Life extension
Life extension encompasses scientific, medical, and technological efforts to prolong human lifespan by targeting the biological mechanisms of aging, with the goal of extending both healthspan—the duration of life free from debilitating disease—and maximum lifespan beyond current limits of approximately 122 years.[1][2] While average life expectancy has risen substantially in the twentieth century—from under 50 years globally in 1900 to over 70 years today—due to reductions in infant mortality, infectious diseases, and improvements in sanitation and nutrition, gains have slowed since 1990, averaging only about 6.5 years in the longest-lived populations, indicating diminishing returns from conventional public health measures.[3][4] The maximum human lifespan shows no comparable extension, with empirical data from supercentenarians supporting a fixed biological ceiling around 115–125 years, resistant to further increases without addressing core aging processes like cellular senescence, telomere shortening, and proteostasis loss.[5][3] Key research avenues include caloric restriction mimetics such as rapamycin, which extends lifespan in yeast, worms, flies, and mice by modulating mTOR pathways; senolytic drugs that selectively clear senescent cells to mitigate age-related tissue dysfunction; and genetic interventions targeting longevity genes like those in the IGF-1 pathway, demonstrated to double lifespan in model organisms.[6] Achievements in non-human species, including engineered cellular longevity clocks that slow deterioration in human cells, highlight potential, yet human trials remain preliminary and face translational barriers due to physiological complexity and evolutionary trade-offs between reproduction and longevity.[7] Controversies center on feasibility, with recent modeling deeming radical extension—such as routine survival to 150 years—implausible this century absent paradigm-shifting breakthroughs, amid debates over whether aging qualifies as a treatable condition and concerns that optimistic projections from advocacy groups may overstate near-term prospects.[3][8] Ethical discussions also arise regarding equitable access, overpopulation risks, and the desirability of extended lifespans, though causal evidence underscores that interventions must prioritize causal drivers of aging over symptomatic treatments to yield genuine extension.[9]Fundamentals
Definitions and Metrics
Life extension refers to the prolongation of human longevity and life expectancy through interventions targeting biological aging processes, encompassing both modest increases via medical advancements and potential dramatic extensions approaching negligible senescence.[2][10] In geroscience, it prioritizes extending healthspan alongside lifespan, distinguishing it from treatments that merely delay death without improving vitality, as standard medical care often achieves the latter without addressing aging's root causes.[11] Lifespan denotes the total duration of an individual's life from birth to death, with the verified maximum for humans at 122 years and 164 days, recorded for Jeanne Calment (1875–1997).[3] Life expectancy, by contrast, measures the average number of years remaining at a given age, typically calculated at birth (eLE0) or later life stages, reflecting population-level survival probabilities influenced by mortality rates across age groups.[12] Maximum lifespan represents the species-specific upper bound under optimal conditions, empirically stable in humans around 115–125 years absent breakthroughs, as demographic analyses indicate no inherent fixed limit but diminishing returns from current trends.[13] Healthspan, a core metric in aging research, quantifies the portion of lifespan spent in relative good health, free from chronic diseases, disabilities, or significant physiological decline, often operationalized as healthy life expectancy (HALE) which adjusts years lived for quality via disability weighting.[14][15] Unlike lifespan, which captures quantity of years, healthspan emphasizes functional quality, with the healthspan-lifespan gap—typically 10–15 years in developed nations—highlighting morbidity compression as a key goal, where interventions aim to narrow frailty periods without proportionally extending total duration.[16][12] Additional metrics include pace of aging indices, derived from longitudinal biomarkers like DNA methylation clocks or physiological trajectories, which predict remaining healthspan and forecast divergence from chronological age to assess intervention efficacy.[17] Longevity escape velocity, a conceptual threshold proposed by Aubrey de Grey, describes a future state where biomedical progress adds more than one year to remaining life expectancy annually, outpacing chronological aging and enabling indefinite extension for those reaching it.[18] These metrics collectively inform research by prioritizing causal interventions on aging hallmarks over symptomatic treatments, with empirical validation requiring randomized trials tracking both survival and functional outcomes.[19]Historical Trends in Lifespan and Healthspan
Human life expectancy at birth remained below 40 years in all societies prior to the 19th century, largely due to high infant and child mortality rates from infectious diseases, malnutrition, and poor sanitation.[20] Estimates for prehistoric hunter-gatherer populations, derived from skeletal remains and ethnographic analogies, suggest average lifespans of 30-35 years, with survivors to adulthood often reaching 60-70 years absent modern interventions.[21] In ancient civilizations such as Rome or medieval Europe, period life expectancy hovered around 25-35 years, skewed by perinatal deaths exceeding 30% in some cohorts, though adult life expectancy from age 15 added 30-40 more years.[21] The 19th and early 20th centuries marked initial gains, driven by improvements in public hygiene, vaccination, and nutrition rather than advanced medicine. Global life expectancy rose modestly to approximately 32 years by 1900, with regional variations: in Sweden, it reached 44 years by 1840 as a record high among studied populations.[22][23] By mid-century, post-World War II advancements in antibiotics and epidemiology propelled global averages to 48 years around 1950, reflecting sharp declines in mortality from tuberculosis, pneumonia, and diarrheal diseases.[24] The late 20th and early 21st centuries saw accelerated increases, with global life expectancy surpassing 66.8 years by 2000 and reaching 73.1 years by 2019, more than doubling the 1900 baseline through conquest of cardiovascular diseases and further infant mortality reductions below 5% in developed regions.[25] In the United States, life expectancy climbed from 47.3 years in 1900 to 78.7 years by 2010, though gains stagnated post-2010 due to rising deaths from opioids, obesity-related conditions, and COVID-19, dipping to 76.4 years in 2021 before partial recovery to 78.4 years in 2023.[12][26][27]| Era | Approximate Global Life Expectancy (years) | Key Drivers of Change |
|---|---|---|
| Pre-1800 | 30-35 | High infectious disease burden, famine |
| 1900 | 32 | Baseline amid industrialization |
| 1950 | 48 | Antibiotics, sanitation |
| 2000 | 66.8 | Chronic disease management |
| 2019 | 73.1 | Global health interventions[21][25] |