Homeland Union
The Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats (Lithuanian: Tėvynės sąjunga – Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai, TS–LKD) is a centre-right political party in Lithuania rooted in conservatism and Christian democracy.[1] Founded in 1993 as the successor to the Sąjūdis popular front that spearheaded the restoration of Lithuanian independence from Soviet control, the party merged in 2008 with the longstanding Lithuanian Christian Democrats, originally established in 1905, to broaden its base among traditionalist and nationalist elements.[2][1] The party's ideology prioritizes national sovereignty, cultural preservation, family-oriented policies, economic reforms favoring market principles, and firm alignment with Western institutions such as NATO and the European Union, while advocating energy independence and robust defense capabilities against regional threats.[2] Under the leadership of Chairman Laurynas Kasčiūnas, elected in February 2025 with strong party support, TS–LKD has positioned itself as a defender of democratic values and Lithuania's geopolitical interests.[3][4] TS–LKD has formed or co-led governments on multiple occasions, including the 2020–2024 administration under Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė, which advanced liquefied natural gas imports to reduce reliance on Russian energy and provided substantial military aid to Ukraine following the 2022 invasion.[5] These efforts contributed to Lithuania's economic resilience and heightened security posture, though the government's strict COVID-19 containment measures drew domestic backlash, influencing its reduced parliamentary representation after the 2024 elections.[2] As a member of the European People's Party and the International Democracy Union, the party continues to influence centre-right politics in Lithuania and Europe.[6]Ideology and Positions
Economic Policies
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) advocates a market-oriented economic framework that prioritizes competitiveness, fiscal discipline, and private sector initiative, aligned with Christian democratic principles of balancing growth with social solidarity. The party supports reducing regulatory burdens and taxation to foster entrepreneurship and investment, viewing these as essential drivers of sustainable prosperity. During its governance from 2020 to 2024, Lithuania under TS-LKD-led coalitions achieved robust GDP growth averaging over 2% annually post-COVID recovery, with public debt maintained below 40% of GDP and unemployment stabilizing around 6-7%. Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė attributed this performance to prudent fiscal management amid external shocks like the energy crisis and the Ukraine war, describing it as the strongest economic position in the country's history upon leaving office.[7] In taxation policy, TS-LKD favors lowering overall tax levels to enhance incentives for work and business activity, opposing hikes that could stifle recovery. The party's 2020 electoral platform emphasized tax cuts and deregulation to support small and medium enterprises, which form the backbone of Lithuania's export-driven economy. While endorsing progressive elements in personal income tax, the party has critiqued excessive fiscal expansion, advocating reforms like simplified real estate taxation to target speculation without broadly burdening primary residences.[8][9][10] On EU economic integration, TS-LKD prioritizes strengthening the Single Market's competitiveness as the primary engine of growth, pushing for efficient use of EU funds in innovation, sustainable development, and regional job creation. The 2024 European Parliament program calls for rapid market access for Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia to expand trade opportunities for Lithuanian exporters, while urging diversification away from Russian energy dependencies through green hydrogen production and reduced oil/gas reliance. The party supports the EU Green Deal pragmatically, focusing on technological leadership rather than regulatory overreach that could undermine industrial competitiveness.[11][11] Welfare and labor policies reflect a commitment to targeted support, emphasizing employability over expansive entitlements. TS-LKD promotes vocational training and incentives for high-skill jobs, particularly in regions lagging behind Vilnius, to address emigration and inequality driven by post-Soviet structural shifts. Fiscal conservatism guides pension and healthcare reforms, aiming to ensure long-term solvency through private savings options and efficiency gains, as evidenced by the government's handling of pandemic-era spending without derailing debt metrics.[9][12]Social and Cultural Policies
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) prioritizes policies that reinforce traditional family structures as the foundation of society, drawing on Christian democratic principles to promote social cohesion and demographic sustainability. The party's programs emphasize support for nuclear families comprising a man and a woman, including financial incentives for childbirth, expanded childcare infrastructure, and assistance for large families or those raising children with disabilities. In its 2020 electoral platform, TS-LKD committed to active family policies aimed at reducing child poverty and enabling work-life balance through targeted subsidies and parental leave enhancements. The 2024 manifesto further outlines increasing pensions to 50% of the average net wage within 2–3 years and combating income inequality via inclusive social protections, positioning these as means to bolster societal resilience amid demographic challenges like low birth rates.[13] On bioethical matters, TS-LKD aligns with restrictive frameworks, historically supporting Lithuania's legal limits on abortion—permitted only in cases of fetal anomalies, rape, incest, or maternal health risks since amendments in the 1990s and reinforced by parliamentary debates. Party members have advocated maintaining these boundaries to protect unborn life, consistent with Christian values of human dignity from conception, as articulated in the party's foundational statutes. Regarding sexual orientation and gender issues, TS-LKD opposes redefining marriage as anything other than a heterosexual union and has resisted legislative expansions of LGBT rights, such as full same-sex marriage or adoption equivalency, citing preservation of traditional family norms; during parliamentary votes, the party consistently opposed bills for comprehensive same-sex partnerships beyond limited cohabitation recognitions.[14] This stance reflects internal tensions between its liberal-conservative and Christian democratic wings, with leaders like former chair Gabrielius Landsbergis occasionally signaling openness to civil unions while core documents prioritize "traditional family and social values."[15] Culturally, TS-LKD seeks to safeguard Lithuanian national identity through investment in heritage preservation, historical education against totalitarian legacies, and promotion of accessible cultural institutions. The 2024 European Parliament program underscores returning to "European civilisation" by countering disinformation via cultural memory and democratic values, including EU-wide efforts to document Soviet-era crimes.[11] In domestic policy, the party advocates fostering a "creative economy" and media pluralism to nurture national narratives rooted in folklore, language, and Christian heritage, opposing state-driven secularization that dilutes these elements. Education policy under TS-LKD focuses on elevating quality and equity, with the 2020–2024 government increasing funding by 54% and teacher salaries by 77%, alongside initiatives for inclusive curricula emphasizing STEM, civic values, and historical awareness to build resilience against external influences.[13] The party critiques progressive educational trends that prioritize ideological conformity over empirical skills, favoring merit-based reforms and parental involvement to align schooling with family-centered values.Foreign and Security Policies
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) maintains a staunch commitment to Lithuania's membership in the European Union (EU) and North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), positions rooted in the party's foundational goals since the 1990s to secure national defense, economic modernization, and alignment with Western democratic standards against post-Soviet vulnerabilities.[16] This orientation emphasizes transatlantic solidarity, with advocacy for exceeding NATO's 2% of GDP defense spending minimum to deter aggression from revisionist powers, particularly Russia, whose imperial ambitions and hybrid threats—such as cyberattacks, disinformation, and border provocations—pose direct risks to Baltic sovereignty given historical occupations and ongoing militarization near Lithuania's frontiers.[17][18] In security policy, TS-LKD prioritizes military self-reliance and rapid response capabilities, proposing universal conscription by 2028 to build a robust reserve force amid escalating regional tensions, including Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and Belarus's alignment with Moscow under Lukashenko.[19] During its 2020–2024 governing coalition, the party oversaw Lithuania's defense budget rising to approximately 2.75% of GDP by 2024, funding acquisitions like German-supplied Panzerhaubitze 2000 howitzers and PzH 2000 systems, alongside hosting enhanced NATO battlegroups under the Enhanced Forward Presence framework.[18] The party critiques insufficient allied deterrence on NATO's eastern flank, urging permanent brigade deployments and preemptive infrastructure hardening, such as rail gauge standardization for rapid troop mobilization from Poland.[17] Regarding Russia, TS-LKD endorses a dual-track approach: unrelenting sanctions and isolation to curb its aggressive expansionism—evidenced by support for 19 EU sanction packages by October 2025 targeting Russian energy, banks, and enablers—while conditionally aspiring to a democratic transformation that could enable future strategic partnership, though current policy realism prioritizes containment over engagement given Moscow's weaponization of energy and migration.[17][20] On Ukraine, the party has championed substantial bilateral aid, including €15 million in military support during 2022–2023 under its tenure, framing Kyiv's defense as a frontline bulwark preventing further NATO incursions, and opposes any concessions that reward aggression.[16] Within the EU, TS-LKD favors a "value-based" foreign policy emphasizing sovereignty preservation, opposing federalist overreach like shared debt mechanisms or diluted veto powers, while endorsing Eastern Partnership initiatives to counter Russian influence in the post-Soviet space.[17] It supports diversified energy security, such as LNG terminals and Baltic Sea interconnections, to mitigate dependencies exploited by Moscow, as demonstrated by the 2022–2023 gas crisis responses.[21] In September 2025, party leader Laurynas Kasčiūnas unveiled a foreign policy memorandum reinforcing these stances, calling for heightened vigilance against hybrid threats from Belarus, including airspace violations documented in October 2025 incidents.[22][23]History
Establishment, Expansion, First Government, and Early Splits (1993–2000)
The Homeland Union (Lithuanian Conservatives) was established on 1 May 1993 by Vytautas Landsbergis, former leader of the Sąjūdis independence movement, along with other right-wing figures from that organization who sought to continue its anti-communist and nation-building agenda amid post-Soviet transitions.[2] [24] The party emerged from the fragmentation of Sąjūdis, which had lost cohesion after achieving independence in 1990–1991, with conservatives rejecting the more centrist or left-leaning factions that gravitated toward social democracy.[2] By late 1993, it had organized branches throughout Lithuania, drawing support primarily from urban centers like Vilnius, Kaunas, and Panevėžys, where nationalist and pro-market sentiments were strong among former Sąjūdis activists and intellectuals.[1] In the Seimas elections of 20 October and 10 November 1996, the Homeland Union achieved its first major electoral success, securing 70 seats in the 141-member parliament through a combination of proportional representation (29.4% of the vote) and single-mandate districts, defeating the incumbent Democratic Labour Party amid public discontent with economic stagnation and corruption allegations.[25] This victory enabled a coalition with the Lithuanian Christian Democratic Party, leading to the appointment of Gediminas Vagnorius as prime minister on 4 December 1996. The eighth government prioritized fiscal austerity, privatization acceleration, and Western integration, including NATO and EU accession preparations, but encountered challenges from the 1998 Russian financial crisis, which triggered a banking collapse (notably the failure of Inkaksa Bankas) and a sharp GDP contraction of 5.4% in 1999. Internal tensions surfaced during the government's tenure, exacerbated by policy disputes over handling the economic downturn and perceived authoritarian tendencies in leadership, particularly around Landsbergis's influence.[26] Vagnorius resigned on 3 May 1999 following a Seimas vote of no confidence, prompted by coalition strains and opposition criticism of delayed reforms. These divisions foreshadowed early splits, culminating in March 2000 when moderate conservatives broke from the parliamentary faction, rejecting a resolution praising the Vagnorius cabinet's economic record and forming a separate group that criticized the party's hardline stance.[26] The factional rift weakened cohesion ahead of the October 2000 elections, where the party garnered only 26.7% of the proportional vote and 39 seats, losing its governing position.[25]Opposition, Consolidation, and Second Government (2000–2012)
Following the 2000 parliamentary elections on October 8, the Homeland Union experienced a sharp decline, securing minimal representation in the Seimas amid a voter shift toward the left-wing coalition led by the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) and New Union (Social Liberals), which formed the government under Prime Minister Algirdas Brazauskas.[27] The party's reduced seats reflected dissatisfaction with its first-term economic reforms and internal divisions from earlier splits, positioning it firmly in opposition for the subsequent Brazauskas (2001–2006) and Kirkilas (2006–2008) administrations.[28] During this period, the Homeland Union criticized the ruling coalition's handling of corruption scandals and fiscal laxity, advocating for stronger rule of law and market-oriented policies while maintaining its commitment to NATO and EU integration, which Lithuania achieved in 2004. In the intervening years, the party pursued internal consolidation, including leadership stabilization under Andrius Kubilius and a strategic merger with the Lithuanian Christian Democrats in early 2008 to broaden its appeal among conservative and centrist voters, rebranding as the Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD).[29] This restructuring emphasized unified stances on family values, national security, and economic liberalism, helping to rebuild organizational cohesion after electoral setbacks. The 2004 elections yielded 25 seats for the party, making it the second-largest force but insufficient to challenge the LSDP-led majority of 88 seats, prolonging opposition status.[30] The TS-LKD capitalized on public frustration with the incumbent coalition's economic mismanagement and corruption allegations during the 2008 elections held on October 12 and 26, emerging as the largest party with 45 seats and 26.2% of the proportional vote.[31] Andrius Kubilius was appointed prime minister on December 9, 2008, forming the 15th government in coalition with the Liberal Movement Party (11 seats) and the National Resurrection Party (15 seats), securing a slim majority of 71 seats in the 141-member Seimas.[32] Facing the global financial crisis, the administration implemented rigorous austerity measures, including public sector wage cuts of up to 30%, pension reductions, and a VAT increase from 18% to 19% in 2009, alongside structural reforms to trim budget deficits from 3.3% of GDP in 2008 to a surplus by 2012, in coordination with IMF and EU support.[33] These policies, though politically costly due to short-term hardships like a 15% GDP contraction in 2009, facilitated economic recovery with 5.8% growth in 2011 and laid groundwork for eurozone accession in 2015, while advancing energy diversification and defense spending alignment with NATO targets. The government's term ended amid recession fatigue, leading to defeat in the 2012 elections.Third Government and Path to 2024 Elections (2012–2024)
Following the 2012 Seimas elections, the Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) experienced a severe electoral setback, securing only a marginal presence in parliament amid public discontent over the austerity policies pursued by the preceding Kubilius government during the global financial crisis.[34] The party, reduced to opposition status under the coalition led by Prime Minister Algirdas Butkevičius of the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP), focused on internal reorganization and criticism of perceived corruption and economic mismanagement in the ruling alliance.[35] By 2015, Gabrielius Landsbergis, grandson of Lithuania's first post-independence leader Vytautas Landsbergis, assumed the chairmanship, emphasizing renewal through pro-market reforms, anti-corruption drives, and staunch Euro-Atlantic integration to rebuild voter trust.[12] In the 2016 Seimas elections, TS-LKD improved its standing, capturing approximately 22% of the proportional vote and 31 seats, yet remained in opposition as the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union (LVŽS) secured a surprise plurality and formed a government under Prime Minister Saulius Skvernelis.[35] During this period, the party positioned itself as a principled critic of the LVŽS-LSDP coalition, highlighting scandals such as influence-peddling allegations and fiscal imprudence, while advocating for fiscal discipline and enhanced national security in response to escalating Russian aggression in the region.[36] These efforts, coupled with Skvernelis's administration facing backlash over agricultural policy failures and governance lapses, paved the way for TS-LKD's resurgence. The 2020 Seimas elections marked a turning point, with TS-LKD winning 50 seats—the largest bloc—and forging a center-right coalition with the Liberal Movement and the Freedom Party, installing Ingrida Šimonytė as prime minister on December 11, 2020.[37] The Šimonytė government confronted immediate crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, implementing stringent lockdowns and achieving one of Europe's highest vaccination rates (over 70% fully vaccinated by mid-2022), though these measures drew criticism for economic disruptions and restrictions on civil liberties.[38] In 2021, it responded decisively to the Belarus-orchestrated migrant push at the border, constructing a barrier and invoking emergency powers, which bolstered its security credentials amid hybrid threats from Minsk and Moscow.[38] The 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine further defined the administration, with Lithuania under TS-LKD leadership providing substantial military aid (exceeding 1% of GDP), hosting refugees, and championing sanctions, aligning with the party's long-standing emphasis on deterrence against authoritarian neighbors.[12] However, domestic challenges mounted: soaring energy prices due to the war and prior green transition policies, inflation peaking at 20.8% in 2022, and lingering pandemic fatigue eroded support, as evidenced by declining approval ratings for Šimonytė below 30% by 2023.[38] Internal debates over fiscal tightening and migration policies, including proposals for stricter asylum rules, highlighted tensions but underscored the government's commitment to sovereignty and economic resilience. Heading into the 2024 Seimas elections on October 13 and 27, TS-LKD campaigned on continuity in foreign policy strength and post-crisis recovery, but voter exhaustion with four years of turbulence contributed to its defeat, dropping to 28 seats while the LSDP surged to 52.[39] Analysts attributed the loss to accumulated economic pressures and a desire for policy shifts on welfare and energy costs, framing it as a cyclical swing rather than repudiation of core conservative principles, though the result ended the party's hold on power and prompted Landsbergis's resignation.[40]Return to Opposition (2024–present)
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) returned to opposition following its defeat in the 2024 parliamentary elections held on 13 and 27 October. Incumbent Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonytė's centre-right coalition, which included TS-LKD, failed to secure a majority amid voter dissatisfaction with economic pressures, migration policies, and handling of the COVID-19 aftermath.[41][42] The Social Democratic Party (LSDP) emerged as the largest party, forming a coalition government with the liberal For Lithuania (DVSL) and the populist Nemunas Dawn party, securing 86 of 141 Seimas seats.[43] TS-LKD's reduced parliamentary representation positioned it as the primary opposition force, focusing on critiquing the new administration's stability and policy direction.[44] Šimonytė's cabinet formally resigned on 14 November 2024, marking the end of TS-LKD's four-year governance period.[45] Gabrielius Landsbergis, TS-LKD chairman and foreign minister, resigned as party leader on 28 October 2024 in response to the electoral setback, paving the way for internal leadership renewal.[46] The LSDP-led coalition initially appointed Gintautas Paluckas as prime minister, but his tenure ended abruptly on 31 July 2025 amid investigations into his business dealings and family ties, prompting widespread protests and the government's resignation.[47][48] Inga Ruginienė succeeded as prime minister on 25 September 2025, with parliamentary approval of the coalition's platform by 80 votes.[49] In opposition, TS-LKD has emphasized national security and governance accountability, proposing initiatives such as a "drone wall" along borders to counter regional threats from Russia and Belarus.[50] The party initiated a petition in August 2025 to collect signatures for impeaching former officials linked to the prior coalition's collapse, targeting perceived corruption in the ruling bloc.[51] This stance reflects TS-LKD's traditional emphasis on conservative values, EU-NATO alignment, and fiscal restraint, contrasting with the coalition's social spending priorities and inclusion of Nemunas Dawn, whose leadership has faced scrutiny for nationalist rhetoric and past controversies.[43] As of October 2025, the party continues parliamentary oversight, leveraging its bloc's cohesion to challenge budget allocations and foreign policy nuances amid ongoing coalition tensions.[52]Leadership and Organization
Key Leaders and Figures
Laurynas Kasčiūnas serves as the current chairperson of the Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD), having been elected on 9 February 2025 in an open vote involving approximately 17,000 party members and supporters, succeeding Gabrielius Landsbergis after the party's loss in the 2024 parliamentary elections.[53][54] Kasčiūnas, a Seimas member and deputy chair of the National Security and Defence Committee, also leads the party's parliamentary group.[55] The party's foundational leader was Vytautas Landsbergis, an honorary chairman who established TS-LKD on 1 May 1993 as a continuation of the Sąjūdis independence movement and served as its first chairperson until 1996; he played a pivotal role in Lithuania's restoration of independence in 1990–1991 as head of the Supreme Council – Reconstituent Seimas.[56][55] Subsequent chairmen included Andrius Kubilius (1999–2001 and 2003–2011), who led the party through two terms as Prime Minister (1999–2000 and 2008–2012) focused on economic reforms and EU accession, and Gabrielius Landsbergis (2015–2024), who served as Minister of Foreign Affairs from 2020 to 2024 and emphasized transatlantic alliances amid regional security threats.[56] Prominent figures beyond chairmen include Ingrida Šimonytė, Prime Minister from 2020 to 2024, who navigated the COVID-19 response and economic recovery, now a Seimas member and deputy chair of the European Affairs Committee; Rasa Juknevičienė, a European Parliament member since 2004 and former Defence Minister (2008–2012), known for advancing NATO integration; and Paulius Saudargas, current deputy party chairperson, chair of the Lithuanian Christian Democrats faction within TS-LKD, and MEP advocating Christian-democratic values.[57][55] Other influential members encompass Gintarė Skaistė, a former Finance Minister and current deputy chairperson, and Radvilė Morkūnaitė-Mikulėnienė, deputy Seimas speaker and party deputy chair focused on foreign policy.[55]Internal Structure and Factions
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) maintains a centralized hierarchical structure as defined in its statutes, with the Party Congress (Suvažiavimas) as the supreme decision-making body, responsible for electing the chairman, approving the program, and amending foundational documents. The Party Council (Taryba) acts as a supervisory and policy-formulating entity between congresses, while the Presidium (Prezidiumas), comprising the chairman Laurynas Kasčiūnas and four deputy chairmen including Paulius Saudargas and Radvilė Morkūnaitė-Mikulėnienė, manages operational leadership and executive tasks. A Supervisory Committee (Priežiūros komitetas) oversees compliance and ethics, and the party is organized into over 50 local branches (skyriai) that handle regional activities and membership recruitment, totaling approximately 18,000 members nationwide.[58][17] Internal factions and communities provide platforms for subgroup representation, preserving legacies from predecessor organizations while aligning under the unified party framework. The Lithuanian Christian Democrats Community (Bendrija „Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai“), chaired by deputy party leader Paulius Saudargas, embodies the Christian democratic tradition integrated via the 2008 merger and emphasizes values such as family policy and social conservatism. The Nationalists Faction (Tautininkų frakcija), formed from the 2007 absorption of the Nationalists Union, prioritizes Lithuanian cultural preservation, national sovereignty, and opposition to perceived threats to ethnic identity, influencing debates on immigration and historical commemoration. The Political Prisoners and Exiles Faction focuses on honoring Soviet-era deportees and dissidents, advocating for their pensions and memorials.[59][60][24] Demographic-oriented communities further diversify internal dynamics: the Women's Community (Moterų bendruomenė), established in 1996, unites around 6,858 members across 75 branches to promote gender-specific policy input on education and healthcare; the Youth Community (Jaunimo bendruomenė) engages younger members in activism; and the Seniors Community (Senjorų bendruomenė) addresses pension and welfare issues for older demographics. These units operate semi-autonomously, nominating candidates and shaping platform planks, but recent leadership shifts—such as Kasčiūnas's election as chairman on an anti-establishment platform in early 2025—highlight occasional tensions between nationalist-leaning factions and more establishment-oriented conservatives, though without resulting in formal divisions.[59][61]Electoral Performance
Seimas Elections
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) has competed in Seimas elections since 1996, following its establishment in 1993 as a merger of conservative and Christian democratic groups. Seimas elections occur every four years to elect 141 members: 71 via majority vote in single-member constituencies (with run-offs if no candidate exceeds 50%) and 70 proportionally in a nationwide multi-member constituency, requiring parties to surpass a 5% vote threshold for allocation using the d'Hondt method. The party's performance has fluctuated, reflecting voter responses to economic conditions, foreign policy priorities, and domestic governance, with peaks in 2012 and 2020 when it formed governments. In the 2020 Seimas elections (11 and 25 October), TS-LKD secured the largest share of seats at 50 out of 141, translating to a governing coalition with the Liberal Movement and For Lithuania's Future after obtaining around 25% of the multi-member vote.[62] This result marked a rebound from the 2016 elections, where the party won 31 seats amid a surprise victory by the Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union, leading to opposition status.[63] The 2024 Seimas elections (13 and 27 October) saw TS-LKD finish second in the multi-member constituency with 17.96% of votes, behind the Social Democratic Party's 19.36%.[64] The party ultimately obtained 28 seats, a net loss of 22 from 2020, as incumbency fatigue and criticism over pandemic management, migration policy, and inflation contributed to the defeat, ushering in a Social Democratic-led coalition.[65] Voter turnout was 52.2% in the first round.[66]| Year | Multi-member vote % | Total seats | Government/Opposition | Change in seats |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 22.57 | 31 | Opposition | Decrease |
| 2020 | ~25 | 50 | Government (led coalition) | Increase |
| 2024 | 17.96 | 28 | Opposition | Decrease |
European Parliament Elections
In the 2004 European Parliament election, held on 10–13 June following Lithuania's EU accession, the Homeland Union secured 12.65% of the vote and 1 of 13 seats, affiliating with the European People's Party (EPP) group. In the 2009 election on 7 June, the party improved to 26.23% of the vote and 4 of 12 seats, reflecting stronger conservative support amid economic concerns. The 2014 election on 25 May saw a decline to 17.43% of the vote and 2 of 11 seats, as the party competed in a fragmented field with rising liberal and social democratic challengers. Results stabilized in the 2019 election on 26 May, with 17.41% of the vote yielding 2 seats, amid low turnout of 47.38% and emphasis on EU defense and economic policies.[67]| Election Year | Vote Share (%) | Seats Won (of total) | Seats Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 12.65 | 1 (13) | New |
| 2009 | 26.23 | 4 (12) | 3 |
| 2014 | 17.43 | 2 (11) | 2 |
| 2019 | 17.41 | 2 (11) | 0 |
| 2024 | 21.33 | 3 (11) | 1 |
Public Support and Polling
Voter Base and Demographics
The Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats draws its core support from urban populations, particularly in Lithuania's largest cities. In the 2020 parliamentary elections, the party captured 21 of 27 single-member constituency seats across the five major urban centers, including a regain of influence in Kaunas, its historical stronghold.[69] This urban dominance underscores a geographic cleavage, with TS-LKD performing strongly among city residents who favor its pro-EU, economically liberal policies amid national security concerns.[69] Rural constituencies, by contrast, exhibited limited backing for the party, where the agrarian-oriented Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union prevailed in 13 of 16 such districts during the same election.[69] The party's appeal aligns with demographics favoring social conservatism and market-oriented reforms, often associated with higher-income urban professionals, though comprehensive surveys on income, education, age, or gender breakdowns remain scarce in publicly available analyses.[69] Its base predominantly comprises ethnic Lithuanians prioritizing Western integration over populist rural agendas.Opinion Polling Trends
Following the October 2024 parliamentary election, in which the Homeland Union–Lithuanian Christian Democrats (TS-LKD) secured approximately 18% of the proportional vote, the party's support in opinion polls initially dipped before showing signs of recovery in opposition.[70] Early 2025 surveys, such as a March poll, recorded TS-LKD at 11%, placing it second behind the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP).[71] By mid-2025, figures fluctuated, with a July Spinter Tyrimai survey showing TS-LKD leading the rankings for the first time post-election.[72] Vilmorus polls, a consistent tracker, illustrate this variability and upward movement: 16% in late June 2025, rising to 17% in July and 21% in late September.[73] A subsequent October 2025 poll reported 14.5% support, an increase from 13% in July, though lower than contemporaneous Vilmorus results, highlighting differences across pollsters.[74] Aggregated trends place TS-LKD at around 21% as of late 2025, consistently second to LSDP and above its 2024 election performance.[75]| Date | Pollster | TS-LKD Support |
|---|---|---|
| October 2024 (election) | Official result | ~18% |
| March 2025 | Unspecified (Delfi) | 11% |
| June 2025 | Vilmorus | 16% |
| July 2025 | Vilmorus | 17% |
| September 2025 | Vilmorus | 21% |
| October 2025 | Unspecified (Delfi) | 14.5% |