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Martin Jacques

Martin Jacques (born October 1945) is a British academic, journalist, and author renowned for his analysis of China's ascent as a civilization-state poised to reshape global order, most notably through his 2009 book When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order. Born in Coventry to Communist Party parents, he earned a first-class honours degree in economics from the University of Manchester, followed by a master's and PhD. Jacques edited Marxism Today, the theoretical journal of the Communist Party of Great Britain, from 1977 until its closure in 1991, during which he contributed to debates on Eurocommunism and the party's adaptation to Thatcherism. He co-founded the progressive think tank Demos in 1993 and has written columns for outlets including The Guardian, The New Statesman, and The Times. Jacques's defining work argues that China's economic and cultural dominance will eclipse Western models of , rejecting in favor of a Sinocentric rooted in China's historical sense of civilizational superiority rather than nation-state . The , updated in 2012, draws on historical precedents like the tribute system to predict a multipolar order where Western assumptions of and individualism yield to Chinese state-led and collectivism. His thesis has influenced discussions on global power shifts but faced scrutiny for overemphasizing China's and underestimating internal challenges like demographic decline and political rigidity, with some critics questioning the timeline and feasibility of a "" supplanting Western institutions. Jacques remains a frequent commentator on Sino-Western relations, often defending China's model against accusations of from Western media, which he attributes to cultural incomprehension.

Early Life and Education

Upbringing and Formative Influences

Martin Jacques was born in October 1945 in , , a city renowned for its automotive and engineering industries during the post-World War II era. His father, Dennis Jacques, worked as an engineer at , a prominent aero-engine manufacturer, while his mother served as a schoolteacher; the family embodied working-class values amid Coventry's industrial landscape, which had been heavily impacted by wartime bombing but was undergoing reconstruction. Growing up in this environment, Jacques was exposed to the rhythms of factory life and trade unionism, with his parents holding Communist affiliations that instilled early political awareness. Their ideological commitments, aligned with the broader left-wing currents in mid-20th-century , fostered in him a of shaped by observations of disparities in . As a , he developed interests beyond , including a fascination with motor —Coventry being Europe's car manufacturing hub—evidenced by his admiration for racer , whom he corresponded with starting at age seven in 1953. These formative elements—familial , the grit of post-war industrialism, and personal curiosities—laid the groundwork for ' later engagement with leftist thought, culminating in his joining the in 1966 while at university. The city's socio-economic fabric, combining resilience and inequality, reinforced a emphasizing structural change over incremental reform, influencing his enduring focus on global power shifts and .

Academic Training and Initial Political Engagement

Jacques attended King Henry VIII School, a in , where he developed early interests in and amid a working-class background influenced by his father's employment in local manufacturing. He enrolled at the for undergraduate studies, graduating with a first-class honours degree in around 1968. Subsequently, he pursued advanced studies, earning a at before completing a PhD in at , focusing on theoretical aspects of shaped by Marxist frameworks. Jacques's initial political engagement began during his school years, joining the Young Communist League in 1961 at age 15, followed by formal membership in the (CPGB) upon turning 18 in 1963. At and later , he immersed himself in student politics, organizing within CPGB-affiliated groups, advocating for Marxist-Leninist positions, and participating in campaigns against and that characterized the era's movements. This period marked his transition from theoretical academic pursuits to practical , laying the groundwork for his later roles in party and intellectual circles.

Professional Career

Early Journalistic Roles

Following the completion of his in at , in the early , Martin Jacques transitioned from academia to journalism, focusing on and economic commentary aligned with his involvement in the (CPGB), which he had joined in 1966. His initial journalistic activities centered on contributing to left-wing and party-affiliated outlets, where he advocated for reforming the CPGB's rigid doctrines amid the rise of and critiques of Soviet-style orthodoxy. These writings reflected his efforts, alongside other young intellectuals, to modernize the party's theoretical framework and engage broader intellectual debates on in during the economic crises. Jacques' pre-editorial work reportedly included freelance contributions to mainstream publications such as and , leveraging his academic expertise in to analyze contemporary issues, though specific bylines from this period remain sparsely documented. This phase established his reputation within CPGB circles as a reformist voice, positioning him for leadership in party media, but it also involved higher remuneration than the subsequent editorship role. By the mid-1970s, his output contributed to internal party debates, emphasizing adaptation to Thatcher-era challenges over dogmatic Marxism-Leninism.

Editorship of Marxism Today

Martin Jacques assumed editorship of Marxism Today, the theoretical magazine of the , in September 1977, succeeding . He retained the role until December 1991, during which time the publication evolved from a niche party organ with circulation under 5,000 to a broader platform peaking at 17,000–18,000 copies in late 1988. In his initial memorandum, Jacques outlined ambitions to "de-ghettoise" the journal by linking Marxist theory to contemporary practice, targeting a wider left including non-party members, and overcoming Stalinist legacies of . Key transformations included a October 1979 relaunch in magazine format—featuring a larger size (8.4 by 10.75 inches), for improved design, graphics-heavy layout, and sections like and "Features"—which eliminated jargon such as "" and "" to enhance accessibility. Further changes encompassed nationwide newsagent starting October 1981, autonomy via a separate in October 1984, and a third format redesign in October 1986 with four-column pages and web offset printing. These shifts positioned Marxism Today as the party's public face, eclipsing outlets like the by 1983 and attracting over 80% non-member readers by 1988. Content under Jacques emphasized topical analyses of , , labor's decline, and , informed by and Antonio Gramsci's concepts, while incorporating non-party voices for open debate. Prominent contributors included Stuart Hall, , Beatrix Campbell, and journalists from The Guardian and Financial Times, fostering discussions on cultural politics and broad democratic alliances. The journal's 1982 "Moving Left Show" conference and media reprints amplified its reach, challenging left orthodoxies amid the party's internal divisions. The "New Times" project, debated from May 1988 and launched in October of that year, represented Jacques' signature initiative: a adapting to , , , and disorganised , prioritizing flexible coalitions over rigid struggle. Formalized in a June 1989 manifesto supplement and co-edited book New Times: The Changing Face of Politics in the with Hall, it influenced Labour revisions under and prefigured New Labour's emphasis on modernization. Jacques' reforms provoked backlash from CPGB traditionalists, who decried the journal as factional, anti-working-class, and for sidelining proletarian focus in favor of petty-bourgeois and inviting figures like . External critics, such as in 1985, assailed it as a "new " eroding Marxist fundamentals under Thatcher-era pressures. Tensions peaked in 1985 and 1989 Executive Committee clashes over autonomy and contributor diversity, contributing to party fragmentation. Marxism Today ceased publication in December 1991 following the CPGB's dissolution, funding shortfalls, and the Soviet collapse, though its legacy endured in shaping centre-left discourse on economic restructuring and cultural realignment.

Establishment and Role at Demos

Demos, an independent focused on in areas such as , , and , was established in 1993 by Martin Jacques and . The initiative emerged in the aftermath of the 1991 closure of Marxism Today, the Communist Party of Great Britain's theoretical journal where Jacques had served as editor, reflecting a perceived need for a cross-party platform to foster innovative unbound by traditional ideological constraints. Demos positioned itself to encourage ideas and practical solutions, operating beyond lines to influence centre-left thinking during a period of ideological flux in . As co-founder, played a pivotal role in Demos's formative years, leveraging his background in Marxist analysis and to guide its emphasis on post-Fordist economics, , and adaptation to . He held directorial positions within Demos's associated entities, including Demos Consulting Limited and the core organization, contributing to its early output that helped shape New Labour's policy framework under leaders like . Under this structure, Demos published reports and hosted discussions that critiqued rigid statist approaches while advocating flexible, knowledge-driven governance models, though 's involvement waned as he pursued independent .

Transition to Independent Journalism and Broadcasting

Following his departure from the deputy editorship of The Independent in 1996, which he later described as an unhappy two-year tenure, Martin Jacques shifted toward freelance journalism and commentary. This marked a departure from institutional roles at think tanks like Demos and editorial positions, allowing him to pursue independent writing on international politics, economics, and the implications of China's emergence. Jacques began contributing regular columns to The Guardian and New Statesman, outlets where he analyzed shifts in global power dynamics, often challenging Western-centric assumptions about modernity and hegemony. Parallel to his print work, Jacques expanded into broadcasting, producing and appearing in television programs that disseminated his views on Asia's geopolitical ascent. His media engagements included contributions to programs and documentaries, leveraging his evolving expertise on non-Western civilizations to reach broader audiences. This freelance phase enabled greater focus on long-form analysis, culminating in book contracts and , while maintaining output across newspapers, magazines, and without fixed affiliations. By the early 2000s, these activities solidified his profile as an independent voice, distinct from earlier editorial constraints.

Intellectual Contributions and Major Works

Evolution of Key Ideas

Jacques's early intellectual work, particularly during his tenure as editor of Marxism Today from 1977 to 1991, focused on reinterpreting for the conditions of advanced capitalist societies in the West. The journal shifted from orthodox Soviet-style toward a Gramscian emphasis on , analyzing Margaret Thatcher's policies not merely as economic shifts but as a broader ideological transformation that demanded innovative left-wing responses, including selective embrace of market mechanisms and attention to cultural identities. This period marked his initial key idea: the necessity of ideological adaptation to "new times," where rigid class-based analysis yielded to pluralistic, context-specific strategies against neoliberal dominance. In the 1990s, following the journal's closure amid the Communist Party of Great Britain's dissolution, Jacques co-founded the Demos in 1993, advancing ideas of and progressive governance that influenced Britain's under . Here, his thinking evolved to prioritize civic renewal, , and policy experimentation over traditional , reflecting disillusionment with both rigid and unchecked . This phase represented a pragmatic pivot, seeking to reconstruct left-of-center politics in a post-Cold War era defined by and identity fragmentation, yet it remained anchored in Western democratic frameworks. A pivotal personal and intellectual shift occurred in the early 2000s, catalyzed by his to Malaysian-Chinese academic in 1999 and her death in 2000, which exposed him to non-Western perspectives and prompted a reevaluation of . This experience, combined with 's economic ascent—evident in its GDP growth averaging over 10% annually from 2000 to 2010—led Jacques to question the universality of Western modernity. By 2003, he argued in essays that Europe's historical centrality was waning, with , particularly , poised to redefine global power dynamics through indigenous models rather than Western imitation. Culminating in his 2009 book When China Rules the World, Jacques crystallized the concept of China as a "civilization-state," distinct from the nation-state model forged in Europe's 1648 Treaty of Westphalia. This idea posits China's historical continuity—spanning over 2,000 years of imperial unity, with the inheriting rather than rupturing civilizational traditions—as enabling a unique path of development blending state-led economics, Confucian hierarchy, and Marxist adaptation. Unlike earlier Eurocentric analyses, this framework rejected the notion of convergent modernization toward , instead envisioning a multipolar world where Western cedes to civilizational pluralism. In subsequent writings and lectures, such as his 2011 talk viewed over 2 million times, Jacques refined these views amid China's surpassing as the world's second-largest economy in 2010. He emphasized causal factors like the Chinese Communist Party's adaptive governance—resolving internal contradictions through tailored to national conditions—and critiqued Western decline as stemming from overreliance on and short-termism. By 2019, he framed the as China's decade, predicting sustained ascent through technological , as evidenced by initiatives like , which aimed for dominance in sectors like and semiconductors. This evolution underscores a departure from intra-Western ideological debates toward causal in global power transitions, privileging empirical trajectories over normative Western templates.

When China Rules the World and Its Arguments

When China Rules the World: The End of the and the Birth of a New Global Order is a authored by Martin Jacques, first published in by Penguin Press, with an expanded second edition released in that includes nearly 300 additional pages incorporating post-financial . The work's central thesis asserts that 's rapid economic growth and political consolidation will displace the as the preeminent global , fundamentally altering international norms and diminishing Western hegemony in favor of a Sinocentric order. Jacques draws on historical analysis and economic projections, such as those from estimating 's GDP surpassing the U.S. around 2027, to argue for the inevitability of this shift assuming sustained stability. A core argument distinguishes as a "civilization-state" rather than a conventional nation-state, emphasizing its enduring identity as an ancient empire with a cohesive cultural core that integrates diverse ethnic groups under Han-centric unity and historical continuity. This framework, Jacques contends, enables to pursue modernization without the ideological breaks characteristic of nation-building, fostering resilience through a blend of Confucian , state authority, and racial-cultural self-perception as the world's historical center. Unlike , which Jacques views as lacking comparable cultural confidence post-World War II, 's revival of imperial sensibilities positions it to project influence via revived tributary-like relations in and beyond. Jacques further maintains that China's model exemplifies an alternative modernity, where state-directed —prioritizing performance legitimacy through economic delivery over multiparty —challenges the West's presumption of liberal institutions. He argues this approach has propelled China's integration as the global economy's manufacturing hub and driver of the "rise of the East," reliant on labor-intensive growth but increasingly innovating despite top-down constraints. Under dominance, Jacques envisions a multipolar world rejecting Western for , with potentially rivaling English and Confucian principles informing , though without imposing a singular akin to . The book critiques Western-centric for overlooking non-European modernities, positing that China's ascent exposes the of the post-1492 global order and necessitates to "contested modernities" where economic centrality does not guarantee cultural or institutional mimicry. Jacques highlights China's potential through economic interdependence and historical prestige, arguing it will foster a new global hierarchy centered on rather than replicating U.S.-style alliances or interventions.

Other Publications and Essays

Jacques co-edited The Forward March of Labour Halted? with Francis Mulhern in 1981, a collection of essays critiquing the stagnation of the British labour movement amid economic and social changes in the late 1970s. In 1989, he edited The Politics of , which compiled analyses of Margaret Thatcher's conservative policies, their roots in neoliberal economics, and their implications for British society and the left. That same year, Jacques co-edited New Times: The Changing Face of Politics in the 1990s with Stuart Hall, a volume associated with the Today project that argued for adapting leftist thought to post-Fordist conditions, , and cultural shifts, influencing debates on "New Times" as a response to and beyond. Beyond these volumes, Jacques has authored essays in periodicals like and , frequently addressing 's global ascent, Western political crises, and multipolarity. In "The death of and the crisis in western politics," published August 21, 2016, he contended that neoliberalism's dominance had eroded, fueling populist reactions and necessitating new frameworks for understanding inequality and governance failures. His December 31, 2019, essay "This decade belonged to . So will the next one" emphasized 's economic and geopolitical strides over the , attributing Western resistance to a failure to grasp non- modernity. Earlier, in " is rising as the declines. can’t ignore this reality" from October 19, 2015, Jacques urged the to pivot toward Sino-centric opportunities amid American hegemony's wane. These pieces reflect his shift from Eurocentric leftist analysis to broader geopolitical commentary, often challenging universalist assumptions of .

Academic Positions and Affiliations

Fellowships and Professorships

Martin Jacques held the position of Senior Fellow at the Department of Politics and International Studies (POLIS), , from January 2014 until recently, stepping down by late 2024. He serves as Visiting Professor at the Institute of Modern , , , a role that aligns with his focus on China's global role. Jacques is also a Senior Fellow at the China Institute, , since 2017, contributing to research on and studies. In addition, he has been a Senior Visiting Fellow at IDEAS, the centre for and at the London School of Economics. Previously, Jacques served as Visiting Professor at Renmin University, , and as Senior Visiting Research Fellow at the Asia Research Institute, .

Lectureships and Advisory Roles

Jacques has held multiple visiting academic positions focused on international relations and China studies. He is a Visiting Professor at the Institute of Modern , , , where he contributes to discussions on global order and China's role therein. He also serves as a Senior Fellow at the , , engaging in research and commentary on geopolitical shifts. In the , Jacques was a Senior Fellow at the Department of Politics and International Studies, , a position he held until recently, allowing him to lecture on topics including the rise of non-Western powers. He maintains a Visiting Senior Fellowship at IDEAS, the London School of Economics' centre for diplomacy and grand strategy, supporting analysis of international affairs. Beyond these, Jacques served as a Visiting Research Fellow at the Asia Research Institute, , facilitating comparative studies on Asian development models. These roles have enabled him to deliver lectures and advise on policy-oriented research, though specific advisory board memberships in academic contexts remain limited to his earlier involvement with think tanks like Demos.

Political and Ideological Views

From Eurocommunism to Critique of Western Liberalism

Jacques began his political engagement by joining the Communist Party of Great Britain (CPGB) at age 18 in the mid-1960s, becoming active in student politics at Manchester and Cambridge universities. By 1977, amid rising influence of the Eurocommunist faction within the CPGB—which sought to adapt Marxism to Western democratic contexts, reject Soviet-style centralism, and emphasize pluralism and parliamentary roads to socialism—he was appointed editor of the party's theoretical journal, Marxism Today. Under his leadership from 1977 to 1991, the journal shifted from orthodoxy to promoting Eurocommunist ideas, critiquing Stalinism and Leninism as outdated amid the CPGB's "terminal crisis," and fostering debates on reforming socialism to address cultural and social changes rather than rigid economic determinism. This Eurocommunist phase laid groundwork for Jacques's broader ideological pivot, as Marxism Today in the 1980s developed the "New Times" thesis, analyzing Thatcherism's fusion of market economics with cultural conservatism and advocating left adaptation to post-Fordist fragmentation, globalization, and new social movements beyond traditional class alliances. The journal positioned neoliberalism—characterized by deregulation, privatization, and individualism—as an ascendant force eroding social cohesion, with Jacques among the first to identify its dominance in the early 1980s while warning of its inherent instabilities. Following the CPGB's dissolution in 1991 and the Soviet Union's collapse, Jacques extended this critique beyond socialism's internal debates, rejecting Francis Fukuyama's "end of history" narrative that liberal democracy represented universal endpoint. In subsequent works, Jacques argued that Western liberalism's assumption of its model's universality—rooted in Enlightenment individualism and market primacy—ignored historical contingencies and non-Western civilizational differences, leading to ethnocentric foreign policies and domestic failures like rising inequality and populist backlash. He contended that liberalism's crisis, evident in the 2008 financial meltdown and subsequent austerity, stemmed from overreliance on abstract universalism detached from power dynamics and cultural contexts, contrasting it with state-directed models that prioritize collective efficacy over procedural rights. By the 2010s, this evolved into advocacy for multipolar recognition, where China's rise exemplified liberalism's limits, as Beijing achieved legitimacy through performance rather than electoral competition, challenging the West's conflation of modernity with its own political forms. Jacques maintained that such critiques did not endorse authoritarianism but highlighted liberalism's empirical shortcomings in adapting to global diversity, urging the West to confront its declining hegemony without ideological denial.

Analysis of China's Rise and Civilization-State Concept

Martin Jacques describes as a civilization-state, defined by its embodiment of a singular, continuous civilization with over two millennia of unbroken history, distinguishing it from the European-derived nation-state model that prioritizes territorial and ethnic homogeneity. This concept underscores 's prioritization of unity and state centrality, where the government serves as the custodian of civilizational heritage rather than a arbiter among competing interests. argues that this framework, rooted in Confucian traditions of and , enables a distinctive relationship between state and society, with the former deeply embedded in and less separable from the populace than in systems. In his analysis of China's rise, Jacques contends that the civilization-state structure has facilitated extraordinary economic performance since Deng Xiaoping's reforms in 1978, including the eradication of absolute for approximately 800 million people by 2020 through state-orchestrated industrialization and . He attributes the Chinese Communist Party's legitimacy primarily to this delivery of prosperity and stability—termed "performance legitimacy"—rather than electoral processes, noting that surveys in the early showed over 91% public satisfaction with economic outcomes. This model, blending Leninist with civilizational , contrasts with Western expectations of convergence toward , as Jacques observes that China's GDP trajectory—projected by in to surpass the U.S. by 2027 and double it by 2050—reflects adaptive statecraft rather than market-driven . Jacques extends this to geopolitical implications, asserting that China's ascent will erode the post-Westphalian dominance of norms, fostering a multipolar order where promotes its values of and non-interference over universal frameworks. He posits a potential revival of tributary-like dynamics in , with smaller states acknowledging China's cultural and economic preeminence without formal empire, as the civilization-state's historical "" mentality prioritizes relational hierarchies over equality among equals. This perspective challenges assumptions of exceptionalism, urging recognition of diverse paths to modernity, though Jacques acknowledges internal tensions like racial hierarchies in Chinese self-perception that could complicate global integration.

Perspectives on Global Power Shifts and Multipolarity

Martin Jacques contends that the post-Cold War unipolar moment dominated by the is giving way to a multipolar global order, driven primarily by 's resurgence as a civilization-state rather than a conventional nation-state. In his When China Rules the World, revised in 2012, he argues this shift challenges the West's assumption of universal , with 's model—rooted in historical continuity and cultural —offering an alternative to that will reshape international norms without seeking global in the Western sense. Jacques attributes this transition to 's rapid economic growth, which by 2010 had already surpassed to become the world's second-largest economy, and its projected overtaking of the US GDP by around 2028 in terms, signaling a diffusion of power away from toward the . Central to Jacques's analysis is the relative decline of American primacy, which he describes as inevitable due to overextension in military commitments and failure to adapt to rising competitors, contrasted with 's state-led development and emphasis on mutual benefit in . In a 2021 , he forecasted that would emerge as the world's preeminent power by mid-century, not through conquest but via economic interdependence, fostering a multipolar system where the , , , and others balance alongside without reverting to bipolar confrontation. He has criticized efforts to contain —such as trade wars initiated in 2018—as counterproductive, accelerating the erosion of dollar dominance and Washington's alliances, while 's , launched in 2013, exemplifies proactive multipolarity by integrating over 140 countries through infrastructure without imposing ideological preconditions. Jacques differentiates China's prospective global role from the US by highlighting its non-interventionist stance and respect for civilizational diversity, arguing in 2023 that Beijing seeks a "community of shared future" rather than remaking the world in its image, as evidenced by its mediation in the 2023 Saudi-Iran rapprochement. This vision, he maintains, aligns with the Global South's preferences for sovereignty over conditional aid, positioning multipolarity as a rejection of neocolonial dynamics. In post-2020 commentary, Jacques has linked accelerated deglobalization trends—like supply chain disruptions from the Covid-19 pandemic starting in 2020—to hastening this power diffusion, urging the West to abandon hubris and engage China as an equal. While acknowledging risks such as tensions over Taiwan, he views the overall trajectory as toward cooperative pluralism, provided the US refrains from zero-sum strategies.

Criticisms, Controversies, and Reception

Debates Over Revisionist Marxism

Jacques served as editor of Marxism Today, the theoretical journal of the (CPGB), from 1977 to 1991, during which it evolved into a platform for Eurocommunist ideas that revised by prioritizing democratic pluralism, analysis inspired by , and adaptation to post-industrial economic shifts over rigid class-struggle dogmas tied to Soviet models. This approach, which distanced the journal from pro-Moscow stances, framed not merely as capitalist crisis but as a novel hegemonic project incorporating popular elements like and , necessitating broader alliances beyond traditional proletarian bases. Under Jacques's leadership, the journal hosted debates that challenged the CPGB's industrial militancy focus, advocating instead for engaging , identity-based politics, and flexible economic strategies amid declining and rising service sectors. The "New Times" thesis, crystallized in a 1988 conference and subsequent 1989 volume co-edited by Jacques and Stuart Hall, exemplified this revisionism by positing a transition from Fordist mass production to post-Fordist "disorganized capitalism" characterized by globalization, information technology, and fragmented labor forces, urging the left to abandon outdated collectivist strategies for hybrid, culturally attuned coalitions. This framework, while credited with presciently diagnosing economic mutations, sparked intense intra-left contention, with orthodox Marxists within the CPGB accusing it of theoretical eclecticism that conflated structural economic determinism with voluntarist culturalism, thereby diluting Marxist emphasis on class antagonism and revolutionary seizure of state power. Factions like Straight Left, aligned with the pro-Soviet Morning Star, lambasted Marxism Today's output as liquidationist, arguing it mirrored social-democratic accommodation rather than advancing proletarian internationalism, a critique amplified during the CPGB's fractious 1991 congress where Eurocommunist revisions contributed to the party's dissolution into the non-communist Democratic Left. External leftist commentators further contested the revisionist bent, with A. Sivanandan denouncing the New Times analysis as "" for overemphasizing Thatcherite adaptability at the expense of persistent imperialist and racial hierarchies, which he viewed as core to capitalist continuity rather than ephemeral "new times" disruptions. Such debates highlighted a broader schism: proponents like saw revisionism as pragmatic renewal grounded in empirical shifts like —evidenced by Britain's manufacturing employment drop from 8.9 million in 1979 to 5.5 million by 1990—while detractors contended it represented capitulation to neoliberal realities, forsaking Marxism's predictive universality for . These exchanges, though marginalized post-Cold War, underscored tensions between doctrinal fidelity and contextual adaptation in British .

Accusations of Overoptimism on China's Trajectory

Critics have accused Martin Jacques of exhibiting overoptimism in forecasting China's trajectory toward global dominance, particularly in his 2009 book When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the Birth of a New Global Order, where he posited that China's rise as a civilization-state would fundamentally reshape international norms and eclipse Western hegemony. Political scientist Minxin Pei, in a 2009 Carnegie Endowment analysis, explicitly grouped Jacques among pundits overly sanguine about China's imminent supremacy, arguing that entrenched structural barriers—such as $1.2 trillion in nonperforming bank loans, investment-driven imbalances keeping household consumption below 40% of GDP, and overcapacity in export sectors—would necessitate painful reforms amid declining external demand. These critiques extended to political vulnerabilities, with Pei highlighting rising domestic instability, including widespread riots, high-level corruption scandals (e.g., arrests of senior officials in 2009), and ethnic tensions exemplified by the Urumqi riots that killed nearly 200 and injured over 1,000 in July 2009, as evidence that authoritarian governance could stifle sustainable leadership rather than propel it. A New York Times review by Joseph Kahn similarly faulted Jacques for presuming uninterrupted economic dynamism and political stability, dismissing everyday derailments like peasant uprisings, , and as negligible, despite uncertainties acknowledged even by Chinese leaders. Further scrutiny focused on innovation deficits, as LSE reviewer Ting Xu noted in 2012 that Jacques underplayed China's historical reliance on land and labor over technological breakthroughs, contrasting it with Europe's institutional edges; contemporary data showed 92% of Chinese science and engineering PhDs trained in the U.S. remaining there by 2007, underscoring weak protections, entrepreneurial constraints, and a toward careers that hampers qualitative R&D despite top-down quantity pushes. Such analyses portrayed Jacques' emphasis on as sidelining causal risks from authoritarian centralization, which prioritizes efficiency over adaptive market signals, potentially capping long-term ascent amid global pressures.

Responses to Charges of Ignoring Authoritarianism and Human Rights

Martin Jacques has countered accusations of overlooking authoritarianism in China by emphasizing the cultural and historical specificity of its political system, arguing that Western liberal democratic norms are not universally applicable. In a 2009 opinion piece, he asserted that "politics is culturally specific" and that China's governance, rooted in its identity as a civilization-state rather than a nation-state, derives legitimacy from state competence and historical traditions like Confucianism, rather than popular sovereignty or multi-party elections. He highlighted that no major economy, including Western nations and Japan, was democratic during its period of rapid economic take-off, framing demands for immediate democratization as hypocritical and ahistorical. On human rights, Jacques reframes the concept beyond individual to prioritize collective achievements in and alleviation. He has described China's lifting of approximately 850 million people out of since the late 1970s as "the biggest contribution to in modern history," arguing that the right to and improved living standards constitutes a fundamental human right overlooked by Western-centric definitions focused on political freedoms. In a analysis, he quantified this impact as removing 600 million from over three decades, positioning it as China's paramount global human rights contribution, in contrast to democracies like , where persistent undermines claims of systemic superiority. Jacques maintains that the Chinese Communist Party's performance-based legitimacy—evidenced by sustained and social stability—validates its authoritarian model over , which he views as potentially destabilizing in China's context. In response to specific Western criticisms, such as those concerning ethnic policies in or , Jacques has rejected them as misapplications of nation-state assumptions to 's multi-ethnic civilization-state framework. Speaking at a in , he argued that has historically exhibited greater tolerance toward diversity than Western nation-states, which often prioritized ethnic homogeneity, and dismissed accusations as unfounded projections ignoring 's unitary yet pluralistic . He contends that such critiques stem from a failure to grasp 's internal cohesion, where ethnic integration supports overall development rather than assimilation erasing differences. These defenses align with ' broader thesis that authoritarian elements are functional adaptations to 's scale and history, yielding empirical outcomes—like rapid infrastructure buildout and crisis response—that systems have struggled to match.

Personal Life

Family and Relationships

Martin Jacques married Harinder Kaur Veriah, known as , a Malaysian of descent, in in 1996. The couple had a son, Ravi, born in 1998. In November 1998, they relocated to with their nine-week-old son. Hari died in early 2000 at age 33 from complications following a , which Jacques attributed to medical compounded by racial at a public hospital, given her non-Chinese ethnicity. pursued legal action against the hospital, highlighting against non-ethnic Chinese patients, and in 2010 secured an undisclosed compensation settlement after a decade-long campaign, though the hospital did not formally admit liability for . Ravi Jacques, raised primarily by his father after Hari's death, has pursued interests in China, including planned studies at Tsinghua University as a Schwarzman Scholar, though health issues interrupted this in 2021. No public records indicate Jacques has remarried or had additional children.

Personal Losses and Philanthropic Efforts

In 1999, Martin Jacques' wife, Harinder Veriah, a 33-year-old Indian-Malaysian lawyer, was admitted to a Hong Kong public hospital after suffering complications from an ectopic pregnancy. She experienced cardiac arrest and died on January 2, 2000, following what Jacques described as a "catalogue of negligence," including inadequate monitoring and failure to provide appropriate care, exacerbated by racial bias against her as a non-Chinese patient. The couple's son, Ravi, was born prematurely via emergency caesarean but survived. Jacques pursued legal action against the Hospital Authority for a decade, alleging systemic racism and clinical errors, culminating in a 2010 out-of-court settlement where the authority paid undisclosed compensation without admitting liability, marking a rare acknowledgment of such issues in Hong Kong's healthcare system. In response to Veriah's death and her humanitarian aspirations to aid impoverished children, Jacques co-founded the Harinder Veriah Trust in 2002 as a UK-registered charity (number 1118868) to support education for underprivileged girls in Malaysia. As chair, Jacques has overseen initiatives focused on students at Assunta schools in Petaling Jaya, providing scholarships, mentorship through the Big Sister Little Sister program, and extracurricular activities such as pickleball sessions to foster community and personal development. The trust annually assists over 80 girls from low-income backgrounds, aiming to enable them to escape poverty through transformative education. Jacques remains actively involved, including visits to supported schools and fundraising efforts like selling greeting cards, with trustee oversight including their son Ravi.

Recent Activities

Post-2020 Commentary on Geopolitics

In the wake of the , Jacques argued that demonstrated superior adaptability by shifting from policies in late 2022 to reopening, thereby resuming its role as the engine of global growth, while Western nations persisted in politicizing the virus and failing to emulate 's early successes. He contended that this divergence underscored a broader transition, with 's economic resilience contrasting the West's stagnation and denial of relative decline. On the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Jacques portrayed the crisis as a manifestation of longstanding American strategic overreach, tracing its roots to post-Cold War enlargement and U.S. hubris in treating as a defeated subordinate rather than a peer power. In an April 11, , analysis, he asserted that the U.S. position in represented "permanent overreach," accelerating America's decline by entangling it in a struggle without viable , while exposing Europe's fragmentation and inexperience in sustaining defense efforts. He further highlighted the Global South's reluctance to align with sanctions, as exemplified by India's in UN votes condemning , interpreting this as evidence of eroding U.S. moral and coercive authority in the developing world and a step toward multipolarity. In U.S.-China relations, Jacques maintained that containment efforts, such as proposed tariffs under a potential second administration, would boomerang on America. Responding to April 2025 announcements of 10% universal tariffs escalating to "Tariff Armageddon" against , he predicted severe self-inflicted damage to the U.S. due to its dependence, while —having reduced U.S. reliance from 21% in 2016 to 13.4% in —could pivot to alternative markets and supply chains. He framed such policies as symptomatic of a "Great American Retreat" from to , risking dollar hegemony through instability akin to crises in and 2020. emphasized 's strategic foresight in navigating these pressures, reinforcing his view of an inexorable shift where the U.S. cannot indefinitely suppress a rising civilization-state integrated deeply into global interdependence.

Ongoing Engagements and Public Speaking

Martin Jacques continues to engage in on geopolitical shifts, with a focus on 's rise and the decline of Western dominance. In October 2025, he delivered a keynote address at the 2nd World Conference on China Studies in , arguing that two centuries of Western supremacy have fostered misunderstandings of and emphasizing the need for global recognition of its civilizational state. Earlier that month, he participated in discussions at the same conference, highlighting China studies as an emerging global discipline. In September 2025, Jacques commented on 's in an with CGTN , framing it as a demonstration of national strength amid shifting international dynamics. His ongoing engagements include affiliations that facilitate lectures and talks, such as his role as Visiting at Tsinghua University's of Modern and Senior Fellow at Fudan University's , where he contributes to dialogues on international affairs. Jacques is represented by speaker bureaus like the London Speaker Bureau and Chartwell Speakers, enabling keynotes at conferences on topics including multipolarity and economic trajectories. In December 2024, he served as a guest speaker exploring the historical pluralistic unity of the Chinese nation and its implications for modernization. These activities underscore his sustained influence in public discourse, often through platforms in and international forums.

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