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Stubble burning

Stubble burning is the agricultural practice of intentionally igniting crop residues, such as straw and stubble left in fields after harvest, to rapidly clear land for the next planting cycle, control weeds and pests, and return nutrients to the soil via ash deposition. This method is favored by farmers facing tight timelines between harvests, particularly in intensive double-cropping systems like rice followed by wheat, where mechanical or biological residue management alternatives demand higher upfront costs and labor. The practice is most extensive in the Indo-Gangetic Plains of northern , where and account for a substantial portion of global agricultural activity during the post-monsoon harvest season from to . In these regions, millions of tons of residue are burned annually, driven by economic pressures including low levels, limited access to affordable residue incorporation machinery, and the need to avoid yield penalties from delayed . Despite incentives for alternatives like the , adoption remains low among smallholder farmers due to perceived risks and insufficient subsidies. Stubble burning releases large quantities of particulate matter (PM2.5), , and greenhouse gases including CO2, , and CH4, contributing to seasonal spikes in regional . In , stubble fires have been linked to 14-31% of PM2.5 concentrations during peak periods, exacerbating episodes that impair visibility and , with estimates attributing 44,000 to 98,000 premature deaths annually across to exposure from residue burning between 2003 and 2019. Additional environmental effects include soil nutrient volatilization, reduced microbial diversity, and increased erosion vulnerability from loss of surface cover. Regulations prohibiting open burning have been enacted in since 2015, with penalties and promotion of in-situ management techniques, yet enforcement challenges persist amid farmer resistance rooted in short-term productivity gains over long-term . Controversies center on balancing with agricultural viability, as viable alternatives like conversion or composting require scalable infrastructure and policy support to offset the immediate economic advantages of burning. Recent data indicate declining fire incidents due to stricter monitoring and subsidies, though wind patterns and jurisdictional incentives continue to influence compliance.

Definition and Practices

Overview of Stubble Burning

Stubble burning is the deliberate combustion of crop residues, such as straw stubble remaining after the harvest of grains like rice and wheat, to clear fields for the next planting cycle. This agricultural method is utilized primarily in intensive cropping systems where narrow temporal windows between harvests demand rapid residue disposal to avoid delays in sowing subsequent crops. Farmers ignite the dry stubble in situ, allowing flames to consume the biomass quickly, which incorporates some ash back into the soil while eliminating weeds, pests, and unharvested material. The practice is most extensive in the Indo-Gangetic Plains of northern , encompassing states like , , and , where rice-wheat rotations prevail and generate substantial residue volumes—approximately 20-22 million tons annually from alone in and combined. In , stubble burning incidents peaked at over 36,000 in 2023 but declined to 10,909 in 2024, attributed to enforcement measures and promotion of alternatives, though the activity remains concentrated during the post-monsoon rice harvest in October-November. Haryana similarly reported fewer fires, with 559 incidents between September 15 and October 15 in 2024, the lowest in recent years for that period. Globally, crop residue burning occurs across diverse agricultural regions, including , , and parts of , often following cereal harvests to manage excess . In tropical areas, it accounts for a significant portion of biomass burning emissions, with practices varying by type and mechanization levels; for instance, while less common in mechanized Western farming due to baling and removal, it persists in labor-constrained or cost-sensitive operations worldwide. Despite regulatory bans in many jurisdictions, adoption endures due to its low-cost efficacy in residue clearance.

Crop Residue Management Techniques

Crop residue management techniques primarily involve in-situ methods that retain residues on or incorporate them into the , as well as ex-situ approaches that facilitate removal for alternative uses, all aimed at preserving , reducing , and nutrients without . These practices with open burning by leveraging , biological, and agronomic strategies to handle residues from crops like and , which generate substantial —approximately 20 million metric tonnes of residue annually in alone. In-situ incorporation entails tilling residues directly into the using implements such as rotavators or harrows, which decomposes over time and enhances soil organic carbon levels, though it risks temporary immobilization and planting delays due to high residue volumes. This method improves long-term by returning carbon and nutrients, with studies showing reduced compared to bare fallow systems. However, in intensive rice-wheat rotations, full incorporation can increase fuel use and equipment wear, prompting hybrid approaches. Conservation techniques, including zero- and mulch-till systems, leave residues on the surface as , suppressing weeds, conserving , and minimizing soil disturbance to foster microbial activity and populations. In Punjab's - systems, the —a specialized zero-till —simultaneously cuts and deposits while sowing , enabling residue retention without prior clearing; field trials indicate this approach yields profitability gains of about 10% over conventional practices while cutting emissions. Adoption has accelerated, with targeting full residue management of its output by 2024 through subsidized machinery, reducing burning incidence. Ex-situ techniques focus on mechanical collection and relocation, such as baling residues into compact bundles for use as , pellets, or industrial raw materials, which diverts from fields and generates supplementary income—baled can fetch market prices supporting farmer viability. Super straw management systems, combining balers with shredders, efficiently gather loose residues post-harvest. Composting transforms residues into nutrient-rich via aerobic , often accelerated with microbial inoculants, up to 80% of and while mitigating from decay. Emerging options like biochar production pyrolyze residues in oxygen-limited conditions to yield stable carbon amendments that enhance soil water retention and cation exchange capacity, offering a carbon sequestration pathway; pilot applications in wheat-paddy systems demonstrate viability as a residue valorization strategy. Overall, integrating these techniques—tailored to residue type, soil conditions, and cropping intensity—supports sustainable yields, with meta-analyses confirming residue retention boosts productivity by 5-15% in no-till setups over burned fields. Challenges include upfront machinery costs, addressed through subsidies in regions like India, and the need for farmer training to optimize implementation.

Historical Development

Global Origins and Traditional Uses

Stubble burning, the intentional ignition of crop residues remaining after grain harvest, traces its origins to ancient agricultural practices in settled cereal farming regions. Historical accounts from document the burning of stubble, herbage, and dry leaves as part of field management, as reported in agricultural mythology compiled in the mid-20th century from classical sources. This method predates mechanized harvesting and reflects early uses of fire for residue disposal in Mediterranean agroecosystems, where fire control enabled selective burning without full field clearance akin to slash-and-burn . Traditionally, stubble burning facilitated rapid field preparation for subsequent crops by decomposing tough residues that hindered replanting, a practice valued in pre-industrial eras for its simplicity and low labor input compared to manual incorporation. It also served to suppress weeds, pests, and pathogens through thermal destruction, with ash providing a quick return of minerals like to the , enhancing short-term fertility in nutrient-depleted fields. In , such as in prior to , burning was limited due to the multifunctional value of for feed and bedding, but it occurred where residues were abundant and alternative uses uneconomical. Globally, analogous practices appeared in Asia's and systems for expedited residue clearance, though pre-Green Revolution manual harvesting often favored over to preserve . In and the , stubble burning integrated with broader -based in tropical and subtropical grain production, aiding and soil warming for early sowing, distinct from slash-and-burn's forest-clearing focus on virgin soils. These uses persisted where was absent, prioritizing operational efficiency over long-term concerns evident only later through empirical observation.

Modern Intensification in Intensive Cropping Systems

The modern intensification of stubble burning coincided with the Green Revolution's expansion of intensive rice-wheat cropping systems in India's Punjab and Haryana regions starting in the 1960s. High-yielding, short-duration varieties of paddy and wheat enabled double-cropping rotations, with rice harvested in late October and wheat sown by mid-November to maximize yields under irrigated conditions. This compressed timeline, combined with increased residue production from higher biomass yields—up to 2-3 tons of straw per hectare for paddy—necessitated rapid field clearance, making burning a practical option over labor-intensive manual removal or incorporation. Mechanization further amplified this trend from the late , as combine harvesters became prevalent, leaving behind 10-15 tall that was difficult to till into manually or with traditional tools. Unlike earlier harvesting methods, which often cut residues closer to the ground for use as or thatch, mechanized operations produced uniform, anchored unsuitable for and prone to incomplete in heavy clay soils typical of the . By the 1990s, stubble burning events in surged, with indicating a marked rise correlated to these shifts, as farmers prioritized amid labor shortages and rising costs. This pattern extended beyond to other intensive systems, such as in China's wheat-rice belts, where similar post-Green Revolution intensification led to residue overload, though enforcement of bans has varied. In , annual paddy straw generation reached approximately 20 million tons by the , with burning accounting for over 70% of disposal in peak years before regulatory interventions, underscoring the causal link between cropping intensification and fire reliance. Empirical assessments attribute the persistence to the economic calculus of time-sensitive planting, where delays in wheat sowing could reduce yields by 1-2% per day.

Motivations for Adoption

Agronomic and Operational Advantages

Stubble burning provides operational advantages by enabling rapid field clearance in time-sensitive cropping cycles, such as the rice- rotation prevalent in India's Indo-Gangetic Plains, where the interval between rice harvest in late October and optimal sowing is typically 10-15 days. Delayed planting beyond this window can reduce yields by up to 1% per day, making quick residue disposal essential to maintain productivity. This method requires minimal labor and equipment beyond ignition, contrasting with mechanical incorporation or baling, which demand additional machinery, fuel, and time often unavailable to smallholder farmers managing large areas. Agronomically, the practice destroys weed seeds, insect pests, and disease pathogens harbored in crop residues, reducing the incidence of issues like root rot or wheat take-all in subsequent seasons and thereby lowering the need for herbicides or pesticides. By eliminating bulky stubble, burning enhances soil aeration and eases , which promotes better seed-to-soil contact and root establishment for the next crop while minimizing equipment blockages and associated operational costs. These benefits are particularly pronounced in mechanized harvests that leave tall, dense stubble stands, which otherwise impede planting.

Economic Pressures on Farmers

The narrow temporal window between harvest and sowing in India's Indo-Gangetic Plains, typically 7–10 days for non- varieties and 15–20 days for , compels farmers to prioritize rapid field clearance to avoid yield penalties in the subsequent . Delays of even one week beyond optimal sowing can reduce yields by approximately 150 kg per , amplifying economic risks for farmers reliant on double-cropping systems for income stability. Stubble burning enables quick residue removal at minimal upfront cost, often under ₹500 per including labor and fuel, contrasting with alternatives that demand significant capital investment. Smallholder farmers, who dominate and Haryana's with average landholdings below 2 hectares, face prohibitive barriers to adopting machinery like Happy Seeders or balers, which require initial costs exceeding ₹5–10 per unit and ongoing maintenance. While studies indicate that such in-situ management tools can yield 10–20% higher net profits over in the long term through reduced and improved , the high purchase price, limited access to custom hiring services, and fuel expenses deter uptake among resource-constrained producers. Cost remains the primary driver for preferring , with surveys showing over 60% of farmers aware of alternatives but opting out due to financial pressures, even amid subsidies covering 50–80% of machine costs. Mechanized rice harvesting, promoted since the for gains, has paradoxically intensified burning by producing loose, voluminous that is labor-intensive and costly to manage manually, with labor wages in rising to ₹300–500 per day. Regulatory fines, ranging from ₹2,500 to ₹15,000 per incident as imposed by the since 2015, add uncertainty but often fail to exceed the net savings from burning when alternatives' total costs—including potential yield risks from unproven methods—are factored in. This dynamic underscores systemic economic vulnerabilities, where policy enforcement overlooks small farmers' cash flow constraints and the absence of scalable, low-cost residue markets or incentives.

Environmental and Health Effects

Atmospheric Pollution from Emissions

Stubble burning releases a of primary and secondary atmospheric pollutants via incomplete of dry crop residues, primarily fine (PM2.5), (BC), organic carbon (), (CO), nitrogen oxides (), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and sulfur oxides (). These emissions occur predominantly during post-harvest periods, such as October-November for residues in India's , where smoldering fires produce persistent smoke plumes that elevate regional loading. BC and OC within PM2.5 dominate the aerosol fraction, absorbing sunlight and promoting , while VOCs and NOx serve as precursors for and secondary organic aerosols. In , annual s from burning approximately 92-100 million metric tonnes of have been quantified using emission inventories and . For the 2008-2009 burning season involving 98.4 million tonnes, outputs included 141.15 million tonnes of CO2 (91.6% of total mass), 8.57 million tonnes of (66% of non-CO2 emissions), 1.46 million tonnes of non-methane VOCs (11% of non-CO2), 0.23 million tonnes of (2.2% of non-CO2), 1.21 million tonnes of (including PM2.5 and PM10), 0.037 million tonnes of , and 0.12 million tonnes of (NH3). Similar scaled estimates for 63 million tonnes burned yield 91 million tonnes of CO2, 1.2 million tonnes of , 3.4 million tonnes of , 0.1 million tonnes of , and 0.6 million tonnes of (CH4). These figures derive from field-based emission factors adjusted for residue type (e.g., vs. ) and , with residue burning yielding higher and BC due to higher silica content and lower moisture. Emissions inventories from 2003-2019, informed by the Global Fire Emissions Database, highlight PM2.5 as a key , with primary BC and OC fractions driving immediate visibility reduction and long-range transport via . Quantified PM2.5 emissions contribute to seasonal episodes, where optical depth increases markedly over northern during peak events, as observed via MODIS satellite retrievals. Incomplete efficiency—typically 80-90% for open-field burns—amplifies non-CO2 s relative to controlled .

Relative Contribution Compared to Other Sources

Stubble burning episodes in and predominantly occur during and November, coinciding with the rice harvest, and contribute episodically to elevated (PM2.5) levels in the , including . Empirical modeling and satellite data indicate that during peak burning periods, agricultural fires can account for 20-40% of PM2.5 concentrations in Delhi, with contributions varying by wind direction, fire intensity, and atmospheric stability; for instance, one estimated a mean of 31 ± 16% to PM2.5 from burning under typical conditions. This seasonal spike is amplified by inversion layers and stagnant air, which trap emissions and transport smoke southward over distances of 200-500 km. In contrast, year-round source apportionment reveals that burning's overall contribution diminishes outside this window, comprising less than 10% of annual PM2.5 in when averaged across all sources. Vehicular emissions, responsible for 20-30% of PM2.5 through direct and precursors like oxides and volatile organic compounds, emerge as a persistent dominant , exacerbated by 's vehicle fleet exceeding 10 million as of 2023. Industrial emissions and power plants contribute another 15-25%, primarily via and , while secondary aerosols from and reactions—often linked to but not burning—add 20-30%. Construction dust and road re-suspension account for 15-20%, underscoring the multifaceted urban and regional drivers that sustain baseline pollution levels exceeding WHO guidelines by of 10-15 annually. For organic aerosols specifically, biomass burning including stubble constitutes about 35% annually in , but this encompasses broader sources like household wood combustion, which rivals or exceeds agricultural fires in non-peak months. Carbon monoxide source attribution during the burning season shows crop residues at 27-44%, comparable to emissions (32-49%), yet the former's impact is transient and geographically concentrated. These relative shares highlight that while stubble burning drives acute winter exacerbations, systemic reductions in and emissions are essential for addressing chronic pollution, as evidenced by limited AQI improvements despite declining fire incidents from 100,000+ in 2018 to under 50,000 by 2023.

Soil Fertility and Long-Term Agronomic Impacts

Stubble burning results in significant nutrient volatilization, particularly of , which can evaporate as or nitrogen oxides, leading to losses estimated at 20-50% of available in residues depending on burn conditions. Phosphorus and are partially retained in ash but experience reduced due to altered chemistry, with studies indicating net losses of up to 10-15% for when burning is frequent. Long-term repeated burning depletes (SOC) by converting it to atmospheric CO2, with trials showing reductions of 0.14% SOC after 16 years under burning regimes compared to no-burn practices, exacerbating decline and lowering water-holding capacity by impairing aggregate stability. This organic matter loss diminishes , hindering nutrient retention and contributing to acidification in alkaline soils common in rice-wheat systems. Burning elevates temperatures to approximately 42°C, sterilizing surface layers and reducing beneficial microbial by 30-70%, disrupting nitrogen-fixing and decomposers essential for breakdown and nutrient cycling. Over decades, this microbial depletion correlates with decreased enzymatic activity, such as levels, fostering buildup and reduced to stresses like . Agronomically, sustained stubble burning accelerates , necessitating higher inputs—up to 20-30 kg/ha more annually—to maintain yields, as evidenced in Indo-Gangetic Plains studies where burned fields showed 5-10% yield declines after 10-15 years relative to residue-retained systems. While short-term benefits include rapid residue clearance for , long-term effects include increased vulnerability from lost cover and elevated pressures due to disrupted , underscoring a net negative impact on sustainable productivity.

Alternatives to Burning

In-Field Residue Incorporation Methods

In-field residue incorporation involves integrating crop stubble directly into the profile to decompose naturally, thereby retaining , nutrients, and while avoiding open burning. This approach contrasts with ex-situ removal by leveraging or specialized machinery to mix residues below the surface or as surface , enhancing long-term through microbial breakdown. Empirical studies indicate that incorporation can increase soil carbon by 0.2-0.5% over multiple seasons in rice-wheat systems, though initial may temporarily immobilize , requiring supplemental fertilizers. Conventional methods, such as rotavation or disc plowing, mechanically chop and bury to a depth of 10-15 cm, facilitating rapid via microbes. Rotavators, commonly used in India's region, prepare fields for the next crop by incorporating up to 90% of straw residues within 7-10 days post-harvest. This technique has been standard in intensive cropping but can compact and accelerate if overused, with long-term trials showing reduced compared to reduced-till systems. Zero-tillage incorporation technologies, exemplified by the , enable direct sowing of into standing stubble by simultaneously cutting, ing, and partially incorporating residues as a 15-20 cm surface cover while depositing seeds below. Introduced in around 2007, this method has expanded to over 1 million hectares by 2021, subsidized under Indian government schemes, yielding harvests comparable to conventional methods (4.5-5 tons/ha) while conserving 30-50% of water and reducing fuel use by 20-30%. Field experiments confirm it preserves stocks better than full , with residue suppressing weeds and enhancing microbial diversity, though farmers report occasional pressures from retained humidity. Super seeders and similar hybrids combine partial incorporation with banding, addressing tie-up by applying directly with seeds, achieving residue retention rates of 80-90% without yield penalties in trials across northern . Adoption barriers include high initial equipment costs (₹5-7 per unit) and the 10-15 day window constraint in double-cropping, yet data from 2023-2024 show a 20-30% rise in usage following rental subsidies, correlating with 15% drops in regional stubble burning incidents. Long-term benefits, including 23% higher mineralizable carbon under reduced , outweigh conventional methods' short-term speed advantages, per 30-year comparative studies.

Ex-Situ Utilization and Processing Options

Ex-situ utilization entails the collection, baling, and transportation of crop stubble—primarily and residues—to off-field facilities for conversion into value-added products, circumventing the need for in-field . This approach leverages thermochemical and biochemical technologies to produce , biofuels, and materials, with India's surplus crop residues (356.7 million tonnes annually) holding potential for 53,767 MWe of . In , where stubble is prevalent, operational ex-situ projects consumed about 0.88 million tonnes of residue in biomass power plants as of September 2020. Thermochemical processing dominates ex-situ options, involving high-temperature conversion without oxygen. Direct in dedicated generates ; for example, Punjab's 11 operational (totaling 97.5 MW ) utilize alongside other feedstocks, while the Jalkheri facility processes 120,000 tonnes annually to produce 10-15 MW, supporting 15,000 farmers. converts into for or , as in small-scale 250 kWe that process up to 2,000 tonnes of straw yearly to also enable via combined and . yields , bio-oil, and ; -wheat from Haryana-Punjab regions can be pyrolyzed to produce for soil amendment, enhancing nutrient availability and while mitigating emissions equivalent to 1,068 kg CO₂e per tonne processed. Densification into pellets or briquettes facilitates co-firing in ; 10% co-firing requires 1.47 million tonnes annually in , with delivered pellet costs at INR 4,720 per tonne for distances up to 50 km. Biochemical methods employ microbial processes for production. of stubble with yields , with co-digestion producing up to 12,355 mL and 6,610 mL per batch, suitable for or upgraded bio-CNG. In , eight bio-CNG projects under execution will use 0.3 million s of residue annually. enables via enzymatic of stubble ; a 100 KL/day plant in Bhatinda, (under construction as of 2020), requires 0.2 million s yearly. These processes collectively reduce emissions by up to 1,068 CO₂e per compared to burning. Additional processing yields non-energy products, including compressed residues for , , or building materials, though lags behind energy applications. Planned ex-situ projects in could aggregate 1.5 million s yearly (7% of residue), requiring 850-1,300 straw aggregation banks for efficient supply chains. Economic viability hinges on transport costs (INR 1,330 per for 15 km aggregation) and incentives, with thermochemical routes offering higher returns through grid-connected sales.

Policy and Regulatory Frameworks

Indian Regulations and Enforcement Efforts

In , stubble burning has been prohibited under the Air (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Act, 1981, with enforcement reinforced through directives from the (NGT) and the since the mid-2010s. The National Policy for Management of Crop Residue, formulated by the central government in 2014 and updated subsequently, mandates in-situ management of crop residues and prohibits open burning, requiring states to implement action plans with timelines for compliance. States such as , , and enacted specific laws in 2015 to curb the practice, including penalties for violations, though initial implementation focused on awareness rather than strict deterrence. The Commission for Air Quality Management (CAQM) in the National Capital Region and Adjoining Areas, established via the CAQM Act, 2021, serves as the primary regulatory body for coordinating enforcement in pollution hotspots like Delhi-NCR. CAQM guidelines require authorities to appoint nodal officers for each village and cluster officers for groups of 20 villages to monitor and prevent burning, supported by satellite-based surveillance from the to detect hotspots in real-time. Penalties under CAQM were doubled in November 2024 to environmental compensation charges graded by farm size: ₹5,000 for holdings under 2 acres, ₹10,000 for 2-5 acres, and ₹30,000 for over 5 acres per incident, with provisions for assessing and recovering fines on-the-spot. Additionally, CAQM empowered magistrates in 2025 to impose disciplinary action against government officials failing to enforce bans, aiming to address lapses in ground-level implementation. Supreme Court interventions have intensified regulatory pressure, with orders in 2019 explicitly banning stubble burning and directing states to prosecute offenders. In October 2024, the Court summoned chief secretaries of and for inadequate action, criticizing low fine recoveries—such as ₹11 from 417 violations—as insufficient deterrence. By September 2025, the Court advocated criminal prosecution under provisions, including potential imprisonment, rejecting leniency for farmers and urging the central government to amend laws for stricter accountability, though the government preferred policy incentives over widespread jail terms. In November 2024, the Court highlighted enforcement as "eyewash" in , mandating immediate directives to prohibit permissions for burning and emphasizing traceability of violations. Despite these measures, enforcement remains challenged by resource constraints and farmer non-compliance, with studies indicating an initial 30% reduction in fires post-ban but persistent hotspots during harvest seasons. CAQM data from 2022 shows a decline in thermal hotspots following enhanced , yet judicial critiques underscore gaps in prosecuting officials and achieving uniform state-level adherence. Efforts include integrating subsidies for machinery under the Sub-Mission on Agricultural Mechanization, but regulatory focus prioritizes punitive actions over solely economic relief to deter recurrence.

International Practices and Lessons

In the , stubble burning was prohibited nationwide effective from September 1993 under the Crops (Burning of Straw and Stubble) (Prohibition) Regulations, following a 1989 parliamentary decision driven by evidence of and health risks documented in the 1984 on Environmental Pollution report. Enforcement involves fines up to £5,000 for violations under the , with permitted exceptions limited to specific circumstances like disease control under strict protocols. Farmers adapted by adopting mechanical methods such as deep ploughing for residue incorporation, baling for fodder, or mulching, which improved long-term despite initial equipment costs subsidized through agricultural grants. Across the , analogous national bans on open burning of s, aligned with air quality directives, have curtailed the practice to negligible levels, favoring and residue retention to bolster soil carbon sequestration and . , burning accounts for less than 5% of management practices in major croplands, with the U.S. Department of Agriculture's programs promoting no-till and systems that leave over 30% residue cover on fields, reducing by up to 90% compared to conventional . Australian emphasizes stubble retention for moisture , supplemented by or harvesting, rendering burning non-preferred except in isolated cases. Key lessons from these implementations include the efficacy of combining prohibitive regulations with economic incentives, such as machinery subsidies and markets for residue-derived biofuels, as evidenced in China's approach of fining burners while funding balers and plants, which reduced burning incidents by over 90% in key provinces since 2015. The UK's transition highlights that while bans achieve rapid declines, sustained compliance requires addressing farmer concerns over and yield impacts through research-backed alternatives and extension services, avoiding over-reliance on penalties that may foster resentment without viable options. In , integrating residue management into broader incentives has proven cost-effective, suggesting that for regions like northern , prioritizing scalable ex-situ utilization—such as for —alongside in-field technologies could mitigate economic barriers more effectively than enforcement alone.

Controversies and Stakeholder Perspectives

Debates on Pollution Causality and Exaggeration

Debates on the causality of stubble burning in Delhi's air pollution crisis question whether it is the primary driver or if its role is exaggerated relative to other emission sources. Proponents of strong causality emphasize its seasonal spike, with modeling indicating that stubble fires in Punjab and Haryana contribute up to 35% of PM2.5 concentrations in Delhi during peak periods from mid-October to mid-November, transported by northwesterly winds. This contribution aligns with satellite observations of fire hotspots correlating with elevated aerosol optical depths over the Indo-Gangetic Plain. Critics contend that the focus overstates stubble burning's overall impact, noting its average seasonal share at around 10.6% for PM2.5 in during late 2024, while year-round sources dominate. Vehicular emissions account for approximately 20% of PM2.5 annually, road dust for 38%, domestic fuel burning for 12%, and industrial sources for 11%, persisting beyond the brief burning window. These local factors, combined with meteorological trapping via winter inversions, amplify regardless of stubble inputs, as evidenced by sustained high AQI levels even amid declining fire incidents. Analyses argue that and policy narratives exaggerate stubble burning to farmers, diverting attention from unmanaged urban emissions like construction dust and waste burning, which governmental reports identify as equally culpable during non-burning months. proceedings have highlighted discrepancies, with official estimates placing stubble's share at only 10% in some assessments, prompting calls for balanced enforcement over singular blame. Empirical source studies confirm burning, including stubble, as significant but not sole during the post-monsoon season, underscoring the need for multi-source interventions rather than isolated targeting.

Farmer Resistance and Economic Trade-Offs

Farmers in and predominantly continue stubble burning due to its negligible direct costs—primarily limited to minimal labor for ignition and oversight—and its rapidity in clearing fields, often within hours, amid a constrained 10-15 day between harvest and sowing to maximize economic returns from the intensive rice-wheat . This practice is perceived by a majority as economically feasible, requiring fewer efforts than mechanical alternatives and aiding in , , and control, with surveys showing high agreement (weighted mean scores of 83.67% for weed reduction and 77.89% for pest control). In contrast, options like manual residue removal can cost Rs. 6,000-7,000 per acre in labor alone, rendering burning the default for resource-limited smallholders who constitute much of the farming base. Alternatives such as the Happy Seeder, which sows wheat directly into unburnt residue, present operational costs of approximately Rs. 1,500-2,100 per hectare (or Rs. 600-850 per acre), lower than conventional tillage plus burning at Rs. 3,000-3,100 per hectare, potentially yielding net savings and equivalent or slightly higher wheat productivity over time. However, upfront barriers include machine purchase prices of Rs. 1.5-1.8 lakh (with 50% subsidies available but mistrusted or inaccessible), requirements for high-power tractors unaffordable to many, and added fuel or service fees when hiring equipment, leading to resistance among farmers who view these as higher-risk investments without guaranteed yield offsets. Economic analyses indicate that while long-term adoption could boost profits by 10-20% through reduced tillage and fertilizer needs, short-term liquidity constraints and uncertain subsidy delivery exacerbate skepticism. Resistance is further compounded by enforcement challenges, including fines of Rs. 2,500-15,000 per incident that disproportionately burden small farmers without addressing root economic disincentives, and perceptions of inequitable application favoring larger operators. Payments for services (PES) programs have shown promise in reducing by compensating for foregone savings, but without sustained incentives, farmers revert to as the low-risk, immediate choice, highlighting a between environmental mandates and agrarian viability where alternatives demand ic support beyond sporadic subsidies. This dynamic underscores how persists not merely from habit but from rational prioritization of and operational simplicity in a high-stakes cropping .

Declines in Practice and Influencing Factors

Stubble burning incidents in decreased by 85% from 71,304 cases in 2021 to 10,909 in 2024, according to state government records. In the period from September 15 to October 21, 2025, reported 415 incidents, compared to 4,327 in the same window of 2021. experienced a 95% decline, with only 30 farm fires recorded until October 17, 2025, versus 601 in the prior year. Across northern , stubble burning fell 68% between September 15 and October 16, 2025, with alone showing an 84% reduction. 's incidents dropped 96% from 2020 to 2025 levels. Satellite observations, including data, indicate unusually low fire detections in and in 2024, though air quality remained poor, suggesting potential undercounting or shifts in burning patterns. In 2024, 's farm fire incidents fell 70%, but the total burnt area increased, highlighting limitations in incident-based metrics over area-based assessments. Farmers have reportedly timed burns to evade overpasses, such as avoiding peak detection windows around 4 p.m., which may contribute to discrepancies between official counts and data. Key factors driving these declines include government subsidies for management machinery, such as super seeders and balers, which enable in-situ incorporation of into soil, reducing the need for burning. State schemes in and provide financial incentives and custom hiring centers for equipment access, particularly benefiting smallholder farmers who lack resources for individual purchases. Stricter enforcement of penalties, including fines up to ₹1 per incident under the Air (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Act, has deterred violations, though implementation varies by district. Performance-linked incentives for local officials, tied to reduced fire counts, have prompted proactive monitoring and machinery distribution, with evidence showing fires rise when winds favor cross-jurisdictional pollution evasion. Adoption of alternatives has accelerated due to awareness campaigns addressing benefits of residue retention, countering prior misconceptions about losses from non-burning methods. However, persistent socio-economic pressures, such as tight harvest windows between and cycles, limit full compliance, with enforcement gaps allowing some evasion tactics to persist.

Evaluation of Intervention Effectiveness

Interventions to curb stubble burning in , primarily targeting and , encompass regulatory bans, subsidies for in-situ machinery like happy seeders and super straw management systems, promotion of ex-situ processing, and mechanisms including fines and monitoring. Evaluations based on satellite-detected fire counts from and indicate partial short-term reductions, with reporting a decline from 76,590 incidents in to approximately 10,909 by late , attributed to subsidized exceeding units and custom hiring centers. However, these gains often diminish over time, as evidenced by a 30% initial drop in fire counts following 's 2019 ban, which faded to near zero effect within 2-3 years due to lax and persistent economic incentives for burning. Incentive-based approaches show greater sustained impact. A randomized controlled trial of conditional cash transfers in demonstrated significant reductions in burning through payments for ecosystem services, linking farmer compensation to verified non-burning practices and yielding measurable air quality improvements. Similarly, for district bureaucrats, introduced in 2022, correlated with a 20-30% decrease in local incidents and associated child mortality reductions of up to 15%, by enhancing monitoring and coordination during peak seasons. These results underscore that aligning administrative with outcomes outperforms punitive measures alone, though remains limited by bureaucratic capacity. Despite policy targets for 100% residue management by 2024, effectiveness is hampered by detection gaps and non-compliance. Satellite data underestimates fires, as farmers increasingly time burns post-satellite overpass times (e.g., after 4 PM), leading to discrepancies where reported declines (e.g., 71% in from 2020-2024) do not match persistent levels in . Ground validations and court-mandated 24x7 monitoring reveal ongoing hotspots, with recording over three-fold increases in incidents within short periods in October 2025, signaling incomplete adoption of alternatives amid high machinery costs (₹1,500-2,000 per acre) and concerns from residue incorporation. Overall, while interventions have curbed roughly 50-70% of historical peaks in detected events, residual burning contributes 40-60% to seasonal PM2.5 spikes, necessitating techno-economic refinements and broader enforcement to achieve verifiable long-term efficacy.

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