anecdotal reports.[5] By its debut, the Passport Index filled a niche for accessible, technology-enabled analysis in a field previously dominated by periodic print-based indices, enabling users to explore passport designs, historical trends, and personalized mobility insights through an intuitive interface.[8] This innovation quickly gained traction among travelers, investors, and policymakers, evolving into a comprehensive mobility intelligence resource with features like a companion mobile app introduced in 2020.[9]Key Milestones and Updates
The Passport Index was launched in 2014 by Arton Capital as the world's first interactive, real-time online tool for ranking passports based on visa-free and visa-on-arrival access to global destinations.[10] This innovation addressed the lack of dynamic, user-friendly resources for tracking passport mobility, drawing data from official diplomatic sources and updating instantaneously with policy changes.[5] In 2016, the platform introduced the Individual Passport Power Rank, expanding beyond aggregate national rankings to provide personalized mobility scores for users comparing multiple citizenships.[5] A significant update followed in January 2017, enhancing the tool's data visualization and comparison features to improve accessibility for travelers and investors.[11] Subsequent developments included the addition of the Global Passport Landpower Rank, which measures passport strength by accessible landmass rather than destination count, offering a complementary metric for overland travel evaluation.[5] The platform also incorporated Welcoming Scores to assess destination openness, alongside composite indices like the World Openness Score (WOS), quantifying global mobility trends with a maximum value of 39,402 based on bilateral agreements among 199 passports.[10] Mobile accessibility advanced with the release of an iOS application for on-the-go rankings and the Android Travel Visa Checker app for real-time visa queries.[5] By late 2020, the index had amassed over 65 million views, solidifying its role as a primary reference for citizenship-by-investment decisions.[10] Ongoing updates maintain real-time synchronization with visa waiver announcements, supplemented by features like the PASSE/PORT blog for policy analysis and filtered rankings by region or industry.[5] These enhancements ensure the index reflects evolving geopolitical shifts, such as new bilateral agreements, without reliance on periodic static reports.[10]Methodology and Data Sources
Core Data Collection
The core data for the Passport Index consists of bilateral visa requirements between 199 passports and 227 travel destinations worldwide.[2] This dataset captures whether holders of a specific ordinary passport can access a destination without a prior visa, including provisions for visa on arrival, visitor's permits, or electronic travel authorizations (eTAs).[2] Data collection focuses exclusively on normal adult passports for tourism or business purposes, assuming valid documents and short-term stays ranging from three days to several months.[2] Primary sourcing relies on exclusive access to the International Air Transport Association (IATA) database, which provides comprehensive, real-time visa and immigration information used by airlines globally.[2] This is supplemented and verified by Henley & Partners' internal research team, which cross-references IATA data against official government websites, diplomatic sources, major international news publications, and open-source online repositories to ensure accuracy amid frequent policy changes.[2] Verification involves manual checks for each passport-destination pair, prioritizing empirical confirmation over unverified claims.[2] The process emphasizes rigorous monitoring, with data updated quarterly—or more frequently for significant shifts such as geopolitical events or policy reforms—to reflect the latest accessible conditions as of the index's publication dates.[2] For instance, as of the October 2025 edition, adjustments incorporated recent expansions in visa waivers, like those affecting European Union passports post-Brexit negotiations and Asian economic corridors.[12] This methodology avoids reliance on self-reported national data alone, mitigating potential biases from state propaganda or outdated embassy information by favoring multilateral aviation standards from IATA.[2] Historical datasets span over 20 years, enabling trend analysis while maintaining consistency in categorization.[2]Visa-Free Score Calculation
The visa-free score in the Passport Index represents the number of destinations accessible to holders of a given passport without requiring any prior permission or visa from the destination's authorities. This score is calculated by evaluating access to 199 countries and territories, comprising 193 United Nations member states plus six selected territories that issue passports. For each destination, a point is awarded if entry is permitted solely upon presentation of the passport without additional authorization, such as a visa, electronic travel authorization (eTA), or visa on arrival (VOA).[5][10] To determine eligibility for a visa-free point, the methodology assesses whether the destination country mandates no pre-departure approval or permission from its foreign authorities; entry must be granted based on passport validity, biographical details, and standard border checks alone. Conditions like proof of onward travel, sufficient funds, or health requirements may apply but do not disqualify the score if no formal visa process is involved. Electronic visas (eVisas) or eTAs requiring application prior to travel, even if processed quickly, are excluded from the visa-free count, as they constitute prior permission. Visa on arrival options similarly receive no points in this metric, reserving them for the broader mobility score. This strict definition prioritizes unencumbered access, reflecting true frictionless mobility.[5][10] Data for the visa-free score derives from proprietary compilation by Arton Capital, drawing on official government announcements, embassy websites, and international aviation databases like those from the International Air Transport Association (IATA). Updates occur quarterly or as policy changes are verified, ensuring the score reflects current bilateral agreements as of the latest release, such as the Q4 2021 report methodology extended into subsequent iterations. For instance, as of early 2025 rankings, top passports like the United Arab Emirates' achieve visa-free scores around 90-100 destinations, though exact figures vary with real-time policy shifts.[5][10][13] The visa-free score serves as a foundational component for overall rankings but is distinct from the total mobility score, which aggregates points from visa-free, VOA, and select eTA/eVisa accesses. Ties in mobility rankings may reference the visa-free score as a tiebreaker, emphasizing quality of access over quantity. This approach underscores the index's focus on empirical access data rather than subjective factors, though critics note potential discrepancies from unverified territorial inclusions or rapid policy changes post-publication.[5][10]Welcoming Score Calculation
The Welcoming Score quantifies a destination country's openness to global mobility by tallying the number of foreign passports granted visa-free access, visa on arrival, or electronic travel authorization (eTA).[14] This metric, part of the Passport Index maintained by Arton Capital, assigns one point for each eligible passport from the 199 passports tracked, resulting in a raw score that directly reflects the breadth of simplified entry policies.[5] Countries achieving scores near 198, such as Samoa and Tuvalu, demonstrate near-universal acceptance under these categories, while those scoring 0, like Turkmenistan and North Korea, impose strict prior visa requirements on all foreign nationals.[14] Calculation begins with bilateral visa policy data between the destination and each issuing country or territory, sourced from official government announcements, diplomatic agreements, and real-time crowdsourced validations cross-checked against proprietary research.[5] Access is deemed "welcoming" only if no advance visa application is needed at a consulate; visa on arrival permits entry upon payment and documentation at the border, while eTAs involve pre-approved online submissions typically processed swiftly without interviews.[15] Certain eVisas—classified as "blue" for their streamlined, under-three-day online issuance without additional hurdles—may contribute if they align with eTA-like efficiency, though core rankings emphasize visa-free, on-arrival, and eTA options to prioritize frictionless entry.[15] The score excludes standard eVisas requiring extensive prior approval, ensuring focus on policies facilitating spontaneous or low-barrier travel rather than bureaucratic processes.[5] This additive scoring model avoids weighting by passport strength or traveler volume, prioritizing sheer inclusivity as a proxy for border openness; for instance, a destination welcoming 150 passports scores higher than one accepting 100, irrespective of the economic influence of those nationalities.[14] Updates occur dynamically as policies evolve, with the 2025 rankings reflecting data as of mid-year adjustments to agreements like expanded eTAs in the Pacific islands.[15] Critics note potential overemphasis on quantity over quality, as high scores may include low-risk passports while overlooking security or reciprocity factors, but the methodology's transparency via public datasets supports its use in tourism economics analyses.[5]Composite Scores: World Openness and Global Mobility
The World Openness Score (WOS) aggregates the total number of visa waivers granted across all countries and passports worldwide, serving as a composite metric for global border openness and travel facilitation trends. Calculated by summing instances of visa-free access, visa on arrival, electronic travel authorization (eTA), and quick eVisas (issued within three days) for every passport-destination pair, the WOS reflects cumulative policy changes and geopolitical shifts. As of 2025, the score reached 22,193, marking a 1.2% decline from 22,459 in 2024, following a sharper drop to 12,944 in 2020 amid COVID-19 restrictions—a 65% reduction from pre-pandemic levels—before partial recovery.[16][5] This composite emphasizes reciprocal openness, where increases stem from bilateral agreements expanding access, while declines signal tightening policies, such as post-pandemic security measures or economic isolationism.[16] Global Mobility, as a composite framework, extends individual Mobility Scores (MS) to evaluate enhanced travel freedom through multiple passports or aggregated passport data, often via the Personal Mobility Score (PMS). The MS for a single passport tallies accessible destinations (visa-free + visa on arrival + eTA + quick eVisa), forming the base for composites; PMS then combines MS from up to four passports, subtracting overlaps to yield net unique destinations. For example, a holder of both a Lebanese (MS 55) and Canadian (MS 169) passport achieves a PMS of 173 after overlap adjustment.[15] This approach quantifies "global mobility" as optimized personal access, with rankings derived from MS hierarchies and tiebreakers like visa-free ratios or Human Development Index values.[5] Aggregated globally, it informs trends, such as passports gaining or losing access yearly, enabling simulations for mobility improvements via citizenship-by-investment.[15] Unlike singular rankings, these composites account for portfolio diversification, revealing that stacking passports from varied regions can exceed 190 destinations, surpassing top single-passport MS like Singapore's 195 in 2025.[5][15] These scores derive from official government announcements, crowdsourced validations, and proprietary updates, ensuring real-time tracking but reliant on timely reporting accuracy.[5] While Passport Index data prioritizes empirical access counts over qualitative factors like GDP or safety, it underscores causal links between policy reciprocity and mobility, with WOS declines correlating to fragmented international relations.[16]Ranking System and Results
Current Global Rankings (as of 2025)
The Global Passport Power Rank, compiled by Arton Capital, measures passport strength by the number of destinations accessible without a prior visa, encompassing visa-free entry, visa on arrival, and electronic travel authorizations across 193 United Nations member states and select territories.[17] As of October 2025, the United Arab Emirates passport leads with access to 179 such destinations, reflecting diplomatic efforts to expand bilateral agreements.[17] This positions it ahead of traditional European and Asian frontrunners, highlighting shifts in global mobility influenced by economic partnerships and policy reforms.[10] The top rankings feature tight competition among high-mobility passports, with several nations tying due to marginal differences in access scores. The United States passport, for instance, ranks 9th with 168 destinations, underscoring its robust but not elite standing amid evolving visa reciprocity dynamics.[17]| Rank | Countries (Tied Where Applicable) | Visa-Free/Visa-on-Arrival Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | United Arab Emirates | 179 |
| 2 | Singapore, Spain | 175 |
| 3 | Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands (among 13 tied) | 174 |
Historical Trends and Shifts
The Henley Passport Index has documented a substantial increase in global passport mobility since its inception, with the average number of visa-free destinations per passport rising from 57 in 2006 to 107 by 2020, driven by expanding bilateral visa waiver agreements and economic incentives for openness.[18] High-income countries experienced the most pronounced gains in absolute visa-free scores during this period, correlating with higher GDP per capita, while middle-income nations like Romania, Colombia, and Peru also registered notable improvements through targeted diplomatic efforts.[18] Relative rankings, however, have undergone significant shifts, reflecting geopolitical realignments and varying paces of diplomatic progress. European passports dominated early rankings in the mid-2000s, but by 2025, Asian passports such as Singapore's—granting access to 195 destinations—claimed the top spot, signaling a pivot toward East Asian economic influence in global mobility pacts.[1] The United States, once ranked first in 2014 with broad access, declined to 12th place by October 2025, affording visa-free entry to only 180 of 227 destinations, amid stalled negotiations and heightened scrutiny from certain nations.[12][19] Over the decade from 2015 to 2025, the index recorded persistent upward mobility for most nations, with just 16 passports falling in rank, attributable largely to conflict and instability in countries like Venezuela and Syria, which saw eroded access due to reciprocal restrictions.[20] This era also highlighted causal links between passport strength and factors like national wealth and stability, as emerging economies leveraged growth to secure more waivers, narrowing the gap with established powers while underscoring the index's sensitivity to real-time diplomatic and economic dynamics.[18]Regional and Country-Specific Insights
European passports exhibit the highest average mobility, with Western European nations dominating the upper echelons of the Henley Passport Index due to extensive reciprocal visa agreements fostered by the European Union and bilateral diplomacy. As of the 2025 rankings, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Spain, and Switzerland share fourth place with access to 188 destinations out of 227, while countries like Austria, Belgium, and France follow closely at 187. In contrast, Eastern European states such as Moldova rank significantly lower at 121 destinations, reflecting disparities in geopolitical influence and economic partnerships that limit broader access. This regional strength stems from Europe's emphasis on economic stability and multilateral ties, enabling visa-free travel to over 180 destinations for most top performers.[4] In Asia, stark intra-regional variations highlight the impact of foreign policy and economic prowess on passport power. Singapore leads globally with visa-free or visa-on-arrival access to 193 destinations, a position sustained by its neutral diplomacy, robust trade networks, and strategic investments in global relations. Japan and South Korea follow at 189 and 190 destinations, respectively, benefiting from post-World War II alliances and technological leadership that secure favorable visa policies in the West and beyond. However, South Asian and conflict-affected nations lag, with Afghanistan accessing only 24 destinations, underscoring how instability and sanctions erode mobility; Pakistan and North Korea similarly rank near the bottom, with scores below 40, as weaker diplomatic leverage fails to yield reciprocal agreements.[4][20] African passports generally occupy the lower ranks, constrained by geopolitical challenges, economic dependencies, and limited bargaining power in international negotiations. Mauritius stands out as the continent's strongest at 148 destinations, leveraging its stable democracy and tourism-driven economy to forge agreements with Europe and Asia. In opposition, Somalia's passport grants access to just 33 destinations, hampered by decades of civil unrest and state fragility that deter reciprocal visa waivers from other nations. Other low performers like South Sudan (34) and Yemen (around 30) illustrate how ongoing conflicts and poor governance correlate with restricted global mobility, as destination countries prioritize security over openness.[4] The Americas display a north-south divide, with North American passports outperforming their Latin counterparts due to stronger economic ties and security alliances. Canada's passport ranks ninth globally at 183 destinations, supported by Commonwealth affiliations and reliable diplomatic relations that facilitate access to Europe and Asia. The United States, however, has declined to outside the top 10 for the first time in over two decades, with access to approximately 180 destinations as of October 2025, attributed to retaliatory visa impositions from nations amid trade disputes and foreign policy frictions. In Latin America, Haiti ranks among the weakest at 52 destinations, reflecting political instability and economic isolation, while Brazil and Argentina hover around 170, benefiting modestly from Mercosur pacts but limited by regional volatility.[4][12] Oceania's rankings are bolstered by alliances with major powers, though the region's small population yields varied outcomes. New Zealand ties for sixth place with 186 destinations, aided by its ANZUS-like partnerships and reputation for stability that encourages visa waivers from Europe and North America. Australia follows at 185, similarly advantaged by economic integration with Asia-Pacific partners. Smaller island nations like Nauru, at 86 destinations, suffer from isolation and limited diplomatic clout, highlighting how geographic remoteness and scale influence mobility scores. Overall, these regional patterns in the Henley Passport Index underscore the primacy of diplomatic reciprocity and economic strength in determining passport efficacy, with data derived from International Air Transport Association (IATA) records tracking real-time visa policies.[4]Presentation and Accessibility
Interactive Tools and Features
The Passport Index provides users with an interactive online platform at passportindex.org, enabling real-time exploration of global passport rankings and visa access data.[5] Central to its functionality is the side-by-side passport comparison tool, which allows users to select and contrast multiple passports, displaying differences in mobility scores, visa-free destinations, visa-on-arrival options, and electronic travel authorizations.[21] This tool calculates a proprietary Mobility Score for each passport, aggregating access to 199 passports covering 193 United Nations member states and six territories, updated dynamically as governments announce visa policy changes.[5] Users can filter and browse rankings interactively, including the Global Passport Power Rank ordered by Mobility Score (with tiebreakers from the United Nations Development Programme's Human Development Index), Individual Passport Power Rank incorporating visa-on-arrival and eVisa access, and Global Country Welcoming Rank assessing how many foreign passports a destination country admits visa-free.[17] Additional navigation options permit sorting passports by continent, region, color, or via an integrated world map visualization, facilitating targeted inquiries into regional mobility trends or design aesthetics.[5] The platform also features a Personal Mobility Score calculator, advising on potential gains from acquiring a second passport through comparisons of visa-free expansions.[22] Complementing the web interface, the Passport Index mobile application, available for iOS and Android since 2020 and 2021 respectively, extends these capabilities with on-the-go access to personalized visa requirements, passport scanning via device camera for instant recognition, and tools for discovering visa-free destinations or initiating eVisa applications.[23][24] The app delivers real-time notifications on policy shifts and supports comparative analysis, enhancing usability for travelers planning itineraries.[25] Community engagement features include user submissions of passport cover photographs for the database, contributed via email to maintain visual accuracy.[5] These elements collectively position the Passport Index as a dynamic resource for assessing and optimizing global mobility.[10]Data Visualization Formats
The Passport Index utilizes a range of interactive and graphical formats to convey complex mobility data, emphasizing user accessibility through dynamic tools hosted on its platform. Central to its presentation is the interactive global passport power rank, a sortable and filterable table displaying passports by mobility score (MS), with options to segment by region, continent, union, or passport type, enabling real-time exploration of rankings.[10] Similarly, the individual passport power rank integrates MS with the United Nations Development Programme's Human Development Index (HDI) in a comparable tabular dashboard, while the welcoming countries rank visualizes destination openness via analogous interactive lists.[10] Geospatial visualizations include the passport color map, an interactive world map overlaying passport data by issuing country and design color, facilitating geographic pattern recognition in mobility strength.[10] Comparative tools offer side-by-side dashboards for juxtaposing specific passports or destinations, highlighting disparities in visa-free access and scores through aligned metrics and visual indicators.[10] Analytical charts on the dedicated charts page employ scatter plots and line graphs to correlate Passport Index metrics—such as power rank or mobility score—with external benchmarks like the World Economic Forum's Travel and Tourism Index, revealing empirical relationships without implying causation.[26] Mosaic layouts provide tiled, color-coded overviews clustered by country, region, or hue, offering a compact visual summary of the 199 passports tracked.[10] Aggregate metrics like the World Openness Score (WOS) appear as a real-time digital barometer, scaling global mobility from 0 to a theoretical maximum of 39,402 based on bilateral visa waivers, updated dynamically to reflect policy shifts.[10] These formats prioritize empirical data rendering over narrative framing, though their interactivity relies on JavaScript-enabled browsers for full functionality, as noted in platform documentation.[27]Case Studies and Applications
United Arab Emirates' Rise
The United Arab Emirates' passport has achieved the top ranking in the Passport Index as of 2025, granting visa-free or visa-on-arrival access to 179 destinations worldwide, a mobility score reflecting extensive global reach.[28] This positions it ahead of traditional powerhouses like those from European nations, with a world reach of 90% based on real-time visa policy data.[29] The ascent from mid-tier status in the index's early years—when it held fewer than 100 accessible destinations—to this pinnacle underscores a deliberate strategy of enhancing travel freedom through international agreements.[6] Key to this rise have been targeted diplomatic initiatives, including bilateral visa waiver pacts negotiated since the mid-2010s. Notable milestones include the 2014 Schengen Area agreement, which provided visa-free entry to 26 European countries and marked the UAE as the first Arab nation to secure such access, significantly boosting its score.[30] Subsequent deals with major economies, such as Russia in 2015 and China in 2018, further expanded options in Asia and Europe, while Latin American waivers added dozens more destinations.[31] These efforts, often tied to economic partnerships and trade incentives, have cumulatively elevated the passport's utility for business and leisure travel. The UAE's economic stability, investment attractiveness, and neutral foreign policy have facilitated these gains, as reciprocal waivers are more readily granted to passports from low-risk, high-value partners.[32] By 2024, the passport topped the index with access to 180 destinations, retaining the lead into 2025 amid ongoing negotiations.[33] This trajectory demonstrates how focused visa diplomacy can translate national influence into measurable mobility power, though rankings remain dynamic with potential shifts from geopolitical changes.[10]Other Significant Examples
Grenada's passport mobility score increased by three destinations in 2025, reaching visa-free or visa-on-arrival access to 146 countries, primarily through new agreements with European nations including Schengen Area members.[34] This gain builds on prior diplomatic successes, such as the 2019 Schengen visa waiver adoption, which propelled Grenada's ranking upward by six positions over the preceding decade via expanded reciprocity pacts.[35] Similarly, Dominica's passport saw a comparable +3 shift in 2025, enhancing access to 145 destinations, driven by targeted foreign policy efforts to secure waivers from high-mobility blocs like the EU and Asia-Pacific countries.[34] These Caribbean examples illustrate how smaller nations leverage citizenship-by-investment programs and bilateral negotiations to amplify passport utility, often outpacing larger economies in relative gains.[36] In contrast, the United States passport experienced a net loss of five destinations in 2025, reducing its mobility score to 183 and contributing to a slide outside the global top 10 for the first time in recent history.[34] This decline mirrors broader trends affecting Western passports, with the United Kingdom and Canada also shedding five access points each amid retaliatory visa impositions from emerging markets.[34] Such shifts underscore the index's sensitivity to geopolitical frictions, where U.S.-centric policies on immigration and trade have prompted countries like Vietnam and Somalia to tighten entry for American holders via eVisa mandates or exclusions.[37] Despite absolute scores remaining high, these losses highlight eroding reciprocity in a multipolar world, with Arton Capital noting stagnant or regressive trends for G7 passports relative to rising Asian and Gulf competitors.[10] Saudi Arabia exemplifies Middle Eastern gains beyond the UAE, with incremental visa-free expansions tied to Vision 2030 reforms, adding destinations across Africa and Asia to reach a 2025 score of approximately 92, up from prior baselines through economic diplomacy and tourism liberalization pacts.[38] Bahrain and Oman have followed suit, securing +2 to +4 access boosts via Gulf Cooperation Council alignments and individual deals with Europe, elevating their rankings into the mid-tier and demonstrating how resource-driven states convert soft power into mobility advantages.[38] These cases reveal the Passport Index's utility in tracking how non-traditional influencers—via targeted investments and alliances—disrupt established hierarchies, though gains remain modest compared to UAE's sustained 179-score dominance.[17]Criticisms and Limitations
Methodological Shortcomings
The Passport Index, developed by Arton Capital, calculates mobility scores by aggregating access to 199 passports across destinations via visa-free entry, visa on arrival, electronic travel authorizations (eTAs), and eVisas processed within three days, treating these categories as comparably frictionless despite requiring pre-approval and potential fees for the latter two.[5] This equivalence inflates rankings for passports with extensive eVisa or eTA options, as these mechanisms involve advance applications, documentation submission, and non-guaranteed approvals, distinguishing them from true visa-free or on-arrival access that permits immediate entry upon presentation.[39] For instance, the United Arab Emirates passport, ranked first by the Index with a score of 181 destinations in recent assessments, attributes much of its lead to 54 combined visa-on-arrival and eVisa/eTA entries, whereas stricter counts excluding pre-approvals place it closer to 150 accessible destinations and 21st globally per alternative methodologies.[39] Further limitations arise from equal weighting of all destinations, regardless of their economic, demographic, or geopolitical significance; a passport granting access to 170 small island territories or low-GDP nations receives the same score boost as entry to major markets like the European Union or United States, potentially misrepresenting practical "power" for business, trade, or frequent travel.[5] The Index excludes subnational entities with autonomous visa regimes, such as certain overseas territories (e.g., British Virgin Islands), narrowing its scope to 193 UN members plus six territories and overlooking fragmented global visa landscapes.[39] Tiebreakers rely on the 2018 United Nations Development Programme Human Development Index, an outdated proxy unrelated to current mobility dynamics, which may perpetuate inconsistencies in close rankings.[5] Data sourcing combines official government records with real-time crowdsourcing and proprietary research, introducing risks of inaccuracies from unverified user inputs or delays in bilateral agreement updates, as evidenced by discrepancies with indices like Henley that prioritize IATA-sourced, conservative visa-free validations.[5][39] While real-time adjustments address some temporal flaws inherent in annual rankings, the absence of qualitative factors—such as visa reciprocity enforcement, rejection rates, or destination stability—reduces the Index to a quantitative tally that oversimplifies multifaceted travel barriers.[5] These elements collectively undermine the Index's precision for assessing genuine global mobility, particularly for high-net-worth individuals prioritizing substantive economic access over nominal destination counts.Commercial Bias and Incentives
The Passport Index is produced by Arton Capital, a for-profit global advisory firm founded in 2012 that specializes in facilitating residency and citizenship by investment (CBI/RBI) programs for high-net-worth individuals.[40] The company's revenue model relies on commissions, advisory fees, and partnerships tied to investment migration services, including placements in programs offered by countries such as the UAE, Caribbean nations, and European states with golden visa schemes.[7] This commercial orientation creates inherent incentives to emphasize the economic and mobility advantages of second passports, positioning the index as a tool to demonstrate return on investment for clients seeking enhanced global access.[41] By quantifying passport "power" through visa-free scores, the index indirectly markets CBI/RBI as a pathway to upward mobility, aligning with Arton Capital's core offerings like program matching and application processing.[10] The tool's interactive design and real-time updates have attracted over 65 million views since its 2014 launch, potentially converting user engagement into client leads for paid consultations.[10] Arton Capital's CEO, Armand Arton, has publicly framed second citizenships as "strategic assets" amid geopolitical shifts, further leveraging index data to promote services in industry reports and media.[42] Methodological choices, such as treating visa-on-arrival (VOA) and electronic travel authorizations (eTAs) equivalently to full visa-free access, have drawn scrutiny for potentially inflating rankings of investment-heavy destinations like the UAE, which has held the top spot since 2021.[39] While Arton defends this as reflecting practical "welcoming" policies, critics contend it overlooks qualitative barriers like VOA fees, durations, or reciprocity limitations, which stricter metrics (e.g., those used by competitors like Henley & Partners) exclude.[39] This approach may favor nations with CBI programs that Arton Capital actively markets, introducing a conflict where index prominence could boost demand for affiliated services without transparent disclosure of commercial ties to ranked countries.[43] No verified instances of data falsification exist, but the firm's profit motive contrasts with non-commercial alternatives, raising questions about prioritization of accessibility and appeal over unweighted neutrality.[44]Broader Interpretations of Mobility Power
Passport indices like the Arton Capital Passport Index and Henley Passport Index quantify "mobility power" primarily through the number of destinations accessible visa-free or with visa on arrival, with top passports in 2025 granting access to 179 or more countries.[17][4] This metric is frequently interpreted as a proxy for a nation's soft power, reflecting diplomatic reciprocity, economic alliances, and geopolitical influence rather than isolated travel privileges. For instance, Henley & Partners' chairman Christian Kaelin has stated that shifts in rankings signal "a fundamental shift in global mobility and soft power dynamics," where nations fostering openness through bilateral agreements advance.[45][46] Such views position high mobility scores as evidence of broader national strength, correlating empirically with higher GDP per capita and stability indices, as wealthier, diplomatically active countries negotiate more waivers.[47] Yet, this broader framing invites scrutiny for conflating access quantity with effective power, as rankings neglect qualitative factors like stay durations, which vary from 14 days in some destinations to 90 days or more in others, limiting utility for business or residency.[48] Reciprocity imbalances further distort interpretations; the United States, despite visa-free access to 180 destinations in 2025, grants such entry to only 46 nationalities, underscoring how inbound restrictions undermine outbound "power" claims.[12][49] Additionally, obligations tied to powerful passports—such as U.S. citizenship-based taxation on worldwide income—impose compliance costs that can deter mobility, effectively reducing net freedom compared to simpler jurisdictions.[50] Causal analysis reveals that mobility scores stem from negotiated treaties rather than inherent national attributes, rendering them sensitive to transient geopolitics; for example, the UAE's 2025 ascent to first place reflects targeted diplomacy, not surpassing economic or military dominance of traditional leaders like Japan or Germany.[37] True mobility power, thus, encompasses unmeasured elements like e-visa efficiency, travel costs, and security risks, which empirical studies link more directly to actual movement patterns than visa counts alone.[51] Overreliance on indices for assessing power risks overlooking these gaps, as evidenced by stagnant rankings for resource-rich but unstable nations despite economic leverage.[52]Comparisons with Competing Indices
Henley Passport Index
The Henley Passport Index, produced by the consultancy firm Henley & Partners, ranks the ordinary passports of 199 countries and territories based on the number of destinations their holders can enter without a prior visa, encompassing visa-free access, visas on arrival, and electronic travel authorizations that do not require advance application. This assessment utilizes data exclusively from the International Air Transport Association's (IATA) Timatic database, evaluating access to 227 global destinations, including sovereign states, territories, and microstates.[4][1] Launched in 2006, the index provides quarterly updates reflecting shifts in bilateral agreements and geopolitical dynamics, with a focus on quantitative mobility scores rather than qualitative factors like visa processing ease or economic correlates. Henley & Partners, which advises on residence and citizenship-by-investment programs, positions the index as a tool to underscore the value of enhanced passport power through such pathways, though the core rankings derive from standardized IATA-sourced travel restriction data.[12][53] In the October 2025 edition, Singapore leads with visa-free or visa-on-arrival access to 193 destinations, a position it has held amid steady gains in Asian diplomatic reciprocity. South Korea ranks second (190 destinations), Japan third (189), while several European nations share fourth place (188). The United States has fallen to 12th (180 destinations, tied with Malaysia), its lowest ever, following revocations of visa-free entry to six countries including Brazil, China, and Vietnam, primarily due to non-reciprocal U.S. visa policies. The United Kingdom similarly dropped to eighth (184), its historic low.[12]| Rank | Countries (selected) | Destinations |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 193 |
| 2 | South Korea | 190 |
| 3 | Japan | 189 |
| 4 | Germany, Italy, etc. | 188 |
| 5 | Austria, France, etc. | 187 |
| 8 | UAE, UK | 184 |
| 9 | Canada | 183 |
| 12 | United States | 180 |