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Trophic level

A trophic level is the position that an occupies within a or , categorized based on its primary mode of and functional role in the transfer of and matter through an . These levels form a hierarchical structure that underpins ecological interactions, with energy flowing unidirectionally from lower to higher levels as organisms consume one another. The base of the trophic structure consists of producers, or autotrophs such as , , and , which convert into through or , forming the foundation of all subsequent levels. Above producers are primary consumers, typically herbivores like , deer, or , that feed directly on producers to obtain energy. Secondary consumers, such as carnivores including like or birds, prey on primary consumers, while tertiary consumers or apex predators, exemplified by , , or eagles, occupy the top by feeding on secondary consumers. Decomposers, like and fungi, operate across levels by breaking down dead and waste, nutrients back into the without being strictly assigned to a single trophic position. Energy transfer between trophic levels is highly inefficient, with only approximately 10% of the from one level passing to the next due to losses from , , and incomplete , leading to decreasing and numbers of organisms at higher levels. This principle is visualized in ecological pyramids of , , or numbers, which illustrate the foundational role of —averaging about 5.83 × 10⁶ calories per square meter per year globally—and its rapid decline up the chain. Trophic levels are essential for modeling dynamics, predicting responses to disturbances like or habitat loss, and understanding phenomena such as trophic cascades, where the removal of top predators can destabilize entire food webs.

Fundamentals

Definition and Hierarchy

Trophic levels denote the functional positions that organisms occupy in an ecosystem's or web, classified according to their primary energy source and the number of energy-transfer steps separating them from the base of the . These levels can be treated as categories for simplicity in basic models or as continuous values reflecting the fractional contributions from multiple feeding sources, particularly when assessed via stable isotope analysis. The hierarchy commences with primary producers (trophic level 1), comprising autotrophs such as terrestrial plants and marine that harness sunlight or chemical energy to synthesize organic compounds via or . These form the foundational base, capturing energy from abiotic sources. Primary consumers (trophic level 2), typically herbivores, feed directly on primary producers; in oceanic systems, this includes that consume . Secondary consumers (trophic level 3) are carnivores or omnivores that prey on primary consumers, exemplified by small such as or anchovies that ingest . Higher tiers include tertiary consumers (trophic level 4 or above), predators like that target secondary consumers such as small , thereby occupying the uppermost positions in the . Decomposers, including and fungi, facilitate nutrient cycling by breaking down from all levels but are generally not assigned a fixed trophic level due to their cross-level role in matter. A basic linear food chain illustrates this hierarchy textually as follows:
  • Level 1: (primary producers)
  • Level 2: (primary consumers, feeding on )
  • Level 3: Small (secondary consumers, feeding on zooplankton)
  • Level 4: (tertiary consumers, feeding on small fish)
This structure underscores the unidirectional flow of energy from lower to higher levels in ecosystems.

Trophic Positions in Ecosystems

In ecosystems, organisms occupy trophic positions that reflect their role in energy and nutrient flow, often simplifying complex interactions into linear s for conceptual clarity. In a basic food chain, producers such as form the first trophic level by converting into through , primary consumers like herbivores occupy the second level by feeding on producers, and secondary or higher-level consumers, such as carnivores, follow in subsequent positions. However, real ecosystems rarely follow such straightforward linearity; instead, they manifest as interconnected food webs where multiple food chains overlap, allowing species to exploit resources across several trophic levels—a phenomenon known as omnivory. For instance, many predators consume both herbivores and other carnivores, blurring discrete level assignments and enhancing ecosystem stability by facilitating alternative energy pathways. Food webs are graphically represented through trophic pyramids, which illustrate the distribution of organisms, , or across levels, typically narrowing from base to due to diminishing resources at higher positions. A of numbers depicts the abundance of individuals, often widest at the level with fewer predators at the top; for example, a single might support thousands of but only a few birds. The of shows the total mass of living matter per level, usually decreasing upward as higher consumers require more prey to sustain themselves, though inverted pyramids can occur in systems like some environments where is low but productive. Similarly, the quantifies caloric flow, always upright and decreasing sharply to reflect losses at each transfer, emphasizing why ecosystems support fewer top predators. These pyramids underscore the hierarchical yet interconnected nature of trophic positions, where disruptions at one level can cascade through the web. Terrestrial ecosystems like grasslands exemplify trophic organization with grasses as primary producers supporting vast numbers of herbivorous insects and mammals, such as grasshoppers and prairie dogs at the second level, which in turn are preyed upon by birds and small carnivores at higher levels, forming a classic upright pyramid of numbers and biomass. In contrast, aquatic ecosystems such as coral reefs display more intricate webs, where microscopic algae and symbiotic zooxanthellae serve as producers, grazed by herbivorous fish like parrotfish at the primary consumer level, which are then consumed by mid-level predators including groupers and ultimately apex sharks, resulting in a biomass pyramid that can appear inverted due to the rapid turnover of planktonic producers. These examples highlight how environmental factors, such as nutrient availability and habitat complexity, influence the structure and occupancy of trophic positions across ecosystem types. Decomposers and detritivores, including , fungi, and like earthworms, play a critical role in by breaking down dead and , thereby recycling essential such as and back into the or for reuse by producers, without fitting neatly into the trophic hierarchy. Unlike primary or secondary , these organisms operate outside strict level assignments, processing from all trophic positions and preventing nutrient lockup in , which sustains long-term productivity. Their activity forms a parallel detrital pathway in food webs, linking the end of one cycle to the beginning of another and ensuring the closed-loop dynamics of .

Historical Development

Origins of the Concept

The concept of trophic levels has roots in early observations of food chains dating back to the , when naturalists began documenting predator-prey relationships in . In 1718, Richard Bradley described generalized food chains among , positing an infinite of predation observable through , which laid groundwork for understanding sequential energy dependencies in ecosystems. Similarly, in his 1749 work Oeconomy of Nature outlined two explicit food chains—one terrestrial and one —emphasizing the interconnected nutritional roles of organisms. These pre-20th-century ideas, though qualitative, introduced the notion of linear feeding sequences that would later evolve into structured trophic hierarchies. By the early 20th century, ecologists expanded these foundational observations into more systematic frameworks for community organization. Charles Elton's 1927 book Animal Ecology marked a pivotal influence by formalizing food chains as sequences from producers to herbivores and carnivores, typically limited to four or five links due to diminishing resources. Elton also introduced the "pyramid of numbers," illustrating how organism abundance decreases at higher levels, and emphasized food as the central driver of animal societies, thereby shifting focus toward trophic interactions as regulators of ecological communities. His work built on earlier quantitative efforts, such as Karl Semper's 1881 proposal of a 10:1 food-to-flesh conversion ratio in food chains, which highlighted efficiency losses in energy transfer. The formalization of trophic levels as discrete energy-based categories occurred in Raymond Lindeman's seminal 1942 paper, "The Trophic-Dynamic Aspect of ," which integrated prior ideas into a dynamic model of function. Lindeman, drawing on Elton's pyramids and August Thienemann's 1926 studies of lake food cycles, defined trophic levels in terms of flow from producers through consumers, applying quantitative data to successional stages in aquatic systems. He also incorporated Arthur Tansley's 1935 concept, linking biotic trophic relations to abiotic processes, thus establishing trophic levels as a cornerstone for analyzing transformations rather than mere structural chains. This trophic-dynamic viewpoint provided the conceptual foundation for modern , emphasizing efficiency in partitioning across levels.

Key Milestones and Contributors

In the 1960s and 1970s, the trophic level concept evolved through its integration into , which emphasized quantitative modeling of energy flows across compartments. This period marked a shift toward viewing as interconnected networks where trophic levels facilitated the analysis of energy budgets and material cycling. Eugene P. Odum played a pivotal role in this advancement, developing conceptual models that depicted unidirectional energy transfer from producers through successive consumer levels, underscoring the role of trophic structure in maintaining stability. His work built on earlier ideas by incorporating field measurements of and , enabling ecologists to quantify how energy diminishes across levels. Key contributors further refined trophic level theory by addressing the complexities of food web dynamics. Robert May, in the early 1970s, introduced mathematical models demonstrating that increasing connectance and in food webs—encompassing multiple trophic interactions—tended to reduce stability, challenging assumptions of rigid, linear trophic hierarchies. This work highlighted the limitations of discrete trophic levels in capturing real-world omnivory and looping. More recently, Ulrich Brose has advanced trophic scaling principles, showing how body mass ratios predict trophic positions and interaction strengths across diverse ecosystems, providing a quantitative framework for scaling trophic dynamics from individual traits to community-level patterns. Significant milestones include the application of mean trophic level metrics to fisheries in the 1990s, where assessments began incorporating average trophic positions of catches to evaluate and shifts in community structure, notably through Pauly et al. (1998). By the 1990s, stable isotope techniques enabled the estimation of fractional trophic levels, allowing researchers to assign non-integer positions (e.g., 2.3 or 3.7) based on δ¹⁵N enrichment of approximately 3.4‰ per level, thus accommodating dietary variability and omnivory in empirical studies. Concurrently, the 1980s saw an evolution in terminology from strictly discrete trophic levels to continuous spectra, driven by network analyses that modeled positions as weighted averages of prey contributions, better reflecting the reticulate nature of food webs.

Energy Dynamics

Biomass and Energy Transfer

In ecosystems, energy flows unidirectionally through trophic levels, beginning with primary producers that capture via and transferring it to higher levels through . This flow is governed by the second law of thermodynamics, which dictates that energy transformations increase , resulting in inevitable losses as and unusable forms at each transfer, preventing perfect efficiency. As outlined in the foundational trophic-dynamic framework, this process structures ecosystems around partitioning among levels, with no backward cycling of . Biomass transfer between trophic levels stems from the difference between gross primary (GPP), the total energy fixed by producers, and net primary (NPP), which subtracts the energy lost to autotrophic . NPP represents the biomass available to primary , but upon , only a fraction is assimilated after accounting for waste (egestion), with the remainder dissipated through consumer or excreted. This leads to a progressive decline in standing across levels, as heterotrophs convert assimilated into metabolic heat, growth, and secondary production for the next level. The basic model for production at trophic level n+1 can be expressed as: \text{Production}_{n+1} = \text{Assimilation efficiency} \times \text{Consumption}_n \times (1 - \text{Respiration efficiency}) Here, assimilation efficiency is the proportion of ingested energy absorbed after digestion (typically 15–50% for herbivores due to indigestible plant material like cellulose), while respiration efficiency reflects the fraction of assimilated energy used for metabolism rather than growth. Production efficiency, the ratio of net production to assimilation, varies widely by taxon: endothermic herbivores exhibit low values (~2%) due to high metabolic demands, whereas ectothermic invertebrates achieve higher efficiencies (~20%) with lower maintenance costs. These factors collectively limit biomass accumulation at higher levels, emphasizing the thermodynamic constraints on ecosystem dynamics.

Transfer Efficiency and the 10% Rule

Transfer efficiency (), also known as ecological or trophic transfer efficiency, is defined as the ratio of at one trophic level () to the at the preceding level (n), representing the proportion of or successfully passed upward through the . Across diverse ecosystems, TE typically ranges from 10% to 20%, reflecting substantial losses due to , uneaten , and mortality unrelated to predation. The 10% rule, an approximation originating from Raymond Lindeman's seminal trophic-dynamic analysis, posits that approximately 10% of from one trophic level is transferred to the next, resulting in declines that constrain lengths to about 4-5 levels in most ecosystems. This rule stems from Lindeman's (1942) quantification of flows in lake ecosystems, where he calculated progressive efficiencies around 10% after for metabolic losses, providing a foundational model for understanding pyramids. Empirical support for low TE and the 10% rule includes Hairston et al.'s (1960) hypothesis that predators control populations, thereby regulating energy availability to higher levels and maintaining the inverted structure implied by inefficient transfers. Modern meta-analyses in aquatic systems confirm this variability, with TE often falling between 5% and 25%, influenced by factors like prey quality and predator foraging efficiency; for instance, in lakes, transfers from to can range from 0.0005% to over 30%, but averages align closer to 10% across broader datasets. Despite these patterns, TE exhibits limitations and context-dependency. In detrital food chains, which process dead , efficiency is generally higher than in chains due to reduced metabolic demands on initial consumers, as evidenced by comparative models showing 6.73% TE in detrital pathways versus 5.31% in ones in marine ecosystems. Human activities further alter these rates, with land-use changes like and reducing overall energy flow through animal populations by up to 36% and shifting trophic structures toward lower-efficiency, small-bodied dominants.

Advanced Metrics

Fractional Trophic Levels

Fractional trophic levels extend the traditional integer-based classification by assigning continuous, non-integer values to organisms, thereby accommodating complex feeding behaviors such as omnivory and mixed diets that do not fit neatly into discrete categories. For instance, a consuming both primary and secondary consumers might occupy a trophic level of 2.3, reflecting a partial reliance on multiple prey types rather than a strict progression through levels. This approach recognizes that real-world food webs often involve overlapping niches, where exploit resources across trophic boundaries, leading to more nuanced representations of energy flow. The primary method for calculating fractional trophic levels relies on stable nitrogen isotope ratios (δ¹⁵N), which increase predictably with each trophic transfer due to fractionation during assimilation. The standard formula is: \text{TL} = \lambda + \frac{\delta^{15}\text{N}_{\text{consumer}} - \delta^{15}\text{N}_{\text{base}}}{\Delta^{15}\text{N}} where \lambda represents the trophic level of the baseline organism (typically 2 for primary consumers like herbivores or detritivores), \delta^{15}\text{N}_{\text{consumer}} is the nitrogen isotope ratio of the organism in question, \delta^{15}\text{N}_{\text{base}} is the baseline isotope ratio, and \Delta^{15}\text{N} is the trophic enrichment factor, commonly estimated at approximately 3.4‰ per trophic level based on meta-analyses of empirical data. This equation allows for precise, quantitative assignment of positions, with baselines often selected from long-lived primary producers or consumers to minimize variability from environmental factors. In applications, fractional trophic levels enhance food web modeling by resolving structural complexity in diverse ecosystems, particularly where omnivory blurs traditional boundaries. For example, in marine environments like the Bay of Bourgneuf, stable isotope analysis has revealed fractional positions for such as (Scomber scombrus) at 2.8 (ranging 2.5–3.2) and clupeids (e.g., encrasicolus) at 3.1 (2.8–3.4), spanning 2.5–3.5 overall and highlighting dietary shifts influenced by discarding practices. These models facilitate predictions of community responses to perturbations, such as , by incorporating continuous feeding gradients rather than rigid hierarchies. Compared to discrete trophic levels, the fractional approach offers superior accuracy in capturing actual patterns, as it integrates time-averaged information from isotopes, avoiding the biases of snapshot methods like gut content analysis that overlook assimilated resources. This better accounts for omnivorous strategies, where organisms derive from multiple levels, thus providing a more realistic framework for analyzing stability and predator-prey dynamics.

Mean Trophic Level

The mean trophic level () represents the average trophic position of within a or , serving as an indicator of structure and health. It is calculated as a weighted , given by the \text{MTL} = \frac{\sum (\text{biomass}_i \times \text{TL}_i)}{\sum \text{biomass}_i}, where \text{TL}_i is the trophic level of or group i, and the summation is weighted by or, in fisheries contexts, by catch landings. This metric aggregates individual trophic positions—often derived from composition or stable isotope analysis—into a community-level summary, highlighting shifts in dominant functional groups. In , is prominently used to assess under the "" hypothesis, which posits that intensive harvesting preferentially removes high-trophic-level predators, leading to declines in the overall and restructuring. For instance, global catches exhibited a decline in from slightly above 3.3 in the early to below 3.1 by 1994, reflecting a shift toward lower-trophic-level like and planktivores. Similar trends appear in inland waters due to selective pressure on piscivores. MTL calculations commonly incorporate diet data from sources like , assigning trophic levels based on prey items (e.g., piscivores at TL ≈ 4, herbivores at TL ≈ 2), or stable nitrogen isotopes (δ¹⁵N), which increase by about 3–4‰ per trophic step to estimate continuous positions. In oceanic systems, such as the northern region, MTL assessments have shown declines from 3.5 to 3.2 over decades of industrial fishing, indicating reduced predator . Interpretations of MTL values emphasize that levels above 3.5 typically signify healthy, predator-dominated systems with balanced energy flow, whereas sustained drops below 3.2 signal degradation and potential collapse risks.

Interactions and Complexity

Tritrophic Interactions

Tritrophic interactions involve dynamic relationships among three trophic levels, typically producers (such as ), s, and predators, where changes at one level propagate effects to others. These interactions often manifest as tritrophic cascades, which are top-down processes in which predators suppress populations, thereby reducing damage to and indirectly enhancing . For instance, the removal of a predator can lead to outbreaks and subsequent of vegetation, disrupting ecosystem structure. Mechanisms driving tritrophic cascades include both direct predation and indirect signaling. Predators exert top-down control by consuming herbivores, limiting their density and foraging pressure on plants. Additionally, plants can actively mediate these interactions through induced defenses, such as the emission of herbivore-induced plant volatiles (HIPVs), which are specific chemical signals released upon herbivore attack to attract predators or parasitoids. These volatiles, including terpenoids and green leaf volatiles, guide carnivores to herbivore-infested plants, enhancing predation efficiency. Behavioral changes in herbivores, such as reduced feeding or increased mobility in response to predator presence, further amplify these effects by alleviating plant damage. A classic example of a tritrophic cascade occurs in Pacific forests, where sea otters (a top predator at trophic level 3) prey on sea urchins (s at level 2), preventing overconsumption of (producers at level 1). In areas with abundant otters, urchin populations remain low, allowing forests to thrive and support diverse marine life; conversely, otter declines lead to urchin barrens and depletion. Similarly, Robert Paine's 1960s experiments in rocky intertidal zones demonstrated cascade effects: removal of predatory sea stars () resulted in () dominance, which crowded out and other sessile organisms, reducing across trophic levels. These findings underscore how predator removal can trigger cascading of primary producers. In terrestrial systems, induced plant defenses exemplify tritrophic mediation, as seen in crops like or lima beans, where herbivory prompts HIPV release that recruits predatory wasps or beetles, indirectly protecting the plant. Such interactions highlight the role of chemical in stabilizing tritrophic dynamics, with evidence from and lab studies showing increased predator recruitment and reduced herbivore survival on HIPV-emitting plants. Overall, tritrophic interactions reveal the interconnectedness of components, where predator control and plant signaling prevent destabilizing herbivore dominance.

Broader Multi-level Dynamics

In food webs, multi-level interactions extend beyond linear chains to include complex patterns such as trophic loops, where energy flows cycle back through multiple levels, , in which predators consume competitors at the same trophic level, and omnivory, where species feed across more than one trophic level, thereby linking disparate parts of the network. These interactions introduce non-linear that can amplify or dampen perturbations across the , contrasting with simpler tritrophic setups by incorporating mechanisms that span four or more levels. The of food webs is influenced by connectance—the density of feeding links—and the number of trophic levels, as higher connectance can increase to disturbances but also heighten to cascading effects if key links fail. This tension underlies May's of , which posits that more complex webs with greater and connectance should be less stable due to amplified variability in random models, yet empirical observations reveal many real webs maintain through structured interactions like modular omnivory. In the , bats such as those in the genus Phyllostomus exemplify omnivory at trophic levels 2–3, consuming both fruits from primary producers and insects from secondary consumers. Similarly, microbial loops in ocean ecosystems add basal trophic levels, where decompose dissolved and are grazed by , channeling energy parallel to phytoplankton-based paths and sustaining higher-level consumers in nutrient-poor waters. Recent studies from the highlight climate-driven shifts in these multi-level dynamics, such as changes in that lead to trophic amplification, potentially destabilizing marine food webs where lower-level perturbations propagate upward, resulting in greater biomass declines at higher trophic levels than expected. In the eastern , projected climate scenarios predict bottom-up alterations in that cascade through omnivorous links, reducing overall web resilience by mid-century.

Evolutionary and Applied Aspects

Evolution of Trophic Structures

The emergence of trophic structures traces back to the , approximately 600 million years ago, when the first complex multicellular organisms, known as the Ediacaran biota, appeared in marine environments. These soft-bodied organisms formed simple, mat-dominated ecosystems with limited evidence of predation or herbivory, primarily relying on osmotrophic or microbial feeding strategies rather than multi-level food chains. The transition to more structured trophic levels occurred during the Ediacaran-Cambrian boundary, driven by innovations such as skeletonization, motility, and predation, which introduced the first clear predator-prey dynamics and diversified basal trophic positions. The , around 540 million years ago, marked a pivotal diversification of trophic levels, with the rapid evolution of bilaterian animals leading to the establishment of complex food webs. assemblages from this period reveal the appearance of multiple trophic tiers, including primary consumers, deposit feeders, and early carnivores, as evidenced by trace s like borings and coprolites indicating selective predation. This radiation expanded connectivity, setting the stage for Phanerozoic-style food webs with increased trophic depth and efficiency in energy transfer. Adaptive radiations further shaped trophic structures during the Period, about 400 million years ago, when herbivory emerged as a key innovation among early terrestrial arthropods and tetrapods. The colonization of land by vascular coincided with the first significant grazing pressures, as seen in fossil evidence of spore damage and stem piercings, which introduced dedicated primary consumer roles and stimulated plant defenses. In the Era, spanning 252 to 66 million years ago, top predators diversified dramatically, with marine reptiles and dinosaurs occupying apex positions in both terrestrial and oceanic food webs. This period saw the evolution of specialized carnivorous adaptations, such as powerful jaws in theropod dinosaurs and ichthyosaurs, enhancing top-down control and lengthening chains in nutrient-rich environments. Over geological time, patterns in trophic show a general increase in length, from the short, two-to-three-level webs of the to more elongated structures in the , supported by greater primary productivity and redundancy for stability. Fossil coprolites provide direct evidence of these ancient diets, revealing trophic interactions such as herbivorous consumption of plant material in the and carnivorous feeding in reptiles, which confirm the persistence and complexity of multi-level dynamics. Despite this lengthening, redundancy in roles—multiple taxa filling similar trophic niches—maintained resilience against perturbations, as inferred from isotopic analyses of fecal remains. In modern contexts, selective pressures are driving rapid that shortens trophic levels, particularly through of predators like large and mammals, which reduces body sizes and alters community structures. Harvesting imposes for smaller, earlier-maturing individuals, effectively compressing food chains and diminishing apex control, as documented in fisheries where exploited populations exhibit reduced trophic positions over generations. This human-induced contrasts with natural geological patterns, accelerating instability in contemporary ecosystems.

Applications in Conservation and Monitoring

Trophic level concepts, particularly through indicators like the mean trophic level (MTL) and the Fishing-in-Balance (FiB) index, serve as key tools for detecting overfishing and biodiversity loss in marine ecosystems. The MTL, which averages the trophic positions of caught species, declines when fisheries target lower-trophic-level organisms, signaling ecosystem degradation and reduced sustainability. Similarly, the FiB index tracks whether fishing expansion aligns with expected trophic declines; a decreasing FiB indicates unsustainable practices leading to overfishing beyond balanced ecological limits. In the European Union, the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) under Descriptor 4 incorporates MTL variants, such as MTL above 3.25, to assess food web integrity and target stable or increasing trends for achieving good environmental status, with applications in regions like the Bay of Biscay where fishing pressures have driven negative MTL shifts. These indicators enable managers to monitor biodiversity erosion, as seen in global analyses where MTL drops correlate with intensified exploitation and habitat loss. Monitoring techniques leveraging stable isotope analysis have revealed trophic shifts driven by , such as poleward species migrations that alter structures. By measuring ratios of nitrogen-15 to nitrogen-14 in tissues, researchers quantify changes in trophic positions, showing how warming oceans prompt boreal species to invade systems, broadening isotopic niches and increasing trophic overlap. For instance, in range-extending fishes, stable isotopes indicate niche segregation that mitigates competition but disrupts local trophic dynamics as predators and prey migrate at differing rates. These methods provide of climate-induced alterations, aiding efforts to predict and mitigate disruptions in energy transfer across levels. Human activities, especially the loss of predators, exemplify "trophic downgrading," where removal cascades through ecosystems, amplifying declines worldwide. In a seminal review, Estes et al. (2011) documented how of top predators like sharks and wolves leads to surges, , and vegetation loss, affecting terrestrial and marine systems globally. Restoration initiatives, such as the 1995 gray wolf reintroduction in , demonstrate reversal through trophic cascades: wolves reduced numbers, allowing riparian recovery and boosting , though recent analyses suggest multifaceted drivers beyond wolves alone. These examples underscore the role of trophic level restoration in conservation, emphasizing predator recovery to stabilize ecosystems. Recent 2020s research highlights trophic mismatches in warming oceans, where asynchronous shifts in primary producers and higher-level consumers threaten resilience. Projections indicate spatial mismatches between predators and prey, with up to 17-51% declines in key microbial production exacerbating disruptions across trophic levels in tropical regions. In the , phenological changes from ocean warming have caused out-of-sync migrations, reducing transfer efficiency and amplifying risks to fisheries-dependent communities. Such findings, drawn from ensemble models, inform to address these climate-driven gaps in trophic alignment.

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